tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
DXP Enterprises (DXPE)
NASDAQ:DXPE

DXP Enterprises (DXPE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
209 Followers

Top Page

DXPE

DXP Enterprises

(NASDAQ:DXPE)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$167.00
▲(41.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals (strong growth and a notably stronger 2025 balance sheet) and supportive technical momentum. This is partially offset by a higher valuation (P/E ~29) and cash-flow/working-capital sensitivity highlighted in both the financials and the latest earnings call.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
DXP has demonstrated durable top-line expansion, doubling revenue from ~$1.01B in 2020 to ~$2.02B in 2025 and sustaining a ~15% CAGR since 2022. That multi-year growth across end markets supports scale, cover for fixed costs, and a larger platform for cross-sell and margin improvements over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Material Balance Sheet Repair
A sharp reduction in leverage meaningfully improves financial flexibility and covenant headroom, enabling management's stated M&A and capital return plans. With reported cash and ABL liquidity also large, the stronger capital structure lowers refinancing risk and supports durable investment in growth initiatives.
High Returns and Margin Expansion
Strong ROIC and rising gross and EBITDA margins indicate efficient use of capital and improving unit economics. These metrics point to sustainable profitability improvements from pricing, mix and accretive M&A, providing lasting cash generation capacity and strategic optionality for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Cash‑flow & Working‑capital Sensitivity
DXP's cash conversion is inconsistent: free cash flow covered only ~57% of net income in 2025 and operating cash flow was volatile historically. Elevated working capital (up $70.7M YoY) and acquisition-driven inventory can pressure liquidity and make near-term cash generation sensitive to billing timing and end‑market cycles.
Energy Backlog & Segment Volatility
DXP retains meaningful exposure to energy and supply-chain customers whose project timing and facility activity can swing revenue cadence. Recent sequential backlog pullbacks and light bookings highlight cyclical risk that can blunt growth and margin momentum over multiple quarters until end-market demand normalizes.
Acquisition‑Driven Cost and Capital Load
Aggressive M&A and growth investments have increased SG&A, capex and absolute debt even as leverage has improved. Ongoing integration costs and higher operating spend could pressure margins and require sustained cash generation to validate the lower leverage; investors need confidence that expense increases are accretive.

DXP Enterprises (DXPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DXP Enterprises Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDXP Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in distributing maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products, equipment, and services to the energy and industrial customers primarily in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Service Centers (SC), Supply Chain Services (SCS), and Innovative Pumping Solutions (IPS). The SC segment offers MRO products, equipment, and integrated services, including technical expertise and logistics services. It offers a range of MRO products in the rotating equipment, bearing, power transmission, hose, fluid power, metal working, fastener, industrial supply, safety products, and safety services categories. This segment serves customers in the oil and gas, food and beverage, petrochemical, transportation, other general industrial, mining, construction, chemical, municipal, agriculture, and pulp and paper industries. The SCS segment manages procurement and inventory management solutions; and offers outsourced MRO solutions for sourcing MRO products, including inventory optimization and management, store room management, transaction consolidation and control, vendor oversight and procurement cost optimization, productivity improvement, and customized reporting services. Its programs include SmartAgreement, a procurement solution for various MRO categories; SmartBuy, an on-site or centralized MRO procurement solution; SmartSource, an on-site procurement and storeroom management solution; SmartStore, an e-Catalog solution; SmartVend, an industrial dispensing solution; and SmartServ, an integrated service pump solution. The IPS segment fabricates and assembles custom-made pump packages, remanufactures pumps, and manufactures branded private label pumps. The company was founded in 1908 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDXP Enterprises generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial products and services. The company's revenue model is diversified across multiple segments, with key revenue streams including product sales from its Service Centers, which supply essential industrial equipment and parts, and Supply Chain Services that offer inventory management and logistics solutions. Additionally, DXP provides Innovative Pumping Solutions that encompass engineered pump systems and related services. Significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to consistent earnings through both direct sales and service contracts with various industrial clients.

