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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL

Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$285.00
▲(7.42% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals supported by strong free cash flow and improving growth, plus a constructive price trend. These positives are partially offset by balance-sheet leverage and thin/variable margins, while valuation (high P/E and low dividend yield) limits upside in the score despite the upbeat guidance and AI-driven growth narrative from the latest earnings call.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained, above-$1B annual free cash flow and recent 24% TTM FCF growth provide durable financial flexibility to service debt, fund capex, and support strategic investments or buybacks. Reliable cash conversion reduces reliance on external financing during industry cycles.
AI and Intelligent Infrastructure tailwinds
Exposure to AI-related demand and scale in Intelligent Infrastructure (large cloud, data center and networking programs) anchors multi-year secular growth. These structural end-markets tend to support higher content per unit and stickier programs, improving long-term revenue mix and strategic positioning.
Management execution & raised guidance
Consistent outperformance and upward guidance demonstrate operational discipline and forecasting credibility. Management's ability to expand guidance while maintaining FCF commitments signals durable execution capacity and supports continued investment in higher-growth customer programs.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated debt-to-equity constrains financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to cash-flow shocks. A thinner equity cushion increases refinancing and covenant risks, limiting the company's ability to pursue large strategic investments or absorb cyclical revenue declines without raising funding costs.
Thin, volatile margins
Low and historically variable margins make earnings and free cash flow sensitive to mix, commodity costs, and program pricing. Limited margin headroom reduces capacity to absorb higher interest or input costs and amplifies profit impact from any customer downcycles or program attrition.
Program concentration & segment cyclicality
Reliance on large OEM programs means customer pruning or program exits can quickly reduce revenue and utilization. Segment-specific declines and a conservative automotive outlook highlight structural exposure to program cycles, increasing revenue and margin volatility over the medium term.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. It offers electronics design, production, and product management services. The company provides electronic design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also specializes in the three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as offers various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil primarily makes money by providing contract manufacturing and related supply-chain services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and brand owners. Its core revenue stream is the sale of manufactured products and assemblies produced on behalf of customers under manufacturing services arrangements; these engagements typically include activities such as procurement of components and materials, manufacturing/assembly, testing, and fulfillment, with Jabil earning a margin on the end-to-end service and execution. A significant portion of revenue also comes from value-added services that can be bundled into programs, including design/engineering support (e.g., design for manufacturability and new product introduction), supply chain management (supplier sourcing, planning, inventory management, and logistics), and after-market services (repair, refurbishment, and returns management), which can generate additional service fees and/or higher-margin content depending on scope. Revenue is concentrated in large customer programs, so program wins/ramps, customer demand cycles, pricing and mix, manufacturing efficiency, and component availability can materially affect earnings. Because Jabil often procures materials on behalf of customers, reported revenue can be influenced by pass-through materials/content and changes in commodity/component pricing; profitability depends on execution, utilization, and negotiated program economics. Specific partnership terms, customer-by-customer pricing structures, and segment-level revenue splits are not provided here: null.

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where the company might be focusing its strategic efforts.
Chart InsightsJabil's strategic pivot towards Intelligent Infrastructure is paying off, with this segment driving significant revenue growth due to AI-related demand. Despite challenges in the Regulated Industries and Connected Living segments, which are affected by softness in EV, renewable, and consumer markets, Jabil's focus on AI and industrial automation positions it well for future growth. The company's investment in AI infrastructure and robust share repurchase plans underscore its confidence in sustained performance, even as it navigates sector-specific headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 17, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Jabil's earnings call highlighted a strong performance in Q1, exceeding expectations across key metrics and demonstrating significant growth in Intelligent Infrastructure. The company raised its full-year guidance and anticipates substantial AI-driven revenue growth. However, challenges include a decline in Connected Living and Digital Commerce, increased interest expenses, and a cautious outlook for automotive revenue. Overall, the positive aspects of the call outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong start to fiscal 2026.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations Across Metrics
Jabil exceeded expectations in revenue, core operating income, core margins, and core earnings per share for Q1 Fiscal Year 2026. Revenue reached $8.3 billion, at the high end of the guidance range.
