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Garmin (GRMN)
NYSE:GRMN
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Garmin (GRMN) AI Stock Analysis

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GRMN

Garmin

(NYSE:GRMN)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$253.00
▲(6.94% Upside)
Garmin's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record revenue and strategic acquisitions. While technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, the company's robust core operations and growth outlook support a favorable stock assessment.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Garmin reported another strong earnings beat for 4Q24 and provided full-year guidance for 2025 that aligns more with the high end of expectations.
Financial Strategy
Strong balance sheet and cash flow enable it to drive growth through ongoing investment in new product development and strategic acquisitions and further enhance shareholder returns through dividend increases and share repurchases.
Product Development
Ongoing innovation and new product development, including new halo product categories, will open new markets that will continue to drive revenue and cash flow growth and increasing shareholder value creation.
Negative Factors
AutoOEM Segment
Garmin's AutoOEM business outlook has worsened due to consumers pulling back and BMW cutting production forecasts.
Macroeconomic Environment
Concern exists that growth will slow across segments due to the current macro environment and consumers pulling back on spending.
Tariff Risk
A 32% tariff on Taiwan imports poses a risk to Garmin, which imports the majority of its goods from Taiwan.

Garmin (GRMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Garmin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGarmin Ltd. is a multinational technology company that specializes in GPS navigation and wearable technology. Founded in 1989, Garmin operates in various sectors including automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness. The company is known for its high-quality GPS devices, smartwatches, and fitness trackers, which are designed to enhance navigation and performance across multiple activities. Garmin's product portfolio includes handheld GPS units, vehicle navigation systems, aviation avionics, and fitness-focused devices that cater to runners, cyclists, and outdoor enthusiasts.
How the Company Makes MoneyGarmin generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling a wide range of consumer and commercial products. Its main revenue sources include the sale of GPS devices and wearables across various sectors such as automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness. The company also earns revenue from software and services associated with these products, including mapping and navigation services. Additionally, Garmin has established partnerships with various automotive manufacturers for integrated navigation solutions, which further enhance its revenue potential. The company's focus on innovation and expanding product offerings in the growing wearables and fitness market also contributes to its earnings.

Garmin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Chart InsightsGarmin's fitness segment is experiencing robust growth, with a 41% revenue increase, driven by advanced wearables. The outdoor and aviation segments also show strong upward trends, reflecting strategic focus and innovation. Despite an operating loss in the auto OEM segment, revenue rose by 16%, indicating potential for recovery. The recent acquisition of MyLabs is expected to enhance Garmin's offerings and expand market reach. Overall, Garmin's raised full-year guidance and record-breaking revenue underscore confidence in sustained demand and strategic execution across all segments.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Garmin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Garmin Ltd. demonstrated strong financial performance with record revenue and growth across all segments. The acquisition of MyLabs is a strategic move to enhance offerings. While operating expenses and free cash flow challenges exist, the overall outlook remains positive with raised full-year guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Consolidated revenue increased 20% year over year, exceeding $1.8 billion, setting a new second quarter record. Operating income increased 38% to $472 million, and pro forma EPS rose by 37% to $2.17.
Strong Performance Across All Segments
The fitness segment saw a 41% revenue increase, driven by advanced wearables. Outdoor revenue grew by 11%, aviation by 14%, marine by 10%, and auto OEM by 16%.
MyLabs Acquisition
Garmin Ltd. announced the acquisition of MyLabs, a leader in timing and performance analysis, which is expected to enhance their offerings and expand market reach.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Garmin Ltd. updated its full-year guidance, now anticipating revenue of approximately $7.1 billion and pro forma EPS of $8 per share, up from previous guidance.
Global Growth
Double-digit growth in all three geographical regions, with EMEA leading at 25%, followed by 19% in the Americas, and 16% in APAC.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 14% due to higher personnel-related expenses. SG&A and R&D expenses rose primarily due to headcount increases and infrastructure development.
Free Cash Flow Decrease
Free cash flow decreased by $91 million year over year, primarily due to increased inventory levels.
Auto OEM Segment Operating Loss
Although revenue increased by 16%, the auto OEM segment reported an operating loss, albeit narrowed to $10 million.
Company Guidance
During the Garmin Ltd. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a consolidated revenue increase of 20% year-over-year, reaching over $1.8 billion, and a record second quarter operating income of $472 million, up 38% from the previous year. The gross and operating margins expanded to 58% and 26%, respectively, while the pro forma EPS rose by 37% to $2.17. The fitness segment led the growth with a 41% increase in revenue, totaling $605 million. Other segments also performed well, with outdoor revenue rising 11% to $490 million, aviation up 14% to $249 million, marine increasing by 10% to $299 million, and auto OEM growing by 16% to $170 million. The company updated its full-year guidance, now expecting revenue of approximately $7.1 billion and pro forma EPS of $8, reflecting confidence in continued strong demand and strategic acquisitions like MyLabs. The call highlighted the expansion in all business segments and geographic regions, with particular strength in EMEA, and the company's strategic focus on innovation and differentiated products.

