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Te Connectivity Ltd (TEL)
NYSE:TEL

TE Connectivity (TEL) AI Stock Analysis

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TEL

TE Connectivity

(NYSE:TEL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$261.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and a bullish, confident earnings call (record orders, margin expansion, and raised AI outlook). Offsetting factors are a premium valuation (high P/E, modest yield) and mixed near-term technical momentum (negative MACD and elevated Stoch despite an overall uptrend).
Positive Factors
Revenue and order momentum
Sustained double-digit top-line growth and record order intake (book-to-bill >1) provide durable revenue visibility and backlog conversion across cycles. Broad-based orders across geographies and segments reduce single-market risk and support multi-quarter demand predictability for production ramps.
Robust cash generation and capital returns
High absolute operating cash flow and strong FCF conversion underpin long-term financial flexibility. Reliable cash generation funds buybacks, dividends, deleveraging or targeted reinvestment, enabling capital allocation discipline and resilience through sector cyclicality without relying solely on external funding.
Strategic exposure to AI and data connectivity
Leading connectivity and sensor exposure to hyperscale AI, digital data networks and grid hardening taps structural secular tailwinds. Higher content per system and multi-year program ramps support sustained revenue growth and margin improvement as customers invest in data-center and electrification infrastructure.
Negative Factors
Increased leverage versus prior years
A higher leverage profile reduces balance-sheet cushion against demand shocks and limits flexibility for large M&A or prolonged buybacks. Covenant headroom and higher fixed interest costs can force prioritization between investment, share repurchases and debt reduction during economic or end-market slowdowns.
Transportation/auto cyclicality and seasonality
Material exposure to automotive and commercial transport brings pronounced seasonality and cyclicality to revenue and margins. Auto production swings can quickly reduce volumes and incremental margins, creating lumpy quarterly performance and forcing short-term margin trade-offs in pricing or factory utilization.
Metals inflation and input-cost pressure
Metals are a major input and sustained commodity inflation compresses gross margins unless fully offset by pricing or sourcing gains. Pass-through pricing can lag and OEM price sensitivity limits elasticity, raising the risk to margin sustainability and requiring continuous procurement and product-cost discipline.

TE Connectivity (TEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TE Connectivity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTE Connectivity Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through three segments: Transportation Solutions, Industrial Solutions, and Communications Solutions. The Transportation Solutions segment provides terminals and connector systems and components, sensors, relays, antennas, heat shrink tubing, and application tooling products for use in the automotive, commercial transportation, and sensor markets. The Industrial Solutions segment offers terminals and connector systems and components; and heat shrink tubing, interventional medical components, relays, and wires and cables for aerospace, defense, oil and gas, industrial equipment, medical, and energy markets. The Communications Solutions segment supplies electronic components, such as terminals and connector systems and components, relays, heat shrink tubing, and antennas for the data and devices, and appliances markets. TE Connectivity Ltd. sells its products to approximately 140 countries primarily through direct sales to manufacturers, as well as through third-party distributors. The company was formerly known as Tyco Electronics Ltd. and changed its name to TE Connectivity Ltd. in March 2011. TE Connectivity Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTE Connectivity generates revenue primarily through the sale of its connectivity and sensor products. Its revenue model is based on the development, manufacturing, and distribution of high-performance components that are integral to various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of connectors, sensors, and wire and cable products. The company has established significant partnerships with leading manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) across different sectors, which enhances its market reach and drives sales. Additionally, TE Connectivity benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with customers, providing a stable revenue base. The demand for advanced connectivity solutions, driven by trends such as automation, electrification, and the Internet of Things (IoT), further contributes to the company's earnings.

