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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)
NYSE:LMT

Lockheed Martin (LMT) AI Stock Analysis

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LMT

Lockheed Martin

(NYSE:LMT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$534.00
▲(10.43% Upside)
Lockheed Martin's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and a positive outlook, driven by a record backlog and significant contract wins. However, high leverage and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The company's strategic moves to manage liabilities and enhance liquidity are positive, but declining profit margins and supply chain challenges remain risks.
Positive Factors
Record Backlog
A record backlog provides long-term revenue visibility and stability, ensuring sustained production and financial performance.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports shareholder returns and provides capital for reinvestment, enhancing financial resilience.
New Credit Facility
The new credit facility enhances financial flexibility, supporting liquidity and operational stability for future growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Declining margins indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting long-term profitability and competitiveness.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting future investment and growth opportunities.
Supply Chain Challenges
Supply chain issues can delay production and delivery, impacting revenue and operational efficiency over the long term.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lockheed Martin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLockheed Martin Corporation, a security and aerospace company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics segment offers combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems; tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems; logistics; fire control systems; mission operations support, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; manned and unmanned ground vehicles; and energy management solutions. The Rotary and Mission Systems segment offers military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment offers satellites; space transportation systems; strategic, advanced strike, and defensive missile systems; and classified systems and services in support of national security systems. This segment also provides network-enabled situational awareness and integrates space and ground-based systems to help its customers gather, analyze, and securely distribute critical intelligence data. It serves primarily serves the U.S. government, as well as foreign military sales contracted through the U.S. government. Lockheed Martin Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyLockheed Martin generates revenue through various key streams, primarily driven by government contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other international defense agencies. The Aeronautics sector contributes significantly through the production of military aircraft such as the F-35 Lightning II and the C-130 Hercules, while the Missiles and Fire Control sector provides advanced missile systems and defense technologies. Revenue is also bolstered by contracts in the Space sector, which includes satellite systems and space exploration initiatives. Additionally, Lockheed Martin engages in partnerships with other defense contractors, government entities, and international organizations, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to new contracts and revenue opportunities.

Lockheed Martin Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Backlog
Total Backlog
Indicates the total value of orders yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into future revenue streams and demand for the company's products.
Chart InsightsLockheed Martin's total backlog has reached a new peak, driven by strong international demand for the F-35 and anticipated awards in key programs like JASSM LARASM and PAC-3. Despite financial setbacks from legacy programs and tax disputes, the company is poised for a record backlog by year-end, reflecting robust growth in space and missile programs. This strategic positioning underscores Lockheed's resilience and potential for shareholder returns, even as it navigates significant financial charges and cash flow challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lockheed Martin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Lockheed Martin Corporation's strong backlog and financial performance, driven by significant contract wins and increased shareholder returns. While there are concerns about supply chain challenges and specific program risks, the company maintains a positive outlook for 2025 with expectations for growth and increased operational performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Backlog
Lockheed Martin Corporation achieved a record-high backlog of $179 billion, driven by significant contract wins across various segments, ensuring visibility into future production.
Strong Financial Performance
Sales increased 9% year-over-year to $18.6 billion, with segment operating profit up 9% to $2 billion, maintaining strong margins despite challenging conditions.
Significant Contract Wins
Multi-year awards for PAC-3, JASSM LARASM, and CH-53K totaled $30 billion, with additional F-35 Lot 18 and 19 contracts adding $11 billion.
Increased Shareholder Returns
The Board approved a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend, marking the 23rd consecutive year of dividend increases, alongside increased share repurchase authorization.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Updated outlook for 2025 with increased expectations for sales, operating profit, and EPS, projecting a mid-single-digit top-line growth and $6.6 billion in free cash flow.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Concerns about the supply chain's ability to ramp up production, particularly for solid rocket motors and seekers, remain a focus, though improvements are noted.
RMS Sales Forecast Reduction
RMS sales forecast reduced by $500 million due to lower expected cost volume and slower production ramps at Sikorsky, specifically impacting CH-53K production.
Program Risks and Charges
Continued risks and past charges related to classified aeronautics programs, with efforts made to mitigate risks through rebaselining and talent allocation.
Company Guidance
During the Lockheed Martin Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company showcased strong operational and financial performance, resulting in a record backlog of $179 billion. Sales increased by 9% year-over-year, with a solid 5% growth normalized for the impact of F-35 Lot 18-19. Free cash flow exceeded $3 billion, allowing for increased dividends and share repurchases. The company secured significant contracts, including a $9.8 billion PAC-3 MSC contract and a $10.9 billion contract for CH-53K helicopters. Looking forward, Lockheed Martin updated its 2025 outlook, projecting mid-single-digit top-line growth and $6.6 billion in free cash flow, while emphasizing the demand for advanced defense solutions to ensure deterrence and enhance program performance.

