tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Brink's Company (BCO)
NYSE:BCO
Advertisement

Brink's Company (BCO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
289 Followers

Top Page

BCO

Brink's Company

(NYSE:BCO)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$118.00
▲(7.32% Upside)
Brink's Company demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, but high leverage, overbought technical indicators, and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The resignation of a key executive adds uncertainty, though strategic initiatives and improved guidance provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Shares were up 10% following a second-quarter beat, third-quarter guidance above consensus, and positive commentary on midterm growth expectations for the key AMS/DRS business.
Share Repurchases
$130 million in shares have been repurchased using free cash flow that is up $36 million year-to-date over the prior-year period.
Negative Factors
Growth Moderation
The guidance assumes strong FX headwinds continue and growth in the AMS/DRS business moderates from 23% in 2024 to the mid-to-high-teens range in 2025.
Market Competition
Approximately 75% of the retail market does not have a cash management solution and could benefit from DRS adoption.

Brink's Company (BCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brink's Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers armored vehicle transportation of valuables; automated teller machine (ATM) management services, such as cash replenishment, replenishment forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, installation, and first and second line maintenance services; network infrastructure; and cash-in-transit services. It also provides transportation services for diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, securities, bank notes, currency, high-tech devices, electronics, and pharmaceuticals; vault outsourcing and money processing services; and services related to deploying and servicing intelligent safes and safe control devices, as well as cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, electronic reporting, check imaging, and reconciliation services. In addition, the company offers technology applications, including online cash tracking, cash inventory management, and other web-based tools. Further, it provides bill payment and collection services; prepaid cards and corporate debit cards; and security system design and installation services that include alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, and digital video recorders, as well as access control systems comprising card and biometric readers, electronic locks, and turnstiles. Additionally, the company offers monitoring services; and security and guarding services to protect airports, offices, warehouses, stores, and public venues. It serves banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers, and other commercial operations. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrink's Company generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily centered around its cash management and security services. The company charges clients for armored transport services, which includes the secure movement of cash and valuables. Additionally, Brink's earns money through cash processing services, where it manages and distributes cash for banks and retailers. The company also offers technology solutions, including security systems and monitoring services, which provide recurring revenue through maintenance and subscription fees. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and large retail chains bolster its client base, while international expansion into emerging markets enhances revenue potential. The company's strategic focus on security innovation and efficiency continues to drive growth and profitability.

Brink's Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong organic growth, record margins, improved cash generation, and a robust share repurchase program. Despite some challenges with higher tax and interest expenses and currency devaluation impacts, the overall performance led to increased full year expectations, indicating a positive outlook for the company.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
Brink's delivered strong organic revenue growth in all segments with a total company organic growth of 5%, including 16% growth in ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS), and 5% growth in North America.
Record Q2 EBITDA and Operating Margins
Second quarter EBITDA margins were 17.8% and record second quarter operating margins were 12.6%, up 20 basis points year-over-year.
Improved Cash Generation
Brink's delivered $102 million of free cash flow in Q2, a year-to-date increase of $36 million, with trailing 12-month free cash flow increased by $140 million.
Share Repurchase Program
The ongoing share repurchase program reduced the total diluted share count by 6%, utilizing $130 million year-to-date to repurchase approximately 1.5 million shares.
Increased Full Year Expectations
The company increased their expectations for revenue and EBITDA for the full year due to strong first half performance.
Negative Updates
Higher Tax and Interest Expenses
Despite operating profit growth, earnings per share of $1.79 was flat year-over-year due to increases in tax rate and interest expense.
Currency Devaluation Impact
Currency changes amounted to a $17 million headwind, with FX tailwinds from the euro and British pound offset by currency devaluation in Latin America, primarily from the Mexican peso and Argentine peso.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, The Brink's Company provided guidance indicating strong performance with a 4% total reported revenue growth, surpassing their expectations. The company highlighted a 5% organic growth overall, with a notable 16% growth in their ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS/DRS) segments. They reported record second-quarter EBITDA margins at 17.8% and operating margins at 12.6%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20 basis points. Earnings per share stood at $1.79, buoyed by a 6% reduction in diluted share count due to ongoing share repurchases. Brink's generated $102 million in free cash flow, marking a $36 million increase year-to-date. The company expects continued margin expansion, projecting 30 to 50 basis points of EBITDA margin growth for 2025, and plans to allocate over 50% of free cash flow towards shareholder returns.

