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Allegion (ALLE)
NYSE:ALLE
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Allegion (ALLE) AI Stock Analysis

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ALLE

Allegion

(NYSE:ALLE)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$186.00
▲(13.59% Upside)
Allegion's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum but with potential overbought conditions. Valuation suggests moderate growth prospects. The combination of these factors results in a solid overall score, with financial stability and strategic growth initiatives being the primary drivers.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Allegion consistently surpasses EPS expectations since Stone became CEO, showcasing strong financial performance.
Growth Potential
Commercial markets have bottomed, with signs of growth in sectors like commercial office.
Negative Factors
End-Market Challenges
Residential construction spending remains negative, and non-residential spending is decelerating.
Market Outlook
Analyst maintains an Underperform rating on ALLE due to a negative view of the company’s end markets.

Allegion (ALLE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegion plc manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products and solutions worldwide. The company offers door closers, controls, and exit devices; locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems and services; electronic security products and access control systems; time, attendance, and workforce productivity systems; doors and door systems; and other accessories. The company sells its products and solutions to end-users in commercial, institutional, and residential facilities, including education, healthcare, government, hospitality, commercial office, and single and multi-family residential markets under the CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage, SimonsVoss, and Von Duprin brands. It sells its products and solutions through distribution and retail channels, such as specialty distribution, e-commerce, and wholesalers, as well as through various retail channels comprising do-it-yourself home improvement centers, on-line and e-commerce platforms, and small specialty showroom outlets. Allegion plc was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegion makes money through the sale of its security products and solutions across various sectors. Its revenue model is primarily product-based, with significant earnings from mechanical security products like locks and door hardware, as well as electronic security solutions including access control and biometric systems. The company also benefits from service contracts, which provide ongoing support and maintenance for their products. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further enhance Allegion's market reach and technological capabilities, enabling it to maintain a competitive edge in the security industry.

Allegion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Allegion reported a strong financial performance in Q2 2025, marked by record revenue achievement and a raised EPS outlook. The company's strategic acquisitions and robust nonresidential business growth in the Americas contributed positively. However, challenges in the residential market and the International segment, along with increased corporate expenses, presented some headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Allegion achieved its first-ever quarter with revenue exceeding $1 billion, marking a significant milestone in the company's history.
Strong Adjusted EPS Outlook
The company raised its 2025 full-year outlook for adjusted earnings per share to $8 to $8.15, reflecting confidence in operational performance and market demand.
Successful Acquisitions
Allegion announced four additional acquisitions, including ELATEC, Gatewise, and Waitwhile, which are expected to be accretive to 2026 adjusted earnings per share.
Americas Nonresidential Business Growth
The Americas nonresidential business grew high single digits organically, with continued strong demand and favorable pricing actions.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Year-to-date available cash flow was $275.4 million, up 56.5%, demonstrating strong cash generation and a healthy balance sheet with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.5x.
Negative Updates
Residential Market Decline
The residential business declined mid-single digits due to softness in the market, attributed to the high interest rate environment.
International Segment Challenges
The International segment saw a 2.2% organic revenue decline, with pressure on the mechanical portfolio offsetting growth in electronics.
Increased Corporate Expenses
Corporate expenses increased, primarily due to higher incentive compensation, offsetting margin expansion in both the Americas and International segments.
Company Guidance
In the Allegion Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported exceeding $1 billion in revenue for the first time, with a 5.8% year-over-year increase. Organic revenue rose by 3.2%, driven primarily by a 0.6% volume increase and a 2.6% price realization, particularly in the Americas nonresidential business, which grew high single digits organically. Adjusted operating margin remained flat at 23.7%, with adjusted earnings per share rising 4.1% to $2.04 despite a higher tax rate. The company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS outlook to $8-$8.15, citing strong operational execution and ongoing demand in its core markets. Allegion also highlighted several strategic acquisitions, including Trimco, Novas, ELATEC, Gatewise, and Waitwhile, which are expected to contribute to long-term growth and be accretive to 2026 adjusted EPS.

Allegion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegion exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The company manages costs effectively, generating robust cash flow. However, the balance sheet's moderate debt level requires careful management to mitigate risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Allegion's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also improved, reflecting enhanced profitability. Notably, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, especially in the TTM period, highlighting its capability to leverage market opportunities effectively.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity has improved, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, implying a higher reliance on liabilities, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a significant increase in free cash flow, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. The company has also shown a positive trend in free cash flow growth, enhancing its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.77B3.65B3.27B2.87B2.72B
Gross Profit1.67B1.58B1.32B1.20B1.18B
EBITDA916.90M821.90M688.30M657.30M497.50M
Net Income597.50M540.40M458.00M483.00M314.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.49B4.31B3.99B3.05B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments503.80M468.10M288.00M397.90M480.40M
Total Debt2.00B2.02B2.09B1.44B1.43B
Total Liabilities2.99B2.99B3.05B2.29B2.24B
Stockholders Equity1.50B1.32B944.50M762.40M829.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow582.90M516.40M395.50M443.20M443.20M
Operating Cash Flow675.00M600.60M459.50M488.60M490.30M
Investing Cash Flow-228.40M-129.10M-994.10M-31.60M-56.70M
Financing Cash Flow-394.50M-298.70M437.00M-529.30M-321.90M

Allegion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price163.74
Price Trends
50DMA
148.44
Positive
100DMA
140.70
Positive
200DMA
137.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.22
Negative
RSI
65.46
Neutral
STOCH
50.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 163.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.24, above the 50-day MA of 148.44, and above the 200-day MA of 137.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALLE.

Allegion Risk Analysis

Allegion disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.06B24.0927.48%1.74%-1.05%-2.78%
78
Outperform
$7.07B25.6624.23%1.16%0.75%7.20%
77
Outperform
$14.20B22.9838.99%1.21%5.49%14.46%
76
Outperform
$6.98B12.5817.13%2.60%3.80%-3.18%
75
Outperform
$4.25B64.31-26.27%14.02%-69.91%
72
Outperform
$4.20B26.7956.23%0.95%2.17%25.34%
64
Neutral
$10.64B16.015.48%2.12%2.72%-24.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALLE
Allegion
163.74
36.72
28.91%
BCO
Brink's Company
104.96
10.00
10.53%
MSA
MSA Safety
176.94
2.10
1.20%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
29.57
-22.89
-43.63%
ADT
Adt
8.45
1.44
20.54%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
26.91
8.17
43.60%

Allegion Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegion Holds Annual General Meeting in Dublin
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Allegion plc held its Annual General Meeting in Dublin, Ireland, where shareholders elected eight directors, approved executive compensation, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers as the accounting firm, and renewed the Board’s authority to issue shares under Irish law. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and strategic initiatives, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALLE) stock is a Sell with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegion stock, see the ALLE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Allegion Announces Leadership Transition with New Appointment
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Allegion plc announced that Jeffrey Braun, the Senior Vice President and General Counsel, will transition to the role of Senior Vice President and Advisory Counsel effective June 16, 2025. This change follows the appointment of his successor by the Board of Directors on May 20, 2025, and Braun is expected to remain in this role until his retirement on June 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALLE) stock is a Sell with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegion stock, see the ALLE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 27, 2025