TE Connectivity Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated from each business segment, indicating which parts of the company are growing and contributing most to overall sales.
Chart InsightsTE Connectivity's Industrial segment is driving growth, with a remarkable surge in recent quarters, supported by strong AI and digital data networks demand. This contrasts with the Transportation segment, which faces headwinds in Western automotive markets and North American commercial transportation. The Communications segment has been phased out, aligning with strategic shifts. Despite macroeconomic challenges, TE Connectivity's robust cash flow and strategic investments position it well for continued growth, with a positive outlook for fiscal 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

TE Connectivity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 21, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong and broad-based growth with record orders, double-digit sales expansion, substantial margin improvement and robust cash generation, supported by accelerating AI and digital data networks demand. Near-term headwinds include auto seasonality, metal cost inflation, restructuring charges, and some end-market softness (e.g., North American trucks, appliances), with part of the AI upside skewed to the back half of the year. Overall, the company signaled confidence in achieving above-cycle growth for fiscal 2026 while investing to support the AI ramps.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of $4.7 billion in Q1, up 22% reported and 15% organic year-over-year, with growth in both segments and sales above guidance.
Record Order Intake and Book-to-Bill
Record orders of $5.1 billion, more than $1 billion higher versus prior year, producing a book-to-bill of 1.1 and broad-based double-digit organic order growth across geographies.
Outstanding Earnings and Margin Expansion
Record adjusted EPS of $2.72, up ~33% year-over-year; adjusted operating margin of 22.2% (reported as 22%), expanding ~180 basis points year-over-year.
Industrial Solutions Outperformance
Industrial Solutions sales grew 38% (26% organic) year-over-year; adjusted operating margins at the segment expanded over 500 basis points to ~23% driven by higher volumes and operational performance.
Digital Data Networks / AI Momentum
Digital Data Networks grew ~70% year-over-year; management raised AI revenue outlook for fiscal 2026 by roughly $200 million versus 90 days prior and expects AI revenue ramps across all hyperscalers.
Energy and AD&M Growth
Energy sales grew 88% including the Richards acquisition and ~15% organically, driven by grid hardening and renewables; AD&M (aerospace & defense) sales grew ~11% organically.
Transportation Growth and Content Gains
Transportation sales grew 10% (7% organic); automotive organic sales +7% with content growth outpacing market at the high end of the 4–6 point range; commercial transportation organic +16%.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Returns
Cash from operations $865 million and free cash flow $608 million in Q1; returned ~100% of free cash flow to shareholders via buybacks/dividends and plan to maintain strong cash conversion for FY26.
Investment to Support Growth
Management increasing fiscal 2026 CapEx to ~6% of sales to support aggressive AI program ramps and program-specific tooling, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and M&A optionality.
Negative Updates
Auto Seasonality and Near-Term Transport Headwind
Q2 guidance reflects a near-term transportation decline driven by typical auto seasonality (approximate 3 million unit production decline Q1→Q2); full-year global auto production view ~88 million units, slightly down year-over-year.
Inflationary Pressure on Metals
Material cost inflation, particularly metals (copper, etc.), is increasing procurement pressure; metals are the largest purchase category and management expects to pass through pricing and pursue sourcing/leverage actions.
Timing of AI Ramps Skewed Later
A portion of the AI program revenue and related orders are weighted to the second half of the year and into FY27, so some upside is back-end loaded rather than immediate.
Restructuring and Amortization Items
GAAP operating income included acquisition-related charges, restructuring and $57 million of amortization; company expects ~ $100 million of restructuring charges for fiscal 2026, which impacts GAAP EPS versus adjusted EPS.
Segment and End-Market Softness
Certain end markets remain weak: sensors sales flat (in line with expectations) and residential HVAC/appliances remain soft in parts of ACL despite recovery in factory automation; North American commercial truck market remains negative.
Margin Timing and EPS Bridge to Q2
Q2 adjusted EPS guide (~$2.65) is slightly down versus sales stability due to higher tax and interest expense (bridge of roughly $0.04–$0.05), and some margin/incremental variance quarter-to-quarter.
Foreign Exchange and Quarter-to-Quarter Noise
Management noted FX and quarter-to-quarter timing can create noise in incremental margin comparisons (Transportation incrementals softer in the quarter), potentially obscuring underlying trends.
Company Guidance
TE guided that momentum should continue in FY‑26 after a strong Q1: Q1 sales were $4.7B (up 22% reported, 15% organic) with record orders of $5.1B (book‑to‑bill 1.1), adjusted operating income >$1.0B and adjusted operating margin 22.2% (+180 bps YoY), adjusted EPS $2.72 (+33% YoY), GAAP operating income $963M, cash from ops $865M and free cash flow $608M (≈100% returned to shareholders); they expect Q2 sales of about $4.7B (up ~13% reported, ~6% organic) and adjusted EPS ≈$2.65 (~20% YoY), with Industrial Solutions to grow sequentially while Transportation is partly offset by normal auto seasonality (company expects ~88M auto production units for FY with a ~3M unit Q1→Q2 decline); management raised AI revenue expectations for FY‑26 by roughly $200M (with a multi‑year AI target of ~$3B), is increasing CapEx toward ~6% of sales to support ramps, expects an adjusted effective tax rate ~22% in Q2 (~23% for the year), about $100M of restructuring in FY‑26, at least 100% FCF conversion and continued double‑digit EPS growth.

