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Capri Holdings (CPRI)
:CPRI

Capri Holdings (CPRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Capri Holdings

(NYSE:CPRI)

49Neutral
Capri Holdings faces significant financial and operational challenges, with declining revenue and profitability. Technical indicators point to bearish momentum, while the valuation remains unattractive. Recent strategic moves, such as the sale of Versace and securing a credit facility, provide some positive outlook, but the near-term risks weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The $1.375 billion sale price of Versace could immediately remove almost all leverage from Capri Holdings' balance sheet.
Potential Upside
If Capri Holdings can return to its historical EBITDA multiple, this implies a fair value of $25 per share, indicating potential upside for investors.
Shareholder Value
Capri Holdings plans to use proceeds from the Versace sale for a mix of debt paydown and possible share repurchase, which can strengthen its financial position.
Negative Factors
Business Challenges
Versace's revenues have fallen significantly, with EBITDA barely breaking even, indicating a decline in performance.
Sales and Margin Pressures
Strategic wholesale reduction creates a near-term headwind to both sales and margin.
Uncertainty
Conclusions about the impact on Capri Holdings' shares are uncertain as there's a possibility the deal may not be finalized.

Capri Holdings (CPRI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Capri Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapri Holdings Limited designs, markets, distributes, and retails branded women's and men's apparel, footwear, and accessories in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It operates through three segments: Versace, Jimmy Choo, and Michael Kors. The company offers ready-to-wear, accessories, footwear, handbags, scarves and belts, small leather goods, eyewear, watches, jewelry, fragrances, and home furnishings through a distribution network, including boutiques, department, and specialty stores, as well as through e-commerce sites. It also licenses Versace brand name and trademarks to third parties to retail and/or wholesale its products; and has licensing agreements to the manufacture and sale of jeans, fragrances, watches, eyewear, and home furnishings. The company was formerly known as Michael Kors Holdings Limited and changed its name to Capri Holdings Limited in December 2018. Capri Holdings Limited was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapri Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of luxury goods under its three flagship brands: Versace, Jimmy Choo, and Michael Kors. The company operates through retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partnerships. Revenue streams include direct sales to consumers via branded retail stores and online channels, as well as wholesale distribution to high-end department stores and specialty retailers. Additionally, Capri Holdings benefits from licensing agreements and collaborations that expand its product offerings and brand reach. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by brand strength, global market presence, and strategic marketing initiatives aimed at enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement.

Capri Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capri Holdings faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability impacting both the income statement and cash flow metrics. Despite maintaining positive cash flow, the company's high leverage and negative profitability metrics raise concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Capri Holdings has experienced a notable decline in both revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) figures show a gross profit margin of 62.8% and a significant negative net profit margin of -21.8%, indicating high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with recent periods showing declines, which raises concerns about the company's ability to sustain growth in a competitive retail environment.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.92 in the TTM, indicating potential financial risk if earnings do not improve. The equity ratio stands at 18.1%, suggesting a relatively low proportion of equity in asset financing. Return on equity is negative at -94.5% in the TTM, highlighting profitability challenges. Despite these concerns, the company's asset base provides some stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Capri Holdings maintains a positive operating cash flow, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.48 in the TTM, indicating efficient cash generation despite net losses. The free cash flow growth rate shows improvement, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.33, reflecting robust cash flow management. However, the negative ratios highlight ongoing profitability issues impacting cash flow generation.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.63B5.17B5.62B5.65B4.06B5.55B
Gross Profit
2.86B3.34B3.72B3.74B2.60B3.27B
EBIT
-603.00M-241.00M510.00M718.00M19.00M-192.00M
EBITDA
-403.00M575.00M1.00B1.19B258.00M52.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.01B-229.00M616.00M822.00M-63.00M-225.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
356.00M199.00M249.00M169.00M232.00M592.00M
Total Assets
5.91B6.69B7.29B7.48B7.48B7.95B
Total Debt
3.12B3.58B3.60B3.04B3.45B4.37B
Net Debt
2.76B3.38B3.35B2.87B3.21B3.77B
Total Liabilities
4.83B5.09B5.45B4.92B5.32B5.78B
Stockholders Equity
1.07B1.60B1.85B2.56B2.16B2.17B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
334.84M120.00M545.00M573.00M513.00M636.00M
Operating Cash Flow
485.68M309.00M771.00M704.00M624.00M859.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-63.82M-135.00M183.00M58.00M-124.00M62.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-303.90M-208.00M-776.00M-800.00M-870.00M-497.00M

Capri Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.88
Price Trends
50DMA
17.65
Negative
100DMA
20.07
Negative
200DMA
25.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
57.41
Neutral
STOCH
91.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPRI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.86, below the 50-day MA of 17.65, and below the 200-day MA of 25.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPRI.

Capri Holdings Risk Analysis

Capri Holdings disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capri Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capri Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TPTPR
78
Outperform
$15.18B21.2740.27%1.79%2.67%1.31%
SISIG
61
Neutral
$2.61B5.562.62%1.85%-6.52%-104.24%
61
Neutral
$6.68B11.753.01%3.94%2.61%-21.96%
MOMOV
60
Neutral
$221.69M17.513.95%9.20%-8.69%-57.84%
56
Neutral
$659.96M-8.28%12.01%-23.53%
49
Neutral
$1.99B-67.22%-12.34%-574.65%
44
Neutral
$345.25M-195.94%-22.86%-38.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPRI
Capri Holdings
16.88
-18.88
-52.80%
TPR
Tapestry
78.01
37.74
93.72%
MOV
Movado Group
15.22
-9.54
-38.53%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
64.37
-33.41
-34.17%
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.74
2.90
59.92%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.47
0.92
59.35%

