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Sanmina-Sci Corp. (SANM)
NASDAQ:SANM

Sanmina-Sci (SANM) AI Stock Analysis

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SANM

Sanmina-Sci

(NASDAQ:SANM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$178.00
▲(25.09% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/31/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financials (especially strong free cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook with accretive acquisition-driven growth. These positives are tempered by weak near-term technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a higher P/E multiple with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and liquidity
Sanmina’s sustained operating and free cash flow (TTM OCF ~$735M, FCF ~$518M) and $1.42B cash plus ~$3.6B liquidity support durable self‑funding of capex, acquisitions, and shareholder returns. Strong cash generation reduces refinancing risk and enables multi‑year strategic investments.
Accretive ZT Systems acquisition and AI exposure
ZT Systems integration is immediately accretive to EPS and expands Sanmina’s footprint in AI/data‑center systems. This strengthens competitive positioning in a structurally growing market, improving scale, aftermarket sales, and the potential for a higher‑margin product mix versus purely commodity EMS revenue.
Diversified end markets with strong IMS growth
Significant IMS growth (+72% YoY to $2.79B) and concentration in cloud/communications (~62% of revenue combined) align Sanmina with secular AI/cloud infrastructure tailwinds. A diversified, higher‑growth end‑market mix supports more durable revenue streams and the potential to lift company margins over time.
Negative Factors
Thin profitability margins
TTM gross margin (~8.5%) and net margin (~2.5%) are thin for capital‑intensive EMS operations, limiting retained earnings available for reinvestment and return of capital. Persistent low margins increase sensitivity to commodity cost swings and program mix shifts, constraining durable margin expansion.
Elevated inventory and weaker turns
Inventory up ~74% YoY to $2.2B ties significant cash to working capital and reduced turns. Elevated inventory during integration increases funding needs, operational complexity and timing risk; until normalized, it can materially drag on free cash flow and raise leverage volatility over quarters.
Higher recent debt and elevated near‑term funding needs
Although current leverage appears manageable, absolute debt has risen materially versus prior periods and management expects leverage to increase to support working capital and growth. Higher debt plus elevated capex and other expenses raises refinancing and interest risks and can limit flexibility during downturns.

Sanmina-Sci (SANM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sanmina-Sci Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSanmina Corporation provides integrated manufacturing solutions, components, products and repair, logistics, and after-market services worldwide. It operates in two businesses, Integrated Manufacturing Solutions; and Components, Products and Services. The company offers product design and engineering, including concept development, detailed design, prototyping, validation, preproduction, manufacturing design release, and product industrialization; assembly and test services; direct order fulfillment and logistics services; after-market product service and support; and supply chain management services, as well as engages in the manufacturing of components, subassemblies, and complete systems. In addition, the company provides interconnect systems, such as printed circuit board fabrication, backplane, cable assemblies, and plastic injection moldings; mechanical systems comprising enclosures and precision machining; memory, storage platforms, radio frequency, optical, and microelectronic solutions; defense and aerospace products; and cloud-based manufacturing execution software. It offers its products and services primarily to original equipment manufacturers in the industrial, medical, defense and aerospace, automotive, communications networks, and cloud solutions industries. Sanmina Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySanmina generates revenue primarily through its electronic manufacturing services (EMS) and integrated supply chain solutions. The company has multiple key revenue streams, which include contract manufacturing, where it produces products for its clients; design and engineering services, which help clients develop new products; and logistics and supply chain management services that optimize clients' operational efficiencies. Significant partnerships with major OEMs across various sectors, coupled with a focus on high-value markets such as medical devices and telecommunications, contribute to its earnings. Additionally, Sanmina benefits from long-term contracts with customers that provide stable revenue, and its ability to scale operations efficiently allows for competitive pricing and improved margins.

