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Boeing (BA)
NYSE:BA

Boeing (BA) AI Stock Analysis

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BA

Boeing

(NYSE:BA)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$252.00
▲(7.82% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak underlying financial quality (high leverage and volatile/negative free cash flow) and a demanding valuation (high P/E). Offsetting factors include strong technical momentum and an earnings-call-supported operational recovery plan with improving deliveries and backlog, though execution and certification/program risks remain significant.
Positive Factors
Record backlog and order momentum
A record backlog above $500B provides multi-year revenue visibility and shields near-term top-line from demand volatility. Large secured orders smooth production planning, support stable factory utilization and long-term cash flow potential if Boeing executes delivery schedules.
Production stabilization and productivity gains
Material operational improvements—simplified work instructions and sharp rework reductions—are durable drivers of margin recovery. Reduced rework and steadier production cadence lower unit costs, improve throughput on rate ramps, and support sustainable margin and cash conversion over the next several quarters.
Diversified services and defense strength
Strong defense and services order intake with healthy services margins diversifies revenue and cash generation away from commercial cyclicality. High-margin aftermarket and defense backlogs provide steadier recurring revenue and improve resilience in downturns versus single-segment exposure.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Extremely elevated leverage constrains financial flexibility and amplifies the impact of any operational slip-ups. With minimal equity relative to debt, interest and principal obligations limit capacity for capital investment or cushioning against program overruns, raising solvency sensitivity over the medium term.
Inconsistent free cash flow history
Volatile and historically negative free cash flow undermines sustained debt reduction and self-funded investment. Even with 2025 improvement, inconsistent cash conversion raises refinancing and liquidity risk during rate ramps, acquisitions, or certification delays that temporarily increase working capital needs.
Program certification and durability risks
Ongoing certification timing and identified durability issues (e.g., 777X) create structural execution risk. Delays raise pre-delivery spending, inventory and PDP cash use, and can prolong negative segment margins. These program-level risks can persistently pressure margins and cash over multiple years.

Boeing (BA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boeing Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sales, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Commercial Airplanes; Defense, Space & Security; Global Services; and Boeing Capital. The Commercial Airplanes segment provides commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo requirements, as well as fleet support services. The Defense, Space & Security segment engages in the research, development, production, and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems; strategic defense and intelligence systems, which include strategic missile and defense systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, cyber and information solutions, and intelligence systems; and satellite systems, such as government and commercial satellites, and space exploration. The Global Services segment offers products and services, including supply chain and logistics management, engineering, maintenance and modifications, upgrades and conversions, spare parts, pilot and maintenance training systems and services, technical and maintenance documents, and data analytics and digital services to commercial and defense customers. The Boeing Capital segment offers financing services and manages financing exposure for a portfolio of equipment under operating leases, sales-type/finance leases, notes and other receivables, assets held for sale or re-lease, and investments. The company was incorporated in 1916 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoeing generates revenue through several key streams. The Commercial Airplanes segment is a major source of income, primarily from the sale of commercial jetliners to airlines and leasing companies. Revenue is also derived from long-term service agreements and spare parts sales. The Defense, Space & Security segment contributes by providing military aircraft, satellite systems, and related services to government and military customers. Additionally, the Global Services segment focuses on providing maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, as well as supply chain and logistics support. Boeing has strategic partnerships with various governments and private sector companies, which bolster its revenue through contracts and collaborative projects. The company’s revenue is significantly influenced by global air travel demand, defense budgets, and advancements in aerospace technology.

