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LuxExperience (LUXE)
NYSE:LUXE
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LuxExperience
(NYSE:LUXE)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(17.92% Upside)
Positive Factors
Brand Partnerships
The company continues to bring major brands to the platform, including Bvlgari, and reported GMV growth of +35% among top customers in the U.S., outperforming the total company's +9%.
Strategic Acquisitions
Analyst recommends upgrading shares to Buy due to conviction in sales and margins at the Mytheresa platform and the transformative opportunity given the pending YNAP acquisition.
Technology and Profitability
The future looks bright given opportunity to increase profitability and leverage Mytheresa's proprietary technology.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
Current market cap of $860mm is modest relative to PF sales of ~€1.2bn.
Sales Expectations
Management recently moderated sales expectations to the low end of guidance of +7-13% for the legacy Mytheresa business given US uncertainty.
Sales Guidance
Management recently moderated sales expectations to the low end of guidance of +7-13% for the legacy Mytheresa business given US uncertainty.
LuxExperience (LUXE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$723.06M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)146.10K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.64
Revenue Growth7.08%
EPS Growth-42.22%
CountryUS
Employees1,817
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength80
IndustryLuxury Goods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding85,265,960
10 Day Avg. Volume110,371
30 Day Avg. Volume146,096
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.23
Price to Book (P/B)0.94
Price to Sales (P/S)0.49
P/FCF Ratio-228.57
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.00
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.81
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.74
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-33.37
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$12.00Price Target Upside41.51% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
LuxExperience Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionLuxExperience B.V., through its subsidiary, operates an online shopping platform in Germany, the United States, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers womenswear, menswear, kidswear, fine jewelry, watches, and lifestyle products under the Mytheresa, NET-A-PORTER, MR PORTER, YOOX, and the OUTNET brand name. The company was formerly known as MYT Netherlands Parent B.V. and changed its name to LuxExperience B.V. in May 2025. LuxExperience B.V. was founded in 1987 and is based in Munich, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyLuxExperience makes money through a combination of service fees, membership subscriptions, and commissions. The company's primary revenue stream is the service fee charged for creating custom travel itineraries and arranging exclusive experiences, which can include luxury accommodations, private tours, and high-end dining experiences. Additionally, LUXE offers a membership program that provides clients with ongoing access to its services and exclusive benefits for a recurring fee. The company also earns commissions through partnerships with luxury hotels, airlines, and event organizers, where it receives a percentage of the booking fees for directing high-value clients to these partners. These key revenue streams, combined with strategic collaborations with high-end service providers, contribute to LUXE's overall earnings.
LuxExperience Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: -4.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue and profitability, driven by successful customer engagement and strategic brand partnerships. However, challenges in Greater China and increased marketing costs were noted. The expected acquisition of YNAP is seen as a positive strategic move to strengthen market position.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Mytheresa reported a strong net sales growth of 13.4% in Q2 of fiscal year 2025 compared to Q2 of fiscal year 2024, with the U.S. market showing a significant 17.6% increase in net sales.
Improved Profit Margins
The gross profit margin improved by 110 basis points to 50.9% in Q2 fiscal 2025, and the adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 350 basis points to 7.3%.
Successful Customer Engagement
Top customer GMV grew by 9.1%, with a notable increase in average spend per top customer by 13.6%. The average order value increased by 9.5% to €736.
Exclusive Brand Partnerships
Collaborations with luxury brands like Moncler, Victoria Beckham, and Bvlgari were highlighted, reinforcing Mytheresa's focus on high-end luxury.
Expected Acquisition of YNAP
The acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER is expected to create significant synergies and form a leading global digital luxury group.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Greater China
Results in China and Asia were impacted by ongoing macroeconomic headwinds, leading to dampened demand.
Increased Marketing Costs
The marketing cost ratio increased by 160 basis points to 12.3% in Q2 fiscal 2025, reflecting a return to normal marketing spend levels to capture market share.
