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Trimble (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB

Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(13.96%Upside)
Trimble's stock is supported by strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and balance sheet strength. Technical indicators show positive momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued, enhancing its appeal. The earnings call provided positive insights on growth and innovation, despite caution due to macroeconomic risks.
Positive Factors
Business Model Resilience
Trimble demonstrated its resilient business model amidst a lot of uncertainty.
Financial Performance
Trimble delivered another solid quarter, beating Street consensus revenue by $29.7 million.
Strategic Focus
TRMB has divested its more macro-sensitive and underperforming Ag and mobility business to focus on faster-growing segments with better margin expansion opportunities.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
Larger contractors, who are 10% of the business, are slowing buying decisions amidst the uncertainty.
Tariff Impact
Trimble faces a $10 million headwind from tariffs, which has led to a 4% price increase passed on to customers.

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrimble Inc. provides technology solutions that enable professionals and field mobile workers to enhance or transform their work processes worldwide. The company's Buildings and Infrastructure segment offers field and office software for route selection and design; systems to guide and control construction equipment; software for 3D design and data sharing; systems to monitor, track, and manage assets, equipment, and workers; software to share and communicate data; program management solutions for construction owners; 3D conceptual design and modeling software; building information modeling software; enterprise resource planning, project management, and project collaboration solutions; integrated site layout and measurement systems; cost estimating, scheduling, and project controls solutions; and applications for sub-contractors and trades. Its Geospatial segment provides surveying and geospatial products, and geographic information systems. The company's Resources and Utilities segment offers precision agriculture products and services, such as guidance and positioning systems, including autonomous steering systems, automated and variable-rate application and technology systems, and information management solutions; manual and automated navigation guidance for tractors and other farm equipment; solutions to automate application of pesticide and seeding; water solutions; and agricultural software. Its Transportation segment offers solutions for long haul trucking and freight shipper markets; mobility solutions comprising route management, safety and compliance, end-to-end vehicle management, video intelligence, and supply chain communications; and fleet and transportation management systems, analytics, routing, mapping, reporting, and predictive modeling solutions. The company was formerly known as Trimble Navigation Limited and changed its name to Trimble Inc. in October 2016. Trimble Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrimble makes money through the sale of its hardware products such as GPS systems, laser rangefinders, and UAVs, which are used in various industries for precise location tracking and data collection. Additionally, the company generates revenue through software solutions and subscription-based services that provide analytics and insights to enhance operational efficiency. Trimble also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders, which extend its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Services such as installation, maintenance, and training further contribute to its revenue streams.