Boeing Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Commercial Airplane Deliveries
Commercial Airplane Deliveries
Tracks the number of aircraft delivered to customers, indicating production efficiency and demand in the commercial aviation market.
Chart InsightsBoeing's commercial airplane deliveries have rebounded significantly, reaching their highest quarterly total since 2018, driven by increased 737 production. This recovery is bolstered by strong demand, as evidenced by a record backlog exceeding $600 billion. However, the 777X program's delays and associated costs present challenges. Despite these hurdles, Boeing's positive cash flow and strategic contract wins in defense and services reflect a resilient operational outlook, with plans to further increase production rates, contingent on supply chain stability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Boeing Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented substantial evidence of operational recovery and commercial momentum — record backlogs, materially higher revenue (Q4 +57%, FY +34%), delivery improvements, program certification progress, and stronger services and defense order intake. However, notable near-term financial and program headwinds remain: a material KC-46 charge, continued certification timing risks (particularly 777X cash burn profile), negative segment margins despite improvement, excess advances/customer considerations, and near-term CapEx and integration impacts from the Spirit acquisition. Management outlined a clear plan to stabilize production, reduce rework, and target positive free cash flow of $1–3 billion in 2026 and a longer-term normalized goal around $10 billion, but execution risk remains centered on certification, supply-chain ramps, and program-level cost performance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Surge
Total company revenue of $23.9 billion in Q4, the highest quarterly total since 2018, up 57% year-over-year driven by higher commercial deliveries and defense volume.
Full-Year Revenue and Improved EPS
Full-year revenue of $89.5 billion, up 34% year-over-year. Core EPS of $1.19 for the year (boosted by an $12.47 per-share gain from the Digital Aviation Solutions sale); Q4 core EPS was $9.92 reflecting an $11.83 gain from the divestiture.
Delivery and Order Momentum — Commercial
BCA delivered 160 airplanes in the quarter and 600 for the year (most commercial airplanes delivered since 2018). BCA booked 336 net orders in Q4 and 1,173 net orders for the year; backlog ended at a record $567 billion (over 6,100 airplanes).
Production Stabilization and Factory Improvements
737 production stabilized at 42 airplanes/month (on-time delivery performance improved threefold vs prior year); simplified over 5,100 work instructions; 787 program stabilized at rate 8 with average rework hours reduced nearly 30% year-over-year and factory rework levels down ~20% in Q4 vs H1.
Program Certification Progress and Milestones
737-10 received TIA2 to expand flight testing (final phase of certification testing); 777-9 received TIA3 and continues certification flight testing. Defense milestones included MQ-25 inaugural engine run and delivery of the first operational T-7A Red Hawk.
Defense and Services Order Strength
BDS booked $15 billion in orders in the quarter and reached a record backlog of $85 billion; BGS recorded $10 billion in orders in the quarter and a record $28 billion for the year, with adjusted BGS revenue growth of 6% and adjusted operating margin of 18.6%.
Strategic Portfolio Actions
Completed acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems to strengthen supply chain and manufacturing alignment; completed $10 billion Jefferson sale to solidify the balance sheet while retaining key digital aviation capabilities.
Improving Cash Position and Q4 Free Cash Flow
Cash and marketable securities grew to $29.4 billion (partly from divestiture proceeds). Q4 free cash flow was positive $375 million (slightly above expectations); full-year free cash flow usage improved versus prior year.
Negative Updates
KC-46 Tanker Charge
BDS recorded a $565 million loss on the KC-46 tanker in the quarter driven by revised cost estimates for production support, supply chain and Everett facility allocations — a discrete, material charge that weighed on operating results.
777X Engine Durability Issue & Delivery Timing
A potential durability issue was identified on the 777X engine during inspection; Boeing is working with GE to determine root cause and corrective action. While Boeing stated it does not expect this to impact a 2027 delivery, the issue remains a program risk.
Ongoing Certification Delays and Cash Drag
Delays to certification timelines for 737 MAX derivatives and 777-9 continue to drive elevated pre-delivery spending and cash burn. 777X first delivery is planned for 2027 with net cash burn and PDP timing meaningfully higher in 2026; net cash on 777X expected to turn positive by 2029.
Negative Segment Margins and Full-Year Cash Use
BCA operating margin remained negative at -5.6% in the quarter (although improved materially), BDS operating margin -6.8% in Q4. Full-year free cash flow was a usage of $1.9 billion for 2025.
Spirit Acquisition Near-Term Cash and Debt Impact
Incorporation of Spirit AeroSystems is expected to have an unfavorable impact of roughly $1 billion on 2026 free cash flow; retained Spirit debt contributed to total company debt ending at $54.1 billion.
Legacy Customer Considerations and Excess Advances
Prior delivery delays on 737 and 787 created customer considerations and excess advances that will depress near-term cash flow; management expects these impacts to burn down over multiple years as production stabilizes.
One-time and Timing Headwinds
DOJ payment timing slid from 2025 to 2026 (creating a cash impact in 2026), and planned CapEx is expected to spike to around $4 billion in 2026 (up from nearly $3 billion in 2025) to support production and growth initiatives.
Supply Chain and Rate Ramp Risks
Supply chain will be the critical challenge as Boeing moves from 47 to 52 737/month — achieving that step (and Spirit’s capacity ramp) will require sustained supplier performance and targeted investments; seat/seat configuration certifications remain delivery constraints for some 787 customers.
Company Guidance
Boeing guided to positive 2026 free cash flow of $1–3 billion (or “high single digits” on an adjusted basis excluding temporary impacts), with Q1 cash use similar to 2025, a first‑half use turning positive and accelerating in the second half; CapEx is expected to be ~ $4 billion in 2026 (vs. nearly $3 billion in 2025), cash and marketable securities were $29.4 billion, debt $54.1 billion, and the company retains $10 billion of undrawn revolvers. Operational and program guidance includes the 737 stabilizing at 42/mo (plan to rise to 47 this year and add a North Line above 47) with ~500 737 deliveries targeted in 2026 (447 in 2025), 787 deliveries of ~90–100 (88 in 2025) as rate‑8 stabilizes with a move to rate‑10 targeted later in the year, BCA delivered 160 aircraft in Q4 and 600 in 2025, BCA booked 336 net orders in Q4 and 1,173 for the year with backlog of $567 billion (6,100+ airplanes), 777X first delivery planned in 2027 (≈$3.5 billion 2025 inventory spend; net cash burn to turn positive by 2029), BDS revenue of $7.4 billion in Q4 (operating margin –6.8%) including a $565 million KC‑46 charge and backlog of $85 billion, and BGS adjusted revenue of $5.1 billion with an 18.6% adjusted margin and $30 billion backlog — all underpinned by productivity improvements (5,100+ simplified work instructions, ~30% reduction in 787 rework hours, ~20% Q4 factory rework reduction) to drive margin and cash recovery.

