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MKS (MKSI)
NASDAQ:MKSI

MKS (MKSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MKSI

MKS

(NASDAQ:MKSI)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$252.00
▲(9.77% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (especially strong free cash flow and improved leverage) and a positive earnings outlook/capital structure actions. These strengths are tempered by elevated valuation (high P/E, low yield) and technically overbought conditions that increase near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained, very strong free cash flow growth (114% TTM) and healthy OCF/net income (0.77) provide durable internal funding for capex, R&D, dividends or debt paydown. This underpins balance-sheet flexibility and resilience through industry cycles over the next 2–6 months.
Improving Leverage and Balance Sheet
Material reduction in leverage (debt/equity ~0.12) and active prepayments signal a structurally stronger balance sheet. Lower leverage reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enhancing capacity to invest or weather downturns without sacrificing growth initiatives.
Market Position in Advanced Packaging / AI Demand
Structural AI and high-performance computing adoption is driving durable demand for advanced packaging and chemistry solutions. MKS's strong electronics & packaging growth (25% YoY) and product relevance position it to capture multi-quarter secular tailwinds versus more cyclical peers.
Negative Factors
Relatively Low Net Profitability
A low net margin (~7.3%) limits the company's ability to absorb rising costs or margin shocks from tariffs, pricing pressure, or mix shifts. Even with healthy gross margins, constrained bottom-line profitability can impair reinvestment and sustained EPS growth over the medium term.
Exposure to Semiconductor Cyclicality
Significant exposure to semiconductor equipment and NAND upgrade timing creates revenue volatility tied to capex cycles. This structural cyclicality can produce uneven cash flow and utilization swings across quarters, challenging stable growth and planning over the next several months.
Margin & Integration Risks from Mix, Tariffs and Acquisitions
Gross-margin pressure from tariffs and a higher mix of lower-margin chemistry sales, combined with Atotech integration and refinancing execution risks, pose durable headwinds. Execution or market-rate setbacks could increase costs, impair synergies, or raise funding costs over the medium term.

MKS (MKSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MKS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMKS Inc. provides instruments, systems, subsystems, and process control solutions that measure, monitor, deliver, analyze, power, and control critical parameters of manufacturing processes worldwide. Its Vacuum & Analysis segment offers pressure and vacuum control solutions, including direct and indirect pressure measurement; materials delivery solutions comprising flow and valve technologies, as well as integrated pressure measurement and control subsystems, which provide customers with precise control capabilities; power solutions products, such as microwave, power delivery systems, radio frequency matching networks, and metrology products used in providing energy to etching, stripping, and deposition processes; and plasma and reactive gas products. Its Light & Motion segment offers laser products, such as continuous wave and pulsed nanosecond, diode and diode-pumped solid-state, and fiber laser technologies; and photonics products comprising motion control, optical tables and vibration isolation systems, photonic instruments, optics and optical assemblies, opto-mechanical components, temperature sensing products for wafer fabrication systems, and laser and LED measurement products, including laser power and energy meters, laser beam profilers, and optical and photonic subsystems. Its Equipment & Solutions segment provides laser-based systems for printed circuit board (PCB) manufacturing, including flexible interconnect PCB processing systems and high-density interconnect solutions for rigid PCB manufacturing and substrate processing, and multi-layer ceramic capacitor test systems. It serves semiconductor, industrial technologies, life and health sciences, research, and defense markets. It sells its products and services through its direct sales organization, independent distributors, and sales representatives, as well as through its websites and product catalogs. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMKS generates revenue through the sale of its products and services, which are primarily focused on the semiconductor manufacturing industry. The company earns money by providing high-precision instruments and control systems that enable manufacturers to improve their production processes, reduce costs, and enhance product quality. Key revenue streams include the sale of new equipment, ongoing service agreements, and maintenance contracts. MKS also benefits from strategic partnerships with major players in the semiconductor and industrial equipment sectors, which help to expand its market reach and drive sales. Additionally, the company focuses on innovation and product development to meet the evolving needs of its customers, contributing to consistent revenue growth.

MKS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for MKS demonstrated strong performance in revenue growth and cash flow generation, with notable achievements in the electronics and packaging segment driven by AI-related demand. However, there were challenges in the semiconductor revenue due to the timing of NAND upgrades and mixed gross margin performance affected by tariffs and equipment sales mix.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenue reached $988 million, up 10% year-over-year and 2% sequentially, driven by strong demand in semiconductor and electronics and packaging end markets.
Significant Growth in Electronics and Packaging
Revenue in the Electronics and Packaging segment grew 25% year-over-year, with strong performance in chemistry solutions and equipment sales.
Solid Free Cash Flow Generation
Free cash flow was strong at $147 million, representing over 100% of net earnings and 15% of revenue.
Deleveraging Efforts
Successfully completed a $100 million voluntary prepayment on the term loan in October, contributing to a total of $400 million in voluntary payments in 2025.
Advanced Packaging Market Position
MKS is benefiting from AI-driven demand, particularly in advanced packaging technologies, positioning the company as a leader in high-performance computing applications.
Negative Updates
Sequential Decline in Semiconductor Revenue
Semiconductor revenue was down 4% sequentially due to lower RF power sales and the timing of NAND upgrade activity.
Mixed Gross Margin Performance
Gross margin was 46.6%, reflecting stable margins but impacted by tariff-related costs and a higher mix of lower-margin chemistry equipment sales.
Challenges in Specialty Industrial Market
Specialty industrial revenue was down 1% year-over-year, with the segment remaining steady but not showing significant growth.
Company Guidance
During the MKS Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong revenue and earnings performance, with third-quarter revenue reaching $988 million, up 10% year-over-year, driven by robust demand in semiconductor and electronics and packaging markets. Earnings per diluted share were $1.93. MKS also achieved a voluntary prepayment of $100 million on its term loan, contributing to a reduction in leverage. In the semiconductor market, revenue was $415 million, up 10% year-over-year, despite a sequential decline due to lower NAND upgrade activity. Electronics and Packaging revenue grew 25% year-over-year to $289 million, fueled by strong demand for chemistry solutions. Specialty Industrial revenue was stable at $284 million. The company is guiding fourth-quarter revenue to be approximately $990 million, with semiconductor and electronics and packaging revenues expected to remain strong. MKS maintained its focus on reducing leverage, with a net leverage ratio of 3.9x and plans for further debt reduction through strong free cash flow generation.

