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Vontier (VNT)
NYSE:VNT

Vontier (VNT) AI Stock Analysis

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VN

Vontier

(NYSE:VNT)

73Outperform
Vontier's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and execution as highlighted in the earnings call, despite challenges like high leverage and recent revenue declines. Technical analysis indicates a mixed outlook with potential for improvement. The stock is reasonably valued, making it an attractive investment for those seeking a balanced risk-return profile.
Positive Factors
Cost Actions and Share Repurchases
Vontier will benefit from 2024 cost actions and additional share repurchases, providing potential upside.
Orders Growth
Vontier experienced a 6% year-over-year orders growth and is starting a multi-year replacement cycle for underground tank equipment.
Valuation
VNT shares are trading at a low valuation of just 12x 2025 estimated adjusted EPS, significantly below the peer average.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Vontier faced a significant 20% year-over-year revenue decline in its car wash equipment and software segment.
Segment Challenges
Vontier experienced revenue and margin declines in the Repair Solutions segment, posing a challenge to financial performance.

Vontier (VNT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Vontier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVontier Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and distribution of technical equipment, components, software, and services for manufacturing, repairing, and servicing in the mobility infrastructure industry worldwide. The company offers a range of solutions, including environmental sensors, fueling equipment, field payment hardware, point-of sale, workflow and monitoring software, vehicle tracking and fleet management, software solutions for traffic light control, and vehicle mechanics', and technicians' equipment. Its mobility technologies products include solutions and services in the areas of fuel dispensing, remote fuel management, point-of-sale and payment systems, environmental compliance, vehicle tracking and fleet management, and traffic management; and diagnostics and repair technologies products comprise vehicle repair tools, toolboxes, automotive diagnostic equipment, and software, as well as wheel-service equipment for automotive tire installation and repair shops, including brake lathes, tire changers, wheel balancers, and wheel weights under the Ammco and Coats brands. The company markets its products and services to retail and commercial fueling operators, convenience store and in-bay car wash operators, tunnel car wash and commercial vehicle repair businesses, municipal governments, and public safety entities and fleet owners/operators through a network of franchised mobile distributors, as well as direct sales personnel and independent distributors. It serves customers in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyVontier makes money through the sale of its broad range of products and solutions designed for the transportation and mobility industries. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of fueling systems and equipment, which are used by fuel retailers and service stations globally. Additionally, Vontier generates income from its vehicle and fleet management technologies, which help businesses optimize fleet operations, enhance safety, and reduce costs. The company also earns revenue from environmental and emissions control technologies, offering solutions that help clients comply with regulations and improve sustainability. Significant partnerships with automotive manufacturers, fuel retailers, and logistics companies also contribute to Vontier's earnings, as these collaborations expand the reach and application of its technologies across various markets.

Vontier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vontier demonstrates strong operational efficiencies and consistent cash generation, but faces challenges due to high leverage and recent revenue declines. While profitability indicators remain solid, the negative revenue and free cash flow growth signal potential risks that need addressing to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a stable revenue generation with a slight decline in the most recent year. Gross profit margins are strong at 100% for 2024 due to accounting treatment, but EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate consistent operational efficiency. However, net profit margins have slightly decreased, and revenue growth has been negative recently, impacting overall performance.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt relative to equity, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio exceeding 2. This indicates potential leverage risk. However, Return on Equity shows improvement due to increased net income, and the Equity Ratio has improved, suggesting better asset support by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has maintained a consistent free cash flow, although growth has been negative. The operating cash flow remains robust relative to net income, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow relative to net income shows fluctuation, which poses a potential risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.98B3.10B3.18B2.99B2.70B
Gross Profit
1.42B1.43B1.43B1.33B1.19B
EBIT
537.00M543.40M577.90M582.20M638.80M
EBITDA
699.40M702.20M698.70M683.60M636.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
422.20M376.90M401.30M413.00M342.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
356.40M340.90M225.80M572.60M380.50M
Total Assets
4.31B4.29B4.34B4.35B3.07B
Total Debt
2.20B2.35B2.64B2.64B1.81B
Net Debt
1.84B2.01B2.43B2.06B1.43B
Total Liabilities
3.25B3.40B3.76B3.78B2.88B
Stockholders Equity
1.05B890.40M576.50M569.90M187.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
344.80M394.90M261.20M433.30M655.60M
Operating Cash Flow
427.50M455.00M321.20M481.10M691.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.40M69.30M-329.90M-1.01B-41.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-392.30M-387.80M-347.90M725.50M-283.90M

Vontier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.29
Price Trends
50DMA
32.88
Negative
100DMA
35.37
Negative
200DMA
35.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
55.30
Neutral
STOCH
83.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.29, above the 50-day MA of 32.88, and below the 200-day MA of 35.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VNT.

