tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Somnigroup International (SGI)
NYSE:SGI
Advertisement

Somnigroup International (SGI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
650 Followers

Top Page

SGI

Somnigroup International

(NYSE:SGI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$97.00
▲(6.30% Upside)
Somnigroup International's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financial stability, despite operational inefficiencies and high valuation concerns. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, but caution is advised due to potential overvaluation and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in net sales reflects strong market demand and effective sales strategies, indicating robust revenue growth potential.
Synergy Realization
Successful synergy realization enhances operational efficiency and cost savings, strengthening long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
International Sales Growth
Strong international sales growth indicates successful global expansion and diversification, reducing reliance on any single market.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Declining profit margins suggest potential operational inefficiencies, which could impact long-term profitability if not addressed.
Competitive International Marketplace
Increased competition in international markets may pressure margins and require strategic adjustments to maintain market share.
Flat U.S. Bedding Market
A stagnant U.S. bedding market could limit growth opportunities domestically, necessitating a focus on innovation and market differentiation.

Somnigroup International (SGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Somnigroup International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSomni is a company specializing in sleep technology and wellness solutions, developing innovative products to enhance sleep quality. The company integrates science-backed methods, smart technology, and data-driven insights to improve sleep patterns and overall well-being.
How the Company Makes MoneySGI generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of its smart sleep tracking devices and accessories, which are marketed directly to consumers via online platforms and retail partnerships. Additionally, SGI offers subscription-based services for its sleep-enhancing applications, providing users with personalized insights, coaching, and access to premium content. The company also collaborates with healthcare providers and organizations to integrate its technology into clinical settings, creating additional revenue through partnerships and licensing agreements. Furthermore, SGI invests in research and development to innovate new products, which helps maintain its competitive edge and attract new customers.

Somnigroup International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Somnigroup, highlighted by record financial metrics and successful synergy realization from the Mattress Firm acquisition. However, challenges remain in the U.S. bedding market and competitive international environments. Despite these lowlights, the highlights significantly outweigh the challenges, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Somnigroup achieved record net sales of $2.1 billion, up approximately 63%, adjusted EBITDA of $419 million, up approximately 52%, and adjusted EPS of $0.95 per share, up approximately 16% compared to the previous year.
Strong International Sales Growth
Tempur International sales grew 11% in the quarter, driven by a refreshed product lineup, expanded distribution, and strong local execution.
Successful Synergy Realization
Synergies from the Mattress Firm combination are ahead of expectations, contributing to $60 million of adjusted EBITDA benefit in 2025, with an incremental $40 million expected in 2026.
Mattress Firm Outperformance
Mattress Firm reported strong same-store sales growth of 5% in the quarter, driven by superior in-store execution and a refreshed customer experience.
Negative Updates
Flat U.S. Bedding Market
The U.S. bedding market remains flat from a sales perspective and is still at trough levels, with the housing market yet to recover.
Decline in North American Direct Channel
Like-for-like net sales through the direct channel in North America declined 4% in the third quarter.
Competitive International Marketplace
International gross margins declined 40 basis points due to a competitive U.K. marketplace.
Company Guidance
During the Somnigroup Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, significant performance metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company achieved record net sales of $2.1 billion, marking a 63% increase, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 52% to $419 million. The adjusted EPS increased by 16% to $0.95 per share. The company's like-for-like sales growth was 5%, driven by strong international operations. Tempur Sealy North America reported a 5% like-for-like sales growth, attributed to new product launches and a $110 million advertising investment. Mattress Firm reported a 5% same-store sales growth, supported by improved in-store execution. Somnigroup is also on track to achieve $100 million in annual run rate net cost synergies by 2027, with an anticipated $60 million EBITDA benefit from sales synergies in 2025. For 2025, Somnigroup revised its adjusted EPS guidance to $2.60-$2.75, with expected sales of approximately $7.5 billion.

Somnigroup International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Somnigroup International shows solid revenue growth and improved debt management, enhancing financial stability. However, declining profit margins and return on equity indicate potential operational inefficiencies. Strong cash flow generation provides a buffer against these challenges, supporting overall financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Somnigroup International has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 13.7% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 7.79% in 2024 to 4.47% in TTM, suggesting declining profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 42%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has significantly reduced its debt-to-equity ratio from 7.99 in 2024 to 2.41 in TTM, showing improved financial stability. However, the return on equity has decreased to 15.97% in TTM from 68.75% in 2024, indicating reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting better asset management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by 20.7% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.40, suggesting moderate cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 0.86, reflecting good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.82B4.93B4.93B4.92B4.93B3.68B
Gross Profit2.88B2.18B2.13B2.05B2.16B1.64B
EBITDA857.90M804.20M739.30M807.30M1.00B627.40M
Net Income315.20M384.30M368.10M455.70M624.50M348.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.40B5.98B4.55B4.36B4.32B3.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.20M117.40M74.90M69.40M300.70M65.00M
Total Debt2.11B4.47B3.27B3.37B2.86B1.70B
Total Liabilities8.41B5.41B4.22B4.37B4.03B2.80B
Stockholders Equity2.99B559.00M323.40M-22.10M285.80M503.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow700.30M569.20M384.90M72.30M599.80M543.40M
Operating Cash Flow829.80M666.50M570.30M378.80M723.10M654.70M
Investing Cash Flow-2.97B-96.70M-187.80M-315.30M-554.80M-146.60M
Financing Cash Flow2.12B1.08B-384.30M-279.10M76.50M-522.60M

Somnigroup International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.25
Price Trends
50DMA
84.16
Positive
100DMA
79.14
Positive
200DMA
70.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
69.96
Neutral
STOCH
72.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.62, above the 50-day MA of 84.16, and above the 200-day MA of 70.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SGI.

