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Allegion (ALLE)
NYSE:ALLE
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Allegion (ALLE) AI Stock Analysis

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ALLE

Allegion

(NYSE:ALLE)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$191.00
▲(7.80% Upside)
Allegion's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, strategic acquisitions, and effective cost management position it well for future growth. Technical indicators support a positive outlook, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation is fair, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Achieving record revenue signifies strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth potential.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance Allegion's product portfolio and market reach, contributing to sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling investments in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Residential Market Challenges
Decline in the residential market due to high interest rates could impact revenue stability and growth in this segment.
International Segment Pressure
Pressure in the international mechanical portfolio could hinder global expansion efforts and affect overall revenue growth.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Rising corporate expenses, particularly for incentive compensation, may limit profitability and reduce operational efficiency.

Allegion (ALLE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegion plc manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products and solutions worldwide. The company offers door closers, controls, and exit devices; locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems and services; electronic security products and access control systems; time, attendance, and workforce productivity systems; doors and door systems; and other accessories. The company sells its products and solutions to end-users in commercial, institutional, and residential facilities, including education, healthcare, government, hospitality, commercial office, and single and multi-family residential markets under the CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage, SimonsVoss, and Von Duprin brands. It sells its products and solutions through distribution and retail channels, such as specialty distribution, e-commerce, and wholesalers, as well as through various retail channels comprising do-it-yourself home improvement centers, on-line and e-commerce platforms, and small specialty showroom outlets. Allegion plc was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegion generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its security products and solutions to various sectors including commercial, institutional, and residential markets. The company’s revenue model is largely based on the direct sale of hardware products such as locks and door closers, as well as electronic access control systems. Key revenue streams include product sales, which encompass both mechanical and electronic products, as well as installation and maintenance services. Allegion also benefits from partnerships with distributors, contractors, and other industry players, which help expand its market reach. Additionally, the growing emphasis on security solutions and smart building technologies contributes to the company's earnings by driving demand for its innovative product offerings.

Allegion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record revenue and strategic acquisitions, which bolstered the company's growth outlook. However, challenges in the residential market and international segment, as well as increased corporate expenses, presented some headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Allegion achieved its first quarter of revenue in excess of $1 billion, marking a significant milestone for the company.
Strong Organic Growth in Americas
The Americas segment reported a 6.6% increase in revenue on a reported basis and a 4.5% increase on an organic basis, driven by high single-digit growth in the nonresidential business.
Electronics Segment Growth
Electronics revenue was up low double digits, continuing to be a long-term growth driver for Allegion.
Accretive Acquisitions
Allegion announced multiple acquisitions, including ELATEC, Gatewise, and Waitwhile, expected to be accretive to 2026 adjusted earnings and enhance the company's long-term growth potential.
Increased Adjusted EPS Outlook
Raised the 2025 full-year outlook for adjusted earnings per share to $8 to $8.15, reflecting strong operational execution and continued demand.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Year-to-date available cash flow was $275.4 million, up 56.5% from the previous year.
Negative Updates
Residential Business Decline
The residential business in the Americas declined mid-single digits due to softness in the market driven by high interest rates.
Pressure in International Mechanical Portfolio
The International segment experienced a 2.2% organic revenue decline, with growth in electronics offset by pressure in the mechanical portfolio.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Increased corporate expenses, primarily for incentive compensation, offset margin expansion in both segments.
Negative Impact from Discrete Tax Items
The Q2 tax rate was negatively impacted by discrete items, affecting overall adjusted earnings per share.
Company Guidance
During the Allegion Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions. Allegion reported its first-ever quarterly revenue exceeding $1 billion, driven by high single-digit organic growth in the Americas nonresidential sector and continued expansion of its electronics portfolio. The company raised its 2025 full-year outlook for adjusted earnings per share to $8 to $8.15, citing strong cash generation, accretive acquisitions like ELATEC and Trimco, and favorable market conditions. Allegion also highlighted a 5.8% increase in revenue over the prior year, driven by 3.2% organic growth and a significant contribution from acquisitions. The company's adjusted operating margin remained strong at 23.7%, with adjusted earnings per share of $2.04, marking a 4.1% increase year-over-year. The company expects continued growth momentum in its core nonresidential markets and remains committed to balanced capital allocation, including investments in organic growth and shareholder returns.

Allegion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegion demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable, though reliant on liabilities, necessitating careful debt management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Allegion's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also improved, reflecting enhanced profitability. Notably, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, especially in the TTM period, highlighting its capability to leverage market opportunities effectively.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity has improved, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, implying a higher reliance on liabilities, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a significant increase in free cash flow, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. The company has also shown a positive trend in free cash flow growth, enhancing its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.88B3.77B3.65B3.27B2.87B2.72B
Gross Profit1.74B1.67B1.58B1.32B1.20B1.18B
EBITDA957.20M916.90M821.90M688.30M657.30M497.50M
Net Income626.20M597.50M540.40M458.00M483.00M314.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.91B4.49B4.31B3.99B3.05B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments656.80M503.80M468.10M288.00M397.90M480.40M
Total Debt2.07B2.00B2.02B2.09B1.44B1.43B
Total Liabilities3.13B2.99B2.99B3.05B2.29B2.24B
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.50B1.32B941.80M759.10M829.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow682.30M582.90M516.40M395.50M443.20M443.20M
Operating Cash Flow765.10M675.00M600.60M459.50M488.60M490.30M
Investing Cash Flow-145.00M-228.40M-129.10M-994.10M-31.60M-56.70M
Financing Cash Flow-721.90M-394.50M-298.70M437.00M-529.30M-321.90M

Allegion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price177.18
Price Trends
50DMA
162.54
Positive
100DMA
151.01
Positive
200DMA
140.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Positive
RSI
67.42
Neutral
STOCH
66.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 177.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 170.19, above the 50-day MA of 162.54, and above the 200-day MA of 140.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALLE.

Allegion Risk Analysis

Allegion disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$14.63B23.6738.99%1.12%5.49%14.46%
78
Outperform
$7.36B12.8817.13%2.49%3.80%-3.18%
75
Outperform
$5.46B64.31-26.27%20.00%-547.75%
74
Outperform
$6.73B24.1424.23%1.21%0.55%1.85%
73
Outperform
$1.43B33.7024.98%1.28%-3.81%-11.48%
67
Neutral
$4.76B30.6056.23%0.85%2.17%25.34%
64
Neutral
$10.84B15.287.40%1.99%2.87%-14.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALLE
Allegion
177.18
40.08
29.23%
BCO
Brink's Company
117.52
10.93
10.25%
MSA
MSA Safety
171.89
1.10
0.64%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
41.49
4.40
11.86%
ADT
Adt
8.85
2.17
32.49%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
36.71
18.31
99.51%

Allegion Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegion Holds Annual General Meeting in Dublin
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Allegion plc held its Annual General Meeting in Dublin, Ireland, where shareholders elected eight directors, approved executive compensation, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers as the accounting firm, and renewed the Board’s authority to issue shares under Irish law. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies moving forward.

Executive/Board Changes
Allegion Announces Leadership Transition with New Appointment
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Allegion plc announced that Jeffrey Braun, the Senior Vice President and General Counsel, will transition to the role of Senior Vice President and Advisory Counsel effective June 16, 2025. This change follows the appointment of his successor by the Board of Directors on May 20, 2025, and Braun is expected to remain in this role until his retirement on June 30, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025