tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
VF (VFC)
NYSE:VFC
Advertisement

VF (VFC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,239 Followers

Top Page

VFC

VF

(NYSE:VFC)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▼(-1.42%Downside)
The overall stock score of 51 reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and high leverage. While there are some positive signals from the earnings call and corporate events, such as improvements in operating income and strategic brand growth, the valuation remains a significant concern due to negative profitability. Technical analysis shows a neutral trend, indicating no strong momentum to drive the stock upwards. Investors should weigh the risks of financial instability against the strategic initiatives being undertaken.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
VFC expects an increase in free cash flow, which should help fund debt repayment.
Earnings
Gross margins and SG&A were both better than expected, and EPS beat the consensus estimate by a penny.
Financial Performance
Operating margin increased due to better gross margins from Vans initiatives and faster savings from the Reinvent program.
Negative Factors
Brand Performance
The company's poor outlook for the Vans brand continues with no signs of improvement, adding pressure to VF Corp's overall performance.
Debt Management
VFC is facing a struggle between improving its brands for long-term growth and managing net debt of $4.937B.
Revenue
Revenue was down 4.6% and missed consensus by 1.3%, due to a 20% decrease in Vans revenue.

VF (VFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionV.F. Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, procurement, marketing, and distribution of branded lifestyle apparel, footwear, and related products for men, women, and children in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through three segments: Outdoor, Active, and Work. The company offers outdoor, merino wool and other natural fibers-based, lifestyle, and casual apparel; footwear; equipment; accessories; outdoor-inspired, performance-based, youth culture/action sports-inspired, streetwear, and protective work footwear; handbags, luggage, backpacks, and totes; and work and work-inspired lifestyle apparel and footwear. It provides its products under the North Face, Timberland, Smartwool, Icebreaker, Altra, Vans, Supreme, Kipling, Napapijri, Eastpak, JanSport, Dickies, and Timberland PRO brand names. The company sells its products primarily to specialty stores, department stores, national chains, and mass merchants, as well as sells through direct-to-consumer operations, including retail stores, concession retail stores, and e-commerce sites, and other digital platforms. V.F. Corporation was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyVF Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded apparel, footwear, and accessories across diverse channels, including direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales via its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. The company strategically invests in brand development, marketing, and design to maintain its competitive edge and drive consumer demand. Key revenue streams include the performance of its flagship brands, such as The North Face, Vans, and Timberland, which command strong brand loyalty and are positioned in high-growth categories. Additionally, VF Corporation benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and expand market reach. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as global economic conditions, consumer trends, and supply chain efficiencies.

VF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with significant improvements in operating income, gross margins, and debt reduction, but these were counterbalanced by declines in overall revenue, particularly in Vans and challenges in the APAC region. The company is taking deliberate actions to address these issues, but the positive and negative aspects appear balanced.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Operating Income
Operating income increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, exceeding guidance.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin improved by 560 basis points compared to the previous year due to lower material costs, less distressed sales, and higher quality inventory.
Debt Reduction Achievements
Net debt decreased by over 25% year-over-year, achieving a leverage reduction by a full turn.
North Face and Timberland Growth
North Face revenue grew by 4% in Q4, with DTC up 9%. Timberland revenue increased by 13% in Q4, showing strong performance in both wholesale and DTC.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue
Overall revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year, aligning with the guidance of a 2% to 4% decline.
Significant Decline in Vans Revenue
Vans revenue fell by 20% in the fourth quarter, continuing the trend from the previous quarter.
APAC Region Challenges
The turnaround in the APAC region for Vans has been slower, with significant declines in store fronts and channel inventory in China.
Negative DTC Performance
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) sales were down by 3%, primarily due to soft traffic.
Company Guidance
In the VF Corporation's fourth quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported a revenue decline of 3%, aligning with their guidance of a negative 2% to 4%. Despite the downturn, VF Corporation significantly overachieved on operating income, which increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, surpassing expectations. The gross margin improved by 560 basis points due to lower material costs, less distressed sales, and higher quality inventory, while SG&A expenses fell by 2% as a result of structural changes. The company's net debt decreased by over 25% compared to the previous year, and their leverage was reduced by a full turn, aligning with their medium-term goal of achieving a 2.5 times leverage ratio. Vans, a key brand, faced a 20% revenue decline, partly due to strategic actions to manage the marketplace, with 60% of the decline attributed to deliberately reduced revenue. Meanwhile, The North Face and Timberland brands performed well, with revenue increases of 4% and 13%, respectively. The company also addressed potential tariff impacts, emphasizing their asset-light model and strategic supply chain diversification.

