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Garmin (GRMN)
NYSE:GRMN
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Garmin (GRMN) AI Stock Analysis

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GRMN

Garmin

(NYSE:GRMN)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$246.00
▲(26.29% Upside)
Garmin's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, which are the most significant factors. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling enough to offset the technical weakness. The company's strategic focus on growth segments and new product introductions supports a positive outlook, but market sentiment remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Garmin's strong revenue growth across multiple segments indicates robust market demand and effective product strategy, supporting long-term business expansion.
Segment Performance
The rapid growth in the Fitness segment highlights Garmin's competitive edge in wearables, positioning it well in a growing market and driving future revenue.
Balance Sheet Health
Garmin's low debt levels and high equity provide financial stability and flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Outdoor Segment Decline
The decline in the Outdoor segment suggests challenges in product lifecycle management, potentially impacting overall growth if not addressed.
Gross Margin Pressure
Pressure on gross margins from rising costs and tariffs could affect profitability, necessitating cost management strategies to maintain margins.
Auto OEM Segment Challenges
Challenges in the Auto OEM segment, including operating losses, highlight potential risks in this area, requiring strategic adjustments to improve performance.

Garmin (GRMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garmin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarmin Ltd. is a global leader in GPS technology and wearable electronics, recognized for its innovative products in various sectors including automotive, aviation, marine, fitness, and outdoor recreation. Founded in 1989, the company designs and manufactures a wide range of products such as handheld GPS devices, smartwatches, fitness trackers, and navigation systems. Garmin's commitment to quality and technological advancement has solidified its reputation as a trusted brand among consumers and professionals alike.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarmin generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling hardware products in its key segments: automotive, aviation, marine, fitness, and outdoor. The automotive segment includes navigation devices and infotainment systems, while the aviation sector focuses on avionics and flight navigation solutions. The marine division offers chartplotters and fishfinders, and the fitness segment encompasses smartwatches and fitness trackers. Additionally, Garmin earns revenue from software and services, including mapping and fitness-related subscriptions. Key partnerships with automotive manufacturers and fitness companies enhance its market reach and sales potential. The company's diverse product portfolio and focus on innovation contribute significantly to its earnings.

Garmin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsGarmin's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with EMEA leading at a 25% increase, driven by strategic acquisitions like MyLabs and a focus on innovation. The Americas and APAC also show strong growth, at 19% and 16% respectively. This aligns with Garmin's record-breaking revenue and raised full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in continued demand. Despite increased operating expenses and free cash flow challenges, the company's strategic focus on differentiated products and regional expansion underpins its positive outlook.
Data provided by:The Fly

Garmin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the Fitness, Marine, and Aviation segments, leading to a record third quarter revenue and raised annual EPS guidance. However, challenges in the Outdoor and Auto OEM segments, along with a decline in gross margin, present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenue
Consolidated revenue increased 12% to nearly $1.8 billion, marking a new third quarter record. Strong double-digit revenue growth was reported in three business segments.
Fitness Segment Growth
Revenue in the Fitness segment increased 30% to $601 million, driven by strong demand for advanced wearables.
Marine Segment Performance
Marine segment revenue increased 20% to $267 million, with growth across multiple categories and being recognized as Manufacturer of the Year for the 11th consecutive year.
Aviation Segment Growth
Aviation segment revenue increased 18% to $240 million, with both OEM and aftermarket product categories contributing to growth.
Raised Annual EPS Guidance
Garmin raised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.15 from $8.00.
Negative Updates
Outdoor Segment Revenue Decline
Outdoor segment revenue decreased 5% to $498 million, impacted by product release cycles and anniversaries of successful product launches.
Auto OEM Segment Challenges
Revenue in the Auto OEM segment decreased 2% to $165 million, with an operating loss of $17 million due to increased accrued warranty costs.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 59.1%, down 90 basis points from the prior quarter due to higher product costs and impacts from tariffs.
Company Guidance
During Garmin Ltd.'s Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year based on robust financial performance. Garmin reported a 12% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenue to nearly $1.8 billion, setting a new third-quarter record, with gross and operating margins of 59.1% and 25.8%, respectively. The Fitness segment experienced a 30% revenue surge, while Marine and Aviation segments grew by 20% and 18%, respectively. Garmin raised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.15, reflecting a $0.15 increase over previous estimates, and anticipates achieving a full-year revenue target of $7.1 billion. Despite a 5% revenue decline in the Outdoor segment, Garmin projects a 3% annual revenue growth for this segment, citing recent product launches like the fenix 8 Pro. The company also highlighted strong geographic performance, with a 14% growth in APAC and 13% in EMEA. Looking ahead, Garmin expects double-digit growth in revenue, operating income, and EPS for the year, driven by strong market demand and new product introductions.