Sanmina-Sci Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Sanmina-Sci Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong start to fiscal 2026 with robust revenue (+59% YoY), substantial EPS growth (+66% YoY), solid operating margins (6.0%) and healthy cash generation and liquidity. The ZT Systems acquisition is accretive and contributes meaningfully to IMS growth (72% YoY in IMS). Management reiterated attractive medium-term growth opportunities in cloud/AI infrastructure, energy, and medical, and provided confident Q2 guidance. Offsetting factors include an elevated inventory base (up 74% YoY) and a decline in inventory turns due to the acquisition, short-term margin pressure in CPS from investments and program transitions, modest weakness in automotive/transportation, and higher near-term capex and expected increases in leverage as working capital is deployed for growth. Overall, positive operational and financial momentum appears to outweigh the manageable integration and working-capital headwinds.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Reported revenue of $3.19 billion for Q1 FY2026, up 59% year-over-year and at the high end of guidance.
Significant EPS Improvement
Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $2.38, up 66.1% year-over-year and above the company's outlook.
Solid Operating Margin
Non-GAAP operating margin of 6.0%, up 40 basis points versus the prior-year period and consistent with the prior quarter; Q2 guidance of 5.7%–6.2%.
Strong Cash Generation and Liquidity
Cash flow from operations of $179 million and free cash flow of $92 million; cash and cash equivalents of $1.42 billion and total available liquidity of approximately $3.6 billion.
Segment Strength — IMS
IMS revenue of $2.79 billion, up 72% year-over-year; IMS non-GAAP gross margin improved to 8.7%, up 80 basis points year-over-year, driven by favorable mix and operational efficiencies (including contribution from ZT Systems).
ZT Systems Acquisition Accretive
ZT Systems integration on track, immediately accretive to EPS, with margins in line with core Sanmina; company expects ZT to grow quarter-over-quarter and to drive AI/data-center upside.
Return of Capital and Strong ROIC
Repurchased 516,000 shares for ~$79 million in the quarter; non-GAAP pretax ROIC of 32.1% (versus 23.5% year-over-year) and conservative net leverage ratio of 0.8x.
Positive Outlook & Growth Targets
Q2 revenue outlook $3.1B–$3.4B (midpoint $3.25B, ~62% YoY); Q2 EPS guidance $2.25–$2.55 (midpoint $2.40, ~66.7% YoY). Management reiterates core Sanmina to grow high single digits this fiscal year and long-term ambition to expand margins to 6–7%+.
Market & Product Momentum
Management cites strong demand across communications networks and cloud & AI infrastructure (combined ~62% of revenue), a robust pipeline for AI data center projects, and expansion initiatives (e.g., new Houston energy factory with production in 2027).
Negative Updates
Inventory Increase and Turn Decline
Inventory (net of customer advances) of $2.2 billion, up 74% year-over-year driven by the ZT Systems acquisition; inventory turns (net of advances) declined to 5.3x from 5.8x a year ago (Q1 included only two months of ZT COGS, partially distorting the metric).
CPS Margin Pressure from Investments
CPS revenue increased 4.3% YoY to $434 million, but CPS gross margin of 12.9% — while up 40 basis points YoY — was lower than recent performance due to investments coming online to support new programs and several program transitions.
Industrial/Automotive Slight Weakness
Industrial, energy, medical, defense & aerospace, automotive and transportation segment represented 38% of revenue ($1.226 billion) and was slightly down ~3% year-over-year, with automotive/transportation cited as stabilizing but recovering.
Higher Working Capital Needs and Near-Term Leverage Increase
Management expects leverage to increase over time into the 1.0x–2.0x long-term target range as they invest in working capital to support ZT Systems growth, implying near-term balance-sheet funding pressure.
Elevated Capital Spending
Capital expenditures of $87 million (slightly above outlook) in Q1 and guidance for ~ $95 million in Q2 to support capacity and technology investments, which increases near-term cash absorption.
Other Expense and Debt-Related Costs
Non-GAAP other expense was a net expense of $19.1 million in Q1; Q2 other expense expected to be approximately $26 million reflecting a full quarter of the new debt structure.
Market & Geopolitical Uncertainties
Outlook accounts for ongoing market uncertainties stemming from tariffs and geopolitical landscape, which introduce risk to near-term execution and customer timing.
Company Guidance
Sanmina guided Q2 revenue of $3.1B–$3.4B (midpoint $3.25B, ~62% YoY) — a range that reflects a full quarter of ZT Systems — with non‑GAAP operating margin of 5.7%–6.2% (mix‑dependent); other income/expense expected to be a net expense of ~$(26)M (includes a full quarter of new debt); non‑GAAP effective tax rate 21%–23%; an estimated ~$3M noncash reduction for India JV partners; non‑GAAP diluted EPS $2.25–$2.55 on roughly 56M fully diluted shares (midpoint $2.40, ~66.7% YoY); capital expenditures of about $95M and depreciation of about $45M. Management also reiterated FY26 is a growth year with core Sanmina expected to grow high‑single digits, a longer‑term operating margin target moving from ~6% toward 6–7%+, a long‑term net leverage target of 1.0x–2.0x (current goal of achieving investment‑grade ratings), and strategic objectives to double revenue over two years supported by AI opportunities (management cited a ~$16B+ AI opportunity by CY27).

