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SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE)
NYSE:SITE
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SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) AI Stock Analysis

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SITE

SiteOne Landscape Supply

(NYSE:SITE)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$156.00
▲(10.38% Upside)
SiteOne Landscape Supply demonstrates strong financial health and effective management, leading to a solid overall score. Key strengths include robust revenue growth, market share gains, and strategic acquisitions. However, high valuation and challenges in specific market segments are notable risks that temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Shares are up 10% after solid second-quarter results and, more importantly, a reiterated full-year EBITDA guide.
Operational Efficiency
Resilient volumes and higher EBITDA margins were achieved due to gross margin initiatives and SG&A controls.
Negative Factors
Market Demand
End-market demand is expected to be down slightly overall.
Market Valuation
Bears will push back on valuation at 17 times NTM EBITDA, weak organic growth, and a slower year for M&A activity.

SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SiteOne Landscape Supply Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada. The company provides a selection of approximately 135,000 stock keeping units, including irrigation supplies, which comprise controllers, valves, sprinkler heads, and irrigation pipes; fertilizer, grass seed, and ice melt products; control products, such as herbicides, fungicides, rodenticides, and other pesticides; landscape accessories that include mulches, soil amendments, drainage pipes, tools, and sods; nursery goods, which consist of deciduous and evergreen shrubs, ornamental, shade, evergreen trees, field grown and container-grown nursery stock, roses, perennials, annuals, bulbs, and plant species; hardscapes, such as pavers, natural stones, blocks, and other durable materials; and outdoor lighting products that include lighting fixtures, LED lamps, wires, transformers, and accessories. It also offers consultative services consisting of assistance with irrigation network design, commercial project planning, generation of sales leads, business operations, product support services, and a series of technical and business management seminars; and distributes branded products of third parties. The company offers its products under the LESCO, SiteOne Green Tech, and Pro-Trade brand names. It markets its products primarily to residential and commercial landscape professionals who specialize in the design, installation, and maintenance of lawns, gardens, golf courses, and other outdoor spaces through branch network and direct distribution. As of January 2, 2022, the company had approximately 590 branches in 45 U.S. States and six Canadian provinces. SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Roswell, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySiteOne generates revenue primarily through the sale of landscape supplies to professional contractors. Its revenue model is based on wholesale distribution, where it purchases products from manufacturers and sells them at a markup to its customers. Key revenue streams include sales of hardscape materials, irrigation products, and nursery items. Additionally, the company benefits from seasonal demand fluctuations, particularly in spring and summer. SiteOne also engages in strategic partnerships with manufacturers to secure exclusive distribution rights and favorable pricing, enhancing its competitive edge and contributing to its overall earnings.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company managing well through a challenging market environment. While there are significant achievements in market share gains, cost management, and digital growth, challenges persist in the new residential construction market and pricing pressures in key product lines.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Achieved 3% net sales growth and 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA, with a 60 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin to 15.5%.
Market Share Gains
Continued to gain market share in a fragmented market, with 7% organic daily sales growth in agronomic products.
Acquisition Milestones
Completed the 100th acquisition, adding over $2 billion in acquired revenue since 2014, with a robust pipeline for future deals.
SG&A Leverage Improvement
SG&A as a percent of net sales decreased by 40 basis points, demonstrating strong execution and cost management.
Digital and Private Label Growth
Digital sales grew by over 130%, and private label brands like Pro-Trade saw over 30% growth in the first half of the year.
Negative Updates
Softness in New Residential Construction
New residential construction market down, particularly in high-growth areas like Texas, Florida, and California, impacting sales.
Price Deflation in Key Products
Continued price deflation in products like PVC pipe and grass seed, with PVC down approximately 15% and grass seed down 9% year-over-year.
Lower Acquisition Revenue
2025 expected to be a lighter year in terms of acquired revenue due to smaller average acquisition sizes.
Challenges with Focus Branches
Focus branches, including Pioneer, are underperforming with low single-digit EBITDA margins, requiring significant improvement efforts.
Company Guidance
During the SiteOne Landscape Supply second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 3% increase in net sales and an 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA. Despite facing broader economic uncertainties and softer end markets, SiteOne achieved excellent SG&A leverage and a 30-basis point improvement in gross margin to 36.4%. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 60 basis points to 15.5%. The maintenance, repair, and upgrade markets, which account for 65% of their business, remained steady, contributing to a 7% organic daily sales growth in their agronomic products. The company also highlighted its acquisition strategy, having completed its 100th acquisition in March and adding two more companies in July, which bolstered its market presence and product line capability. Looking forward, SiteOne expects continued solid adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in 2025, with an anticipated range of $400 million to $430 million, driven by improved pricing and ongoing market share gains.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SiteOne Landscape Supply exhibits strong revenue growth and stable financial positioning typical of its sector. While the company maintains a balanced leverage and consistent cash flow generation, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency and profitability margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SiteOne Landscape Supply shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a consistent increase in total revenue from previous years. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 35%, indicative of good cost management and pricing strategies. However, net profit margins have slightly decreased over time, suggesting that operating expenses have been rising or there is pressure on pricing. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are satisfactory, but there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing that a good portion of the assets is financed by equity. Return on equity (ROE) has seen slight fluctuations, suggesting that there is potential to enhance income generation relative to shareholder equity. Overall, the company maintains a balanced financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
SiteOne's cash flow performance is stable, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been inconsistent, pointing to variations in capital expenditure or operational cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, highlighting the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow, though improvements in managing capital expenditures could further enhance cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.62B4.54B4.30B4.01B3.48B2.70B
Gross Profit1.66B1.56B1.49B1.42B1.21B901.30M
EBITDA273.40M339.40M378.00M436.90M396.70M247.00M
Net Income124.40M123.60M173.40M245.40M238.40M121.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.33B3.07B2.83B2.53B2.12B1.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.60M107.10M82.50M29.10M53.70M55.20M
Total Debt93.70M951.30M861.40M739.50M606.90M568.00M
Total Liabilities1.68B1.48B1.34B1.23B1.06B900.70M
Stockholders Equity1.63B1.57B1.49B1.30B1.06B795.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow192.60M238.60M261.50M175.50M173.80M203.60M
Operating Cash Flow242.40M283.40M297.50M217.20M210.80M229.40M
Investing Cash Flow-95.20M-177.10M-226.00M-284.40M-182.00M-184.20M
Financing Cash Flow-141.00M-80.90M-18.30M43.40M-30.40M-9.10M

