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Capri Holdings (CPRI)
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Capri Holdings (CPRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Capri Holdings

(NYSE:CPRI)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(7.64%Upside)
Capri Holdings faces significant financial challenges that weigh heavily on its overall score. However, the sale of Versace and positive technical indicators provide some optimism. Strategic initiatives and successful execution of growth plans are critical for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Brand Perception
Customers are responding positively to Michael Kors' return to its 'jetset heritage' and a broader range of price points, indicating a positive shift in brand perception and purchase intent.
Capital Structure
The sale of Versace to Prada for $1.375B is a game changer for Capri Holdings' capital structure, reducing debt and improving financial flexibility.
Valuation
In a Bull Case scenario, the valuation is compelling with the stock trading at an attractive ~4.0x EBITDA, highlighting strong risk/reward potential.
Negative Factors
Cost Structure
Cost cutting benefits have been overshadowed by sales declines, resulting in a negative impact on operating margins.
Revenue Guidance
Management's outlined expectations for Michael Kors revenues are down 7.2% YOY at the midpoint, and Jimmy Choo revenues are down 9.9% YOY at the midpoint.
Tariff Impact
Tariff pressures are expected to increase the cost of goods sold by $60 million.

Capri Holdings (CPRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capri Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapri Holdings Limited is a multinational fashion holding company, known for its luxury and high-end fashion brands. The company operates through three primary segments: Versace, Jimmy Choo, and Michael Kors. Each brand is recognized globally for its distinctive style and high-quality products, including apparel, footwear, and accessories. Capri Holdings is dedicated to delivering luxury fashion experiences and has a strong presence in retail markets worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapri Holdings makes money primarily through the sale of luxury fashion items under its key brands: Versace, Jimmy Choo, and Michael Kors. Revenue is generated from both direct-to-consumer sales through branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as from wholesale operations where products are sold to third-party retailers. The company also earns from licensing agreements, allowing certain products to be produced and distributed by other companies under its brand names. Significant partnerships with luxury retailers and a focus on expanding into emerging markets contribute to Capri Holdings' earnings.

Capri Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, with significant strides being made in brand engagement and strategic initiatives at Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo. However, these positive aspects were offset by substantial revenue declines, a current net loss, and challenges related to tariffs and the Asian market.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sale of Versace to Prada Group
Capri Holdings announced the pending sale of Versace to Prada Group, which will help reduce debt levels and potentially reinstate a share repurchase program. This transaction is expected to strengthen the company's financial foundation and refocus resources on Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo.
Positive Trends at Michael Kors
Despite a 16% revenue decline, Michael Kors showed signs of improvement with a 10% year-over-year increase in its global consumer database and a sequential improvement in March that continued into the first quarter. New storytelling and product initiatives are beginning to resonate with consumers.
Growth in Jimmy Choo Accessories
Jimmy Choo saw strong performance in new accessory styles, including its fastest-selling day bag in five years. The brand's global consumer database increased by 11% year-over-year.
Improvement in Full-Price Sales
Michael Kors experienced strong full-price sell-throughs in new accessories groups, with positive responses from consumers. The brand saw an increase in average unit retail (AUR) in full-price retail stores.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Capri Holdings reported a 15% decrease in overall revenue, with Michael Kors down 16% and Jimmy Choo down 3%. The decline was attributed to softening demand for luxury goods and store closures.
Net Loss and Operating Loss
The company reported a net loss of $581 million and an operating loss of $33 million. The net loss was primarily due to a non-cash tax valuation allowance.
Challenges in Asia
Revenue in Asia decreased significantly, with a 31% decline for Michael Kors and a 16% decline for Jimmy Choo.
Tariff Impact
The company expects tariffs to increase the cost of goods sold by approximately $60 million in fiscal 2026, affecting gross margins.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Capri Holdings Limited, the company provided guidance focusing on strategic initiatives for fiscal 2026 and beyond, following the pending sale of Versace. The guidance excluded Versace's impact, as it will be classified as a discontinued operation. Capri Holdings anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue to be between $3.3 and $3.4 billion, with Michael Kors generating $2.75 to $2.85 billion and Jimmy Choo $540 to $550 million. They expect gross margins of 61% to 61.5%, operating income around $100 million, and diluted earnings per share between $1.20 and $1.40. The company plans to reduce debt significantly using proceeds from the Versace sale, aiming for minimal net debt. Strategic efforts include expanding Michael Kors' brand desirability and product offerings, increasing Jimmy Choo's accessory sales, and improving store productivity. Despite a challenging macro environment, Capri Holdings is optimistic about growth prospects for fiscal 2027 and 2028, targeting Michael Kors revenue of $4 billion and Jimmy Choo $800 million, with double-digit operating margins.

