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Pool (POOL)
NASDAQ:POOL
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Pool (POOL) AI Stock Analysis

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POOL

Pool

(NASDAQ:POOL)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$346.00
▲(6.11% Upside)
Pool Corporation's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and technical indicators, tempered by valuation concerns and mixed earnings call results. The company's strong cash flow and strategic initiatives in digital adoption are positives, but challenges in revenue growth and regional sales declines weigh on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Shares are trading up 1% following an in-line quarter and better-than-feared full-year guidance cut.
Market Share
Pool is taking market share due to initiatives.
Negative Factors
Competition
There is a weaker growth outlook due to elevated competition, leading to a lowered price objective.
Earnings Performance
Shares are down 7% following an EPS miss on weather and softer new pool/renovation spend.
Interest Rates
The pool market remains challenged due to high interest rates.

Pool (POOL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pool Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPool Corporation distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products in the United States and internationally. The company offers maintenance products, including chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights; fiberglass pools, and hot tubs and packaged pool kits comprising walls, liners, braces, and coping for in-ground and above-ground pools; pool equipment and components for new pool construction and the remodeling of existing pools; and irrigation and related products consisting of irrigation system components, and professional lawn care equipment and supplies. It also provides building materials, such as concrete, plumbing and electrical components, functional and decorative pool surfaces, decking materials, tiles, hardscapes, and natural stones for pool installations and remodeling; and commercial products, including heaters, safety equipment, and commercial pumps and filters. In addition, the company offers other pool construction and recreational products comprising discretionary recreational and related outdoor living products, such as grills and components for outdoor kitchens. It serves swimming pool remodelers and builders; specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies; swimming pool repair and service businesses; irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors; and commercial customers that serve hotels, universities, and community recreational facilities. As of March 03, 2022, the company operated 410 sales centers in North America, Europe, and Australia. Pool Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyPool generates revenue through several key streams, primarily through the sale of pool construction and renovation services, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company also profits from ongoing maintenance contracts and the retail sale of pool supplies such as chemicals, cleaning equipment, and accessories. Additionally, Pool has established strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, enabling it to offer a wide range of products at competitive prices. These partnerships often lead to favorable terms and increased sales volume. The company may also benefit from seasonal demand fluctuations, particularly during peak swimming months, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Pool Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with both positive and negative aspects. While there was commendable growth in maintenance products and certain regional markets, challenges persist in new pool construction and larger renovation projects. The company showed resilience in maintaining stable gross margins and expanding digital platform adoption. However, the lowered EPS guidance and regional sales declines indicate ongoing market pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Sales Growth
POOLCORP reported $1.8 billion in net sales for Q2 2025, up 1% from the previous year, indicating solid execution in strategic areas.
Strong Performance in Maintenance Products
Maintenance products, including private label chemical products, performed well, reflecting strong growth.
Regional Growth in Florida and Arizona
Florida and Arizona each delivered solid 2% sales growth for the quarter, driven by ongoing population growth and favorable weather patterns.
European Market Performance
Net sales in Europe increased 2% in local currency and 7% in U.S. dollars, showing positive trends in most European economies.
Gross Margin Stability
The business maintained a solid 30% gross margin for the quarter, consistent with the same period last year.
Digital Innovation and Platform Adoption
POOL360 platform transactions now represent 17% of net sales, up from 14.5% last year, reflecting strong customer adoption.
Negative Updates
Challenges in New Pool Construction
Macro uncertainties and no signs of interest rate easing continue to pressure new pool construction and larger renovation projects.
Texas and California Sales Decline
Texas and California saw challenges in new pool construction with sales down 2% and 3%, respectively, due to macroeconomic headwinds.
Horizon Segment Sales Decline
Net sales for Horizon declined 2% in the quarter, with weakness in larger development-related construction projects.
Lowered EPS Guidance
POOLCORP updated its diluted EPS guidance for the year to a range of $10.80 to $11.30, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Pool Corporation Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported net sales of $1.8 billion, marking a 1% increase from the previous year. The company maintained a stable gross margin of 30%, consistent with the same period last year. Regionally, sales growth of 2% was highlighted in Florida and Arizona, while Texas and California saw sales declines of 2% and 3%, respectively. In Europe, net sales increased by 2% in local currency and 7% in U.S. dollars. The company also updated its diluted earnings per share guidance for the year to a range of $10.80 to $11.30. Despite challenges, the company demonstrated strong performance in maintenance products and private label chemical sales, while construction-related sales saw improving trends. The POOL360 platform's transactions now account for 17% of net sales, up from 14.5% last year.

