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General Dynamics (GD)
NYSE:GD

General Dynamics (GD) AI Stock Analysis

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GD

General Dynamics

(NYSE:GD)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$318.00
▲(13.60%Upside)
General Dynamics' overall score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, underscoring robust growth in key segments. While technical indicators and valuation are moderate, recent leadership changes further enhance the company's strategic position. Challenges such as tariff uncertainties and negative free cash flow require attention, but the company's fundamentals remain solid.
Positive Factors
Aerospace Certification
G800 achieved FAA certification in the quarter and GD sees this stimulating demand from here.
Defense Systems Demand
Combat seen as well positioned given solid demand signals from Europe, increased munitions capacity, and increased orders on wheeled and tracked vehicles.
Technologies Performance
Technologies was a notable standout in the quarter with sales and margins exceeding estimates.
Negative Factors
Interest Expenses
It looks like GD could incur higher interest expense for the year, though the earnings impact could be offset by continued repurchases not yet baked into guidance.
Profitability Pressure
Profitability will remain pressured by execution challenges.
Supply Chain Challenges
GD continued to call out supply chain delays and quality issues at Marine.

General Dynamics (GD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Dynamics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment designs, manufactures, and sells business jets; and offers aircraft maintenance and repair, management, charter, aircraft-on-ground support and completion, staffing, and fixed-base operator services. The Marine Systems segment designs and builds nuclear-powered submarines, surface combatants, and auxiliary ships for the United States Navy and Jones Act ships for commercial customers, as well as builds crude oil and product tankers, and container and cargo ships. This segment also provides navy ships maintenance and modernization services; lifecycle support and repair services for navy surface ships; and program management, planning, engineering, and design support services for submarines and surface ships. The Combat Systems segment manufactures land combat solutions, such as wheeled and tracked combat vehicles, Stryker wheeled combat vehicles, piranha vehicles, weapons systems, munitions, mobile bridge systems with payloads, tactical vehicles, main battle tanks, armored vehicles, and armaments. This segment also offers modernization programs, engineering, support, and sustainment services. The Technologies segment provides information technology solutions and mission support services; mobile communication, computers, and command-and-control mission systems; and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions to military, intelligence, and federal civilian customers. This segment also offers cloud computing, artificial intelligence; machine learning; big data analytics; development, security, and operations; software-defined networks; everything-as-a-service; defense enterprise office system solutions; and unmanned undersea vehicle manufacturing and assembly services. General Dynamics Corporation was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Dynamics generates revenue through a diverse portfolio of products and services offered across its business segments. In the Aerospace segment, the company earns money by designing, manufacturing, and servicing Gulfstream business jets. The Marine Systems segment contributes to revenue through the construction and maintenance of nuclear-powered submarines and other naval ships for military customers. The Combat Systems segment provides income from the sale of combat vehicles, weapons systems, and munitions to various global defense customers. The Technologies segment, which includes Information Technology and Mission Systems, generates revenue through the provision of IT services, communication systems, and other technology solutions to government and commercial clients. Key revenue sources also include long-term contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies, as well as international defense contracts.

General Dynamics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Earnings by Segment
Operating Earnings by Segment
Highlights profit generated by each business unit, providing insight into which segments drive the company's profitability and where operational efficiencies or challenges may exist.
Chart InsightsGeneral Dynamics' Aerospace segment is experiencing robust growth, significantly contributing to the company's overall financial performance, with a notable 45.2% revenue increase driven by higher aircraft deliveries. Despite this, the company faces challenges such as negative free cash flow and supply chain issues in Marine Systems. The Combat Systems and Technologies segments show steady growth, but uncertainties like tariffs could impact future performance. The strategic focus on Aerospace and shareholder returns suggests confidence, yet operational hurdles remain a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

General Dynamics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with significant growth across key segments, particularly in Aerospace. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow, a slight decline in backlog, and uncertainties related to tariffs and the supply chain in Marine Systems were notable concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Earnings per diluted share were $3.66 on revenue of $12.2 billion. Revenue increased by 13.9%, operating earnings by 22.4%, and net earnings by 24.4% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Aerospace Segment Performance
Aerospace revenue increased by 45.2%, driven by a 50% increase in aircraft deliveries, including 13 new G700s. Operating earnings increased by 59.4%.
G800 Certification and Expectations
The G800 was certified by the FAA and EASA, with expectations for smooth entry into service and potential to exceed planned deliveries.
Defense Segment Growth
Combat Systems revenue increased by 3.5%, and Marine Systems revenue grew by 7.7%. Technologies Group revenue increased by 6.8%.
Shareholder Returns
Returned over $980 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was a negative $290 million for the quarter, though this was better than expected.
Slight Decline in Backlog
The total backlog was slightly down from year-end to $89 billion, attributed in part to the 14% increase in revenue from last year.
Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns about the impact of tariffs on aerospace, with no clear understanding of the scope and breadth of the issue yet.
Challenges in Marine Systems
Continued struggles with achieving operating leverage due to delays and quality problems in the supply chain.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, General Dynamics reported robust financial performance with earnings of $3.66 per diluted share, reflecting a 27.1% increase from the same period in the previous year. The company achieved revenue of $12.2 billion, marking a 13.9% increase, while operating earnings rose by 22.4% to $1.268 billion, and net earnings increased by 24.4% to $994 million. The operating margin improved by 70 basis points to 10.4%. Aerospace led revenue growth with a 45.2% increase, driven by a 50% increase in aircraft deliveries, including 13 new G700s. The Technologies Group also saw strong order activity with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 to 1. However, the overall company book-to-bill ratio was slightly below 1 due to a 14% revenue increase. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $142 million, and the company returned over $980 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $290 million, with expectations for improvement in the subsequent quarters. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of $1.2 billion and a net debt position of $8.4 billion. The effective tax rate was 17.2%. While the company did not update its annual guidance, it noted the positive start to the year and the potential impact of tariffs on future performance.

