LuxExperience (LUXE)
NYSE:LUXE
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LuxExperience
(NYSE:LUXE)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(7.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong reported profitability/growth and a reasonable balance sheet, tempered heavily by weak cash generation. The earnings call indicates improving operational momentum and slightly better guidance, but profitability remains near breakeven with meaningful transformation cash outflows. Technicals are bearish (below key moving averages, negative MACD), and valuation signals are constrained by a negative P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin strength
Sustained TTM revenue growth and high gross and operating margins indicate durable pricing power and premium product desirability in the luxury segment. This margin base supports reinvestment in customer experience and inventory, underpinning profitability resilience over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Negative operating and free cash flows despite reported profits signal cash-conversion issues from working-capital or investment intensity. This structural cash shortfall can force reliance on reserves or slow reinvestment, posing a persistent risk across the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin strength
Sustained TTM revenue growth and high gross and operating margins indicate durable pricing power and premium product desirability in the luxury segment. This margin base supports reinvestment in customer experience and inventory, underpinning profitability resilience over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
LuxExperience (LUXE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.15B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)259.74K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.67
Revenue Growth97.28%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees4,262
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLuxury Goods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding137,261,610
10 Day Avg. Volume226,887
30 Day Avg. Volume259,736
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.54
P/FCF Ratio-19.50
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.87
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.06
Enterprise Value/Ebitda1.81
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$10.52Price Target Upside32.66% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.54
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.49B
LuxExperience Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
LuxExperience B.V., through its subsidiary, operates an online shopping platform in Germany, the United States, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers womenswear, menswear, kidswear, fine jewelry, watches, and lifestyle products u...
LuxExperience Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed clear and measurable progress in the company's transformation: Mytheresa delivered strong top-line growth, margin expansion and customer engagement; NET‑A‑PORTER/MR PORTER and YOOX both showed meaningful sequential improvements in key KPIs (AOV, NPS, SG&A reduction and EBITDA trajectory). Group-level metrics improved with net sales growth on a constant currency basis, a positive adjusted EBITDA in Q2 (+2%) and a strong operating cash inflow in the quarter. However, material work remains: YOOX and the luxury segment are not fully restored to sustained profitability, shipping duties and seasonality are headwinds, and the multi-year transformation requires substantial ongoing cash outflows. On balance, the highlights—notably Mytheresa's outperformance, group return to adjusted EBITDA positivity, tightened guidance and visible cost actions—outweigh the remaining lowlights, indicating momentum is building and the company is on track with its plan.Positive Updates
Mytheresa: Strong Top-Line and Margin Expansion
Mytheresa net sales +8.8% YoY in Q2; U.S. net sales +22.9% (U.S. now 23.3% of total). Average order value (LTM) +12% to EUR 824. Gross profit margin expanded +140 bps to 52.3%. Top customer base +13.5% and average spend per top customer (GMV) +12.5%. Adjusted EBITDA margin rose 200 bps to 9.3% with adjusted EBITDA of EUR 22.6m. Inventory down -2.5% YoY.
