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FCTE - ETF AI Analysis
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SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several key holdings, such as Idexx Laboratories and Cisco Systems, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund's overall returns.
Sector Diversification
The ETF is spread across six sectors, including Technology, Industrials, and Health Care, which helps reduce reliance on any single industry.
Focus on Established Markets
With nearly 100% exposure to U.S. companies, the fund invests in a stable and mature market environment.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively high expense ratio compared to many other funds, which can eat into investor returns over time.
Underperforming Holdings
Some top holdings, such as Corpay Inc and Paychex, have shown weak year-to-date performance, dragging down the fund's overall momentum.
Over-Concentration in Technology
With over 40% of the portfolio allocated to Technology, the fund is heavily exposed to potential sector-specific risks.
FCTE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM221.04M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.85%
Beta0.94
IssuerSMI Funds
Inception DateJul 02, 2024
Dividend Yield0.18%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedNo Underlying Index
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume32,641
30 Day Avg. Volume84,597
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
30.39Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering20
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
FCTE Summary
The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is an investment fund that focuses on large-cap companies, which are typically well-established and financially strong. This ETF uses a trend-following strategy to adapt to market changes and aims to perform well across different economic conditions. It includes companies like Cisco Systems and Visa, offering exposure to industries such as technology, healthcare, and consumer goods. Investors might consider FCTE for its potential to provide stability and growth in their portfolio. However, since it heavily invests in large-cap stocks, its performance can be influenced by broader market trends, which means it may go up or down with the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (Ticker: FCTE) has an expense ratio of 0.85%, meaning you’ll pay $8.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, using trend-following strategies to optimize returns across market cycles.
What would affect this ETF?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) could benefit from positive trends in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as stable growth in large-cap companies like Visa and Costco. However, potential risks include economic slowdowns or interest rate hikes that could negatively impact consumer spending and financial sector performance, which are also key components of the ETF. Additionally, regulatory changes in the U.S., where the fund is geographically focused, could influence its top holdings and overall performance.
FCTE Top 10 Holdings
The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF leans heavily into technology, with names like Lam Research and KLA driving steady performance thanks to their focus on AI and advanced technologies. However, the fund's tech-heavy tilt also exposes it to mixed results, as seen with Meta Platforms, which is losing momentum amid valuation concerns. Industrials and consumer cyclical stocks like Fastenal and Garmin are showing weaker trends, holding back broader gains. With its U.S.-centric portfolio and concentration in tech, the fund is riding the innovation wave but faces challenges from sector-specific volatility.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lam Research | 5.58% | $12.39M | $222.73B | 139.67% | 77 Outperform | |
| KLA | 5.38% | $11.92M | $167.79B | 96.90% | 77 Outperform | |
| F5 Networks | 5.37% | $11.91M | $15.24B | 2.03% | 74 Outperform | |
| Mastercard | 5.19% | $11.52M | $520.34B | 8.08% | 75 Outperform | |
| Meta Platforms | 5.15% | $11.43M | $1.68T | 10.64% | 76 Outperform | |
| Garmin | 5.15% | $11.42M | $39.43B | -2.69% | 74 Outperform | |
| Nvidia | 5.10% | $11.31M | $4.58T | 34.79% | 76 Outperform | |
| Philip Morris | 5.08% | $11.27M | $253.17B | 33.63% | 61 Neutral | |
| Cadence Design | 5.07% | $11.24M | $86.49B | 2.94% | 78 Outperform | |
| Fastenal Company | 5.06% | $11.23M | $48.02B | 12.42% | 72 Outperform |
FCTE Technical Analysis
Positive
―
Price Trends
24.98
Positive
25.61
Negative
25.64
Negative
Market Momentum
0.07
Negative
59.74
Neutral
93.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.05, equal to the 50-day MA of 24.98, and equal to the 200-day MA of 25.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCTE.
FCTE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
25.42
-1.11
-4.18%
AVLC
Avantis U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF
―
―
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DSPY
Tema S&P 500 Historical Weight ETF Strategy
―
―
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FTQI
First Trust Hedged BuyWrite Income ETF
―
―
―
MODL
VictoryShares WestEnd U.S. Sector ETF
―
―
―
NBCR
Neuberger Berman Core Equity ETF
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―
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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