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Trimble (TRMB)
NASDAQ:TRMB
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Trimble (TRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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TRMB

Trimble

(NASDAQ:TRMB)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(6.65% Upside)
Trimble's strong earnings call performance and solid financial position are the primary drivers of its overall score. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's strategic focus on AI and recurring revenue models supports a positive long-term outlook, but valuation concerns and market challenges temper the score.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue Model
A high percentage of recurring revenue indicates a stable and predictable income stream, enhancing long-term financial stability and reducing volatility.
AI and Technology Integration
Integration of AI enhances operational efficiency and product innovation, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Strong Financial Position
Low leverage and high equity base provide financial flexibility and resilience, supporting long-term strategic initiatives and growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue can indicate challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future growth prospects.
Decreased Cash Flow Growth
Reduced cash flow growth can limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities and maintain financial health over time.
Challenged Freight Market
A challenging freight market may hinder growth in the transportation segment, affecting overall business performance and revenue diversification.

Trimble (TRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trimble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrimble Inc. provides technology solutions that enable professionals and field mobile workers to enhance or transform their work processes worldwide. The company's Buildings and Infrastructure segment offers field and office software for route selection and design; systems to guide and control construction equipment; software for 3D design and data sharing; systems to monitor, track, and manage assets, equipment, and workers; software to share and communicate data; program management solutions for construction owners; 3D conceptual design and modeling software; building information modeling software; enterprise resource planning, project management, and project collaboration solutions; integrated site layout and measurement systems; cost estimating, scheduling, and project controls solutions; and applications for sub-contractors and trades. Its Geospatial segment provides surveying and geospatial products, and geographic information systems. The company's Resources and Utilities segment offers precision agriculture products and services, such as guidance and positioning systems, including autonomous steering systems, automated and variable-rate application and technology systems, and information management solutions; manual and automated navigation guidance for tractors and other farm equipment; solutions to automate application of pesticide and seeding; water solutions; and agricultural software. Its Transportation segment offers solutions for long haul trucking and freight shipper markets; mobility solutions comprising route management, safety and compliance, end-to-end vehicle management, video intelligence, and supply chain communications; and fleet and transportation management systems, analytics, routing, mapping, reporting, and predictive modeling solutions. The company was formerly known as Trimble Navigation Limited and changed its name to Trimble Inc. in October 2016. Trimble Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrimble generates revenue through a diversified model that includes hardware sales, software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company sells a range of hardware products, including GPS receivers, laser systems, and surveying equipment, which contribute significantly to its revenue. Additionally, Trimble has a robust software segment that includes both one-time license fees and recurring subscription revenues for its cloud-based solutions. Professional services, such as consulting and training, also play a role in revenue generation. Strategic partnerships with industry leaders and integration with third-party platforms enhance Trimble's market reach and contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to leverage its technology across various sectors.

Trimble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes sales across various business divisions, indicating which areas are most lucrative and where the company might expand or face competition.
Chart InsightsTrimble's Buildings and Infrastructure segment shows a steady recovery in 2023, aligning with the company's strong Q1 performance and strategic focus on AI. However, the Geospatial and Resources and Utilities segments face challenges, with declining revenues possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related costs. The Transportation segment's recent growth is promising, supported by a 7% ARR increase. Despite these mixed trends, Trimble's overall revenue growth and AI initiatives suggest resilience, although cautious guidance reflects potential risks from tariffs and extended sales cycles.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trimble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Trimble's earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue and ARR growth, increased full-year guidance, and successful integration of AI in its operations. However, challenges such as the U.S. federal government shutdown and a tough freight market were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and ARR Growth
Trimble reported $901 million in revenue for Q3 2025, up 11% year-over-year, and ARR grew 15% to $2.31 billion.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and increased its EPS outlook by $0.10 to $3.08.
AECO Segment Performance
AECO delivered $1.42 billion in ARR with 17% growth in both ARR and revenue. Operating income increased by 270 basis points.
Recurring Revenue and Software Expansion
Recurring revenue accounted for 63% of Q3 revenue, and software and services made up 78% of total revenue, highlighting the structural quality of the business model.
AI and Technology Integration
Trimble is leveraging AI across its business for internal efficiencies, product innovation, and extending leadership in various markets, including construction and transportation.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown
Trimble anticipated lower government revenue due to the U.S. federal government shutdown, impacting the business by single-digit millions in the back half of 2025.
Challenged Freight Market in Transportation Segment
Although the Transportation segment showed growth, it continues to operate in a challenging freight market, with ARR growth of 7%.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Trimble provided updated guidance and a comprehensive overview of its financial performance metrics for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported a revenue of $901 million, reflecting an 11% increase, while its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 15% to $2.31 billion, with the Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations (AECO) segment showing a notable 17% increase. Earnings per share (EPS) rose by 16% year-over-year to $0.81. Operating margins expanded by 160 basis points to 29.9%. Looking ahead, Trimble increased its full-year revenue guidance by $45 million to $3.565 billion and its EPS outlook to $3.08. The company is also maintaining its organic ARR growth midpoint at 14% for the year. Additionally, Trimble highlighted its strategy of leveraging AI and its partnerships with NASCAR and Liverpool Football Club to drive innovation and growth.

