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RTX (RTX) AI Stock Analysis

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RTX

RTX

(NYSE:RTX)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$193.00
▲(12.80% Upside)
RTX's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust growth, profitability, and strategic investments position it well for future success. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The cybersecurity incident is noted but not expected to have a lasting impact.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The robust 13% organic sales growth indicates strong demand across multiple segments, suggesting a solid market position and potential for sustained revenue expansion.
Record Backlog
A record backlog of $251 billion provides visibility into future revenues and indicates strong demand, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Strategic Capacity Expansion
Significant investment in capacity expansion enhances production capabilities, supporting future growth and competitive positioning in key markets.
Negative Factors
Tariff Headwinds
Tariff-related costs negatively impact margins, posing a challenge to profitability and potentially affecting long-term financial performance.
Negative Engine Margin
Ongoing negative engine margins at Pratt & Whitney could strain profitability, affecting overall financial health and requiring strategic adjustments.
Supply Chain Challenges
Persistent supply chain issues could disrupt production and delivery schedules, impacting revenue and operational efficiency in the long term.

RTX (RTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RTX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRTX, formerly known as Raytheon Technologies Corporation, is a multinational aerospace and defense conglomerate headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. The company operates in four primary sectors: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, Raytheon Intelligence & Space, and Raytheon Missiles & Defense. RTX specializes in advanced technology solutions for both commercial and military applications, providing products such as aircraft engines, avionics, missiles, and cybersecurity systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyRTX generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of products and services across its various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of commercial and military aircraft engines through Pratt & Whitney, which provides maintenance services and spare parts as ongoing revenue. Collins Aerospace contributes significantly through avionics, landing systems, and connectivity solutions for commercial aircraft. Additionally, the defense segment, including Raytheon Intelligence & Space and Raytheon Missiles & Defense, earns revenue from government contracts for advanced defense systems and technologies. RTX also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with government entities and commercial airlines, ensuring a steady stream of income. The company invests in research and development to innovate and enhance its offerings, further solidifying its market position and revenue potential.

RTX Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Margin by Segment
Operating Margin by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments drive earnings and where there might be room for improvement or strategic focus.
Chart InsightsCollins Aerospace's operating margin shows a steady recovery post-2020, reflecting strategic resilience. Pratt and Whitney's margin faced a significant dip in late 2023 but rebounded, aligning with increased MRO output and defense sales growth. Intelligence and Space, and Missiles and Defense segments have ceased reporting margins, potentially indicating strategic shifts or restructuring. Raytheon's margin has stabilized post-2023, despite a sales decline due to divestitures. The earnings call highlights robust financial performance and backlog growth, yet tariff impacts and supply chain concerns could pose future risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

RTX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter with notable achievements in sales growth, backlog expansion, and strategic capacity investments. However, the company continues to face challenges from tariff impacts and supply chain constraints. Overall, the positive aspects, including a raised full-year outlook and robust demand across segments, outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Sales Growth
Sales were up 13% organically year-over-year with double-digit growth in commercial OE, commercial aftermarket, and defense.
Robust Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was strong at $4 billion for the quarter, keeping the company on track for the full year target.
Record Backlog and Book-to-Bill Ratio
Backlog reached $251 billion, up 13% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.63.
Significant Defense Orders
Raytheon booked over $8 billion of new orders for munitions, including historic orders for AMRAAM and GEM-T.
Improved Full Year Outlook
Raised full year adjusted sales range to $86.5 billion to $87 billion and increased adjusted EPS range to $6.10 to $6.20.
Successful Capacity Expansion
Invested over $600 million in capacity expansion, including significant expansions at Raytheon for missile integration.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds
Collins faced a $90 million year-over-year headwind from higher tariffs in the quarter, impacting margins.
Negative Engine Margin at Pratt & Whitney
Continued negative engine margin at Pratt & Whitney, with expectations to align within a $150 million to $200 million headwind for the year.
Supply Chain Challenges
Ongoing supply chain health issues require attention to meet production demands, particularly at Raytheon.
Company Guidance
During the RTX Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance across multiple metrics. RTX reported a 13% organic sales increase year-over-year, driven by double-digit growth in commercial OE, aftermarket, and defense. Adjusted segment operating profit rose by 19%, and free cash flow was a strong $4 billion for the quarter. The backlog reached $251 billion, up 13% from the previous year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.63, supported by $37 billion in new awards. The company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted sales to a range of $86.5 billion to $87 billion and adjusted EPS to between $6.10 and $6.20, maintaining a free cash flow outlook of $7 billion to $7.5 billion. Highlights included growth in GTF MRO output, a 16% increase in isothermal forgings, and a 29% rise in structural castings. RTX continues to invest in manufacturing capacity, with $600 million in expansion projects this year.