Capri Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -29.75%|
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected significant challenges faced by Capri Holdings, including substantial revenue declines across brands and geographies, coupled with reduced operating margins. However, there are positive developments in consumer engagement, strategic pricing adjustments, and growth in specific segments like eyewear and fragrance. The company's focus on data-driven strategies and marketing efforts offers potential for recovery, but the current sentiment remains cautious given the near-term challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Versace VIC Consumer Growth
Versace's VIC consumers grew at a double-digit rate, responding positively to sophisticated offerings and indicating successful engagement with high-value customers.
Eyewear and Fragrance Success
Both Versace and Michael Kors experienced growth in their eyewear and fragrance segments, with Michael Kors' latest fragrance launch exceeding expectations.
Data-Driven Strategy Adjustments
The company is implementing data-driven strategy adjustments, especially in pricing and product offerings, to better align with consumer expectations and improve full-price sell-throughs.
Marketing and Brand Awareness Initiatives
All three brands have shown significant increases in their global consumer databases, reflecting successful brand awareness and consumer engagement efforts.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total company revenue decreased by 12% year-over-year, with significant declines in the wholesale and retail channels.
Brand-Specific Revenue Challenges
Versace revenue declined 15%, Jimmy Choo by 4%, and Michael Kors by 12% compared to the previous year, largely due to decreased demand for luxury goods.
Geographical Revenue Declines
Revenue decreased by 11% in the Americas, 9% in EMEA, and a significant 20% in Asia, reflecting global challenges in the luxury fashion market.
Operating Margin Decrease
Operating margins declined across all brands, with Versace at -10.9%, Jimmy Choo at -3.8%, and Michael Kors down to 16.2%, due to expense deleverage on lower revenue.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Warning
The company anticipates a 20% revenue decline in the fourth quarter, with continued challenges in the wholesale channel and foreign currency headwinds.
Company Guidance
During the Capri Holdings Limited third quarter fiscal 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance indicating a challenging near-term outlook with expectations of a 20% revenue decline in the fourth quarter, amounting to approximately $975 million. This includes a $25 million foreign currency headwind and a $15 million impact from store closures. Retail sales are forecasted to decline in the mid-teens, while wholesale revenue is anticipated to drop by about 30%, marking the most significant decline before moderating as stabilization efforts take effect. By brand, Versace is expected to generate $200 million in revenue, impacted negatively by $7 million due to currency fluctuations; Jimmy Choo is forecasted at $125 million, with a $5 million currency impact; and Michael Kors is projected to achieve $650 million, with a $13 million currency impact. The company forecasts a flat gross margin compared to the prior year for the fourth quarter and an operating loss of $25 million. For fiscal 2026, Capri Holdings anticipates revenue stabilization and modest gross margin expansion, with a forecast of $4.1 billion in total company revenue, factoring in a $100 million negative impact from foreign exchange rates and a $60 million impact from planned store closures. Versace is projected to achieve $800 million in revenue, Jimmy Choo $550 million, and Michael Kors $2.75 billion, each affected by foreign currency. The company plans to execute new cost reduction initiatives, aiming to reduce expenses by $200 million, resulting in an operating income forecast of $150 million for fiscal 2026. Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, Capri Holdings expects to return to revenue growth and continued operating margin expansion.

Capri Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capri Holdings Sells Versace to Prada for $1.375B
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Capri Holdings announced a definitive agreement to sell its Versace business to Prada S.p.A. for $1.375 billion in cash. The transaction, expected to close in the second half of 2025, aims to strengthen Capri’s balance sheet and enable strategic investments in its other brands, Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo. This move is part of Capri’s strategy to increase shareholder value and focus on long-term growth for its remaining brands.

Spark’s Take on CPRI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CPRI is a Neutral.

Capri Holdings faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its declining revenue and profitability. While the company is implementing strategic initiatives and enhancing financial flexibility, the current bearish technical indicators and negative valuation metrics suggest a cautious outlook. The company’s efforts to stabilize and eventually return to growth are positive but are overshadowed by near-term risks.

To see Spark’s full report on CPRI stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capri Holdings CFO Thomas Edwards Announces Resignation
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Thomas J. Edwards, Jr., the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Operating Officer of Capri Holdings, announced his resignation effective June 20, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. Rajal Mehta, who has been with the company for 16 years and is currently the Chief Financial Officer of the Michael Kors brand, will serve as Interim CFO. This transition is expected to maintain continuity and stability within Capri Holdings’ financial operations, as the company continues to focus on its growth strategies.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capri Holdings Announce New Long-Term Financial Targets
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Capri Holdings Limited held its Investor Day in New York City, where it announced new long-term financial targets. The company expressed optimism about the growth potential of its brands, Versace, Jimmy Choo, and Michael Kors, as it pursues strategic initiatives. Capri Holdings highlighted that its powerful brands have enduring value and resilience, which it expects to drive revenue and earnings growth over time. The guidance provided is based on adjusted, non-GAAP measures and is subject to external factors such as global economic conditions and currency fluctuations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capri Holdings Secures $2.2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

On February 4, 2025, Capri Holdings Limited finalized an amended and restated credit agreement, establishing a $2.2 billion senior secured credit facility with JPMorgan Chase Bank among others. The facility includes a $700 million term loan and a $1.5 billion revolving credit line, maturing in July 2027, and aims to support the company’s operations through repaying existing debts and financing general corporate needs. This strategic financial restructuring enhances Capri Holdings’ liquidity and financial flexibility, potentially strengthening its position in the market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.