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Trimble (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB
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Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMB

Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(12.65% Upside)
Trimble's strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators are significant strengths, contributing to a favorable outlook. However, concerns about profitability margins and high valuation metrics temper the overall score. The company's strategic focus on AI and innovation, along with increased guidance, supports its growth potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Trimble's products and services, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Recurring Revenue Model
A high proportion of recurring revenue enhances financial predictability and stability, providing a durable competitive advantage in the industry.
AI and Technology Integration
Integration of AI enhances operational efficiency and product offerings, positioning Trimble as a leader in technological innovation and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability Margins
Decreasing profitability margins may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and shareholder returns.
Challenged Freight Market
A challenging freight market could limit growth and profitability in the transportation segment, affecting overall business performance.
Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown
Reduced government revenue can impact financial results, particularly if government contracts are a significant revenue source, affecting long-term stability.

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrimble Inc. provides technology solutions that enable professionals and field mobile workers to enhance or transform their work processes worldwide. The company's Buildings and Infrastructure segment offers field and office software for route selection and design; systems to guide and control construction equipment; software for 3D design and data sharing; systems to monitor, track, and manage assets, equipment, and workers; software to share and communicate data; program management solutions for construction owners; 3D conceptual design and modeling software; building information modeling software; enterprise resource planning, project management, and project collaboration solutions; integrated site layout and measurement systems; cost estimating, scheduling, and project controls solutions; and applications for sub-contractors and trades. Its Geospatial segment provides surveying and geospatial products, and geographic information systems. The company's Resources and Utilities segment offers precision agriculture products and services, such as guidance and positioning systems, including autonomous steering systems, automated and variable-rate application and technology systems, and information management solutions; manual and automated navigation guidance for tractors and other farm equipment; solutions to automate application of pesticide and seeding; water solutions; and agricultural software. Its Transportation segment offers solutions for long haul trucking and freight shipper markets; mobility solutions comprising route management, safety and compliance, end-to-end vehicle management, video intelligence, and supply chain communications; and fleet and transportation management systems, analytics, routing, mapping, reporting, and predictive modeling solutions. The company was formerly known as Trimble Navigation Limited and changed its name to Trimble Inc. in October 2016. Trimble Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrimble generates revenue through a diversified model that includes hardware sales, software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company sells a range of hardware products, including GPS receivers, laser systems, and surveying equipment, which contribute significantly to its revenue. Additionally, Trimble has a robust software segment that includes both one-time license fees and recurring subscription revenues for its cloud-based solutions. Professional services, such as consulting and training, also play a role in revenue generation. Strategic partnerships with industry leaders and integration with third-party platforms enhance Trimble's market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to leverage its technology across various sectors.

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes sales across various business divisions, indicating which areas are most lucrative and where the company might expand or face competition.
Chart InsightsTrimble's Buildings and Infrastructure segment shows a steady recovery in 2023, aligning with the company's strong Q1 performance and strategic focus on AI. However, the Geospatial and Resources and Utilities segments face challenges, with declining revenues possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related costs. The Transportation segment's recent growth is promising, supported by a 7% ARR increase. Despite these mixed trends, Trimble's overall revenue growth and AI initiatives suggest resilience, although cautious guidance reflects potential risks from tariffs and extended sales cycles.
Data provided by:The Fly

