Brink's Company (BCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.97B
• Dividend Yield: 1.08%
• Average Volume (3M): 330.50K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.75
• Revenue Growth: 1.97%
• EPS Growth: 41.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 66,100
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 89
• Industry: Security & Protection Services
• EPS (TTM): 1.62
• Shares Outstanding: 41,999,992
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 247,695
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 330,497
• PEG Ratio: 0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.46
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.31
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.26
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.12
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.85
• 1Y Price Target: $90.00
• Price Target Upside: -4.47% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 70 Neutral
• Price Target: $97.00 ▲(2.96%Upside)

The overall score reflects Brink's solid financial performance and strong guidance from the earnings call, offset by high leverage and moderate valuation metrics. Positive corporate events and technical indicators suggest potential for growth, but strategic improvements are necessary for long-term stability.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

First-quarter results handily beat consensus expectations, with adjusted EBITDA and EPS above the high end of guidance.

Market Potential

Brink's operates in a $36 billion market, with potential to expand that market by 2-3 times through DRS and AMS adoption.

Shareholder Returns

Brink’s has consistently increased its free cash flow and the percentage of that cash flow returned to shareholders.

Negative Factors

Currency Fluctuations

Increased FX headwinds are expected to weigh on near-term revenue performance due to a stronger US Dollar and currency devaluations in key regions.

Currency Impact

A stronger USD relative to other currencies is expected to present a 6% headwind to 2025 reported revenue growth compared to prior expectations of a 3.5% headwind.

Revenue Growth

Reduced expectations for total company organic revenue growth in 2025 to 6%, down from 9%, reflecting slower Latin America growth as Argentina inflation moderates.

Brink's Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Brink's Company (BCO) is a global leader in total cash management, secure logistics, and payment solutions. Operating in over 100 countries, Brink's provides a range of services that include armored car transportation, ATM replenishment and maintenance, cash handling, and secure international transportation of valuables. The company serves a diverse clientele, including financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, and commercial enterprises, offering solutions designed to ensure the secure and efficient movement of cash and valuables.

How the Company Makes Money

Brink's Company generates revenue primarily through its cash management and secure logistics services. Key revenue streams include fees for armored transportation of cash and valuables, ATM services such as replenishment and repair, and cash processing services that include counting, sorting, and validating currency. Brink's also earns income from its global services, which involve secure transportation of valuables across international borders. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and retailers bolster its revenue by integrating Brink's solutions into their operations, enhancing the efficiency and security of their cash handling processes. Additionally, technological advancements in security and payment solutions contribute to new revenue opportunities for Brink's.

Brink's Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Brink's Company has shown consistent revenue growth and stable operational margins. However, high leverage and the need for improved net profitability are notable concerns. The company's cash generation is resilient, but efforts to strengthen equity and manage debt are essential for long-term stability.

Income Statement

Brink's Company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $3.69 billion in 2020 to $5.02 billion in the TTM. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 25%, while the net profit margin has shown some fluctuations but improved to 3.29% in the TTM. EBITDA margin has been relatively stable, indicating efficient operational performance. However, the company needs to improve its net profitability to enhance overall financial performance.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, suggesting a significant reliance on debt financing, which introduces financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) has improved, reaching 50.21% in the TTM, indicating effective use of equity. The equity ratio is low at 4.99%, reflecting limited equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows a leveraged position, and strengthening equity is advisable to reduce risk.

Cash Flow

Brink's Company has shown a positive trend in operating cash flows, although there was a decline in the TTM. The free cash flow growth rate has decreased, yet the company maintains a positive free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates good cash generation relative to net income. However, maintaining or improving free cash flow generation is crucial for sustaining financial health.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.02B	5.01B	4.87B	4.54B	4.20B	3.69B
Gross Profit	1.27B	1.27B	1.17B	1.07B	964.40M	813.60M
EBITDA	615.40M	817.30M	715.40M	613.00M	576.10M	373.00M
Net Income	165.20M	162.90M	87.70M	170.60M	105.20M	22.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.58B	6.62B	6.60B	6.37B	5.57B	5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.23B	1.40B	1.18B	972.00M	710.30M	620.90M
Total Debt	4.02B	4.25B	3.88B	3.65B	3.21B	2.75B
Total Liabilities	6.25B	6.31B	6.08B	5.80B	5.31B	4.93B
Stockholders Equity	329.00M	184.90M	397.40M	570.20M	252.60M	202.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	72.70M	203.50M	499.70M	297.30M	310.10M	199.20M
Operating Cash Flow	301.90M	426.00M	702.40M	479.90M	478.00M	317.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-219.20M	-216.20M	-179.80M	-331.20M	-454.70M	-565.40M
Financing Cash Flow	-80.50M	42.20M	-207.10M	245.20M	171.30M	683.70M

Brink's Company Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 94.21
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.96, above the 50-day MA of 87.71, and above the 200-day MA of 93.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCO.

Brink's Company Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NSSC	79 Outperform	$1.06B	24.25	27.48%	1.88%	-1.05%	-2.78%
SNT	79 Outperform	$112.90M	65.29	-3.47%	―	―	―
ADT	72 Outperform	$7.03B	14.37	16.26%	2.62%	-5.44%	-16.05%
BCO	70 Neutral	$3.97B	25.38	54.50%	1.08%	1.97%	41.88%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$2.52B	12.59	9.94%	4.40%	-2.21%	31.02%
SPCB	66 Neutral	$44.93M	30.50	9.92%	―	―	―
GEO	62 Neutral	$3.65B	141.79	2.12%	―	0.50%	-71.85%

Brink's Company Corporate Events

Brink’s Company Updates Investor Presentation for Growth

On June 3, 2025, The Brink’s Company updated its investor presentation slides, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding its AMS and DRS offerings to drive organic growth and improve profit margins. The company aims to enhance shareholder value through efficient capital allocation, while addressing market trends and challenges such as macroeconomic factors and technological risks. Brink’s plans to optimize its network and expand its addressable market by 2-3 times, leveraging its innovative solutions to secure long-term recurring revenue and improve operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Brink’s Company Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results

On May 12, 2025, Brink’s Company announced its strong first-quarter results, with revenue reaching the upper end of its guidance range and achieving a 6% organic growth. The company reported significant growth in ATM managed services and digital retail solutions, with a 20% increase in these areas. Brink’s also repurchased over 1.3 million shares year-to-date, nearly tripling the previous year’s repurchases. Despite global economic uncertainties, the company remains committed to executing its strategy to improve profitability and deliver shareholder value through growth in its AMS and DRS sectors, streamlining operations, and adhering to its capital allocation priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCO) stock is a Buy with a $111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brink’s Company stock, see the BCO Stock Forecast page.

Brink’s Company Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting

On May 8, 2025, The Brink’s Company held its annual meeting of shareholders where three proposals were discussed and voted on. Shareholders elected nine directors to the board, approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation, and selected KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.