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General Dynamics (GD)
NYSE:GD

General Dynamics (GD) AI Stock Analysis

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GD

General Dynamics

(NYSE:GD)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$403.00
▲(19.46% Upside)
General Dynamics' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust order backlog and cash flow generation support a positive outlook. However, the high valuation and potential short-term technical corrections are risks to consider.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong demand across key segments, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Order Backlog
A robust backlog provides revenue visibility and stability, ensuring sustained operations and strategic planning over the coming years.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for investment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Technologies Segment Decline
Declining revenue in the Technologies segment may indicate challenges in maintaining competitiveness, potentially affecting future growth in this area.
Supply Chain Challenges
Ongoing supply chain issues can hinder production efficiency and delay project timelines, impacting overall operational performance.
Government Shutdown Concerns
Prolonged government shutdowns can disrupt contract timing and cash flow, posing risks to financial stability and operational continuity.

General Dynamics (GD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Dynamics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Dynamics (GD) is a global aerospace and defense company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. It operates through four main business segments: Aerospace, Combat Systems, Information Technology, and Mission Systems. The company is known for producing a wide range of products and services, including military vehicles, submarines, advanced information technology systems, and business jets. GD serves both government and commercial customers, focusing on delivering innovative solutions that enhance national security and improve operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Dynamics generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from government contracts and sales to commercial clients. The Aerospace segment contributes significantly to revenue through the production and servicing of business jets and military aircraft. The Combat Systems segment earns money by supplying armored vehicles, munitions, and other defense equipment to military organizations. Information Technology and Mission Systems generate revenue from providing IT services, cybersecurity solutions, and mission support for defense and intelligence agencies. Additionally, strategic partnerships with various government entities and private companies enhance GD's market position, providing a steady flow of contracts and repeat business, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

General Dynamics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Earnings by Segment
Operating Earnings by Segment
Highlights profit generated by each business unit, providing insight into which segments drive the company's profitability and where operational efficiencies or challenges may exist.
Chart InsightsGeneral Dynamics' Aerospace and Marine Systems segments are driving growth, with Marine Systems benefiting from record orders and significant submarine contracts. Despite supply chain delays, Marine Systems' revenue surged, contributing to a strong backlog and cash flow. Aerospace is also performing well, though new product deliveries are pressuring margins. Combat Systems faces stagnation due to program cancellations. Overall, the company is in a robust financial position, with increased operating earnings and a strong order book, signaling positive momentum despite some operational challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

General Dynamics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
General Dynamics reported strong financial performance with record revenues, robust order momentum, and significant cash flow generation. The Aerospace and Combat Systems segments showed impressive growth. However, there were challenges in the Technologies segment and ongoing concerns about supply chain constraints and the potential impacts of the government shutdown.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
General Dynamics reported earnings of $3.88 per diluted share on revenue of $12.9 billion, with a 10.6% increase in revenue compared to the previous year. Operating earnings were up 12.7%, and net earnings increased by 13.9%.
Aerospace Segment Surge
The Aerospace segment led growth with a 30.3% increase in revenue compared to last year's third quarter, driven by new aircraft deliveries and higher special mission volume. Operating earnings in this segment increased by 41%.
Strong Order Momentum and Backlog
The company reported a robust order momentum with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.5:1, resulting in a record backlog of $109.9 billion, up 19% from a year ago.
Cash Flow Success
Operating cash flow for the quarter was $2.1 billion, with free cash flow at $1.9 billion, representing 179% of net income.
Combat Systems Performance
Combat Systems had a strong quarter with a book-to-bill ratio of 2:1 and backlog reaching $18.7 billion, reflecting strong demand.
Negative Updates
Technologies Segment Revenue Decline
The Technologies segment experienced a 1.6% decline in revenue compared to the previous year, although there was a slight improvement in operating margin.
Supply Chain Challenges
While there have been improvements, some areas of the supply chain are still struggling to meet the significant increase in demand, impacting productivity in Marine Systems.
Government Shutdown Concerns
Uncertainty due to the ongoing government shutdown could impact cash flow and contract timing, especially if it continues into the next year.
Company Guidance
In the General Dynamics Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported earnings of $3.88 per diluted share on revenue of $12.9 billion, with operating earnings of $1.3 billion and net income of $1.059 billion. Revenue increased by $1.24 billion, or 10.6%, year-over-year, driven by a 30.3% increase in the Aerospace segment and a 13.8% increase in Marine Systems. Year-to-date, revenue reached $38.2 billion, up 11%, and operating earnings were $3.9 billion, up 15.7%. Net earnings rose by 16.4% to $3.07 billion, and earnings per share increased by 19%. The company exceeded consensus estimates by $0.18 owing to higher-than-expected revenue and improved operating margins. The Aerospace segment delivered 39 aircraft, and the Combat Systems segment reported a book-to-bill ratio of 2:1 with $4.4 billion in orders. Marine Systems also saw significant growth, with $4.1 billion in revenue and a backlog of $18.7 billion. Technologies revenue was down slightly, but the backlog grew significantly, indicating strong future prospects. The call highlighted robust order activity, resulting in a record backlog of $109.9 billion, and operating cash flow of $2.1 billion, leading to free cash flow of $1.9 billion. The company anticipates annual revenue of around $52 billion with an EPS forecast of $15.30 to $15.35, while noting potential impacts from the ongoing government shutdown.

