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Littelfuse (LFUS)
NASDAQ:LFUS

Littelfuse (LFUS) AI Stock Analysis

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LFUS

Littelfuse

(NASDAQ:LFUS)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$339.00
▲(2.13% Upside)
The score reflects strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook (bookings, margins, and Basler-driven growth), offset by weaker underlying financial performance due to the 2025 profitability breakdown and a valuation signal weakened by the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained, high free cash flow and a 145% conversion rate indicate durable cash-generation that funds R&D, dividends, debt reduction, and M&A without relying on external financing. This underpins financial flexibility and supports long-term strategic investment and resilience.
Balance Sheet / Leverage Improvement
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio signals strong capital structure and lower financial risk. Reduced leverage improves interest burden capacity and gives management room to pursue acquisitions or withstand cyclical downturns, supporting durable operational stability and strategic optionality.
Strategic Acquisition Expands TAM
The Basler Electric acquisition is a structural move into grid, utility and data-center power controls that expands addressable markets and product depth. Being accretive to adjusted EPS in 2026 suggests the deal materially strengthens long-term industrial revenues and technology footprint.
Negative Factors
Soft Power Semiconductor Demand
Persistent softness in power semiconductor demand exposes the Electronics segment to cyclical downturns and volatile order flows. Given semiconductor sensitivity to end-markets, prolonged weakness could pressure revenue mix, utilization and profitability over multiple quarters.
Transportation Segment Weakness
Flat sales and a 220bp margin contraction in Transportation reflect structural challenges in a key end-market. Continued underperformance here limits consolidated growth and margin recovery, constraining overall profitability and requiring targeted sales or product strategy adjustments to regain momentum.
Eroding Profitability Margins
Declining operating margins and a modest net margin indicate rising cost pressures or mix shifts that compress profits. Coupled with moderate ROE, this limits capital returns and reinvestment capacity, making margin restoration essential for sustainable earnings and shareholder value creation.

Littelfuse (LFUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Littelfuse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLittelfuse, Inc. manufactures and sells circuit protection, power control, and sensing products in the Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe. The company's Electronics segment offers fuses and fuse accessories, positive temperature coefficient resettable fuses, polymer electrostatic discharge suppressors, varistors, reed switch based magnetic sensing products, and gas discharge tubes; and discrete transient voltage suppressor (TVS) diodes, TVS diode arrays, protection and switching thyristors, metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors and diodes, and insulated gate bipolar transistors. This segment serves industrial motor drives and power conversion, automotive electronics, electric vehicle and related infrastructure, power supplies, data centers, telecommunications, medical devices, alternative energy, building and home automation, appliances, and mobile electronics markets. Its Transportation segment provides blade, resettable, and high-current and high-voltage fuses, as well as battery cable protectors for hybrid and electric vehicles; fuses, switches, relays, circuit breakers, and power distribution modules for the commercial vehicles; and sensor products. This segment serves original equipment manufacturers, Tier-I suppliers, and parts distributors in the passenger car, heavy duty truck, off-road vehicles, material handling, agricultural, construction, and other commercial vehicle end markets. The company's Industrial segment offers industrial fuses, protection relays, contactors, transformers, and temperature sensors for use in renewable energy and energy storage systems, electric vehicle infrastructure, HVAC systems, industrial safety, non-residential construction, MRO, mining, and industrial automation. It sells its products through distributors, direct sales force, and manufacturers' representatives. Littelfuse, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyLittelfuse generates revenue through the sale of its products across several key segments, including circuit protection, automotive, and industrial solutions. The company benefits from a diversified customer base, selling directly to OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers), distributors, and end-users. Key revenue streams include the sale of fuses, circuit breakers, and electronic components for automotive applications, as well as specialized products for industrial automation and renewable energy sectors. Littelfuse's strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and electronics companies contribute significantly to its earnings, while ongoing investment in research and development allows the company to innovate and expand its product offerings, driving further growth.

