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Flex Ltd (FLEX)
NASDAQ:FLEX

Flex (FLEX) AI Stock Analysis

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FLEX

Flex

(NASDAQ:FLEX)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
▲(0.90% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (improved leverage and strong cash generation) and a constructive earnings update with raised guidance and continued margin progress. These positives are tempered by weaker near-term technicals (trading below key moving averages with subdued momentum) and a valuation that is not especially cheap given thin margins and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation & FCF conversion
Management's guidance for >80% free cash flow conversion and reported strong operating cash flow indicate durable internal funding. This supports ongoing capex, opportunistic buybacks, debt reduction and strategic investments without relying on external financing, bolstering financial resilience.
Improved leverage and balance sheet flexibility
Material reduction in total debt and a conservative debt/equity profile enhance financial flexibility. A stronger balance sheet reduces interest/ refinancing risk, enables disciplined capital allocation (M&A, capex, buybacks), and better insulates the company through cyclical shocks.
Diversified model with data-center momentum & partnerships
Broad EMS/ODM footprint across industrial, networking and data-center segments plus strategic partnerships (NVIDIA, LG, Equinix) position Flex to capture secular AI/cloud infrastructure growth. Modular platforms deepen customer ties and create durable revenue streams above consumer cyclicality.
Negative Factors
Thin net margins and profit volatility
Persistently low single-digit net margins and historical swings limit the firm's earnings cushion and make profitability sensitive to cost changes or pricing pressure. Over time thin margins constrain reinvestment and reduce runway for margin-enhancing initiatives during downturns.
Free cash flow growth variability
Although FCF levels are generally strong, recent TTM FCF growth turning negative and past variability highlight cyclical cash generation. This unpredictability can impair consistent capital returns, complicate planning for buybacks, debt paydown or strategic investments over medium term.
Supply allocation risk and ongoing capacity investment needs
Exposure to memory price and allocation dynamics concentrates risk with large data-center customers; combined with management's stated need for continued compute capacity investment, this can raise capex and working capital needs and pressure margins if supply costs or timing mismatch demand.

Flex (FLEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlex Ltd. provides design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services and solutions to original equipment manufacturers in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS), Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS), and Nextracker. The company provides cross-industry technologies, including human-machine interface, internet of things platforms, power, sensor fusion, and smart audio. It also offers integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. In addition, the company provides value-added design and engineering services; and systems assembly and manufacturing services that include enclosures, testing services, and materials procurement and inventory management services. Further, it offers chargers for smartphones and tablets; adapters for notebooks and gaming systems; power supplies for the server, storage, and networking markets; and power solutions, such as switchgear, busway, power distribution, modular power systems, and monitoring solutions and services. Additionally, the company provides after-market and forward supply chain logistics services to computing, consumer digital, infrastructure, industrial, mobile, automotive, and medical industries; and reverse logistics and repair solutions, including returns management, exchange programs, complex repair, asset recovery, recycling, and e-waste management. It serves to cloud, communications, enterprise, automotive, industrial, consumer devices, lifestyle, healthcare, and energy industries. The company was formerly known as Flextronics International Ltd. and changed its name to Flex Ltd. in September 2016. Flex Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlex generates revenue primarily through its electronics manufacturing services (EMS) and original design manufacturer (ODM) services. The company earns money by providing manufacturing services for a diverse array of electronic components and systems, often engaging in long-term contracts with major clients in various industries. Key revenue streams include production assembly, supply chain management, and logistics operations. Flex also benefits from partnerships with leading technology companies, which often require custom manufacturing solutions, allowing Flex to secure substantial contracts. Additionally, the company may generate revenue from advanced services such as product design, engineering support, and after-market services, enhancing its value proposition to clients and contributing to its overall earnings.