Somnigroup International Risk Analysis

Somnigroup International disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Somnigroup International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Somnigroup International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.81B17.1519.95%3.59%3.12%9.01%
68
Neutral
$9.45B75.8626.21%78.02%28.15%
67
Neutral
$16.81B56.1016.47%0.57%39.29%-30.44%
65
Neutral
$4.34B52.288.77%13.80%-25.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$31.63B-20.73%1.43%-6.36%-554.84%
45
Neutral
$3.28B-9.96%-5.68%-358.36%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGI
Somnigroup International
91.25
35.89
64.83%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
87.75
24.34
38.39%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
87.38
-38.22
-30.43%
COTY
Coty
3.75
-3.61
-49.05%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
73.74
-60.41
-45.03%
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health
41.03
13.15
47.17%

Somnigroup International Corporate Events

Somnigroup International Reports Record Q3 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Somnigroup International Inc., a leading global bedding company, specializes in designing, manufacturing, distributing, and retailing sleep solutions, serving consumers in over 100 countries with renowned brands like Tempur-Pedic and Sealy.

Tempur Sealy’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Tempur Sealy International’s recent earnings call reflects a robust performance, marked by record financial metrics and successful synergy realization from the Mattress Firm acquisition. Despite challenges in the U.S. bedding market and competitive international environments, the positive highlights significantly outweigh these hurdles, indicating an optimistic sentiment overall.

Business Operations and Strategy
Somnigroup International Unveils Strategic Initiatives Update
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Somnigroup International Inc. released an updated investor presentation, highlighting its strategic initiatives and market positioning. The company aims to expand its market share and enhance its consumer experience through continuous innovation and operational efficiencies. The presentation also outlined the impact of tariff-related pricing adjustments expected to affect sales in North America, with further price increases anticipated in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGI) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Somnigroup International stock, see the SGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Somnigroup Appoints Christopher T. Cook as Director
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Somnigroup International Inc. announced the appointment of Christopher T. Cook as an independent director, expanding its Board of Directors from seven to eight members. Mr. Cook, a seasoned retail entrepreneur with over 20 years of leadership experience, is expected to bring valuable insights from his previous roles, including his tenure at Mattress Firm, to support Somnigroup’s long-term value creation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGI) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Somnigroup International stock, see the SGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Somnigroup International Joins 2025 Goldman Sachs Conference
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Somnigroup International Inc. announced its participation in the 2025 Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference on September 3, 2025, highlighting the continuation of positive sales trends from early in the third quarter. The company’s leadership expressed confidence in leveraging favorable market conditions to enhance its performance, indicating potential positive impacts on its operations and industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGI) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Somnigroup International stock, see the SGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Somnigroup International Appoints New CEO for Subsidiary
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Somnigroup International‘s Board of Directors expanded Steven H. Rusing’s role from President to President and Chief Executive Officer of Mattress Firm, a wholly-owned subsidiary. This strategic move, announced on August 18, 2025, aims to enhance leadership agility and operational focus, with Rusing having already positively impacted the company’s direction and strategy since his initial appointment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGI) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Somnigroup International stock, see the SGI Stock Forecast page.

Tempur Sealy’s Strong Quarter with Record Sales
Aug 12, 2025

Tempur Sealy International’s latest earnings call paints a picture of a company experiencing a strong quarter, marked by record sales and the successful integration of Mattress Firm. Despite facing challenges in the North American market, including slight sales declines and ongoing tariff impacts, the company remains optimistic. International growth continues to be a significant positive, showcasing robust performance.

Somnigroup International Reports Strong Q2 Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Somnigroup International Inc., the world’s largest bedding company, specializes in designing, manufacturing, distributing, and retailing sleep solutions across more than 100 countries, with renowned brands like Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Mattress Firm under its umbrella.

Business Operations and Strategy
Somnigroup International Updates Investors on Strategic Initiatives
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Somnigroup International Inc. released an updated investor presentation highlighting its strategic initiatives and market positioning. The company, reimagined in February 2025 following the acquisition of Mattress Firm, emphasizes its competitive advantages in the bedding industry, including its strong financial flexibility and seasoned management team. The presentation outlines opportunities for growth through market share gains, product innovation, and operational efficiencies, while addressing tariff impacts and capital allocation strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGI) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Somnigroup International stock, see the SGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025