tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Amphenol (APH)
NYSE:APH

Amphenol (APH) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,046 Followers

Top Page

APH

Amphenol

(NYSE:APH)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$186.00
▲(28.34% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and a very constructive earnings outlook with record orders, margin expansion, and strong cash generation. These positives are tempered by rich valuation (high P/E and low yield) and overextended technical momentum signals (RSI/Stochastics elevated), which increase near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained, high-quality free cash flow and efficient conversion of earnings into cash provide durable funding for capex, R&D, dividends, share repurchases and acquisitions. Strong FCF reduces reliance on external financing and supports capital allocation through economic cycles.
Diversified End Markets & Scale
Broad product portfolio across telecom, data center, automotive, aerospace and defense plus strategic M&A materially expands addressable markets. Scale in fiber and datacom positions the company to capture secular trends (AI/5G/EV) and reduces revenue cyclicality over multiple quarters.
High and Improving Margins
Structural margin expansion reflects pricing power, higher-value product mix and operational leverage from scale. Persistent above-industry margins indicate competitive advantage in high-speed interconnects and durable ability to reinvest in automation and R&D while maintaining profitability.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage & Interest Burden
Material increase in debt to fund CCS raises fixed interest costs and reduces financial flexibility. Elevated interest expense will persist across quarters, compressing net income and constraining discretionary capital deployment if top-line growth slows or rates remain elevated.
M&A Integration & Execution Risk
Rapid, sizable M&A increases integration complexity—people, systems and processes must be aligned. Execution risk can cause margin dilution, one-time costs and operational disruption over multiple quarters, potentially delaying expected synergies and return on invested capital.
Higher Tax Rate & Near-Term Margin Headwinds
A structurally higher effective tax rate reduces sustained after-tax profitability and cash flow. Combined with acquired-business seasonality that trims consolidated margins, these factors can lower incremental earnings conversion and cushion for reinvestment across several quarters.

Amphenol (APH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amphenol Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmphenol Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, primarily designs, manufactures, and markets electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Harsh Environment Solutions, Communications Solutions, and Interconnect and Sensor Systems. The company offers connectors and connector systems, including harsh environment data, power, high-speed, fiber optic, and radio frequency interconnect products; busbars and power distribution systems; and other connectors. It also provides value-add products, such as backplane interconnect systems, cable assemblies and harnesses, and cable management products; other products comprising flexible and rigid printed circuit boards, hinges, other mechanical, and production related products. In addition, the company offers consumer device, network infrastructure, and other antennas; coaxial, power, and specialty cables; and sensors and sensor-based products. It sells its products through its sales force, independent representatives, and a network of electronics distributors to original equipment manufacturers, electronic manufacturing services companies, original design manufacturers, and service providers in the automotive, broadband communication, commercial aerospace, industrial, information technology and data communication, military, mobile device, and mobile network markets. Amphenol Corporation was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Wallingford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmphenol generates revenue primarily through the sale of its interconnect products and solutions to various industries. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors. Key revenue streams include products for telecommunications infrastructure, automotive connectivity, and military and aerospace applications. Additionally, Amphenol benefits from long-term contracts with major clients and strategic partnerships, which provide a steady stream of income. The company's focus on innovation and investment in research and development also positions it favorably to capture growth in emerging markets such as electric vehicles and 5G technology.