MKS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by strong cash flow (free cash flow growth 114.3% TTM; healthy cash conversion) and good operating margins. Balance sheet has improved with much lower leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12 TTM), though profitability is still moderate (net margin 7.25%) and prior leverage history is a residual risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
MKS has shown a steady revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.46%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 46.95%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 7.25%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 0.12 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage and a stronger balance sheet. Return on equity is decent at 11.31%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. However, past high leverage could pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
MKS has demonstrated robust cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 114.3% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.77, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy, supporting future investments and debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.83B3.59B3.62B3.55B2.95B2.33B
Gross Profit1.80B1.71B1.64B1.55B1.38B1.05B
EBITDA878.00M870.00M-1.11B832.00M794.00M551.00M
Net Income279.00M190.00M-1.84B333.00M551.00M350.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.78B8.59B9.12B11.49B4.54B3.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments697.00M714.00M875.00M910.00M1.04B836.00M
Total Debt4.58B4.78B5.02B5.17B1.03B1.03B
Total Liabilities6.18B6.27B6.65B7.01B1.65B1.54B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.32B2.47B4.48B2.89B2.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow530.00M410.00M232.00M365.00M552.80M428.00M
Operating Cash Flow679.00M528.00M319.00M529.00M639.50M513.00M
Investing Cash Flow-147.00M-117.00M-84.00M-4.55B-204.60M-202.00M
Financing Cash Flow-683.00M-549.00M-259.00M3.97B-65.00M-122.00M

MKS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price229.58
Price Trends
50DMA
181.38
Positive
100DMA
158.54
Positive
200DMA
126.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.82
Positive
RSI
59.67
Neutral
STOCH
44.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 229.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.26, above the 50-day MA of 181.38, and above the 200-day MA of 126.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MKSI.

MKS Risk Analysis

MKS disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MKS reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MKS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$7.96B34.869.74%7.40%13.79%
70
Outperform
$6.83B63.097.21%0.89%10.23%25.53%
70
Outperform
$4.67B18.3316.93%0.14%14.12%
70
Neutral
$14.78B55.8311.12%0.54%8.13%780.20%
67
Neutral
$5.83B14.2435.82%0.26%1.76%4.10%
63
Neutral
$5.26B-188.71-0.92%1.43%-8.07%63.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKSI
MKS
220.00
109.40
98.92%
CGNX
Cognex
40.73
2.16
5.60%
ITRI
Itron
101.94
-4.75
-4.45%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
145.69
58.33
66.77%
ST
Sensata
36.10
10.93
43.42%
VNT
Vontier
40.18
1.41
3.64%

MKS Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MKS Prices €1 Billion Senior Notes to Refinance Debt
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 26, 2026, MKS Inc. announced plans for a private offering of €1.0 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2034, followed on January 28, 2026, by the announcement of pricing for the issue, which is being placed with qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A and with non-U.S. investors under Regulation S. The company expects to receive roughly €985 million in net proceeds and, together with proceeds from previously announced refinancings of its $2.2 billion U.S. dollar tranche B term loan and €587 million euro tranche B term loan plus cash on hand, intends to prepay about $1.3 billion of and fully refinance the U.S. dollar tranche B facility and fully refinance the euro tranche B facility, with the note offering scheduled to close on February 4, 2026, subject to customary conditions, in a move that will significantly reshape and extend the company’s debt profile and could reduce its reliance on term-loan financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKSI) stock is a Buy with a $260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MKS stock, see the MKSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MKS Plans Comprehensive Capital Structure Refinancing With Lenders
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

MKS Inc. plans to meet with existing and prospective lenders on January 22, 2026 to discuss a comprehensive refinancing of its capital structure, including replacing its existing $2.2 billion term loan with a new approximately $0.9 billion term loan maturing in 2033, refinancing its existing €0.6 billion term loan with a new facility also maturing in 2033, and enlarging its revolving credit facility from $675 million to $1 billion while extending that facility’s maturity to 2031. The contemplated transactions, which are subject to market conditions and may not close, are designed to be leverage-neutral while extending debt maturities and reducing interest expense, and the company’s accompanying lender presentation emphasizes the use of non-GAAP financial metrics to analyze ongoing business trends and compares past periods, underscoring management’s focus on capital structure optimization amid its exposure to cyclical semiconductor and industrial end markets and risks linked to its Atotech chemicals technology acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKSI) stock is a Buy with a $227.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MKS stock, see the MKSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026