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Cognex Corp (CGNX)
NASDAQ:CGNX
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Cognex (CGNX) AI Stock Analysis

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CGNX

Cognex

(NASDAQ:CGNX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(16.64% Upside)
Cognex's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance, which highlight robust revenue growth and strategic advancements. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators point to short-term bearish momentum. The company's ability to navigate operational challenges and macroeconomic uncertainties will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Cognex's robust financial performance with double-digit revenue growth and improved EBITDA margin highlights effective cost management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability.
Launch of SLX Product Line
The SLX product line launch expands Cognex's capabilities in AI-driven machine vision, enhancing its competitive edge and opening new market opportunities, which is crucial for sustainable growth.
Logistics Market Growth
Continued growth in the logistics market underscores Cognex's strong market position and the increasing demand for automation, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Negative Factors
Weakness in Automotive Market
Persistent challenges in the automotive sector could hinder overall revenue growth, as this market remains a significant part of Cognex's business portfolio.
Semiconductor Market Caution
Uncertainty in the semiconductor market may impact Cognex's growth prospects, given its reliance on this sector for a portion of its revenue.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks to Cognex's operations and market performance, potentially affecting strategic planning and revenue stability.

Cognex (CGNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cognex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCognex Corporation provides machine vision products that capture and analyze visual information in order to automate manufacturing and distribution tasks worldwide. Its machine vision products are used to automate the manufacturing and tracking of discrete items, including mobile phones, aspirin bottles, and automobile tires by locating, identifying, inspecting, and measuring them during the manufacturing or distribution process. The company offers VisionPro software, a suite of patented vision tools for advanced programming; QuickBuild that allows customers to build vision applications with a graphical, flowchart-based programming interface; and Cognex deep learning vision software. It also provides a range of inspection tasks, including part location, identification, measurement, assembly verification, and robotic guidance; vision sensors for vision applications, such as checking the presence and size of parts; and the In-Sight product line of vision systems and sensors. In addition, the company offers DataMan, an image-based barcode readers and barcode verifiers. It sells its products to consumer electronics, automotive, consumer products, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices industries, as well as through a network of distributors and integrators. Cognex Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Natick, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyCognex generates revenue primarily through the sale of its machine vision systems and software solutions. The company has a diverse revenue model that encompasses direct sales to customers, as well as sales through a network of distributors and integrators. Key revenue streams include the sale of vision systems and sensors, which account for a significant portion of their earnings, alongside software licenses and support services. Additionally, Cognex benefits from recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and software upgrades. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with equipment manufacturers and system integrators, which enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by expanding its customer base and providing integrated solutions.

Cognex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful product launches, and market recovery in several verticals, while acknowledging challenges in the automotive market and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Cognex delivered double-digit revenue growth and achieved the highest adjusted EBITDA margin since Q2 of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 730 basis points, driven by operating leverage and disciplined cost management.
Successful Launch of SLX Product Line
The launch of the new solutions experience product line in logistics, SLX, introduces the latest AI vision tools to solve novel applications, expanding Cognex's reach beyond traditional barcode reading.
Consumer Electronics Market Recovery
Consumer electronics revenue grew significantly year-over-year, marking the first year of growth since 2022, driven by broad-based strength and supply chain diversification.
Logistics Market Continues to Drive Growth
Marked the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year revenue growth in logistics, driven by automation in existing facilities and strong ROI on products.
Strong Cash Flow and Capital Return
Trailing 12-month free cash flow conversion rate reached 133%, exceeding 100% for the fourth consecutive quarter, and $37 million was returned to shareholders through share repurchase and dividends.
Negative Updates
Continued Weakness in Automotive Market
Automotive revenue continued to contract, although year-over-year declines moderated. The market remains challenging with less steep declines anticipated for 2025 compared to the previous year's 14% contraction.
Semiconductor Market Caution
Despite a modest year-over-year increase, a cautious full-year outlook remains for the semiconductor market due to the strong prior-year comparison and current market conditions.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic backdrop remains uneven with persistent geopolitical uncertainties, affecting market performance and outlook.
Company Guidance
During the Cognex Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance, highlighting their financial and strategic achievements. Cognex reported double-digit revenue growth and the highest adjusted EBITDA margin since Q2 of 2023. They emphasized advancements in their AI technology and the launch of their SLX product line in logistics, which aims to enhance machine vision applications. The company observed strong growth drivers in logistics, consumer electronics, and packaging markets, although automotive faced challenges. Despite macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, Cognex anticipates moderate revenue growth in the fourth quarter, projecting revenues between $230 million and $245 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin between 17% and 20%. For the full year, Cognex expects mid-single-digit revenue growth, excluding a one-time commercial partnership benefit. The company continues to focus on disciplined cost management and strategic investments to drive long-term profitable growth.