DXP Enterprises Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial performance for fiscal 2025, highlighted by record sales, expanding gross margins, record adjusted EBITDA dollars and margin expansion, meaningful organic improvement in sales per business day, accretive acquisitions and a stronger liquidity position after refinancing. Headwinds were limited and largely tactical: modest softness in Supply Chain Services, a sequential pullback in energy backlog in Q4 (introducing short-term uncertainty), increased working capital and higher SG&A and CapEx related to growth initiatives and acquisitions. Management emphasized continued margin discipline, active M&A pipeline and confidence in 2026, suggesting the positives substantially outweigh the near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Total sales grew 11.9% year-over-year to $2.0 billion for fiscal 2025, with Q4 sales of $527.4 million (also +11.9% YoY). Since 2022, sales have grown at a 15% compounded annual growth rate, marking a record year for the company.
Expanded Gross Profit and Margins
Consolidated gross profit margin expanded 67 basis points to 31.5% in fiscal 2025. Segment gross margin improvements included Innovative Pumping Solutions (+166 bps), Supply Chain Services (+121 bps) and Service Centers (+59 bps), driven by mix, pricing and accretive acquisitions.
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA reached $225.3 million with an 11.2% margin (first fiscal year >11%), operating income increased 21.7% to $176.9 million, and adjusted EPS (diluted) improved to $5.42 (reported diluted EPS $5.37 vs $4.22 in FY2024).
Improved Sales Productivity
Average sales per business day rose to $8.0 million in fiscal 2025 versus $7.13 million in fiscal 2024 (a 12.3% increase). Quarterly daily trends improved from $7.57M in Q1 to $8.51M in Q4, demonstrating steady operational momentum.
Innovative Pumping Solutions (IPS) Outperformance and Water Momentum
IPS sales grew 26.4% year-over-year to $390.3 million. DXP Water increased to 55% of IPS sales (from 46% prior year), with IPS delivering the largest year-over-year margin expansion and growing backlog driven by water-related project activity and acquisitions.
Service Centers Broad-Based Growth
Service Centers delivered 11% total sales growth (9.8% organic), contributing the largest share of sales (68%). Regional gains included Ohio River Valley, Southeast, Texas Gulf Coast and California; product strength in air compressors, metalworking and U.S. Safety Services was noted.
Accretive M&A and Strong Capital Position
Completed 6 acquisitions in 2025 contributing $96 million in sales (Q4 acquisitions <1 year contributed $21.9M). Returned $17 million to shareholders via repurchases. Refinanced Term Loan B, reducing borrowing cost by 50 bps (to SOFR + 325) and raising $205 million incremental capital. Cash of $303.8M on the balance sheet and liquidity of $457.3M; generated $94.3M cash from operations and $54M free cash flow.
High Returns and Leverage Metrics
Return on invested capital (ROIC) was 39.2%, well above cost of capital. Secured leverage ratio was 2.3:1 with fixed charge coverage of 2.1:1, reflecting strong operating cash flow and continued acquisition activity.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Services Sales Decline
Supply Chain Services experienced a modest decline of 1.4% year-over-year, driven by customer facility closures and reduced activity at certain energy-related sites, demonstrating short-term softness in that segment.
Energy Backlog Volatility and Recent Pullback
Although the average energy-related backlog finished the year up 36.9% versus 2024, the average energy backlog declined 9.3% in Q4 versus Q3 (second consecutive quarterly decline), and bookings were described as light in Q3/Q4, creating uncertainty for near-term energy revenue cadence.
Working Capital Increase and Potential Pressure
Working capital increased $70.7 million year-over-year to $361.7 million (17.9% of sales), reflecting acquisitions and higher capital project work. Management noted working capital could move upwards with additional acquisitions, which may pressure near-term cash conversion.
Higher SG&A and Operating Spend
SG&A increased $48.2 million to $459.1 million due to business growth, acquisitions, incentive compensation, higher insurance, technology and facilities investments. SG&A as a percentage of sales decreased only marginally by 3 basis points.
Elevated CapEx and Increased Debt Load
Capital expenditures rose to $40.3 million in FY2025 from $25.1 million in FY2024 (growth-oriented investments). Total debt outstanding was $846.8 million as of year-end; while refinancing reduced interest costs, leverage remains material amid ongoing acquisition activity.
Seasonality and Quarterly Billing Day Impacts
Q4 and SCS results were impacted by seasonality and fewer billing days due to facility closures/holidays. January daily sales were $6.9M (typical slower month), which tempers immediate sequential momentum despite being up ~2% year-over-year for January.
Company Guidance
DXP guided to maintain margin discipline while driving organic growth and M&A in FY‑26, targeting a minimum of 1–3 acquisitions by mid‑2026 funded by $457.3M of liquidity (cash $303.8M, $153.5M ABL availability) after refinancing Term Loan B (cost down 50 bps to SOFR+325 and $205M incremental capital); management expects continued margin expansion versus FY‑25’s results (FY‑25 sales $2.0B up 11.9%, gross margin 31.5% (+67bps), adjusted EBITDA $225.3M / 11.2%, operating income $176.9M / 8.8%, EPS $5.37, ROIC 39.2%), lower CapEx in the next 1–2 quarters and overall in 2026 (FY‑25 CapEx $40.3M), constructive demand across energy/water/industrial with close monitoring of energy backlog (energy backlog +36.9% YoY but down 9.3% Q4 vs Q3) and January daily sales patterns ($6.9M/day), an expected SCS recovery in 2026, and continued capital returns (FY‑25 buybacks $17M / 182,000 shares).