Littelfuse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple positive operational and financial developments: strong Q4 revenue and organic growth, meaningful margin expansion, robust cash generation, accelerating bookings and backlog, pronounced data center momentum, and the strategic Basler acquisition with clear revenue/EPS contributions for 2026. Counterbalancing these positives are a significant $301 million goodwill impairment, ongoing softness in certain end markets (transportation commercial vehicles and residential HVAC), commodity inflation pressures with timing risks, and an active rationalization of lower-value power semiconductor products that introduces execution risk. On balance, the company's growth, margin improvement, cash strength, and strategic moves materially outweigh the lowlights, though the impairment and execution risks merit monitoring.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q4 revenue of $594 million, up 12% year-over-year and up 7% organically; acquisitions (Dortmund and Basler) contributed ~3% and FX was a ~2% tailwind.
Margin Expansion and Profitability
Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.5%, up 180 basis points year-over-year; full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 260 basis points to 20.9%.
Earnings and Cash Generation
Q4 adjusted diluted earnings were $2.69; operating cash flow was $139 million and free cash flow was $120 million in the quarter; full-year free cash flow grew 26% and management targets >100% free cash flow conversion in 2026.
Strong Balance Sheet and Capital Return
Ended Q4 with $563 million cash on hand and net debt-to-EBITDA leverage of 1.2x; returned $19 million to shareholders via dividend in the quarter.
Bookings and Backlog Momentum
Fourth-quarter bookings were up more than 20% versus prior year (book-to-bill >1), supporting management's expectation of double-digit Q1 revenue growth and strong 2026 momentum.
Data Center Momentum and Design Wins
Data center business grew double-digits in Q4; 2025 data center design wins more than doubled year-over-year; secured a significant design win for a 2-megawatt static transfer switch (shipments starting in 2026) that increases power density by ~20%.
Electronics Segment Outperformance
Electronics product segment sales increased 21% in the quarter with adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.7% (up 170 basis points); full-year electronics sales rose 13% with margin expansion of 190 basis points.
Basler Acquisition and Expected Synergies
Closed acquisition of Basler Electric in December; expected 2026 contribution of $130–$135 million revenue and $0.10–$0.15 of adjusted EPS, with Basler projected to deliver a high-teens adjusted EBITDA margin and to expand Littelfuse's high-power and grid/data center capabilities.
Negative Updates
Large Goodwill Impairment Charge
Recorded a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $301 million in Q4 related to the IXYS and Dortmund reporting units due to weaker sales and profitability versus original expectations.
Transportation Segment Softness
Transportation product segment Q4 sales were up 1% year-over-year but declined 1% organically; passenger vehicle growth was offset by softer commercial vehicle volumes and the segment faces continued softness into 2026.
Industrial End-Market Pressure (HVAC)
Industrial product segment sales increased 4% but declined 1% organically in Q4 as gains in energy storage, utility/grid, renewables and data center were offset by lower residential HVAC demand.
Commodity Inflation and Timing Risk
Exposure to rising metal costs (primarily copper and ruthenium, with impacts from silver and gold volatility) presents margin pressure; management aims for price-cost neutrality over the full year but acknowledges timing mismatches in passing costs through to customers.
Power Semiconductor Portfolio Rationalization
Management is rationalizing lower-value/commoditized parts of the power semiconductor portfolio and optimizing manufacturing footprint; this transition introduces execution risk and potential short-term disruption to earnings until completed.
One-Time Charges and Underperformance of Past Acquisitions
The impairment related to prior acquisitions (IXYS, Dortmund) highlights past integration/performance challenges and indicates some acquired businesses underperformed original expectations.
Company Guidance
Management guided first-quarter 2026 sales of $625 million to $645 million (midpoint reflects ~7% organic growth plus ~5 percentage points from the Basler acquisition, i.e., double‑digit year‑over‑year growth) and EPS of $2.70 to $2.90 (midpoint assumes ~25% flow‑through and a $0.03 contribution from Basler). For 2026 Basler is expected to contribute $130–$135 million of revenue, $0.10–$0.15 of adjusted earnings and deliver a high‑teens adjusted EBITDA margin, and the company continues to target free cash flow conversion of greater than 100%. For context, Littelfuse exited Q4 with $594 million of revenue (+12% YoY, +7% organic), adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.5% (+180 bps), adjusted diluted earnings of $2.69, operating cash flow of $139 million, free cash flow of $120 million, $563 million cash on hand and net debt/EBITDA of 1.2x, while Q4 bookings were up >20% and 2025 design wins were up double‑digit (data center design wins >2x); full‑year 2025 revenue grew 9% with adj. EBITDA margin of 20.9% (+260 bps) and free cash flow up 26%.

