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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
NYSE:JNJ
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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) AI Stock Analysis

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JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

(NYSE:JNJ)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$217.00
▲(16.13% Upside)
Johnson & Johnson's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, while the valuation reflects a stable but not undervalued position. The company's strategic focus on high-growth areas and successful product launches further enhance its prospects.
Positive Factors
Innovative Medicine Growth
The growth in the Innovative Medicine segment highlights JNJ's ability to drive sales even amidst challenges, showcasing strong product demand and effective market strategies.
MedTech Segment Expansion
The expansion in the MedTech segment underscores JNJ's robust market position and potential for sustained growth through innovation and strategic focus on high-demand areas.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances JNJ's financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth opportunities and providing a buffer against economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
STELARA Loss of Exclusivity Impact
The significant decline in STELARA sales due to loss of exclusivity poses a challenge to JNJ's revenue streams, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate impacts.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
An increased tax rate reduces net earnings, impacting profitability and potentially limiting funds available for investment in growth and innovation.
Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressures
Margin pressures in the MedTech segment highlight challenges in maintaining profitability amid competitive and economic headwinds, affecting long-term financial performance.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Johnson & Johnson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJohnson & Johnson (JNJ) is a multinational corporation founded in 1886, known for its diverse range of healthcare products and services. The company operates through three main sectors: Consumer Health, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices. Its portfolio includes well-known consumer products such as baby care, skin and hair care, wound care, and over-the-counter pharmaceuticals. In the pharmaceutical sector, JNJ develops innovative treatments across various therapeutic areas, including immunology, oncology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases. The Medical Devices segment offers a wide array of products used in surgical, orthopedic, and interventional procedures, making JNJ a key player in the global healthcare market.
How the Company Makes MoneyJohnson & Johnson generates revenue through multiple streams across its three business segments. The Pharmaceutical division is the largest revenue contributor, driven by sales of prescription drugs, particularly in areas such as immunology and oncology, where the company has key blockbuster drugs. The Medical Devices segment earns revenue through the sale of surgical instruments, orthopedic implants, and cardiovascular devices, often bolstered by partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions. The Consumer Health segment offers a variety of well-known products, which generate consistent sales in both retail and online markets. Additionally, JNJ benefits from strategic collaborations and alliances in research and development, which can lead to new product innovations and expanded market access, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Johnson & Johnson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsJohnson & Johnson's revenue in the United States shows a strong recovery, with recent quarters surpassing pre-pandemic levels, indicating robust domestic demand. In contrast, Europe and Asia Pacific and Africa have experienced more volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential economic challenges or competitive pressures. The Western Hemisphere excluding the US remains relatively stable but subdued. Without additional earnings call insights, the focus remains on sustaining US growth while addressing international market fluctuations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Johnson & Johnson demonstrated strong overall performance with significant growth across key segments and successful new product launches. Despite challenges from STELARA's loss of exclusivity and increased tax rates, the company's strategic focus and operational achievements suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Financial Performance
Worldwide sales reached $24 billion for Q3 2025, with operational sales growth of 5.4%. Adjusted net earnings were $6.8 billion, a 15.7% increase compared to 2024.
Innovative Medicine Growth
Innovative Medicine reported 5.3% operational sales growth despite a 1070 basis point headwind from STELARA. Key brands like DARZALEX and TREMFYA showed double-digit growth.
MedTech Segment Expansion
MedTech achieved 5.6% operational sales growth with strong performance in cardiovascular and surgery segments. Cardiovascular operational sales increased by approximately 12%.
Successful New Product Launches
Highlights include the FDA approval for bladder cancer treatment Inlexo and significant growth in the launch of CARVICTI, which achieved sales of $524 million with 81.4% growth.
Orthopedics Business Separation
Johnson & Johnson announced the planned separation of its Orthopedics business, which is expected to enhance strategic focus and improve margins.
Negative Updates
STELARA Loss of Exclusivity Impact
STELARA sales declined by 42% due to biosimilar competition, representing an ongoing challenge for the company.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 31.2% from 19.3% due to a $1 billion remeasurement of deferred tax balances.
Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressures
MedTech's margin declined from 24.1% to 21% due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, particularly in the Energy segment.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Johnson & Johnson reported strong financial performance and provided updated guidance highlighting continued robust growth across its sectors. The company achieved operational sales growth of 5.4%, with worldwide sales totaling $24 billion. The Innovative Medicine segment saw sales increase by 5.3%, driven by double-digit growth in 11 brands, including a remarkable 40% surge in TREMFYA sales. The MedTech sector also performed well, with operational sales growth of 5.6%. Key highlights included the launch of Inlexo for bladder cancer, projected to be a $5 billion asset, and the continued strong performance of DARZALEX and Carvicti. For the full year 2025, J&J increased its operational sales guidance to range from $93.2 billion to $93.7 billion, reflecting growth of 4.8% to 5.9%. Looking ahead to 2026, the company anticipates exceeding current revenue consensus, driven by its robust pipeline and product launches, with growth projected to surpass 5%. Additionally, J&J announced plans to separate its Orthopaedics business, aiming to enhance focus on high-growth areas within its MedTech portfolio.