DXP Enterprises Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improved profitability, plus a meaningfully stronger balance sheet in 2025 with sharply lower debt-to-equity and healthy ROE. Offsets include cash-flow volatility (notably weak 2022) and mixed cash conversion in 2025, along with some margin softening/clarity issues in the income statement data.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the last several years (from ~$1.01B in 2020 to ~$2.02B in 2025), with a strong post-2020 recovery and continued growth into 2025. Profitability also improved versus earlier years, with 2025 showing solid gross margin (~31.5%) and net margin (~4.4%). Offsetting this, profitability is not fully consistent year-to-year (e.g., EBITDA margin stepped down in 2025 vs. 2023–2024), and the dataset shows an anomalous 2025 EBIT margin value (0.0) that clouds operating margin trend clarity.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet shows a notable improvement in leverage: debt-to-equity fell sharply to ~0.17 in 2025 from ~1.5–1.6 in 2023–2024, alongside rising equity. Returns on equity are healthy and sustained (~13%–18% from 2022–2025), indicating improved earnings power on the capital base. The main caution is that leverage was elevated for several years prior to 2025, so investors would likely want confirmation that the lower debt level is durable.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is generally positive, with operating cash flow and free cash flow solid in 2023–2025 (2025 free cash flow ~$54M). However, cash flow quality is mixed: in 2025, free cash flow covers only ~57% of net income, and operating cash flow relative to net income is modest based on the provided coverage figure. Volatility is also evident—2022 saw very weak operating and free cash flow before rebounding sharply in 2023—suggesting working-capital or cycle sensitivity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B1.80B1.68B1.48B1.11B
Gross Profit635.93M556.28M505.29M422.04M328.51M
EBITDA218.60M182.30M170.18M123.54M67.41M
Net Income88.68M70.49M68.81M48.16M16.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.35B1.18B1.04B906.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.78M148.32M173.12M46.03M48.99M
Total Debt982.00M676.36M575.97M471.85M376.82M
Total Liabilities1.19B926.71M796.56M671.89M547.50M
Stockholders Equity498.44M422.79M380.88M365.39M358.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.98M77.14M93.96M978.00K31.09M
Operating Cash Flow94.26M102.21M106.22M5.89M37.09M
Investing Cash Flow-99.25M-181.69M-22.65M-53.42M-69.02M
Financing Cash Flow158.87M56.80M43.58M44.31M-38.49M

DXP Enterprises Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price117.97
Price Trends
50DMA
129.03
Positive
100DMA
117.90
Positive
200DMA
110.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.27
Positive
RSI
52.71
Neutral
STOCH
19.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DXPE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 117.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 146.43, below the 50-day MA of 129.03, and above the 200-day MA of 110.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DXPE.

DXP Enterprises Risk Analysis

DXP Enterprises disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DXP Enterprises reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DXP Enterprises Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.29B17.7623.99%3.48%0.16%2.99%
75
Outperform
$2.23B26.7619.25%12.76%36.11%
72
Outperform
$10.58B26.8922.02%0.70%4.03%5.93%
66
Neutral
$5.25B25.6414.84%3.96%-1.35%-22.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$1.39B-125.17-1.68%14.46%-588.82%
57
Neutral
$260.84M43.513.77%12.63%-21.23%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
143.74
57.38
66.44%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
283.54
45.00
18.87%
EVI
EVI Industries
20.28
3.55
21.24%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
30.04
1.59
5.59%
MSM
MSC Industrial
94.08
18.93
25.18%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
33.69
11.29
50.40%

DXP Enterprises Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
DXP Enterprises Refinances Term Loan to Support Growth
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 16, 2025, DXP Enterprises, Inc. amended its term loan facility, ultimately refinancing its existing Senior Secured Term Loan B borrowings and raising an incremental $205 million, bringing total Term Loan B debt to $848 million at a reduced margin of 3.25 percentage points over Term SOFR and extending maturity to October 13, 2030. Announced on December 22, 2025, the transaction leaves DXP with $285 million of cash on the balance sheet, is expected to generate interest cost savings, and provides enhanced liquidity and covenant headroom to support its accelerating acquisition strategy and broader growth plans, with management highlighting strong multi-year improvements in sales and EBITDA and a pro forma net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.8x at the end of the third quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (DXPE) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DXP Enterprises stock, see the DXPE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026