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W.W. Grainger (GWW)
NYSE:GWW
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WW Grainger (GWW) AI Stock Analysis

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GWW

WW Grainger

(NYSE:GWW)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$1,425.00
â–²(22.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/09/26
Overall score reflects strong fundamentals and an upbeat earnings outlook (raised full-year guidance on robust growth and profitability). Technicals are supportive with clear trend strength, while valuation is the main constraint due to a premium P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Broad MRO distribution and omnichannel model
Grainger’s multi-channel model—large High‑Touch solutions plus online Endless Assortment businesses like Zoro and MonotaRO—creates durable revenue diversification across customer sizes and end markets. Scale, wide assortment and inventory services support sticky customer relationships and repeat revenue over time.
Negative Factors
Recent deceleration in revenue growth
The clear slowdown from earlier mid‑to‑high single‑digit growth to low single digits reduces the tailwind from scale and diminishes operating leverage. Persistently slower top‑line growth would increase reliance on pricing and margin improvements to sustain earnings growth over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad MRO distribution and omnichannel model
Grainger’s multi-channel model—large High‑Touch solutions plus online Endless Assortment businesses like Zoro and MonotaRO—creates durable revenue diversification across customer sizes and end markets. Scale, wide assortment and inventory services support sticky customer relationships and repeat revenue over time.
Read all positive factors

WW Grainger (GWW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WW Grainger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
W.W. Grainger, Inc. distributes maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services in the United States, Japan, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, High-Touch Solutions N.A. and E...
How the Company Makes Money
Grainger makes money primarily by purchasing MRO and related products from manufacturers and reselling them to end customers at a markup through multiple channels (e-commerce sites, digital ordering tools, inside/outside sales, and branches). Its ...

WW Grainger Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across various business segments, revealing which areas contribute most to overall revenue and indicating potential areas for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsEndless Assortment is clearly the growth engine—accelerating faster than High‑Touch and driving the recent inflection in company revenue—while High‑Touch shows steadier, slower share gains. That mix benefits top‑line momentum but creates a margin headwind; management is banking on pricing, cost actions, the U.K. exit and efficiency gains to more than offset tariff/LIFO and SG&A pressure. For investors, watch margin cadence and execution of those offsets—the revenue story is intact, but profitability hinges on delivery.
Data provided by:The Fly

WW Grainger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong, broad-based revenue and profit growth, healthy cash generation, and raised full-year guidance driven by solid price realization, share gains, and strength in both High-Touch and Endless Assortment segments. Counterbalancing these positives are near-term margin headwinds from fuel costs, private-label cost timing, LIFO accounting effects, and geopolitical/tariff uncertainty that are expected to pressure margins in Q2. Overall, management projects these headwinds as transitory while emphasizing continued execution and confidence in long-term strategy.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total company reported sales increased 10.1% year-over-year and 12.2% on a daily organic constant currency basis; preliminary April sales were up north of 13% on a daily organic constant currency basis.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Margin Pressure from Fuel and Private Label Timing
Management expects Q2 operating margins to step down to the low-15% range due to fuel cost leakage and the timing of higher-cost private label inventory hitting in Q2 (private-label cost impact ~20 bps Q1→Q2).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total company reported sales increased 10.1% year-over-year and 12.2% on a daily organic constant currency basis; preliminary April sales were up north of 13% on a daily organic constant currency basis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company raised its full‑year 2026 guide after a strong Q1 (total sales +10.1% reported, +12.2% daily organic constant currency; gross margin 40% up 30 bps; operating margin 16.7%; diluted EPS $11.65, +18.2%; operating cash flow $739M; returned $345M to shareholders), now expecting daily organic constant currency sales growth of 9.5%–12%, operating margin ticked up slightly at the midpoint, and EPS of $44.25–$46.25 (≈15% y/y at the midpoint and a $1.75 midpoint raise versus prior guide); supplemental guidance shows higher operating cash flow versus prior. Management flagged Q2 sales north of $4.9B (approaching 12% daily organic) with Q2 operating margins in the low‑15% range (Q2 gross margin roughly 39%, about a 1‑point sequential decline driven ~60 bps normal seasonality, ~20 bps private‑label costs and the remainder from fuel leakage), and noted April prelim sales north of 13% daily organic. Assumptions baked into the guide include modest market volume growth (~0–1%), price contribution moderating from ~5 points in Q1 to ~4% for the year, SG&A growth of ~5.5–6%, LIFO normalization (~70 bps Q4→Q1), and the potential for incremental headwinds (incentive comp, fuel, private‑label timing) that make added revenue dollars less profitable in the near term.

WW Grainger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and business quality (gross margin ~39–40%, operating margin ~14–16%, healthy net margin) and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.71). Offsets include slowing top-line growth (~2.4% TTM) and weaker cash conversion versus prior years (OCF ~0.96x net income; FCF ~0.65x), which reduces flexibility if conditions soften.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.38B17.94B17.17B16.48B15.23B13.02B
Gross Profit7.20B7.01B6.69B6.50B5.85B4.72B
EBITDA2.88B2.77B2.90B2.81B2.40B1.74B
Net Income1.78B1.71B1.91B1.83B1.55B1.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.47B8.96B8.83B8.15B7.59B6.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments695.00M585.00M1.04B660.00M325.00M241.00M
Total Debt2.78B3.16B3.18B2.75B2.71B2.76B
Total Liabilities5.13B4.82B5.13B4.71B4.85B4.43B
Stockholders Equity3.93B4.14B3.36B3.12B2.44B1.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.38B1.33B1.57B1.59B1.08B682.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.11B2.02B2.11B2.03B1.33B937.00M
Investing Cash Flow-698.00M-645.00M-520.00M-422.00M-263.00M-226.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.37B-1.82B-1.18B-1.28B-972.00M-1.04B

WW Grainger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1162.94
Price Trends
50DMA
1119.15
Positive
100DMA
1070.33
Positive
200DMA
1025.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.17
Negative
RSI
62.41
Neutral
STOCH
65.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GWW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1162.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1110.33, above the 50-day MA of 1119.15, and above the 200-day MA of 1025.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GWW.

WW Grainger Risk Analysis

WW Grainger disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WW Grainger reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WW Grainger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$58.25B23.2446.57%0.86%6.61%-4.69%
77
Outperform
$17.12B43.6717.84%3.38%-4.53%-7.76%
74
Outperform
$50.71B39.2033.25%2.10%10.94%12.68%
71
Outperform
$17.31B22.0213.70%0.72%11.16%6.33%
65
Neutral
$46.80B27.4135.56%1.35%-0.80%-9.36%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$5.82B31.3015.00%3.96%2.16%-2.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GWW
WW Grainger
1,233.71
173.32
16.35%
FAST
Fastenal Company
44.17
4.92
12.53%
MSM
MSC Industrial
104.28
28.48
37.58%
WSO
Watsco
420.60
-49.61
-10.55%
WCC
Wesco International
355.31
185.01
108.64%
FERG
Ferguson PLC
241.34
67.41
38.76%

WW Grainger Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
WW Grainger Shareholders Approve Directors, Auditor and Pay
Positive
May 1, 2026
W.W. Grainger shareholders held their annual meeting on April 29, 2026, with 41,240,433 of 47,329,985 eligible shares present in person or by proxy as of the March 2, 2026 record date. Management’s slate of directors, including Chairman and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026