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Ge Aerospace (GE)
NYSE:GE

GE Aerospace (GE) AI Stock Analysis

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GE

GE Aerospace

(NYSE:GE)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$322.00
▲(9.57% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and constructive forward guidance with robust backlog and cash generation. Offsetting factors are weaker near-term technicals (price below key moving averages), a rich valuation (high P/E and low yield), and execution/margin headwinds (GE9X losses, mix pressure, and inventory build).
Positive Factors
Backlog and Order Growth
A ~ $190B backlog and large order acceleration provide multi-year revenue visibility that supports sustained production scheduling, supplier commitments, and predictable aftermarket demand. This durable backlog underpins guidance, reduces cyclical exposure and aids long-term cash flow planning.
Aftermarket & MRO expansion
Expanding MRO capacity and improving turnaround times materially strengthen recurring aftermarket revenue and margins. Doubling LEAP internal capacity and dedicated MRO investment creates durable service footprint, enhances time-on-wing performance, and raises long-term resilience versus OE cyclicality.
Strong cash generation and conversion
High free cash flow growth and conversion above 100% generate durable financial flexibility to fund R&D, MRO investments, capex, and debt servicing. Consistent FCF supports multi-year targets, optionality for program remediation, and lowers execution risk on strategic investments.
Negative Factors
GE9X program losses
Program-level losses that grow with ramp present a persistent drag on operating profit and margins until unit costs decline or pricing shifts. As shipments increase, incremental GE9X losses can materially offset CES profitability and compress returns for several quarters to years.
Margin pressure from mix and OE growth
Structural mix shift toward higher OEM shipments and a lower spare-engine ratio reduces aftermarket margin contribution, weighing consolidated margins. Combined with elevated R&D and investment spend, this mix dynamic can keep margin expansion constrained over the medium term.
Relatively low equity ratio / leverage reliance
Moderate leverage and a low equity ratio imply greater reliance on debt to fund growth and capex. In a rising-rate or industry stress scenario this reduces capital flexibility, increases interest cost sensitivity and can constrain strategic spending or accelerate deleveraging demands.

GE Aerospace (GE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GE Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGE Aerospace is an American aircraft company, which engages in the provision of jet and turboprop engines, as well as integrated systems for commercial, military, business, and general aviation aircraft. The firm's portfolio of brands includes Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. It operates through the Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies segments. The Commercial Engines & Services segment is involved in the design, development, manufacturing, and servicing of jet engines for commercial airframes, as well as business aviation and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment offers defense engines and critical aircraft systems. The company was founded by Thomas Alva Edison in 1878 and is headquartered in Evendale, OH.
How the Company Makes MoneyGE Aerospace generates revenue primarily through the sale of jet engines and related components, as well as through aftermarket services, which include maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for its products. The company benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major aircraft manufacturers and airlines, ensuring a steady stream of income from both initial sales and ongoing service agreements. Additionally, GE Aerospace leverages its technological advancements and innovations to create high-value products that meet the needs of the evolving aviation market, contributing to its profitability. Strategic collaborations with defense agencies and international partnerships also play a significant role in enhancing its revenue, especially in the military sector.

GE Aerospace Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue contributions from different business areas, showing which segments are leading growth and which may require more focus.
Chart InsightsGE Aerospace's Commercial Engines and Services segment has experienced robust growth, with revenue surging significantly in recent quarters, reflecting strong demand and operational improvements. The latest earnings call highlights a 28% revenue increase and a 35% rise in operating profit, driven by a 32% growth in services. Meanwhile, the Defense and Propulsion Technologies segment also saw a notable 26% revenue growth and a 75% profit increase. Despite challenges like declining spare engine ratios, the company raised its full-year guidance, signaling confidence in sustained growth and profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

