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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL
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Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$225.00
▲(7.09% Upside)
Jabil's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong earnings call performance and strategic financial management, offset by technical weaknesses and valuation concerns. The company's focus on AI and industrial automation positions it well for future growth, but high leverage and declining profitability margins pose risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
JBL recently reported a beat in F2Q and noted strength in Capital Equipment, AI-related cloud, and Data Center Infrastructure.
Growth Prospects
Jabil can benefit from new program ramps in healthcare and continued strong revenues in Digital Commerce.
Market Opportunities
There is a large opportunity in optical transceivers and AI-related switching.
Negative Factors
Industry Challenges
Revenues in Regulated Industries declined 8% y/y given softness in EVs and renewable energy.
Market Valuation
Jabil trades at a discount to peer Celestica, despite similar expected EPS growth.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. It offers electronics design, production, and product management services. The company provides electronic design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also specializes in the three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as offers various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil generates revenue primarily through its contract manufacturing services, which involve producing electronic components and assemblies for a variety of industries. Key revenue streams include the production of consumer electronics, medical devices, and automotive components. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major clients, which provide a stable revenue base. Additionally, Jabil's engineering and design services add value by offering integrated solutions that enhance customer products. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) also play a crucial role in expanding Jabil's market reach and driving earnings, as these collaborations often lead to large-scale manufacturing agreements.

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income by Segment
Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth in the Intelligent Infrastructure segment, driven by AI-related demand. Despite challenges in the regulated industries and consumer segments, the company's strategic investments and share repurchase plans indicate a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Jabil Inc. reported $7.8 billion in net revenue for Q3 FY2025, marking a 16% year-over-year increase and $800 million above the midpoint of their guidance range.
Intelligent Infrastructure Segment Performance
The Intelligent Infrastructure segment saw revenue growth of approximately 51% year-over-year, driven by strong demand in AI-related cloud and data center infrastructure.
Core Operating Income and Margins
Core operating income for Q3 was $420 million with a core operating margin of 5.4%, representing a 20 basis point improvement year-over-year.
Free Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Adjusted free cash flow for Q3 was $326 million, contributing to a year-to-date figure of $813 million. The company repurchased $339 million worth of shares and plans to complete a $1 billion share repurchase authorization in Q4.
AI Infrastructure Expansion
Jabil announced plans to open a new site in the Southeastern U.S. to support AI data center infrastructure demand, with a $500 million investment over the next several years.
Negative Updates
Regulated Industries Revenue Stagnation
The regulated industries segment reported $3.1 billion in revenue, flat year-over-year, due to ongoing softness in EV and renewable end markets.
Connected Living Segment Decline
The Connected Living and Digital Commerce segment saw a year-over-year revenue decline of approximately 7%, primarily due to softness in consumer-driven products.
Challenges in EV and Renewable Markets
Jabil continues to experience softness in the EV and renewable energy markets, impacting their regulated industries segment.
Networking and Communications Demand
There was lower demand in the networking and communications end market, attributed to softer 5G demand.
Company Guidance
During Jabil Inc.'s Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance that reflects their strong performance and anticipated growth. For Q3, Jabil reported net revenue of $7.8 billion, a 16% increase year-over-year, driven primarily by the Intelligent Infrastructure segment, which saw a 51% revenue growth due to AI-related demand. Core operating income was $420 million with a margin of 5.4%, while core diluted earnings per share increased by 35% to $2.55. For Q4, Jabil anticipates total company revenue to range between $7.1 billion and $7.8 billion, with core operating income expected between $428 million and $488 million. GAAP diluted EPS is projected to be between $1.79 and $2.37, with a core tax rate of 21%. The company also plans a $500 million investment in a new U.S. site to support AI data center infrastructure, with expectations of generating over $1.2 billion in free cash flow for the fiscal year. Jabil is focused on diversified growth, particularly in AI and industrial automation, while managing risks in the EV and renewable markets.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jabil's financial performance is mixed. Strong cash flow generation and efficient profit conversion are positives, but declining revenue and profitability margins pose challenges. High debt levels and a low equity ratio raise concerns about financial leverage and stability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Jabil's income statement reflects moderate performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a gross profit margin of 8.86% and a net profit margin of 2.02%, indicating stable profitability. However, the net profit margin has declined from the previous year (4.80%). Revenue declined by 1.28% since last year, showing a slight downturn. The EBIT margin is at 4.08% and EBITDA margin at 3.67%, which are decent but show a decrease from previous levels, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet highlights some areas of concern for Jabil. The debt-to-equity ratio stands high at 2.59, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. Return on equity is moderate at 44.91%, but it reflects a decrease from the previous year's performance. The equity ratio is low at 6.91%, suggesting a heavy reliance on liabilities to finance assets. These metrics suggest potential risks regarding financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Jabil's cash flow statement is relatively strong, with a free cash flow of $1.25 billion, showing a substantial growth rate of 34.10% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.75, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.17, highlighting efficient cash management. Despite these strengths, the company should monitor its capital expenditures to sustain free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.51B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B27.27B
Gross Profit2.53B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B1.93B
EBITDA1.84B2.62B2.39B2.30B1.94B1.23B
Net Income577.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M54.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.59B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B14.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B1.39B
Total Debt3.33B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B3.14B
Total Liabilities17.30B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B12.57B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B1.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.25B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M274.24M
Operating Cash Flow1.59B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-694.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M-921.11M
Financing Cash Flow-1.84B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M-65.12M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price210.10
Price Trends
50DMA
217.62
Negative
100DMA
191.17
Positive
200DMA
168.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.90
Positive
RSI
48.39
Neutral
STOCH
65.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 210.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 211.63, below the 50-day MA of 217.62, and above the 200-day MA of 168.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.39B25.6611.58%5.87%20.66%
79
Outperform
$4.76B53.535.89%14.24%424.78%
76
Outperform
$3.72B23.6512.12%2.31%48.63%
74
Outperform
$20.71B24.2317.67%-3.63%2.26%
69
Neutral
$1.45B37.353.49%1.68%-5.95%-43.46%
67
Neutral
$22.32B40.4332.41%0.15%-6.13%-53.35%
61
Neutral
$35.52B8.84-11.06%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
210.10
107.62
105.02%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
40.38
2.04
5.32%
FLEX
Flex
55.66
26.90
93.53%
PLXS
Plexus
138.97
19.43
16.25%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
120.93
57.96
92.04%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
47.70
30.70
180.59%

Jabil Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jabil Secures New $3.2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Jabil Inc. has entered into a new senior unsecured credit agreement on June 18, 2025, establishing a five-year revolving credit facility initially amounting to $3.2 billion, with the potential to increase by up to $1.0 billion at the lenders’ discretion. This agreement, replacing the company’s previous credit agreement dated January 22, 2020, involves several major financial institutions and offers flexibility in currency options and interest rates based on Jabil’s credit ratings. The move signifies Jabil’s strategic financial management, enhancing its liquidity position without incurring early termination penalties, and reflects its ongoing relationships with major financial service providers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025