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Itron Inc (ITRI)
NASDAQ:ITRI

Itron (ITRI) AI Stock Analysis

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ITRI

Itron

(NASDAQ:ITRI)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(12.22% Upside)
Itron's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions, such as acquisitions and share buybacks, which enhance its long-term growth prospects. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and challenges in bookings and project deployments present short-term risks.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
Strong cash generation enhances Itron's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial stability, supporting long-term operations.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquiring Urbint enhances Itron's portfolio with AI solutions, improving operational resilience and addressing utility challenges, supporting long-term growth.
Balance Sheet Health
Reduced leverage indicates improved financial health, providing Itron with greater flexibility to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting future profitability and market competitiveness.
Project Deployment Delays
Delays in project deployments can hinder revenue recognition and strain customer relationships, affecting Itron's ability to meet financial targets.
Lower-Than-Expected Bookings
Lower bookings reflect market uncertainty and could indicate future revenue challenges, impacting Itron's growth trajectory and financial performance.

Itron (ITRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Itron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionItron, Inc., a technology and service company, provides end-to-end solutions that help manage operations in the energy, water, and smart city space worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, and Outcomes. The Device Solutions segment offers hardware products that are used for measurement, control, or sensing. The Networked Solutions segment provides a combination of communicating devices, such as smart meters, modules, endpoints, and sensors; network infrastructure; and associated application software for acquiring and transporting application-specific data. The Outcomes segment offers value-added, enhanced software and services for managing, organizing, analyzing, and interpreting data to enhance decision making, maximize operational profitability, drive resource efficiency, and deliver results for consumers, utilities, and smart cities. In addition, it offers implementation, project management, installation, consulting, and post-sale maintenance support services, as well as cloud and software-as-a-service; and extended or customer-specific warranties. It offers its products and services under the Itron brand. The company markets its products directly through its sales force, as well as through indirect sales force consisting of distributors, sales representatives, partners, and meter manufacturer representatives to utilities and municipalities. Itron, Inc. was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Liberty Lake, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyItron generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of hardware, software, and services related to utility metering and management. Key revenue streams include the sale of smart meters and related devices, software licenses for data management and analytics, and ongoing support and maintenance services. Additionally, Itron earns revenue from consulting services that assist utilities in optimizing their operations. The company also benefits from partnerships with various utility companies and municipalities, providing tailored solutions that address specific resource management challenges. Significant contracts and long-term agreements with major utility providers contribute to Itron's financial stability and growth.

Itron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Itron's record-breaking financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, such as the acquisition of Urbint and expansion in distributed intelligence. However, the call also addressed challenges with lower-than-expected bookings and delays in project deployments, which are affecting revenue growth in the short term. Despite these challenges, the company remains confident in its long-term growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
During the third quarter, Itron set new records for margins, profit, and free cash flow. Adjusted EBITDA was $97 million, non-GAAP earnings per share were $1.54, and free cash flow was $113 million.
Expansion in Distributed Intelligence
Distributed intelligence-enabled endpoints topped 16 million deployed by the end of the third quarter, with licensed DI applications growing 119% year-over-year to $20 million.
Acquisition of Urbint
Itron announced the acquisition of Urbint, a SaaS-based business that complements its portfolio with solutions for emergency preparedness and response, damage prevention, and worker safety.
Strong Outcomes Segment Growth
The Outcomes segment grew 11% year-over-year, driven by higher recurring revenue, with outcomes-related bookings leading relative backlog growth across the company's segments.
Strong Cash Position and Liquidity
Total debt was $1.265 billion, and cash and equivalents were $1.332 billion. The company also increased its revolving line of credit to $750 million, maturing in 2030.
Negative Updates
Lower-Than-Expected Bookings
Third quarter bookings were $380 million, with reduced expectations for year-end bookings due to project deployment delays and market uncertainty.
Revenue Decline in Network and Device Solutions
Device solutions revenue decreased 19% on a constant currency basis, and network solutions revenue decreased 6% year-over-year, primarily due to the timing of project deployments.
Challenges in Project Deployment Timelines
Utilities are extending project deployment schedules due to regulatory scrutiny, rising costs, and operational constraints, impacting current revenue and bookings.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Itron achieved notable financial milestones with revenue reaching $582 million, adjusted EBITDA at $97 million, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.54. The company also reported a record free cash flow of $113 million. Despite a challenging environment, Itron's backlog at the end of the quarter amounted to $4.3 billion, with third-quarter bookings totaling $380 million. The company observed a 119% year-over-year growth in licensed distributed intelligence applications, which reached $20 million by quarter-end. However, lower-than-expected bookings and increased market uncertainty have led to tempered year-end booking expectations, with the possibility of not achieving a 1:1 book-to-bill ratio for the year. The company remains confident in its long-term trajectory, highlighted by a 25% expansion in its opportunity pipeline since the year's start. Furthermore, Itron announced its acquisition of Urbint, expected to close in the fourth quarter, which aligns with its M&A priorities and complements its existing portfolio.

