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Trimble (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB

Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMB

Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(13.75% Upside)
Trimble's strong earnings call performance and strategic initiatives in AI and technology integration are significant positives, contributing to revenue and ARR growth. The company's financial stability is supported by a solid balance sheet and effective cash management. However, high valuation metrics and challenges in maintaining profitability margins temper the overall score. The recent corporate events, including a stock buyback program, further enhance shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
AI and Technology Integration
AI integration enhances operational efficiency and product innovation, strengthening Trimble's competitive edge in technology-driven markets.
Recurring Revenue Model
A high percentage of recurring revenue ensures stable cash flows and customer retention, enhancing financial predictability and resilience.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact long-term profitability and financial health.
Challenged Freight Market
Persistent challenges in the freight market may limit growth opportunities in the transportation segment, affecting overall revenue potential.
Reduced Return on Equity
A significant drop in return on equity indicates reduced profitability for shareholders, potentially impacting investor confidence and capital allocation.

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrimble Inc. is a technology company that specializes in providing advanced positioning solutions, software, and services for various industries, including construction, agriculture, transportation, and geospatial. Headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, Trimble integrates hardware, software, and services to enhance productivity, efficiency, and safety in the management of projects and resources. Its core products include GPS systems, surveying equipment, and software solutions that facilitate project management and data analytics.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrimble generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling its hardware products, software licenses, and subscription-based services. Key revenue streams include the sale of advanced positioning systems, surveying instruments, and software solutions tailored for industries such as construction and agriculture. The company also offers maintenance and support services for its products, contributing to recurring revenue. Additionally, Trimble has established significant partnerships with various industry leaders, enhancing its market reach and offering integrated solutions that drive customer engagement and retention. Factors such as ongoing advancements in technology and growing demand for automation in various sectors also play a crucial role in bolstering its earnings.

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes sales across various business divisions, indicating which areas are most lucrative and where the company might expand or face competition.
Chart InsightsTrimble's Buildings and Infrastructure segment shows a steady recovery in 2023, aligning with the company's strong Q1 performance and strategic focus on AI. However, the Geospatial and Resources and Utilities segments face challenges, with declining revenues possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related costs. The Transportation segment's recent growth is promising, supported by a 7% ARR increase. Despite these mixed trends, Trimble's overall revenue growth and AI initiatives suggest resilience, although cautious guidance reflects potential risks from tariffs and extended sales cycles.
Data provided by:The Fly

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Trimble's earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and ARR growth, increased full-year guidance, and successful integration of AI in its operations. However, challenges such as the U.S. federal government shutdown and a tough freight market were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and ARR Growth
Trimble reported $901 million in revenue for Q3 2025, up 11% year-over-year, and ARR grew 15% to $2.31 billion.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and increased its EPS outlook by $0.10 to $3.08.
AECO Segment Performance
AECO delivered $1.42 billion in ARR with 17% growth in both ARR and revenue. Operating income increased by 270 basis points.
Recurring Revenue and Software Expansion
Recurring revenue accounted for 63% of Q3 revenue, and software and services made up 78% of total revenue, highlighting the structural quality of the business model.
AI and Technology Integration
Trimble is leveraging AI across its business for internal efficiencies, product innovation, and extending leadership in various markets, including construction and transportation.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown
Trimble anticipated lower government revenue due to the U.S. federal government shutdown, impacting the business by single-digit millions in the back half of 2025.
Challenged Freight Market in Transportation Segment
Although the Transportation segment showed growth, it continues to operate in a challenging freight market, with ARR growth of 7%.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Trimble provided updated guidance and a comprehensive overview of its financial performance metrics for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported a revenue of $901 million, reflecting an 11% increase, while its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 15% to $2.31 billion, with the Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations (AECO) segment showing a notable 17% increase. Earnings per share (EPS) rose by 16% year-over-year to $0.81. Operating margins expanded by 160 basis points to 29.9%. Looking ahead, Trimble increased its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and its EPS outlook to $3.08. The company is also maintaining its organic ARR growth midpoint at 14% for the year. Additionally, Trimble highlighted its strategy of leveraging AI and its partnerships with NASCAR and Liverpool Football Club to drive innovation and growth.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trimble demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, as seen in its income statement. However, declining profitability margins and return on equity are concerns. The balance sheet reflects low leverage, providing financial stability, while cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management. Overall, Trimble is in a stable financial position but faces challenges in maintaining profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Trimble's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 68.34% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 9.93% from 40.84% in the previous annual report, reflecting a significant drop in profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 71% TTM, showcasing robust sales growth. The EBIT margin is stable at 13.65%, but the EBITDA margin has decreased to 19.41%, suggesting increased operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 TTM, indicating low financial leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 6.32% TTM from 26.18% in the previous annual report, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Trimble's cash flow statement shows a free cash flow growth of 9.79% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, highlighting effective cash management relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.60B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B3.15B
Gross Profit2.43B2.40B2.33B2.11B2.03B1.75B
EBITDA693.70M2.33B768.60M747.40M819.90M692.90M
Net Income357.60M1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M389.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.02B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B6.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.70M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M237.70M
Total Debt1.39B1.51B3.19B1.63B1.41B1.66B
Total Liabilities3.23B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B3.28B
Stockholders Equity5.79B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B3.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow315.20M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M615.20M
Operating Cash Flow341.00M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M672.00M
Investing Cash Flow-35.00M1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M-231.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M-400.30M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.88
Price Trends
50DMA
79.58
Positive
100DMA
80.53
Positive
200DMA
75.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
51.69
Neutral
STOCH
27.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.07, above the 50-day MA of 79.58, and above the 200-day MA of 75.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$34.79B41.4515.82%7.95%39.54%
74
Outperform
$19.24B55.016.13%-0.86%-75.37%
74
Outperform
$23.76B28.3517.45%0.77%0.51%
73
Outperform
$24.21B35.2447.87%0.14%13.18%-38.37%
72
Outperform
$17.44B31.357.79%0.44%-8.96%-30.29%
71
Outperform
$23.95B29.558.11%7.41%-12.85%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
80.88
9.71
13.64%
FLEX
Flex
64.24
25.56
66.08%
JBL
Jabil
226.62
81.14
55.77%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
510.01
39.91
8.49%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
202.47
39.76
24.44%
FTV
Fortive
54.91
-0.93
-1.67%

Trimble Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Trimble Announces New Credit Agreement and Stock Buyback
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Trimble Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with Bank of America, replacing its prior agreement from March 2022, with an unsecured revolving loan facility of $1.25 billion, although no loans were outstanding at the time. Additionally, on December 3, 2025, Trimble’s Board authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $1 billion, replacing the previous authorization, allowing the company to repurchase shares through various means without a set expiration date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025