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Core & Main, Inc. Class A (CNM)
NYSE:CNM
US Market

Core & Main (CNM) AI Stock Analysis

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CNM

Core & Main

(NYSE:CNM)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(9.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
CNM scores as moderately attractive primarily on durable profitability and healthy free cash flow, supported by reaffirmed guidance and capital return actions. The main offsets are cooling revenue/margin momentum, a still-leveraged balance sheet, and a technically mixed setup with the stock below key longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Core & Main produces durable free cash flow (TTM ~$604M) with FCF tracking net income closely (~0.93x). This reliable cash generation supports capital allocation choices—buybacks, acquisitions, and working-capital needs—providing financial flexibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Core & Main remains comparatively leveraged (TTM debt/equity ~1.23), which limits financial flexibility if demand weakens. Higher leverage raises interest and refinancing sensitivity and reduces room for opportunistic investments; operating cash flow coverage of debt is modest, constraining downside protection.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Core & Main produces durable free cash flow (TTM ~$604M) with FCF tracking net income closely (~0.93x). This reliable cash generation supports capital allocation choices—buybacks, acquisitions, and working-capital needs—providing financial flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Core & Main (CNM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Core & Main Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Core & Main, Inc. distributes water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection products and related services to municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors in the municipal, non-residential, and residential end mark...
How the Company Makes Money
Core & Main primarily makes money by purchasing water infrastructure products from manufacturers and reselling them to customers at a margin through its distribution network (branch locations, salesforce, and logistics operations). Its key revenue...

Core & Main Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment with positive aspects such as net sales growth, gross margin improvement, and strategic investments being balanced by challenges like softness in the residential market, declining PVC pipe prices, and increased SG&A expenses due to inflation.
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth
Net sales increased by 1% to $2.1 billion, with acquisitions contributing approximately 1 point of growth.
Negative Updates
Residential Market Softness
Residential lot development softened, particularly in Sun Belt markets like Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Georgia.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Net Sales Growth
Net sales increased by 1% to $2.1 billion, with acquisitions contributing approximately 1 point of growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Core & Main Q3 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance underscoring its strategic focus and market dynamics. Core & Main reported a 1% increase in net sales to $2.1 billion, driven by acquisitions and strong performance across sales initiatives, despite a decline in residential lot development. Municipal projects, which account for over 40% of sales, showcased robust growth amid a favorable funding environment, with state and local sources providing 95% of project funding. Data centers emerged as a growth driver within the nonresidential sector, contributing to a diversified project mix. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives, including geographic expansion and product diversification in areas like smart meters and fusible HDPE, resulting in gross margin expansion by 60 basis points to 27.2%. Additionally, Core & Main announced a $500 million increase to its share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects and cash flow generation. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance with expectations of net sales between $7.6 billion and $7.7 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $920 million to $940 million, and operating cash flow of $550 million to $610 million.

Core & Main Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but mixed: profitability and free cash flow remain healthy (TTM gross margin ~26.8%, net margin ~5.6%, FCF ~$604M with ~0.93x FCF-to-net income), but growth has cooled (TTM revenue ~-1.5%), margins have eased from prior peaks, and leverage is still meaningful (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.23), reducing flexibility if demand weakens.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.65B7.44B6.70B6.65B5.00B
Gross Profit2.06B1.98B1.82B1.79B1.28B
EBITDA914.00M913.00M894.00M924.00M524.00M
Net Income441.00M411.00M371.00M366.00M166.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.08B5.87B5.07B4.91B4.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.00M8.00M1.00M177.00M1.00M
Total Debt2.44B2.51B2.07B1.63B1.62B
Total Liabilities4.01B4.10B3.54B2.50B2.60B
Stockholders Equity2.00B1.70B1.45B1.75B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow604.00M586.00M1.03B376.00M-51.00M
Operating Cash Flow650.00M621.00M1.07B401.00M-31.00M
Investing Cash Flow-145.00M-788.00M-270.00M-152.00M-203.00M
Financing Cash Flow-293.00M174.00M-975.00M-73.00M-146.00M

Core & Main Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price51.24
Price Trends
50DMA
52.61
Negative
100DMA
52.64
Negative
200DMA
55.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
52.74
Neutral
STOCH
62.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 51.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.26, below the 50-day MA of 52.61, and below the 200-day MA of 55.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CNM.

Core & Main Risk Analysis

Core & Main disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Core & Main reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Core & Main Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$55.48B28.3345.93%0.86%4.83%-3.60%
72
Outperform
$10.68B25.3621.74%0.70%4.03%5.93%
67
Neutral
$9.97B23.5523.20%8.09%6.33%
66
Neutral
$14.58B18.8913.02%0.72%5.28%1.97%
66
Neutral
$49.31B28.0035.56%1.35%4.92%18.72%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$5.37B31.3015.00%3.96%-1.35%-22.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNM
Core & Main
51.24
3.06
6.35%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
286.41
67.35
30.74%
MSM
MSC Industrial
96.13
23.32
32.03%
GWW
WW Grainger
1,172.21
219.96
23.10%
WCC
Wesco International
299.52
153.88
105.66%
FERG
Ferguson PLC
253.68
94.39
59.25%

Core & Main Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Core & Main Extends ABL Credit Facility and Maturity
Positive
Apr 10, 2026
On April 9, 2026, Core Main LP amended its existing ABL Credit Agreement to extend the maturity date of $1.25 billion in aggregate commitments to April 9, 2031, subject to an earlier maturity if certain other indebtedness remains outstanding 91 d...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Core & Main refreshes board leadership and governance structure
Positive
Mar 27, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Core Main Inc. announced that, effective April 1, 2026, its board expanded and appointed former American Water Works CEO and CFO M. Susan Hardwick as a Class III director and member of the talent and compensation committee, wit...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026