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Coherent Corp (COHR)
NYSE:COHR

Coherent Corp (COHR) AI Stock Analysis

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COHR

Coherent Corp

(NYSE:COHR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$201.00
▲(5.25% Upside)
Coherent Corp's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, offset by high valuation concerns and financial performance challenges. The company's strategic focus on growth in the Datacenter and Communications segment is promising, but profitability and cash flow management need improvement. The stock's high P/E ratio suggests caution for value investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective market positioning, particularly in AI data centers and communications.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and lowers interest expenses, improving long-term financial health.
Business Realignment
Streamlining operations can enhance efficiency and better align with market demands, potentially improving competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Low profitability margins indicate operational challenges, which may hinder the company's ability to reinvest and grow.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow growth can limit the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, impacting long-term sustainability.
Supply Constraints
Supply constraints can limit production capacity and revenue growth, affecting the company's ability to meet market demand.

Coherent Corp (COHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coherent Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoherent Corp (COHR) is a leading provider of photonics-based solutions, specializing in laser technology and optical systems. The company serves a diverse range of sectors including industrial manufacturing, communications, life sciences, and defense. Core products include lasers, laser-based systems, and other photonic components used in advanced applications ranging from materials processing to medical devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoherent Corp generates revenue through the sale of its laser systems and components, which are utilized across various industries for applications such as cutting, welding, and marking materials. Key revenue streams include direct sales of laser products, systems integration services, and recurring revenue from maintenance and support contracts. The company also benefits from partnerships with technology firms and research institutions that enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Coherent capitalizes on innovation in photonics technology, driving demand for higher-performance solutions in emerging markets.

Coherent Corp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Profit by Segment
Profit by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Coherent Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in revenue and profitability, driven by robust demand in the Datacenter and Communications segment. There were significant achievements in debt reduction and production capacity expansion. However, challenges remain with indium phosphide supply constraints and cautious demand outlook in the Industrial segment due to macroeconomic factors.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
First quarter revenue was a record $1.58 billion, up 3% sequentially and 17% year-over-year, driven by growth in AI data center and communications demand. Non-GAAP EPS grew 16% sequentially and 73% year-over-year.
Data Center and Communications Segment Surge
Q1 revenue grew by 7% sequentially and by 26% year-over-year in the Datacenter and Communications segment. Strong demand for 800 gig and 1.6T transceivers is driving growth.
Debt Reduction and Financial Flexibility
Paid down $400 million in debt, reducing debt leverage ratio to 1.7x from 2.4x. Successfully completed debt refinancing, lowering the cost of capital and doubling the revolving credit facility to $700 million.
Expansion of 6-Inch Indium Phosphide Production
Ramping 6-inch indium phosphide production at two sites, expected to double internal production capacity over the next year. Initial yields are higher than those of 3-inch production.
Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) Platform
Shipped systems to 7 customers, with revenue and backlog growing sequentially. Expecting meaningful revenue contribution in calendar 2026.
Negative Updates
Indium Phosphide Capacity Constraints
Data center growth was constrained by the supply of indium phosphide lasers, impacting growth potential.
Macro Economic and Regulatory Uncertainty in Industrial Segment
Cautious outlook on near-term demand in the Industrial segment due to macroeconomic backdrop and ongoing tariff and regulatory uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Coherent First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, expecting revenue between $1.56 billion and $1.7 billion. Non-GAAP gross margin is anticipated to range from 38% to 40%, with operating expenses forecasted between $300 million and $320 million. The expected non-GAAP tax rate is between 18% and 20%, while EPS is projected to fall between $1.10 and $1.30. The guidance reflects strong demand in the Datacenter and Communications segment, with a significant portion driven by growth in data center transceivers, including 800 gig and 1.6T transceivers. Additionally, Coherent plans to continue expanding production capacity for indium phosphide lasers and transceiver modules to meet this demand, indicating a focus on strategic investments to support long-term growth.