Cognex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cognex demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, and cash flow generation is healthy, supporting future growth opportunities. However, there are some operational challenges reflected in the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins, which need to be addressed to sustain long-term profitability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cognex has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 4.53% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin remains strong at 67.72%, though slightly lower than historical levels. Net profit margin improved to 13.13%, reflecting better cost management. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.055, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 8.09%, showing efficient use of equity, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio remains healthy, supporting the company's strong financial position.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cognex's cash flow performance is solid, with a significant free cash flow growth of 19.02% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.00, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.94, suggesting efficient cash conversion, although slightly lower than historical levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue971.71M914.51M837.55M1.01B1.04B811.02M
Gross Profit657.35M625.79M601.24M721.90M759.83M604.60M
EBITDA187.02M147.75M144.58M288.29M335.38M232.53M
Net Income110.12M106.17M113.23M215.53M279.88M176.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.00B1.99B2.02B1.96B2.00B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments300.27M246.05M332.05M400.13M323.62M372.31M
Total Debt78.92M70.22M78.60M39.75M25.58M26.23M
Total Liabilities513.11M475.35M513.06M519.75M573.57M538.50M
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.52B1.50B1.44B1.43B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow213.80M134.04M89.84M223.74M298.61M229.10M
Operating Cash Flow222.02M149.08M112.92M243.41M314.06M242.40M
Investing Cash Flow49.85M-38.97M32.27M-4.45M-252.54M169.44M
Financing Cash Flow-224.95M-118.42M-125.61M-240.37M-141.62M-316.87M

Cognex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price38.58
Price Trends
50DMA
44.81
Negative
100DMA
40.98
Negative
200DMA
35.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.65
Positive
RSI
31.67
Neutral
STOCH
6.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CGNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.35, below the 50-day MA of 44.81, and above the 200-day MA of 35.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CGNX.

Cognex Risk Analysis

Cognex disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cognex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cognex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.54B40.0321.45%0.76%12.11%16.45%
78
Outperform
$9.07B38.1910.38%7.40%13.79%
74
Outperform
$10.40B37.6511.12%0.64%8.13%780.20%
69
Neutral
$4.82B18.1516.93%0.14%14.12%
66
Neutral
$6.58B60.657.21%0.77%10.23%25.53%
63
Neutral
$5.51B13.9435.82%0.27%1.76%4.10%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CGNX
Cognex
38.58
-3.25
-7.77%
BMI
Badger Meter
187.50
-36.00
-16.11%
ITRI
Itron
100.91
-20.32
-16.76%
MKSI
MKS
158.90
46.98
41.98%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
174.43
93.68
116.01%
VNT
Vontier
37.89
-1.52
-3.86%

Cognex Corporate Events

Cognex Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Cognex Corporation’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by robust financial performance, successful product launches, and a recovering market landscape. However, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges in the automotive sector and broader macroeconomic uncertainties that could impact future performance.

Cognex Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Cognex Corporation is a global leader in industrial machine vision technology, providing AI-enabled solutions for manufacturing and logistics sectors to enhance automation and efficiency. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Cognex announced an 18% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $277 million, with a significant contribution from its new Solutions Experience product portfolio in Logistics. The company also achieved a net income per diluted share of $0.10 and an adjusted earnings per share of $0.33, marking a 69% increase from the previous year.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Cognex Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Cognex Corporation announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.085 per share, payable on November 28, 2025. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with an 18% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by growth in logistics and factory automation. The operating margin improved to 20.9%, and the adjusted EBITDA margin reached 24.9%, the highest since Q2 2023. Cognex’s strategic focus on AI technology and disciplined execution contributed to these results, positioning the company for sustainable margin improvement.

The most recent analyst rating on (CGNX) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cognex stock, see the CGNX Stock Forecast page.

Cognex Earnings Call: Robust Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Cognex’s recent earnings call showcased a robust financial performance, marked by significant growth in logistics, packaging, and consumer electronics. However, the company continues to face challenges in the automotive and semiconductor sectors, alongside a notable revenue decline in Greater China.

Cognex Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 1, 2025

Cognex Corporation, a leader in industrial machine vision technology, is renowned for its innovative solutions that enhance manufacturing and distribution efficiency across various industries. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Cognex showcased a steady financial performance with a 4% increase in revenue compared to the previous year, alongside a notable reduction in operating expenses by 3%. The company also launched OneVision, a new cloud platform designed to enhance AI-powered machine vision capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025