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SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE)
NYSE:SITE
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SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) AI Stock Analysis

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SITE

SiteOne Landscape Supply

(NYSE:SITE)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$133.00
▲(0.18%Upside)
SiteOne Landscape Supply's overall stock score of 66 reflects a company with solid revenue growth and a stable financial position, offset by high valuation and operational challenges. While the earnings call was positive on growth and acquisitions, margin pressures and uncertain M&A outlook pose risks.
Positive Factors
Management Outlook
Management’s tone was more upbeat than expected on demand trends, and PVC deflation sounded better.
Margin Expansion
SiteOne is expected to expand margins even in a soft macro environment due to fixing underperforming branches, right-sizing headcount, improved Pioneer margins, and charging for freight more consistently.
Market Share
Maintenance volumes impressed, and it is believed SiteOne is taking market share.
Negative Factors
Demand Environment
The demand environment was characterized as 'sluggish', but contractors are still 'plenty busy.'
Demand Expectations
SiteOne is anticipated to miss second-quarter expectations and cut guidance on softer demand.
Economic Conditions
Landscape demand was softer than expected largely due to rainy weather and economic uncertainty.

SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SiteOne Landscape Supply Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada. The company provides a selection of approximately 135,000 stock keeping units, including irrigation supplies, which comprise controllers, valves, sprinkler heads, and irrigation pipes; fertilizer, grass seed, and ice melt products; control products, such as herbicides, fungicides, rodenticides, and other pesticides; landscape accessories that include mulches, soil amendments, drainage pipes, tools, and sods; nursery goods, which consist of deciduous and evergreen shrubs, ornamental, shade, evergreen trees, field grown and container-grown nursery stock, roses, perennials, annuals, bulbs, and plant species; hardscapes, such as pavers, natural stones, blocks, and other durable materials; and outdoor lighting products that include lighting fixtures, LED lamps, wires, transformers, and accessories. It also offers consultative services consisting of assistance with irrigation network design, commercial project planning, generation of sales leads, business operations, product support services, and a series of technical and business management seminars; and distributes branded products of third parties. The company offers its products under the LESCO, SiteOne Green Tech, and Pro-Trade brand names. It markets its products primarily to residential and commercial landscape professionals who specialize in the design, installation, and maintenance of lawns, gardens, golf courses, and other outdoor spaces through branch network and direct distribution. As of January 2, 2022, the company had approximately 590 branches in 45 U.S. States and six Canadian provinces. SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Roswell, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySiteOne Landscape Supply generates revenue primarily through the sale of landscape and irrigation products to professional contractors and landscape service providers. The company's revenue streams are driven by its broad product portfolio, which encompasses consumables and equipment used in landscaping projects. SiteOne operates through a network of branches that ensure product availability and offer value-added services such as design consultation, technical support, and training. Seasonal demand, particularly during peak landscaping periods, influences the company's sales. Additionally, strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers allow SiteOne to maintain a competitive edge with a wide array of quality products. The company's growth strategy includes expanding its product offerings, enhancing customer service, and acquiring complementary businesses to increase market share and drive sales growth.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted SiteOne's strong start to 2025 with positive sales growth, successful acquisition strategy, and significant digital sales increase. However, challenges included flat organic sales volume, gross margin decline, and increased net loss. The outlook for acquisitions in 2025 is uncertain due to macroeconomic factors.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Start to 2025
Achieved 4% net sales growth and 6% growth in adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025 despite challenging weather conditions and a late spring season.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Added two companies to SiteOne in early 2025, marking over 100 acquisitions since 2014, contributing to a stronger product portfolio and team expansion.
Digital Sales Growth
Digital sales grew by 140% in Q1 2025 on top of 180% growth in 2024, driven by increased adoption of the siteone.com platform.
Improved SG&A Leverage
SG&A for the base business decreased by 3% in Q1 2025 due to cost control actions from 2024.
Positive Sales Momentum
Volume growth turned positive in March and continued into April, with expectations for low-single-digit organic daily sales growth in 2025.
Negative Updates
Flat Organic Sales Volume
Organic daily sales decreased by 1% in Q1 2025, with flat organic sales volume due to weather challenges and a softer repair and remodel market.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 30 basis points in Q1 2025 due to lower price realization and higher freight costs.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss attributable to SiteOne increased to $27.3 million in Q1 2025 from $19.3 million in the prior year period.
Commodity Price Deflation
Continued price deflation in commodity products like PVC pipe (down 21%) and grass seed (down 10%) in Q1 2025.
Uncertain M&A Outlook
2025 may be a lighter year for acquisitions due to macroeconomic uncertainties, with lower acquired revenue expected.
Company Guidance
During SiteOne Landscape Supply's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on its performance metrics and strategic initiatives. SiteOne achieved 4% net sales growth and a 6% increase in adjusted EBITDA, despite challenging weather conditions and late spring onset. The company reported a net sales increase that was offset by a 1% decline in organic daily sales, which was influenced by a softer repair and remodel end market and colder weather. Despite facing price deflation of 1%, the company anticipates modest price inflation going forward, with a full-year pricing outlook of flat to up 1%, driven by supplier price increases due to tariffs. Gross margins are expected to remain steady, with improvements anticipated in SG&A leverage. SiteOne's acquisition strategy added two companies, contributing $20 million in revenue. Looking ahead, the company forecasts low-single-digit organic daily sales growth and full-year adjusted EBITDA between $400 million and $430 million, not including potential contributions from future acquisitions.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SiteOne Landscape Supply demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable financial position. Profitability margins suggest room for operational improvements, but leverage is well managed, and cash flow generation remains solid.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SiteOne Landscape Supply shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a consistent increase in total revenue from previous years. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 35%, indicative of good cost management and pricing strategies. However, net profit margins have slightly decreased over time, suggesting that operating expenses have been rising or there is pressure on pricing. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are satisfactory, but there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing that a good portion of the assets is financed by equity. Return on equity (ROE) has seen slight fluctuations, suggesting that there is potential to enhance income generation relative to shareholder equity. Overall, the company maintains a balanced financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
SiteOne's cash flow performance is stable, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been inconsistent, pointing to variations in capital expenditure or operational cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, highlighting the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow, though improvements in managing capital expenditures could further enhance cash flow performance.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.54B4.30B4.01B3.48B2.70B
Gross Profit1.56B1.49B1.42B1.21B901.30M
EBITDA339.40M378.00M436.90M396.70M247.00M
Net Income123.60M173.40M245.40M238.40M121.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.07B2.83B2.53B2.12B1.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.10M82.50M29.10M53.70M55.20M
Total Debt951.30M861.40M739.50M606.90M568.00M
Total Liabilities1.48B1.34B1.23B1.06B900.70M
Stockholders Equity1.57B1.49B1.30B1.06B795.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow238.60M261.50M175.50M173.80M203.60M
Operating Cash Flow283.40M297.50M217.20M210.80M229.40M
Investing Cash Flow-177.10M-226.00M-284.40M-182.00M-184.20M
Financing Cash Flow-80.90M-18.30M43.40M-30.40M-9.10M

