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RTX (RTX)
NYSE:RTX

RTX (RTX) AI Stock Analysis

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RTX

RTX

(NYSE:RTX)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$192.00
▲(3.69% Upside)
RTX's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance, which are slightly offset by technical analysis indicators and high valuation concerns. The company's strategic growth initiatives and robust backlog provide a solid foundation for future growth, despite some operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Strategic Collaboration
This collaboration enhances RTX's capabilities in space technology, leveraging AWS's AI and machine learning, which could lead to improved efficiency and expanded market opportunities in national security sectors.
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow generation supports RTX's ability to invest in growth opportunities, manage debt, and return value to shareholders, underpinning long-term financial health.
Record Backlog
A growing backlog indicates strong demand for RTX's products and services, providing revenue visibility and stability, which supports future growth and operational planning.
Negative Factors
Tariff Headwinds
Tariff-related costs can pressure margins and profitability, potentially impacting RTX's competitive position and financial performance if not mitigated.
Supply Chain Challenges
Supply chain disruptions can hinder RTX's ability to meet production targets, affecting delivery schedules and customer satisfaction, which may impact long-term growth.
Negative Engine Margin
Sustained negative margins in key segments like Pratt & Whitney can erode profitability and limit reinvestment capacity, potentially affecting RTX's competitive edge in the aerospace sector.

RTX (RTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RTX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for the commercial, military, and government customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins Aerospace Systems segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket service solutions for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations. This segment also designs, produces, and supports cabin interior, including oxygen systems, food and beverage preparation, storage and galley systems, and lavatory and wastewater management systems; battlespace, test and training range systems, crew escape systems, and simulation and training solutions; information management services; and aftermarket services that include spare parts, overhaul and repair, engineering and technical support, training and fleet management solutions, and asset and information management services. Its Pratt & Whitney segment supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers; and produces, sells, and services military and commercial auxiliary power units. The Raytheon segment provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking, and mitigation capabilities for U.S., foreign government, and commercial customers. The company was formerly known as Raytheon Technologies Corporation and changed its name to RTX Corporation in July 2023. RTX Corporation was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRTX generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of products and services across its various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of commercial and military aircraft engines through Pratt & Whitney, which provides maintenance services and spare parts as ongoing revenue. Collins Aerospace contributes significantly through avionics, landing systems, and connectivity solutions for commercial aircraft. Additionally, the defense segment, including Raytheon Intelligence & Space and Raytheon Missiles & Defense, earns revenue from government contracts for advanced defense systems and technologies. RTX also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with government entities and commercial airlines, ensuring a steady stream of income. The company invests in research and development to innovate and enhance its offerings, further solidifying its market position and revenue potential.

RTX Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Margin by Segment
Operating Margin by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments drive earnings and where there might be room for improvement or strategic focus.
Chart InsightsCollins Aerospace's operating margin shows a steady recovery post-2020, reflecting strategic resilience. Pratt and Whitney's margin faced a significant dip in late 2023 but rebounded, aligning with increased MRO output and defense sales growth. Intelligence and Space, and Missiles and Defense segments have ceased reporting margins, potentially indicating strategic shifts or restructuring. Raytheon's margin has stabilized post-2023, despite a sales decline due to divestitures. The earnings call highlights robust financial performance and backlog growth, yet tariff impacts and supply chain concerns could pose future risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

RTX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter with notable achievements in sales growth, backlog expansion, and strategic capacity investments. However, the company continues to face challenges from tariff impacts and supply chain constraints. Overall, the positive aspects, including a raised full-year outlook and robust demand across segments, outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Sales Growth
Sales were up 13% organically year-over-year with double-digit growth in commercial OE, commercial aftermarket, and defense.
Robust Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was strong at $4 billion for the quarter, keeping the company on track for the full year target.
Record Backlog and Book-to-Bill Ratio
Backlog reached $251 billion, up 13% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.63.
Significant Defense Orders
Raytheon booked over $8 billion of new orders for munitions, including historic orders for AMRAAM and GEM-T.
Improved Full Year Outlook
Raised full year adjusted sales range to $86.5 billion to $87 billion and increased adjusted EPS range to $6.10 to $6.20.
Successful Capacity Expansion
Invested over $600 million in capacity expansion, including significant expansions at Raytheon for missile integration.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds
Collins faced a $90 million year-over-year headwind from higher tariffs in the quarter, impacting margins.
Negative Engine Margin at Pratt & Whitney
Continued negative engine margin at Pratt & Whitney, with expectations to align within a $150 million to $200 million headwind for the year.
Supply Chain Challenges
Ongoing supply chain health issues require attention to meet production demands, particularly at Raytheon.
Company Guidance
During the RTX Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance across multiple metrics. RTX reported a 13% organic sales increase year-over-year, driven by double-digit growth in commercial OE, aftermarket, and defense. Adjusted segment operating profit rose by 19%, and free cash flow was a strong $4 billion for the quarter. The backlog reached $251 billion, up 13% from the previous year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.63, supported by $37 billion in new awards. The company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted sales to a range of $86.5 billion to $87 billion and adjusted EPS to between $6.10 and $6.20, maintaining a free cash flow outlook of $7 billion to $7.5 billion. Highlights included growth in GTF MRO output, a 16% increase in isothermal forgings, and a 29% rise in structural castings. RTX continues to invest in manufacturing capacity, with $600 million in expansion projects this year.

