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Garmin (GRMN)
NYSE:GRMN
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Garmin (GRMN) AI Stock Analysis

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GRMN

Garmin

(NYSE:GRMN)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$246.00
▲(22.29% Upside)
Garmin's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust revenue growth and profitability, coupled with raised guidance, reflect a solid outlook. However, technical indicators suggest current market weakness, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, tempering the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Garmin's strong revenue growth across multiple segments indicates robust market demand and effective product strategy, supporting long-term business expansion.
Segment Performance
The rapid growth in the Fitness segment highlights Garmin's competitive edge in wearables, positioning it well in a growing market and driving future revenue.
Balance Sheet Health
Garmin's low debt levels and high equity provide financial stability and flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Outdoor Segment Decline
The decline in the Outdoor segment suggests challenges in product lifecycle management, potentially impacting overall growth if not addressed.
Gross Margin Pressure
Pressure on gross margins from rising costs and tariffs could affect profitability, necessitating cost management strategies to maintain margins.
Auto OEM Segment Challenges
Challenges in the Auto OEM segment, including operating losses, highlight potential risks in this area, requiring strategic adjustments to improve performance.

Garmin (GRMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garmin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of wireless devices in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Its Fitness segment offers running and multi-sport watches; cycling products; activity tracking and smartwatch devices; and fitness and cycling accessories. This segment also provides Garmin Connect and Garmin Connect Mobile, which are web and mobile platforms; and Connect IQ, an application development platform. The company's Outdoor segment offers adventure watches, outdoor handhelds, golf devices and mobile apps, and dog tracking and training devices. Its Aviation segment designs, manufactures, and markets various aircraft avionics solutions comprising integrated flight decks, electronic flight displays and instrumentation, navigation and communication products, automatic flight control systems and safety-enhancing technologies, audio control systems, engine indication systems, traffic awareness and avoidance solutions, ADS-B and transponder solutions, weather information and avoidance solutions, datalink and connectivity solutions, portable GPS navigators and wearables, and various services products. The company's Marine segment provides chartplotters and multi-function displays, cartography products, fish finders, sonar products, autopilot systems, radars, compliant instrument displays and sensors, VHF communication radios, handhelds and wearable devices, sailing products, entertainment, digital switching products, and trolling motors. Its Auto segment offers embedded computing models and infotainment systems; personal navigation devices; and cameras. The company sells its products through independent retailers, online retailers, dealers, distributors, installation and repair shops, and original equipment manufacturers, as well as an online webshop, garmin.com. Garmin Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarmin generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling a wide range of consumer and commercial products. Its main revenue sources include the sale of GPS devices and wearables across various sectors such as automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness. The company also earns revenue from software and services associated with these products, including mapping and navigation services. Additionally, Garmin has established partnerships with various automotive manufacturers for integrated navigation solutions, which further enhance its revenue potential. The company's focus on innovation and expanding product offerings in the growing wearables and fitness market also contributes to its earnings.

Garmin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsGarmin's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with EMEA leading at a 25% increase, driven by strategic acquisitions like MyLabs and a focus on innovation. The Americas and APAC also show strong growth, at 19% and 16% respectively. This aligns with Garmin's record-breaking revenue and raised full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in continued demand. Despite increased operating expenses and free cash flow challenges, the company's strategic focus on differentiated products and regional expansion underpins its positive outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Garmin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the Fitness, Marine, and Aviation segments, leading to a record third quarter revenue and raised annual EPS guidance. However, challenges in the Outdoor and Auto OEM segments, along with a decline in gross margin, present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenue
Consolidated revenue increased 12% to nearly $1.8 billion, marking a new third quarter record. Strong double-digit revenue growth was reported in three business segments.
Fitness Segment Growth
Revenue in the Fitness segment increased 30% to $601 million, driven by strong demand for advanced wearables.
Marine Segment Performance
Marine segment revenue increased 20% to $267 million, with growth across multiple categories and being recognized as Manufacturer of the Year for the 11th consecutive year.
Aviation Segment Growth
Aviation segment revenue increased 18% to $240 million, with both OEM and aftermarket product categories contributing to growth.
Raised Annual EPS Guidance
Garmin raised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.15 from $8.00.
Negative Updates
Outdoor Segment Revenue Decline
Outdoor segment revenue decreased 5% to $498 million, impacted by product release cycles and anniversaries of successful product launches.
Auto OEM Segment Challenges
Revenue in the Auto OEM segment decreased 2% to $165 million, with an operating loss of $17 million due to increased accrued warranty costs.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 59.1%, down 90 basis points from the prior quarter due to higher product costs and impacts from tariffs.
Company Guidance
During Garmin Ltd.'s Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year based on robust financial performance. Garmin reported a 12% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenue to nearly $1.8 billion, setting a new third-quarter record, with gross and operating margins of 59.1% and 25.8%, respectively. The Fitness segment experienced a 30% revenue surge, while Marine and Aviation segments grew by 20% and 18%, respectively. Garmin raised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.15, reflecting a $0.15 increase over previous estimates, and anticipates achieving a full-year revenue target of $7.1 billion. Despite a 5% revenue decline in the Outdoor segment, Garmin projects a 3% annual revenue growth for this segment, citing recent product launches like the fenix 8 Pro. The company also highlighted strong geographic performance, with a 14% growth in APAC and 13% in EMEA. Looking ahead, Garmin expects double-digit growth in revenue, operating income, and EPS for the year, driven by strong market demand and new product introductions.

