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SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE)
NYSE:SITE

SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) AI Stock Analysis

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SiteOne Landscape Supply

(NYSE:SITE)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$124.00
▲( 7.09% Upside)
SiteOne's financial performance and strategic growth initiatives provide a solid foundation, but the high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution. Key strengths include revenue growth and successful acquisitions, while challenges like flat organic sales and increased net loss weigh on the score. The cautious optimism from the earnings call and a need for operational improvements are reflected in the overall score.
Positive Factors
Company-Specific Initiatives
Company-Specific Initiatives are expected to drive above-market growth, including expansion in white-spaces and leveraging commercial initiatives.
Market Share Growth
Since its IPO in 2016, SiteOne has significantly increased its share in the North American wholesale landscaping distribution industry.
Negative Factors
Mixed End-Market Dynamics
Mixed end-market dynamics are expected to offset the company's initiatives over the next 12 months.
Weaker Construction Activity
Weaker R&R and Non-Residential Construction Activity is expected to contribute to flat demand next year.

SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SiteOne Landscape Supply Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada. The company provides a selection of approximately 135,000 stock keeping units, including irrigation supplies, which comprise controllers, valves, sprinkler heads, and irrigation pipes; fertilizer, grass seed, and ice melt products; control products, such as herbicides, fungicides, rodenticides, and other pesticides; landscape accessories that include mulches, soil amendments, drainage pipes, tools, and sods; nursery goods, which consist of deciduous and evergreen shrubs, ornamental, shade, evergreen trees, field grown and container-grown nursery stock, roses, perennials, annuals, bulbs, and plant species; hardscapes, such as pavers, natural stones, blocks, and other durable materials; and outdoor lighting products that include lighting fixtures, LED lamps, wires, transformers, and accessories. It also offers consultative services consisting of assistance with irrigation network design, commercial project planning, generation of sales leads, business operations, product support services, and a series of technical and business management seminars; and distributes branded products of third parties. The company offers its products under the LESCO, SiteOne Green Tech, and Pro-Trade brand names. It markets its products primarily to residential and commercial landscape professionals who specialize in the design, installation, and maintenance of lawns, gardens, golf courses, and other outdoor spaces through branch network and direct distribution. As of January 2, 2022, the company had approximately 590 branches in 45 U.S. States and six Canadian provinces. SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Roswell, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySiteOne Landscape Supply generates revenue primarily through the sale of landscape and irrigation products to professional contractors and landscape service providers. The company's revenue streams are driven by its broad product portfolio, which encompasses consumables and equipment used in landscaping projects. SiteOne operates through a network of branches that ensure product availability and offer value-added services such as design consultation, technical support, and training. Seasonal demand, particularly during peak landscaping periods, influences the company's sales. Additionally, strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers allow SiteOne to maintain a competitive edge with a wide array of quality products. The company's growth strategy includes expanding its product offerings, enhancing customer service, and acquiring complementary businesses to increase market share and drive sales growth.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SiteOne Landscape Supply demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable financial position, typical of a company in the industrial distribution sector. While profitability margins suggest room for operational improvements, the company's leverage is well managed, and cash flow generation remains solid. Continued focus on operational efficiency and effective capital management could further strengthen financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SiteOne Landscape Supply shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a consistent increase in total revenue from previous years. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 35%, indicative of good cost management and pricing strategies. However, net profit margins have slightly decreased over time, suggesting that operating expenses have been rising or there is pressure on pricing. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are satisfactory, but there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing that a good portion of the assets is financed by equity. Return on equity (ROE) has seen slight fluctuations, suggesting that there is potential to enhance income generation relative to shareholder equity. Overall, the company maintains a balanced financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
SiteOne's cash flow performance is stable, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been inconsistent, pointing to variations in capital expenditure or operational cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, highlighting the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow, though improvements in managing capital expenditures could further enhance cash flow performance.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.58B4.54B4.30B4.01B3.48B2.70B
Gross Profit
1.60B1.56B1.49B1.42B1.21B901.30M
EBIT
181.70M192.30M250.30M333.10M313.70M179.80M
EBITDA
328.70M339.40M378.00M436.90M396.70M247.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
115.60M123.60M173.40M245.40M238.40M121.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
41.50M107.10M82.50M29.10M53.70M55.20M
Total Assets
2.98B3.07B2.83B2.53B2.12B1.70B
Total Debt
937.60M951.30M861.40M739.50M606.90M568.00M
Net Debt
896.10M844.20M778.90M710.40M553.20M512.80M
Total Liabilities
1.51B1.48B1.34B1.23B1.06B900.70M
Stockholders Equity
1.47B1.57B1.49B1.30B1.06B795.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
202.40M238.60M261.50M175.50M173.80M203.60M
Operating Cash Flow
253.10M283.40M297.50M217.20M210.80M229.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-190.80M-177.10M-226.00M-284.40M-182.00M-184.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-46.60M-80.90M-18.30M43.40M-30.40M-9.10M

