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LuxExperience
(NYSE:LUXE)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▼(-4.39% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
The score is held back most by negative operating/free cash flow and a bearish technical setup (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these are improved profitability and a conservative balance sheet, plus an earnings-call narrative showing operational progress and reaffirmed targets, though ongoing cash burn and segment revenue declines keep the rating in the mid-range.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a sizable equity base give LuxExperience long-term financial flexibility to fund restructuring, absorb shocks and invest in growth initiatives. Strong recent ROE indicates capital-efficient profitability, reducing refinancing and insolvency risk while supporting strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow materially weakens liquidity dynamics despite reported profits. Continued cash burn constrains ability to self-fund growth or absorb shocks, increases reliance on reserves or financing, and makes long-term plans contingent on delivering sustained cash conversion improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a sizable equity base give LuxExperience long-term financial flexibility to fund restructuring, absorb shocks and invest in growth initiatives. Strong recent ROE indicates capital-efficient profitability, reducing refinancing and insolvency risk while supporting strategic execution.
Read all positive factors
LuxExperience (LUXE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.09B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)188.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)1.8
Beta (1Y)1.65
Revenue Growth194.57%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees4,262
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLuxury Goods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.82
Shares Outstanding137,261,610
10 Day Avg. Volume115,145
30 Day Avg. Volume188,893
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.54
P/FCF Ratio-19.50
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.48
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.22
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.46
Enterprise Value/Ebitda0.96
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$8.00Price Target Upside-10.01% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.61B
LuxExperience Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
LuxExperience B.V., through its subsidiary, oversees an international online retail platform that caters to customers in Germany, the United States, and throughout Europe and other global markets. The company's diverse selection features apparel f...
LuxExperience Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a positive transformation story: strong execution at Mytheresa with healthy top‑line growth, margin expansion and customer metrics; meaningful margin recovery and cost cuts across the group (positive adjusted EBITDA, improved SG&A and better operating cash flow). Remaining challenges include short‑term revenue declines at NET‑A‑PORTER/MR PORTER and YOOX (by design), residual cash burn and geopolitical/FX headwinds. Overall progress and confirmed medium‑term targets suggest momentum outweighs the weaknesses.Positive Updates
Group profitability improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margin of +0.9% in Q3 FY26 (second profitable quarter in a row), vs -3.2% in Q3 FY25; full-year adjusted EBITDA expected to break even (guidance -1% to +1%).
Negative Updates
Geopolitical headwinds from Middle East conflict
Outbreak of war in March negatively impacted customer sentiment and deliveries (notably Arabic peninsula); led to short‑term dips in trading in March despite signs of recovery in April/May.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Group profitability improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margin of +0.9% in Q3 FY26 (second profitable quarter in a row), vs -3.2% in Q3 FY25; full-year adjusted EBITDA expected to break even (guidance -1% to +1%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
LuxExperience reiterated clear near- and medium-term financial targets: for fiscal 2026 it expects reported GMV of ~€2.6bn and net sales of ~€2.5bn with group adjusted EBITDA to break even (guidance -1% to +1%)—Q3 adjusted EBITDA was +0.9% and Q4 is expected to be around Q3 levels; first 9 months operating cash flow was -€117.9m and the full‑year operating cash burn is expected to stay below that (well under the prior maximum guidance of -€150m); cash and cash financial investments stood at €436.1m (total available funds €612.8m), the transformation is fully funded with total cash outflows of €350–450m and operating‑cash break‑even is targeted in ~2 years. The group also confirmed medium‑term targets of €4.0bn net sales, a 7–9% adjusted EBITDA margin and a return to 10–15% annual growth; business‑level guidance includes Mytheresa growing net sales by high single digits (FY26, reported), NET‑A‑PORTER/MR PORTER narrowing to a mid‑single‑digit net‑sales decline for the year and YOOX returning to adjusted EBITDA profitability in 12–15 months with top‑line growth into FY27.LuxExperience Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.43B | 1.25B | 840.85M | 766.00M | 687.78M | 612.10M |
| Gross Profit | 1.13B | 600.00M | 384.53M | 379.98M | 353.02M | 287.04M |
| EBITDA | 547.70M | 646.40M | -3.98M | 3.33M | 11.95M | -1.51M |
| Net Income | 444.65M | 552.30M | -24.91M | -17.02M | -9.32M | -32.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.07B | 2.27B | 696.51M | 693.97M | 614.78M | 521.94M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 311.42M | 603.60M | 15.11M | 30.14M | 113.51M | 76.76M |
| Total Debt | 192.10M | 218.80M | 49.77M | 57.67M | 22.01M | 14.15M |
| Total Liabilities | 826.13M | 923.30M | 260.87M | 250.54M | 183.11M | 136.22M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.24B | 1.35B | 435.64M | 443.43M | 431.67M | 385.72M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -150.09M | -34.50M | -1.79M | -77.81M | 42.88M | -19.56M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -141.81M | -30.60M | 10.02M | -55.05M | 54.80M | -16.62M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 491.85M | 618.70M | -11.81M | -22.76M | -11.92M | -2.89M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -55.38M | 100.00K | -13.28M | -5.44M | -6.05M | 86.93M |
LuxExperience Technical Analysis
Negative
8.89
Price Trends
7.69
Negative
8.21
Negative
8.47
Negative
Market Momentum
0.05
Negative
50.26
Neutral
61.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUXE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.66, above the 50-day MA of 7.69, and above the 200-day MA of 8.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUXE.
LuxExperience Risk Analysis
LuxExperience disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LuxExperience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We qualify as a foreign private issuer and, as a result, we are not subject to U.S. proxy rules and are subject to Exchange Act reporting obligations that, to some extent, are more lenient and less frequent than those of a U.S. domestic public company. Q2, 2023
2.
We may lose our foreign private issuer status in the future, which could result in significant additional costs and expenses. Q2, 2023
LuxExperience Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $607.68M | 26.84 | 6.39% | 6.79% | 4.30% | 76.21% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $1.09B | 1.77 | 34.62% | ― | 194.57% | ― | |
54 Neutral | $1.28B | -18.43 | 17.42% | ― | 17.16% | -48.49% | |
47 Neutral | $118.41M | -3.95 | -36.73% | 14.29% | 5.83% | -8491.43% | |
45 Neutral | $244.09M | -3.59 | -52.99% | ― | -11.35% | 36.29% | |
41 Neutral | $163.27M | -1.74 | 120.31% | ― | -23.87% | -27.19% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.67
0.09
1.19%
FOSL
Fossil Group
4.12
2.46
148.19%
MOV
Movado Group
37.84
22.16
141.30%
REAL
RealReal
10.68
5.42
103.04%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
1.23
-1.28
-51.00%
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group
1.20
-0.12
-9.09%
LuxExperience Corporate Events
LuxExperience Files Q3 FY 2026 Interim Report and Reclassifies THE OUTNET as Discontinued Operation
May 19, 2026
LuxExperience B.V. filed a Form 6-K in May 2026 furnishing its unaudited interim report and earnings release for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, covering the three and nine months ended March 31, 2026. The filing details segment-level performanc...
LuxExperience Completes Sale of THE OUTNET Platform Assets to The Outnet Operations US
Apr 30, 2026
On April 30, 2026, LuxExperience B.V. announced that it has closed the sale of the set of assets powering THE OUTNET platform to The O Group LLC, now renamed The Outnet Operations US, LLC. The closing, which follows a binding agreement disclosed o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.