GE Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: substantial order, revenue, profit, and cash flow growth in 2025, record LEAP output and aftermarket improvements, sizeable backlog and confident 2026 guidance. However, notable near-term headwinds remain—primarily GE9X program losses, margin mix pressure from higher OEM shipments and a lower spare engine ratio, inventory build to support ramp, and continued supply-chain execution work. Management provided clear actions and investments (MRO expansion, integration of T&O into CES, R&D) to address constraints and sustain growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Orders and Backlog Growth
Orders surged 74% in the fourth quarter and 32% for the full year 2025, driving backlog to roughly $190 billion—up nearly $20 billion year over year—providing multi-year revenue visibility.
Revenue and EPS Growth
Company revenue increased 20% in Q4 and 21% for the full year 2025. Q4 EPS rose 19% to $1.57; full-year EPS increased 38% to $6.37, driven by operating profit improvement and a lower tax rate.
Operating Profit and Free Cash Flow Improvement
Operating profit grew materially (Rahul reported operating profit up 25% to $9.1 billion for the year), and free cash flow increased 15% in Q4 to $1.8 billion and grew 24% for the year to $7.7 billion, with cash conversion above 100% (over 110% for the year).
Commercial Engine & Services Momentum (CES)
CES orders grew ~35% for the year and CES revenue rose ~24% (services revenue up ~26%). CES profit grew ~26% to $8.9 billion, with internal shop visit revenue up ~24% and LEAP internal shop visit volume up 27%—LEAP deliveries were a record, exceeding 1,800 units (LEAP up ~28%).
Aftermarket Operational Improvements and MRO Investment
Turnaround times improved over 10% year over year in Q4 across LEAP, CFM56 and GE90 (CFM56 turnaround improved 20% at Wales; Selma sustained <80 days). GE is dedicating roughly $500 million of MRO investment to LEAP (of >$1B MRO investment) and expanding capacity globally to roughly double LEAP internal capacity.
Defense Performance
Defense deliveries increased 30% for the year, DPT profit rose (Larry: up 22% to $1.3 billion; Rahul: improved DPT results with backlog up nearly $3 billion to ~$21 billion) and defense book-to-bill remained healthy (above 1.5 overall; >2 in the quarter).
Technology & R&D Milestones
GE reported continued technology progress: completed a ground test campaign for a hybrid-electric narrow-body architecture, NX fleet leader durability improvements (HBT blade surpassing 4,000 cycles), and nearly $3 billion in annual R&D supporting durability and time-on-wing improvements (e.g., LEAP 1A durability kit shipped ~1,500 kits since certification).
Confident 2026 Outlook
Management provided 2026 guidance: company revenue expected up low double digits, operating profit $9.85B–$10.25B (up ~$1B at midpoint), EPS $7.10–$7.40 (up ~15% at midpoint), and free cash flow $8.0B–$8.4B with conversion well above 100%—also reiterated multi-year targets including mid-teens CAGR (2024–2026) and reaching ~$10B profit in 2026.
Negative Updates
GE9X (NINEX) Program Losses
GE9X (9x/NINEX) program produced a couple-hundred-million-dollar loss in 2025 (in line with expectations) and management expects those losses to roughly double in 2026 as shipments increase; guidance already incorporates the incremental headwind.
Margin Pressure and Mix Headwinds
Margins pressured by mix and OE growth: Q4 company margins were down ~90 basis points to 19.2%. CES margins faced headwinds (yearly CES margins cited down ~420 bps in commentary to ~24% in one section), driven by higher OEM shipments, lower spare engine ratio, NINEX shipments, and increased R&D/investments.
Lower Spare Engine Ratio and Timing Effects
Spare engine ratio was lower than 2024 as planned (partly due to back-end-loaded spare engine deliveries in 2024), which weighed on equipment margins; OEM growth and timing of spare shipments created near-term mix headwinds.
Inventory Build and Working Capital Impact
Inventory grew to support higher 2026 output (management noted roughly a $1 billion inventory increase in 2025), which partially offset cash generation—contract asset tailwinds aided cash but inventory remains a working capital drag compared with the prior year.
Corporate Costs and Eliminations Increased
Corporate costs rose to roughly $570 million (up about $170 million year over year) driven by lower interest income and AI investments; eliminations increased (~$70 million), both modestly reducing consolidated EPS upside.
Ongoing Supply Chain and Execution Work
Despite meaningful supplier progress (priority supplier material input +40% YoY), management acknowledged more work is needed to fully meet third-party spare part demand and consistently convert supplier improvements into predictable spare-part flow and shop outputs.
Company Guidance
GE Aerospace guided to low-double-digit company revenue growth for 2026, with CES revenue growth in the mid-teens (services up mid‑teens; internal shop visit revenue and spare parts up mid‑teens; LEAP internal shop visits +25%; equipment up mid‑ to high‑teens with LEAP deliveries +15%) and DPT revenue mid‑to‑high single digits, targeting total operating profit of $9.85–$10.25 billion (CES profit $9.6–$9.9B; DPT profit $1.55–$1.65B), EPS of $7.10–$7.40 (≈+15% at the midpoint), free cash flow of $8.0–$8.4 billion with conversion well above 100%, CapEx at ~3% of sales, interest expense ≈$900M, a tax rate below 17%, an ~18 million share reduction, and corporate costs & eliminations of $1.2–$1.3 billion.

