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GE Aerospace (GE)
NYSE:GE

GE Aerospace (GE) AI Stock Analysis

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GE

GE Aerospace

(NYSE:GE)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$378.00
▲(10.13% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven by strong financial momentum (material margin and FCF improvement) and constructive 2026 guidance backed by a large and growing backlog. Offsetting factors are weak near-term technical signals and a demanding valuation (high P/E, low yield), along with acknowledged margin headwinds and GE9X loss ramp risk.
Positive Factors
Large backlog & order strength
A ~ $190B backlog from strong orders provides multi-year revenue visibility, smoothing near-term cyclicality and underpinning production planning. Durable backlog supports steady aftermarket conversion, production cadence, and predictable cash flows across the 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Improving free cash flow generation
Significantly stronger operating cash flow and FCF sustain reinvestment, MRO expansion, and debt reduction capacity. Durable cash generation enhances financial flexibility to fund automation, R&D, and shop capacity increases while supporting shareholder actions or cushioning program losses.
CES integration & leadership reshuffle
Consolidating lifecycle functions under the expanded CES and promoting focused commercial leadership strengthens cross-functional execution and customer responsiveness. Structurally this should raise agility, reduce friction across OE-to-aftermarket flows, and accelerate durable improvements in service margins and delivery.
Negative Factors
GE9X program losses
Escalating GE9X losses as shipments ramp pose a structural earnings and cash drag through the production scale-up. Even if expected, doubling losses in 2026 can absorb profit margins and FCF, requiring ongoing funding and execution focus to return the engine to normalized profitability.
Moderate-to-elevated leverage
Debt slightly exceeding equity limits balance-sheet resilience and reduces optionality for additional investment or absorbing program overruns. Compressed equity amplifies leverage ratios and makes the company more sensitive to cyclical shocks, constraining capital allocation over upcoming quarters.
Margin mix pressure & inventory build
Higher OEM shipments, a lower spare-engine ratio, and a $1B inventory buildup create persistent margin mix and working-capital headwinds. These structural effects can compress gross and operating margins and tie cash in inventory while production and aftermarket mix normalize over multiple quarters.

GE Aerospace (GE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GE Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGE Aerospace is an American aircraft company, which engages in the provision of jet and turboprop engines, as well as integrated systems for commercial, military, business, and general aviation aircraft. The firm's portfolio of brands includes Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. It operates through the Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies segments. The Commercial Engines & Services segment is involved in the design, development, manufacturing, and servicing of jet engines for commercial airframes, as well as business aviation and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment offers defense engines and critical aircraft systems. The company was founded by Thomas Alva Edison in 1878 and is headquartered in Evendale, OH.
How the Company Makes MoneyGE Aerospace generates revenue primarily through the sale of jet engines and related components, as well as through aftermarket services, which include maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for its products. The company benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major aircraft manufacturers and airlines, ensuring a steady stream of income from both initial sales and ongoing service agreements. Additionally, GE Aerospace leverages its technological advancements and innovations to create high-value products that meet the needs of the evolving aviation market, contributing to its profitability. Strategic collaborations with defense agencies and international partnerships also play a significant role in enhancing its revenue, especially in the military sector.

GE Aerospace Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue contributions from different business areas, showing which segments are leading growth and which may require more focus.
Chart InsightsGE Aerospace's Commercial Engines and Services segment has experienced robust growth, with revenue surging significantly in recent quarters, reflecting strong demand and operational improvements. The latest earnings call highlights a 28% revenue increase and a 35% rise in operating profit, driven by a 32% growth in services. Meanwhile, the Defense and Propulsion Technologies segment also saw a notable 26% revenue growth and a 75% profit increase. Despite challenges like declining spare engine ratios, the company raised its full-year guidance, signaling confidence in sustained growth and profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