TE Connectivity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial quality is strong: solid profitability and margins, attractive returns, and robust free cash flow generation. Key risks are a normalization in net profitability versus the unusually strong FY2024 level, slightly softer TTM free cash flow versus the prior year, and moderately higher leverage than FY2022–FY2024.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TEL’s TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show solid profitability with healthy gross profit and operating margins, supporting strong earnings power for an industrial/hardware profile. Revenue growth is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after prior annual periods that were slightly down, indicating a return to growth. A key watch item is the notable drop in net margin versus FY2024 (which appears unusually high), bringing profitability back to a more normal range and suggesting less benefit from one-time items or mix/tailwinds than the prior year.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage is moderate with debt at roughly mid-range relative to equity (debt-to-equity around the mid-0.4x area in the latest periods), which provides balance-sheet flexibility without looking overly aggressive. Equity and assets have trended higher over time, and returns on equity are attractive in the mid-teens on the most recent periods, though below the exceptionally strong FY2024 level. The main risk is that leverage has stepped up versus FY2022–FY2024 levels, reducing some cushion if industry conditions soften.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are large in absolute terms, with free cash flow running at a strong proportion of earnings (roughly three-quarters+ in recent periods), supporting buybacks, debt paydown, or reinvestment. That said, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is slightly down versus the prior annual period, and cash conversion is good but not perfect (operating cash flow is below net income), implying some working-capital or timing headwinds that can create quarter-to-quarter volatility.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.92B17.09B15.85B16.03B16.28B14.92B
Gross Profit6.26B5.91B5.46B4.98B5.13B4.73B
EBITDA4.47B4.12B3.69B3.14B3.58B3.20B
Net Income2.06B1.84B3.19B1.91B2.43B2.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.55B25.08B22.85B21.71B20.78B21.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25B1.25B1.32B1.66B1.09B1.20B
Total Debt5.71B6.55B4.96B4.89B4.95B4.88B
Total Liabilities12.42B12.35B10.37B10.06B9.88B10.71B
Stockholders Equity12.99B12.59B12.36B11.55B10.80B10.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.14B3.20B2.80B2.40B1.70B1.99B
Operating Cash Flow4.13B4.14B3.48B3.13B2.47B2.68B
Investing Cash Flow-3.29B-3.57B-950.00M-768.00M-878.00M-1.04B
Financing Cash Flow-850.00M-629.00M-2.87B-1.79B-1.68B-1.39B

TE Connectivity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price234.73
Price Trends
50DMA
229.51
Positive
100DMA
229.38
Positive
200DMA
206.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
56.08
Neutral
STOCH
76.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 234.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 225.63, above the 50-day MA of 229.51, and above the 200-day MA of 206.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEL.