Company Guidance
During the Mytheresa Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial metrics, reflecting strong business momentum and growth. Compared to the same quarter last fiscal year, Mytheresa achieved 11.9% growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and a 13.4% increase in net sales, with the United States market showing significant growth at 17.6%. The average order value over the last 12 months rose by 9.5% to €736. The company also reported an improved gross profit margin of 50.9%, up by 110 basis points, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.3%, marking an increase of 350 basis points. Despite the macroeconomic challenges in China, Mytheresa maintained stable inventory levels and saw a 9.1% growth in GMV from top customers, driven by a 13.6% increase in average spend per top customer. Looking forward, the company remains optimistic about closing the acquisition of YNAP in the first half of calendar year 2025, which is expected to enhance its market position and synergies.LuxExperience Financial Statement Overview
Summary
LuxExperience demonstrates potential with revenue growth, but persistent negative profitability and fluctuating cash flows highlight significant operational and financial challenges. The healthy balance sheet offers some stability, yet increasing debt-to-equity ratio and negative P/E ratio indicate financial risks.Income Statement
LuxExperience's revenue shows growth over recent years, but profitability metrics such as EBIT and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. The company needs to improve cost management to achieve positive profitability.35
Negative
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a healthy equity ratio, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increasing debt-to-equity ratio over time could pose long-term financial risks if not managed properly.60
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow from operations has shown improvement, moving from negative to positive, which is a positive sign. However, the free cash flow remains volatile, indicating potential liquidity concerns.50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2023 | Dec 2019 | Dec 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||
| Total Revenue | 889.34M | 840.85M | 379.09M | 303.52M |
| Gross Profit | 415.54M | 384.53M | 177.68M | 143.05M |
| EBITDA | -21.61M | -6.74M | 26.76M | 15.22M |
| Net Income | -38.35M | -24.91M | 1.65M | 5.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||
| Total Assets | 696.55M | 696.51M | 335.15M | 313.55M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 14.24M | 16.18M | 2.12M | 3.69M |
| Total Debt | 70.02M | 49.77M | 148.09M | 137.54M |
| Total Liabilities | 280.60M | 260.87M | 223.83M | 205.44M |
| Stockholders Equity | 415.95M | 435.64M | 111.32M | 108.11M |
Cash Flow | ||||
| Free Cash Flow | 17.86M | -1.79M | 522.00K | -10.36M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 22.52M | 10.02M | 2.37M | -4.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.66M | -11.81M | -1.84M | -5.43M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -14.30M | -13.28M | -2.09M | -4.41M |
LuxExperience Technical Analysis
Positive
8.48
Price Trends
7.95
Positive
8.17
Positive
8.22
Positive
Market Momentum
0.10
Negative
56.80
Neutral
60.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUXE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.06, above the 50-day MA of 7.95, and above the 200-day MA of 8.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LUXE.
LuxExperience Risk Analysis
LuxExperience disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LuxExperience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We qualify as a foreign private issuer and, as a result, we are not subject to U.S. proxy rules and are subject to Exchange Act reporting obligations that, to some extent, are more lenient and less frequent than those of a U.S. domestic public company. Q2, 2023
2.
We may lose our foreign private issuer status in the future, which could result in significant additional costs and expenses. Q2, 2023
LuxExperience Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $140.01M | ― | -2.83% | 22.83% | -4.32% | -144.96% | |
63 Neutral | $723.06M | ― | -8.75% | ― | 7.08% | -42.22% | |
63 Neutral | $271.08M | 21.47 | 3.67% | 8.15% | -1.36% | -54.97% | |
61 Neutral | $17.72B | 12.54 | -5.48% | 3.05% | 1.52% | -15.30% | |
58 Neutral | $837.77M | ― | 32.94% | ― | 12.68% | 62.96% | |
49 Neutral | $2.54B | ― | -142.38% | ― | -16.69% | -279.61% | |
41 Neutral | $260.76M | ― | -195.94% | ― | -22.86% | -38.76% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
LUXE
LuxExperience
8.28
4.77
135.90%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
21.46
-14.44
-40.22%
MOV
Movado Group
17.06
-5.13
-23.12%
REAL
RealReal
7.56
4.97
191.89%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.12
0.25
13.37%
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group
2.19
0.45
25.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.