Littelfuse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong deleveraging and conservative balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity) plus solid operating and free cash flow, but 2025 annual profitability deteriorated sharply with a net loss and materially compressed EBITDA margin.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (annual) to $2.39B (+2.8% growth), but profitability deteriorated sharply: net income swung to a -$71.7M loss and EBITDA margin compressed to ~5.8% from ~14.7% in 2024 and ~21.3% in 2023. Gross margin held relatively steady (~38%), suggesting the pressure is below the gross profit line (operating costs/other items), making the earnings trend the key weakness despite stable top-line scale.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative in 2025 with low leverage: total debt of ~$168M against equity of ~$2.43B (debt-to-equity ~0.07), a major improvement from ~0.38–0.47 in prior years. Total assets are steady near ~$4.0B, providing scale and stability. The main drawback is returns: 2025 return on equity is negative due to the net loss, so strong capitalization is currently offset by weak profitability.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation remained solid in 2025 despite the reported loss: operating cash flow was ~$434M and free cash flow was ~$366M (down ~4% year over year but still healthy). Free cash flow stayed positive and sizable, indicating resilience and good cash conversion, although cash-flow growth has softened versus the stronger 2021–2023 period.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B2.19B2.36B2.51B2.08B
Gross Profit906.04M787.54M900.24M1.01B771.93M
EBITDA138.51M321.03M505.89M589.97M458.19M
Net Income-71.70M100.19M259.49M373.31M283.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.96B3.89B4.00B3.90B3.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments563.68M725.90M555.75M562.67M478.50M
Total Debt946.16M930.57M933.52M1.06B668.22M
Total Liabilities1.53B1.48B1.51B1.69B1.26B
Stockholders Equity2.43B2.41B2.48B2.21B1.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow366.13M291.74M371.20M315.38M282.78M
Operating Cash Flow433.76M367.62M457.39M419.72M373.34M
Investing Cash Flow-468.86M-65.78M-284.32M-636.40M-499.16M
Financing Cash Flow-149.27M-112.44M-185.73M310.20M-68.98M

Littelfuse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price331.94
Price Trends
50DMA
272.33
Positive
100DMA
263.79
Positive
200DMA
244.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.83
Negative
RSI
74.71
Negative
STOCH
86.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 331.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 295.88, above the 50-day MA of 272.33, and above the 200-day MA of 244.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.71 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LFUS.

Littelfuse Risk Analysis

Littelfuse disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Littelfuse reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Littelfuse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.47B31.7021.47%0.82%12.11%16.45%
70
Outperform
$6.66B61.417.21%0.89%10.23%25.53%
70
Outperform
$4.60B18.1916.93%0.14%14.12%
70
Neutral
$15.69B56.8011.12%0.54%8.13%780.20%
66
Neutral
$8.10B-2.96%1.12%5.78%-32.34%
63
Neutral
$5.18B-184.84-0.92%1.43%-8.07%63.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LFUS
Littelfuse
331.94
101.57
44.09%
BMI
Badger Meter
147.43
-72.40
-32.93%
CGNX
Cognex
40.85
2.28
5.91%
ITRI
Itron
101.11
-5.58
-5.23%
MKSI
MKS
229.58
118.98
107.58%
ST
Sensata
35.36
10.19
40.48%

Littelfuse Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Littelfuse Announces Executive Vice President Ryan Stafford’s Separation
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Littelfuse, Inc. announced that it had agreed with Ryan K. Stafford, its Executive Vice President of Mergers & Acquisitions, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary, to his separation from the company, effective April 30, 2026. Under a letter agreement dated January 7, 2026, Stafford will receive a lump-sum severance payment under the company’s executive severance policy, accelerated vesting of half of his January 23, 2025 restricted stock unit grant, a prorated 2026 annual incentive bonus, and limited continuation or reimbursement of certain welfare and fringe benefits, contingent on his signing a separation and release agreement that includes standard confidentiality, release of claims and non‑disparagement provisions, underscoring a structured and negotiated leadership transition for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LFUS) stock is a Buy with a $293.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Littelfuse stock, see the LFUS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Littelfuse Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Littelfuse reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales of $625 million, a 10% increase year-over-year, and a GAAP diluted earnings per share of $2.77, up 19%. The company also announced the acquisition of Basler Electric, which is expected to enhance Littelfuse’s market opportunities and technological capabilities in the industrial sector. The acquisition aims to drive long-term growth and profitability, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on expanding its high-power technology and industrial customer base.

The most recent analyst rating on (LFUS) stock is a Buy with a $310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Littelfuse stock, see the LFUS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026