Garmin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garmin exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. Its balance sheet reflects high equity and low debt, underpinning financial stability. While cash flow generation is strong, the recent decline in free cash flow suggests increased capital expenditures, which could limit short-term cash reserves. Overall, Garmin is well-positioned in its industry with robust financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Garmin has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.76 billion, up from $6.30 billion annually. Gross and net profit margins are robust at 58.93% and 23.21% respectively, indicating effective cost management and profitability. The company also maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins of 26.02% and 28.05%, showing solid operational efficiency and cash flow generation capability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.018, reflecting minimal financial leverage. Garmin's return on equity is commendable at 19.30%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 78.70%, indicating a solid capital structure with high financial stability and low reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Garmin's cash flow health is good, with a free cash flow growth rate of -9.05% TTM due to capital investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating healthy cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, highlighting substantial cash generation capabilities but also potential for improvement in cash retention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.94B6.30B5.23B4.86B4.98B4.19B
Gross Profit4.08B3.70B3.00B2.81B2.89B2.48B
EBITDA2.02B1.77B1.27B1.19B1.37B1.18B
Net Income1.57B1.41B1.29B973.59M1.08B992.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.52B9.63B8.60B7.73B7.85B7.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.54B2.50B1.97B1.45B1.85B1.85B
Total Debt155.77M162.79M113.03M114.54M70.04M75.96M
Total Liabilities2.04B1.78B1.59B1.53B1.74B1.52B
Stockholders Equity8.48B7.85B7.01B6.20B6.11B5.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B1.24B1.18B542.07M702.84M947.80M
Operating Cash Flow1.56B1.43B1.38B788.26M1.01B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-716.40M-393.33M-332.97M-145.12M-475.37M-260.52M
Financing Cash Flow-802.90M-626.86M-636.51M-840.62M-486.71M-461.76M

Garmin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price194.79
Price Trends
50DMA
227.76
Negative
100DMA
228.97
Negative
200DMA
216.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.95
Negative
RSI
30.86
Neutral
STOCH
56.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 194.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 198.72, below the 50-day MA of 227.76, and below the 200-day MA of 216.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRMN.

Garmin Risk Analysis

Garmin disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garmin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garmin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$37.46B24.0119.66%1.69%16.56%3.19%
73
Outperform
$66.11B36.4814.78%1.24%8.94%-39.90%
73
Outperform
$19.34B55.276.13%-0.86%-75.37%
66
Neutral
$6.40B59.017.21%0.85%10.23%25.53%
64
Neutral
$71.68B53.0212.07%1.34%18.27%771.78%
64
Neutral
$24.20B221.933.08%20.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRMN
Garmin
194.79
-14.58
-6.96%
CGNX
Cognex
38.21
-1.41
-3.56%
GLW
Corning
83.60
35.84
75.04%
COHR
Coherent Corp
154.00
53.84
53.75%
TEL
TE Connectivity
224.73
75.92
51.02%
TRMB
Trimble
81.27
8.30
11.37%

Garmin Corporate Events

Garmin Reports Record Revenue and Raises EPS Guidance
Oct 30, 2025

Garmin Ltd., a leading provider of GPS technology and wearable devices, operates in the fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and automotive sectors, known for its innovation and diverse product offerings. In its third quarter of 2025, Garmin reported a record revenue of $1.8 billion, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, alongside a record operating income of $457 million. The company also raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Key highlights include a 30% revenue increase in the fitness segment, driven by demand for advanced wearables, and significant growth in the aviation and marine segments. Notably, Garmin launched the fēnix 8 Pro series, its first smartwatch with satellite and cellular connectivity, and expanded its product offerings in the marine and aviation sectors. Looking ahead, Garmin’s management expresses confidence in its product lineup for the holiday season, supported by a robust financial position and ongoing innovation.

Garmin Reports Record Revenue and Raises EPS Guidance
Oct 30, 2025

Garmin’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic challenges. The company celebrated record third-quarter revenue and raised its annual EPS guidance, driven by strong performances in the Fitness, Marine, and Aviation segments. However, concerns were noted in the Outdoor and Auto OEM segments, alongside a decline in gross margin.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025