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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR
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Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(11.59%Upside)
Tapestry's stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a highly positive recent earnings call, highlighting record-breaking results and strategic growth initiatives. However, high leverage and overbought technical signals slightly dampen the outlook. The valuation suggests limited upside, balancing the overall score.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst's recommendation has changed from hold to buy.
Financial Performance
TPR delivered a strong 3Q beat and raised its FY outlook.
Negative Factors
Cost Structure
At least a $90 million tariff impact is expected if unmitigated, affecting cost structure.

Tapestry (TPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTapestry, Inc. provides luxury accessories and branded lifestyle products in the United States, Japan, Greater China, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. It offers women's accessories, including handbags, such as wallets, money pieces, wristlets, and cosmetic cases; novelty accessories comprising address books, time management and travel accessories, sketchbooks, and portfolios; and key rings and charms. The company also provides bag collections, including business cases, computer bags, messenger-style bags, backpacks, and totes; small leather goods, such as wallets, card cases, travel organizers, and belts; and footwear, watches, fragrances, sunglasses, novelty accessories, and ready-to-wear for men. In addition, it offers women's footwear; sunglasses; bracelets, necklaces, rings, and earrings; fragrances and watches; women's seasonal lifestyle apparel collections, including outerwear and ready-to-wear, and cold weather accessories, which comprise gloves, scarves, and hats. Further, the company provides footwear items; and housewares and home accessories for kids, such as fashion bedding and tableware; and stationery and gifts. Additionally, it licenses rights to market and distribute its tech and soft accessories, jewelry, watches, eyewear, and fragrances under the Coach brand; and tableware and housewares, fashion beddings, tech accessories, watches, sleepwear, eyewear, stationery and gifts, and fragrances under the Kate Spade brand. As of July 2, 2022, the company operated through a network of 945 Coach stores, 398 Kate Spade stores, and 100 Stuart Weitzman stores. It sells its products through e-commerce sites and concession shop-in-shops, and wholesale customers, as well as through independent third-party distributors. The company was formerly known as Coach, Inc. and changed its name to Tapestry, Inc. in October 2017. Tapestry, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTapestry, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury fashion products under its flagship brands: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. The company operates a multi-channel distribution model that includes retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partnerships. Retail sales are driven through Tapestry's network of directly operated stores and e-commerce websites, providing a high-margin revenue stream. Wholesale distribution through department stores, specialty retailers, and international distributors also contributes significantly to revenue. Additionally, Tapestry benefits from licensing agreements, which allow third parties to produce and sell products under its brand names, providing a steady stream of royalty income. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance brand visibility and market reach, supporting sales growth and brand equity.