VF Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VF Corporation is facing several financial challenges. Declining revenue and negative profitability ratios suggest operational difficulties. The balance sheet reveals high leverage, which could pose risks in a high-interest-rate environment. Cash flow management shows some resilience, but overall financial health is concerning due to inconsistent performance and weakening financial metrics.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has been experiencing declining revenue trends with a noticeable drop in total revenue over recent years. Gross profit margins have remained relatively stable, but net profit margins are negative, indicating overall unprofitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown variability, with recent periods reflecting weak operational performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity has been negative, further reflecting the company's profitability challenges. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial stability from an equity standpoint.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects with operating cash flow mostly positive, although fluctuating, and free cash flow growth rates demonstrating inconsistency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio highlights challenges in converting income into cash, but free cash flow to net income has shown some relative strength.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.50B9.92B11.09B11.84B9.24B
Gross Profit5.08B5.11B5.80B6.46B4.87B
EBITDA578.91M208.53M1.14B1.93B861.21M
Net Income-189.72M-968.88M118.58M1.39B407.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.38B11.61B13.99B13.34B13.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments429.38M676.94M814.89M1.28B1.41B
Total Debt5.37B7.43B8.15B6.80B7.36B
Total Liabilities7.89B9.95B11.08B9.81B10.70B
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.66B2.91B3.53B3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.21M803.60M-917.05M535.97M1.04B
Operating Cash Flow465.24M1.01B-655.79M864.29M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow1.43B-172.26M-188.05M903.74M-2.90B
Financing Cash Flow-2.15B-959.62M463.91M-1.27B1.05B

VF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.68
Price Trends
50DMA
12.59
Positive
100DMA
13.46
Negative
200DMA
17.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
52.86
Neutral
STOCH
82.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VFC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.35, above the 50-day MA of 12.59, and below the 200-day MA of 17.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VFC.

VF Risk Analysis

VF disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VF reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.34B20.8420.93%2.58%2.90%182.72%
76
Outperform
$17.83B25.3629.49%1.15%6.75%19.71%
70
Outperform
$3.51B15.8256.32%3.27%1.19%3.19%
69
Neutral
$3.72B10.928.31%0.20%-3.63%-37.24%
66
Neutral
$3.42B15.9512.34%1.92%-1.69%-4.01%
63
Neutral
$17.10B10.79-8.01%2.94%1.62%-25.73%
51
Neutral
$4.94B-2.39%2.84%-7.52%94.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VFC
VF
12.68
-3.37
-21.00%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
60.44
-14.75
-19.62%
PVH
PVH
76.20
-23.68
-23.71%
RL
Ralph Lauren
295.35
129.71
78.31%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
20.56
3.33
19.33%
KTB
Kontoor Brands
63.09
-4.13
-6.14%

VF Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
VF Corporation Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 22, 2025, V.F. Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where shareholders voted on several key issues. All twelve director nominees were elected, the compensation for VF‘s named executive officers was approved, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2026 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (VFC) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VF stock, see the VFC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
VF Appoints Michael E. Phillips as New CAO
Neutral
May 30, 2025

V.F. Corporation has announced the appointment of Michael E. Phillips as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, effective June 1, 2025. This follows the retirement of Bryan H. McNeill, who has served the company for nearly 30 years. Phillips, who has been with the company since 2010, brings extensive experience in financial reporting and auditing, which is expected to support the company’s financial operations and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (VFC) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VF stock, see the VFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
VF Amends $2.25 Billion Credit Facility Agreement
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, V.F. Corporation amended its $2.25 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility agreement, which expires in November 2026. The amendment involves changes to the definition of ‘Consolidated Net Worth’ and requires the company and certain subsidiaries to provide guarantees and grant liens on certain assets within 120 days, impacting the company’s financial covenant compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (VFC) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VF stock, see the VFC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
VF Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend and Q4 Earnings
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, VF Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $0.09 per share, reflecting its ongoing commitment to shareholder returns. The company reported its Q4 2025 earnings, highlighting a successful execution of its Reinvent transformation program, which led to exceeding operating income guidance and achieving significant cost savings. Despite a decline in Vans® revenue due to strategic adjustments, growth was observed in The North Face® and Timberland®, with the APAC region showing positive performance. VF also reduced its net debt by $1.8 billion, improving its financial leverage and positioning itself for sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (VFC) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VF stock, see the VFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2025