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FCTE - ETF AI Analysis
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SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings Performance
Most of the largest positions have shown strong gains this year, which has helped support the ETF’s overall results.
Solid Year-to-Date Return
The fund’s year-to-date performance has been positive, indicating it has generally rewarded investors so far this year.
Focused but Multi-Sector Exposure
While technology is the largest slice, the ETF also holds health care, consumer, industrial, and communication stocks, offering some spread across different parts of the economy.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.
Heavy Technology Concentration
With over half of the portfolio in technology stocks, the ETF is especially sensitive to downturns in that single sector.
Limited Geographic Diversification
Almost all of the holdings are in U.S. companies, so investors get little benefit from international diversification.
FCTE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM230.64M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.85%
Beta0.93
IssuerSMI Funds
Inception DateJul 02, 2024
Dividend Yield0.17%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedNo Underlying Index
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume51,951
30 Day Avg. Volume49,644
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
31.31Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering20
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
FCTE Summary
The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is an actively managed fund that follows a “full market cycle” trend strategy rather than a fixed index. It mainly invests in large U.S. companies, with a strong tilt toward technology and health care stocks. Well-known holdings include Lam Research and AutoZone. Someone might consider this ETF if they want growth potential from leading large-cap companies and like the idea of a manager adjusting to market trends over time. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward tech and can rise or fall sharply with that sector and the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (Ticker: FCTE) has an expense ratio of 0.85%, meaning you’ll pay $8.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, using trend-following strategies to optimize returns across market cycles.
What would affect this ETF?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) could benefit from positive trends in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as stable growth in large-cap companies like Visa and Costco. However, potential risks include economic slowdowns or interest rate hikes that could negatively impact consumer spending and financial sector performance, which are also key components of the ETF. Additionally, regulatory changes in the U.S., where the fund is geographically focused, could influence its top holdings and overall performance.
FCTE Top 10 Holdings
FCTE is leaning heavily into U.S. large-cap tech, with Lam Research and KLA setting the pace as rising semiconductor standouts that give the fund much of its current spark. Monolithic Power and Amphenol add to this tech-and-electronics backbone with steadier, upward trends that help smooth the ride. Outside tech, Fastenal and Leidos are holding their own but not really moving the needle, while names like AutoZone and Verisign look a bit tired, subtly tugging on performance rather than pushing it forward.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKesson | 5.55% | $12.51M | $116.75B | 54.29% | 62 Neutral | |
| HCA Healthcare | 5.52% | $12.46M | $118.85B | 69.26% | 70 Neutral | |
| Allegion | 5.40% | $12.17M | $15.43B | 33.59% | 72 Outperform | |
| Tractor Supply | 5.36% | $12.09M | $28.81B | -4.78% | 73 Outperform | |
| Fastenal Company | 5.25% | $11.83M | $53.99B | 21.80% | 72 Outperform | |
| Apple | 5.09% | $11.47M | $4.04T | 7.00% | 79 Outperform | |
| Cardinal Health | 5.04% | $11.38M | $52.77B | 70.40% | 66 Neutral | |
| Eli Lilly & Co | 5.04% | $11.36M | $959.76B | 22.98% | 72 Outperform | |
| Amphenol | 5.03% | $11.35M | $176.31B | 108.67% | 78 Outperform | |
| Lam Research | 5.00% | $11.27M | $293.61B | 179.50% | 77 Outperform |
FCTE Technical Analysis
Neutral
―
Price Trends
25.87
Positive
25.64
Positive
25.91
Positive
Market Momentum
0.27
Positive
50.26
Neutral
63.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCTE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.75, equal to the 50-day MA of 25.87, and equal to the 200-day MA of 25.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FCTE.
FCTE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
26.49
-0.22
-0.82%
NBCR
Neuberger Berman Core Equity ETF
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MODL
VictoryShares WestEnd U.S. Sector ETF
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DSPY
Tema S&P 500 Historical Weight ETF Strategy
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BALI
BlackRock Advantage Large Cap Income ETF
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FTQI
First Trust Hedged BuyWrite Income ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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