Brink's (BCO)
:BCO
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Brink's Company (BCO) AI Stock Analysis

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BCO

Brink's Company

(NYSE:BCO)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$124.00
▲(8.91% Upside)
Brink's Company demonstrates strong earnings performance and cash flow generation, particularly in high-margin segments, which supports a positive outlook. However, high leverage and valuation concerns weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation strengthens financial flexibility, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Margin Expansion
Improved margins reflect operational efficiency and pricing power, bolstering profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk and limit strategic flexibility, impacting long-term stability.
Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins suggest challenges in cost management and profitability, potentially affecting future earnings growth.
CVM Revenue Stagnation
Stagnation in the CVM segment may hinder overall growth, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain competitive edge.

Brink's Company (BCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brink's Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrink's Company (BCO) is a global leader in security services, specializing in cash management, secure transportation, and integrated security solutions. The company operates across various sectors, including financial institutions, retail, and government services, providing a comprehensive range of services that includes armored vehicle services, cash processing, and technology-driven security solutions. Brink's is renowned for its reliability and innovation in ensuring the safety of cash and valuable assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrink's Company generates revenue primarily through its cash management and secure transportation services. The main revenue streams include fees for armored transportation of cash and valuables, cash processing services, and the provision of integrated security solutions to clients. Additionally, Brink's has established significant partnerships with financial institutions and retailers, which contribute to long-term contracts and recurring revenue. The company also invests in technology, offering advanced security solutions that enhance its service offerings and attract new clients, thereby boosting its earnings.

Brink's Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Brink's delivered a strong quarter with significant growth in its AMS/DRS segment, improved free cash flow, and successful share repurchase. However, challenges remain in the CVM segment and currency fluctuations. Overall, the company's strategic focus on high-margin services and geographic expansion supports a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth and Margin Expansion
Brink's reported a 5% organic revenue growth for the third quarter, with a notable 19% growth in ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS). The company achieved record Q3 EBITDA margins of 19%, up 180 basis points from the prior year, driven by productivity and pricing discipline.
Significant Free Cash Flow Improvement
The company delivered $175 million in free cash flow, marking a 30% year-over-year increase. Year-to-date free cash flow conversion improved to 78%, with a trailing 12-month conversion of 50% of adjusted EBITDA.
Success in Share Repurchase Program
Brink's allocated $154 million to repurchase approximately 1.7 million shares at an average price of $89 per share, contributing to an EPS increase of $0.08 in the quarter and $0.33 year-to-date.
Geographic Expansion of AMS/DRS
AMS/DRS now accounts for 28% of total revenue, with significant growth opportunities in underpenetrated markets such as Latin America and the Middle East.
Negative Updates
CVM Revenue Stagnation
The Cash and Valuables Management (CVM) business experienced flat organic revenue growth, impacted by customer conversions to AMS/DRS, which contributed to a 2-3 point organic headwind.
Currency Fluctuation Impact
Currency changes presented challenges, with a positive impact from the euro and British pound being partially offset by the Argentine peso devaluation.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, Brink's reported several key metrics indicating strong performance and positive growth trends. The company achieved a mid-single-digit organic revenue growth rate of 5%, with notable acceleration in their ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS) segment, which grew by 19% compared to the previous quarter. Brink's also recorded a record EBITDA margin of 19%, a year-over-year increase of 180 basis points, with North American operations expanding by 320 basis points. Free cash flow reached $175 million, showing a 30% increase from the previous year, and days sales outstanding improved by 5 days. Additionally, AMS/DRS now constitutes 28% of the company’s revenue, and Brink's anticipates continued margin improvements. The company's full-year framework has been reaffirmed, with expectations of organic growth in mid-single digits and high teens for AMS/DRS. Brink's also highlighted their commitment to shareholder returns, using $154 million to repurchase 1.7 million shares year-to-date, maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio of 2.9x.

