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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR
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Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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TPR

Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$104.00
▲(2.99% Upside)
Tapestry's overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and strong earnings call highlights, particularly from the Coach brand. However, high leverage, potential overvaluation, and technical weakness weigh down the score. Addressing profitability and leverage issues could enhance the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Brand Performance
Coach delivered strong growth, with +16% in North America and 14% globally, supported by margin delivery and unit growth.
Financial Guidance
Initial full-year EPS guidance is likely to be set slightly above the Street, positioning Tapestry for ongoing beats and raises.
Market Position
Coach's sales have accelerated since 1Q25, highlighting a shift in consumer spending into more affordable price points in handbags.
Negative Factors
Brand Challenges
Kate Spade trends remain soft, the brand is a smaller contributor to profitability, and management has already reset expectations as they work through the turnaround.
Profitability Concerns
Weaker-than-expected FY26 profitability outlook was influenced by tariffs, weaker SG&A flow-through, and choppy trends at Kate Spade.
Valuation
The 66% YTD surge in the stock price leaves the shares close to fair value, leading to a downgrade to Neutral.

Tapestry (TPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTapestry, Inc. (TPR) is a leading New York-based house of modern luxury accessories and lifestyle brands. The company operates in the global fashion and retail sectors and is best known for its portfolio of renowned brands, including Coach, Kate Spade New York, and Stuart Weitzman. These brands offer a diverse range of products, such as handbags, footwear, apparel, and various accessories, catering to a wide demographic of discerning consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyTapestry, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury fashion products under its flagship brands: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. The company operates a multi-channel distribution model that includes retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partnerships. Retail sales are driven through Tapestry's network of directly operated stores and e-commerce websites, providing a high-margin revenue stream. Wholesale distribution through department stores, specialty retailers, and international distributors also contributes significantly to revenue. Additionally, Tapestry benefits from licensing agreements, which allow third parties to produce and sell products under its brand names, providing a steady stream of royalty income. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance brand visibility and market reach, supporting sales growth and brand equity.

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Tapestry reported strong financial performance with record revenue and earnings, particularly driven by the Coach brand. However, challenges remain, particularly with the underperformance of Kate Spade and significant tariff-related cost pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Year for Tapestry
Tapestry delivered $7 billion in revenue with a 20% operating margin and $5.10 in adjusted EPS, growing meaningfully versus the prior year.
Coach Brand Performance
Coach achieved a 10% increase in revenue, with fourth-quarter constant currency top-line gains of 13% and double-digit growth across key markets: North America up 16%, China up 22%, and Europe up 12%.
Strong New Customer Acquisition
Tapestry acquired over 6.8 million new customers in North America during the year, with Coach welcoming over 4.6 million new customers in North America alone.
Operating Margin Expansion
The company delivered a record fourth-quarter gross margin of 76.3%, 140 basis points above the prior year.
Negative Updates
Kate Spade Underperformance
Kate Spade's revenue decreased by 13% during the fourth quarter, and the brand is undergoing a strategic reset for durable growth.
Impact of Tariffs
Tapestry faces a significant $160 million profit headwind from tariffs, representing approximately 230 basis points of margin pressure.
Noncash Impairment Charge
Tapestry recorded a noncash impairment charge of over $850 million related to Kate Spade, influenced by tariffs and incremental investments.
Company Guidance
During the conference call, Tapestry provided a comprehensive overview of its fiscal year 2025 performance and guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a total revenue of $7 billion, with an operating margin of 20% and an adjusted EPS of $5.10, reflecting significant growth from the previous year. Additionally, Tapestry achieved its target of over $5 in earnings and returned more than $3 billion to shareholders, emphasizing its commitment to delivering best-in-class total returns. The company also noted strong customer acquisition, particularly among Gen Z and millennials, with over 6.8 million new customers in North America. For fiscal year 2026, Tapestry expects revenue to approach $7.2 billion, driven by mid-single-digit growth across key regions, and anticipates EPS growth of 4% to 7%, despite $160 million in tariff-related headwinds. The company plans to return over $1 billion to shareholders and make significant investments in marketing and brand building, particularly for its Coach and Kate Spade brands.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tapestry shows stable revenue growth and strong gross profit margins, but faces challenges in profitability and leverage. High debt levels pose a risk, although cash flow generation remains robust. Improvement in operational efficiency and leverage reduction are needed.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tapestry's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 1.92% in the latest year, with a strong gross profit margin of 75.44%. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased to 2.61% from 12.23% the previous year, indicating a decline in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity has decreased to 21.36%, showing reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage suggests a lower proportion of equity in the asset base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 22.61%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.01B7.01B6.67B6.66B6.68B5.75B
Gross Profit5.29B5.29B4.89B4.71B4.65B4.08B
EBITDA526.40M526.40M1.37B1.39B1.30B1.19B
Net Income183.20M183.20M816.00M936.00M856.30M834.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.58B6.58B13.40B7.12B7.27B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12B1.12B7.20B741.50M953.20M2.02B
Total Debt3.58B3.90B8.77B3.29B3.26B3.44B
Total Liabilities5.14B5.72B10.50B4.84B4.98B5.12B
Stockholders Equity1.44B857.80M2.90B2.28B2.29B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.09B1.09B1.15B791.00M759.30M1.21B
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.22B1.26B975.20M853.20M1.32B
Investing Cash Flow912.90M914.00M-1.04B5.70M-253.60M-91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.81B-7.18B5.21B-1.04B-1.78B-666.00M

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price100.98
Price Trends
50DMA
99.51
Positive
100DMA
86.74
Positive
200DMA
78.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.66
Positive
RSI
48.29
Neutral
STOCH
68.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.56, above the 50-day MA of 99.51, and above the 200-day MA of 78.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.61B92.452.04%1.39%-3.98%-93.50%
63
Neutral
$706.00M-8.75%7.08%-42.22%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.56-5.49%3.02%1.43%-14.12%
60
Neutral
$20.96B119.599.76%1.39%5.09%-80.06%
58
Neutral
$871.19M32.94%12.68%62.96%
49
Neutral
$2.55B-142.38%-16.69%-279.61%
41
Neutral
$267.06M-195.94%-22.86%-38.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
100.98
61.37
154.94%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
21.55
-14.33
-39.94%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
93.37
10.41
12.55%
REAL
RealReal
7.63
5.00
190.11%
LUXE
LuxExperience
8.44
4.54
116.41%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.02
0.20
10.99%

Tapestry Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Tapestry Secures New $2 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Tapestry, Inc. announced a new $2 billion unsecured revolving credit facility to replace its existing credit facility from 2022. This new facility, maturing in 2030, is designed to support the company’s working capital needs, capital expenditures, and other corporate purposes. It offers flexibility with borrowing options in multiple currencies and includes provisions for letters of credit and swing line loans. The agreement also outlines various covenants and conditions, including a leverage ratio requirement and events of default, which could impact the company’s financial operations and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025