tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR)
NASDAQ:DSGR

Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
151 Followers

Top Page

DSGR

Distribution Solutions Group

(NASDAQ:DSGR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(0.49% Upside)
Distribution Solutions Group's overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance with strong cash flow but ongoing profitability challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call and corporate events provide positive strategic insights, but challenges in certain segments remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 10.7% revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion and market positioning.
Cash Flow Performance
Strong free cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Share Repurchase Program
Expanding the share repurchase program reflects management's confidence in future prospects and aims to enhance shareholder value, supporting long-term investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profit margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially hindering long-term profitability and financial health.
TestEquity Margin Pressure
Margin pressure in TestEquity suggests challenges in maintaining cost efficiency and profitability, which could affect overall financial performance.
Lawson's Sales Challenges
Declining sales in Lawson indicate difficulties in sales execution and market competitiveness, potentially impacting revenue growth and market share.

Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Distribution Solutions Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDistribution Solutions Group (DSGR) is a leading provider of distribution and supply chain solutions, primarily serving the foodservice, retail, and industrial sectors. The company specializes in delivering a range of products and services, including logistics management, inventory control, and product sourcing. DSGR leverages advanced technology and a robust distribution network to enhance operational efficiency and meet the diverse needs of its clients, ensuring timely and reliable delivery of goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyDSGR generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its logistics and distribution services. The company charges fees for its warehousing, transportation, and inventory management services, which are tailored to the specific needs of its clients. Additionally, DSGR earns revenue from product sourcing and sales, acting as an intermediary between manufacturers and end-users. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers strengthen its offerings and expand its market reach. The company may also benefit from long-term contracts with clients, providing stable revenue over time.

Distribution Solutions Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in segments like Gexpro Services and the Canadian branch. However, challenges remain, particularly in TestEquity and Lawson, where margin pressures and sales force transformation continue to be areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
The company delivered a 10.7% revenue growth in the quarter, with strong organic momentum and an average daily sales increase of 6%.
Increased Shareholder Returns
An increase in adjusted earnings per share of $0.40 for the third quarter, an 8.1% increase year-over-year, and over $20 million in share buybacks in the first 9 months of 2025.
Strong Performance in Gexpro Services
Gexpro Services delivered record adjusted EBITDA and organic revenue growth of 11.4%, with sequential EBITDA margin expansion.
Canadian Branch Improvements
Source Atlantic showed meaningful improvement in gross margin and expense rationalization, with a 300 basis point improvement over the last year.
Negative Updates
TestEquity Margin Pressure
TestEquity's adjusted EBITDA margin was down 90 bps sequentially, impacted by customer and product mix shifts and higher employee-related costs.
Lawson's Sales Challenges
Lawson's organic average daily sales were down 2.2% from the second quarter, with continued challenges in achieving sales force transformation and profitability.
EBITDA Margin Decline
Overall EBITDA margins declined by 30 basis points compared to the second quarter, primarily due to product and customer mix shifts and strategic investments.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Distribution Solutions Group (DSG) demonstrated robust financial performance despite a challenging economic environment. The company achieved a 10.7% increase in revenue, amounting to $518 million, supported by strong organic growth with an average daily sales increase of 6% and contributions from 2024 acquisitions. Adjusted earnings per share rose by 8.1% to $0.40, while shareholder returns were enhanced by over $20 million in share buybacks. The quarter also saw impressive cash flow from operations exceeding $38 million and adjusted EBITDA reached $48.5 million, representing a 9.4% margin. Gexpro Services delivered record adjusted EBITDA with an 11.4% organic revenue expansion, driven by key sectors like aerospace and defense. Meanwhile, the Canadian branch division showed a 7% sequential sales increase, bolstered by Source Atlantic's improved margins. Despite ongoing investments in strategic initiatives and talent, DSG remains optimistic about continued growth and profitability improvements in the coming quarters.

Distribution Solutions Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Distribution Solutions Group exhibits a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is consistent, profitability remains a challenge with negative net income. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but profitability metrics like ROE are concerning. Cash flow generation is strong, with significant free cash flow growth, indicating potential for future stability if profitability issues are addressed.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Revenue has grown steadily over the years, with a TTM growth rate of 2.59%. However, profitability is a concern as the company has reported negative net income in recent periods, resulting in a negative net profit margin of -0.57% in TTM. Gross profit margin remains healthy at 32.98%, but the declining trend in profitability metrics like EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in TTM to 0.24 from 1.30 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative at -1.74%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends with a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 131.22% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.79 suggests room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.80B1.57B1.15B520.29M351.59M
Gross Profit652.73M613.77M555.46M390.90M130.28M186.54M
EBITDA148.58M128.99M143.75M82.42M30.68M28.14M
Net Income-11.21M-7.33M-8.97M7.41M-5.05M15.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.77B1.73B1.55B1.22B491.36M256.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.21M66.48M83.93M24.55M14.67M28.39M
Total Debt821.24M831.09M649.05M471.93M248.31M10.31M
Total Liabilities1.11B1.09B888.73M652.62M325.59M133.88M
Stockholders Equity653.87M640.54M661.60M563.00M165.77M122.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow75.58M33.26M77.61M-31.13M-3.46M30.84M
Operating Cash Flow112.62M56.45M102.29M-11.03M10.32M32.53M
Investing Cash Flow-44.76M-229.68M-278.52M-126.69M-41.38M-3.99M
Financing Cash Flow-61.09M159.30M250.41M148.46M34.67M-5.77M

Distribution Solutions Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.86
Price Trends
50DMA
27.97
Positive
100DMA
29.49
Negative
200DMA
28.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
58.30
Neutral
STOCH
69.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DSGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.05, above the 50-day MA of 27.97, and above the 200-day MA of 28.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DSGR.

Distribution Solutions Group Risk Analysis

Distribution Solutions Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Distribution Solutions Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Distribution Solutions Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.14B16.9022.61%3.50%0.16%2.99%
75
Outperform
$12.23B19.7213.06%0.72%5.28%1.97%
74
Outperform
$9.90B25.2422.10%0.70%4.03%5.93%
71
Outperform
$1.75B21.1419.58%12.76%36.11%
68
Neutral
$4.82B24.2214.34%3.96%-1.35%-22.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$1.33B-120.25-1.68%14.46%-588.82%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
28.86
-6.99
-19.50%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
262.41
23.58
9.87%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
111.46
32.58
41.30%
MSM
MSC Industrial
86.38
12.75
17.32%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
29.68
5.42
22.34%
WCC
Wesco International
251.41
74.94
42.47%

Distribution Solutions Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Distribution Solutions Group Expands Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Distribution Solutions Group announced an increase of $30 million to its existing share repurchase program, raising the total authorization to $67.5 million. This decision reflects the company’s confidence in its business prospects and its strategy to enhance long-term shareholder value by repurchasing shares when undervalued, supported by a strong balance sheet and cash flow.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025