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes sales across various business divisions, indicating which areas are most lucrative and where the company might expand or face competition.
Chart InsightsTrimble's Buildings and Infrastructure segment shows a steady recovery in 2023, aligning with the company's strong Q1 performance and strategic focus on AI. However, the Geospatial and Resources and Utilities segments face challenges, with declining revenues possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related costs. The Transportation segment's recent growth is promising, supported by a 7% ARR increase. Despite these mixed trends, Trimble's overall revenue growth and AI initiatives suggest resilience, although cautious guidance reflects potential risks from tariffs and extended sales cycles.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Trimble posted strong Q1 results with significant growth in key segments and advancements in AI initiatives. However, macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariffs and extended sales cycles, present challenges. The company's cautious guidance reflects these potential risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue at $841 million was up 3% organically and up 10% after adjusting for the timing of January 1. ARR at $2.11 billion was up 17% organically, with EPS at $0.61 ahead of expectations.
Field Systems Segment Performance
Field Systems outperformed with particular strength in civil construction and advanced positioning. ARR growth was up 25% to a record $358 million.
AECO Segment Success
AECO delivered a record $1.29 billion of ARR, posting 19% ARR growth for the quarter. Operating income increased, with margins expanding.
Transportation and Logistics Growth
ARR in Transportation grew 7% to a record $459 million, with operating margins expected to improve in the coming quarters.
AI Initiatives
Trimble is advancing its AI journey with internal summits and integrating AI into customer-facing solutions, aiding in efficiency and growth.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The uncertainty of tariffs and trade policy poses potential risks, with the company maintaining a cautious outlook despite strong Q1 results.
Tariff-Related Cost Increases
Tariffs add approximately $10 million per quarter to the cost of goods in the Field Systems segment, requiring pricing adjustments to offset.
Longer Sales Cycles in AECO
Observed slightly longer sales cycles with enterprise customers, indicating a cautious approach amidst macroeconomic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Trimble's First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance focusing on several key metrics that illustrate its performance and strategic direction. Revenue in the first quarter of 2025 reached $841 million, representing a 3% organic increase and a 10% rise after accounting for the timing of January 1st license revenue. The Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 17% organically to $2.11 billion, surpassing expectations across segments. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded forecasts at $0.61. Despite a strong start, Trimble maintained its full-year guidance, with projected revenue at $3.42 billion and EPS at $2.87. They also anticipate an organic ARR growth midpoint of 14%. Gross margins were reported at 69.9%, an expansion of 180 basis points year-over-year, and EBITDA margins at 25.9%, a 100 basis point increase. The company highlighted the durability of its business model, with a strong balance sheet featuring a leverage ratio below 1.3 times. Capital deployment included a share repurchase of $627 million in the first quarter, with $373 million still authorized. Trimble remains focused on leveraging AI to enhance operations and customer solutions, emphasizing its commitment to innovation and efficiency.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trimble demonstrates strong profitability with solid margins and an efficient balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high return on equity. Despite a slight revenue decline and reduced cash flow growth, the company maintains a strong financial position. Continued focus on revenue growth and cash flow improvement will be key for sustaining long-term performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals a stable performance with a gross profit margin of approximately 66.8% and a net profit margin of about 42.4% for TTM. There is a slight revenue decline from the previous annual period, but high profitability is maintained, indicating efficiency in cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, suggesting robust operating performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.26, reflecting low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 60.9%, showing a strong equity base. Return on equity is high at around 27.9%, demonstrating effective use of equity in generating profits. However, total assets have slightly declined, which could be a potential risk if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow year-over-year, yet the company maintains a positive free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to net profits. Nonetheless, the lower free cash flow growth rate suggests caution in future cash flow sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.57B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B3.15B
Gross Profit
2.38B2.40B2.23B2.11B2.03B1.75B
EBIT
449.00M460.70M494.40M510.90M561.00M419.80M
EBITDA
532.20M712.20M768.60M747.40M845.80M692.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.51B1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M389.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
290.00M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M237.70M
Total Assets
8.90B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B6.88B
Total Debt
1.39B1.51B3.22B1.63B1.41B1.66B
Net Debt
1.10B775.20M2.99B1.35B1.09B1.42B
Total Liabilities
3.48B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B3.28B
Stockholders Equity
5.42B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B3.60B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
419.80M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M615.20M
Operating Cash Flow
453.20M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M672.00M
Investing Cash Flow
1.85B1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M-231.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.27B-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M-400.30M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.08
Price Trends
50DMA
65.95
Positive
100DMA
68.77
Positive
200DMA
67.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.32
Positive
RSI
54.42
Neutral
STOCH
58.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.66, above the 50-day MA of 65.95, and above the 200-day MA of 67.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BSBSY
81
Outperform
$14.97B62.7325.20%0.57%10.71%-27.64%
UMUMC
78
Outperform
$20.17B14.7311.65%5.71%2.22%-22.39%
77
Outperform
$20.13B17.71108.51%2.07%5.02%22.19%
77
Outperform
$16.96B11.5731.00%-6.93%537.94%
STSTM
71
Outperform
$26.51B24.876.33%1.23%-25.35%-70.00%
ONON
65
Neutral
$21.32B35.397.85%-18.28%-70.98%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
71.08
15.36
27.57%
NTAP
NetApp
100.49
-23.16
-18.73%
ON
ON Semiconductor
51.02
-19.71
-27.87%
STM
STMicroelectronics
29.18
-13.46
-31.57%
UMC
United Micro
8.12
-0.39
-4.58%
BSY
Bentley Systems
49.34
-1.64
-3.22%

Trimble Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trimble Receives Nasdaq Deficiency Notice for 10-K Delay
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Trimble Inc. announced that it received a deficiency notice from Nasdaq due to a delay in filing its 2024 Form 10-K, which is required for compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1). The notice does not immediately affect the trading of Trimble’s stock, and the company has 60 days to submit a compliance plan. The delay was attributed to the time needed to amend the 2023 Form 10-K and file quarterly reports for 2024. Trimble expects no discrepancies in its financial results and aims to file the 2024 Form 10-K promptly.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.