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Jabil (JBL)
NYSE:JBL

Jabil (JBL) AI Stock Analysis

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Jabil

(NYSE:JBL)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$230.00
▲(5.46%Upside)
Jabil's overall stock score is supported by strong earnings growth and strategic corporate actions, such as the U.S. expansion and new credit facility. However, high valuation metrics and financial leverage, along with overbought technical indicators, present risks that temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
JBL recently reported a beat in F2Q and noted strength in Capital Equipment, AI-related cloud, and Data Center Infrastructure.
Financial Performance
A significant share buyback authorization and a strong Free Cash Flow target demonstrate confidence in capital returns and financial strength.
Market Opportunities
There is a large opportunity in optical transceivers and AI related switching.
Negative Factors
Industry Challenges
Revenues in Regulated Industries declined 8% y/y given softness in EVs and renewable energy.
Valuation
Jabil trades at a discount to peer Celestica, despite similar expected EPS growth.

Jabil (JBL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jabil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJabil Inc. (JBL) is a leading global manufacturing solutions provider with operations spanning across multiple sectors, including healthcare, automotive, consumer electronics, and industrial. The company offers comprehensive design, manufacturing, supply chain, and product management services to a wide range of industries, facilitating the production of innovative, high-quality products. Jabil leverages its extensive expertise and advanced technologies to deliver tailored solutions that meet the unique needs of its clients worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyJabil makes money primarily through its diversified revenue streams from providing electronics manufacturing services and solutions. These include design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management services for customers across various industries. The company's revenue is largely driven by its Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) segment, which serves industries such as consumer electronics, healthcare, and automotive. Jabil also benefits significantly from its Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS) segment, which focuses on providing more complex and innovative product solutions. Key factors contributing to Jabil's earnings include long-term partnerships with major global brands, strategic investments in advanced manufacturing technologies, and a strong focus on operational efficiency and cost management. Additionally, Jabil's global presence enables it to capitalize on regional market opportunities and scale its operations effectively to meet customer demands.

Jabil Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong overall performance for Jabil Inc., highlighted by significant revenue growth driven by the Intelligent Infrastructure segment and robust free cash flow generation. However, challenges persist in the regulated industries and consumer product segments, as well as in the 5G market. The company's strategic U.S. manufacturing expansion and strong earnings growth contribute to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Jabil Inc. reported $7.8 billion in net revenue for Q3, up 16% year over year, exceeding expectations by $800 million.
Intelligent Infrastructure Segment Surge
The Intelligent Infrastructure segment reported revenue of $3.4 billion, up 51% year over year, driven by AI-related cloud and data center infrastructure growth.
Strong Core Earnings Growth
Core diluted earnings per share for Q3 were $2.55, a 35% increase compared to Q3 of the previous year.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $326 million, with year-to-date free cash flow reaching $813 million. The company is on track to generate over $1.2 billion in free cash flow for the year.
U.S. Manufacturing Expansion
Jabil announced a $500 million investment to open a new site in the Southeastern U.S. to support AI data center infrastructure demand, enhancing its U.S. footprint.
Negative Updates
Softness in Regulated Industries
The regulated industries segment, including EV and renewable markets, showed ongoing softness with revenue flat year over year and a decline in profitability.
Challenges in Consumer Products
The Connected Living and Digital Commerce segment saw a 7% year-over-year revenue decline, primarily due to softness in consumer-driven products.
5G Demand Weakness
Networking and communications end market faced lower demand due to softer 5G demand, affecting overall performance.
Company Guidance
During Jabil Inc.'s third-quarter fiscal 2025 conference call, the company reported strong financial metrics, surpassing expectations with $7.8 billion in net revenue, a 16% increase year over year, and $800 million above their March guidance midpoint. The Intelligent Infrastructure segment drove growth, with AI-related revenue contributing significantly, while the regulated and Connected Living and Digital Commerce segments performed as planned. Core operating income reached $420 million, translating to a 5.4% core operating margin, a 20 basis point improvement from last year. GAAP operating income stood at $403 million, with a GAAP diluted EPS of $2.30 and core diluted EPS rising 35% year over year to $2.55. Despite challenges in the EV and renewable markets, healthcare provided offsetting growth within regulated industries. Inventory days improved, and cash flow from operations was strong at $406 million, leading to a year-to-date adjusted free cash flow of $813 million. Looking ahead, Jabil anticipates Q4 revenue between $7.1 billion and $7.8 billion, with core operating income ranging from $428 million to $488 million, and core diluted EPS expected to be between $2.64 and $3.04. The company also announced a $500 million investment in a new U.S. site to support AI data center infrastructure growth, aiming to reach $8.5 billion in AI-related revenue for the fiscal year. For fiscal 2025, Jabil raised its revenue guidance to approximately $29 billion, maintaining a 5.4% core operating margin and projecting core diluted EPS of $9.33, with an expected free cash flow exceeding $1.2 billion.