Lockheed Martin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lockheed Martin exhibits a stable financial profile with consistent revenue growth and strong operational efficiency. Despite challenges in profitability margins and free cash flow reduction, the company has successfully reduced leverage and improved its balance sheet strength. The overall financial health remains robust, though attention to profitability improvements and cash flow generation is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Lockheed Martin's income statement shows a stable revenue growth trajectory with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $71.8 billion, up from $71.0 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 8.16% from 9.75% in 2024, indicating potential cost challenges. The net profit margin also declined to 5.85% from 7.51%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, EBITDA margin remains strong at 11.21%, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a robust equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio improvement to 0.58 from 3.20 in 2024, highlighting reduced leverage. The equity ratio stands at 9.06%, reflecting a manageable level of equity in total assets. However, the ROE has decreased to 78.81% from 84.26%, indicating a slight dip in shareholder returns. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with adequate equity and reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow to $3.33 billion from $5.29 billion in 2024, indicating a reduction in liquidity generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.21, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.79, reflecting reduced cash retention. Overall, the cash flow statement shows stable operational cash flows but highlights a decline in free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.35B71.04B67.57B65.98B67.04B65.40B
Gross Profit5.99B6.93B8.48B8.29B9.06B8.65B
EBITDA7.68B8.82B10.44B8.71B9.48B10.12B
Net Income4.20B5.34B6.92B5.73B6.32B6.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.28B55.62B52.46B52.88B50.87B50.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.47B2.48B1.44B2.55B3.60B3.16B
Total Debt22.19B21.42B17.46B15.55B11.68B12.17B
Total Liabilities54.09B49.28B45.62B43.61B39.91B44.67B
Stockholders Equity6.18B6.33B6.83B9.27B10.96B6.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.59B5.29B6.23B6.13B7.70B6.42B
Operating Cash Flow6.36B6.97B7.92B7.80B9.22B8.18B
Investing Cash Flow-2.30B-1.79B-1.69B-1.79B-1.16B-2.01B
Financing Cash Flow-3.74B-4.14B-7.33B-7.07B-7.62B-4.53B

Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price483.57
Price Trends
50DMA
470.43
Positive
100DMA
465.79
Positive
200DMA
459.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.40
Negative
RSI
60.58
Neutral
STOCH
82.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 483.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 464.23, above the 50-day MA of 470.43, and above the 200-day MA of 459.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LMT.

Lockheed Martin Risk Analysis

Lockheed Martin disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lockheed Martin reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lockheed Martin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$91.67B21.9917.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$81.13B20.4126.15%1.54%-0.14%72.35%
72
Outperform
$324.05B40.9642.74%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
70
Outperform
$109.71B26.4762.78%2.76%2.88%-35.15%
70
Neutral
$53.77B30.879.13%1.63%2.83%47.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$167.64B10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LMT
Lockheed Martin
482.55
6.60
1.39%
BA
Boeing
216.84
36.46
20.21%
GD
General Dynamics
345.19
83.78
32.05%
GE
GE Aerospace
315.53
144.44
84.42%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
297.83
87.38
41.52%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
584.66
120.49
25.96%

Lockheed Martin Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lockheed Martin Transfers Pension Obligations to Insurers
Negative
Dec 18, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Lockheed Martin executed buy-out conversions of previously purchased group annuity contracts, transferring approximately $900 million of gross defined benefit pension obligations from its pension plans to certain insurance companies at no additional cost or funding contribution to the company. Following the conversions, the insurers legally assumed responsibility for paying and administering retirement benefits for about 9,000 U.S. retirees and beneficiaries, with no change to the nature, amount, or timing of benefits, while Lockheed Martin expects to record a non-cash, non-operating pretax settlement charge of roughly $480 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, which represents accelerated recognition of actuarial losses and was not included in its prior 2025 financial outlook.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lockheed Martin Secures New $3 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Lockheed Martin entered into a new 364-Day Revolving Credit Agreement with a $3.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility involving multiple banks. This agreement, which matures on December 4, 2026, supports the company’s financial flexibility for corporate purposes, including commercial paper borrowings, and reflects its strategic financial management to maintain liquidity and operational stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025