SiteOne Landscape Supply Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price115.79
Price Trends
50DMA
118.66
Negative
100DMA
126.65
Negative
200DMA
134.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
43.38
Neutral
STOCH
10.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SITE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 115.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.06, below the 50-day MA of 118.66, and below the 200-day MA of 134.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SITE.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Risk Analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SiteOne Landscape Supply reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SiteOne Landscape Supply Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CNCNM
78
Outperform
$10.47B24.9426.10%11.03%-0.85%
AIAIT
72
Outperform
$8.50B22.3922.23%0.70%0.50%4.48%
WSWSO
70
Outperform
$18.51B35.0218.91%2.43%3.92%1.09%
MSMSM
69
Neutral
$4.41B20.8115.53%4.28%-5.71%-31.93%
68
Neutral
$11.82B29.4931.49%1.58%-3.56%-16.75%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.20%249.38%3.96%-12.36%
64
Neutral
$5.19B45.907.64%4.73%-27.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply
115.79
-38.53
-24.97%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
222.81
28.45
14.64%
MSM
MSC Industrial
78.68
-5.96
-7.04%
POOL
Pool
302.29
-54.98
-15.39%
WSO
Watsco
455.22
-23.55
-4.92%
CNM
Core & Main
53.06
-7.09
-11.79%

SiteOne Landscape Supply Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted SiteOne's strong start to 2025 with positive sales growth, successful acquisition strategy, and significant digital sales increase. However, challenges included flat organic sales volume, gross margin decline, and increased net loss. The outlook for acquisitions in 2025 is uncertain due to macroeconomic factors.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Start to 2025
Achieved 4% net sales growth and 6% growth in adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025 despite challenging weather conditions and a late spring season.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Added two companies to SiteOne in early 2025, marking over 100 acquisitions since 2014, contributing to a stronger product portfolio and team expansion.
Digital Sales Growth
Digital sales grew by 140% in Q1 2025 on top of 180% growth in 2024, driven by increased adoption of the siteone.com platform.
Improved SG&A Leverage
SG&A for the base business decreased by 3% in Q1 2025 due to cost control actions from 2024.
Positive Sales Momentum
Volume growth turned positive in March and continued into April, with expectations for low-single-digit organic daily sales growth in 2025.
Negative Updates
Flat Organic Sales Volume
Organic daily sales decreased by 1% in Q1 2025, with flat organic sales volume due to weather challenges and a softer repair and remodel market.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 30 basis points in Q1 2025 due to lower price realization and higher freight costs.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss attributable to SiteOne increased to $27.3 million in Q1 2025 from $19.3 million in the prior year period.
Commodity Price Deflation
Continued price deflation in commodity products like PVC pipe (down 21%) and grass seed (down 10%) in Q1 2025.
Uncertain M&A Outlook
2025 may be a lighter year for acquisitions due to macroeconomic uncertainties, with lower acquired revenue expected.
Company Guidance
During SiteOne Landscape Supply's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on its performance metrics and strategic initiatives. SiteOne achieved 4% net sales growth and a 6% increase in adjusted EBITDA, despite challenging weather conditions and late spring onset. The company reported a net sales increase that was offset by a 1% decline in organic daily sales, which was influenced by a softer repair and remodel end market and colder weather. Despite facing price deflation of 1%, the company anticipates modest price inflation going forward, with a full-year pricing outlook of flat to up 1%, driven by supplier price increases due to tariffs. Gross margins are expected to remain steady, with improvements anticipated in SG&A leverage. SiteOne's acquisition strategy added two companies, contributing $20 million in revenue. Looking ahead, the company forecasts low-single-digit organic daily sales growth and full-year adjusted EBITDA between $400 million and $430 million, not including potential contributions from future acquisitions.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SiteOne Landscape Supply Updates Board Structure and By-Laws
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 14, 2025, SiteOne Landscape Supply held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved an amendment to declassify the board of directors. The company filed the amendment on May 16, 2025, and also updated its by-laws to reflect these changes, including procedural updates for stockholder meetings and director nominations. Additionally, stockholders elected three directors, approved Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and supported executive compensation plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (SITE) stock is a Sell with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SiteOne Landscape Supply stock, see the SITE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
SiteOne Landscape Supply EVP Brisendine Resigns
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Briley Brisendine, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary of SiteOne Landscape Supply, announced his resignation. He will step down from his current role on April 13, 2025, but will continue to provide transition services until October 31, 2025, under a Letter Agreement. During this period, he will receive a monthly salary of $2,500 without additional compensation, and the agreement includes a general release of claims, confidentiality, and non-disparagement provisions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.