Significant Growth in Intelligent Infrastructure
Intelligent Infrastructure revenue was $3.9 billion, driven by cloud and data center infrastructure and networking end markets. This segment showed a core operating margin increase of 40 basis points year-over-year.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Adjusted free cash flow for Q1 was $272 million, with expectations to deliver $1.3 billion for the full year. The company ended the quarter with a net debt to core EBITDA ratio of 1.2x and cash balances of $1.6 billion.
Raised Full Year Guidance
Jabil raised its full-year revenue guidance by $1.1 billion to $32.4 billion, with an improved core operating margin expectation of 5.7%.
AI-Driven Revenue Growth
AI-related revenue for fiscal 2026 is expected to be approximately $12.1 billion, representing 35% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Connected Living and Digital Commerce Revenue Decline
Revenue for Connected Living and Digital Commerce is expected to be down 11% year-over-year due to customer pruning and planned program attrition, despite some growth in digital commerce.
Increased Interest Expense
Projected interest expense for the full year is approximately $270 million, driven by additional debt associated with the Hanley Energy Group acquisition and refinancing of senior notes.
Decline in Automotive Revenue Outlook
Automotive revenue for fiscal 2026 is expected to remain conservative, with potential upside not anticipated until fiscal 2027-2028.
Company Guidance
During Jabil's first quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance across several metrics, exceeding expectations with net revenue of $8.3 billion, core operating income of $454 million, and a core operating margin of 5.5%. The company achieved a core diluted earnings per share of $2.85, which was at the upper end of their guidance range. Jabil's Intelligent Infrastructure segment led growth, supported by demand in cloud and data center infrastructure, while Regulated Industries and Connected Living and Digital Commerce segments also performed well. For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Jabil provided guidance for total revenue between $7.5 billion and $8 billion, with core operating income expected to range from $375 million to $435 million. The company anticipates a core diluted earnings per share between $2.27 and $2.67, with a GAAP diluted earnings per share ranging from $1.70 to $2.19. Jabil also expects to maintain a core tax rate of 21% for the second quarter and the full fiscal year. The company remains focused on margin expansion, capital efficiency, and sustained cash generation, projecting $1.3 billion in adjusted free cash flow for the full year.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength (TTM operating cash flow ~$1.73B; free cash flow ~$1.47B; ~24% TTM FCF growth), and revenue returned to growth (~5% TTM). Offsetting this, profitability is thin (TTM gross margin ~8.9%, net margin ~2.3%) with year-to-year margin volatility, and the balance sheet is a notable risk with high leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.51x) and shrinking equity cushion.
Income Statement
66
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue rose ~5% from the prior annual period, showing a return to growth after the decline seen in 2024. Profitability is steady but thin for the industry profile: gross margin is ~8.9% and net margin is ~2.3% in TTM. A key weakness is earnings volatility—2024 showed materially higher net margin (~4.8%) and EBIT margin (~6.7%) than both 2025 and TTM, suggesting the business is exposed to mix/cycle and cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Leverage is the main constraint: TTM debt is ~$4.39B versus equity of ~$1.34B (debt-to-equity ~2.51x), higher than recent annual periods and indicating a more aggressive capital structure. Equity has trended down from 2023–2024 levels, reducing balance-sheet cushion despite a larger asset base. Return on equity is strong in TTM (~51%), but it is partly amplified by the higher leverage, which increases sensitivity if profits soften.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~$1.73B and free cash flow is ~$1.47B, with strong TTM free-cash-flow growth (~24%). Free cash flow remains healthy relative to earnings (about 72% of net income), supporting flexibility for debt service and capital returns. A watch-out is that operating cash flow relative to revenue is modest (~11–15% across periods), so sustaining the current free-cash-flow level depends on continued working-capital discipline and stable demand.