Brink's Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brink's Company shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and relatively low net profit margins pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brink's Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.51%. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 25%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.31%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show a healthy operational performance, but the decline in EBITDA margin from 15.86% in 2024 to 14.33% TTM indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.51 TTM, reflecting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 70.56% TTM, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Brink's Company has shown a robust free cash flow growth rate of 20.13% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.31 TTM suggests moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 TTM highlights a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.15B5.01B4.87B4.54B4.20B3.69B
Gross Profit1.31B1.27B1.17B1.07B964.40M813.60M
EBITDA820.80M795.00M715.40M610.80M587.20M387.50M
Net Income170.10M162.90M87.70M170.60M105.20M16.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.95B6.62B6.60B6.37B5.57B5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B1.40B1.18B972.00M710.30M620.90M
Total Debt4.32B4.25B3.88B3.73B3.29B2.83B
Total Liabilities6.56B6.31B6.08B5.80B5.31B4.93B
Stockholders Equity268.50M184.90M397.40M447.10M123.00M128.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow417.70M203.50M499.70M297.30M310.10M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow635.70M426.00M702.40M479.90M478.00M317.70M
Investing Cash Flow-234.40M-216.20M-179.80M-331.20M-454.70M-565.40M
Financing Cash Flow-273.40M42.20M-207.10M245.20M171.30M683.70M

Brink's Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price113.86
Price Trends
50DMA
113.80
Negative
100DMA
106.71
Positive
200DMA
97.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
46.62
Neutral
STOCH
69.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 113.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.92, above the 50-day MA of 113.80, and above the 200-day MA of 97.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCO.

Brink's Company Risk Analysis

Brink's Company disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brink's Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brink's Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.44B32.8525.03%1.30%-2.28%-9.94%
70
Outperform
$6.12B22.0223.35%1.36%3.31%2.58%
70
Outperform
$6.77B11.7917.24%2.71%4.77%-22.78%
68
Neutral
$3.58B19.3116.76%1.29%12.84%-3.06%
68
Neutral
$4.63B28.1861.95%0.91%3.07%48.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
49
Neutral
$4.94B-20.90%15.45%-488.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCO
Brink's Company
111.35
21.03
23.28%
BRC
Brady
74.88
5.71
8.26%
MSA
MSA Safety
156.29
-10.92
-6.53%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
40.35
5.33
15.22%
ADT
Adt
8.26
0.91
12.38%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
33.01
7.41
28.95%

Brink's Company Corporate Events

Brink’s Reports Strong Third-Quarter Financial Performance
Nov 6, 2025

The Brink’s Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services, serving a diverse clientele including financial institutions, retailers, and government agencies across more than 100 countries.

Brink’s Earnings Call: Growth and Strategic Expansion
Nov 6, 2025

Brink’s Company recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with notable achievements and some challenges. The company showcased strong growth in its AMS/DRS segment, improved free cash flow, and a successful share repurchase program. However, it also faced challenges in the CVM segment and currency fluctuations. Overall, Brink’s strategic focus on high-margin services and geographic expansion supports a positive outlook for the future.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Reports Strong Q3 Results with Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its strong third-quarter results, showcasing a 6% total revenue growth and a 19% increase in AMS/DRS organic growth. The company achieved record operating profit and EBITDA margins, with a 30% increase in free cash flow year-over-year, driven by improved profitability and strategic investments. Brink’s is focused on expanding its high-margin subscription-based AMS/DRS revenue and improving cash conversion, positioning itself for further growth in large and growing markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Hold with a $122.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Brink’s EVP Daniel Castillo Resigns, Impact Looms
Negative
Aug 13, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Daniel J. Castillo, Executive Vice President and President, North America of The Brink’s Company, announced his resignation effective August 29, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. This departure may impact the company’s operations in North America, potentially affecting its industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Brink’s Reports Strong Q2 Results, Raises 2025 Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

The Brink’s Company is a global leader in cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services, serving a diverse clientele including financial institutions and retailers across over 100 countries. In its latest earnings report, Brink’s announced impressive second-quarter results that surpassed expectations for revenue, operating profit, and EBITDA, marking a record operating profit margin. The company has raised its full-year 2025 revenue and EBITDA forecasts, reflecting strong performance and strategic execution.

Brink’s Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth and Positive Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

Brink’s Company recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment about its financial performance. The company reported record revenue and profit margins, primarily driven by significant growth in its ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS) segment, alongside robust free cash flow. Despite facing challenges from currency headwinds and increased interest and tax expenses, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with positive aspects outweighing the negatives.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Exceeds Q2 Expectations, Raises 2025 Outlook
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its second-quarter results, showcasing a strong performance that exceeded their guidance for revenue, operating profit, and EBITDA. The company reported record operating profit margins driven by robust organic revenue growth, particularly in AMS/DRS, and strong productivity in North America and Europe. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on expanding higher-margin subscription-based services, improving cash flow, and returning capital to shareholders, which included repurchasing $85 million in common stock. As a result of this performance, Brink’s has increased its full-year revenue and EBITDA expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025