RTX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RTX demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, robust cash flow generation, and efficient capital management. Despite high leverage, the company maintains a stable equity position and continues to improve profitability metrics.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RTX has shown a strong growth trajectory with revenue growth from $56.59B in 2020 to $83.60B in the TTM period, reflecting a solid upward trend. The gross profit margin is at a respectable level, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency. The net profit margin also shows positive growth, underlining increased profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
RTX maintains a healthy equity ratio, suggesting a stable financial position. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, which could imply potential leverage risk. Despite this, the return on equity has shown improvement, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company has demonstrated robust operating cash flow generation, which covers net income comfortably, highlighting strong cash conversion capabilities. Free cash flow has seen growth, although it has fluctuated over the years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, supporting the company's ability to generate cash after accounting for capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.99B80.74B68.92B67.07B64.36B56.67B
Gross Profit17.31B15.41B12.09B13.67B12.50B9.01B
EBITDA14.75B12.16B9.37B11.17B10.56B2.95B
Net Income6.59B4.77B3.19B5.20B3.86B-3.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.67B162.86B161.87B158.86B161.40B162.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.97B5.58B6.59B6.22B7.83B8.80B
Total Debt40.71B42.89B45.24B33.50B33.14B33.34B
Total Liabilities102.28B100.90B100.42B84.65B86.70B88.27B
Stockholders Equity64.51B60.16B59.80B72.63B73.07B72.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.24B4.53B4.72B4.39B4.75B1.64B
Operating Cash Flow7.96B7.16B7.88B7.17B7.07B3.61B
Investing Cash Flow-1.50B-1.53B-3.04B-2.83B-1.36B3.10B
Financing Cash Flow-7.20B-6.62B-4.53B-5.86B-6.68B-5.27B

RTX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price171.10
Price Trends
50DMA
170.33
Positive
100DMA
162.99
Positive
200DMA
147.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
48.71
Neutral
STOCH
41.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 171.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.16, above the 50-day MA of 170.33, and above the 200-day MA of 147.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RTX.

RTX Risk Analysis

RTX disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RTX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RTX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$91.11B21.8617.78%1.73%11.86%17.39%
76
Outperform
$229.41B35.1310.49%1.56%8.79%39.63%
75
Outperform
$78.35B19.7126.15%1.64%-0.14%72.35%
73
Outperform
$299.50B37.8642.74%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
70
Outperform
$104.64B25.2462.78%2.95%2.88%-35.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
47
Neutral
$153.46B10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RTX
RTX
171.10
56.65
49.50%
BA
Boeing
201.89
44.85
28.56%
GD
General Dynamics
337.31
73.17
27.70%
GE
GE Aerospace
283.94
113.67
66.76%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
452.20
-43.21
-8.72%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
548.97
77.98
16.56%

RTX Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
RTX Initiates $2.5 Billion Pension Buy-Out
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 7, 2025, RTX Corporation initiated a buy-out conversion of a group annuity contract from The Prudential Insurance Company of America, transferring approximately $2.5 billion of pension obligations. This transaction, affecting around 60,000 retirees and beneficiaries, will not change their benefits and maintains the Plan’s funded status, while RTX anticipates a one-time, non-cash pretax pension settlement charge of about $300 million in Q4 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
RTX Faces Cybersecurity Incident Affecting Airline Software
Negative
Sep 25, 2025

On September 19, 2025, RTX Corporation experienced a ransomware cybersecurity incident affecting its Multi-User System Environment (MUSE) software, which is used by multiple airlines for check-in and gate resource sharing at airports. Although the incident led to flight delays and cancellations as customers switched to backup processes, RTX’s investigation suggests it will not materially impact the company’s financial condition or operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025