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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF)
NYSE:ELF
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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) AI Stock Analysis

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ELF

e.l.f. Beauty

(NYSE:ELF)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$137.00
▲(14.55% Upside)
e.l.f. Beauty's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions, which bolster its market position and growth potential. However, the high P/E ratio and technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock may be overvalued and facing potential bearish trends. The company's ability to navigate tariff impacts and maintain profitability will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The price target for ELF has been set at $134.00, indicating confidence in its growth potential.
Market Share Gain
The company gained 210bps of market share, outpacing category trends in FQ1.
Stock Rating Upgrade
The stock rating for ELF has been upgraded from Equal-weight to Overweight.
Negative Factors
Guidance Concerns
Vague but disconcerting ELF FQ2 guidance with temporary pressure points.
Stock Volatility
Pronounced ELF stock volatility after an unexpectedly large US topline slowdown in the last couple of quarters.
Tariff Impact
2Q margins are expected to be pressured due to tariffs and higher SG&A costs around marketing and from the rhode acquisition.

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

e.l.f. Beauty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptione.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) is a cosmetics company based in the United States, known for its commitment to providing high-quality beauty products at affordable prices. Founded in 2004, the company operates primarily in the beauty and personal care sector and offers a diverse range of products, including makeup, skincare, and beauty tools. ELF has established itself as a leader in the accessible beauty market, with a focus on innovation, inclusivity, and sustainability.
How the Company Makes Moneye.l.f. Beauty generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cosmetics and skincare products, which are distributed through various channels, including retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. Key revenue streams include product sales from major retailers such as Target, Walmart, and Ulta Beauty, as well as online sales through its website and platforms like Amazon. The company also benefits from its strong online presence and marketing strategies, leveraging social media and influencer partnerships to reach a broader audience. Additionally, e.l.f. invests in product innovation and limited-edition collections to drive sales and maintain customer interest.

e.l.f. Beauty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 8.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in net sales growth, international expansion, and market share gains, bolstered by strategic acquisitions and successful innovation. However, gross margin pressures due to tariffs and a decrease in net income highlight some financial challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Sales Growth
Net sales grew 9% year-over-year on top of a 50% growth in Q1 of the previous year, with continued momentum in consumption, leading to 210 basis points of market share gains.
Successful International Expansion
International net sales grew 30% in Q1, with significant gains in the U.K., Belgium, and the Netherlands. e.l.f. Cosmetics became the #1 brand in Belgium and #2 in the Netherlands.
Acquisition of Rhode
The acquisition of Rhode, a high-growth beauty brand, was completed. Rhode achieved $212 million in net sales over the last 12 months, promising to enhance e.l.f.'s portfolio and market position.
Record Market Share in Key Segments
e.l.f. achieved industry-leading results with 26 consecutive quarters of both net sales growth and market share gains. The brand is the #1 unit share brand in the U.S. and the #2 dollar share brand.
Innovation and Product Success
New product launches like Halo Glow Skin Tint and Bright Icon Vitamin C Serum have been top sellers, with e.l.f. maintaining strong innovation capabilities and product reception.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Q1 gross margin of 69% was down approximately 215 basis points compared to the previous year, driven by incremental tariff costs.
Impact of Tariffs
75% of global production comes from China, with significant tariffs impacting costs. The situation remains uncertain with ongoing negotiations.
Adjusted Net Income Decrease
Adjusted net income was $51 million compared to $64 million the previous year, mainly due to a normalized tax rate and no discrete tax benefits from stock-based compensation as seen last year.
EBITDA Margin Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for the first half is approximately 20%, reflecting the flow-through of high tariff COGS and timing shifts in marketing spend.
Company Guidance
In the call discussing e.l.f. Beauty's first-quarter results for fiscal year 2026, significant metrics and guidance were shared. Net sales grew by 9% on top of a 50% growth in the same quarter last year, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% to $87 million. The company gained 210 basis points in market share, marking its 26th consecutive quarter of net sales growth and market share gains. E.l.f. Cosmetics became the #1 unit share brand nationally with approximately 15% share and the #2 dollar share brand with 13% share. The average price point for e.l.f. products was raised to $6.50 as a response to tariffs, with 75% of the portfolio remaining under $10. Internationally, net sales grew by 30%, contributing to 20% of total sales. The recent acquisition of Rhode, which achieved $212 million in net sales over 12 months, is expected to enhance e.l.f. Beauty’s growth, with plans to expand Rhode's distribution footprint through a partnership with Sephora. The company expressed plans to more than double its business over the coming years, leveraging opportunities in color cosmetics, skin care, and international expansion.