Trimble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trimble demonstrates strong profitability with solid margins and an efficient balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high return on equity. Despite a slight revenue decline and reduced cash flow growth, the company maintains a strong financial position. Continued focus on revenue growth and cash flow improvement will be key for sustaining long-term performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals a stable performance with a gross profit margin of approximately 66.8% and a net profit margin of about 42.4% for TTM. There is a slight revenue decline from the previous annual period, but high profitability is maintained, indicating efficiency in cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, suggesting robust operating performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.26, reflecting low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 60.9%, showing a strong equity base. Return on equity is high at around 27.9%, demonstrating effective use of equity in generating profits. However, total assets have slightly declined, which could be a potential risk if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow year-over-year, yet the company maintains a positive free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to net profits. Nonetheless, the lower free cash flow growth rate suggests caution in future cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.59B3.68B3.80B3.68B3.66B3.11B
Gross Profit1.73B2.40B2.33B2.11B2.03B1.68B
EBITDA474.10M2.33B768.60M747.40M819.90M590.00M
Net Income196.50M1.50B311.30M449.70M492.80M282.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.10B9.49B9.54B7.27B7.10B5.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments265.90M738.80M229.80M271.00M325.70M172.50M
Total Debt1.51B1.51B3.19B1.63B1.41B1.97B
Total Liabilities3.41B3.74B5.04B3.22B3.15B3.10B
Stockholders Equity5.69B5.75B4.50B4.05B3.94B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.10M497.80M555.10M348.00M704.40M419.10M
Operating Cash Flow197.00M531.40M597.10M391.20M750.50M486.70M
Investing Cash Flow-38.30M1.86B-2.07B-226.30M-203.50M-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow-566.40M-1.86B1.43B-199.00M-447.70M989.40M

Trimble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.70
Price Trends
50DMA
79.96
Negative
100DMA
80.40
Negative
200DMA
74.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
50.36
Neutral
STOCH
60.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.36, below the 50-day MA of 79.96, and above the 200-day MA of 74.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMB.

Trimble Risk Analysis

Trimble disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trimble reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trimble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$23.16B28.0917.45%0.77%0.51%
73
Outperform
$31.08B57.629.98%4.80%-39.55%
72
Outperform
$24.09B29.738.11%7.41%-12.85%
72
Outperform
$16.27B29.257.79%0.47%-8.96%-30.29%
66
Neutral
$18.77B53.666.13%-0.86%-75.37%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$22.83B36.0740.43%0.15%3.18%-46.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMB
Trimble
79.70
6.34
8.64%
FLEX
Flex
63.64
24.60
63.01%
JBL
Jabil
219.26
84.00
62.10%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
520.15
32.53
6.67%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
183.51
19.77
12.07%
FTV
Fortive
51.33
-5.80
-10.15%

Trimble Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Trimble Announces Leadership Changes Amid Digital Strategy
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

Trimble announced executive-level leadership changes on August 18, 2025, with the retirement of Chief Accounting Officer Julie Shepard in early 2026 after over 18 years of service. Kenny Bement will succeed her in September 2025, bringing extensive experience in financial reporting and compliance. Additionally, Jim Palermo has been appointed as the new Chief Information Officer to support Trimble’s Connect and Scale digital transformation strategy. These changes aim to enhance Trimble’s operational efficiency and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRMB) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trimble stock, see the TRMB Stock Forecast page.

Trimble Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and AI Integration
Aug 8, 2025

Trimble’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and robust growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR). The company showcased its successful integration of AI technologies across various segments, despite facing challenges from declining federal sales and macroeconomic uncertainties. Trimble’s strategic execution and innovation are positioning it well for future growth.

Trimble Inc. Reports Record Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Trimble Inc. is a global technology company that specializes in connecting the physical and digital worlds through innovations in precise positioning, modeling, and data analytics, serving essential industries such as construction, geospatial, and transportation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025