Garmin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garmin exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. Its balance sheet reflects high equity and low debt, underpinning financial stability. While cash flow generation is strong, the recent decline in free cash flow suggests increased capital expenditures, which could limit short-term cash reserves. Overall, Garmin is well-positioned in its industry with robust financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Garmin has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.76 billion, up from $6.30 billion annually. Gross and net profit margins are robust at 58.93% and 23.21% respectively, indicating effective cost management and profitability. The company also maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins of 26.02% and 28.05%, showing solid operational efficiency and cash flow generation capability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.018, reflecting minimal financial leverage. Garmin's return on equity is commendable at 19.30%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 78.70%, indicating a solid capital structure with high financial stability and low reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Garmin's cash flow health is good, with a free cash flow growth rate of -9.05% TTM due to capital investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating healthy cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, highlighting substantial cash generation capabilities but also potential for improvement in cash retention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.12B6.30B5.23B4.86B3.76B3.35B
Gross Profit3.00B3.70B3.00B2.81B2.23B1.98B
EBITDA1.46B1.77B1.27B1.19B1.05B874.54M
Net Income1.14B1.41B1.29B973.59M952.49M694.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.52B9.63B8.60B7.73B6.17B5.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.54B2.50B1.97B1.45B1.40B1.38B
Total Debt155.77M162.79M113.03M114.54M49.24M0.00
Total Liabilities2.04B1.78B1.59B1.53B1.37B1.22B
Stockholders Equity8.48B7.85B7.01B6.20B4.79B4.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow933.30M1.24B1.18B542.07M578.14M759.16M
Operating Cash Flow1.08B1.43B1.38B788.26M698.55M919.52M
Investing Cash Flow-513.83M-393.33M-332.97M-145.12M-450.75M-307.50M
Financing Cash Flow-625.48M-626.86M-636.51M-840.62M-416.03M-286.16M

Garmin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price201.16
Price Trends
50DMA
238.98
Negative
100DMA
230.66
Negative
200DMA
217.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.33
Positive
RSI
18.67
Positive
STOCH
7.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 201.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 233.46, below the 50-day MA of 238.98, and below the 200-day MA of 217.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.67 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRMN.

Garmin Risk Analysis

Garmin disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garmin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garmin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$73.57B40.4214.78%1.12%8.94%-39.90%
77
Outperform
$74.68B55.2412.07%1.27%18.27%771.78%
74
Outperform
$39.52B25.3219.66%1.64%16.56%3.19%
67
Neutral
$20.98B229.573.08%20.80%
66
Neutral
$6.79B62.557.21%0.77%10.23%25.53%
66
Neutral
$18.70B68.806.13%-0.86%-75.37%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRMN
Garmin
201.16
-8.33
-3.98%
CGNX
Cognex
39.27
-3.27
-7.69%
GLW
Corning
85.48
37.79
79.24%
COHR
Coherent Corp
154.51
44.49
40.44%
TEL
TE Connectivity
242.42
89.89
58.93%
TRMB
Trimble
78.90
6.25
8.60%

Garmin Corporate Events

Garmin Reports Record Revenue and Raises EPS Guidance
Oct 30, 2025

Garmin Ltd., a leading provider of GPS technology and wearable devices, operates in the fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and automotive sectors, known for its innovation and diverse product offerings. In its third quarter of 2025, Garmin reported a record revenue of $1.8 billion, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, alongside a record operating income of $457 million. The company also raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Key highlights include a 30% revenue increase in the fitness segment, driven by demand for advanced wearables, and significant growth in the aviation and marine segments. Notably, Garmin launched the fēnix 8 Pro series, its first smartwatch with satellite and cellular connectivity, and expanded its product offerings in the marine and aviation sectors. Looking ahead, Garmin’s management expresses confidence in its product lineup for the holiday season, supported by a robust financial position and ongoing innovation.

Garmin Reports Record Revenue and Raises EPS Guidance
Oct 30, 2025

Garmin’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic challenges. The company celebrated record third-quarter revenue and raised its annual EPS guidance, driven by strong performances in the Fitness, Marine, and Aviation segments. However, concerns were noted in the Outdoor and Auto OEM segments, alongside a decline in gross margin.

Garmin Reports Record Q2 2025 Results, Raises Guidance
Jul 31, 2025

Garmin Ltd., a leading provider of GPS technology and wearable devices, operates in sectors such as fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and automotive. The company is renowned for its innovative products and solutions that cater to a diverse range of industries.

Garmin’s Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth and Optimism
Jul 31, 2025

Garmin Ltd. has showcased a robust financial performance in its latest earnings call, setting a positive tone with record revenue and growth across all segments. The strategic acquisition of MyLabs is expected to bolster its offerings, despite challenges in operating expenses and free cash flow. The company remains optimistic, raising its full-year guidance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025