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Flex Ltd (FLEX)
NASDAQ:FLEX

Flex (FLEX) AI Stock Analysis

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Flex

(NASDAQ:FLEX)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(11.29%Upside)
The overall score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. Despite some valuation concerns and sector-specific challenges, Flex's strategic positioning and guidance for continued growth underpin a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Flex's data center business increased 45% year-over-year.
Strategic Expansion
FLEX is expected to benefit from expansion into growth vectors, including power and cooling.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
F26 end-market expectations amid macro uncertainty.
Revenue Impact
Customer-sourced inventory reduces the total revenue for FLEX, but is a tailwind to margins.

Flex (FLEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlex Ltd. provides design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain services and solutions to original equipment manufacturers in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS), Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS), and Nextracker. The company provides cross-industry technologies, including human-machine interface, internet of things platforms, power, sensor fusion, and smart audio. It also offers integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. In addition, the company provides value-added design and engineering services; and systems assembly and manufacturing services that include enclosures, testing services, and materials procurement and inventory management services. Further, it offers chargers for smartphones and tablets; adapters for notebooks and gaming systems; power supplies for the server, storage, and networking markets; and power solutions, such as switchgear, busway, power distribution, modular power systems, and monitoring solutions and services. Additionally, the company provides after-market and forward supply chain logistics services to computing, consumer digital, infrastructure, industrial, mobile, automotive, and medical industries; and reverse logistics and repair solutions, including returns management, exchange programs, complex repair, asset recovery, recycling, and e-waste management. It serves to cloud, communications, enterprise, automotive, industrial, consumer devices, lifestyle, healthcare, and energy industries. The company was formerly known as Flextronics International Ltd. and changed its name to Flex Ltd. in September 2016. Flex Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlex Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its design, engineering, and manufacturing services. The company partners with businesses across various sectors to provide customized solutions, from initial product design to mass production and distribution. Key revenue streams include contract manufacturing services, where Flex produces and assembles products for other companies, and supply chain management services, where it optimizes logistics and distribution networks for clients. Additionally, Flex engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its service offerings and enhance its technological capabilities, contributing to its earnings. The company's diverse portfolio and global footprint allow it to capitalize on economies of scale and market opportunities across different regions and industries.

Flex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Flex, driven by significant growth in the data center segment, record annual results, and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges such as automotive sector weakness and potential tariff impacts introduce some uncertainty. The company's guidance and strategic positioning suggest confidence in continued margin improvement and growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Margin Growth
Fiscal Q4 revenue was $6.4 billion, growing almost 4% year-over-year. Adjusted operating margin came in at 6.2%, another quarterly record, with adjusted EPS of $0.73, up 28% over last year.
Record Annual Performance
Flex achieved record annual adjusted operating margins of 5.7% and double-digit adjusted EPS growth for the fifth consecutive year, reaching $2.65 per share. Free cash flow exceeded $1 billion for the second consecutive year.
Data Center Segment Surge
Total data center revenue grew about 50% year-over-year, reaching approximately $4.8 billion in fiscal '25 at accretive margins.
Strategic Acquisitions and Awards
Flex completed several key acquisitions and won two PACE awards in the automotive space with its NVIDIA Drive AGX powered Jupyter compute platform and backup DC/DC converter.
Positive Outlook and Guidance
Flex expects to achieve 6% adjusted operating margin in fiscal 2026, reaching the fiscal 2027 target a year ahead of schedule, with continued strong free cash flow conversion.
Negative Updates
Automotive Sector Weakness
The company expects revenue in the automotive sector to be flat at the midpoint due to macro-related softness, with further weakness anticipated in fiscal Q1 2026.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
The rapidly evolving tariff situation poses risks, particularly in automotive, with potential demand impacts and higher costs for raw materials procured from China.
Challenges in Core Industrial and Renewables
Revenue in the industrial and renewables sectors showed softness, with expectations for these headwinds to be temporary.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Flex's fiscal Q4 and FY 2025, the company reported a robust performance with revenue reaching $6.4 billion, a 4% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted operating margin of 6.2%, marking a new quarterly record. The full year results showed an adjusted operating margin of 5.7% and an adjusted EPS of $2.65, reflecting a 28% rise compared to the previous year. Flex also achieved over $1 billion in free cash flow, surpassing their 80%-plus free cash flow conversion target for the second consecutive year. The data center business was a major growth driver, with revenue climbing approximately 50% year-over-year to $4.8 billion, fueled by strong demand in both cloud operations and power solutions. For fiscal 2026, Flex anticipates revenue between $25 billion and $26.8 billion, with an operating margin of 6% to 6.1%. The company is on track to achieve its FY 2027 margin target a year ahead of schedule, despite potential tariff impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties.