General Dynamics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Dynamics demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, effective leverage management, and solid cash flow generation. Key metrics such as a healthy profit margin, strong ROE, and positive free cash flow growth highlight this stability, although high total liabilities warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
General Dynamics shows strong profitability with consistent growth in revenue and net income over the years. The TTM gross profit margin is healthy at 15.41%, and the net profit margin stands at 10.75%. Revenue has grown steadily, reflected by a 4.13% increase from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT margin is robust at 13.60%, and EBITDA margin at 15.24%, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a well-performing company with upward growth trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, showing a prudent leverage strategy. The equity ratio of 39.28% indicates a stable capital structure. ROE is strong at 17.89%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the high total liabilities relative to stockholders' equity could pose a future risk if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and effective equity utilization.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow generation is strong, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 4.61% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.07, indicating that the company is effectively converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.84 reflects ample liquidity to support operations and investments. Overall, the cash flow statement shows healthy cash management and sufficient liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
49.21B47.72B42.27B39.41B38.47B37.92B
Gross Profit
7.59B7.36B6.67B6.62B6.41B6.33B
EBIT
5.03B3.83B4.25B4.21B4.16B4.13B
EBITDA
5.88B5.82B5.25B5.31B5.19B5.11B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.98B3.78B3.31B3.39B3.26B3.17B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.24B1.70B1.91B1.24B1.60B2.82B
Total Assets
56.58B55.88B54.81B51.59B50.07B51.31B
Total Debt
11.51B10.68B11.08B10.50B11.49B13.00B
Net Debt
10.27B8.98B9.17B9.25B9.89B10.17B
Total Liabilities
34.35B33.82B33.51B33.02B32.43B35.65B
Stockholders Equity
22.23B22.06B21.30B18.57B17.64B15.66B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.34B3.20B3.81B3.46B3.38B2.89B
Operating Cash Flow
4.24B4.11B4.71B4.58B4.27B3.86B
Investing Cash Flow
-903.00M-953.00M-941.00M-1.49B-882.00M-974.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.13B-3.37B-3.09B-3.47B-4.59B-903.00M

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price279.93
Price Trends
50DMA
273.13
Positive
100DMA
265.61
Positive
200DMA
275.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.14
Positive
RSI
57.67
Neutral
STOCH
83.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 279.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 277.32, above the 50-day MA of 273.13, and above the 200-day MA of 275.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GD.

General Dynamics Risk Analysis

General Dynamics disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Dynamics reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Dynamics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GDGD
79
Outperform
$74.45B19.2518.23%2.17%14.11%17.65%
LHLHX
76
Outperform
$46.11B29.238.49%1.95%5.39%36.86%
LMLMT
75
Outperform
$111.74B20.6082.55%2.89%3.12%-15.29%
NONOC
74
Outperform
$70.30B19.2325.41%1.89%0.61%77.28%
HIHII
71
Outperform
$8.76B16.1012.27%2.39%-1.04%-21.80%
66
Neutral
$4.52B12.345.41%3.62%4.15%-12.18%
BABA
58
Neutral
$162.66B-162.23%-9.15%-406.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GD
General Dynamics
279.93
-6.61
-2.31%
BA
Boeing
203.75
23.05
12.76%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
250.39
35.56
16.55%
HII
Huntington Ingalls
229.12
-5.15
-2.20%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
469.27
22.49
5.03%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
497.13
81.02
19.47%

General Dynamics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
General Dynamics Promotes Danny Deep to EVP
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation announced the promotion of Danny Deep to executive vice president, Global Operations. This strategic move is accompanied by a compensation package that includes a base salary of $1,200,000 and a target annual incentive of 130% of his salary, indicating the company’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (GD) stock is a Buy with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Dynamics stock, see the GD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
General Dynamics Announces Key Leadership Changes
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, General Dynamics announced several key leadership changes aimed at enhancing operational performance during a period of growth and change. Danny Deep has been promoted to executive vice president, Global Operations, to improve performance across business units. Jason Aiken will now oversee Combat Systems and retain Mission Systems, while Amy Gilliland and Mark Burns have been promoted to executive vice presidents, maintaining their roles as presidents of their respective divisions. These changes are expected to strengthen the company’s operational focus and leadership capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GD) stock is a Buy with a $305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Dynamics stock, see the GD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
General Dynamics Elects Board at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 7, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation announced the election of its Board of Directors, with all nominees successfully elected. Shareholders also approved KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 and endorsed the executive compensation plan. However, a proposal for a Human Rights Impact Assessment report was rejected by the shareholders, indicating a focus on maintaining current operational strategies without additional human rights reporting.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
General Dynamics Completes $750 Million Notes Sale
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation completed the sale of $750 million in 4.950% Notes due 2035, as part of a transaction involving major financial institutions like BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan Securities, and Wells Fargo Securities. This financial move, registered with the SEC, is expected to impact the company’s financial structure and potentially strengthen its market position by securing long-term funding.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.