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Vontier (VNT)
NYSE:VNT

Vontier (VNT) AI Stock Analysis

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VNT

Vontier

(NYSE:VNT)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(8.39% Upside)
Vontier's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, offset by technical analysis indicating bearish momentum. The company's valuation is attractive, but high leverage and operational challenges remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained adjusted free cash flow generation provides durable flexibility to fund buybacks, organic investment, and debt reduction. Over a multi-quarter horizon strong FCF supports strategic initiatives and cushions the business through cyclical demand shifts in mobility and fueling markets.
Recurring Aftermarket and Software Revenue
A business model with recurring aftermarket parts, services, and software subscriptions increases revenue visibility and customer lifetime value. This durable revenue mix supports margin stability, predictable service demand, and higher switching costs versus one-time equipment sales.
High Profitability and ROE
Healthy net margins and a strong ROE reflect effective cost control and capital deployment across operating businesses. This fundamental profitability enables reinvestment in product platforms, supports shareholder returns, and sustains operations through industry cycles.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
A materially elevated debt load raises refinancing, interest-rate and covenant risks that can constrain capital allocation. Over a 2-6 month horizon high leverage limits flexibility for M&A, accelerates sensitivity to cash flow swings, and may force prioritization of debt service over growth.
Operational Margin Pressure
Eroding operating margins point to rising cost pressures or mix shifts in core businesses. If persistent, margin compression will reduce free cash flow conversion and limit room for investment or deleveraging, making profitability more sensitive to demand volatility in fueling and fleet markets.
Segment Concentration and Repair Demand Decline
Dependence on Repair Solutions and sensitivity to technician/service spend creates durable revenue volatility when end-market capex and maintenance budgets contract. A weak repair cycle can drag overall core sales and hamper recovery timelines across the portfolio.

Vontier (VNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vontier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVontier Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and distribution of technical equipment, components, software, and services for manufacturing, repairing, and servicing in the mobility infrastructure industry worldwide. The company offers a range of solutions, including environmental sensors, fueling equipment, field payment hardware, point-of sale, workflow and monitoring software, vehicle tracking and fleet management, software solutions for traffic light control, and vehicle mechanics', and technicians' equipment. Its mobility technologies products include solutions and services in the areas of fuel dispensing, remote fuel management, point-of-sale and payment systems, environmental compliance, vehicle tracking and fleet management, and traffic management; and diagnostics and repair technologies products comprise vehicle repair tools, toolboxes, automotive diagnostic equipment, and software, as well as wheel-service equipment for automotive tire installation and repair shops, including brake lathes, tire changers, wheel balancers, and wheel weights under the Ammco and Coats brands. The company markets its products and services to retail and commercial fueling operators, convenience store and in-bay car wash operators, tunnel car wash and commercial vehicle repair businesses, municipal governments, and public safety entities and fleet owners/operators through a network of franchised mobile distributors, as well as direct sales personnel and independent distributors. It serves customers in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyVontier generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its products and services to businesses in the transportation and mobility sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of hardware such as fuel dispensers and vehicle service equipment, as well as software solutions that facilitate vehicle tracking, fleet management, and fuel management. Additionally, the company earns recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and service agreements for its products. Vontier also benefits from strategic partnerships with other technology firms and industry players, enabling it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These collaborations often lead to joint ventures and co-developed technologies, contributing to the company's overall earnings.