Flex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear operational and financial positives: revenue and EPS growth, record/expanded margins, strong cash generation, raised full-year guidance, and pronounced momentum in data center and power businesses supported by strategic partnerships and new product platforms. Offsets include softness in consumer end markets that temper Agility upside, flat Agility margins, a modest inventory increase, and near-term limits on benefit from the AWS warrant arrangement. Management reiterated continued investment needs (notably for compute capacity) and flagged memory allocation dynamics that could introduce some supply-side risk. Overall the positives (top-line growth, margin expansion, guidance raise, cash returns and strategic AI/data-center progress) materially outweigh the set of manageable headwinds.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EPS Growth
Total Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion, up 8% year-over-year; adjusted EPS reached $0.87, up 13% YoY and a company record.
Record and Improving Margins
Adjusted operating margin of 6.5% (another quarter above 6%), up 40 basis points YoY; adjusted gross margin improved to 9.8%; adjusted operating profit was $460 million.
Data Center Momentum and Strategic Partnerships
Management highlighted strong, sustained data center demand and launched multiple milestones: modular data center systems with NVIDIA, a thermal management partnership with LG, deployment of rack-level liquid cooling at Equinix, and a new AI infrastructure platform that can accelerate deployment timelines by up to 30%.
Reliability Segment Strength
Reliability revenue of $3.2 billion, up 10% YoY; adjusted operating income $233 million; segment adjusted operating margin 7.2%, up 50 basis points YoY — driven by power and core industrial strength.
Agility Segment Growth in Networking/Cloud
Agility revenue of $3.8 billion, up 6% YoY; adjusted operating income $239 million and segment margin at 6.3% (flat YoY). Notable strength in high-performance networking and satellite communications supporting cloud/network deployments.
Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Quarterly cash flow of $275 million with ~80%+ free cash flow conversion guidance for the fiscal year; net CapEx of $145 million (~2% of revenue); repurchased approximately $200 million of stock (about 3.3 million shares).
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance increased to $27.2B–$27.5B (midpoint ~$350M higher vs prior guide); FY adjusted EPS guided to $3.21–$3.27 (midpoint +$0.11); expected FY adjusted operating margin approximately 6.3%.
Embedded/Critical Power Opportunity
Management emphasized strong growth in both embedded power and critical power, noting an advantageous position in 800-volt DC and megawatt rack deployments and referencing management’s ~35% growth guide in these power-related areas for the year.
Negative Updates
Softness in Consumer End Markets
Consumer-related end markets (lifestyle and consumer devices) are soft and partially offset Agility's data-center-related growth, pressuring upside in that segment.
Agility Margin Stall
Agility adjusted operating margin was flat at 6.3% YoY, indicating less margin expansion in that segment compared with Reliability where margins improved.
Inventory and Working Capital
Inventory increased 5% sequentially and 5% YoY; inventory net of working capital advances is 56 days (flat YoY) — higher inventory could pose execution or working capital pressure if demand shifts.
AWS Warrant Deal Not Immediately Accretive
Management indicated the Amazon warrant arrangement was not expected to be materially incremental to FY2026 revenue; any benefit is expected to scale over time rather than provide near-term uplift.
Ongoing Investment Needs and Capacity Work
Management expects continued investments and potential capacity additions — particularly more compute capacity in coming years — which could require retrofit/capital deployment and may pressure near-term cash use or execution if demand timing changes.
Memory Price/Allocation Dynamics
Rising memory prices and allocations skewed toward data center customers were noted; while management does not see immediate consumer demand disruption (consumers are already soft), memory allocation trends represent a supply/demand risk to certain end markets.
Automotive Stabilization but Not Unit-Led Growth
Automotive was described as stabilizing due to clarity on platforms, but growth is driven by compute content rather than unit volume increases — limiting upside tied to vehicle volumes.
Company Guidance
Flex's guidance: full‑year revenue of $27.2–$27.5 billion (midpoint +$350M vs. prior), adjusted operating margin of ~6.3%, and adjusted EPS of $3.21–$3.27 (midpoint +$0.11), with expected free‑cash‑flow conversion of 80%+; Q4 guidance calls for revenue of $6.75–$7.05 billion, adjusted operating income of $445–$475 million, an adjusted tax rate of 21%, and adjusted EPS of $0.83–$0.89 on roughly 375 million weighted average shares. Management expects full‑year Reliability and Agility revenue to be up mid‑single digits, Q4 Reliability to be up low‑double‑digits to mid‑teens and Q4 Agility up low‑to‑mid single digits, and highlighted strong data‑center growth (referenced at ~35% Y/Y) alongside continued opportunistic buybacks and disciplined capital allocation.