Sanmina-Sci Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$735M; free cash flow ~$518M) and solid TTM revenue growth (+14.6%) support the score. Offsets include thin profitability (TTM gross margin ~8.5%, net margin ~2.5%), choppy year-to-year revenue, and a higher recent debt profile versus prior annual snapshots.
Income Statement
71
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly (+14.6%), showing solid demand and scale. Profitability is steady but thin for the industry: TTM gross margin is ~8.5% and net margin is ~2.5%, with margins below the stronger levels seen in 2022–2023. Over the last few annual periods, revenue has been choppy (notably a decline in 2024), and profitability has not consistently expanded, which keeps the score from being higher despite the recent rebound.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with TTM debt-to-equity at ~0.30, and returns on equity are consistently solid (about ~10–13% across periods, ~10.8% TTM). However, the capital structure appears to have shifted: TTM shows materially higher absolute debt versus prior annual periods, and the debt-to-equity ratio is higher than the 2022–2025 annual range shown. Overall, the balance sheet supports operations well, but the higher recent debt level warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear positive: TTM operating cash flow (~$735M) and free cash flow (~$518M) are strong, and free cash flow grew ~9.5% TTM. Cash conversion is healthy with free cash flow running at ~70% of net income TTM (and stronger in several annual periods), indicating earnings are generally backed by cash. The main weakness is historical volatility—free cash flow was very weak in 2023—so while the current run-rate is strong, consistency over cycles remains a risk.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.31B8.13B7.57B8.94B7.92B6.74B
Gross Profit789.62M716.36M640.43M743.21M622.21M526.44M
EBITDA481.55M463.19M469.14M567.33M433.58M410.85M
Net Income230.18M245.89M222.54M309.97M240.38M249.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.80B5.86B4.82B4.87B4.84B4.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B966.22M625.86M667.57M529.86M650.03M
Total Debt2.50B394.24M384.11M421.28M412.00M386.13M
Total Liabilities7.14B3.32B2.46B2.56B3.02B2.33B
Stockholders Equity2.47B2.35B2.20B2.17B1.82B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow518.34M473.30M228.99M43.80M192.22M266.13M
Operating Cash Flow735.45M620.66M340.22M235.17M330.85M338.34M
Investing Cash Flow-1.52B-108.21M-114.40M-192.46M-132.21M-91.33M
Financing Cash Flow1.61B-173.84M-269.71M94.50M-314.30M-77.32M

Sanmina-Sci Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price142.30
Price Trends
50DMA
155.34
Negative
100DMA
152.16
Negative
200DMA
128.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.00
Negative
RSI
41.69
Neutral
STOCH
48.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SANM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 142.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.91, below the 50-day MA of 155.34, and above the 200-day MA of 128.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SANM.

Sanmina-Sci Risk Analysis

Sanmina-Sci disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sanmina-Sci reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sanmina-Sci Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.22B30.3312.63%1.82%56.52%
71
Outperform
$7.77B34.059.74%7.40%13.79%
69
Neutral
$16.43B56.1011.74%0.54%8.13%780.20%
68
Neutral
$5.37B174.811.10%1.43%-8.07%63.50%
68
Neutral
$11.68B67.2310.67%17.88%91.41%
66
Neutral
$2.08B84.443.37%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
142.30
65.91
86.28%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
58.30
21.06
56.53%
MKSI
MKS
244.26
159.25
187.32%
PLXS
Plexus
195.05
67.49
52.91%
ST
Sensata
36.85
9.94
36.96%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
113.00
90.07
392.80%

Sanmina-Sci Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Sanmina-Sci Approves Fiscal 2026 Bonus Plan
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Sanmina-Sci‘s Compensation Committee approved the Fiscal Year 2026 Corporate Bonus Plan, which sets targets for revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, and cash flow from operations. The company’s performance against these targets will determine the incentive compensation for fiscal 2026, with executive officers’ bonuses ranging from 90% to 187.5% of their annual base salary. The Committee retains the discretion to amend the plan and adjust individual compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SANM) stock is a Buy with a $184.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sanmina-Sci stock, see the SANM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026