Brink's Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brink's Company demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient equity utilization. However, high debt levels present a risk, and there is room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Brink's Company shows a solid revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.94%. The gross profit margin is stable at around 25%, and the net profit margin is modest at approximately 3.3%. While the EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, they have slightly decreased in the TTM period compared to the previous year. Overall, the company demonstrates consistent revenue growth and profitability, though margins could be improved.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 12.22 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity is strong at 61.81%, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing. While the company is profitable, the high leverage poses a potential risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Brink's Company exhibits a robust free cash flow growth rate of 378.27% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, showing a reasonable conversion of income to cash. Despite the positive cash flow growth, the ratios suggest room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.07B5.01B4.87B4.54B4.20B3.69B
Gross Profit1.28B1.27B1.17B1.07B964.40M813.60M
EBITDA781.80M795.00M715.40M613.00M576.10M373.00M
Net Income162.70M162.90M87.70M170.60M105.20M22.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.09B6.62B6.60B6.37B5.57B5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.38B1.40B1.18B972.00M710.30M620.90M
Total Debt4.44B4.25B3.88B3.65B3.21B2.75B
Total Liabilities6.70B6.31B6.08B5.80B5.31B4.93B
Stockholders Equity254.60M184.90M397.40M570.20M252.60M202.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow347.70M203.50M499.70M297.30M310.10M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow572.00M426.00M702.40M479.90M478.00M317.70M
Investing Cash Flow-257.40M-216.20M-179.80M-331.20M-454.70M-565.40M
Financing Cash Flow-95.00M42.20M-207.10M245.20M171.30M683.70M

Brink's Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price109.95
Price Trends
50DMA
94.46
Positive
100DMA
90.55
Positive
200DMA
91.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.34
Negative
RSI
73.35
Negative
STOCH
58.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 109.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.45, above the 50-day MA of 94.46, and above the 200-day MA of 91.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCO.

Brink's Company Risk Analysis

Brink's Company disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brink's Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brink's Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.10B25.0827.48%1.71%-1.05%-2.78%
78
Outperform
$7.34B13.2317.13%2.52%3.80%-3.18%
68
Neutral
$100.77M65.29-3.47%
67
Neutral
$4.61B29.6656.23%0.91%2.17%25.34%
60
Neutral
$3.07B34.046.73%1.14%169.19%
60
Neutral
$41.19M26.479.92%
59
Neutral
AU$1.66B10.99-2.47%3.49%7.67%2.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCO
Brink's Company
109.95
5.80
5.57%
GEO
Geo Group
21.16
7.46
54.45%
SNT
Senstar Technologies
4.35
2.61
150.00%
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
30.39
-23.49
-43.60%
SPCB
SuperCom
9.25
5.57
151.36%
ADT
Adt
8.64
1.49
20.84%

Brink's Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brink’s EVP Daniel Castillo Resigns, Impact Looms
Negative
Aug 13, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Daniel J. Castillo, Executive Vice President and President, North America of The Brink’s Company, announced his resignation effective August 29, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. This departure may impact the company’s operations in North America, potentially affecting its industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brink’s Company Exceeds Q2 Expectations, Raises 2025 Outlook
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its second-quarter results, showcasing a strong performance that exceeded their guidance for revenue, operating profit, and EBITDA. The company reported record operating profit margins driven by robust organic revenue growth, particularly in AMS/DRS, and strong productivity in North America and Europe. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on expanding higher-margin subscription-based services, improving cash flow, and returning capital to shareholders, which included repurchasing $85 million in common stock. As a result of this performance, Brink’s has increased its full-year revenue and EBITDA expectations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brink’s Company Enhances CEO Retention and Succession Plan
Positive
Jul 18, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Brink’s Company entered into a letter agreement with CEO Mark Eubanks to ensure retention and succession planning, offering specific vesting treatments for his future equity awards. Additionally, on July 16, 2025, the company amended its Severance Pay Plan and Change in Control Plan to enhance termination protections and retention value, increasing severance benefits and extending vesting periods for the CEO, which may impact the company’s leadership stability and stakeholder confidence.

Business Operations and Strategy
Brink’s Company Updates Investor Presentation for Growth
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, The Brink’s Company updated its investor presentation slides, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding its AMS and DRS offerings to drive organic growth and improve profit margins. The company aims to enhance shareholder value through efficient capital allocation, while addressing market trends and challenges such as macroeconomic factors and technological risks. Brink’s plans to optimize its network and expand its addressable market by 2-3 times, leveraging its innovative solutions to secure long-term recurring revenue and improve operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025