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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL

Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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JBL

Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$269.00
▲(6.25% Upside)
Jabil's strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the stock score. Financial performance is solid but hampered by high leverage and low net profit margins. Valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield slightly offset the positives.
Positive Factors
Diversified Manufacturing Model
Jabil's dual EMS and DMS model serving healthcare, automotive, aerospace and consumer electronics spreads revenue across end markets and reduces reliance on any single sector. This durable diversification supports steadier demand cycles and long-term contract reach with large OEMs.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistent free cash flow growth and a high FCF-to-net-income ratio indicate Jabil converts earnings into cash efficiently. Reliable cash generation supports capex for advanced manufacturing, deleveraging, and shareholder capital allocation, adding structural financial flexibility over multiple quarters.
Structural Growth in Intelligent Infrastructure & AI
Robust demand in cloud, data center and AI-related end markets drives higher-margin, scalable programs. AI-related revenue guidance and Intelligent Infrastructure margin improvement signal structural secular tailwinds that can lift revenue mix and sustainable operating margins over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio indicates material leverage that raises interest and refinancing risk. Additional acquisition-related debt increases sensitivity to cyclical downturns and may constrain strategic flexibility, especially if margins or cash flows weaken over the next several quarters.
Low Net Profit Margin and Cash Conversion Issues
Sub-3% net margins reflect tight profitability after cost and SG&A pressures, leaving limited buffer for margin shocks. Coupled with weaker operating cash flow conversion, this limits internal reinvestment and increases reliance on disciplined cost management to sustain long-term returns.
Program Attrition and Segment Headwinds
Customer pruning and planned program attrition in Connected Living reduce recurring revenue and heighten exposure to contract churn. A cautious automotive outlook delays potential upside, increasing medium-term revenue variability and making growth more dependent on fewer high-growth verticals.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. It offers electronics design, production, and product management services. The company provides electronic design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also specializes in the three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as offers various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil generates revenue primarily through its Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) and Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS) segments. The EMS segment involves the production of electronic components and assemblies for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) across various industries. Revenue from this segment is driven by long-term contracts with customers, which provide a steady stream of income. The DMS segment focuses on providing manufacturing and supply chain services for non-electronic products, contributing to revenue diversification. Key revenue streams include contracts with large technology companies, automotive manufacturers, and healthcare firms. Additionally, Jabil benefits from strategic partnerships with major brands, enabling it to leverage existing client relationships and expand its service offerings. Other factors contributing to its earnings include operational efficiency, cost management, and investment in advanced manufacturing technologies.

Jabil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income by Segment
Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 17, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Jabil's earnings call highlighted a strong performance in Q1, exceeding expectations across key metrics and demonstrating significant growth in Intelligent Infrastructure. The company raised its full-year guidance and anticipates substantial AI-driven revenue growth. However, challenges include a decline in Connected Living and Digital Commerce, increased interest expenses, and a cautious outlook for automotive revenue. Overall, the positive aspects of the call outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong start to fiscal 2026.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations Across Metrics
Jabil exceeded expectations in revenue, core operating income, core margins, and core earnings per share for Q1 Fiscal Year 2026. Revenue reached $8.3 billion, at the high end of the guidance range.
Significant Growth in Intelligent Infrastructure
Intelligent Infrastructure revenue was $3.9 billion, driven by cloud and data center infrastructure and networking end markets. This segment showed a core operating margin increase of 40 basis points year-over-year.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Adjusted free cash flow for Q1 was $272 million, with expectations to deliver $1.3 billion for the full year. The company ended the quarter with a net debt to core EBITDA ratio of 1.2x and cash balances of $1.6 billion.
Raised Full Year Guidance
Jabil raised its full-year revenue guidance by $1.1 billion to $32.4 billion, with an improved core operating margin expectation of 5.7%.
AI-Driven Revenue Growth
AI-related revenue for fiscal 2026 is expected to be approximately $12.1 billion, representing 35% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Connected Living and Digital Commerce Revenue Decline
Revenue for Connected Living and Digital Commerce is expected to be down 11% year-over-year due to customer pruning and planned program attrition, despite some growth in digital commerce.
Increased Interest Expense
Projected interest expense for the full year is approximately $270 million, driven by additional debt associated with the Hanley Energy Group acquisition and refinancing of senior notes.
Decline in Automotive Revenue Outlook
Automotive revenue for fiscal 2026 is expected to remain conservative, with potential upside not anticipated until fiscal 2027-2028.
Company Guidance
During Jabil's first quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance across several metrics, exceeding expectations with net revenue of $8.3 billion, core operating income of $454 million, and a core operating margin of 5.5%. The company achieved a core diluted earnings per share of $2.85, which was at the upper end of their guidance range. Jabil's Intelligent Infrastructure segment led growth, supported by demand in cloud and data center infrastructure, while Regulated Industries and Connected Living and Digital Commerce segments also performed well. For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Jabil provided guidance for total revenue between $7.5 billion and $8 billion, with core operating income expected to range from $375 million to $435 million. The company anticipates a core diluted earnings per share between $2.27 and $2.67, with a GAAP diluted earnings per share ranging from $1.70 to $2.19. Jabil also expects to maintain a core tax rate of 21% for the second quarter and the full fiscal year. The company remains focused on margin expansion, capital efficiency, and sustained cash generation, projecting $1.3 billion in adjusted free cash flow for the full year.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jabil shows solid revenue growth and effective equity utilization, but faces challenges with high leverage and low net profit margins. Strong cash flow generation is a positive, though improvement in converting income to cash is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Jabil's income statement shows a stable growth trajectory with a revenue growth rate of 4.4% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is consistent at around 8.9%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.3%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.51, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is strong at 51.1%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 9.2% in the TTM period, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 77.5%, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.80B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B
Gross Profit2.65B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B
EBITDA1.81B2.62B2.39B2.30B1.94B
Net Income657.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.54B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.93B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B
Total Debt3.37B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B
Total Liabilities17.03B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.17B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.64B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B
Investing Cash Flow-714.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.20B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price253.18
Price Trends
50DMA
219.49
Positive
100DMA
215.44
Positive
200DMA
199.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.48
Negative
RSI
68.72
Neutral
STOCH
79.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 253.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 230.70, above the 50-day MA of 219.49, and above the 200-day MA of 199.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.11B39.1410.81%7.40%13.79%
77
Outperform
$9.97B80.428.12%17.88%91.41%
76
Outperform
$4.69B27.9512.44%1.82%56.52%
74
Outperform
$23.60B29.3917.45%0.77%0.51%
73
Outperform
$25.48B37.5447.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$1.71B46.953.37%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
253.18
90.50
55.63%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
49.53
2.08
4.39%
FLEX
Flex
66.59
23.87
55.88%
PLXS
Plexus
179.73
12.37
7.39%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
174.40
91.43
110.20%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
100.90
75.36
295.07%

Jabil Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jabil Announces Board Changes with Key Departures
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Jabil Inc. announced that Executive Chairman Mark T. Mondello and Directors Kathleen A. Walters and James Siminoff will not seek re-election to the Board at the end of their terms in January 2026. Mondello, who has been pivotal in shaping Jabil’s diversification strategy, will be succeeded by Lead Director Steven Raymund as chairman. The Board will be reduced to seven members, reflecting a strategic transition for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Hold with a $216.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025