Amphenol Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Details revenue contributions from each business segment, highlighting which areas drive growth and where the company might allocate resources for future expansion.
Chart InsightsAmphenol's Communications Solutions segment has seen a significant surge, with revenue more than doubling from early 2024 to late 2025, driven by strong demand in IT Datacom for AI applications. Harsh Environment Solutions and Interconnect and Sensor Systems also show robust growth, reflecting successful strategic acquisitions like Rochester Sensors. Despite a decline in the mobile device market, the company's diversified exposure and record operating margins underscore its resilience. However, potential seasonal declines in communications networks could temper future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amphenol Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial story: record sales, record orders, substantial margin expansion, exceptional free cash flow and strategic acquisitions that materially broaden product offerings (notably in fiber optics and data center interconnect). Near‑term headwinds include higher tax rates, acquisition‑related costs, increased interest expense and a temporary margin drag from the recently closed CommScope business, plus normal seasonal softness in several end markets. On balance the positives (record growth, margins, cash generation, strong order book, strategic M&A and ample liquidity) materially outweigh the lowlights, and management communicated confidence in execution and disciplined capital allocation.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Full‑Year Sales
Q4 sales reached a record $6.439 billion, up 49% in US dollars and 37% organically vs. 2024. Full‑year 2025 sales were ~$23.1 billion, up 52% in US dollars, 51% in local currencies and 38% organically vs. 2024.
Record Orders and Strong Book‑to‑Bill
Q4 orders were a record $8.4 billion (up 68% YoY and 38% sequentially), producing a book‑to‑bill of 1.31. Full‑year orders were $25.4 billion (up 51%) with a book‑to‑bill of 1.1.
Outstanding Profitability and Margin Expansion
Q4 adjusted operating margin was 27.5% (up 510 basis points YoY) and GAAP operating margin was 26.8% (includes $47M acquisition‑related costs). Full‑year adjusted operating margin set a record at 26.2% (up 450 basis points YoY).
Record EPS and Cash Generation
Q4 GAAP diluted EPS $0.97 and adjusted diluted EPS $0.93. Full‑year adjusted diluted EPS reached a record level (management cited ~77% growth YoY). Q4 operating cash flow was $1.7 billion (144% of net income) and free cash flow was $1.5 billion (123% of net income). Full‑year operating cash flow was a record $5.4 billion and free cash flow was a record $4.4 billion (103% of net income).
Strategic M&A and Strengthened Portfolio
Closed the CommScope (CCS) acquisition in January (management expects ~ $4.1B of annual sales and ~ $0.15 EPS accretion to 2026) and closed Trexon (~$290M sales). Five acquisitions in 2025 (including Andrew, Trexon, Nardemitek, LifeSync, Rochester Sensors) added nearly $2 billion of annualized sales, expanding fiber, high‑speed and defense interconnect capabilities.
Segment Outperformance — IT Datacom and Communications
IT datacom represented 38% of Q4 sales and grew ~110% YoY in Q4 (full‑year growth ~124% USD) driven by AI demand. Communication & Connectivity segment Q4 sales $3.4B (+78% USD, +60% organic) with segment margin 32.5%. Defense grew 44% in Q4 (29% organic) and commercial air/industrial/automotive saw broad‑based organic growth.
Strong Capital Allocation and Liquidity
Returned significant capital to shareholders (nearly $1.5 billion in 2025, ~7.5M shares repurchased on the year; Q4 repurchases 1.3M shares at ~$134 average). End‑of‑Q4 liquidity $17.5 billion (cash & short‑term investments $11.4B plus facility availability). Q4 EBITDA $2.0B and net leverage 0.6x (pro forma including CCS ~1.8x).
Guidance and Near‑Term Growth Visibility
Q1 2026 guidance: sales $6.9–7.0 billion (growth +43% to +45% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS $0.91–0.93 (+44% to +48% YoY). Guidance includes $900M of Q1 sales and ~$ $0.02 of adjusted EPS accretion from CommScope.
Negative Updates
Increased Leverage and Higher Interest Expense from CCS
Total debt at 12/31 was $15.5 billion and net debt $4.1 billion. After closing CCS, pro forma net debt would have been ~$14.7 billion and pro forma net leverage ~1.8x. Management expects ~ $200 million of quarterly interest expense (net of interest income) related to the CCS financing, reflected in Q1 guidance.
Acquisition‑Related Costs and Near‑Term Margin Impact
GAAP operating income included acquisition‑related costs of $47 million in Q4 and $181 million for the full year. Management noted that CCS will weigh on Q1 margins (~100 basis point headwind) due to the seasonality and lower first‑quarter margin profile of the acquired business.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
GAAP effective tax rate was 26.9% in Q4 and 23.1% for the full year vs. 17.4% and 18.9% in the prior year periods. Adjusted effective tax rate rose to 25.5% (vs. 24% prior) and management advised modelers to assume the higher ~25.5% rate into 2026.
Near‑Term Seasonality and Softness in Select End Markets
Management expects typical seasonal moderation in Q1: commercial air ~‑10% q/q, automotive ~‑10% q/q, and mobile devices roughly ‑30% q/q. Q4 mobile devices were down ~4% YoY and communications networks were flat organically in the quarter (activity benefited from acquisitions rather than organic expansion).
Cost Pressure and Operational Scaling Risks
Management acknowledged rising metals costs and potential supply‑chain pressures. Rapid organic growth and the need to ramp automation and capacity create management and execution challenges even though the company emphasized strong operating culture and general managers' authority to address them.
Dilution/Integration Uncertainties
While acquisitions broaden the portfolio, management noted modest dilutive impact of acquisitions on margins in 2025 and the short‑term need for investment and integration (and the related one‑time costs) as the company brings large acquisitions into the Amphenol operating model.
Company Guidance
For the first quarter of FY2026 the company guided sales of $6.9–$7.0 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.91–$0.93 (implying ~43%–45% sales growth and ~44%–48% adj. EPS growth year‑over‑year); the Q1 guide explicitly includes $900 million of sales and $0.02 of EPS accretion from the CommScope acquisition, and reflects ~ $200 million of quarterly net interest expense (post‑CCS). Management asked modelers to assume a 25.5% adjusted effective tax rate continuing into 2026, signaled capital spending toward the upper end of its historical ~3–4% range (roughly ~4%), and noted that CommScope’s seasonally lower Q1 margins (just under the high‑teens) will depress consolidated margins by a bit over 100 basis points in Q1.