Pool Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company's financial performance is strong, with stable profitability and efficient cash flow generation. However, recent declines in revenue growth and leverage levels present some concerns. The income statement shows solid net profit margins, and the balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. Despite challenges, the overall financial health remains sound.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's income statement shows stable gross profit margins and solid net profit margins, although there has been a recent decline in revenue growth. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 29.45%, and the net profit margin at 7.78%. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline from 2024 to the TTM period. This may indicate market challenges or increased competition, but the overall profitability remains sound.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, indicating a balanced use of leverage. The equity ratio is at 35.38%, suggesting a healthy proportion of equity financing. Return on equity is reasonably strong at 31.63%, illustrating efficient use of shareholder funds. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but indicates potential risks if leverage increases further.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong free cash flow generation, although there is a decline in free cash flow growth recently. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.18, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.06, demonstrating healthy cash flow relative to earnings. Despite recent declines, cash flow generation remains robust.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.31B5.54B6.18B5.30B3.94B
Gross Profit1.58B1.66B1.93B1.62B1.13B
EBITDA662.68M786.71M1.06B862.81M493.43M
Net Income434.32M523.23M748.46M650.62M366.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.37B3.43B3.57B3.23B1.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.86M66.54M45.59M24.32M34.13M
Total Debt1.27B1.36B1.66B1.43B623.84M
Total Liabilities2.09B2.12B2.33B2.16B1.10B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.31B1.24B1.07B639.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow599.71M828.13M441.24M275.83M375.88M
Operating Cash Flow659.19M888.23M484.85M313.49M397.58M
Investing Cash Flow-66.17M-71.60M-50.87M-849.61M-146.29M
Financing Cash Flow-576.55M-798.13M-411.66M526.13M-244.37M

Pool Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price326.09
Price Trends
50DMA
303.14
Positive
100DMA
304.16
Positive
200DMA
325.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.04
Negative
RSI
63.86
Neutral
STOCH
87.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For POOL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 326.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 312.36, above the 50-day MA of 303.14, and above the 200-day MA of 325.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for POOL.

Pool Risk Analysis

Pool disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pool reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pool Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$10.31B27.1522.24%0.64%1.88%2.91%
77
Outperform
$6.31B51.407.76%4.38%-18.94%
75
Outperform
$12.72B29.9125.11%10.80%0.98%
71
Outperform
$11.67B28.8730.02%1.50%-1.71%-8.90%
69
Neutral
$17.17B32.3518.38%2.64%0.98%0.80%
63
Neutral
$10.80B16.556.58%2.06%2.37%-15.86%
£32.86B26.7729.28%1.26%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
POOL
Pool
326.09
-15.93
-4.66%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
273.04
74.03
37.20%
WSO
Watsco
421.62
-45.11
-9.67%
SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply
141.33
3.33
2.41%
GB:FERG
Ferguson PLC
16,940.00
897.50
5.59%
CNM
Core & Main
64.51
13.14
25.58%

Pool Corporate Events

Dividends
Pool Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Pool Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.25 per share, payable on August 28, 2025, to shareholders of record on August 14, 2025. This announcement underscores Pool Corporation’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning as a leading distributor in the swimming pool industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (POOL) stock is a Hold with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pool stock, see the POOL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pool Corporation Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Pool Corporation reported its second quarter results, showing a 1% increase in net sales to $1.8 billion compared to the same period in 2024, driven by strong execution of strategic initiatives. The company achieved a gross margin of 30.0% and an operating income of $272.7 million. Despite a constrained market environment, Pool Corporation updated its annual earnings guidance to $10.80 – $11.30 per diluted share, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and the strength of the outdoor living industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (POOL) stock is a Hold with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pool stock, see the POOL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pool Corporation Amends Credit Agreement for Flexibility
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Pool Corporation entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, which involved refinancing a $500 million term loan, extending its maturity to September 30, 2029, and removing a Term SOFR adjustment. The agreement maintains an $800 million unsecured revolving credit facility and includes features like an accordion feature for additional loans and the option to extend the maturity date. Additionally, Pool Corporation executed a Fourth Amendment to a separate Credit Agreement, aligning its maturity with the new agreement. These financial adjustments aim to enhance the company’s liquidity and financial flexibility, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (POOL) stock is a Hold with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pool stock, see the POOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025