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Sensata (ST)
NYSE:ST

Sensata (ST) AI Stock Analysis

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ST

Sensata

(NYSE:ST)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(2.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/23/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash generation and a stronger balance sheet, supported by positive technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook with margin-floor discipline. Offsetting factors are weak/volatile profitability (very thin TTM net margin) and a less-informative negative P/E, which temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistently high free cash flow and record 2025 FCF provide durable financial flexibility to fund R&D, capex, buybacks and debt paydown. Strong cash generation cushions earnings volatility and supports long-term capital allocation and investment in growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Volatile, thin profitability
Margins have compressed materially versus prior years and earnings have been volatile, including a 2023 loss. Fragile profitability reduces ability to consistently reinvest and deliver returns, increasing sensitivity to cost shocks and making earnings durability uncertain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistently high free cash flow and record 2025 FCF provide durable financial flexibility to fund R&D, capex, buybacks and debt paydown. Strong cash generation cushions earnings volatility and supports long-term capital allocation and investment in growth initiatives.
Read all positive factors

Sensata (ST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sensata Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sensata Technologies Holding plc develops, manufactures, and sells sensors, sensor-based solutions, controls, and other products in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Performance Sensing and Sensing Solut...
How the Company Makes Money
Sensata makes money primarily by selling engineered components and systems—mainly sensors and electrical protection devices—directly to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers. Revenue is generated on a per-unit basis tied to c...

Sensata Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational progress and financial improvement: record free cash flow, margin recovery meeting the 19% floor, deleveraging, return of revenue growth in H2 2025, and strong segment margin expansion. Management outlined a clear go‑forward structure (three segments), concrete growth initiatives (data centers, A2L, aerospace/defense/UAVs) and prudent capital allocation. Near-term risks include a reported 6% revenue decline for the year due to divestitures, cyclicality in on-road truck and industrial end markets, tariff and precious metals pressures, and one-time restructuring and impairment charges. Overall, the positives—especially cash generation, margin resilience, and clear execution steps—outweigh the near-term headwinds, supporting a constructive outlook.
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow and Conversion
Generated record free cash flow of $490 million in 2025, up 25% year-over-year, with free cash flow conversion of 97% (an improvement of 21 percentage points versus prior year).
Negative Updates
Full-Year Revenue Decline (Reported)
2025 reported revenue of $3.70 billion declined 6% versus $3.93 billion in 2024, primarily due to previously disclosed divestitures and product life-cycle management actions (organic revenues were approximately flat).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Free Cash Flow and Conversion
Generated record free cash flow of $490 million in 2025, up 25% year-over-year, with free cash flow conversion of 97% (an improvement of 21 percentage points versus prior year).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sensata guided Q1 2026 revenue of $917–$937M, adjusted operating income $168–$175M, adjusted operating margin 18.4%–18.6%, adjusted net income $118–$125M and adjusted EPS $0.81–$0.85 (midpoint implying ~2% YoY revenue growth, ~3% YoY adjusted operating income growth, ~20 bps YoY margin expansion and ~+$0.05 EPS), and assumed roughly $12M of tariff costs and pass‑through at the midpoint (trade policies as of Feb 18, 2026). Management noted a Q4→Q1 seasonal margin step‑down of ~110 bps (improved vs. ~200 bps historically), expects margins to normalize to ≥19% in Q2 and expand each quarter thereafter, reiterates a 19% annual margin floor while targeting at least 20 bps of full‑year margin expansion, and expects full‑year 2026 low‑single‑digit revenue growth. They warned Q1 free‑cash‑flow conversion will be seasonally lowest (impacted by ~ $20M higher variable compensation and front‑loaded interest), may see slightly lower FCF conversion in H1, and are targeting full‑year FCF conversion in the high‑80s% (above an 80% floor); precious‑metals exposure (silver, gold, platinum) is hedged and expected to be mitigated via supply‑chain, product redesign and pass‑through.

Sensata Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue rebounded strongly (+24.3% TTM) and free cash flow is a clear strength (~$490M TTM) with consistently positive FCF. However, profitability is pressured and volatile (TTM net margin ~0.8%, down materially from 2021–2022; loss in 2023), which limits confidence in earnings durability despite a de-risked balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity ~0.01).
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.70B3.94B4.07B4.08B3.81B
Gross Profit1.00B989.00M1.08B1.20B1.11B
EBITDA528.80M456.83M506.99M856.49M852.30M
Net Income31.30M128.48M-3.91M310.69M363.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B7.14B7.68B8.76B8.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments573.00M593.67M508.10M1.23B1.71B
Total Debt2.92B3.26B3.44B4.28B4.30B
Total Liabilities3.97B4.25B4.68B5.65B5.52B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.89B3.00B3.11B3.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow490.30M392.99M272.07M310.53M409.75M
Operating Cash Flow621.50M551.55M456.68M460.59M554.15M
Investing Cash Flow-95.80M-98.55M-165.00M-590.57M-882.09M
Financing Cash Flow-550.60M-363.41M-1.02B-353.46M174.92M

Sensata Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.99
Price Trends
50DMA
35.41
Negative
100DMA
34.29
Positive
200DMA
32.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
50.17
Neutral
STOCH
39.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.66, below the 50-day MA of 35.41, and above the 200-day MA of 32.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ST.

Sensata Risk Analysis

Sensata disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sensata reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sensata Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$7.54B44.0721.34%0.16%13.13%24.02%
69
Neutral
$4.04B13.9618.49%0.14%14.12%
68
Neutral
$5.10B155.811.11%1.43%-8.07%63.50%
68
Neutral
$4.54B27.5816.91%9.37%15.70%
68
Neutral
$10.27B41.1710.61%17.88%91.41%
66
Neutral
$7.20B42.409.86%7.40%13.79%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ST
Sensata
34.99
14.43
70.15%
ESE
Esco Technologies
291.33
139.64
92.05%
ITRI
Itron
89.98
-9.55
-9.60%
OSIS
OSI Systems
275.55
84.39
44.15%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
131.82
54.03
69.46%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
99.29
79.45
400.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 23, 2026