SiteOne Landscape Supply Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price132.76
Price Trends
50DMA
122.82
Positive
100DMA
121.02
Positive
200DMA
131.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.77
Negative
RSI
60.60
Neutral
STOCH
80.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SITE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 132.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.51, above the 50-day MA of 122.82, and above the 200-day MA of 131.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SITE.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Risk Analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SiteOne Landscape Supply reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SiteOne Landscape Supply Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.64B37.4018.91%2.33%3.92%1.09%
75
Outperform
$12.85B30.2125.11%10.80%0.98%
74
Outperform
$4.85B24.7114.34%3.91%-4.11%-31.26%
73
Outperform
$10.21B26.7822.23%0.62%0.50%4.48%
70
Outperform
$12.27B29.2330.09%1.49%-1.71%-8.68%
67
Neutral
£2.85B10.424.69%215.06%2.73%-20.56%
66
Neutral
$5.88B52.047.64%4.73%-27.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply
132.76
-12.74
-8.76%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
272.13
58.62
27.46%
MSM
MSC Industrial
87.36
3.30
3.93%
POOL
Pool
324.90
-41.60
-11.35%
WSO
Watsco
489.97
-8.87
-1.78%
CNM
Core & Main
65.77
12.24
22.87%

SiteOne Landscape Supply Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SiteOne Landscape Supply Updates Board Structure and By-Laws
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 14, 2025, SiteOne Landscape Supply held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved an amendment to declassify the board of directors. The company filed the amendment on May 16, 2025, and also updated its by-laws to reflect these changes, including procedural updates for stockholder meetings and director nominations. Additionally, stockholders elected three directors, approved Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and supported executive compensation plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (SITE) stock is a Sell with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SiteOne Landscape Supply stock, see the SITE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025