Capri Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capri Holdings is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. Despite a strong cash flow position, the company's financial health is under pressure, necessitating strategic cost management and revenue growth initiatives.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Capri Holdings has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the past years, with a notable revenue decrease of 14.06% from the previous year. The company is currently facing profitability challenges, as evidenced by a negative EBIT margin and a net profit margin of -26.61%. Additionally, the gross profit margin has decreased to 63.61%, indicating pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.43, indicating substantial leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio has decreased to 7.06%, reflecting a diminished equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is currently negative, further emphasizing profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Capri Holdings has managed to maintain a positive free cash flow, with a growth rate of 27.5%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.38, demonstrating robust cash generation relative to earnings. However, cash flow remains under pressure due to ongoing losses.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.44B5.17B5.62B5.65B4.06B
Gross Profit2.83B3.34B3.72B3.74B2.60B
EBITDA245.00M575.00M1.00B1.19B258.00M
Net Income-1.18B-229.00M616.00M822.00M-63.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.21B6.69B7.29B7.48B7.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.00M199.00M249.00M169.00M232.00M
Total Debt3.10B3.58B3.60B3.04B3.45B
Total Liabilities4.84B5.09B5.45B4.92B5.32B
Stockholders Equity368.00M1.60B1.85B2.56B2.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.00M120.00M545.00M573.00M513.00M
Operating Cash Flow281.00M309.00M771.00M704.00M624.00M
Investing Cash Flow-53.00M-135.00M183.00M58.00M-124.00M
Financing Cash Flow-242.00M-208.00M-776.00M-800.00M-870.00M

Capri Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.58
Price Trends
50DMA
17.70
Positive
100DMA
17.93
Positive
200DMA
22.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
55.13
Neutral
STOCH
46.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPRI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.05, above the 50-day MA of 17.70, and below the 200-day MA of 22.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPRI.

Capri Holdings Risk Analysis

Capri Holdings disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capri Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capri Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SISIG
75
Outperform
$3.23B87.832.04%1.63%-3.98%-93.50%
TPTPR
74
Outperform
$21.10B26.7340.27%1.38%2.67%1.31%
67
Neutral
¥252.71B13.206.45%2.71%5.22%-11.89%
MOMOV
63
Neutral
$255.14M20.003.67%8.66%-1.36%-54.97%
63
Neutral
$634.38M-8.75%7.08%-42.22%
53
Neutral
$2.20B-120.18%-14.08%-411.39%
45
Neutral
$312.41M-195.94%-22.86%-38.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPRI
Capri Holdings
19.47
-14.70
-43.02%
TPR
Tapestry
102.16
61.41
150.70%
MOV
Movado Group
16.36
-7.27
-30.77%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
80.92
-3.56
-4.21%
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.75
3.65
89.02%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.40
0.83
52.87%

Capri Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capri Holdings Sells Versace to Prada for $1.375B
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Capri Holdings announced a definitive agreement to sell its Versace business to Prada S.p.A. for $1.375 billion in cash. The transaction, expected to close in the second half of 2025, aims to strengthen Capri’s balance sheet and enable strategic investments in its other brands, Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo. This move is part of Capri’s strategy to increase shareholder value and focus on long-term growth for its remaining brands.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025