Coherent Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coherent Corp demonstrates growth potential with a positive revenue trajectory but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced leverage position, yet there is room for enhancing returns on equity. The company should focus on improving profitability and cash flow conversion to strengthen its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Coherent Corp shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 4.01% TTM, indicating a positive trend. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.85% TTM, suggesting limited profitability. The gross profit margin is stable at 35.17% TTM, but the EBIT margin of 4.30% TTM reflects operational challenges. Overall, the income statement indicates growth potential but highlights profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 TTM indicates a balanced leverage position, which is a positive sign. However, the return on equity is low at 0.68% TTM, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 39.65% TTM shows a strong equity base, providing stability. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with room for improving shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Coherent Corp's free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 TTM suggests moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.34 TTM highlights limited cash flow conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement reveals potential liquidity issues and the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.04B5.81B4.71B5.16B3.32B3.11B
Gross Profit2.18B2.06B1.46B1.78B1.27B1.18B
EBITDA1.21B1.11B682.94M961.67M689.84M672.19M
Net Income249.83M49.36M-156.15M-259.46M234.76M297.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.70B14.91B14.49B13.71B7.84B6.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments852.78M909.20M926.03M821.31M2.58B1.59B
Total Debt3.51B3.89B4.30B4.49B2.44B1.53B
Total Liabilities6.01B6.43B6.54B6.48B3.46B2.38B
Stockholders Equity8.34B8.13B7.57B7.23B4.38B4.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.78M192.76M198.91M197.97M99.00M428.02M
Operating Cash Flow526.58M633.60M545.73M634.02M413.33M574.35M
Investing Cash Flow-51.68M-414.21M-350.71M-5.93B-320.08M-172.96M
Financing Cash Flow-747.55M-451.73M758.27M3.55B862.95M675.73M

Coherent Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price190.98
Price Trends
50DMA
150.37
Positive
100DMA
126.87
Positive
200DMA
101.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.09
Positive
RSI
64.83
Neutral
STOCH
46.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 190.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.35, above the 50-day MA of 150.37, and above the 200-day MA of 101.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COHR.

Coherent Corp Risk Analysis

Coherent Corp disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coherent Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coherent Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$10.72B38.8011.12%0.55%8.13%780.20%
74
Outperform
$23.76B28.1517.45%0.77%0.51%
74
Outperform
$19.24B55.736.13%-0.86%-75.37%
73
Outperform
$24.21B35.2447.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$17.44B31.357.79%0.44%-8.96%-30.29%
66
Neutral
$29.20B275.233.08%20.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COHR
Coherent Corp
190.98
91.96
92.87%
FLEX
Flex
63.78
25.10
64.89%
JBL
Jabil
229.78
84.30
57.95%
MKSI
MKS
161.99
56.64
53.76%
TRMB
Trimble
81.95
10.78
15.15%
FTV
Fortive
55.68
-0.16
-0.29%

Coherent Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Coherent Corp Announces Business Realignment
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Coherent Corp. announced a realignment of its business operations into two segments: Datacenter & Communications and Industrial, effective from July 1, 2025. This change, which was disclosed in a report dated August 15, 2025, aims to streamline operations based on product and service similarities. The company has provided recast historical financial information to reflect this new segment structure, which does not impact its historical financial position or cash flows. The reorganization is expected to enhance operational efficiency and align with market demands, potentially benefiting stakeholders by improving the company’s industry positioning.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coherent Corp Secures Waiver Agreement with Bain Capital
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Coherent Corp. entered into a Waiver Agreement with Bain Capital, a major holder of its Series B Preferred Stock. Bain Capital waived its rights to receive dividends on these shares, aligning its interests with common shareholders and supporting Coherent’s strategic priorities. This agreement is seen as a positive step for Coherent, highlighting a shared commitment to the company’s success and strengthening its relationship with one of its largest shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Coherent Corp Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Coherent Corp. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where a significant 87.62% of total eligible votes were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected five Class Two Directors to serve until 2028, approved executive compensation for fiscal year 2025, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Coherent Corp Reports Strong Q1 2026 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Coherent Corp reported its first quarter fiscal 2026 results, showing a revenue of $1.58 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and a GAAP gross margin of 36.6%. The company attributed its 19% pro forma revenue growth to strong demand from AI-related datacenters and communications. Coherent also paid down $400 million in debt and refinanced its debt to reduce interest expenses, indicating a strengthening financial position.

Private Placements and Financing
Coherent Corp Amends Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Coherent Corp. entered into significant amendments to its Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank and other lenders. These amendments included refinancing existing revolving credit commitments and obtaining additional senior secured incremental revolving credit commitments, increasing the total facility to $700 million. The company also secured a new tranche of senior secured incremental term A loans amounting to $1.25 billion, which were used to repay existing loans and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, Amendment No. 5 replaced the outstanding term B-2 loans with new term B-3 loans, maintaining similar terms but with adjusted interest rates.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025