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General Dynamics (GD)
NYSE:GD
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General Dynamics (GD) AI Stock Analysis

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GD

General Dynamics

(NYSE:GD)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$454.00
▲(17.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (steady growth, improving leverage, and robust free cash flow) and a positive earnings update with raised EPS guidance plus record backlog/order momentum. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages, while valuation is the main dampener given a relatively elevated P/E with only a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating and free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. High FCF supports sustained reinvestment in shipyards and production, funds pension derisking and capex, and enables shareholder returns and opportunistic buybacks even if revenue timing varies.
Negative Factors
Margin pressure in segments
Persistent margin compression in parts of the portfolio can erode cash conversion and return on invested capital. If driven by structural mix shifts, higher G&A/R&D or cost inflation, margins may stay below prior peaks and limit incremental free cash flow generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating and free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. High FCF supports sustained reinvestment in shipyards and production, funds pension derisking and capex, and enables shareholder returns and opportunistic buybacks even if revenue timing varies.
Read all positive factors

General Dynamics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, revealing which areas contribute most to the company's top line and indicating growth opportunities or potential vulnerabilities.
Chart InsightsMarine Systems has become the clear growth engine—sustained, step-up revenue and improved throughput are driving outsized free‑cash‑flow and underpin management’s upward EPS revision and massive backlog; Aerospace is also delivering higher-margin uplift (Gulfstream deliveries/productivity) that meaningfully boosts profitability. Combat Systems is steady but showing quarter-to-quarter order timing volatility, while Technologies is a stable, modest-growth cash generator with slight margin pressure. Watch supply‑chain single‑source risks and 2026 note maturities as the main execution/refinancing caveats to this positive momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

General Dynamics (GD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Dynamics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
General Dynamics Corporation is a global leader in the aerospace and defense industry, with its operations structured across four key divisions: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment focuses on the desi...
How the Company Makes Money
General Dynamics primarily makes money by selling high-value defense platforms and delivering long-term services under contracts—predominantly with the U.S. government (especially the Department of Defense)—and by manufacturing and servicing Gulfs...

General Dynamics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad-based strength: robust revenue and earnings growth, record backlog (+32% YoY), strong order intake (book-to-bill >1 in all segments), exceptional cash generation and an increased full-year EPS outlook. Challenges include margin pressure in some businesses, increased planned capex and a sizeable pension contribution that will temper second-half cash flow, lingering single-source supply risks, and external budget/procurement timing uncertainty. On balance the positives—especially the backlog, cash conversion and raised guidance—substantially outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Q2 revenue of $14.1B; operating earnings $1.460B; net earnings $1.160B; diluted EPS $4.24. Year-over-year revenue +8.1%, operating earnings +~12%, net earnings +14.4%, EPS +13.4% ($0.50). Company operating margin 10.4%, up 40 bps YoY.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure in Parts of the Business
Combat Systems operating earnings down $6M and margin down 30 bps YoY to 13.9%. Technologies operating margin decreased 20 bps to 9.4%. Aerospace Q3 margin expected similar to Q2 due to mix and higher G&A/R&D with Q4 improvement expected.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Q2 revenue of $14.1B; operating earnings $1.460B; net earnings $1.160B; diluted EPS $4.24. Year-over-year revenue +8.1%, operating earnings +~12%, net earnings +14.4%, EPS +13.4% ($0.50). Company operating margin 10.4%, up 40 bps YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance: For full‑year 2026 General Dynamics now expects company revenue of about $55.7 billion, an operating margin of 10.5% and raised EPS to $16.80–$16.90; by segment the company forecasts Aerospace revenue ≈ $13.8B (≈160 Gulfstream deliveries) with a 14.7% margin (Q3 ~in line with Q2, stronger Q4), Combat revenue ≈ $9.8B with a 13.8% margin, Marine Systems revenue ≈ $18.0B with a 7.4% margin, and Technologies revenue ≈ $14.1B with a 9.4% margin. Capital and cash guidance includes full‑year capex of 3.5–4.0% of sales (Q2 capex $234M; H1 $437M) with capex weighted to H2, an expected free‑cash‑flow conversion of ~105% of net income (Q2 FCF $1.6B, H1 FCF $3.6B; Q2 cash conversion 142%, H1 >150%), a planned ~$500M pension contribution, >$500M of cash taxes weighted to H2, net interest expense of ~ $270M for the year, and a full‑year effective tax rate around 17.5% (H1 17.7%). Orders/backlog and liquidity: Q2 orders were just shy of $20B producing a company book‑to‑bill of 1.4x (Aerospace 1.5x; Combat Systems 2.1x), record backlog $136.5B (up 32% YoY) and total estimated contract value $186.9B; Q2 cash ≈ $4.3B and net debt ≈ $3.2B. Dividends in Q2 were ≈ $430M and share repurchases ≈ $100M.

General Dynamics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by steady revenue growth (to $54.9B TTM), resilient profitability (operating ~10–11%, net ~8%), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.31 TTM), and notably strong free cash flow ($6.4B TTM). Key watch items are modest margin compression since 2022 and year-to-year cash flow variability.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
87
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.86B52.55B47.72B42.27B39.41B38.47B
Gross Profit8.44B7.95B7.36B6.67B6.62B6.41B
EBITDA6.45B6.10B5.82B5.25B5.31B5.19B
Net Income4.49B4.21B3.78B3.31B3.39B3.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.16B57.25B55.88B54.81B51.59B50.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.33B2.33B1.70B1.91B1.24B1.60B
Total Debt7.52B9.79B10.68B11.08B12.11B13.18B
Total Liabilities33.34B31.63B33.82B33.51B33.02B32.43B
Stockholders Equity26.83B25.62B22.06B21.30B18.57B17.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.45B3.96B3.20B3.81B3.46B3.38B
Operating Cash Flow7.71B5.12B4.11B4.71B4.58B4.27B
Investing Cash Flow-1.49B-1.29B-959.00M-945.00M-1.49B-882.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.39B-3.19B-3.37B-3.09B-3.47B-4.59B

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price386.75
Price Trends
50DMA
357.97
Positive
100DMA
349.30
Positive
200DMA
346.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.02
Negative
RSI
70.27
Negative
STOCH
81.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 386.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 375.99, above the 50-day MA of 357.97, and above the 200-day MA of 346.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GD.

General Dynamics Risk Analysis

General Dynamics disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Dynamics reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Dynamics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$103.02B24.4117.41%1.60%9.13%10.36%
76
Outperform
$131.37B21.3386.24%2.34%7.20%52.79%
76
Outperform
$290.10B38.0111.79%1.30%11.84%24.93%
70
Outperform
$55.43B32.968.87%1.63%7.29%10.75%
70
Outperform
$76.01B17.4126.58%1.73%5.90%16.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
49
Neutral
$169.15B83.29105.39%24.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GD
General Dynamics
382.20
75.99
24.82%
BA
Boeing
220.90
-0.94
-0.42%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
271.90
1.46
0.54%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
574.11
164.19
40.05%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
534.85
-32.86
-5.79%
RTX
RTX
214.38
59.28
38.22%

General Dynamics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
General Dynamics Shareholders Reaffirm Board and Governance Direction
Positive
May 11, 2026
At General Dynamics’ annual meeting of shareholders held on May 6, 2026, investors elected all nominated directors in an uncontested vote, reaffirming the current board’s composition and leadership. The slate included Chair and CEO Phe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026