Garmin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Garmin demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth and high profitability margins. The balance sheet is robust with low debt and high equity, ensuring financial stability. However, the recent decline in free cash flow due to capital investments is a minor concern.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Garmin has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $6.76 billion, up from $6.30 billion annually. Gross and net profit margins are robust at 58.93% and 23.21% respectively, indicating effective cost management and profitability. The company also maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins of 26.02% and 28.05%, showing solid operational efficiency and cash flow generation capability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.018, reflecting minimal financial leverage. Garmin's return on equity is commendable at 19.30%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 78.70%, indicating a solid capital structure with high financial stability and low reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Garmin's cash flow health is good, with a free cash flow growth rate of -9.05% TTM due to capital investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating healthy cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, highlighting substantial cash generation capabilities but also potential for improvement in cash retention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.76B6.30B5.23B4.86B4.98B4.19B
Gross Profit3.98B3.70B3.00B2.81B2.89B2.48B
EBITDA1.94B1.77B1.27B1.19B1.37B1.18B
Net Income1.57B1.41B1.29B973.59M1.08B992.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.32B9.63B8.60B7.73B7.85B7.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.59B2.50B1.97B1.45B1.85B1.85B
Total Debt148.61M134.89M113.03M114.54M70.04M75.96M
Total Liabilities2.20B1.78B1.59B1.53B1.74B1.52B
Stockholders Equity8.13B7.85B7.01B6.20B6.11B5.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.13B1.24B1.18B542.07M702.84M947.80M
Operating Cash Flow1.34B1.43B1.38B788.26M1.01B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-496.29M-393.33M-332.97M-145.12M-475.37M-260.52M
Financing Cash Flow-756.91M-626.86M-636.51M-840.62M-486.71M-461.76M

Garmin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price236.58
Price Trends
50DMA
216.82
Positive
100DMA
207.13
Positive
200DMA
208.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.30
Positive
RSI
63.57
Neutral
STOCH
81.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 236.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 229.24, above the 50-day MA of 216.82, and above the 200-day MA of 208.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRMN.

Garmin Risk Analysis

Garmin disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Garmin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Garmin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$44.84B28.7420.73%1.33%19.65%13.58%
79
Outperform
$28.76B39.9814.30%-1.16%-7.04%
72
Outperform
$60.32B42.1511.63%1.29%4.86%-56.43%
72
Outperform
$19.90B71.395.06%-3.72%-80.83%
71
Outperform
$56.32B69.617.55%1.70%14.63%86.61%
68
Neutral
¥241.22B15.246.62%2.44%9.24%1.58%
66
Neutral
$16.12B21.517.36%0.46%-0.12%-11.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRMN
Garmin
236.58
68.42
40.69%
GLW
Corning
65.74
26.44
67.28%
TEL
TE Connectivity
206.29
59.79
40.81%
TRMB
Trimble
84.47
30.43
56.31%
KEYS
Keysight Technologies
170.22
37.55
28.30%
FTV
Fortive
48.73
-3.62
-6.91%

Garmin Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Garmin Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Garmin held its annual general meeting where shareholders approved several proposals, including the 2024 Annual Report, appropriation of earnings, and a cash dividend of $3.60 per share to be paid in four installments. The shareholders also re-elected directors and approved the compensation for executive management and the board. The approval of these proposals reflects strong shareholder confidence in Garmin’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRMN) stock is a Sell with a $139.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Garmin stock, see the GRMN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025