TE Connectivity Risk Analysis

TE Connectivity disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TE Connectivity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TE Connectivity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$41.14B49.0415.82%7.95%39.54%
76
Outperform
$181.59B44.1936.80%0.54%47.37%72.30%
73
Outperform
$27.51B40.5347.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$24.20B29.1516.85%0.77%0.51%
71
Outperform
$69.14B33.9816.27%1.21%8.94%-39.90%
70
Outperform
$113.26B72.0414.19%1.25%18.27%771.78%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEL
TE Connectivity
234.73
83.70
55.42%
APH
Amphenol
151.04
84.42
126.72%
GLW
Corning
139.51
89.68
179.97%
FLEX
Flex
65.68
26.65
68.28%
JBL
Jabil
271.09
112.24
70.66%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
243.54
70.07
40.39%

TE Connectivity Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TE Connectivity Expands Liquidity with New $3B Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 13, 2026, TE Connectivity plc entered into a new five-year senior revolving credit facility of $3 billion through its subsidiary Tyco Electronics Group S.A., replacing an existing $1.5 billion unsecured facility that was concurrently terminated without penalty ahead of its April 2029 expiry. The new facility, which backs the company’s commercial paper program, matures on February 13, 2031 with options for up to two one-year extensions and an accordion feature of up to $1 billion.

Borrowings can be made in U.S. dollars, euro, sterling and yen at benchmark-based floating rates plus a margin tied to TEGSA’s long-term unsecured credit rating, and TE must pay an annual facility fee ranging from 5.0 to 12.5 basis points on lender commitments. The agreement includes a leverage covenant capping consolidated total debt to EBITDA at 3.75x, or 4.25x following qualifying acquisitions, underscoring lender discipline while significantly enhancing TE Connectivity’s committed liquidity and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEL) stock is a Buy with a $285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TE Connectivity stock, see the TEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TE Connectivity Subsidiary Issues New Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Tyco Electronics Group S.A., a wholly owned subsidiary of TE Connectivity, issued $200 million of additional 4.500% senior notes due 2031 and $550 million of 4.875% senior notes due 2036 under an existing shelf registration. The new 2031 tranche is fully fungible with the company’s existing 2031 notes, bringing that series to $650 million outstanding and maintaining an unsecured senior ranking guaranteed by TE Connectivity and TE Connectivity Switzerland.

The offering generated approximately $745.5 million in net proceeds, which TE Connectivity is using to repay outstanding debt, including its 3.700% and 4.500% senior notes due 2026, and for general corporate purposes. By extending its debt maturity profile and locking in fixed-rate funding, the company is refining its capital structure and potentially lowering refinancing risk, while major global banks acted as joint bookrunners in the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEL) stock is a Buy with a $270.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TE Connectivity stock, see the TEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TE Connectivity Posts Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Results
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, TE Connectivity reported that fiscal first-quarter 2026 results for the period ended December 26, 2025 exceeded guidance, with net sales rising 22% year over year to $4.7 billion, including 15% organic growth, driven by strength in both its Industrial and Transportation segments. GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations climbed 45% to $2.53 and adjusted EPS increased 33% to $2.72, while GAAP operating margin improved 260 basis points to 20.6% and adjusted operating margin expanded to 22.2% on strong operational execution, supported by record quarterly orders of $5.1 billion, robust cash generation and significant capital returns to shareholders. Management highlighted growing demand from data and power connectivity applications in AI, grid hardening and next-generation vehicles, and projected continued momentum with double-digit sales and adjusted earnings growth expected in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, alongside a shift in non-GAAP reporting to exclude amortization of intangible assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEL) stock is a Buy with a $304.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TE Connectivity stock, see the TEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TE Connectivity Unveils Strategic Growth Plans at Investor Day
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, TE Connectivity held its investor day in Philadelphia, where it presented its strategic plans for future growth. The company aims to achieve 6-8% growth through a combination of organic and inorganic opportunities, focusing on operational excellence and market recovery. TE Connectivity is also emphasizing its strong financial foundation, with a projected sales growth to $17 billion and an adjusted operating margin of over 21%. The company is positioned to deliver significant shareholder value through a disciplined capital strategy, focusing on high-return opportunities and maintaining a strong presence in the global automotive market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEL) stock is a Buy with a $275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TE Connectivity stock, see the TEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026