Jabil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jabil's financial performance reflects both strengths and challenges. While operational efficiency and cash flow generation are commendable, high leverage and declining revenue pose potential risks. The company needs to focus on growth and managing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Jabil's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue has declined compared to the previous year, indicating a challenge in maintaining growth. The gross profit margin is approximately 8.9%, which is modest, and the net profit margin stands at 1.8%, reflecting competitive pressure in the industry. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 3.9% and 4.7%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management. However, the overall decline in revenue and net income affects the score.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Jabil's balance sheet indicates a cautious approach. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 2.42, signifying significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed well. The return on equity (ROE) is 35.6%, showing strong profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 7.8%, suggesting limited financial cushion. High leverage coupled with low equity raises concerns about financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals positive trends. Free cash flow has seen significant growth, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.03, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.50, highlighting robust operational cash flow. These strong cash flow metrics bolster the company's financial flexibility despite the revenue challenges.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.45B28.88B34.70B33.48B29.29B27.27B
Gross Profit2.44B2.68B2.87B2.63B2.36B1.93B
EBITDA1.73B2.62B2.53B2.36B1.97B1.23B
Net Income484.00M1.39B818.00M996.00M696.00M54.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.40B17.35B19.42B19.72B16.65B14.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.59B2.20B1.80B1.48B1.57B1.39B
Total Debt3.29B3.26B3.25B3.41B3.32B3.14B
Total Liabilities16.04B15.61B16.56B17.27B14.52B12.57B
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.74B2.87B2.45B2.14B1.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.35B932.00M704.00M266.00M274.00M274.24M
Operating Cash Flow1.70B1.72B1.73B1.65B1.43B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-710.00M1.35B-723.00M-858.00M-851.00M-921.11M
Financing Cash Flow-1.96B-2.67B-680.00M-888.00M-413.00M-65.12M

Jabil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price218.10
Price Trends
50DMA
169.73
Positive
100DMA
157.64
Positive
200DMA
146.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.24
Negative
RSI
90.56
Negative
STOCH
96.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 218.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.27, above the 50-day MA of 169.73, and above the 200-day MA of 146.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 90.56 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBL.

Jabil Risk Analysis

Jabil disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jabil reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jabil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.24B22.6411.03%-1.50%1.84%
76
Outperform
$4.09B54.515.02%11.65%
ESESE
74
Outperform
$5.02B42.619.66%0.16%8.40%20.03%
74
Outperform
$3.67B26.3510.93%-0.69%42.26%
69
Neutral
$18.64B23.6416.23%-8.07%-8.00%
JBJBL
67
Neutral
$23.33B42.2732.41%0.15%-6.13%-53.35%
56
Neutral
$3.16B5.05-5.68%5.76%8.05%-41.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBL
Jabil
218.10
109.84
101.46%
ESE
Esco Technologies
191.87
90.01
88.37%
FLEX
Flex
49.92
20.26
68.31%
PLXS
Plexus
135.31
32.56
31.69%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
97.83
32.55
49.86%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
40.82
21.76
114.17%

Jabil Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Jabil Secures New $3.2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Jabil Inc. has entered into a new senior unsecured credit agreement on June 18, 2025, establishing a five-year revolving credit facility initially amounting to $3.2 billion, with the potential to increase by up to $1.0 billion at the lenders’ discretion. This agreement, replacing the company’s previous credit agreement dated January 22, 2020, involves several major financial institutions and offers flexibility in currency options and interest rates based on Jabil’s credit ratings. The move signifies Jabil’s strategic financial management, enhancing its liquidity position without incurring early termination penalties, and reflects its ongoing relationships with major financial service providers.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBL) stock is a Buy with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jabil stock, see the JBL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Jabil Appoints Sujatha Chandrasekaran to Board
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Jabil Inc. announced the appointment of Sujatha Chandrasekaran to its Board of Directors, expanding the Board from nine to ten members. Ms. Chandrasekaran, who has extensive leadership experience in healthcare, retail, consumer, supply chain, and manufacturing sectors, is expected to bring valuable insights to Jabil’s Board. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company’s commitments to shareholders, customers, and communities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025