tiprankstipranks
Eli Lilly And Company (LLY)
NYSE:LLY
Want to see LLY full AI Analyst Report?

Eli Lilly & Co (LLY) AI Stock Analysis

21,991 Followers

Top Page

LLY

Eli Lilly & Co

(NYSE:LLY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 84 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$1,195.00
▲(28.91% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
LLY scores highly on exceptional financial momentum (rapid growth, expanding margins, and improving cash generation) supported by a very positive earnings update with raised guidance. Technicals also reflect strong bullish trend conditions. The main constraints are a premium valuation/low yield and ongoing risks around leverage, pricing headwinds, and access dynamics.
Positive Factors
Exceptional revenue and margin expansion
Sustained, rapid top-line growth and materially higher non‑GAAP margins (Q1 gross margin 82.6%, performance margin ~50%) reflect strong product demand and pricing power. This durable revenue and margin profile supports reinvestment, R&D funding and long-term earnings resilience even with cyclical pressures.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and recent large debt issuance
Higher absolute debt and a substantial new bond issuance increase interest and refinancing exposure. This elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises risk if revenue/margin momentum weakens, especially with acquisition‑linked covenants and potential mandatory redemptions tied to a deal.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exceptional revenue and margin expansion
Sustained, rapid top-line growth and materially higher non‑GAAP margins (Q1 gross margin 82.6%, performance margin ~50%) reflect strong product demand and pricing power. This durable revenue and margin profile supports reinvestment, R&D funding and long-term earnings resilience even with cyclical pressures.
Read all positive factors

Eli Lilly & Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Maps revenue across countries and regions to show market concentration and diversification. A heavy tilt toward a single market increases vulnerability to local policy or pricing shifts, while broad geographic growth suggests more durable sales and opportunity to offset regional downturns.
Chart InsightsEli Lilly's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the U.S. and Europe showing particularly strong performance. The U.S. market benefits from a dominant position in incretin analogs, despite price declines. Europe and other international markets are experiencing significant growth, supported by new product approvals and strategic expansions. The company's increased market share and pipeline advancements are driving this momentum, although rising expenses and pricing pressures pose challenges. Overall, Lilly's strategic focus on key products and international expansion is paying off, as reflected in their raised revenue guidance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Eli Lilly & Co (LLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eli Lilly & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, and markets human pharmaceuticals worldwide. It offers Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 7...
How the Company Makes Money
Lilly makes money primarily by selling patented, branded prescription medicines. Revenue is generated when Lilly sells its drugs to wholesalers, pharmacies, hospitals, and other distributors (directly or through third parties), and those products ...

Eli Lilly & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial picture: exceptional revenue and earnings growth, raised guidance, robust international momentum for incretins, successful clinical readouts (including cardiovascular safety for Foundayo), an ambitious pipeline with 42 active Phase III programs, and multiple strategic acquisitions to broaden capabilities. The principal concerns are meaningful pricing pressure (expected low-to-mid-teens headwind), increased marketing and R&D spend, access variability (Medicaid and payer coverage), early-stage uncertainty around Foundayo's ultimate contribution, and competitive/generic dynamics in some markets. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 56% year-over-year in Q1 2026 compared to Q1 2025; updated full-year revenue guidance raised by $2 billion at each end to $82 billion–$85 billion (midpoint = ~28% growth vs 2025).
Negative Updates
Price Pressure and Expected Full-Year Headwind
U.S. price declined ~7% in Q1 (would be ~10% excluding a one-time adjustment); company expects price to be a headwind in the low-to-mid teens for the full year, exerting pressure on gross margin and net pricing dynamics.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 56% year-over-year in Q1 2026 compared to Q1 2025; updated full-year revenue guidance raised by $2 billion at each end to $82 billion–$85 billion (midpoint = ~28% growth vs 2025).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Lilly raised its 2026 guidance, increasing the top and bottom of the full‑year revenue range by $2.0 billion to $82–$85 billion (midpoint ≈ 28% growth vs. 2025) and boosting non‑GAAP EPS guidance to $35.50–$37 (a $2.00 lift to both ends); it now expects a non‑GAAP performance margin of 47.0%–48.5%, sees price as a headwind in the low‑ to mid‑teens for the year, and left its tax rate unchanged. Management said the upward revision reflects strong Q1 results — revenue +56% y/y, Q1 non‑GAAP EPS $8.55, gross margin 82.6%, marketing/selling/admin expenses +19%, and R&D +28% — driven by robust performance of Mounjaro, semaglutide/SEB and other key products.

Eli Lilly & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements are very strong overall: rapid revenue growth and sharply higher profitability with high gross margins, plus a major rebound in operating and free cash flow. Offsets include meaningful leverage (debt still high vs. equity) and cash conversion that remains below net income despite improving trends.
Income Statement
93
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue72.25B65.18B45.04B34.12B28.54B28.32B
Gross Profit60.33B54.62B36.62B27.04B21.91B21.01B
EBITDA33.13B27.94B15.23B8.57B8.66B8.04B
Net Income25.27B20.64B10.59B5.24B6.24B5.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.58B112.48B78.71B64.01B49.49B48.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.28B7.27B3.42B2.93B2.21B3.91B
Total Debt43.37B42.50B33.64B25.23B16.24B16.88B
Total Liabilities85.38B85.94B64.44B53.14B38.71B39.65B
Stockholders Equity31.20B26.54B14.19B10.77B10.65B8.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.58B8.97B414.30M-3.15B4.60B5.39B
Operating Cash Flow20.48B16.81B8.82B4.24B7.59B7.37B
Investing Cash Flow-11.54B-10.97B-9.30B-7.15B-3.76B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-7.06B-2.21B1.23B3.50B-5.41B-4.13B

Eli Lilly & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price927.03
Price Trends
50DMA
940.13
Positive
100DMA
990.01
Positive
200DMA
923.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
25.10
Negative
RSI
65.44
Neutral
STOCH
90.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 927.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 963.62, below the 50-day MA of 940.13, and above the 200-day MA of 923.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 25.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LLY.

Eli Lilly & Co Risk Analysis

Eli Lilly & Co disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eli Lilly & Co reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eli Lilly & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$980.96B27.81101.30%0.58%47.44%130.02%
71
Outperform
$557.82B28.3226.26%2.50%7.87%-3.56%
71
Outperform
£217.21B24.4122.41%1.53%4.64%26.75%
68
Neutral
$286.20B-17.5317.93%3.12%2.70%-48.28%
67
Neutral
$277.45B23.1031.54%2.87%5.60%9.68%
60
Neutral
$378.98B137.9868.01%2.87%9.50%-13.63%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co
1,065.00
356.30
50.28%
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
234.34
85.55
57.49%
MRK
Merck & Company
122.41
47.55
63.52%
NVS
Novartis
152.01
41.43
37.46%
ABBV
AbbVie
215.70
38.22
21.54%
GB:AZN
AstraZeneca
13,916.00
3,658.77
35.67%

Eli Lilly & Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Eli Lilly Raises $8.9 Billion in Debt Offering
Positive
May 20, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Eli Lilly and Company completed a multibillion-dollar debt offering, issuing a mix of floating-rate and fixed-rate notes maturing between 2028 and 2066, for net proceeds of about $8.94 billion after underwriting discounts. The off...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Eli Lilly Shareholders Back Board, Maintain Governance Structure
Neutral
May 7, 2026
At Eli Lilly Co.’s annual meeting of shareholders held on May 4, 2026, investors representing about 90% of outstanding shares cast votes on board elections, executive pay, auditor ratification, and several governance-related proposals. Shar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026