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The Estée Lauder Companies (EL)
NYSE:EL

The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) AI Stock Analysis

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EL

The Estée Lauder Companies

(NYSE:EL)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$103.00
▼(-1.33% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's strong cash flow management and positive technical indicators, which suggest a potential recovery. However, significant concerns remain regarding profitability and valuation, with a negative P/E ratio and high leverage posing risks. The optimistic earnings call outlook provides some confidence, but challenges in key markets and segments need to be addressed for sustained improvement.

The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Estée Lauder Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers a range of skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, cleansing devices, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as lipsticks, lip glosses, mascaras, foundations, eyeshadows, nail polishes, and powders, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising eau de parfum sprays and colognes, as well as lotions, powders, creams, candles, and soaps; and hair care products that include shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair color products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under Estée Lauder, Aramis, Clinique, Lab Series, Origins, M·A·C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Aveda, Jo Malone London, Bumble and bumble, Darphin, Smashbox, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, GLAMGLOW, By Kilian, BECCA, Too Faced, Dr. Jart+, DECIEM, and The Ordinary brands. It also holds license arrangements for Tommy Hilfiger, Donna Karan New York, DKNY, Michael Kors, and Ermenegildo Zegna brands. The company sells its products through department stores, specialty-multi retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and salons and spas; freestanding stores; its own and authorized retailer websites; third-party online malls; stores in airports; and in-flight and duty-free shops. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Estée Lauder Companies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beauty products across multiple channels, including department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. Key revenue streams include skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products, with skincare being the largest segment. The company benefits from strong brand recognition and loyalty, which allows it to command premium pricing. Additionally, strategic partnerships with retailers and e-commerce platforms enhance distribution and accessibility, contributing to sales growth. Seasonal promotions, product launches, and collaborations with influencers and celebrities also play a significant role in driving revenue. Furthermore, the company's focus on expanding its presence in emerging markets and investing in digital innovation positions it for continued financial success.

The Estée Lauder Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Estée Lauder's earnings call reflected an optimistic outlook with a strong start to fiscal 2026, driven by robust growth in China, emerging markets, and online sales. However, challenges remain in the Americas and Western Europe, and volatility in Travel Retail persists.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Growth with Strong Q1 Results
Estée Lauder achieved a 3% organic sales growth in Q1, bouncing back from a 13% decline in the previous quarter. The company also saw a 300 basis point expansion in operating margin to 7.3%.
Impressive Growth in China
Mainland China recorded double-digit growth with seven brands achieving double-digit increases, led by Le Labo with nearly triple-digit growth. The company gained share in every category.
Successful Expansion in Emerging Markets
High single-digit growth was noted in priority emerging markets, with Mexico, Turkey, and India showing double-digit growth.
Strong Online Sales Performance
Global online organic sales growth accelerated to double digits, fueled by platforms like Tmall, JD, Douyin, Notino, and new investments in TikTok Shop.
Partnership with Shopify
Estée Lauder announced a partnership with Shopify to modernize and scale its direct-to-consumer business globally, enhancing omnichannel consumer experience.
Negative Updates
Decline in Americas
Sales from makeup and hair care categories declined, contributing to a low single-digit decrease in the Americas region.
Challenges in Western European Markets
Prestige Beauty in Western Europe saw slow growth, and in some cases, negative growth, with France and Spain gaining share but still facing challenges.
Volatility in Travel Retail
Travel Retail faced challenges, particularly in Asia, with conversion rates still down despite increased foot traffic.
Company Guidance
During Estée Lauder's fiscal 2026 first-quarter conference call, the company provided guidance that reflected a promising start to the fiscal year, with an organic sales growth of 3%, marking a significant rebound from a 13% decline in the previous quarter. The company experienced a diverse performance across its markets, noting high single-digit growth in priority emerging markets, with double-digit growth in China, Mexico, Turkey, and India. Travel Retail also saw growth, aided by favorable comparisons to a low base last year. Operating margins improved by 300 basis points to 7.3%, demonstrating a recovery in profitability. The company's future outlook remains optimistic, with expectations of flat to 3% organic net sales growth for the full year, despite the dynamic macroeconomic environment and headwinds such as tariffs and foreign exchange impacts. Estée Lauder aims to enhance its operating margin to solid double digits over the coming years through strategic initiatives under its Beauty Reimagined plan, which includes accelerating consumer coverage, driving innovation, and increasing consumer-facing investments.

The Estée Lauder Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

The Estée Lauder Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.39
Price Trends
50DMA
95.78
Positive
100DMA
92.33
Positive
200DMA
80.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.39
Negative
RSI
62.21
Neutral
STOCH
36.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.60, above the 50-day MA of 95.78, and above the 200-day MA of 80.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EL.

The Estée Lauder Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$139.75B23.3428.36%3.82%-0.30%-14.60%
69
Neutral
$339.32B21.2031.90%2.83%1.23%17.97%
69
Neutral
$2.68B16.3319.95%3.78%3.12%9.01%
67
Neutral
$4.70B55.898.77%13.80%-25.02%
56
Neutral
$37.62B-40.76-20.73%1.33%-6.36%-554.84%
47
Neutral
$2.86B-7.17-9.96%-5.68%-358.36%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
105.30
31.90
43.46%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
83.55
-43.02
-33.99%
PG
Procter & Gamble
147.81
-17.03
-10.33%
UL
Unilever
65.57
5.96
10.00%
COTY
Coty
3.26
-3.74
-53.43%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
78.77
-50.32
-38.98%

The Estée Lauder Companies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Estée Lauder Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

On November 13, 2025, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. Stockholders elected new directors, ratified the appointment of independent auditors, approved executive compensation, and sanctioned amendments to the company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation, which included eliminating certain officers’ monetary liability as permitted by Delaware law.

Private Placements and Financing
Estée Lauder Converts and Sells Class A Shares
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 4, 2025, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. issued over 11 million shares of Class A Common Stock to trusts affiliated with Leonard A. Lauder’s descendants, following the conversion of an equal number of Class B shares. Additionally, the company entered an underwriting agreement with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC for the sale of over 11 million shares of Class A Common Stock by the selling stockholders, priced at $89.70 per share. The company did not receive proceeds from this sale, which was conducted under a prospectus supplement and included customary terms and conditions.

Business Operations and Strategy
Estée Lauder Reorganizes Geographic Regions for Efficiency
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, The Estée Lauder Companies reorganized its geographic regions to enhance accountability and streamline operations, aligning with recent leadership changes. This reorganization, effective from the fiscal 2026 first quarter, involves reporting results by four new geographic regions: The Americas, EUKEM, Asia/Pacific, and Mainland China. The changes in reporting methodology, such as excluding intercompany royalty impacts and reallocating corporate expenses, aim to reflect a global business perspective. These adjustments do not affect the company’s operating segments or previously reported consolidated results, but they provide a consistent basis for historical financial information.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025