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Fastenal Company (FAST)
NASDAQ:FAST
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Fastenal Company (FAST) AI Stock Analysis

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FAST

Fastenal Company

(NASDAQ:FAST)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(11.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/25/26
Score is led by strong financial quality (margins, low leverage, strong returns and cash flow) and a generally positive earnings-call backdrop with solid demand, digital/FMI momentum and operating leverage. The rating is tempered by a high P/E valuation and a neutral-to-soft technical picture with limited positive momentum and near-term gross-margin headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and conversion
Consistent high operating cash flow and FCF (TTM $1.41B and $1.16B) underpin durable capital allocation — funds ongoing FMI rollouts, modest capex, dividends and buybacks while absorbing cyclical dips without stressing liquidity or financing needs.
Negative Factors
Gross margin pressure from pricing lag and tariffs
When supplier costs and tariffs outpace realized pricing, margin compression can persist for multiple quarters until pricing cycles complete. Structural supplier pricing power and tariff exposure can erode unit economics across core product categories if not fully passed through.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation and conversion
Consistent high operating cash flow and FCF (TTM $1.41B and $1.16B) underpin durable capital allocation — funds ongoing FMI rollouts, modest capex, dividends and buybacks while absorbing cyclical dips without stressing liquidity or financing needs.
Read all positive factors

Fastenal Company (FAST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fastenal Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, North America, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial a...
How the Company Makes Money
Fastenal primarily makes money by selling industrial and construction supplies to business customers, generating revenue through product sales across a broad MRO catalog (with fasteners as a foundational category and additional lines such as safet...

Fastenal Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Geography
Revenue By Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsFastenal's U.S. revenue is experiencing robust growth, highlighted by a significant jump in Q2 2025, aligning with the company's overall 11.7% sales increase. The earnings call underscores strong national account sales and digital integration as key drivers. However, despite this momentum, challenges like pricing complexities and potential margin pressures loom, particularly with tariff impacts. Meanwhile, revenue from Canada, Mexico, and other regions is steadily rising, reflecting successful expansion into nontraditional markets such as healthcare and education, which could mitigate domestic pricing challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Fastenal Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong organic growth, accelerating digital adoption, expanded enterprise contracts, solid operating leverage and cash generation — offset by near-term gross margin pressure driven by tariffs, branded supplier cost increases, and delayed pricing execution. Management reiterated its strategic priorities (key accounts, FMI growth, international expansion) and committed to continued pricing actions and cost discipline. While Q2 may remain challenging on a price/cost basis, the underlying demand, market share gains, and financial discipline suggest a constructive multi-quarter outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Daily sales increased 12.4% year over year to $34.9 million per day for the quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure from Pricing Lag
Gross margin was approximately 40 basis points below the company's Q1 target and roughly 50 basis points below prior-year levels because tariff-related and other cost increases moved through the P&L faster than pricing actions could be implemented.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Daily sales increased 12.4% year over year to $34.9 million per day for the quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: management reiterated full‑year net capital expenditures of about $320 million (≈3.5% of net sales) with Q1 net CapEx ≈ $58 million, said pricing actions will continue (maintaining a cumulative 5–8% pricing expectation and expecting price/cost dynamics to start plateauing around midyear), and confirmed prior incremental‑margin commentary (high‑20s possible); they view AIPA/122/232 tariff changes as limited in P&L impact (232 unchanged). Key operating metrics cited as context for the outlook: Q1 daily sales +12.4% to $34.9M/day, operating margin 20.3% (+20 bps YoY), gross margin ~40 bps below their Q1 target (≈50 bps YoY shortfall) with realized pricing ~3.5% YoY (vs 3.3% in Q4), SG&A 24.3% of sales (vs 25% LY), digital channels 61.5% of sales (digital daily sales +13.6%), FMI driving ~45% of Q1 sales (FMI signings ≈7,000 in the quarter, ~110/day, +8% YoY; active devices +≈6%), e‑business daily sales +~7% (electronic transactions ≈30% of sales), operating cash flow ≈$378M (111% of net income), Q1 shareholder returns $296M (≈87% of net income), and TTM ROIC ≈31% (up ~180 bps).

Fastenal Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals with strong profitability (TTM gross margin ~45%, operating margin ~20%, net margin ~15%), conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11), excellent returns (TTM ROE ~33%), and robust cash generation (TTM FCF ~$1.16B with good conversion). Main constraint is slower revenue growth and some historical FCF growth volatility.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.44B8.20B7.55B7.35B6.98B6.01B
Gross Profit3.79B3.69B3.40B3.35B3.22B2.78B
EBITDA1.80B1.66B1.69B1.71B1.63B1.39B
Net Income1.30B1.26B1.15B1.16B1.09B925.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.21B5.05B4.70B4.46B4.55B4.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments308.60M276.80M255.80M221.30M230.10M236.20M
Total Debt445.50M441.90M485.40M535.00M802.10M636.80M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.11B1.08B1.11B1.39B1.26B
Stockholders Equity3.99B3.94B3.62B3.35B3.16B3.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B1.05B946.80M1.26B767.20M613.50M
Operating Cash Flow1.41B1.30B1.17B1.43B941.00M770.10M
Investing Cash Flow-234.70M-231.00M-214.50M-161.20M-163.00M-148.50M
Financing Cash Flow-1.11B-1.05B-913.70M-1.28B-774.90M-627.10M

Fastenal Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.78
Price Trends
50DMA
45.98
Negative
100DMA
43.95
Positive
200DMA
44.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.61
Neutral
STOCH
23.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FAST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.81, below the 50-day MA of 45.98, and above the 200-day MA of 44.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FAST.

Fastenal Company Risk Analysis

Fastenal Company disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fastenal Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fastenal Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.12B24.9521.74%0.70%6.14%6.24%
77
Outperform
$54.81B28.3345.93%0.86%4.51%-8.75%
76
Outperform
$51.98B39.2033.25%2.10%10.94%12.68%
66
Neutral
$15.36B18.9213.02%0.72%7.76%-0.29%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$5.82B31.3015.00%3.96%2.16%-2.18%
50
Neutral
$14.67B19.301.31%3.33%4.79%-92.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FAST
Fastenal Company
44.68
5.36
13.64%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
301.24
60.65
25.21%
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
105.41
-9.06
-7.91%
MSM
MSC Industrial
102.89
28.86
38.99%
GWW
WW Grainger
1,160.14
156.32
15.57%
WCC
Wesco International
306.43
146.08
91.10%

Fastenal Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fastenal Shareholders Endorse Leadership, Reject Added Diversity Reporting
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
At its April 23, 2026 annual meeting in Winona, Minnesota, Fastenal shareholders elected an 11-member board of directors and overwhelmingly ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditor for the 2026 fiscal year. Investors also backed ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026