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Allegion (ALLE)
NYSE:ALLE
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Allegion (ALLE) AI Stock Analysis

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ALLE

Allegion

(NYSE:ALLE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$186.00
▲(12.33% Upside)
Allegion's overall stock score of 72 reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call outlook, which are slightly offset by bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation metrics. The company's robust profitability, cash generation, and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, while the technical analysis suggests caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth, particularly in the Americas nonresidential business, indicates robust demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Cash Generation
Increased cash flow enhances Allegion's ability to invest in growth opportunities and strategic acquisitions, ensuring sustained financial health.
Product Portfolio Expansion
Strategic acquisitions expand Allegion's product offerings and market presence, enhancing competitive positioning and supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressures
Higher corporate expenses are pressuring margins, which could affect profitability if not managed, impacting long-term financial performance.
Leverage Concerns
Reliance on debt financing could pose risks if not managed carefully, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes.
Soft Residential Market
Weak residential market demand could hinder growth in this segment, affecting overall revenue diversification and stability.

Allegion (ALLE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegion (ALLE) is a global leader in security products and solutions, specializing in the development and manufacturing of locks, door closers, and access control systems. The company operates primarily in the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors, providing innovative products designed to enhance safety and security. Allegion's core offerings include electronic locks, mechanical locks, key systems, and door hardware, catering to a diverse range of customers and industries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegion generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its security products and solutions to various sectors including commercial, institutional, and residential markets. The company’s revenue model is largely based on the direct sale of hardware products such as locks and door closers, as well as electronic access control systems. Key revenue streams include product sales, which encompass both mechanical and electronic products, as well as installation and maintenance services. Allegion also benefits from partnerships with distributors, contractors, and other industry players, which help expand its market reach. Additionally, the growing emphasis on security solutions and smart building technologies contributes to the company's earnings by driving demand for its innovative product offerings.

Allegion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and effective capital allocation. However, there are challenges in maintaining margins due to corporate expenses and a soft residential market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Allegion achieved over $1 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, marking a 10.7% increase compared to 2024. Organic revenue increased by 5.9%, driven by favorable price and volume in the Americas nonresidential business.
Strong Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Year-to-date available cash flow was $485.2 million, up 25.1% from the previous year. Allegion allocated $600 million to acquisitions aligned with strategic priorities and raised the full-year EPS outlook to $8.10 to $8.20.
Successful Product Launches and Acquisitions
Launched a new mid-tier commercial product line for Schlage. Completed acquisitions of UAP and Brisant, strengthening the product portfolio and enhancing the cost position. Electronics revenue was up mid-teens, contributing to long-term growth.
International Segment Revenue Surge
International segment revenue increased by 22.5% on a reported basis and 3.6% organically, led by electronics businesses. Acquisitions contributed 13.6% to segment revenue, with currency positively impacting revenue by 5.3%.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressures Despite Revenue Growth
Q3 adjusted operating margin was 24.1%, down 10 basis points from last year, due to higher corporate expenses offsetting segment margin expansion.
Soft Residential Market Demand
Despite new electronic product launches driving growth, the overall residential market demand remains soft, consistent with year-to-date growth rates.
Company Guidance
During Allegion's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on various metrics, highlighting strong performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported a 10.7% increase in revenue compared to the prior year, with organic growth of 5.9%, driven by favorable pricing and volume, particularly in the Americas nonresidential business. The adjusted operating margin was 24.1%, a slight decrease due to higher corporate expenses, despite segment margin expansion. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 6.5% to $2.30. Allegion raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share outlook to $8.10 to $8.20, reflecting strong execution and recent acquisitions. The company also noted a positive cash flow of $485.2 million, up 25.1% year-to-date, and expects a cash flow conversion rate of 85% to 95% of adjusted net income. The acquisition of businesses such as UAP and Brisant in the UK was emphasized as enhancing the product portfolio and cost position. Overall, Allegion continues to focus on long-term growth through strategic capital allocation and market presence, despite challenges in the residential sector.

Allegion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegion demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company effectively manages costs and generates significant cash flow, although the balance sheet indicates moderate leverage that requires careful management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Allegion's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also improved, reflecting enhanced profitability. Notably, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, especially in the TTM period, highlighting its capability to leverage market opportunities effectively.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity has improved, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, implying a higher reliance on liabilities, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a significant increase in free cash flow, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. The company has also shown a positive trend in free cash flow growth, enhancing its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B3.77B3.65B3.27B2.87B2.72B
Gross Profit1.80B1.67B1.58B1.32B1.20B1.18B
EBITDA976.20M916.90M821.90M688.30M657.30M497.50M
Net Income640.40M597.50M540.40M458.00M483.00M314.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.23B4.49B4.31B3.99B3.05B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments302.70M503.80M468.10M288.00M397.90M480.40M
Total Debt2.26B2.15B2.02B2.09B1.44B1.43B
Total Liabilities3.28B2.99B2.99B3.05B2.29B2.24B
Stockholders Equity1.95B1.50B1.32B941.80M759.10M829.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow702.42M582.90M516.40M395.50M443.20M443.20M
Operating Cash Flow787.71M675.00M600.60M459.50M488.60M490.30M
Investing Cash Flow-717.37M-228.40M-129.10M-994.10M-31.60M-56.70M
Financing Cash Flow-662.30M-394.50M-298.70M437.00M-529.30M-321.90M

Allegion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price165.59
Price Trends
50DMA
173.77
Negative
100DMA
163.06
Positive
200DMA
147.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.38
Positive
RSI
35.00
Neutral
STOCH
20.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALLE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 165.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 174.75, below the 50-day MA of 173.77, and above the 200-day MA of 147.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALLE.

Allegion Risk Analysis

Allegion disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.56B37.0024.98%1.21%-3.81%-11.48%
$6.63B22.9323.35%1.23%3.31%2.58%
$14.25B22.8836.41%1.21%6.87%13.53%
$7.14B13.0517.13%2.56%3.80%-3.18%
$6.50B-26.27%20.00%-547.75%
$4.70B30.8856.23%0.86%2.17%25.34%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALLE
Allegion
165.59
28.50
20.79%
BCO
Brink's Company
112.77
10.17
9.91%
MSA
MSA Safety
169.44
4.24
2.57%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
43.76
5.24
13.60%
ADT
Adt
8.59
1.42
19.80%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
43.68
23.48
116.24%

Allegion Corporate Events

Allegion PLC Maintains Stable Risk Profile with No New Threats in Latest Report
Oct 24, 2025

Allegion PLC has reported that there have been no material changes to their risk factors as outlined in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ending December 31, 2024. This suggests a stable risk environment for the company, with no new significant threats identified. Stakeholders are encouraged to review the detailed ‘Risk Factors’ section in the Annual Report for comprehensive insights. This consistency in risk factors may indicate effective risk management strategies by Allegion PLC.

Allegion PLC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 24, 2025

Allegion PLC is a global leader in security products and solutions, specializing in innovative access solutions for residential and commercial markets worldwide. The company is known for its strong portfolio of brands including Schlage, Von Duprin, and LCN.

Allegion PLC Reports Robust Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 24, 2025

The recent earnings call for Allegion PLC painted a generally positive picture, highlighting strong revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and effective capital allocation strategies. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges in maintaining margins due to increased corporate expenses and a soft residential market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025