SiteOne Landscape Supply Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price141.33
Price Trends
50DMA
127.78
Positive
100DMA
122.90
Positive
200DMA
130.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.57
Negative
RSI
59.77
Neutral
STOCH
79.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SITE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 141.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.16, above the 50-day MA of 127.78, and above the 200-day MA of 130.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SITE.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Risk Analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SiteOne Landscape Supply reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SiteOne Landscape Supply Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.31B51.407.76%4.38%-18.94%
77
Outperform
$10.31B27.1522.24%0.64%1.88%2.91%
75
Outperform
$12.72B29.9125.11%10.80%0.98%
74
Outperform
$4.88B24.7014.34%3.88%-4.11%-31.26%
71
Outperform
$11.67B28.8730.02%1.50%-1.71%-8.90%
69
Neutral
$17.16B32.2818.38%2.70%0.98%0.80%
59
Neutral
AU$1.63B11.13-5.90%3.58%9.76%6.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply
141.33
5.24
3.85%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
273.04
72.51
36.16%
MSM
MSC Industrial
87.58
10.36
13.42%
POOL
Pool
326.09
-14.15
-4.16%
WSO
Watsco
415.12
-47.08
-10.19%
CNM
Core & Main
64.12
13.09
25.65%

SiteOne Landscape Supply Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SiteOne Landscape Supply Updates Board Structure and By-Laws
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 14, 2025, SiteOne Landscape Supply held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved an amendment to declassify the board of directors. The company filed the amendment on May 16, 2025, and also updated its by-laws to reflect these changes, including procedural updates for stockholder meetings and director nominations. Additionally, stockholders elected three directors, approved Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and supported executive compensation plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (SITE) stock is a Sell with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SiteOne Landscape Supply stock, see the SITE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025