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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)
NYSE:LMT

Lockheed Martin (LMT) AI Stock Analysis

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LMT

Lockheed Martin

(NYSE:LMT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$534.00
▲(13.58% Upside)
Lockheed Martin's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and solid financials, tempered by high leverage and valuation concerns. The company's positive outlook and significant contract wins are key strengths, while technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Strong Backlog
A robust backlog ensures future revenue visibility and stability, supporting long-term growth and operational planning.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with tech leaders like Google can drive innovation and improve competitive positioning in defense technology.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting long-term financial stability.
Declining Profit Margins
Declining profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which can impact profitability and competitiveness.
Supply Chain Challenges
Ongoing supply chain issues can hinder production efficiency and delay project timelines, affecting revenue and growth.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lockheed Martin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLockheed Martin (LMT) is a global aerospace, defense, and security company headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland. It operates in four primary sectors: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The company is known for its advanced technology and innovative solutions, producing a wide range of products including military aircraft, missile systems, space exploration equipment, and cybersecurity solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLockheed Martin generates revenue through various key streams, primarily driven by government contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other international defense agencies. The Aeronautics sector contributes significantly through the production of military aircraft such as the F-35 Lightning II and the C-130 Hercules, while the Missiles and Fire Control sector provides advanced missile systems and defense technologies. Revenue is also bolstered by contracts in the Space sector, which includes satellite systems and space exploration initiatives. Additionally, Lockheed Martin engages in partnerships with other defense contractors, government entities, and international organizations, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to new contracts and revenue opportunities.

Lockheed Martin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Backlog
Total Backlog
Indicates the total value of orders yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into future revenue streams and demand for the company's products.
Chart InsightsLockheed Martin's total backlog has reached a new peak, driven by strong international demand for the F-35 and anticipated awards in key programs like JASSM LARASM and PAC-3. Despite financial setbacks from legacy programs and tax disputes, the company is poised for a record backlog by year-end, reflecting robust growth in space and missile programs. This strategic positioning underscores Lockheed's resilience and potential for shareholder returns, even as it navigates significant financial charges and cash flow challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lockheed Martin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Lockheed Martin Corporation's strong backlog and financial performance, driven by significant contract wins and increased shareholder returns. While there are concerns about supply chain challenges and specific program risks, the company maintains a positive outlook for 2025 with expectations for growth and increased operational performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Backlog
Lockheed Martin Corporation achieved a record-high backlog of $179 billion, driven by significant contract wins across various segments, ensuring visibility into future production.
Strong Financial Performance
Sales increased 9% year-over-year to $18.6 billion, with segment operating profit up 9% to $2 billion, maintaining strong margins despite challenging conditions.
Significant Contract Wins
Multi-year awards for PAC-3, JASSM LARASM, and CH-53K totaled $30 billion, with additional F-35 Lot 18 and 19 contracts adding $11 billion.
Increased Shareholder Returns
The Board approved a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend, marking the 23rd consecutive year of dividend increases, alongside increased share repurchase authorization.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Updated outlook for 2025 with increased expectations for sales, operating profit, and EPS, projecting a mid-single-digit top-line growth and $6.6 billion in free cash flow.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Concerns about the supply chain's ability to ramp up production, particularly for solid rocket motors and seekers, remain a focus, though improvements are noted.
RMS Sales Forecast Reduction
RMS sales forecast reduced by $500 million due to lower expected cost volume and slower production ramps at Sikorsky, specifically impacting CH-53K production.
Program Risks and Charges
Continued risks and past charges related to classified aeronautics programs, with efforts made to mitigate risks through rebaselining and talent allocation.
Company Guidance
During the Lockheed Martin Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company showcased strong operational and financial performance, resulting in a record backlog of $179 billion. Sales increased by 9% year-over-year, with a solid 5% growth normalized for the impact of F-35 Lot 18-19. Free cash flow exceeded $3 billion, allowing for increased dividends and share repurchases. The company secured significant contracts, including a $9.8 billion PAC-3 MSC contract and a $10.9 billion contract for CH-53K helicopters. Looking forward, Lockheed Martin updated its 2025 outlook, projecting mid-single-digit top-line growth and $6.6 billion in free cash flow, while emphasizing the demand for advanced defense solutions to ensure deterrence and enhance program performance.

Lockheed Martin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lockheed Martin exhibits a stable financial profile with consistent revenue growth and strong operational efficiency. Despite challenges in profitability margins and free cash flow reduction, the company has successfully reduced leverage and improved its balance sheet strength. The overall financial health remains robust, though attention to profitability improvements and cash flow generation is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Lockheed Martin's income statement shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $71.8 billion, up from $71.0 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 8.16% from 9.75% in 2024, indicating potential cost challenges. The net profit margin also declined to 5.85% from 7.51%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, EBITDA margin remains strong at 11.21%, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a robust equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio improvement to 0.58 from 3.20 in 2024, highlighting reduced leverage. The equity ratio stands at 9.06%, reflecting a manageable level of equity in total assets. However, the ROE has decreased to 78.81% from 84.26%, indicating a slight dip in shareholder returns. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with adequate equity and reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow to $3.33 billion from $5.29 billion in 2024, indicating a reduction in liquidity generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.21, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.79, reflecting reduced cash retention. Overall, the cash flow statement shows stable operational cash flows but highlights a decline in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.35B71.04B67.57B65.98B67.04B65.40B
Gross Profit5.99B6.93B8.48B8.29B9.06B8.65B
EBITDA7.68B8.82B10.44B8.71B9.48B10.12B
Net Income4.20B5.34B6.92B5.73B6.32B6.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.28B55.62B52.46B52.88B50.87B50.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.47B2.48B1.44B2.55B3.60B3.16B
Total Debt22.19B21.42B17.46B15.55B11.68B12.17B
Total Liabilities54.09B49.28B45.62B43.61B39.91B44.67B
Stockholders Equity6.18B6.33B6.83B9.27B10.96B6.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.59B5.29B6.23B6.13B7.70B6.42B
Operating Cash Flow6.36B6.97B7.92B7.80B9.22B8.18B
Investing Cash Flow-2.30B-1.79B-1.69B-1.79B-1.16B-2.01B
Financing Cash Flow-3.74B-4.14B-7.33B-7.07B-7.62B-4.53B

Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price470.14
Price Trends
50DMA
471.73
Negative
100DMA
463.80
Positive
200DMA
459.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Negative
RSI
52.86
Neutral
STOCH
70.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 470.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 460.70, below the 50-day MA of 471.73, and above the 200-day MA of 459.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LMT.

Lockheed Martin Risk Analysis

Lockheed Martin disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lockheed Martin reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lockheed Martin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$91.16B21.8717.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$80.52B20.2526.15%1.61%-0.14%72.35%
72
Outperform
$308.20B38.9642.74%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
70
Outperform
$109.87B26.5062.78%2.84%2.88%-35.15%
70
Neutral
$52.14B29.939.13%1.72%2.83%47.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$161.57B-15.2210.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LMT
Lockheed Martin
470.14
-4.88
-1.03%
BA
Boeing
208.27
30.92
17.43%
GD
General Dynamics
337.34
79.01
30.58%
GE
GE Aerospace
301.69
134.36
80.30%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
282.72
72.31
34.37%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
559.52
98.00
21.23%

Lockheed Martin Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lockheed Martin Secures New $3 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Lockheed Martin entered into a new 364-Day Revolving Credit Agreement with a $3.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility involving multiple banks. This agreement, which matures on December 4, 2026, supports the company’s financial flexibility for corporate purposes, including commercial paper borrowings, and reflects its strategic financial management to maintain liquidity and operational stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025