Flex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Flex demonstrates stable financial health with a focus on maintaining margins and managing debt. Income statement shows revenue challenges, but the balance sheet is solid with strategic leverage. Cash flow is stable, although attention to free cash flow trends is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Flex has shown a mixed performance over the recent years. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin have remained relatively stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen some fluctuations, reflecting challenges in maintaining consistent bottom-line growth. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a noticeable decline in recent years, which could signal market challenges or strategic shifts.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with a stable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the equity ratio indicates a moderate reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks if market conditions worsen. Return on Equity (ROE) has been satisfactory, reflecting the company's ability to generate profit from its equity base.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow from operations has been robust, indicating strong internal cash generation capability. The free cash flow has seen growth, albeit with some volatility, which could impact future investment and financing decisions. The ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income suggest efficient cash management, though potential fluctuations in free cash flow growth remain a concern.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
25.81B26.41B28.50B24.63B24.12B
Gross Profit
2.16B1.86B1.98B1.78B1.69B
EBIT
1.17B1.03B1.02B890.00M795.00M
EBITDA
1.78B1.55B1.54B1.59B870.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
838.00M1.01B793.00M936.00M613.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.29B2.47B3.16B2.96B2.64B
Total Assets
18.38B18.26B21.41B19.32B15.84B
Total Debt
1.67B3.75B4.20B4.75B4.34B
Net Debt
-624.00M1.28B1.03B1.78B1.71B
Total Liabilities
13.38B12.93B15.70B15.12B12.40B
Stockholders Equity
5.00B5.33B5.35B4.13B3.44B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.07B796.00M315.00M581.00M-207.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.50B1.33B950.00M1.02B144.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-838.00M-492.00M-604.00M-951.00M-202.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-821.00M-1.66B2.00M280.00M743.00M

Flex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.13
Price Trends
50DMA
37.48
Positive
100DMA
37.99
Positive
200DMA
37.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.44
Positive
RSI
63.92
Neutral
STOCH
65.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.54, above the 50-day MA of 37.48, and above the 200-day MA of 37.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLEX.

Flex Risk Analysis

Flex disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$16.10B20.4316.23%-8.07%-8.00%
79
Outperform
$4.62B19.9811.03%-1.50%1.84%
75
Outperform
$3.53B25.3110.93%-0.69%42.26%
ESESE
74
Outperform
$4.75B40.319.66%0.17%8.40%20.03%
JBJBL
70
Outperform
$18.88B42.1424.10%0.18%-14.45%-64.32%
BHBHE
68
Neutral
$1.35B25.794.84%1.82%-7.36%-20.46%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLEX
Flex
43.13
11.55
36.57%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
37.33
-2.21
-5.59%
ESE
Esco Technologies
184.00
79.16
75.51%
JBL
Jabil
175.84
51.65
41.59%
PLXS
Plexus
130.22
26.84
25.96%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
86.33
18.77
27.78%

Flex Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Flex Approves 2026 Annual Incentive Bonus Plan
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Flex Ltd.’s Board of Directors approved the Annual Incentive Bonus Plan for fiscal year 2026, aimed at rewarding executive officers based on the achievement of specific performance goals such as operating profit, free cash flow, and revenue targets. The plan outlines varying bonus opportunities tied to base salaries for different executive roles, with potential payouts adjusted by company performance and individual executive contributions, reflecting Flex’s strategic focus on aligning compensation with performance outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLEX) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flex stock, see the FLEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.