Amphenol Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and cash generation support a strong financial profile (healthy margins and record free cash flow), but the sharp 2025 debt increase meaningfully raises financial risk and reduces flexibility if growth slows.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Strong, consistent profitability with healthy margins (2024 gross margin ~33.8% and net margin ~15.9%), and solid multi-year revenue expansion (2024 up ~21% vs. 2023). Operating profit has scaled well alongside revenue, supporting a high-quality earnings profile. Key watch-out: growth has been somewhat uneven year-to-year (slight revenue decline in 2023), and the step-up in scale into 2025 implies execution risk if end-demand normalizes.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Balance sheet is generally sound with sizable equity and strong shareholder returns (2024 return on equity ~24.8%). Leverage was moderate in 2023–2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.52–0.74), supporting financial flexibility. Primary weakness is the sharp increase in total debt in 2025 (to ~$15.5B from ~$7.3B in 2024), which meaningfully raises balance-sheet risk and reduces room for error if cash generation slows.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving, with 2025 free cash flow of ~$4.38B and a robust ~23% free-cash-flow growth rate. In prior years, free cash flow generally tracked earnings reasonably well (e.g., 2024 free cash flow was ~76% of net income), indicating solid cash conversion. Main weakness: cash conversion and growth can fluctuate (free cash flow growth was essentially flat in 2024), which bears monitoring alongside the higher 2025 debt load.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.09B15.22B12.55B12.62B10.88B
Gross Profit8.52B5.14B4.08B4.03B3.40B
EBITDA6.89B3.80B3.00B2.99B2.50B
Net Income4.27B2.42B1.93B1.90B1.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.24B21.44B16.53B15.33B14.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.43B3.34B1.66B1.43B1.24B
Total Debt15.50B7.28B4.64B4.87B5.05B
Total Liabilities22.73B11.58B8.10B8.23B8.30B
Stockholders Equity13.41B9.79B8.35B7.02B6.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.38B2.15B2.16B1.79B1.18B
Operating Cash Flow5.37B2.81B2.53B2.17B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-5.08B-2.65B-1.39B-731.10M-1.89B
Financing Cash Flow7.42B1.73B-1.01B-1.20B-145.20M

Amphenol Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price144.93
Price Trends
50DMA
140.84
Positive
100DMA
134.67
Positive
200DMA
114.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Positive
RSI
48.81
Neutral
STOCH
22.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 144.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.14, above the 50-day MA of 140.84, and above the 200-day MA of 114.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for APH.

Amphenol Risk Analysis

Amphenol disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amphenol reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amphenol Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$29.12B32.448.92%7.41%-12.85%
77
Outperform
$37.10B45.7115.82%7.95%39.54%
75
Outperform
$65.37B32.1316.27%1.21%8.94%-39.90%
74
Outperform
$176.36B43.1436.80%0.54%47.37%72.30%
74
Outperform
$38.78B24.8519.66%1.70%16.56%3.19%
70
Outperform
$88.52B56.4214.19%1.25%18.27%771.78%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APH
Amphenol
144.93
75.35
108.29%
GLW
Corning
110.36
59.97
119.01%
GRMN
Garmin
206.92
-5.13
-2.42%
TEL
TE Connectivity
227.13
84.29
59.01%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
613.23
105.73
20.83%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
223.26
46.94
26.62%

Amphenol Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Amphenol Completes Major Acquisition of CommScope CCS Business
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Amphenol Corporation completed its $10.5 billion cash acquisition of CommScope’s Connectivity and Cable Solutions (CCS) business, a deal announced publicly in a January 12, 2026 statement from its Wallingford, Connecticut headquarters. The transaction significantly expands Amphenol’s fiber optic interconnect capabilities for IT datacom and communications networks and broadens its industrial interconnect offerings for building infrastructure, while bringing approximately 20,000 CCS employees into the group. The CCS unit, now folded into Amphenol’s Communications Solutions segment, is expected to generate around $4.1 billion in sales in 2026 and strengthen the company’s competitive position across global communications and industrial connectivity markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (APH) stock is a Buy with a $175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amphenol stock, see the APH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amphenol Appoints Linde CEO Sanjiv Lamba to Board
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Amphenol Corporation expanded its board of directors from eight to nine members and appointed Sanjiv Lamba, the chief executive officer of industrial gases and engineering group Linde plc, as an independent director, effective immediately. The appointment adds nearly three decades of global leadership and multinational manufacturing experience to Amphenol’s board, with company leaders highlighting Lamba’s track record in growing a high-performance, international business and his broad regional operating expertise across the Americas, APAC and EMEA as strategic assets expected to support Amphenol’s continued international expansion and reinforce its governance and leadership bench for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (APH) stock is a Buy with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amphenol stock, see the APH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Amphenol Issues $7.5 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Amphenol Corporation successfully issued and sold a total of $7.5 billion in senior notes with varying interest rates and maturity dates ranging from 2027 to 2055. The proceeds from this offering, combined with other financial resources, are intended to fund the acquisition of CommScope Holding Company’s Connectivity and Cable Solutions businesses, enhancing Amphenol’s market position in data center connectivity, broadband communications, and building connectivity solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (APH) stock is a Buy with a $152.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amphenol stock, see the APH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026