RTX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RTX exhibits a strong financial position with robust growth and profitability in the income statement, a well-managed capital structure with moderate leverage in the balance sheet, and excellent cash generation capabilities. These factors indicate a healthy financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RTX has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 2.86% increase in TTM, supported by improving margins. The gross profit margin stands at 20.13%, and the net profit margin is 7.67%, indicating solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 12.08% and 17.15%, respectively. These metrics reflect a healthy income statement with consistent growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 10.61%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is strong, with a good balance between debt and equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
RTX's cash flow performance is impressive, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 71.48% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. These metrics highlight the company's ability to generate cash efficiently, supporting its operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.99B80.74B68.92B67.07B64.36B56.67B
Gross Profit17.31B15.41B12.09B13.67B12.50B9.01B
EBITDA14.75B12.16B9.37B11.17B10.56B2.95B
Net Income6.59B4.77B3.19B5.20B3.86B-3.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.67B162.86B161.87B158.86B161.40B162.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.97B5.58B6.59B6.22B7.83B8.80B
Total Debt40.71B42.89B45.24B33.50B33.14B33.34B
Total Liabilities102.28B100.90B100.42B84.65B86.70B88.27B
Stockholders Equity64.51B60.16B59.80B72.63B73.07B72.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.24B4.53B4.72B4.39B4.75B1.64B
Operating Cash Flow7.96B7.16B7.88B7.17B7.07B3.61B
Investing Cash Flow-1.50B-1.53B-3.04B-2.83B-1.36B3.10B
Financing Cash Flow-7.20B-6.62B-4.53B-5.86B-6.68B-5.27B

RTX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price185.17
Price Trends
50DMA
174.92
Positive
100DMA
166.61
Positive
200DMA
151.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.46
Negative
RSI
65.65
Neutral
STOCH
81.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 185.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 176.97, above the 50-day MA of 174.92, and above the 200-day MA of 151.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RTX.

RTX Risk Analysis

RTX disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RTX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RTX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$93.30B22.3817.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$83.11B20.9026.15%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
74
Outperform
$249.89B38.2710.49%1.44%8.79%39.63%
72
Outperform
$334.11B42.2342.74%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
70
Outperform
$112.40B27.1262.78%2.77%2.88%-35.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$170.83B-15.8210.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RTX
RTX
185.17
72.06
63.71%
BA
Boeing
216.44
39.89
22.59%
GD
General Dynamics
342.20
84.12
32.59%
GE
GE Aerospace
315.14
147.80
88.32%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
483.03
13.50
2.88%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
577.37
118.81
25.91%

RTX Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
RTX Initiates $2.5 Billion Pension Buy-Out
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 7, 2025, RTX Corporation initiated a buy-out conversion of a group annuity contract from The Prudential Insurance Company of America, transferring approximately $2.5 billion of pension obligations. This transaction, affecting around 60,000 retirees and beneficiaries, will not change their benefits and maintains the Plan’s funded status, while RTX anticipates a one-time, non-cash pretax pension settlement charge of about $300 million in Q4 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
RTX Faces Cybersecurity Incident Affecting Airline Software
Negative
Sep 25, 2025

On September 19, 2025, RTX Corporation experienced a ransomware cybersecurity incident affecting its Multi-User System Environment (MUSE) software, which is used by multiple airlines for check-in and gate resource sharing at airports. Although the incident led to flight delays and cancellations as customers switched to backup processes, RTX’s investigation suggests it will not materially impact the company’s financial condition or operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025