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Brink's (BCO)
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Brink's Company (BCO) AI Stock Analysis

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BCO

Brink's Company

(NYSE:BCO)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$129.00
▲(13.30% Upside)
Brink's Company demonstrates strong operational performance and strategic growth in high-margin segments, contributing positively to the stock score. However, high leverage and premium valuation present risks. The positive earnings call further supports a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent organic revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Cash Flow Improvement
Significant free cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction.
AMS/DRS Segment Growth
Expansion in high-margin AMS/DRS segment strengthens revenue base and positions Brink's for sustained profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term stability and growth.
CVM Revenue Stagnation
Stagnation in CVM revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth, potentially affecting overall revenue diversification.
Currency Fluctuation Impact
Currency fluctuations can impact profitability and cash flow, adding uncertainty to financial performance in international markets.

Brink's Company (BCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brink's Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers armored vehicle transportation of valuables; automated teller machine (ATM) management services, such as cash replenishment, replenishment forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, installation, and first and second line maintenance services; network infrastructure; and cash-in-transit services. It also provides transportation services for diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, securities, bank notes, currency, high-tech devices, electronics, and pharmaceuticals; vault outsourcing and money processing services; and services related to deploying and servicing intelligent safes and safe control devices, as well as cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, electronic reporting, check imaging, and reconciliation services. In addition, the company offers technology applications, including online cash tracking, cash inventory management, and other web-based tools. Further, it provides bill payment and collection services; prepaid cards and corporate debit cards; and security system design and installation services that include alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, and digital video recorders, as well as access control systems comprising card and biometric readers, electronic locks, and turnstiles. Additionally, the company offers monitoring services; and security and guarding services to protect airports, offices, warehouses, stores, and public venues. It serves banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers, and other commercial operations. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrink's Company generates revenue primarily through its cash management and secure transportation services. The main revenue streams include fees for armored transportation of cash and valuables, cash processing services, and the provision of integrated security solutions to clients. Additionally, Brink's has established significant partnerships with financial institutions and retailers, which contribute to long-term contracts and recurring revenue. The company also invests in technology, offering advanced security solutions that enhance its service offerings and attract new clients, thereby boosting its earnings.

Brink's Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Brink's delivered a strong quarter with significant growth in its AMS/DRS segment, improved free cash flow, and successful share repurchase. However, challenges remain in the CVM segment and currency fluctuations. Overall, the company's strategic focus on high-margin services and geographic expansion supports a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth and Margin Expansion
Brink's reported a 5% organic revenue growth for the third quarter, with a notable 19% growth in ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS). The company achieved record Q3 EBITDA margins of 19%, up 180 basis points from the prior year, driven by productivity and pricing discipline.
Significant Free Cash Flow Improvement
The company delivered $175 million in free cash flow, marking a 30% year-over-year increase. Year-to-date free cash flow conversion improved to 78%, with a trailing 12-month conversion of 50% of adjusted EBITDA.
Success in Share Repurchase Program
Brink's allocated $154 million to repurchase approximately 1.7 million shares at an average price of $89 per share, contributing to an EPS increase of $0.08 in the quarter and $0.33 year-to-date.
Geographic Expansion of AMS/DRS
AMS/DRS now accounts for 28% of total revenue, with significant growth opportunities in underpenetrated markets such as Latin America and the Middle East.
Negative Updates
CVM Revenue Stagnation
The Cash and Valuables Management (CVM) business experienced flat organic revenue growth, impacted by customer conversions to AMS/DRS, which contributed to a 2-3 point organic headwind.
Currency Fluctuation Impact
Currency changes presented challenges, with a positive impact from the euro and British pound being partially offset by the Argentine peso devaluation.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, Brink's reported several key metrics indicating strong performance and positive growth trends. The company achieved a mid-single-digit organic revenue growth rate of 5%, with notable acceleration in their ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS) segment, which grew by 19% compared to the previous quarter. Brink's also recorded a record EBITDA margin of 19%, a year-over-year increase of 180 basis points, with North American operations expanding by 320 basis points. Free cash flow reached $175 million, showing a 30% increase from the previous year, and days sales outstanding improved by 5 days. Additionally, AMS/DRS now constitutes 28% of the company’s revenue, and Brink's anticipates continued margin improvements. The company's full-year framework has been reaffirmed, with expectations of organic growth in mid-single digits and high teens for AMS/DRS. Brink's also highlighted their commitment to shareholder returns, using $154 million to repurchase 1.7 million shares year-to-date, maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio of 2.9x.

Brink's Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brink's Company shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong cash flow generation. However, high leverage and relatively low net profit margins pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brink's Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.51%. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 25%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.31%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show a healthy operational performance, but the decline in EBITDA margin from 15.86% in 2024 to 14.33% TTM indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.51 TTM, reflecting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 70.56% TTM, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Brink's Company has shown a robust free cash flow growth rate of 20.13% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.31 TTM suggests moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 TTM highlights a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.15B5.01B4.87B4.54B4.20B3.69B
Gross Profit1.31B1.27B1.17B1.07B964.40M813.60M
EBITDA820.80M795.00M715.40M610.80M587.20M387.50M
Net Income170.10M162.90M87.70M170.60M105.20M16.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.95B6.62B6.60B6.37B5.57B5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B1.40B1.18B972.00M710.30M620.90M
Total Debt4.32B4.25B3.88B3.73B3.29B2.83B
Total Liabilities6.56B6.31B6.08B5.80B5.31B4.93B
Stockholders Equity268.50M184.90M397.40M447.10M123.00M128.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow417.70M203.50M499.70M297.30M310.10M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow635.70M426.00M702.40M479.90M478.00M317.70M
Investing Cash Flow-234.40M-216.20M-179.80M-331.20M-454.70M-565.40M
Financing Cash Flow-273.40M42.20M-207.10M245.20M171.30M683.70M

Brink's Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price113.86
Price Trends
50DMA
112.98
Positive
100DMA
109.51
Positive
200DMA
98.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Negative
RSI
60.00
Neutral
STOCH
88.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 113.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.49, above the 50-day MA of 112.98, and above the 200-day MA of 98.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCO.

Brink's Company Risk Analysis

Brink's Company disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brink's Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brink's Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.47B33.6325.03%1.28%-2.28%-9.94%
77
Outperform
$3.67B19.0016.69%1.23%11.20%0.71%
75
Outperform
$6.36B22.8723.35%1.29%3.31%2.58%
71
Outperform
$4.85B29.5461.95%0.86%3.07%48.57%
71
Outperform
$6.71B11.6817.24%2.69%4.77%-22.78%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
$5.06B-20.90%15.45%-488.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCO
Brink's Company
116.69
22.18
23.47%
BRC
Brady
77.84
3.33
4.47%
MSA
MSA Safety
162.33
-13.19
-7.51%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
41.31
3.59
9.52%
ADT
Adt
8.18
0.98
13.61%
REZI
Resideo Technologies
33.81
6.82
25.27%

Brink's Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Reports Strong Q3 Results with Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its strong third-quarter results, showcasing a 6% total revenue growth and a 19% increase in AMS/DRS organic growth. The company achieved record operating profit and EBITDA margins, with a 30% increase in free cash flow year-over-year, driven by improved profitability and strategic investments. Brink’s is focused on expanding its high-margin subscription-based AMS/DRS revenue and improving cash conversion, positioning itself for further growth in large and growing markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025