Johnson & Johnson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Johnson & Johnson exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and efficient cash flow management. The company shows consistent revenue growth and effective use of equity, although the increase in debt and slight decline in net profit margin warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Johnson & Johnson's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 68.08% and a net profit margin of 27.26% for the TTM. The company has maintained steady revenue growth, with a 2.24% increase in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 34.91% and 40.00%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has decreased from previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. The return on equity is impressive at 33.69%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 41.11%, indicating a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 23.07% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, indicating efficient cash conversion. Despite the positive cash flow metrics, the decline in operating cash flow coverage ratio compared to previous years suggests potential areas for improvement in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2019Dec 2018Dec 2017
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.63B88.82B85.16B82.06B81.58B76.45B
Gross Profit47.34B61.35B58.61B54.50B54.49B51.01B
EBITDA33.64B24.78B23.32B24.66B25.93B24.25B
Net Income21.69B14.07B35.15B15.12B15.30B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.82B180.10B167.56B157.73B152.95B157.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.56B24.52B22.93B19.29B19.69B18.30B
Total Debt6.39B37.83B29.33B27.70B30.48B34.58B
Total Liabilities113.54B108.61B98.78B98.26B93.20B97.14B
Stockholders Equity79.28B71.49B68.77B59.47B59.75B60.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.23B19.84B18.25B19.92B18.53B17.78B
Operating Cash Flow17.22B24.27B22.79B23.42B22.20B21.06B
Investing Cash Flow-19.10B-18.60B878.00M-6.19B-3.17B-14.87B
Financing Cash Flow-4.17B-3.13B-15.82B-18.02B-18.51B-7.67B

Johnson & Johnson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price186.86
Price Trends
50DMA
183.86
Positive
100DMA
173.57
Positive
200DMA
163.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.71
Positive
RSI
45.37
Neutral
STOCH
19.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JNJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 186.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 190.12, above the 50-day MA of 183.86, and above the 200-day MA of 163.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JNJ.

Johnson & Johnson Risk Analysis

Johnson & Johnson disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Johnson & Johnson reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Johnson & Johnson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$209.46B11.093.84%1.74%
78
Outperform
$450.20B18.0333.62%2.73%5.08%71.07%
77
Outperform
$252.83B30.5619.76%1.93%15.08%29.15%
76
Outperform
$120.93B12.218.39%4.51%-9.32%120.62%
73
Outperform
$238.75B16.9332.93%3.19%11.53%-15.21%
62
Neutral
$381.38B162.20138.53%3.01%7.40%-53.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
186.00
34.18
22.51%
AZN
AstraZeneca
81.15
17.79
28.08%
MRK
Merck & Company
84.39
-13.17
-13.50%
NVS
Novartis
125.50
21.57
20.76%
SNY
Sanofi
49.00
-1.13
-2.25%
ABBV
AbbVie
216.77
23.03
11.89%

Johnson & Johnson Corporate Events

Johnson & Johnson Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 15, 2025

Johnson & Johnson is a global healthcare leader known for its comprehensive portfolio in pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer health products, with a strong focus on innovation and improving human health.

Johnson & Johnson’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategy
Oct 15, 2025

Johnson & Johnson’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance and strategic foresight, despite some challenges. The sentiment expressed during the call was largely positive, highlighting significant growth across key segments and successful new product launches. The company acknowledged hurdles such as STELARA’s loss of exclusivity and increased tax rates but remained optimistic about its strategic focus and operational achievements, suggesting a promising outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Johnson & Johnson Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a 6.8% increase in sales to $24 billion and a significant rise in net earnings by 91.2%. The company also raised its full-year sales outlook to $93.7 billion, driven by strong performance in its Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. Key developments included approvals for new treatments and significant progress in its product pipeline, indicating a strategic focus on innovation and growth in priority areas. The announcement highlights the company’s robust financial health and its strategic initiatives aimed at maintaining its leadership position in the healthcare sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JNJ) stock is a Hold with a $178.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Johnson & Johnson stock, see the JNJ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Johnson & Johnson Elects John Morikis to Board
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced the election of John Morikis, former Executive Chairman, President, and CEO of The Sherwin-Williams Company, to its Board of Directors. Morikis, recognized for his leadership in global markets and supply chains, will contribute to Johnson & Johnson’s long-term strategy of healthcare innovation and shareholder value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (JNJ) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Johnson & Johnson stock, see the JNJ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025