Vontier Risk Analysis

Vontier disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vontier reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vontier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.93B20.8917.70%12.29%147.67%
VNVNT
73
Outperform
$4.92B12.1335.88%0.31%-3.59%-11.30%
72
Outperform
$4.83B25.497.93%1.23%-0.99%
66
Neutral
$4.34B68.099.03%7.67%-12.33%
64
Neutral
$4.71B45.238.02%1.11%8.56%18.99%
64
Neutral
$4.66B43.724.39%1.46%-3.43%-50.48%
60
Neutral
$10.95B10.52-7.07%3.00%7.30%-12.04%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNT
Vontier
33.29
-6.04
-15.36%
CGNX
Cognex
27.83
-15.61
-35.93%
NOVT
Novanta
121.98
-37.91
-23.71%
ITRI
Itron
108.23
1.22
1.14%
LFUS
Littelfuse
192.80
-51.95
-21.23%
MKSI
MKS Instruments
75.83
-45.27
-37.38%

Vontier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong execution and exceeding expectations in the first quarter, with significant growth in Mobility Technologies and Environmental & Fueling Solutions. Despite challenges in Repair Solutions and the impact of tariffs, Vontier's confidence in its strategies and market resilience was evident, supported by share repurchases and margin improvements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations in Q1 2025
First quarter sales, adjusted EPS, and adjusted free cash flow exceeded expectations, with core sales driven by low-double digit growth in Environmental & Fueling Solutions and Mobility Technologies.
Share Repurchase Authorization
Vontier's Board approved the replenishment of a $500 million share repurchase authorization, indicating strong confidence in the business.
Mobility Technologies Growth
Core sales in Mobility Technologies increased nearly 13% year-over-year, with Invenco showing over 20% growth for the third consecutive quarter.
Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow of $96 million increased over 20% year-over-year, reflecting strong cash conversion.
Environmental & Fueling Solutions Margin Expansion
Segment operating profit margin expanded 20 basis points, driven by productivity and simplification efforts.
Negative Updates
Core Sales Decline
Core sales declined 0.7% year-over-year, despite exceeding guidance range.
Repair Solutions Challenges
Service technicians are deferring discretionary spending, impacting large ticket items like tool storage, leading to a segment profit margin decline of approximately 280 basis points.
Tariff Impact and Trade Uncertainty
Estimated current cost impact from tariffs is approximately $50 million, with continued efforts to mitigate exposure, particularly focusing on reducing dependency on China.
DRB Sales Decline
DRB sales declined double-digits year-on-year, although it was consistent with forecast and seasonality.
Company Guidance
During the Vontier First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong performance with sales, adjusted EPS, and adjusted free cash flow exceeding expectations. Core sales growth was driven primarily by Environmental & Fueling Solutions and Mobility Technologies, which grew in the low-double digits. Despite a slight decline in core sales year-over-year by 0.7%, the adjusted EPS increased by 4% to $0.77, surpassing the projected range of $0.71 to $0.74. Free cash flow saw a significant improvement, increasing over 20% year-over-year to $96 million. The company maintained its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in its ability to navigate potential headwinds from tariffs, with an estimated cost impact of approximately $50 million. Vontier has also replenished its $500 million share repurchase authorization, signaling strong capital management. The company highlighted its connected mobility strategy and the resilience of its Convenience Retail & Fueling segment, which accounts for about two-thirds of its sales.

Vontier Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vontier Amends Executive Incentive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Vontier Corporation’s Board of Directors approved an amendment to the Executive Incentive Compensation Plan. The amended plan outlines performance-based incentive awards for executive officers, determined by specific performance goals such as earnings per share, stock price targets, and other financial and strategic criteria. The plan includes stipulations for eligibility based on employment status, with specific conditions for voluntary and involuntary terminations, retirements, disabilities, and other employment changes.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.