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 37.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record-breaking revenue and earnings, driven by significant growth at Coach and robust global expansion. While there are challenges, particularly with Kate Spade and potential tariff impacts, the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning have led to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenue and Earnings
Tapestry delivered record third quarter earnings per share, which increased 27% compared to the prior year. Total revenue gains were 8% at constant currency, driven by 15% growth at Coach.
Strong Global Growth
International revenue rose 8%, with a 35% increase in Europe and a 5% increase in Greater China. North America revenue increased by 9%.
New Customer Acquisition
In North America, Tapestry acquired over 1.2 million new customers, with two-thirds being Gen Z and Millennials. This demographic transacts at higher average unit retail (AUR) than the rest of the customer base.
Coach Brand Performance
Coach achieved a 15% top line increase, with significant gains in leather goods and handbags, including a nearly 100 basis point increase in margins.
Digital and Omnichannel Growth
Digital grew at a mid-teens rate, representing approximately 30% of revenue. Global brick and mortar sales rose at a mid-single digit rate.
Negative Updates
Kate Spade Revenue Decline
Kate Spade's revenue declined 12% at constant currency. The brand is undergoing a reset which includes reducing promotional activity and focusing on long-term growth.
Japan Sales Decline
Sales in Japan declined 2% due to a challenging market environment.
Potential Tariff Impact
The company is taking actions to mitigate potential impacts from tariffs, with $900 million of cost of goods sold related to imports into the U.S.
Company Guidance
During the Tapestry Conference Call on May 8, 2025, the company provided robust guidance following their record-breaking third quarter results. Tapestry reported an 8% increase in total revenue at constant currency, driven by a 15% growth in the Coach brand and significant geographic gains, including a 35% rise in Europe and a 9% increase in North America. The company acquired 1.2 million new customers in North America, with two-thirds being Gen Z and Millennials. Digital sales grew at a mid-teens rate and represented about 30% of revenue. Tapestry achieved a gross margin of 76.1%, the highest in over 15 years, and an EPS of $1.03, up 27% from the previous year. They raised their fiscal 2025 earnings outlook to approximately $5 per share, maintaining the target despite a complex global landscape. The company emphasized brand building, customer acquisition, and innovative product offerings as key drivers of their success.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tapestry demonstrates strong profitability with consistent revenue growth and high margins. However, the significant leverage position poses a risk, and the decline in free cash flow growth needs attention.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Tapestry's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin of around 73%, and an impressive net profit margin of 12.5% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate of 3.1% from 2024 to TTM indicates moderate growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 17.8% and 19.9% respectively, showcasing efficient cost management and operational strength.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75 TTM, suggesting a high leverage position which could pose risks in volatile markets. However, the company maintains a strong equity ratio of 20.4%, indicating a solid asset base. The return on equity stands at a healthy 57.6% TTM, demonstrating strong profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Tapestry's cash flow statement reveals a stable cash flow generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.19 TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is similarly strong at 1.04 TTM. The free cash flow growth rate of -22.2% from 2024 to TTM shows some decline, possibly due to increased capital expenditures or other investments.
BreakdownJun 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.67B6.66B6.68B5.75B4.96B
Gross Profit4.89B4.71B4.65B4.08B3.24B
EBITDA1.37B1.36B1.37B1.19B-315.80M
Net Income816.00M936.00M856.30M834.20M-652.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.40B7.12B7.27B8.38B7.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.20B741.50M953.20M2.02B1.43B
Total Debt8.77B3.29B3.26B3.44B4.49B
Total Liabilities10.50B4.84B4.98B5.12B5.65B
Stockholders Equity2.90B2.28B2.29B3.26B2.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B791.00M759.30M1.21B201.60M
Operating Cash Flow1.26B975.20M853.20M1.32B407.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.04B5.70M-253.60M-91.00M44.30M
Financing Cash Flow5.21B-1.04B-1.78B-666.00M5.90M

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price102.16
Price Trends
50DMA
84.54
Positive
100DMA
77.92
Positive
200DMA
69.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.35
Negative
RSI
80.05
Negative
STOCH
95.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 102.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.69, above the 50-day MA of 84.54, and above the 200-day MA of 69.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SISIG
75
Outperform
$3.23B87.832.04%1.63%-3.98%-93.50%
TPTPR
74
Outperform
$21.10B26.7340.27%1.39%2.67%1.31%
65
Neutral
€20.42B8.717.83%3.56%0.45%-40.36%
63
Neutral
$634.38M-8.75%7.08%-42.22%
53
Neutral
$2.20B-120.18%-14.08%-411.39%
53
Neutral
$576.79M32.94%11.89%66.22%
45
Neutral
$312.41M-195.94%-22.86%-38.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
102.16
61.41
150.70%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
19.47
-14.70
-43.02%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
80.92
-3.56
-4.21%
REAL
RealReal
5.64
2.01
55.37%
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.75
3.65
89.02%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.40
0.83
52.87%

Tapestry Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Tapestry Secures New $2 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Tapestry, Inc. announced a new $2 billion unsecured revolving credit facility to replace its existing credit facility from 2022. This new facility, maturing in 2030, is designed to support the company’s working capital needs, capital expenditures, and other corporate purposes. It offers flexibility with borrowing options in multiple currencies and includes provisions for letters of credit and swing line loans. The agreement also outlines various covenants and conditions, including a leverage ratio requirement and events of default, which could impact the company’s financial operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPR) stock is a Hold with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tapestry stock, see the TPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2025