Vontier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 26, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow, share buybacks, and growth in the car wash business, with positive adjustments to full-year guidance. However, challenges such as flat core sales and declines in the Repair Solutions segment were noted. The highlights slightly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow and Share Buybacks
Generated more than $275 million of adjusted free cash flow year-to-date, with $175 million deployed towards share buybacks.
Car Wash Business Growth
Car wash business returned to growth a quarter ahead of expectations, driven by adoption of the cloud-based Patheon solution.
Mobility Technologies Segment Performance
Mobility Technologies core sales grew approximately 5% with strong global adoption of unified payment and point-of-sale technologies.
Raising Full-Year Guidance
Raised the midpoint of full-year guidance, expecting mid-single-digit adjusted operating profit growth and approximately 10% adjusted EPS growth.
Successful Investor Event
Highlighting comprehensive platform built for convenience retail, contributing to a more focused and higher-performing business.
Negative Updates
Flat Core Sales
Core sales were essentially flat for the quarter due to macro-economic pressures at the Repair Solutions segment.
Decline in Repair Solutions
Repair Solutions sales declined 7% versus the prior year, with ongoing macro-economic conditions affecting service technician spend.
Environmental & Fueling Segment Challenges
Environmental & Fueling Solutions saw a margin decline of approximately 20 basis points, affected by timing of large tenders in international markets.
Company Guidance
During Vontier's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance, achieving results at the higher end of its guidance. Total sales reached $753 million, with adjusted operating profit margin holding steady and adjusted EPS increasing by high single digits to $0.78. Year-to-date, Vontier generated over $275 million in adjusted free cash flow, representing approximately 12% of sales, and deployed $175 million towards share buybacks. The Environmental & Fueling Solutions segment experienced core growth of about 2%, while Mobility Technologies saw a 5% core sales increase. However, the Repair Solutions segment faced a 7% decline in sales due to macro-economic pressures. Despite these challenges, Vontier raised the midpoint of its full-year guidance, projecting sales of over $3.03 billion, core sales growth of 2% to 2.5%, and adjusted EPS of $3.18 at the midpoint. The company expects mid-single-digit adjusted operating profit growth and approximately 10% adjusted EPS growth for the year, driven by operational efficiency and strategic portfolio management.

Vontier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vontier shows strong profitability and revenue growth with a solid net profit margin of 13.34%. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73 and declining operational margins pose challenges. Cash flow generation remains strong, supporting financial health despite high debt levels.
Income Statement
Vontier's income statement shows a solid performance with a TTM revenue growth rate of 8.2%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy, and the net profit margin is strong at 13.34%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73, which is a concern for financial stability. However, the return on equity remains robust at 35.46%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 84.72%, suggesting good cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.04B2.98B3.10B3.18B2.99B2.70B
Gross Profit1.44B1.42B1.43B1.43B1.33B1.19B
EBITDA690.50M699.40M702.20M698.70M683.60M548.60M
Net Income406.10M422.20M376.90M401.30M413.00M342.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.38B4.31B4.29B4.34B4.35B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments433.80M356.40M340.90M225.80M572.60M380.50M
Total Debt2.13B2.20B2.35B2.64B2.64B1.85B
Total Liabilities3.14B3.25B3.40B3.76B3.78B2.88B
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.05B890.40M576.50M569.90M187.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow414.30M344.80M394.90M261.20M433.30M655.60M
Operating Cash Flow489.00M427.50M455.00M321.20M481.10M691.30M
Investing Cash Flow-30.80M-11.40M69.30M-329.90M-1.01B-41.70M
Financing Cash Flow-358.60M-392.30M-387.80M-347.90M725.50M-283.90M

Vontier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.75
Price Trends
50DMA
36.98
Positive
100DMA
39.57
Negative
200DMA
37.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Negative
RSI
59.53
Neutral
STOCH
87.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.92, above the 50-day MA of 36.98, and above the 200-day MA of 37.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNT.

Vontier Risk Analysis

Vontier disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vontier reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vontier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$22.74B27.4317.45%0.77%0.51%
73
Outperform
$24.16B35.1847.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$17.47B31.407.79%0.43%-8.96%-30.29%
71
Outperform
$25.78B31.858.11%7.41%-12.85%
67
Neutral
$5.66B14.3235.82%0.26%1.76%4.10%
66
Neutral
$27.98B266.873.08%20.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNT
Vontier
38.61
2.36
6.51%
FLEX
Flex
64.27
24.09
59.96%
COHR
Coherent Corp
190.03
97.03
104.33%
JBL
Jabil
238.35
82.59
53.02%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
555.01
89.08
19.12%
FTV
Fortive
54.68
-3.33
-5.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025