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Trimble's earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and ARR growth, increased full-year guidance, and successful integration of AI in its operations. However, challenges such as the U.S. federal government shutdown and a tough freight market were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and ARR Growth
Trimble reported $901 million in revenue for Q3 2025, up 11% year-over-year, and ARR grew 15% to $2.31 billion.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and increased its EPS outlook by $0.10 to $3.08.
AECO Segment Performance
AECO delivered $1.42 billion in ARR with 17% growth in both ARR and revenue. Operating income increased by 270 basis points.
Recurring Revenue and Software Expansion
Recurring revenue accounted for 63% of Q3 revenue, and software and services made up 78% of total revenue, highlighting the structural quality of the business model.
AI and Technology Integration
Trimble is leveraging AI across its business for internal efficiencies, product innovation, and extending leadership in various markets, including construction and transportation.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown
Trimble anticipated lower government revenue due to the U.S. federal government shutdown, impacting the business by single-digit millions in the back half of 2025.
Challenged Freight Market in Transportation Segment
Although the Transportation segment showed growth, it continues to operate in a challenging freight market, with ARR growth of 7%.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Trimble provided updated guidance and a comprehensive overview of its financial performance metrics for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported a revenue of $901 million, reflecting an 11% increase, while its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 15% to $2.31 billion, with the Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations (AECO) segment showing a notable 17% increase. Earnings per share (EPS) rose by 16% year-over-year to $0.81. Operating margins expanded by 160 basis points to 29.9%. Looking ahead, Trimble increased its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and its EPS outlook to $3.08. The company is also maintaining its organic ARR growth midpoint at 14% for the year. Additionally, Trimble highlighted its strategy of leveraging AI and its partnerships with NASCAR and Liverpool Football Club to drive innovation and growth.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trimble demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, as seen in its income statement. However, declining profitability margins and return on equity are concerns. The balance sheet reflects low leverage, providing financial stability, while cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management. Overall, Trimble is in a stable financial position but faces challenges in maintaining profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Trimble's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 68.34% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 9.93% from 40.84% in the previous annual report, reflecting a significant drop in profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 71% TTM, showcasing robust sales growth. The EBIT margin is stable at 13.65%, but the EBITDA margin has decreased to 19.41%, suggesting increased operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 TTM, indicating low financial leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 6.32% TTM from 26.18% in the previous annual report, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Trimble's cash flow statement shows a free cash flow growth of 9.79% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, highlighting effective cash management relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.60B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B3.15B
Gross Profit2.43B2.40B2.33B2.11B2.03B1.75B
EBITDA693.70M2.33B768.60M747.40M819.90M692.90M
Net Income357.60M1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M389.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.02B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B6.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.70M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M237.70M
Total Debt1.39B1.51B3.19B1.63B1.41B1.66B
Total Liabilities3.23B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B3.28B
Stockholders Equity5.79B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B3.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow315.20M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M615.20M
Operating Cash Flow341.00M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M672.00M
Investing Cash Flow-35.00M1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M-231.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M-400.30M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.67
Price Trends
50DMA
79.36
Positive
100DMA
80.69
Positive
200DMA
74.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
58.85
Neutral
STOCH
91.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.77, above the 50-day MA of 79.36, and above the 200-day MA of 74.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$19.37B55.376.13%-0.86%-75.37%
72
Outperform
$23.45B28.948.11%7.41%-12.85%
72
Outperform
$34.02B40.5315.83%7.95%39.54%
72
Outperform
$16.99B30.547.79%0.45%-8.96%-30.29%
66
Neutral
$21.86B26.0917.45%0.77%0.51%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$22.51B35.5740.43%0.15%3.18%-46.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
81.67
8.59
11.75%
FLEX
Flex
56.55
17.33
44.19%
JBL
Jabil
209.99
74.98
55.54%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
492.56
12.46
2.60%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
197.54
25.95
15.12%
FTV
Fortive
52.77
-6.45
-10.89%

Trimble Corporate Events

Trimble Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Trimble Inc. is a global technology company that specializes in connecting the physical and digital worlds through precise positioning, modeling, and data analytics, primarily serving industries such as construction, geospatial, and transportation.

Trimble Inc. Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Trimble Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a robust performance characterized by significant revenue and ARR growth. The company expressed optimism with increased full-year guidance and highlighted the successful integration of AI into its operations. Nevertheless, challenges such as the U.S. federal government shutdown and a difficult freight market were acknowledged.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Trimble Announces Leadership Changes Amid Digital Strategy
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

Trimble announced executive-level leadership changes on August 18, 2025, with the retirement of Chief Accounting Officer Julie Shepard in early 2026 after over 18 years of service. Kenny Bement will succeed her in September 2025, bringing extensive experience in financial reporting and compliance. Additionally, Jim Palermo has been appointed as the new Chief Information Officer to support Trimble’s Connect and Scale digital transformation strategy. These changes aim to enhance Trimble’s operational efficiency and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRMB) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trimble stock, see the TRMB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025