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Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR)
NASDAQ:DSGR
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Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) AI Stock Analysis

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DSGR

Distribution Solutions Group

(NASDAQ:DSGR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(6.91% Upside)
The overall stock score of 51 reflects a mixed outlook for Distribution Solutions Group. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but is hampered by profitability challenges. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The earnings call provided some positive insights, particularly in certain segments, but also highlighted ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management and debt reduction enhance financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and resilience.
EBITDA Margin Improvement
Improved EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to sustained profitability and competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Low net profit margins indicate potential issues in cost control, which could hinder long-term profitability and shareholder returns.
Canadian Market Challenges
Economic and tariff uncertainties in Canada may impact revenue and margin stability, posing risks to regional operations.
Military Sales Decline
Declining military sales could affect revenue streams and market positioning, requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate impact.

Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Distribution Solutions Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDistribution Solutions Group (DSGR) is a leading provider of innovative distribution and supply chain solutions, specializing in the wholesale distribution of a diverse range of products across various sectors, including food service, healthcare, and retail. The company leverages advanced technology and logistics expertise to optimize inventory management and streamline operations for its clients, ensuring timely and efficient delivery of goods. DSGR's core offerings include procurement services, warehousing, transportation, and value-added services designed to enhance the overall supply chain experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyDistribution Solutions Group generates revenue primarily through its distribution services, which include the sale of products and logistics solutions to a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include wholesale product sales, transportation and logistics fees, and value-added services such as inventory management and consulting. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and exclusive products. Additionally, DSGR's focus on technology-driven solutions enables it to streamline operations for clients, resulting in long-term contracts and repeat business, further bolstering its earnings.

Distribution Solutions Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in segments like Gexpro Services and the Canadian branch. However, challenges remain, particularly in TestEquity and Lawson, where margin pressures and sales force transformation continue to be areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
The company delivered a 10.7% revenue growth in the quarter, with strong organic momentum and an average daily sales increase of 6%.
Increased Shareholder Returns
An increase in adjusted earnings per share of $0.40 for the third quarter, an 8.1% increase year-over-year, and over $20 million in share buybacks in the first 9 months of 2025.
Strong Performance in Gexpro Services
Gexpro Services delivered record adjusted EBITDA and organic revenue growth of 11.4%, with sequential EBITDA margin expansion.
Canadian Branch Improvements
Source Atlantic showed meaningful improvement in gross margin and expense rationalization, with a 300 basis point improvement over the last year.
Negative Updates
TestEquity Margin Pressure
TestEquity's adjusted EBITDA margin was down 90 bps sequentially, impacted by customer and product mix shifts and higher employee-related costs.
Lawson's Sales Challenges
Lawson's organic average daily sales were down 2.2% from the second quarter, with continued challenges in achieving sales force transformation and profitability.
EBITDA Margin Decline
Overall EBITDA margins declined by 30 basis points compared to the second quarter, primarily due to product and customer mix shifts and strategic investments.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Distribution Solutions Group (DSG) demonstrated robust financial performance despite a challenging economic environment. The company achieved a 10.7% increase in revenue, amounting to $518 million, supported by strong organic growth with an average daily sales increase of 6% and contributions from 2024 acquisitions. Adjusted earnings per share rose by 8.1% to $0.40, while shareholder returns were enhanced by over $20 million in share buybacks. The quarter also saw impressive cash flow from operations exceeding $38 million and adjusted EBITDA reached $48.5 million, representing a 9.4% margin. Gexpro Services delivered record adjusted EBITDA with an 11.4% organic revenue expansion, driven by key sectors like aerospace and defense. Meanwhile, the Canadian branch division showed a 7% sequential sales increase, bolstered by Source Atlantic's improved margins. Despite ongoing investments in strategic initiatives and talent, DSG remains optimistic about continued growth and profitability improvements in the coming quarters.

Distribution Solutions Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Distribution Solutions Group exhibits a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is consistent, profitability remains a challenge with negative net income. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but profitability metrics like ROE are concerning. Cash flow generation is strong, with significant free cash flow growth, indicating potential for future stability if profitability issues are addressed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Revenue has grown steadily over the years, with a TTM growth rate of 2.59%. However, profitability is a concern as the company has reported negative net income in recent periods, resulting in a negative net profit margin of -0.57% in TTM. Gross profit margin remains healthy at 32.98%, but the declining trend in profitability metrics like EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in TTM to 0.24 from 1.30 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative at -1.74%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends with a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 131.22% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.79 suggests room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.80B1.57B1.15B417.73M351.59M
Gross Profit652.73M613.77M551.88M390.90M219.24M186.54M
EBITDA148.58M128.99M104.36M82.42M30.68M28.14M
Net Income-11.21M-7.33M-8.97M7.41M9.41M15.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.77B1.73B1.55B1.22B256.16M256.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.21M66.48M83.93M24.55M4.18M28.39M
Total Debt155.70M831.09M649.05M461.97M27.21M10.31M
Total Liabilities1.11B1.09B888.73M652.62M123.15M133.88M
Stockholders Equity653.87M640.54M661.60M563.00M133.01M122.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow88.43M42.77M77.61M-31.13M-2.74M30.84M
Operating Cash Flow112.62M56.45M102.29M-11.03M5.45M32.53M
Investing Cash Flow-44.76M-229.68M-278.52M-126.69M-41.19M-3.99M
Financing Cash Flow-61.09M159.30M250.41M148.46M10.66M-5.77M

Distribution Solutions Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.19
Price Trends
50DMA
29.77
Negative
100DMA
29.74
Negative
200DMA
29.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Positive
RSI
30.12
Neutral
STOCH
10.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DSGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.61, below the 50-day MA of 29.77, and below the 200-day MA of 29.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DSGR.

Distribution Solutions Group Risk Analysis

Distribution Solutions Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Distribution Solutions Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Distribution Solutions Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$12.26B19.7813.06%0.69%5.28%1.97%
74
Outperform
$9.67B24.6722.10%0.68%4.03%5.93%
72
Outperform
$1.08B15.9422.61%2.93%0.16%2.99%
70
Outperform
$1.91B19.1720.33%13.93%48.25%
64
Neutral
$4.84B24.3114.34%3.97%-1.35%-22.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
$1.24B-1.68%14.46%-588.82%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
26.19
-14.41
-35.49%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
259.66
-6.75
-2.53%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
100.37
29.27
41.17%
MSM
MSC Industrial
85.59
0.23
0.27%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
27.33
-0.35
-1.26%
WCC
Wesco International
257.38
53.57
26.28%

Distribution Solutions Group Corporate Events

Distribution Solutions Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSG) is a specialty distribution company that provides high-touch, value-added distribution solutions to the maintenance, repair & operations (MRO), original equipment manufacturer (OEM), and industrial technologies markets. The company operates globally, serving a diverse range of customers with a focus on enhancing productivity and efficiency.

Distribution Solutions Group’s Mixed Sentiment in Q2 Earnings Call
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call of Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSG) painted a picture of mixed sentiment, marked by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported impressive revenue increases and improvements in EBITDA margins, underscoring its robust operational capabilities. However, challenges such as the Canadian market’s struggles, declines in military sales, and revenue drops in the TestEquity Group due to tariffs and economic uncertainty were notable lowlights.

Intercontinental Exchange Reports Record Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that designs, builds, and operates digital networks, providing financial technology and data services across major asset classes, including futures, equity, and options exchanges, as well as mortgage technology solutions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025