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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) AI Stock Analysis

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JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

(NYSE:JNJ)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$217.00
▲(13.70% Upside)
Johnson & Johnson's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis indicates potential short-term overbought conditions, while the valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. Overall, the company is well-positioned for continued success, with robust growth prospects in its key segments.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent sales growth across key segments indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Product Innovation
Successful new product launches in high-need areas enhance J&J's competitive edge and potential for sustained market leadership.
Strategic Focus
The strategic separation allows J&J to concentrate resources on higher-growth, higher-margin segments, potentially improving overall profitability.
Negative Factors
Loss of Exclusivity
Loss of exclusivity for key drugs like STELARA poses a risk to revenue streams and necessitates innovation to offset declines.
Increased Tax Rate
Higher tax rates reduce net earnings, impacting cash flow and potentially limiting funds available for reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Margin Pressure
Declining margins in key segments like MedTech can affect overall profitability, necessitating cost management and efficiency improvements.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Johnson & Johnson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJohnson & Johnson, together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells various products in the healthcare field worldwide. The company's Consumer Health segment offers baby care products under the JOHNSON'S and AVEENO Baby brands; oral care products under the LISTERINE brand; skin health/beauty products under the AVEENO, CLEAN & CLEAR, DR. CI:LABO, NEUTROGENA, and OGX brands; TYLENOL acetaminophen products; SUDAFED cold, flu, and allergy products; BENADRYL and ZYRTEC allergy products; MOTRIN IB ibuprofen products; NICORETTE smoking cessation products; and PEPCID acid reflux products. It also offers STAYFREE and CAREFREE sanitary pads; o.b. tampons; adhesive bandages under the BAND-AID brand; and first aid products under the NEOSPORIN brand. It serves general public, retail outlets, and distributors. The company's Pharmaceutical segment offers products for rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, inflammatory bowel disease, and psoriasis; HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 infectious diseases; mood disorders, neurodegenerative disorders, and schizophrenia; prostate cancer, hematologic malignancies, lung cancer, and bladder cancer; thrombosis, diabetes and macular degeneration; and pulmonary arterial hypertension. This segment serves retailers, wholesalers, distributors, hospitals, and healthcare professionals directly for prescription use. Its MedTech segment provides electrophysiology products to treat cardiovascular diseases; neurovascular care products to treat hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke; orthopaedics products in support of hips, knees, trauma, spine, sports, and other; advanced and general surgery solutions that focus on breast aesthetics, ear, nose, and throat procedures; and disposable contact lenses and ophthalmic products related to cataract and laser refractive surgery under the ACUVUE brand. This segment serves wholesalers, hospitals, and retailers. The company was founded in 1886 and is based in New Brunswick, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyJohnson & Johnson generates revenue through multiple streams across its three business segments. The Pharmaceutical division is the largest revenue contributor, driven by sales of prescription drugs, particularly in areas such as immunology and oncology, where the company has key blockbuster drugs. The Medical Devices segment earns revenue through the sale of surgical instruments, orthopedic implants, and cardiovascular devices, often bolstered by partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions. The Consumer Health segment offers a variety of well-known products, which generate consistent sales in both retail and online markets. Additionally, JNJ benefits from strategic collaborations and alliances in research and development, which can lead to new product innovations and expanded market access, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Johnson & Johnson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsJohnson & Johnson's revenue in the United States shows a strong recovery, with recent quarters surpassing pre-pandemic levels, indicating robust domestic demand. In contrast, Europe and Asia Pacific and Africa have experienced more volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential economic challenges or competitive pressures. The Western Hemisphere excluding the US remains relatively stable but subdued. Without additional earnings call insights, the focus remains on sustaining US growth while addressing international market fluctuations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Johnson & Johnson demonstrated strong overall performance with significant growth across key segments and successful new product launches. Despite challenges from STELARA's loss of exclusivity and increased tax rates, the company's strategic focus and operational achievements suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Financial Performance
Worldwide sales reached $24 billion for Q3 2025, with operational sales growth of 5.4%. Adjusted net earnings were $6.8 billion, a 15.7% increase compared to 2024.
Innovative Medicine Growth
Innovative Medicine reported 5.3% operational sales growth despite a 1070 basis point headwind from STELARA. Key brands like DARZALEX and TREMFYA showed double-digit growth.
MedTech Segment Expansion
MedTech achieved 5.6% operational sales growth with strong performance in cardiovascular and surgery segments. Cardiovascular operational sales increased by approximately 12%.
Successful New Product Launches
Highlights include the FDA approval for bladder cancer treatment Inlexo and significant growth in the launch of CARVICTI, which achieved sales of $524 million with 81.4% growth.
Orthopedics Business Separation
Johnson & Johnson announced the planned separation of its Orthopedics business, which is expected to enhance strategic focus and improve margins.
Negative Updates
STELARA Loss of Exclusivity Impact
STELARA sales declined by 42% due to biosimilar competition, representing an ongoing challenge for the company.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 31.2% from 19.3% due to a $1 billion remeasurement of deferred tax balances.
Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressures
MedTech's margin declined from 24.1% to 21% due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, particularly in the Energy segment.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Johnson & Johnson reported strong financial performance and provided updated guidance highlighting continued robust growth across its sectors. The company achieved operational sales growth of 5.4%, with worldwide sales totaling $24 billion. The Innovative Medicine segment saw sales increase by 5.3%, driven by double-digit growth in 11 brands, including a remarkable 40% surge in TREMFYA sales. The MedTech sector also performed well, with operational sales growth of 5.6%. Key highlights included the launch of Inlexo for bladder cancer, projected to be a $5 billion asset, and the continued strong performance of DARZALEX and Carvicti. For the full year 2025, J&J increased its operational sales guidance to range from $93.2 billion to $93.7 billion, reflecting growth of 4.8% to 5.9%. Looking ahead to 2026, the company anticipates exceeding current revenue consensus, driven by its robust pipeline and product launches, with growth projected to surpass 5%. Additionally, J&J announced plans to separate its Orthopaedics business, aiming to enhance focus on high-growth areas within its MedTech portfolio.

