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Sensata (ST)
NYSE:ST
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Sensata (ST) AI Stock Analysis

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ST

Sensata

(NYSE:ST)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(10.65% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is driven by solid cash generation and a strengthened balance sheet, plus a constructive earnings outlook focused on sustaining ~19% adjusted operating margins. These positives are tempered by weak/volatile profitability in the financial statements and a very expensive valuation (P/E 155.81), despite favorable but somewhat overextended technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent multi-year free cash flow (TTM ~ $490M and a record Q1 $105M at 83% conversion) provides durable internal funding for reinvestment, modest capex, dividends and buybacks, and supports deleveraging or strategic investments without relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Volatile and compressed profitability
Despite recent revenue recovery, margins have materially compressed and results showed a loss in 2023. Persistent margin volatility and very low trailing net margin reduce earnings durability, depress returns on equity (~1.1% TTM) and limit confidence in sustained cash available for shareholders.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent multi-year free cash flow (TTM ~ $490M and a record Q1 $105M at 83% conversion) provides durable internal funding for reinvestment, modest capex, dividends and buybacks, and supports deleveraging or strategic investments without relying on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Sensata (ST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sensata Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sensata Technologies Holding plc develops, manufactures, and sells sensors, sensor-based solutions, controls, and other products in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Performance Sensing and Sensing Solut...
How the Company Makes Money
Sensata makes money primarily by selling engineered components and systems—mainly sensors and electrical protection devices—directly to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers. Revenue is generated on a per-unit basis tied to c...

Sensata Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed multiple operational and financial positives: revenue and organic growth, margin expansion, record Q1 free cash flow and stronger balance-sheet metrics (lower leverage, higher ROIC), plus early customer traction in a strategic data center opportunity. These strengths were balanced against meaningful cost headwinds (precious metals inflation, tariffs), end-market risks (geopolitical uncertainty, China subsidy changes) and near-term softness in HVAC. Management presented concrete mitigation actions, scenario planning and a one-quarter-at-a-time guidance posture, suggesting confidence in defending margin targets while acknowledging uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Organic Performance
Total Q1 revenue $935M, up $24M or +3% YoY; organic revenue growth +4% YoY after a $34M inorganic headwind from divestitures and a $20M FX tailwind.
Negative Updates
Precious Metal Inflation and Commodity Pressure
Precious metals costs increased roughly 100% YoY for relevant buys in Q1; Sensata has roughly $40M annual precious metals exposure and was ~80% hedge-covered in H1, leaving ongoing exposure and need for structural mitigation (design/negotiation/customer pass-through).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth and Organic Performance
Total Q1 revenue $935M, up $24M or +3% YoY; organic revenue growth +4% YoY after a $34M inorganic headwind from divestitures and a $20M FX tailwind.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sensata guided Q2 2026 revenue of $950–$980 million, adjusted operating income of $182–$190 million (adjusted operating margin 19.2%–19.4%), adjusted net income of $131–$139 million and adjusted EPS of $0.89–$0.95; the Q2 view includes roughly $8 million of tariff costs (with pass‑through) and excludes any potential EPA tariff refunds. Management will continue to provide one‑quarter guidance, said consensus back‑half margin expansion of ~30 basis points per quarter is consistent with its view if demand holds, and reiterated preparedness to defend a ~19% annual margin floor if markets deteriorate. For context the company reported Q1 free cash flow of $105 million (83% conversion), net leverage of 2.65x TTM adjusted EBITDA, ROIC of 10.8% (up 70 bps), a CapEx target of ~3.0%–3.5% of revenue, returned $43 million of capital in Q1 (including a $0.12/share Q2 dividend) and repurchased $25 million of stock.

Sensata Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong and improving free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$490M; positive across multiple years) and a de-risked balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity ~0.01) offset pressured and volatile profitability (TTM net margin ~0.8%, prior-year loss in 2023, and compressed EBITDA margin vs. 2021–2022).
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.70B3.94B4.07B4.08B3.81B
Gross Profit1.00B989.00M1.08B1.20B1.11B
EBITDA528.80M456.83M506.99M856.49M852.30M
Net Income31.30M128.48M-3.91M310.69M363.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B7.14B7.68B8.76B8.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments573.00M593.67M508.10M1.23B1.71B
Total Debt2.92B3.26B3.44B4.28B4.30B
Total Liabilities3.97B4.25B4.68B5.65B5.52B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.89B3.00B3.11B3.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow490.30M392.99M272.07M310.53M409.75M
Operating Cash Flow621.50M551.55M456.68M460.59M554.15M
Investing Cash Flow-95.80M-98.55M-165.00M-590.57M-882.09M
Financing Cash Flow-550.60M-363.41M-1.02B-353.46M174.92M

Sensata Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.67
Price Trends
50DMA
36.04
Positive
100DMA
35.02
Positive
200DMA
33.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.20
Negative
RSI
69.48
Neutral
STOCH
84.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.52, above the 50-day MA of 36.04, and above the 200-day MA of 33.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ST.

Sensata Risk Analysis

Sensata disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sensata reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sensata Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$8.31B44.0721.34%0.16%14.09%19.32%
74
Outperform
$14.97B41.1710.61%18.98%211.82%
70
Outperform
$10.27B18.967.33%20.93%1.74%
69
Neutral
$3.85B18.7518.49%-3.02%25.50%
68
Neutral
$4.80B27.5816.91%8.96%14.72%
63
Neutral
$6.16B14.721.11%1.43%-5.93%-76.11%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ST
Sensata
41.53
20.48
97.33%
ESE
Esco Technologies
317.01
159.66
101.47%
ITRI
Itron
87.00
-23.88
-21.54%
OSIS
OSI Systems
287.30
84.18
41.44%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
215.46
136.45
172.70%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
137.59
117.17
573.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026