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.67B29.80B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B
Gross Profit2.95B2.65B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B
EBITDA1.97B1.81B2.62B2.39B2.30B1.94B
Net Income809.00M657.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.63B18.54B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.83B1.93B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B
Total Debt4.39B3.37B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B
Total Liabilities19.28B17.03B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.51B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.47B1.17B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.73B1.64B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B
Investing Cash Flow-1.17B-714.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M
Financing Cash Flow-338.00M-1.20B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price265.31
Price Trends
50DMA
251.14
Positive
100DMA
234.14
Positive
200DMA
222.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.82
Negative
RSI
57.19
Neutral
STOCH
91.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 265.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 258.91, above the 50-day MA of 251.14, and above the 200-day MA of 222.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.40B24.7412.39%1.82%56.52%
72
Outperform
$24.19B23.7616.83%0.77%0.51%
68
Neutral
$10.04B41.1710.61%17.88%91.41%
67
Neutral
$28.02B31.6458.99%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
66
Neutral
$7.11B42.409.86%7.40%13.79%
62
Neutral
$2.00B61.392.25%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
265.31
121.70
84.75%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
56.05
15.61
38.59%
FLEX
Flex
65.79
29.73
82.45%
PLXS
Plexus
201.48
72.39
56.08%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
130.23
51.91
66.28%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
97.08
74.45
328.99%

Jabil Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jabil reshapes board leadership with new independent directors
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Jabil Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from seven to nine members, appointing former TTM Technologies CEO Thomas T. Edman and former Amazon Web Services marketing chief Raejeanne Skillern as independent directors, with Edman joining the Audit and Cybersecurity Committees and Skillern joining the Audit Committee. On the same date, longtime director Steven Raymund was elevated to Chairman of the Board, director Sujatha Chandrasekaran was named to the Compensation and Cybersecurity Committees, and Executive Chairman Mark T. Mondello concluded his employment and Board service, transitioning into a two-year consulting role providing advisory and strategic services to the company, moves that collectively signal a reconfiguration of Jabil’s governance and strategic oversight as it marks its 60th year and seeks to strengthen capabilities in electronics manufacturing, cloud, and data center markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Buy with a $275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Jabil shareholders reshape board composition at annual meeting
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026

At its annual meeting of stockholders held on January 22, 2026, Jabil Inc. reported the election of directors Anousheh Ansari, Sujatha Chandrasekaran, Michael Dastoor, Christopher S. Holland and Steven A. Raymund, while John C. Plant and N.V. “Tiger” Tyagarajan failed to secure a majority of votes, triggering the company’s director resignation policy and prompting conditional resignations that the Nominating and Governance Committee and full board must evaluate within a defined 90-day decision window. Shareholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as Jabil’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2026, approved the company’s executive compensation on an advisory basis, and rejected a shareholder proposal to allow action by written consent, outcomes that collectively reinforced existing governance and compensation structures while raising questions about board composition and investor sentiment toward specific directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Buy with a $275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jabil Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Debt Offering
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Jabil Inc. completed a $1 billion underwritten public debt offering, issuing $500 million of 4.200% Senior Notes due February 1, 2029 and $500 million of 4.750% Senior Notes due February 1, 2033, both unsecured and ranking pari passu with the company’s existing and future senior unsecured indebtedness. The notes, which carry semi-annual interest payments beginning August 1, 2026, include issuer-friendly optional redemption features—initially at a make-whole premium before near-maturity call dates and at par thereafter—as well as a requirement for Jabil to offer to repurchase the notes at 101% upon a change of control repurchase event, and are subject to covenants that restrict certain liens, sale-leasebacks, funded debt at restricted subsidiaries, subsidiary guarantees, and major corporate restructurings, thereby shaping Jabil’s future balance sheet flexibility and providing bondholders with structural protections. The offering was executed under a standard underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by BNP Paribas, Citigroup, Crédit Agricole and SMBC Nikko, utilizing Jabil’s existing shelf registration to efficiently tap the capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Buy with a $275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026