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Coherent Corp (COHR)
NYSE:COHR
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Coherent Corp (COHR) AI Stock Analysis

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COHR

Coherent Corp

(NYSE:COHR)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$107.00
▲(8.39%Upside)
Coherent Corp's stock score is driven by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators, suggesting positive growth prospects. However, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield raise valuation concerns. The earnings call supports future optimism with strategic focus and debt management, though market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Coherent is focused on reducing debt and has already paid down $386 M, reducing its debt interest rate.
Market Potential
Driven by AI and the need for increasing data rates, Data Centers offer the highest growth opportunity with an expected $32 B SAM by 2030.
Revenue Growth
Coherent projects a 10% to 15% revenue growth target, driven by the Data Center/Communications segment and the Industrial segment.
Negative Factors
Investor Concerns
Investors left the event wanting more details on the 'self-help story' for more tangible benefits of the portfolio realignment actions.

Coherent Corp (COHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coherent Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoherent Corp (COHR) is a leading global provider of lasers, optics, and photonics technology. The company operates across various sectors including industrial, communications, electronics, and instrumentation. Coherent's core products and services are centered around photonics-based solutions such as laser systems, optical components, and related software, catering to a wide range of industries from semiconductor manufacturing to medical applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoherent Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of its photonics and laser systems. These products are utilized across numerous industries, including semiconductor manufacturing where their precision lasers and optics are critical for processes like photolithography. The company also earns income from sales of optical components and modules used in communication networks, as well as in various industrial applications. Additionally, Coherent engages in service contracts and maintenance agreements for its equipment, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with key industry players further enhance its market reach and technological capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Coherent Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 41.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Coherent's earnings call highlights strong revenue growth driven by data center and communications markets, significant gross margin improvement, and strategic product innovations. However, this is tempered by challenges in industrial and consumer electronics markets, and ongoing restructuring costs. The company's strategic focus on core areas and debt reduction efforts are positive indicators for future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal third quarter revenue increased by approximately 4% sequentially and 24% year-over-year to a record $1.5 billion, driven by AI data center and telecom revenue growth.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 38.5%, increasing 30 basis points sequentially and 490 basis points year-over-year.
Data Center and Communications Market Growth
Data center and communications revenue increased by 9% sequentially and 46% year-over-year, with strong performance in AI data centers and telecom.
Innovative Product Launches
Introduced three 1.6T transceiver designs and achieved a key milestone with a 400 gig per lane differential EML, supporting future 3.2T transceivers.
Strategic Portfolio Optimization
Exited non-core product lines such as silicon carbide devices and modules, focusing on core growth areas.
Debt Reduction
Paid down $136 million in debt during the quarter, reducing debt leverage to 2.1 times.
Negative Updates
Industrial Market Softness
Industrial related markets experienced a 2% sequential revenue decrease, with soft demand in broad-based industrial markets.
Consumer Electronics Weakness
Materials segment revenue decreased 3% sequentially and 1% year-over-year due to softness in the consumer electronics market.
Restructuring Costs
Incurred $74 million in restructuring costs related to portfolio optimization, including site closures and workforce reductions.
Company Guidance
During the Coherent Fiscal Year 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Webcast, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, expecting revenue between $1.425 billion and $1.575 billion. The non-GAAP gross margin is projected to range from 37% to 39%, with total operating expenses anticipated to be between $290 million and $310 million. The non-GAAP tax rate is expected to fall between 21% and 24%, while the non-GAAP EPS is guided to be between $0.81 and $1.01. The guidance accounts for the current tariff policy environment, which is not expected to significantly impact results. The company continues to focus on improving profitability through gross margin expansion and operational efficiency, while also strengthening and deleveraging its balance sheet.

Coherent Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coherent Corp shows solid financial performance with strong revenue growth of 18.8% and improving profitability. The balance sheet indicates a healthy leverage position and a strong equity base, although high liabilities require careful management. Cash flow management is commendable, with significant growth in free cash flow.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Coherent Corp exhibits robust revenue growth, with a significant increase from $4.71 billion to $5.60 billion in the TTM period, representing an 18.8% growth rate. The gross profit margin is healthy at 34.5%, and there's a notable improvement in net income from a loss to a profit of $65.24 million. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 1.2%, indicating room for further efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.50, suggesting a balanced leverage position. Return on equity improved to 0.8% in the TTM, indicating positive profitability. The equity ratio of 54.1% reflects a strong equity base relative to total assets, providing financial stability. However, the relatively high total liabilities could pose a risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow increased to $665.64 million, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 10.20, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to profits. Free cash flow grew by 28.8%, reflecting improved capital management. However, attention should be paid to capital expenditures to ensure sustainable cash flow growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.71B5.16B3.32B3.11B2.38B
Gross Profit1.46B1.62B1.27B1.18B791.18M
EBITDA682.94M613.00M689.84M682.56M246.36M
Net Income-156.15M-259.46M234.76M297.55M-67.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.49B13.71B7.84B6.51B5.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments926.03M821.31M2.58B1.59B493.05M
Total Debt4.30B4.49B2.44B1.53B2.37B
Total Liabilities6.54B6.48B3.46B2.38B3.16B
Stockholders Equity7.57B7.23B3.62B3.41B2.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.91M197.97M99.00M428.02M160.41M
Operating Cash Flow545.73M634.02M413.33M574.35M297.29M
Investing Cash Flow-350.71M-5.93B-320.08M-172.96M-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow758.27M3.55B862.95M675.73M1.17B

Coherent Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price98.72
Price Trends
50DMA
85.42
Positive
100DMA
74.93
Positive
200DMA
85.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.45
Negative
RSI
66.48
Neutral
STOCH
68.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.56, above the 50-day MA of 85.42, and above the 200-day MA of 85.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COHR.

Coherent Corp Risk Analysis

Coherent Corp disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coherent Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coherent Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$20.11B25.4817.67%-3.63%
74
Outperform
$6.68B29.679.50%0.88%-1.14%
73
Outperform
$15.30B1.25%21.68%92.07%
72
Outperform
$5.64B53.924.39%1.23%-3.43%-50.48%
67
Neutral
$24.59B44.5532.41%0.15%-6.13%-53.35%
63
Neutral
$34.70B4.89-11.39%1.66%5.53%-19.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COHR
Coherent Corp
100.14
29.64
42.04%
FLEX
Flex
49.67
17.66
55.17%
JBL
Jabil
222.55
112.43
102.10%
LFUS
Littelfuse
228.31
-28.70
-11.17%
MKSI
MKS
99.54
-23.98
-19.41%

Coherent Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Coherent Corp Outlines Growth Strategy at Investor Day
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Coherent Corp. held its 2025 Investor Day in New York, where it outlined its long-term growth strategy and financial model, highlighting significant progress in revenue and earnings per share growth. The company emphasized its focus on expanding its market presence in AI Datacenters and industrial sectors, with plans for double-digit revenue growth and enhanced shareholder value, as detailed by its CEO and other executives.

The most recent analyst rating on (COHR) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coherent Corp stock, see the COHR Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Coherent Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Coherent Corp. reported its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 7, 2025, with a revenue of $1.50 billion, marking a 24% year-over-year increase. The company experienced strong growth driven by AI-related datacenter demand and introduced new optical networking products. The GAAP gross margin increased to 35.2%, and the non-GAAP EPS improved to $0.91. Coherent also paid down $136 million in debt, focusing on cash and capital allocation for long-term growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025