Itron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Itron demonstrates a solid financial performance with improved profitability and cash flow metrics. The company has effectively reduced its leverage, enhancing financial stability. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the improved margins and cash flow efficiency indicate a positive trajectory. Continued focus on revenue growth will be crucial for sustaining this momentum.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Itron's income statement shows a strong recovery with a TTM gross profit margin of 36.30%, up from 34.39% in the previous year. The net profit margin improved significantly to 10.69% TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is slightly negative at -1.39% TTM, suggesting a recent decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved to 13.01% and 15.15% TTM, respectively, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 TTM, significantly reduced from 0.91 in the previous year, indicating lower leverage. The return on equity is strong at 16.65% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly available, but the overall asset base has grown, suggesting a solid financial foundation.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 10.34% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37 TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.93 TTM, both reflecting strong cash conversion efficiency. This suggests that Itron is effectively converting its profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.41B2.44B2.17B1.80B1.98B2.17B
Gross Profit874.26M839.32M713.91M522.19M573.17M602.17M
EBITDA364.93M321.43M226.91M84.61M121.03M179.75M
Net Income257.53M239.10M96.92M-9.73M-81.25M-57.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.71B3.41B2.60B2.38B2.39B2.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.33B1.05B302.05M202.01M162.58M206.93M
Total Debt1.27B1.28B502.46M515.10M507.54M987.76M
Total Liabilities2.00B2.00B1.27B1.19B1.25B1.77B
Stockholders Equity1.69B1.39B1.31B1.17B1.12B816.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow339.69M207.61M98.09M4.75M110.36M63.31M
Operating Cash Flow364.45M238.18M124.97M24.50M145.04M109.51M
Investing Cash Flow-25.82M-63.41M-23.31M40.52M-34.88M-41.04M
Financing Cash Flow7.35M579.57M-3.51M-18.74M-152.89M-11.58M

Itron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price96.24
Price Trends
50DMA
108.56
Negative
100DMA
116.02
Negative
200DMA
116.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.94
Negative
RSI
40.54
Neutral
STOCH
20.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 96.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.92, below the 50-day MA of 108.56, and below the 200-day MA of 116.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ITRI.

Itron Risk Analysis

Itron disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Itron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Itron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.27B34.0110.81%7.40%13.79%
78
Outperform
$5.35B38.7021.45%0.81%12.11%16.45%
70
Outperform
$4.41B17.3116.93%0.14%14.12%
70
Neutral
$5.14B40.698.93%0.16%13.13%24.02%
67
Neutral
$5.49B13.9035.82%0.26%1.76%4.10%
63
Neutral
$4.94B-177.16-0.92%1.42%-8.07%63.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ITRI
Itron
96.24
-12.69
-11.65%
BMI
Badger Meter
181.64
-33.59
-15.61%
ESE
Esco Technologies
198.78
65.25
48.87%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
151.52
74.26
96.12%
ST
Sensata
33.89
6.90
25.57%
VNT
Vontier
37.86
1.14
3.10%

Itron Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Itron Announces Acquisition of Locusview for $525 Million
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Itron, Inc. announced its agreement to acquire Locusview, Ltd., a utility-focused software and services company based in the United States and Israel, for $525 million. This acquisition, expected to close in January 2026, will be funded through cash on hand and aims to enhance Itron’s Resiliency Solutions offerings. The integration of Locusview’s digital construction management platform is anticipated to improve productivity and management of construction projects, aligning with Itron’s vision for a connected, intelligent, and sustainable network. This strategic move is expected to drive digital transformation in the utility industry, empowering infrastructure providers globally.

Stock Buyback
Itron Announces New $250 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Itron, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program of up to $250 million, effective November 10, 2025, to be conducted over an 18-month period. This decision follows the completion of a previous repurchase program where Itron repurchased 942,577 shares for $100 million from November 3 to November 6, 2025, fully utilizing the authorized capacity.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Itron Acquires Urbint to Boost AI Solutions
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Itron, Inc. announced its acquisition of Urbint, Inc., a software company based in Miami, Florida, for $325 million. This acquisition aims to enhance Itron’s offerings by integrating Urbint’s AI-powered operational resilience solutions, which help utilities manage aging infrastructure and extreme weather challenges. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 and will be funded through cash on hand.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Itron Secures $750 Million Credit Agreement
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Itron, Inc. announced a third amended and restated credit agreement, securing $750 million in committed credit facilities. This agreement includes a multi-currency revolving line of credit, which will be utilized for working capital, general corporate purposes, and issuing letters of credit. The agreement, which amends the company’s previous credit agreement from January 5, 2018, has a maturity date of September 25, 2030, with provisions for early maturity if certain conditions are not met. The credit facilities include specific interest rate options and leverage ratio covenants, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025