GE Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: substantial order, revenue, profit, and cash flow growth in 2025, record LEAP output and aftermarket improvements, sizeable backlog and confident 2026 guidance. However, notable near-term headwinds remain—primarily GE9X program losses, margin mix pressure from higher OEM shipments and a lower spare engine ratio, inventory build to support ramp, and continued supply-chain execution work. Management provided clear actions and investments (MRO expansion, integration of T&O into CES, R&D) to address constraints and sustain growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Orders and Backlog Growth
Orders surged 74% in the fourth quarter and 32% for the full year 2025, driving backlog to roughly $190 billion—up nearly $20 billion year over year—providing multi-year revenue visibility.
Revenue and EPS Growth
Company revenue increased 20% in Q4 and 21% for the full year 2025. Q4 EPS rose 19% to $1.57; full-year EPS increased 38% to $6.37, driven by operating profit improvement and a lower tax rate.
Operating Profit and Free Cash Flow Improvement
Operating profit grew materially (Rahul reported operating profit up 25% to $9.1 billion for the year), and free cash flow increased 15% in Q4 to $1.8 billion and grew 24% for the year to $7.7 billion, with cash conversion above 100% (over 110% for the year).
Commercial Engine & Services Momentum (CES)
CES orders grew ~35% for the year and CES revenue rose ~24% (services revenue up ~26%). CES profit grew ~26% to $8.9 billion, with internal shop visit revenue up ~24% and LEAP internal shop visit volume up 27%—LEAP deliveries were a record, exceeding 1,800 units (LEAP up ~28%).
Aftermarket Operational Improvements and MRO Investment
Turnaround times improved over 10% year over year in Q4 across LEAP, CFM56 and GE90 (CFM56 turnaround improved 20% at Wales; Selma sustained <80 days). GE is dedicating roughly $500 million of MRO investment to LEAP (of >$1B MRO investment) and expanding capacity globally to roughly double LEAP internal capacity.
Defense Performance
Defense deliveries increased 30% for the year, DPT profit rose (Larry: up 22% to $1.3 billion; Rahul: improved DPT results with backlog up nearly $3 billion to ~$21 billion) and defense book-to-bill remained healthy (above 1.5 overall; >2 in the quarter).
Technology & R&D Milestones
GE reported continued technology progress: completed a ground test campaign for a hybrid-electric narrow-body architecture, NX fleet leader durability improvements (HBT blade surpassing 4,000 cycles), and nearly $3 billion in annual R&D supporting durability and time-on-wing improvements (e.g., LEAP 1A durability kit shipped ~1,500 kits since certification).
Confident 2026 Outlook
Management provided 2026 guidance: company revenue expected up low double digits, operating profit $9.85B–$10.25B (up ~$1B at midpoint), EPS $7.10–$7.40 (up ~15% at midpoint), and free cash flow $8.0B–$8.4B with conversion well above 100%—also reiterated multi-year targets including mid-teens CAGR (2024–2026) and reaching ~$10B profit in 2026.
Negative Updates
GE9X (NINEX) Program Losses
GE9X (9x/NINEX) program produced a couple-hundred-million-dollar loss in 2025 (in line with expectations) and management expects those losses to roughly double in 2026 as shipments increase; guidance already incorporates the incremental headwind.
Margin Pressure and Mix Headwinds
Margins pressured by mix and OE growth: Q4 company margins were down ~90 basis points to 19.2%. CES margins faced headwinds (yearly CES margins cited down ~420 bps in commentary to ~24% in one section), driven by higher OEM shipments, lower spare engine ratio, NINEX shipments, and increased R&D/investments.
Lower Spare Engine Ratio and Timing Effects
Spare engine ratio was lower than 2024 as planned (partly due to back-end-loaded spare engine deliveries in 2024), which weighed on equipment margins; OEM growth and timing of spare shipments created near-term mix headwinds.
Inventory Build and Working Capital Impact
Inventory grew to support higher 2026 output (management noted roughly a $1 billion inventory increase in 2025), which partially offset cash generation—contract asset tailwinds aided cash but inventory remains a working capital drag compared with the prior year.
Corporate Costs and Eliminations Increased
Corporate costs rose to roughly $570 million (up about $170 million year over year) driven by lower interest income and AI investments; eliminations increased (~$70 million), both modestly reducing consolidated EPS upside.
Ongoing Supply Chain and Execution Work
Despite meaningful supplier progress (priority supplier material input +40% YoY), management acknowledged more work is needed to fully meet third-party spare part demand and consistently convert supplier improvements into predictable spare-part flow and shop outputs.
Company Guidance
GE Aerospace guided to low-double-digit company revenue growth for 2026, with CES revenue growth in the mid-teens (services up mid‑teens; internal shop visit revenue and spare parts up mid‑teens; LEAP internal shop visits +25%; equipment up mid‑ to high‑teens with LEAP deliveries +15%) and DPT revenue mid‑to‑high single digits, targeting total operating profit of $9.85–$10.25 billion (CES profit $9.6–$9.9B; DPT profit $1.55–$1.65B), EPS of $7.10–$7.40 (≈+15% at the midpoint), free cash flow of $8.0–$8.4 billion with conversion well above 100%, CapEx at ~3% of sales, interest expense ≈$900M, a tax rate below 17%, an ~18 million share reduction, and corporate costs & eliminations of $1.2–$1.3 billion.