Negative Updates
YOOX: Continued Top‑Line Declines and Negative Profitability
Despite sequential improvement, YOOX GMV declined -12.1% YoY in Q2 and net sales declined -7.5% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA remains negative at -6.0% (improved from -18.1% in Q1), indicating the off‑price business still requires material work to return to profitability.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Mytheresa: Strong Top-Line and Margin Expansion
Mytheresa net sales +8.8% YoY in Q2; U.S. net sales +22.9% (U.S. now 23.3% of total). Average order value (LTM) +12% to EUR 824. Gross profit margin expanded +140 bps to 52.3%. Top customer base +13.5% and average spend per top customer (GMV) +12.5%. Adjusted EBITDA margin rose 200 bps to 9.3% with adjusted EBITDA of EUR 22.6m. Inventory down -2.5% YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: for full‑year fiscal 2026 LuxExperience narrowed guidance to GMV and net sales of EUR 2.5–2.7 billion (was EUR 2.4–2.7bn) and an adjusted EBITDA margin of -1% to +1% (was -2% to +1%); Q3 is expected to be softer than Q4; Mytheresa is expected to deliver high‑single‑digit growth in H2 and for the full year with an H2 adjusted EBITDA around the H1 level (~6.5%); NET‑A‑PORTER/MR PORTER are expected to show positive growth late in the year but a low single‑digit GMV decline for FY26 overall; YOOX is guided to low‑teens top‑line decline in FY26 but to return to adjusted EBITDA profitability in 12–15 months and to top‑line growth in FY27. Additional financial guidance/targets: group Q2 adjusted EBITDA was +2%, H1 GMV €1,274m and net sales €1,202m, Q2 operating cash flow +€118.5m, H1 operating cash burn -€30m, full‑year operating cash burn expected well below €150m with Q3 cash outflow from layoff payments, break‑even on operating cash in ~2 years, total transformation cash outflow €350–450m (fully funded), and medium‑term targets unchanged of €4.0 billion net sales with a 7–9% adjusted EBITDA margin (medium term = FY29/30); cash and cash investments stood at €543.6m (total available funds €724.2m) and THE OUTNET sale is expected to close this quarter (already classified as discontinued).LuxExperience Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.04B | 1.25B | 840.85M | 766.00M | 687.78M | 612.10M |
| Gross Profit | 941.92M | 600.00M | 384.53M | 379.98M | 353.02M | 287.04M |
| EBITDA | 552.15M | 646.40M | -3.98M | 3.33M | 11.95M | -1.51M |
| Net Income | 474.64M | 552.30M | -24.91M | -17.02M | -9.32M | -32.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.22B | 2.27B | 696.51M | 693.97M | 614.78M | 521.94M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 44.39M | 603.60M | 15.11M | 30.14M | 113.51M | 76.76M |
| Total Debt | 338.83M | 218.80M | 49.77M | 57.67M | 22.01M | 14.15M |
| Total Liabilities | 953.76M | 923.30M | 260.87M | 250.54M | 183.11M | 136.22M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.27B | 1.35B | 435.64M | 443.43M | 431.67M | 385.72M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -38.46M | -34.50M | -1.79M | -77.81M | 42.88M | -19.56M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -30.70M | -30.60M | 10.02M | -55.05M | 54.80M | -16.62M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 491.80M | 618.70M | -11.81M | -22.76M | -11.92M | -2.89M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -52.72M | 100.00K | -13.28M | -5.44M | -6.05M | 86.93M |
LuxExperience Technical Analysis
Negative
7.93
Price Trends
8.68
Negative
8.86
Negative
8.61
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.31
Positive
37.69
Neutral
19.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUXE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.74, below the 50-day MA of 8.68, and below the 200-day MA of 8.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUXE.
LuxExperience Risk Analysis
LuxExperience disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LuxExperience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We qualify as a foreign private issuer and, as a result, we are not subject to U.S. proxy rules and are subject to Exchange Act reporting obligations that, to some extent, are more lenient and less frequent than those of a U.S. domestic public company. Q2, 2023
2.
We may lose our foreign private issuer status in the future, which could result in significant additional costs and expenses. Q2, 2023
LuxExperience Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $379.31M | 19.42 | 5.37% | 6.79% | 0.63% | -7.37% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | $1.15B | -21.03 | 56.42% | ― | 97.28% | ― | |
54 Neutral | $239.26M | -2.64 | -48.62% | ― | -12.89% | 45.32% | |
46 Neutral | $1.09B | -108.42 | 11.34% | ― | 14.30% | 23.73% | |
44 Neutral | $131.44M | 2.00 | -15.32% | 14.29% | 1.32% | -175.81% | |
42 Neutral | $176.59M | -1.49 | 404.88% | ― | -23.54% | -49.41% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
LUXE
LuxExperience
8.40
0.65
8.39%
FOSL
Fossil Group
4.10
2.92
247.46%
MOV
Movado Group
24.28
8.02
49.32%
REAL
RealReal
9.15
3.06
50.25%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
1.51
-0.64
-29.77%
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group
1.30
-0.14
-9.72%
LuxExperience Corporate Events
LuxExperience Issues Revised Q2 2026 Earnings and Interim Report as Segment Mix Shifts
Feb 11, 2026
On February 11, 2026, LuxExperience B.V. furnished its interim report for the three and six months ended December 31, 2025, alongside a revised earnings press release for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. The revision corrects certain line items ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.