Johnson & Johnson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Johnson & Johnson demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and efficient operations. The income statement shows consistent growth and high margins, while the balance sheet reflects financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flow remains strong, supporting investments and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Johnson & Johnson demonstrates strong financial performance with a notable gross profit margin of 67.9% and an impressive net profit margin of 25.0% in the TTM. Revenue growth is steady, with a 2.0% increase in the TTM compared to the previous annual period. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 24.4% and 36.8%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, reflecting prudent financial management. The company maintains a strong equity ratio of 40.6%, showcasing financial stability. Return on equity stands at 28.9%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The balance sheet is well-positioned, but there is room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust operating cash flow of $23 billion, with a healthy free cash flow of $16.77 billion in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.02, showing solid cash generation relative to earnings. While free cash flow has declined slightly compared to previous periods, the cash flow metrics remain strong, supporting ongoing investments and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.63B88.82B85.16B79.99B78.74B82.58B
Gross Profit61.55B61.35B58.61B55.39B55.34B54.16B
EBITDA35.65B24.78B23.32B26.61B26.75B23.93B
Net Income22.66B14.07B35.15B17.94B20.88B14.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets193.39B180.10B167.56B187.38B182.02B174.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.88B24.52B22.93B22.28B31.61B25.18B
Total Debt50.76B36.63B29.33B39.64B33.75B35.27B
Total Liabilities114.92B108.61B98.78B110.57B108.00B111.62B
Stockholders Equity78.47B71.49B68.77B76.80B74.02B63.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.40B19.84B18.25B17.18B19.76B20.19B
Operating Cash Flow23.03B24.27B22.79B21.19B23.41B23.54B
Investing Cash Flow-23.01B-18.60B878.00M-12.37B-8.68B-20.82B
Financing Cash Flow-6.46B-3.13B-15.82B-8.87B-14.05B-6.12B

Johnson & Johnson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price190.85
Price Trends
50DMA
179.23
Positive
100DMA
168.11
Positive
200DMA
160.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.04
Negative
RSI
76.97
Negative
STOCH
75.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JNJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 190.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 184.22, above the 50-day MA of 179.23, and above the 200-day MA of 160.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JNJ.

Johnson & Johnson Risk Analysis

Johnson & Johnson disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Johnson & Johnson reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Johnson & Johnson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$248.43B18.5732.82%3.07%12.38%-12.67%
77
Outperform
$460.40B18.4530.21%2.66%5.08%
77
Outperform
$263.16B31.4819.76%1.84%15.08%29.15%
76
Outperform
$214.06B13.2135.44%3.85%2.00%20.01%
76
Outperform
$119.92B12.178.39%4.52%-9.32%120.62%
68
Neutral
$406.84B109.60112.90%2.89%6.05%-29.75%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
191.17
31.85
19.99%
AZN
AstraZeneca
84.83
8.41
11.00%
MRK
Merck & Company
84.11
-21.72
-20.52%
NVS
Novartis
129.97
16.89
14.94%
SNY
Sanofi
48.96
-4.21
-7.92%
ABBV
AbbVie
226.22
44.02
24.16%

Johnson & Johnson Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Johnson & Johnson Elects John Morikis to Board
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced the election of John Morikis, former Executive Chairman, President, and CEO of The Sherwin-Williams Company, to its Board of Directors. Morikis, recognized for his leadership in global markets and supply chains, will contribute to Johnson & Johnson’s long-term strategy of healthcare innovation and shareholder value creation.

Executive/Board Changes
Johnson & Johnson Elects Daniel Pinto to Board
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced the election of Daniel Pinto to its Board of Directors, effective July 1, 2025. Pinto, who is the President of JPMorganChase, will also serve on the Audit and Compensation & Benefits Committees. His appointment is significant as JPMorganChase has been a major banking service provider to Johnson & Johnson, with the company paying approximately $39.2 million for various services in fiscal year 2024.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2025