e.l.f. Beauty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
e.l.f. Beauty demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth, robust profitability, and effective cash flow management. While there is slight pressure on net profit margins, the overall financial position remains healthy with prudent leverage and strong equity backing.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
e.l.f. Beauty shows impressive revenue growth, with a consistent upward trajectory over the years. The gross profit margin stands strong at approximately 71.2% for the latest year, indicating effective cost management. However, a slight decline in net profit margin from 12.5% to 8.5% suggests increased operational costs or other expenses impacting net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, reflecting robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet highlights a favorable equity ratio of 61% and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40, suggesting prudent leverage levels. Return on equity, at 14.7%, is commendable, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. Nevertheless, the increase in total debt warrants careful monitoring to avoid potential risk exposure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
e.l.f. Beauty exhibits strong cash flow management, with a significant increase in operating cash flow. Free cash flow growth is notable, enhancing the company's flexibility in capital allocation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.19 highlights efficient conversion of income into cash. However, a careful watch on capital expenditures is necessary to maintain positive free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.34B1.31B1.02B578.84M392.15M318.11M
Gross Profit948.94M935.69M724.10M390.40M251.73M206.20M
EBITDA152.56M158.03M188.31M89.88M54.63M32.12M
Net Income164.66M112.09M127.66M61.53M21.77M6.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.25B1.13B595.60M494.63M487.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments170.03M148.69M108.18M120.78M43.35M57.77M
Total Debt314.79M313.02M290.60M77.66M112.61M146.62M
Total Liabilities510.04M487.32M486.68M184.58M182.20M217.75M
Stockholders Equity804.85M760.86M642.57M411.02M312.43M269.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow134.96M115.32M62.49M100.16M14.70M23.00M
Operating Cash Flow159.79M133.84M71.15M101.88M19.51M29.48M
Investing Cash Flow-25.78M-19.10M-284.66M-1.72M-4.82M-6.47M
Financing Cash Flow-74.74M-74.45M200.94M-22.73M-29.11M-11.40M

e.l.f. Beauty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.60
Price Trends
50DMA
118.38
Positive
100DMA
93.94
Positive
200DMA
99.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
54.65
Neutral
STOCH
86.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.70, above the 50-day MA of 118.38, and above the 200-day MA of 99.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELF.

e.l.f. Beauty Risk Analysis

e.l.f. Beauty disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. e.l.f. Beauty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

e.l.f. Beauty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$551.90M5.5613.68%2.10%-11.79%
73
Outperform
$6.62B72.9112.97%18.61%-21.36%
69
Neutral
$3.69B23.0120.68%2.70%7.04%13.52%
63
Neutral
$20.97B14.56-8.07%3.13%2.79%-9.84%
61
Neutral
$32.99B147.29-17.27%1.91%-3.70%-235.59%
61
Neutral
$4.35B40.12-10.58%-1.68%-302.11%
57
Neutral
$1.05B16.634.12%2.58%-2.92%-43.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
119.60
-39.60
-24.87%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
89.50
-3.40
-3.66%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
115.01
-9.41
-7.56%
NUS
Nu Skin
11.44
1.93
20.29%
COTY
Coty
4.99
-4.64
-48.18%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
23.26
-14.36
-38.17%

e.l.f. Beauty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
e.l.f. Beauty Completes Acquisition of HRBeauty LLC
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, e.l.f. Beauty completed the acquisition of HRBeauty LLC, known as rhode, for $800 million, with $600 million funded through a new term loan facility. This acquisition is part of e.l.f. Beauty’s strategy to expand its market presence and leverage rhode’s growth potential. Additionally, e.l.f. Beauty reported a 9% increase in net sales to $353.7 million for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, marking its 26th consecutive quarter of growth. The company also experienced a decrease in gross margin due to tariffs but achieved a net income of $33.3 million, reflecting its strong market position and operational strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELF) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on e.l.f. Beauty stock, see the ELF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
e.l.f. Beauty Acquires Rhode for $1 Billion
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, e.l.f. Beauty announced a definitive agreement to acquire rhode, a lifestyle beauty brand founded by Hailey Bieber, for $1 billion. The acquisition, expected to close in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, aims to diversify e.l.f. Beauty’s portfolio and expand its presence in the prestige beauty channel. The deal includes $800 million payable at closing and a potential earnout of $200 million based on rhode’s future growth. This strategic move is set to enhance e.l.f. Beauty’s market positioning by leveraging rhode’s innovative products and strong consumer base, which has seen significant growth, doubling its consumer base and generating $212 million in net sales over the past year.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELF) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on e.l.f. Beauty stock, see the ELF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025