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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR
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Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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TPR

Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$103.00
▼(-2.13% Downside)
Tapestry's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings performance and significant valuation concerns. The positive earnings call and growth in the Coach brand are offset by high leverage, declining profitability, and technical indicators pointing to bearish momentum. The high P/E ratio suggests the stock may be overvalued, adding to the risk profile.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth and margin expansion indicate robust demand and effective cost management, supporting long-term profitability.
Global Expansion
Expanding international sales highlight Tapestry's successful global strategy and potential for sustained growth across diverse markets.
Customer Acquisition
Strong customer acquisition, especially among Gen Z, enhances brand loyalty and positions Tapestry for future revenue growth.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Significant leverage could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term stability and investment capacity.
Kate Spade's Performance
Ongoing challenges with Kate Spade's turnaround may hinder overall brand performance and require strategic focus to drive recovery.
Tariff and Duty Headwinds
Tariff-related costs could pressure margins and profitability, posing a challenge to maintaining competitive pricing and market share.

Tapestry (TPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTapestry, Inc. is a leading American luxury fashion holding company that owns and operates a portfolio of prestigious brands, including Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. Established in 2017, Tapestry focuses on providing high-quality, innovative products across various sectors in the fashion industry, including handbags, accessories, footwear, and apparel. The company emphasizes a commitment to craftsmanship, sustainability, and customer experience, targeting affluent consumers in both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyTapestry generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury handbags, accessories, and footwear across its brand portfolio. The company operates through a multi-channel approach, including direct-to-consumer sales through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include full-price sales, promotional sales, and outlet sales. Tapestry also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and drive customer engagement. Additionally, the company focuses on expanding its global presence, particularly in emerging markets, which contributes to its earnings growth.

Tapestry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Brand
Revenue by Brand
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with record-breaking revenue and growth, particularly driven by Coach's exceptional results. There were significant achievements in global customer acquisition and increased shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. However, challenges remain with Kate Spade's ongoing turnaround and external headwinds from tariffs and duties.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Pro forma revenue increased by 16%, adjusted operating margin by 200 basis points, and earnings per share by 35% versus last year, all surpassing expectations.
Coach's Exceptional Performance
Coach delivered a 21% increase in revenue with expanding margins, including double-digit top line growth across key markets: North America up 26%, China up 21%, and Europe growing 39%.
Strong Global Momentum
North America sales grew 18%, Europe revenue increased 32%, and Greater China revenue grew 19%, with strong new customer acquisition and increased local consumer spending.
Increased Dividend and Share Repurchase
Declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.40 per common share and spent $500 million on repurchasing over 4.7 million shares, with a plan to return $1.3 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026.
Successful Customer Acquisition
Acquired over 2.2 million new customers globally in the quarter, with strong Gen Z engagement and high retention rates.
Negative Updates
Kate Spade's Revenue Decline
Kate Spade's revenue trends improved sequentially but still down 9% in the first quarter. The brand is in a turnaround phase with a focus on long-term growth.
Tariff and Duty Headwinds
Tariffs and duties are expected to be a 230 basis point headwind to gross margin, impacting fiscal 2026 by $170 million.
Challenges in Japan
Sales in Japan declined 10% amid a challenging consumer backdrop.
Company Guidance
During Tapestry's Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported a strong start to the fiscal year, with pro forma revenue increasing by 16%, an adjusted operating margin expansion of 200 basis points, and a 35% rise in earnings per share compared to the previous year. The company highlighted its success in acquiring over 2.2 million new customers globally, largely driven by Gen Z, and noted significant growth across its key markets, including a 21% revenue increase for Coach, with North America rising by 26%, China by 21%, and Europe by 39%. Tapestry raised its fiscal 2026 outlook, projecting revenue around $7.3 billion, reflecting 7% to 8% growth, and set expectations for continued operating margin expansion, despite external challenges such as tariffs and duties. The company's strategic focus on direct-to-consumer engagement and fashion innovation was emphasized as key drivers of this performance.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tapestry's financial performance is mixed. While revenue growth and gross profit margins are positive, declining net profit margins and high debt levels pose risks. Cash flow generation remains relatively stable, but negative free cash flow growth is a concern. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and managing its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tapestry's income statement shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.81%. Gross profit margins are strong at 75.44%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have declined to 2.61% in the TTM, reflecting increased expenses or cost pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, suggesting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. Return on equity has decreased to 10.99% in the TTM, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio stands at 6.28%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -1.25% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.78, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.90, suggesting some pressure on free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.21B7.01B6.67B6.66B6.68B5.75B
Gross Profit5.45B5.29B4.89B4.71B4.65B4.08B
EBITDA583.80M526.40M1.37B1.39B1.31B1.19B
Net Income271.40M183.20M816.00M936.00M856.30M834.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.36B6.58B13.40B7.12B7.27B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments743.20M1.12B7.20B741.50M953.20M2.02B
Total Debt4.20B3.90B8.76B3.29B3.26B3.44B
Total Liabilities5.96B5.72B10.50B4.84B4.98B5.12B
Stockholders Equity399.50M857.80M2.90B2.28B2.29B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.08B1.09B1.15B791.00M759.30M1.21B
Operating Cash Flow1.21B1.22B1.26B975.20M853.20M1.32B
Investing Cash Flow793.20M914.00M-1.04B5.70M-253.60M-91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-7.65B-7.18B5.21B-1.04B-1.78B-666.00M