Boeing Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a rebound in 2025 (revenue up to $89.5B and return to profitability), but the recovery remains fragile: the balance sheet is highly levered (debt ~$54.1B vs. equity ~$5.5B) and cash generation is still inconsistent (2025 FCF improved versus 2024 but remained a full-year usage of $1.9B, with volatility across years).
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Results show a clear rebound in 2025: revenue rose to $89.5B (up 10.8% YoY) and profitability turned positive with a 2.1% net margin after a deep loss in 2024 (-17.8%). That said, profitability remains thin (gross margin ~4.8% in 2025) and the last several years show significant earnings volatility with multiple loss years, indicating the recovery is still fragile.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage remains a key constraint: total debt is ~$54.1B against a small equity base of ~$5.5B in 2025, implying very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~9.9x). While equity has improved from negative levels in prior years, the balance sheet still looks stretched for a cyclical manufacturer, leaving less room for operational setbacks or slower-than-expected margin recovery.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent. 2025 produced positive operating cash flow and free cash flow of ~$1.1B, a major improvement versus 2024’s large cash burn (operating cash flow -$12.1B; free cash flow -$14.4B). However, 2025 free cash flow declined sharply versus the prior year’s level shown in the dataset (free cash flow growth -122.2%), and the broader history includes multiple years of negative cash flow, highlighting ongoing execution and working-capital risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue89.46B66.52B77.79B66.61B62.29B
Gross Profit4.29B-1.96B7.71B3.46B6.48B
EBITDA7.36B-7.65B2.31B-510.00M-207.00M
Net Income2.23B-11.82B-2.22B-4.93B-4.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.24B156.36B137.01B137.10B138.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.05B26.28B15.96B17.22B16.24B
Total Debt54.10B54.19B52.60B57.28B58.37B
Total Liabilities162.78B160.28B154.24B152.95B153.40B
Stockholders Equity5.45B-3.91B-17.23B-15.88B-15.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.88B-14.40B4.43B2.29B-4.40B
Operating Cash Flow1.06B-12.08B5.96B3.51B-3.42B
Investing Cash Flow499.00M-11.97B-2.44B4.37B9.32B
Financing Cash Flow-3.76B25.21B-5.49B-1.27B-5.60B

Boeing Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price233.72
Price Trends
50DMA
216.91
Positive
100DMA
214.46
Positive
200DMA
212.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.40
Positive
RSI
49.61
Neutral
STOCH
14.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 233.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 240.16, above the 50-day MA of 216.91, and above the 200-day MA of 212.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BA.

Boeing Risk Analysis

Boeing disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boeing reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boeing Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$98.25B23.9126.17%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
75
Outperform
$269.40B40.3010.74%1.44%8.79%39.63%
74
Outperform
$94.84B22.6517.66%1.73%11.86%17.39%
74
Outperform
$145.92B28.9776.87%2.77%2.88%-35.15%
70
Outperform
$321.77B36.7545.24%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$183.02B123.19289.13%10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BA
Boeing
233.72
57.85
32.89%
GD
General Dynamics
351.09
99.36
39.47%
GE
GE Aerospace
306.79
103.84
51.17%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
634.22
191.84
43.37%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
692.26
212.84
44.40%
RTX
RTX
200.93
73.39
57.54%

Boeing Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Boeing Completes Acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Boeing completed its acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems, a move that underscores its commitment to aviation safety and airplane quality while enhancing commercial production and supply chain stability. The acquisition includes Spirit’s commercial operations related to Boeing, such as fuselages for various aircraft models, and expands Boeing’s global maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. Spirit Defense will remain an independent supplier to the defense industry, ensuring continuity and support for U.S. defense and space programs. This strategic acquisition is expected to strengthen Boeing’s industry positioning and create new opportunities for stakeholders, particularly in Wichita, Kansas, where Spirit’s operations will integrate into Boeing.

The most recent analyst rating on (BA) stock is a Buy with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boeing stock, see the BA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Boeing Appoints Bradley Tilden to Board of Directors
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Boeing announced the election of Bradley D. Tilden, former Chairman, President, and CEO of Alaska Air Group, to its Board of Directors, effective December 3, 2025. Tilden, who brings over three decades of aviation experience, will serve on the Aerospace Safety and Finance Committees. This appointment is part of Boeing’s ongoing board refreshment efforts, with Tilden being the 10th new director added since 2019, aimed at strengthening the board’s expertise in various critical areas such as safety management systems and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (BA) stock is a Buy with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boeing stock, see the BA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026