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VF (VFC)
NYSE:VFC

VF (VFC) AI Stock Analysis

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VF

VF

(NYSE:VFC)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
VF Corporation's stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, with declining revenue and high leverage posing major risks. However, recent earnings improvements and strategic leadership changes offer a positive outlook. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics highlight mixed signals with a negative P/E but attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Brand Durability
Durability of the brand portfolio and margin improvement potential are seen as strengths.
Free Cash Flow Growth
VFC expects an increase in free cash flow, which should help fund debt repayment.
Operating Margin Improvement
Operating margin increased due to better gross margins from Vans initiatives and faster savings from the Reinvent program.
Negative Factors
Debt Management Concerns
VFC is facing a struggle between improving its brands for long-term growth and managing net debt of $4.937B.
Revenue Decline
Revenue was down 4.6% and missed consensus by 1.3%, due to a 20% decrease in Vans revenue.
Vans Sales Decline
Vans sharp declines continued, with expected drag into future quarters.

VF (VFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVF Corporation (VFC) is a global leader in branded lifestyle apparel, footwear, and accessories. Operating in sectors such as outdoor, active, and workwear, VF Corporation owns an array of iconic brands including The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Dickies. The company is committed to delivering innovative products and experiences to its consumers through a diverse portfolio that caters to a wide range of lifestyles and activities.
How the Company Makes MoneyVF Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded apparel, footwear, and accessories across multiple channels. The company operates through direct-to-consumer sales, including owned retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to department stores, specialty retailers, and independent dealers. A significant portion of VF's revenue is driven by its strong brand portfolio, which allows the company to leverage brand loyalty and recognition. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance brand visibility and expand its market reach. VF Corporation focuses on geographic diversification, targeting both mature and emerging markets to optimize growth opportunities. Additionally, VF invests in innovation and sustainability initiatives to maintain its competitive edge and appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.

VF Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VF's financial performance is under pressure, with declining revenues, profitability issues, and high leverage. While the company maintains some equity stability, the negative cash flow and income trends pose significant risks that need addressing for financial health improvement.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
The income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability over the recent periods. The TTM reveals a net loss, with a negative net profit margin and decreasing EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational challenges and declining efficiency.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.42 (TTM), reflecting risk due to significant debt compared to equity. The return on equity is negative, driven by losses, although equity remains positive, representing some stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM, reflecting cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in covering net losses through cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.88B10.45B11.61B11.84B9.24B10.49B
Gross Profit
5.19B5.44B6.10B6.46B4.87B5.80B
EBIT
377.17M-34.06M1.80B1.63B607.63M1.63B
EBITDA
207.40M334.79M480.24M1.93B861.21M1.56B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-457.24M-968.88M118.58M1.39B407.87M679.45M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
676.83M676.94M814.89M1.28B1.41B1.37B
Total Assets
11.61B11.61B13.99B13.34B13.75B11.13B
Total Debt
7.43B7.43B7.82B6.44B6.96B4.86B
Net Debt
6.76B6.76B7.00B5.17B6.14B3.49B
Total Liabilities
9.95B9.95B11.08B9.81B10.70B7.78B
Stockholders Equity
1.66B1.66B2.91B3.53B3.06B3.36B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
413.16M803.60M-917.05M535.97M1.04B540.69M
Operating Cash Flow
545.13M1.01B-655.79M864.29M1.31B874.53M
Investing Cash Flow
1.47B-172.26M-188.05M903.74M-2.90B-302.05M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.58B-959.62M463.91M-1.27B1.05B309.73M

VF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.00
Price Trends
50DMA
13.37
Negative
100DMA
18.40
Negative
200DMA
18.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
39.71
Neutral
STOCH
9.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.16, below the 50-day MA of 13.37, and below the 200-day MA of 18.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VFC.

VF Risk Analysis

VF disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VF reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
There are risks associated with VF's acquisitions, divestitures and portfolio management, including our recently completed sale of the Supreme brand business to EssilorLuxottica. Q4, 2024

VF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PVPVH
76
Outperform
$3.93B7.7711.67%0.18%-6.13%-2.63%
RLRL
76
Outperform
$17.13B23.8929.49%1.19%5.23%24.63%
75
Outperform
$7.09B20.1718.03%2.90%4.63%187.50%
KTKTB
74
Outperform
$3.95B17.4056.32%2.87%1.19%3.19%
63
Neutral
$3.55B16.5812.34%1.85%-1.69%-4.01%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.93%2.65%-21.93%
VFVFC
53
Neutral
$5.62B-2.39%2.96%-8.42%57.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VFC
VF
12.00
-0.09
-0.74%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
63.80
-18.93
-22.88%
PVH
PVH
81.99
-33.17
-28.80%
RL
Ralph Lauren
274.08
103.40
60.58%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
17.74
-3.74
-17.41%
KTB
Kontoor Brands
69.62
-0.91
-1.29%

VF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with significant improvements in operating income, gross margins, and debt reduction, but these were counterbalanced by declines in overall revenue, particularly in Vans and challenges in the APAC region. The company is taking deliberate actions to address these issues, but the positive and negative aspects appear balanced.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Operating Income
Operating income increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, exceeding guidance.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin improved by 560 basis points compared to the previous year due to lower material costs, less distressed sales, and higher quality inventory.
Debt Reduction Achievements
Net debt decreased by over 25% year-over-year, achieving a leverage reduction by a full turn.
North Face and Timberland Growth
North Face revenue grew by 4% in Q4, with DTC up 9%. Timberland revenue increased by 13% in Q4, showing strong performance in both wholesale and DTC.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue
Overall revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year, aligning with the guidance of a 2% to 4% decline.
Significant Decline in Vans Revenue
Vans revenue fell by 20% in the fourth quarter, continuing the trend from the previous quarter.
APAC Region Challenges
The turnaround in the APAC region for Vans has been slower, with significant declines in store fronts and channel inventory in China.
Negative DTC Performance
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) sales were down by 3%, primarily due to soft traffic.
Company Guidance
In the VF Corporation's fourth quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported a revenue decline of 3%, aligning with their guidance of a negative 2% to 4%. Despite the downturn, VF Corporation significantly overachieved on operating income, which increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, surpassing expectations. The gross margin improved by 560 basis points due to lower material costs, less distressed sales, and higher quality inventory, while SG&A expenses fell by 2% as a result of structural changes. The company's net debt decreased by over 25% compared to the previous year, and their leverage was reduced by a full turn, aligning with their medium-term goal of achieving a 2.5 times leverage ratio. Vans, a key brand, faced a 20% revenue decline, partly due to strategic actions to manage the marketplace, with 60% of the decline attributed to deliberately reduced revenue. Meanwhile, The North Face and Timberland brands performed well, with revenue increases of 4% and 13%, respectively. The company also addressed potential tariff impacts, emphasizing their asset-light model and strategic supply chain diversification.

VF Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
VF Appoints Abhishek Dalmia as COO in 2025
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

V.F. Corporation has appointed Abhishek Dalmia as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective April 3, 2025. Mr. Dalmia will oversee corporate strategy, transformation, digital technology, and supply chain operations. His extensive experience includes roles at Boston Consulting Group, lululemon athletica, and Dell Technologies, focusing on digital growth and innovation. This appointment is part of the company’s strategic leadership restructuring, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
VF Corporation Announces Board Resignation and Restructuring
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

On March 26, 2025, V.F. Corporation’s Board of Directors accepted the resignation of W. Rodney McMullen following a significant change in his principal occupation, as mandated by the company’s Corporate Governance Principles. Consequently, the Board’s size was reduced to twelve directors, reflecting a strategic adjustment in its governance structure.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.