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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR

Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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TPR

Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$154.00
▲(9.84% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/07/26
TPR scores positively on raised guidance and shareholder-return plans from the latest earnings call, supported by strong free-cash-flow generation and a reasonable P/E. The score is held back by elevated leverage (very high debt-to-equity), a notable decline in net margins versus prior years, and only neutral-to-weak near-term technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently strong free cash flow and high cash conversion (FCF ~94% of net income) provide durable funding for capex, store investments, marketing and sizable buybacks. This cushions the business against margin volatility and supports shareholder returns without impairing operations.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Very elevated leverage materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Even after debt declines versus 2024, the thin equity base amplifies volatility and constrains the company's ability to absorb shocks or pursue opportunistic investments without increasing leverage further.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently strong free cash flow and high cash conversion (FCF ~94% of net income) provide durable funding for capex, store investments, marketing and sizable buybacks. This cushions the business against margin volatility and supports shareholder returns without impairing operations.
Read all positive factors

Tapestry (TPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tapestry, Inc. provides luxury accessories and branded lifestyle products in the United States, Japan, Greater China, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. It offers women's accessorie...
How the Company Makes Money
Tapestry makes money primarily by selling branded consumer products across multiple channels and geographies. Its largest revenue stream is direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales, which include purchases made in Tapestry-operated retail stores (full-price...

Tapestry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Brand
Revenue by Brand
Breaks down sales figures for each brand, offering insight into brand performance, consumer preferences, and potential shifts in market demand.
Chart InsightsTapestry's Coach brand is driving growth with a notable revenue increase, supported by strong customer acquisition and expansion in key markets like North America and China. Conversely, Kate Spade is underperforming, facing a strategic reset amid declining revenues and a significant impairment charge. Despite these challenges, Tapestry remains optimistic, projecting revenue growth and increased EPS for fiscal year 2026, while navigating tariff-related cost pressures. The focus on marketing and brand building, particularly for Coach and Kate Spade, is expected to bolster future performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive: management reported a record quarter with robust top- and bottom-line growth, material margin expansion, aggressive customer acquisition (notably Gen Z), raised full-year guidance, and increased shareholder returns. Key risks include a still-challenged Kate Spade (near-term revenue declines and margin pressure from tariffs), tariff-related gross margin headwinds and regional softness in Japan. On balance, the highlights (record growth, margin expansion, raised guidance, strong cash generation and buyback program) materially outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Financial Performance
Q2 pro forma revenue grew 18% year-over-year; adjusted EPS was $2.69, up 34% versus prior year; adjusted operating margin expanded by 390 basis points. Management called this a record quarter and raised full-year guidance.
Negative Updates
Kate Spade Revenue Decline
Kate Spade revenue declined 14% in the quarter; full-year guidance embeds a high single-digit decline with sequential improvement expected in H2 as the brand is being reset and promotional activity pulled back.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Financial Performance
Q2 pro forma revenue grew 18% year-over-year; adjusted EPS was $2.69, up 34% versus prior year; adjusted operating margin expanded by 390 basis points. Management called this a record quarter and raised full-year guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tapestry raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of over $7.75 billion (≈15% pro forma nominal growth, ~14% constant currency with a ~70 bps FX tailwind), with brand/region assumptions of high‑teens growth at Coach, a high single‑digit decline at Kate Spade, North America up low double‑digits, Europe ≈20%, Greater China >25%, Japan down high single digits and other Asia up low double digits; the company now expects operating margin expansion of ~180 bps (gross margin +~20 bps driven by ~180 bps operational improvement and a ~60 bps benefit from the Stuart Weitzman disposition, offsetting nearly 200 bps of tariff headwinds and ~20 bps FX headwind), ~160 bps of SG&A leverage, marketing to rise ~130 bps to near 12% of sales, EPS of $6.40–$6.45 (>25% YoY growth), adjusted free cash flow ~ $1.5 billion (100% to be returned to shareholders via >$300M dividends at a $1.60 annual run‑rate and $1.2B of buybacks), CapEx and cloud spend ~ $200M (≈60% for stores), net interest ~$65M, a ~17% tax rate, and a weighted average diluted share count of ~211M; management also guided to a stronger back half (low double‑digit revenue growth, Coach mid‑teens in H2, Kate Spade improving vs H1) and Q3 EPS of ≈$1.25.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is growing (+4.3% TTM) with very strong gross margin (~76%) and standout free cash flow ($1.68B TTM, +55.7%). Offsetting this, net margin has stepped down to ~7% versus prior double‑digit levels, and the balance sheet remains a key risk with very high debt-to-equity (~7.15x) despite debt reduction versus 2024.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.51B7.01B6.67B6.66B6.68B5.75B
Gross Profit5.71B5.29B4.89B4.71B4.65B4.08B
EBITDA938.80M526.40M1.37B1.39B1.31B1.19B
Net Income522.30M183.20M816.00M936.00M856.30M834.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.53B6.58B13.40B7.12B7.27B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B1.12B7.20B741.50M953.20M2.02B
Total Debt5.18B3.90B8.76B3.29B3.26B3.44B
Total Liabilities5.98B5.72B10.50B4.84B4.98B5.12B
Stockholders Equity551.20M857.80M2.90B2.28B2.29B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.68B1.09B1.15B791.00M759.30M1.21B
Operating Cash Flow1.78B1.22B1.26B975.20M853.20M1.32B
Investing Cash Flow-39.50M914.00M-1.04B5.70M-253.60M-91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.66B-7.18B5.21B-1.04B-1.78B-666.00M

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price140.20
Price Trends
50DMA
144.58
Negative
100DMA
132.32
Positive
200DMA
118.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.21
Positive
RSI
45.59
Neutral
STOCH
40.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 140.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.49, below the 50-day MA of 144.58, and above the 200-day MA of 118.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$28.39B11.9463.26%1.16%8.14%-65.04%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$1.07B-21.0356.42%97.28%
54
Neutral
$280.11M-2.64-61.86%-12.89%45.32%
51
Neutral
$2.19B6.45-244.66%-17.66%-223.06%
51
Neutral
$3.51B12.9416.38%1.46%-0.40%-68.99%
46
Neutral
$1.10B-108.4211.34%14.30%23.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
140.20
73.88
111.40%
FOSL
Fossil Group
4.80
3.74
352.83%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
18.42
2.06
12.59%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
87.72
29.59
50.89%
REAL
RealReal
9.22
3.78
69.49%
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.82
-0.17
-2.13%

Tapestry Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tapestry Adds Pinterest CTO Matt Madrigal to Board
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Tapestry, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from ten to eleven members and appointed Matt Madrigal, Chief Technology Officer of Pinterest, as a director, effective the same day. With his addition, the Board now comprises eleve...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 07, 2026