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DUTY - ETF AI Analysis

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DUTY

U.S. Defense ETF (DUTY)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
DUTY, the U.S. Defense ETF, has an overall rating that suggests it is a solid but not risk‑free choice, supported by strong core holdings in major defense contractors like General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin, which benefit from robust backlogs, cash flow, and positive earnings outlooks. However, holdings such as Rocket Lab, with profitability and cash flow challenges, and several names facing high valuations and occasional bearish or neutral technical signals, weigh on the fund’s rating. The main risk factor is its concentration in the defense and security sector, which ties performance closely to government spending, geopolitical events, and valuation swings in this niche.
Positive Factors
Strong Defense and Tech Leaders
Several major holdings like L3Harris, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Teledyne, and Curtiss-Wright have shown solid gains, helping support the fund despite recent volatility.
Focused Exposure to Defense and Technology
The ETF concentrates on industrial and technology companies tied to the U.S. defense sector, giving investors targeted access to this specific theme.
Meaningful Size for a Niche Strategy
The fund has built a reasonable asset base for a specialized ETF, which can help support trading liquidity and ongoing fund operations.
Negative Factors
Recent Negative Performance
The ETF’s year-to-date return has been weak, which may concern investors looking for more stable or positive recent results.
Underperforming Key Holdings
Some large positions, including Palantir, General Dynamics, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks, have lagged this year and have weighed on overall performance.
High U.S. and Sector Concentration
With almost all assets in U.S. stocks and heavily tilted toward just two sectors, the fund offers limited geographic and industry diversification and may be more sensitive to downturns in U.S. defense and tech markets.

DUTY vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DUTY Summary

DUTY is the U.S. Defense ETF, which follows the Solactive U.S. Defense Index. It invests in U.S. companies whose main business is defense and national security, including weapons systems, military aircraft, and cybersecurity for government agencies. Well-known holdings include Lockheed Martin and Palantir Technologies. Investors might consider DUTY if they want targeted exposure to defense and related technology, which can benefit from long-term government spending and advances in security tech. However, this ETF is heavily focused on the defense sector, so its price can swing with changes in U.S. defense budgets, government contracts, and geopolitical events.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.45%, which means you’ll pay about $4.50 per year for every $1,000 you invest. That’s higher than the cost of many broad, passively managed index ETFs because this is a more specialized, theme-focused fund targeting U.S. defense companies.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF could benefit if U.S. defense spending rises, geopolitical tensions stay elevated, or the government increases investment in advanced technologies like cybersecurity and aerospace, which would likely support major holdings such as Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Palantir. On the other hand, it could be hurt by cuts to the U.S. defense budget, changes in government priorities or regulations, reduced military conflicts, or a broad market downturn that hits industrial and technology stocks, especially given its concentrated focus on U.S. defense companies.

DUTY Top 10 Holdings

DUTY is a tightly focused bet on U.S. defense, with a clear tilt toward cutting‑edge tech alongside traditional contractors. Rocket Lab has been the rocket fuel lately, surging on contract wins, while cybersecurity names like Fortinet, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks are also rising and giving the fund a high‑growth, digital‑defense flavor. Palantir is back on the upswing after a choppy start to the year. On the other side, stalwarts like Northrop Grumman and L3Harris have been lagging, keeping overall performance from really taking off.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Lockheed Martin7.44%$155.03K$122.23B14.98%
70
Outperform
General Dynamics7.30%$152.09K$93.48B23.65%
80
Outperform
L3Harris Technologies7.15%$148.99K$57.41B22.84%
70
Neutral
Northrop Grumman6.97%$145.35K$77.93B12.33%
76
Outperform
Palantir Technologies6.85%$142.71K$316.61B-3.17%
74
Outperform
Rocket Lab USA5.71%$119.11K$62.65B298.34%
57
Neutral
Fortinet4.57%$95.20K$101.39B36.13%
71
Outperform
Palo Alto Networks4.10%$85.42K$212.32B35.41%
73
Outperform
CrowdStrike Holdings4.02%$83.88K$164.18B35.80%
67
Neutral
Okta3.96%$82.63K$20.85B19.03%
75
Outperform

DUTY Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
45.25
Neutral
STOCH
4.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DUTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.14, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DUTY.

DUTY Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$2.07M0.45%
70
Outperform
$55.98M0.40%
72
Outperform
$33.35M0.10%
67
Neutral
$13.10M1.00%
68
Neutral
$7.89M0.65%
69
Neutral
$5.06M0.58%
62
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DUTY
U.S. Defense ETF
25.27
1.09
4.51%
MADE
iShares U.S. Manufacturing ETF
GCAD
Gabelli Commercial Aerospace & Defense ETF
HVAC
AdvisorShares HVAC and Industrials ETF
TSSD
Truth Social American Security & Defense ETF
MAKX
ProShares S&P Kensho Smart Factories ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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