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Garmin (GRMN)
NYSE:GRMN

Garmin (GRMN) AI Stock Analysis

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GR

Garmin

(NYSE:GRMN)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$241.00
▲(15.24%Upside)
Garmin's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's effective management of operational challenges and strategic growth in key segments bolster its position. While the technical analysis and valuation suggest cautious optimism, the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Garmin reported another strong earnings beat for 4Q24 and provided full-year guidance for 2025 that aligns more with the high end of expectations.
Market Strategy
GRMN's ongoing cadence of new product introductions along with upcoming new product categories will drive its expansion into new markets, continue to drive the growth of its ecosystem, and drive accelerating growth.
Product Development
Ongoing innovation and new product development, including new halo product categories, will open new markets that will continue to drive revenue and cash flow growth and increasing shareholder value creation.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Environment
Concern exists that growth will slow across segments due to the current macro environment and consumers pulling back on spending.
Segment Performance
Garmin's AutoOEM business outlook has worsened due to consumers pulling back and BMW cutting production forecasts.
Trade and Tariffs
A 32% tariff on Taiwan imports poses a risk to Garmin, which imports the majority of its goods from Taiwan.

Garmin (GRMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garmin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of wireless devices in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Its Fitness segment offers running and multi-sport watches; cycling products; activity tracking and smartwatch devices; and fitness and cycling accessories. This segment also provides Garmin Connect and Garmin Connect Mobile, which are web and mobile platforms; and Connect IQ, an application development platform. The company's Outdoor segment offers adventure watches, outdoor handhelds, golf devices and mobile apps, and dog tracking and training devices. Its Aviation segment designs, manufactures, and markets various aircraft avionics solutions comprising integrated flight decks, electronic flight displays and instrumentation, navigation and communication products, automatic flight control systems and safety-enhancing technologies, audio control systems, engine indication systems, traffic awareness and avoidance solutions, ADS-B and transponder solutions, weather information and avoidance solutions, datalink and connectivity solutions, portable GPS navigators and wearables, and various services products. The company's Marine segment provides chartplotters and multi-function displays, cartography products, fish finders, sonar products, autopilot systems, radars, compliant instrument displays and sensors, VHF communication radios, handhelds and wearable devices, sailing products, entertainment, digital switching products, and trolling motors. Its Auto segment offers embedded computing models and infotainment systems; personal navigation devices; and cameras. The company sells its products through independent retailers, online retailers, dealers, distributors, installation and repair shops, and original equipment manufacturers, as well as an online webshop, garmin.com. Garmin Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarmin makes money primarily through the sale of its diverse range of products, which are distributed across its five business segments: automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness. Each segment offers a variety of specialized products, such as GPS devices for cars, avionics systems for aircraft, sonar devices for marine use, and smartwatches for outdoor and fitness enthusiasts. Garmin's revenue streams are bolstered by its strong brand presence and product innovation, which drive consumer demand. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and distribution agreements, which expand its market reach and boost sales. Garmin's earnings are also supported by recurring revenue from subscription-based services, particularly in the aviation and marine sectors, where customers pay for ongoing access to updated maps, charts, and other digital content.

Garmin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Chart InsightsGarmin's Fitness and Outdoor segments are experiencing robust growth, with recent earnings highlighting a 12% and 20% increase, respectively, driven by strong demand and new product launches. The Auto segment shows a significant rebound, particularly with increased shipments to BMW. However, the Marine segment faces challenges, with revenue declining due to market softness. Despite tariff-related cost pressures, Garmin's strategic mitigations and favorable foreign exchange impacts are expected to support stable earnings, maintaining their full-year EPS guidance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Garmin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Garmin reported a record first quarter with strong growth in key segments and positive foreign exchange impacts. However, challenges such as tariff-related costs and a slight reduction in demand assumptions temper the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Revenue
Consolidated revenue increased 11% to $1.54 billion, marking a new first quarter record for Garmin.
Strong Growth in Fitness and Outdoor Segments
Fitness segment revenue increased 12% to $385 million, and Outdoor segment revenue increased 20% to $438 million, both driven by strong product demand and new product launches.
Positive Foreign Exchange Impact
The weakened U.S. dollar relative to other currencies is benefiting Garmin's revenue and margins, with approximately 40% of revenue generated in non-U.S. dollar currencies.
Auto OEM Segment Growth
Revenue in the Auto OEM segment increased 31% to $169 million, driven by increased shipments to BMW.
Stable Earnings Guidance
Despite tariff impacts, Garmin maintains its pro forma EPS guidance at $7.80, aided by foreign exchange benefits and mitigation strategies.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact
Garmin anticipates approximately $100 million of increased costs due to tariffs, with assumptions including a 10% baseline tariff on products manufactured outside the U.S. and a 145% tariff on Chinese imports.
Marine Segment Revenue Decline
Marine segment revenue decreased 2% to $319 million, attributed to the timing of promotions and continued market softness.
Demand Reduction Assumptions
Garmin assumes a modest reduction in demand moving forward due to the current trade environment and potential consumer impact.
Company Guidance
During Garmin Limited's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting their strong start to the year, with consolidated revenue increasing by 11% to $1.54 billion. The company reported a record first quarter operating income of $333 million, with gross and operating margins of 57.6% and 21.7%, respectively, and a pro forma EPS of $1.61. Despite the dynamic global trade environment, including a potential $100 million cost increase due to tariffs, Garmin maintained its full-year pro forma EPS guidance of $7.80, supported by favorable foreign exchange impacts and planned mitigations. Revenue forecasts for 2025 were adjusted, with Fitness expected to grow by 15%, Outdoor by 10%, Aviation by 5%, Marine expected to remain flat, and Auto OEM maintaining a 7% growth estimate. Garmin's strategic mitigations, such as sourcing changes and pricing adjustments, along with strong product lines and market share gains, are expected to help offset the tariff impacts.

