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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
NYSE:JNJ

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) AI Stock Analysis

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JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

(NYSE:JNJ)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$230.00
â–²(8.71% Upside)
Johnson & Johnson's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic initiatives. While the technical analysis indicates a bullish trend, the valuation is less compelling. Corporate events further support the company's strategic direction.
Positive Factors
Strong Product Pipeline
The approval and growth of new products like Inlexo and CARVICTI highlight J&J's robust pipeline, ensuring long-term revenue growth and market leadership in innovative treatments.
Global Market Expansion
Entry into China's drug catalog expands J&J's market reach, providing access to a large consumer base and supporting sustained revenue growth in a key international market.
Operational Sales Growth
Consistent operational sales growth across key segments indicates effective business strategies and strong market demand, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Loss of Exclusivity
The loss of exclusivity for STELARA poses a significant challenge, potentially impacting revenue and necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate competitive pressures.
Increased Tax Rate
A higher effective tax rate reduces net earnings and could constrain financial resources available for reinvestment, affecting long-term profitability.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting J&J's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain its competitive edge.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Johnson & Johnson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJohnson & Johnson, together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells various products in the healthcare field worldwide, but strategically separated its Consumer Health business into Kenvue Inc. in 2023 to focus on its higher-growth, innovation-driven segments; the former Consumer Health brands (including TYLENOL, LISTERINE, and BAND-AID) are now owned by Kenvue. The company's core focus is now split between its Innovative Medicine (formerly Pharmaceutical) segment, which offers prescription products for complex diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, various cancers, HIV/AIDS, and neurodegenerative disorders; and its MedTech (Medical Devices) segment, which provides advanced technology solutions including electrophysiology products, neurovascular care products, orthopaedics (hips, knees, spine), advanced surgery solutions, and disposable contact lenses under the ACUVUE brand. Company's two remaining segments primarily serve hospitals, healthcare professionals, wholesalers, and retailers, continuing its mission of advancing human health since its founding in 1886 and its current basing in New Brunswick, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyJohnson & Johnson generates revenue through a diversified business model that encompasses three primary segments: Pharmaceuticals, Medical Devices, and Consumer Health. The Pharmaceutical segment, which contributes a substantial portion of revenue, includes products for immunology, oncology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases, among others. The Medical Devices segment includes a wide range of surgical instruments, orthopedics, and interventional solutions, while the Consumer Health segment features well-known brands such as Tylenol, Band-Aid, and Neutrogena. Key revenue streams include direct sales to healthcare providers, hospitals, and consumers, as well as partnerships and collaborations with other healthcare organizations for research and development. The company also benefits from a strong global distribution network and strategic acquisitions that enhance its product offerings and market reach. Factors such as ongoing innovation, regulatory approvals for new drugs, and the expansion of existing product lines significantly contribute to Johnson & Johnson's earnings.

Johnson & Johnson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsJohnson & Johnson's revenue in the United States shows a strong recovery, with recent quarters surpassing pre-pandemic levels, indicating robust domestic demand. In contrast, Europe and Asia Pacific and Africa have experienced more volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential economic challenges or competitive pressures. The Western Hemisphere excluding the US remains relatively stable but subdued. Without additional earnings call insights, the focus remains on sustaining US growth while addressing international market fluctuations.
Data provided by:The Fly

Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Johnson & Johnson demonstrated strong overall performance with significant growth across key segments and successful new product launches. Despite challenges from STELARA's loss of exclusivity and increased tax rates, the company's strategic focus and operational achievements suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Financial Performance
Worldwide sales reached $24 billion for Q3 2025, with operational sales growth of 5.4%. Adjusted net earnings were $6.8 billion, a 15.7% increase compared to 2024.
Innovative Medicine Growth
Innovative Medicine reported 5.3% operational sales growth despite a 1070 basis point headwind from STELARA. Key brands like DARZALEX and TREMFYA showed double-digit growth.
MedTech Segment Expansion
MedTech achieved 5.6% operational sales growth with strong performance in cardiovascular and surgery segments. Cardiovascular operational sales increased by approximately 12%.
Successful New Product Launches
Highlights include the FDA approval for bladder cancer treatment Inlexo and significant growth in the launch of CARVICTI, which achieved sales of $524 million with 81.4% growth.
Orthopedics Business Separation
Johnson & Johnson announced the planned separation of its Orthopedics business, which is expected to enhance strategic focus and improve margins.
Negative Updates
STELARA Loss of Exclusivity Impact
STELARA sales declined by 42% due to biosimilar competition, representing an ongoing challenge for the company.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 31.2% from 19.3% due to a $1 billion remeasurement of deferred tax balances.
Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressures
MedTech's margin declined from 24.1% to 21% due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, particularly in the Energy segment.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Johnson & Johnson reported strong financial performance and provided updated guidance highlighting continued robust growth across its sectors. The company achieved operational sales growth of 5.4%, with worldwide sales totaling $24 billion. The Innovative Medicine segment saw sales increase by 5.3%, driven by double-digit growth in 11 brands, including a remarkable 40% surge in TREMFYA sales. The MedTech sector also performed well, with operational sales growth of 5.6%. Key highlights included the launch of Inlexo for bladder cancer, projected to be a $5 billion asset, and the continued strong performance of DARZALEX and Carvicti. For the full year 2025, J&J increased its operational sales guidance to range from $93.2 billion to $93.7 billion, reflecting growth of 4.8% to 5.9%. Looking ahead to 2026, the company anticipates exceeding current revenue consensus, driven by its robust pipeline and product launches, with growth projected to surpass 5%. Additionally, J&J announced plans to separate its Orthopaedics business, aiming to enhance focus on high-growth areas within its MedTech portfolio.