General Dynamics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Dynamics demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company has effectively managed its leverage, as seen in the improved debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. However, attention to cost management is necessary to maintain gross profit margins.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
General Dynamics has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.46%. The company maintains strong profitability with a net profit margin of 8.18% and an EBIT margin of 10.67%. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.33, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity remains strong at 18.27%, showcasing efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a complete assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 16.51%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.84, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting efficient cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.51B47.72B42.27B39.41B38.47B37.92B
Gross Profit7.89B7.36B6.67B6.62B6.41B6.33B
EBITDA6.41B5.82B5.25B5.31B5.19B5.11B
Net Income4.21B3.78B3.31B3.39B3.26B3.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.60B55.88B54.81B51.59B50.07B51.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.52B1.70B1.91B1.24B1.60B2.82B
Total Debt10.19B10.68B11.08B12.11B13.18B14.73B
Total Liabilities33.16B33.82B33.51B33.02B32.43B35.65B
Stockholders Equity24.43B22.06B21.30B18.57B17.64B15.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.81B3.20B3.81B3.46B3.38B2.89B
Operating Cash Flow5.72B4.11B4.71B4.58B4.27B3.86B
Investing Cash Flow-796.00M-959.00M-945.00M-1.49B-882.00M-974.00M
Financing Cash Flow-4.50B-3.37B-3.09B-3.47B-4.59B-903.00M

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price337.34
Price Trends
50DMA
340.60
Negative
100DMA
331.40
Positive
200DMA
303.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.82
Positive
RSI
47.48
Neutral
STOCH
33.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 337.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.47, below the 50-day MA of 340.60, and above the 200-day MA of 303.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GD.

General Dynamics Risk Analysis

General Dynamics disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Dynamics reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Dynamics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$90.87B21.8017.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$80.52B20.2526.15%1.59%-0.14%72.35%
74
Outperform
$237.58B36.3910.49%1.51%8.79%39.63%
70
Outperform
$109.87B26.5062.78%2.81%2.88%-35.15%
70
Neutral
$52.14B29.939.13%1.72%2.83%47.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$161.57B-15.2210.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GD
General Dynamics
337.34
79.01
30.58%
BA
Boeing
208.27
30.92
17.43%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
282.72
72.31
34.37%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
470.14
-4.88
-1.03%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
559.52
98.00
21.23%
RTX
RTX
178.29
63.94
55.92%

General Dynamics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
General Dynamics Announces Upcoming Controller Transition
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, General Dynamics announced that William A. Moss will retire as vice president and controller on March 31, 2026. Dana O. Maisano, with over 20 years at the company and experience in various finance roles, will succeed him as controller on April 1, 2026, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and continuity.

Executive/Board Changes
Danny Deep Appointed President of General Dynamics
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Danny Deep, a veteran with over 20 years at General Dynamics, will assume the role of president. His compensation includes a base salary of $1,300,000, with a target annual incentive at 150% of his salary, and a long-term equity-based incentive as outlined in the company’s proxy statement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025