Garmin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garmin presents a strong financial profile with robust profitability, low leverage, and effective cash flow management. The company demonstrates steady revenue growth and high margins, suggesting a competitive position in the hardware industry. While the free cash flow growth rate is slightly negative, other cash flow metrics remain strong, ensuring financial stability and flexibility.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Garmin's income statement reveals impressive growth and profitability metrics. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 58.57%, indicating strong cost management and product pricing strategy. The net profit margin stands at 22.76%, highlighting efficient operations and a healthy bottom line. Revenue growth rate from the previous year is 2.44%, showing steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 25.24% and 26.62% respectively, reflecting operational efficiency and strong earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is notably strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is a healthy 17.95%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 83.57%, demonstrating a solid capital structure with substantial equity backing, which suggests stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates solid cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is slightly negative at -1.73%, but this is offset by a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97, reflecting high-quality earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings, indicating efficient cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.45B6.30B5.23B4.86B4.98B4.19B
Gross Profit
3.78B3.70B3.00B2.81B2.89B2.48B
EBIT
1.63B1.59B1.09B1.03B1.22B1.05B
EBITDA
1.81B1.77B1.27B1.19B1.37B1.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.47B1.41B1.29B973.59M1.08B992.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.67B2.50B1.97B1.45B1.85B1.85B
Total Assets
9.79B9.63B8.60B7.73B7.85B7.03B
Total Debt
140.24M134.89M113.03M114.54M70.04M75.96M
Net Debt
-2.04B-1.94B-1.58B-1.16B-1.43B-1.38B
Total Liabilities
1.61B1.78B1.59B1.53B1.74B1.52B
Stockholders Equity
8.18B7.85B7.01B6.20B6.11B5.52B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.22B1.24B1.18B542.07M702.84M947.80M
Operating Cash Flow
1.42B1.43B1.38B788.26M1.01B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow
-489.06M-393.33M-332.97M-145.12M-475.37M-260.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-675.47M-626.86M-636.51M-840.62M-486.71M-461.76M

Garmin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price209.13
Price Trends
50DMA
196.99
Positive
100DMA
206.95
Positive
200DMA
199.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Negative
RSI
60.57
Neutral
STOCH
85.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 209.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 204.66, above the 50-day MA of 196.99, and above the 200-day MA of 199.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRMN.

Garmin Risk Analysis

Garmin disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garmin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garmin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$40.46B27.6819.04%1.43%18.08%7.28%
TETEL
78
Outperform
$49.15B36.3311.33%1.71%1.23%-58.22%
78
Outperform
$28.16B38.1714.30%-1.16%-7.04%
77
Outperform
$17.37B11.8131.00%-6.93%537.94%
FTFTV
74
Outperform
$24.23B31.307.70%0.45%0.85%-10.01%
GLGLW
64
Neutral
$43.35B96.844.14%2.22%9.77%-26.50%
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.48-7.50%2.95%7.40%-8.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRMN
Garmin
208.39
49.01
30.75%
GLW
Corning
50.82
13.64
36.69%
TEL
TE Connectivity
166.00
18.01
12.17%
TRMB
Trimble
72.36
16.64
29.86%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
162.00
24.03
17.42%
FTV
Fortive
70.94
-1.72
-2.37%

Garmin Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Garmin Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Garmin held its annual general meeting where shareholders approved several proposals, including the 2024 Annual Report, appropriation of earnings, and a cash dividend of $3.60 per share to be paid in four installments. The shareholders also re-elected directors and approved the compensation for executive management and the board. The approval of these proposals reflects strong shareholder confidence in Garmin’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRMN) stock is a Sell with a $139.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garmin stock, see the GRMN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.