Johnson & Johnson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Johnson & Johnson exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and efficient cash flow management. The company shows consistent revenue growth and effective use of equity, although the increase in debt and slight decline in net profit margin warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Johnson & Johnson's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 68.08% and a net profit margin of 27.26% for the TTM. The company has maintained steady revenue growth, with a 2.24% increase in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 34.91% and 40.00%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has decreased from previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. The return on equity is impressive at 33.69%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 41.11%, indicating a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 23.07% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, indicating efficient cash conversion. Despite the positive cash flow metrics, the decline in operating cash flow coverage ratio compared to previous years suggests potential areas for improvement in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.15B88.82B85.16B79.99B78.74B82.58B
Gross Profit62.73B61.35B58.61B55.39B55.34B54.16B
EBITDA39.56B24.78B23.32B26.61B26.75B23.93B
Net Income25.12B14.07B35.15B17.94B20.88B14.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets192.82B180.10B167.56B187.38B182.02B174.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.56B24.52B22.93B22.28B31.61B25.18B
Total Debt6.39B37.83B29.33B39.64B33.75B35.27B
Total Liabilities113.54B108.61B98.78B110.57B108.00B111.62B
Stockholders Equity79.28B71.49B68.77B76.80B74.02B63.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.06B19.84B18.25B17.18B19.76B20.19B
Operating Cash Flow24.20B24.27B22.79B21.19B23.41B23.54B
Investing Cash Flow-20.42B-18.60B878.00M-12.37B-8.68B-20.82B
Financing Cash Flow-5.51B-3.13B-15.82B-8.87B-14.05B-6.12B

Johnson & Johnson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price211.58
Price Trends
50DMA
194.81
Positive
100DMA
184.39
Positive
200DMA
169.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.03
Negative
RSI
73.97
Negative
STOCH
89.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JNJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 211.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.67, above the 50-day MA of 194.81, and above the 200-day MA of 169.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JNJ.

Johnson & Johnson Risk Analysis

Johnson & Johnson disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Johnson & Johnson reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Johnson & Johnson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$248.95B13.2739.51%3.23%1.59%58.02%
80
Outperform
$252.25B17.9532.93%3.01%11.53%-15.21%
79
Outperform
$278.70B29.6021.73%1.74%12.95%44.28%
78
Outperform
$509.76B20.4233.62%2.43%5.08%71.07%
75
Outperform
$120.76B12.328.39%4.54%-9.32%120.62%
66
Neutral
$394.69B168.51138.53%2.94%7.40%-53.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
211.58
72.00
51.58%
AZN
AstraZeneca
89.83
24.96
38.48%
MRK
Merck & Company
100.30
3.04
3.13%
NVS
Novartis
132.57
37.68
39.71%
SNY
Sanofi
48.68
4.21
9.47%
ABBV
AbbVie
223.32
57.49
34.67%

Johnson & Johnson Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Johnson & Johnson Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a 6.8% increase in sales to $24 billion and a significant rise in net earnings by 91.2%. The company also raised its full-year sales outlook to $93.7 billion, driven by strong performance in its Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. Key developments included approvals for new treatments and significant progress in its product pipeline, indicating a strategic focus on innovation and growth in priority areas. The announcement highlights the company’s robust financial health and its strategic initiatives aimed at maintaining its leadership position in the healthcare sector.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Johnson & Johnson Elects John Morikis to Board
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Johnson & Johnson announced the election of John Morikis, former Executive Chairman, President, and CEO of The Sherwin-Williams Company, to its Board of Directors. Morikis, recognized for his leadership in global markets and supply chains, will contribute to Johnson & Johnson’s long-term strategy of healthcare innovation and shareholder value creation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025