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Core & Main (CNM)
NYSE:CNM
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Core & Main (CNM) AI Stock Analysis

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CNM

Core & Main

(NYSE:CNM)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(10.86% Upside)
Core & Main's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust growth and operational efficiency are offset by valuation concerns and uncertainties highlighted in the earnings call. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield also impacts the overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
Management noted that funding from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) continues to generate new opportunities for growth.
Organic Sales Growth
Organic sales growth was driven by volume, indicating an acceleration in growth on a two-year basis.
Sales Growth
CNM reported a net sales growth of 9.8%, exceeding both Wells Fargo's and the Street's estimates.
Negative Factors
Commodity Pricing
Pricing for plastic, iron, and steel pipes declined, which could put further downward pressure on CNM's gross margin.
Margins
Gross margins in 1Q were down 20bps y/y and adj. EBITDA margins were down 70bps y/y.
SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased by 14% year-over-year, which was seen as disappointing.

Core & Main (CNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Core & Main Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore & Main, Inc. distributes water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection products and related services to municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors in the municipal, non-residential, and residential end markets in the United States. Its products include pipes, valves, hydrants, fittings, and other products and services; storm drainage products, such as corrugated piping systems, retention basins, inline drains, manholes, grates, geosynthetics, and other related products; fire protection products, including fire protection pipes, sprinkler heads and other devices, fire suppression systems, and related accessories, as well as fabrication services; and meter products, such as smart meter products, installation, software and other services. The company's specialty products and services are used in the maintenance, repair, replacement, and construction of water and fire protection infrastructure. Core & Main, Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore & Main generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of a wide array of products essential for waterworks and fire protection projects. The company's key revenue streams include sales to municipalities, utility companies, and contractors, who rely on Core & Main for the supply of critical infrastructure components such as pipes, valves, and hydrants. Additionally, the company offers value-added services, including product training, design assistance, and inventory management, which enhance customer relationships and drive repeat business. Strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers enable Core & Main to maintain a robust product offering and competitive pricing, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Core & Main Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Core & Main reported strong financial performance with record net sales and adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter. The company experienced robust growth in certain segments such as meters and storm drainage, and municipal construction activity remained resilient. However, challenges were noted in residential lot development, commercial buildings, and potential tariff impacts. The outlook for the second half of the year is uncertain due to macroeconomic factors.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking First Quarter Net Sales
Core & Main achieved first quarter net sales of $1.9 billion, marking an all-time high for the first quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA Achieves New Heights
The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $224 million, a record for the first quarter.
Strong Growth in Meters and High-Density Polyethylene Offerings
Core & Main reported a 10% growth in meters and double-digit growth in fusible high-density polyethylene offerings.
Successful Share Repurchase
In the first quarter, the company repurchased 837,000 shares at an average price of $46.64 per share.
Resilient Demand in Municipal Construction
Municipal construction activity showed steady growth, supported by funding from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act.
Storm Drainage Segment Growth
The storm drainage segment experienced 17% growth, driven by road and bridge projects.
Positive Performance in Data Center Construction
Nonresidential end markets showed strong sales volumes in data center construction.
Negative Updates
Softening in Residential Lot Development
Signs of softening were observed in residential lot development due to general economic conditions and affordability pressures.
Challenges in Commercial and Manufacturing Buildings
Activity remained softer for commercial buildings, manufacturing, and warehousing projects.
Potential Tariff Impact on Cost Structure
Tariff-related cost increases from suppliers are starting to appear, potentially impacting the broader economy and private construction.
Inflation Impact on SG&A Expenses
Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by 14%, driven by acquisitions and inflation.
Uncertainty in Second Half Outlook
Uncertainty associated with tariffs, inflation, and interest rates could impact customer sentiment and demand in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During the Core & Main Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported record first-quarter net sales of $1.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $224 million, reflecting strong performance and resilience in a dynamic macroeconomic environment. Core & Main achieved mid-single-digit organic sales growth, with a notable 10% growth in meter sales and double-digit growth in treatment plant and fusible HDPE offerings. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting net sales between $7.6 billion and $7.8 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $950 million to $1 billion, with expectations for adjusted EBITDA margins in the range of 12.5% to 12.8%. The call emphasized ongoing investments in talent, strategic acquisitions, and organic growth through geographic and product expansion, alongside disciplined pricing and sourcing optimization efforts driving gross margin improvements.

Core & Main Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core & Main exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow generation. The company's leverage is moderate, and it maintains healthy profitability ratios. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics are robust, but there is room for improving equity levels.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Core & Main has demonstrated robust growth in its revenue and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 26.57%, and the Net Profit Margin is 5.47%. The Revenue Growth Rate from the previous annual report to the current TTM is 2.28%, indicating consistent growth. The EBIT Margin is at 9.49%, and the EBITDA Margin is 12.06%, showing strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio at 1.45, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 23.85%, which is quite robust, reflecting good profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio stands at 27.78%, which suggests a healthy proportion of equity financing, though there's room for improvement in enhancing equity levels.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Core & Main has shown strong cash flow generation, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.39 and an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.49, indicating significant cash flow relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is -1.19%, reflecting a slight decline, but the overall cash flow generation remains strong.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.44B6.70B6.65B5.00B3.64B
Gross Profit1.98B1.82B1.79B1.28B878.00M
EBITDA913.00M894.00M924.00M524.00M338.00M
Net Income411.00M371.00M366.00M166.00M37.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.87B5.07B4.91B4.43B3.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.00M1.00M177.00M1.00M380.90M
Total Debt2.51B2.07B1.63B1.62B2.39B
Total Liabilities4.10B3.54B2.50B2.60B2.92B
Stockholders Equity1.70B1.45B1.75B1.32B801.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow586.00M1.03B376.00M-51.00M202.00M
Operating Cash Flow621.00M1.07B401.00M-31.00M214.00M
Investing Cash Flow-788.00M-270.00M-152.00M-203.00M-228.90M
Financing Cash Flow174.00M-975.00M-73.00M-146.00M215.00M

Core & Main Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.85
Price Trends
50DMA
63.45
Positive
100DMA
58.69
Positive
200DMA
54.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Positive
RSI
58.93
Neutral
STOCH
67.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.75, above the 50-day MA of 63.45, and above the 200-day MA of 54.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNM.

Core & Main Risk Analysis

Core & Main disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core & Main reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Core & Main Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.93B25.9922.24%0.65%1.88%2.91%
78
Outperform
$10.63B17.0613.78%0.79%1.30%-1.09%
76
Outperform
$12.75B29.9325.11%10.80%0.98%
75
Outperform
$4.97B25.1714.34%3.77%-4.11%-31.26%
75
Outperform
$48.64B25.6655.30%0.85%4.35%7.84%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.657.61%2.01%2.80%-14.92%
£33.71B27.2529.28%1.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNM
Core & Main
65.85
27.85
73.29%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
267.96
73.82
38.02%
MSM
MSC Industrial
92.66
18.30
24.61%
GWW
WW Grainger
1,028.03
97.28
10.45%
WCC
Wesco International
218.37
67.90
45.13%
GB:FERG
Ferguson PLC
17,540.00
3,175.79
22.11%

Core & Main Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Core & Main Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

Core & Main, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders on June 24, 2025, where key proposals were voted on. Three individuals were elected as Class I directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, and the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm was ratified. Additionally, shareholders approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for the fiscal year ended February 2, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025