GE Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2024–2025 inflection with high and expanding profitability (net margin ~16.9% to 19.0%) and robust, improving free cash flow (FCF ~$7.3B in 2025). Main offsets are moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.05–1.10), a compressed equity cushion versus prior years, and some historical volatility in results.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability has strengthened materially: net margin improved from a loss in 2021 (-11.2%) to strong profitability in 2024 (16.9%) and 2025 (19.0%), alongside solid operating earnings and high gross margin stability (~37% in 2024–2025). Revenue rebounded meaningfully after earlier declines, with 2025 showing a strong acceleration in growth versus 2024. Main weakness is volatility across the period (sharp revenue drop in 2021 and very weak profitability in 2022), indicating earnings power has not been uniform through the cycle.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage is moderate-to-elevated: debt is slightly above equity in 2024–2025 (debt-to-equity ~1.05–1.10), though improved substantially from 2020 when leverage was much higher (~2.11). Equity has declined from 2021–2023 levels, which reduces balance-sheet cushion, but returns on equity are very strong in 2024–2025 (about 34% to 47%), reflecting improved profitability. Key risk is that leverage remains meaningful and the equity base has compressed versus prior years.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving: operating cash flow rose sharply in 2025 ($8.5B vs. $4.7B in 2024) and free cash flow expanded to $7.3B with healthy growth. Free cash flow is consistently positive across all years provided, supporting reinvestment and balance-sheet flexibility. Weaknesses include year-to-year volatility (notably a decline in 2023 free cash flow vs. 2022) and some provided cash-conversion fields appearing inconsistent/zero in 2025, limiting visibility on cash-to-earnings conversion for that year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.85B38.70B35.35B29.14B56.47B
Gross Profit16.89B14.39B12.41B10.15B13.09B
EBITDA12.06B9.79B12.65B4.04B-1.54B
Net Income8.70B6.56B9.48B336.00M-6.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.17B125.76B176.11B188.85B198.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.39B14.60B20.91B23.42B28.07B
Total Debt20.49B20.38B21.76B26.15B38.03B
Total Liabilities111.27B106.20B147.50B153.94B157.11B
Stockholders Equity18.68B19.34B27.40B33.70B40.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.26B3.68B3.58B4.74B2.37B
Operating Cash Flow8.54B4.71B5.18B5.92B3.48B
Investing Cash Flow-1.15B-1.67B3.98B2.27B21.38B
Financing Cash Flow-8.68B-6.73B-8.61B-5.58B-45.40B

GE Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price343.22
Price Trends
50DMA
311.38
Positive
100DMA
305.67
Positive
200DMA
282.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.33
Negative
RSI
70.42
Negative
STOCH
94.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 343.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 312.43, above the 50-day MA of 311.38, and above the 200-day MA of 282.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.42 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GE.

GE Aerospace Risk Analysis

GE Aerospace disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GE Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GE Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$102.87B24.9226.17%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
75
Outperform
$274.91B41.2710.74%1.44%8.79%39.63%
74
Outperform
$94.50B22.6217.66%1.73%11.86%17.39%
74
Outperform
$149.51B30.2476.87%2.77%2.88%-35.15%
70
Outperform
$345.67B40.5345.24%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$187.64B123.27289.00%10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GE
GE Aerospace
338.99
141.41
71.57%
BA
Boeing
230.44
50.53
28.09%
GD
General Dynamics
348.98
107.37
44.44%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
660.62
232.96
54.47%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
725.39
284.54
64.54%
RTX
RTX
201.92
78.57
63.70%

GE Aerospace Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
GE Aerospace announces leadership reshuffle and CES expansion
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, GE Aerospace announced a major leadership reshuffle and organizational realignment, naming Mohamed Ali as President and CEO of an expanded Commercial Engines and Services (CES) unit effective February 1, 2026, while confirming that longtime executive Russell Stokes will retire on July 31, 2026 after serving as Special Advisor to the Chairman and CEO to ensure a smooth transition. The expanded CES organization will now oversee the full commercial engine lifecycle, integrating technology and operations functions such as product safety, quality, engineering, supply chain, global manufacturing, and aftermarket services, a move aimed at improving agility, cross-functional problem-solving, and customer responsiveness, while a newly created role for Jason Tonich as Chief Commercial Sales & Customer Officer—reporting directly to the CEO—cements a tighter focus on integrated sales and customer experience, with implications for streamlined operations and potentially stronger competitive positioning in the commercial aviation engine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GE) stock is a Hold with a $352.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GE Aerospace stock, see the GE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026