Flex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements show a healthier profile: solid profitability with improving gross margin, meaningfully reduced leverage, and strong operating/free cash flow. Offsets include thin net margins and historical volatility in revenue and free cash flow, with recent TTM free cash flow growth turning negative.
Income Statement
72
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up strongly versus the prior period, and profitability remains solid with positive operating and net margins. Gross margin has improved versus earlier years, supporting steadier earnings power. Offsetting this, margins are still thin for the industry (low single-digit net margin) and results have shown some volatility over the past few years, with periods of revenue decline and fluctuating operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Leverage has improved materially: total debt is much lower in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) snapshot and debt relative to equity is now conservative versus prior years. Equity has remained consistently positive and returns on equity have been healthy and fairly steady. The main watch-out is that the balance sheet previously carried higher leverage (notably in earlier annual periods), so the sustainability of the lower-debt profile is important to maintain.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are strong and comfortably positive, and cash conversion relative to earnings is solid (free cash flow running at roughly ~70% of net income). However, free cash flow growth has recently turned negative in the TTM period, and the company has shown historical variability in free cash flow (including a negative year), which adds some cyclicality risk.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.84B25.81B26.41B28.50B24.63B24.12B
Gross Profit2.43B2.16B1.86B1.98B1.78B1.69B
EBITDA1.76B1.78B1.41B1.54B1.61B1.44B
Net Income852.00M838.00M1.01B793.00M936.00M613.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.82B18.38B18.26B21.41B19.32B15.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.06B2.29B2.47B3.16B2.96B2.64B
Total Debt5.60B4.15B3.75B4.20B4.75B4.34B
Total Liabilities15.70B13.38B12.93B15.70B15.12B12.40B
Stockholders Equity5.12B5.00B5.33B5.35B4.13B3.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B1.07B796.00M315.00M581.00M-207.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.50B1.33B950.00M1.02B144.00M
Investing Cash Flow-669.00M-838.00M-492.00M-604.00M-951.00M-202.00M
Financing Cash Flow-343.00M-821.00M-1.66B2.00M280.00M743.00M

Flex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.42
Price Trends
50DMA
64.18
Positive
100DMA
62.15
Positive
200DMA
55.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
51.38
Neutral
STOCH
69.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.16, above the 50-day MA of 64.18, and above the 200-day MA of 55.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLEX.

Flex Risk Analysis

Flex disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.25B30.6712.63%1.82%56.52%
73
Outperform
$27.18B40.0447.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$23.69B29.4616.85%0.77%0.51%
71
Outperform
$8.01B35.379.74%7.40%13.79%
67
Neutral
$18.04B32.847.78%0.43%-8.96%-30.29%
63
Neutral
$15.61B38.087.32%-0.86%-75.37%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLEX
Flex
65.82
23.37
55.05%
JBL
Jabil
260.54
91.71
54.32%
PLXS
Plexus
197.22
57.14
40.79%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
147.83
57.31
63.31%
TRMB
Trimble
66.91
-8.66
-11.46%
FTV
Fortive
58.33
-3.90
-6.27%

Flex Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Flex Completes $750 Million Notes Sale
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Flex Ltd. completed the sale of $750 million in notes, comprising $150 million of 5.250% Notes due 2032 and $600 million of 5.375% Notes due 2035. This issuance was part of a strategic financial maneuver to consolidate and expand their existing debt structure, with the notes being senior unsecured obligations. The company has structured these notes with certain covenants and redemption options, reflecting a focus on maintaining financial flexibility and stability. The underwriting agreement with major financial institutions underscores the company’s strong market positioning and commitment to adhering to customary financial practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLEX) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flex stock, see the FLEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026