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price105.24
Price Trends
50DMA
110.64
Negative
100DMA
106.97
Negative
200DMA
91.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.33
Negative
RSI
47.51
Neutral
STOCH
64.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 105.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.89, below the 50-day MA of 110.64, and above the 200-day MA of 91.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.23B1.9756.42%97.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$3.88B31.816.82%1.32%-1.63%-72.22%
58
Neutral
$21.54B94.1916.05%1.47%8.14%-65.04%
54
Neutral
$1.58B14.30%23.73%
53
Neutral
$2.85B-165.96%-17.66%-223.06%
51
Neutral
$131.68M-48.62%-12.89%45.32%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
105.24
45.48
76.10%
FOSL
Fossil Group
2.41
1.12
86.82%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
23.89
2.35
10.91%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
94.81
-7.55
-7.38%
REAL
RealReal
13.52
8.19
153.66%
LUXE
LuxExperience
8.93
1.96
28.12%

Tapestry Corporate Events

Tapestry Reports Strong Q1 Earnings, Raises Outlook
Nov 7, 2025

Tapestry, Inc. is a global house of iconic accessories and lifestyle brands, known for its Coach and Kate Spade labels, operating in the fashion and retail industry.

Tapestry’s Earnings Call: Record Growth and Future Outlook
Nov 7, 2025

Tapestry’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance, underscored by record-breaking revenue and growth. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by Coach’s outstanding results, significant global customer acquisition, and enhanced shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. However, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges with Kate Spade’s turnaround and external pressures from tariffs and duties.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tapestry Board Member JP Bilbrey to Step Down
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

John P. (JP) Bilbrey, a member of the Board of Directors of Tapestry, Inc., announced on September 16, 2025, that he will not seek re-election at the company’s annual meeting of stockholders on November 13, 2025. His decision is not due to any disagreement with the company, and he will continue to serve on the board until the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPR) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tapestry stock, see the TPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Tapestry Announces $3 Billion Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Tapestry, Inc. announced a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing the existing program from November 2021. The company also introduced its ‘Amplify’ growth strategy during its Investor Day, aiming for mid-single-digit revenue growth and significant shareholder returns through 2028. Tapestry plans to return $4 billion to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends, supported by robust free cash flow, and targets operational improvements, including expanding operating margins and achieving double-digit earnings growth by fiscal 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPR) stock is a Hold with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tapestry stock, see the TPR Stock Forecast page.

Tapestry’s Earnings Call: Record Revenue Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Tapestry’s latest earnings call revealed a strong financial performance, marked by record revenue and earnings, largely driven by the success of the Coach brand. However, the company faces challenges, including the underperformance of Kate Spade and significant cost pressures from tariffs.

Tapestry Reports Record Revenue and Growth in Fiscal 2025
Aug 15, 2025

Tapestry, Inc. is a global house of iconic accessories and lifestyle brands, including Coach and Kate Spade, known for their commitment to innovation and authenticity in the fashion industry. The company recently reported its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and full year results, highlighting record revenues and significant growth in its Coach brand. Tapestry achieved a record fourth quarter revenue of $1.7 billion, an 8% increase from the previous year, and a record annual revenue of $7.0 billion, driven by a 10% growth in the Coach brand. The company also expanded its gross margin by 210 basis points and returned $2.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Looking forward, Tapestry anticipates continued revenue and earnings growth in fiscal 2026, despite potential impacts from tariff and trade policies, positioning itself for long-term growth and increased shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025