GE Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and operating efficiency (healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins) with solid free-cash-flow growth support a high score. Balance-sheet leverage is moderate, but the relatively low equity ratio is a risk factor.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
GE Aerospace has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 5.72% increase in TTM, supported by robust gross and net profit margins of 37.79% and 18.33%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 23.38% and 25.45%, indicating efficient operational management. The consistent improvement in profitability metrics over the years highlights a positive trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity is impressive at 42.13%, showcasing effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
GE Aerospace's cash flow performance is strong, with a significant 18.34% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.20, indicating solid cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.85 further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.99B38.70B35.35B29.14B56.47B75.83B
Gross Profit16.62B14.39B12.41B10.15B13.09B17.96B
EBITDA11.47B9.79B12.65B4.04B-1.54B12.95B
Net Income8.06B6.56B9.48B336.00M-6.34B5.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.24B125.76B176.11B188.85B198.87B256.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.51B14.60B20.91B23.42B28.07B43.85B
Total Debt22.72B20.38B21.76B26.15B38.03B78.10B
Total Liabilities109.22B106.20B147.50B153.94B157.11B218.65B
Stockholders Equity18.81B19.34B27.40B33.70B40.31B35.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.50B3.68B3.58B4.74B2.37B194.00M
Operating Cash Flow7.61B4.71B5.18B5.92B3.48B3.60B
Investing Cash Flow-899.00M-1.67B3.98B2.27B21.38B16.64B
Financing Cash Flow-10.02B-6.73B-8.61B-5.58B-45.40B-19.85B

GE Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price293.87
Price Trends
50DMA
304.47
Negative
100DMA
300.78
Negative
200DMA
270.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
39.06
Neutral
STOCH
17.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 293.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 316.50, below the 50-day MA of 304.47, and above the 200-day MA of 270.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GE.

GE Aerospace Risk Analysis

GE Aerospace disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GE Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GE Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$98.13B23.5417.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$96.04B24.1626.15%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
74
Outperform
$262.70B40.2310.49%1.44%8.79%39.63%
70
Outperform
$136.71B32.9862.78%2.77%2.88%-35.15%
68
Neutral
$309.98B36.1045.24%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$197.45B-18.4210.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GE
GE Aerospace
293.87
100.51
51.98%
BA
Boeing
252.15
76.99
43.95%
GD
General Dynamics
363.27
98.54
37.22%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
590.82
101.55
20.76%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
672.95
178.31
36.05%
RTX
RTX
195.93
73.17
59.60%

GE Aerospace Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
GE Aerospace announces leadership reshuffle and CES expansion
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, GE Aerospace announced a major leadership reshuffle and organizational realignment, naming Mohamed Ali as President and CEO of an expanded Commercial Engines and Services (CES) unit effective February 1, 2026, while confirming that longtime executive Russell Stokes will retire on July 31, 2026 after serving as Special Advisor to the Chairman and CEO to ensure a smooth transition. The expanded CES organization will now oversee the full commercial engine lifecycle, integrating technology and operations functions such as product safety, quality, engineering, supply chain, global manufacturing, and aftermarket services, a move aimed at improving agility, cross-functional problem-solving, and customer responsiveness, while a newly created role for Jason Tonich as Chief Commercial Sales & Customer Officer—reporting directly to the CEO—cements a tighter focus on integrated sales and customer experience, with implications for streamlined operations and potentially stronger competitive positioning in the commercial aviation engine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GE) stock is a Hold with a $352.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GE Aerospace stock, see the GE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026