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Curtiss-Wright (CW)
NYSE:CW

Curtiss-Wright (CW) AI Stock Analysis

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CW

Curtiss-Wright

(NYSE:CW)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$704.00
▼(-1.19% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (expanding margins, rising ROE, solid FCF) and a positive earnings outlook with record cash flow guidance. Offsetting factors are a premium valuation (high P/E and low yield) and a mixed near-term technical picture despite a longer-term uptrend.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Expansion
Curtiss‑Wright shows durable topline and profitability improvement: multi-year revenue growth with sustained operating margin expansion to the high teens. That operating leverage improves cash generation and ROE, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Consistently high and rising free cash flow provides durable funding for capex, R&D, debt reduction and buybacks. High FCF conversion indicates earnings quality and financial flexibility to sustain investment and returns even if near-term sales timing fluctuates.
Backlog & Strategic Contracts
A growing backlog and sizable program wins (Boeing C‑17 mission computer contract) reinforce Curtiss‑Wright’s market position in defense electronics. Multi‑year fleet sustainment work and MOSA alignment create recurring, durable revenue streams and deepen customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Government Timing Exposure
Significant exposure to government appropriations and program timing creates durable revenue recognition volatility: order postponements can shift quarters and compress near‑term growth despite long‑term defense demand, complicating working capital and guidance reliability.
R&D/CapEx Pressure on Margins
Accelerating capex and higher R&D/prototyping investment support future products but raise the company’s fixed cost base and can depress near‑term margins and free cash flow. Persistent elevated investment increases execution risk and funding needs over the medium term.
Material Absolute Debt & Working Capital Variability
Although leverage ratios improved, the meaningful absolute debt level and lower operating cash flow as a percent of revenue introduce balance‑sheet sensitivity. Continued strong earnings and cash conversion are needed to preserve flexibility amid buybacks, capex and potential order timing shifts.

Curtiss-Wright (CW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Curtiss-Wright Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCurtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services to the aerospace, defense, general industrial, and power generation markets worldwide. worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. The Aerospace & Industrial segment offers industrial vehicle products, such as electronic throttle control devices, joysticks, and transmission shifters; sensors, controls and electro-mechanical actuation components used in commercial and military aircraft; and surface technology services, including shot peening, laser peening, and coatings. The Defense Electronics segment provides commercial off-the-shelf embedded computing board-level modules, data acquisition and flight test instrumentation equipment, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, turret aiming and stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; avionics and electronics; flight test equipment; and aircraft data management solutions. The Naval & Power segment offers hardware, pumps, pump seals, control rod drive mechanisms, valves, fastening systems, specialized containment doors, airlock hatches, spent fuel management products, and fluid sealing products for nuclear power plants and nuclear equipment manufacturers; and naval propulsion and auxiliary equipment, including coolant pumps, power-dense compact motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary propulsion systems, as well as ship repair and maintenance services primarily to the U.S. navy. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyCurtiss-Wright generates revenue through multiple key streams primarily related to the manufacturing and supply of engineered products and systems. The majority of its revenue comes from the Defense segment, which provides advanced technologies and services to military and defense customers, including aircraft and naval systems. The Commercial/Industrial segment contributes to earnings by offering products for aerospace manufacturing, oil and gas, and other industrial applications. Additionally, the Power segment focuses on providing components and systems for nuclear and conventional power generation. Significant partnerships with government defense agencies and major industrial players help secure long-term contracts, while ongoing investments in R&D drive innovation and expand the company’s product offerings, ultimately enhancing its market competitiveness and revenue potential.

Curtiss-Wright Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong financial momentum with record full-year results, double-digit revenue and EPS growth, robust free cash flow, meaningful backlog growth, and confident 2026 guidance for sales, margin expansion, and cash flow. Challenges were largely timing and mix related — chiefly order timing in ground defense due to government continuing resolution effects, higher near-term R&D and prototyping mix pressures, and elevated capex needs. Management emphasized durable secular tailwinds in defense and commercial nuclear, disciplined capital allocation (record buybacks and dividend growth), and continued investments in R&D and operational excellence, supporting a constructive outlook despite some short-term timing uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 revenue of $947,000,000, up 15% year-over-year, driven by 11% organic growth and contribution from the I&C Solutions acquisition.
Strong A&D and Commercial Market Performance
Aerospace & Defense markets grew 16% in Q4; commercial aerospace sales rose more than 20% while overall commercial markets increased 13% year-over-year.
Profitability and Margin Expansion (Quarter)
Q4 operating income rose 14% with operating margin at 19.7%; Defense Electronics delivered a 25.9% operating margin (up 160 bps) and Aerospace & Industrial margin was 20.1%.
Earnings and Cash Flow Strength (Quarter)
Diluted EPS increased 16% year-over-year in Q4; free cash flow was $315,000,000 (up 13%) with a reported 224% cash conversion metric for the quarter.
Record Full-Year Results
Full year 2025: operating margin expanded 110 basis points to 18.6%; diluted EPS up 21% year-over-year; adjusted free cash flow reached a record $554,000,000 with 111% conversion.
Order Growth and Backlog
Q4 new orders rose 18% with nearly 1.2x book-to-bill; full year 2025 orders hit a record $4.1 billion (up 10% YoY) and backlog increased 18% to in excess of $4.0 billion.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
Executed a record $465,000,000 in share repurchases in 2025 and increased the annual dividend for the ninth consecutive year.
2026 Guidance — Growth and Profitability
Management guided 2026 organic sales growth of 6%–8%, operating margin expansion of 30–60 bps to 18.9%–19.2%, diluted EPS growth of 11%–15%, and record free cash flow expected ($575M–$595M).
Segment Outperformance
Enablement Power sales up 21% in Q4 (benefiting naval defense and I&C acquisition); Defense Electronics sales rose 17% in Q4; Aerospace & Industrial grew 5% in Q4 with a 20.1% operating margin.
Investments for Future Growth
Company accelerated R&D investment (committed to growing R&D faster than sales), increased CapEx to support growth (nearly 50% increase in 2025), and highlighted technology initiatives (ruggedized NVIDIA GPU solutions, Fabric 100, Microsoft Azure validation).
Negative Updates
Timing-Related Order Delays in Ground Defense
Continuing Resolution (CR) and government timing delays pushed some Defense Electronics orders from 2025 into 2026, resulting in a Defense Electronics book-to-bill of 0.96 for the period and a conservative 2026 guide for Ground Defense (expected decline of 4%–6%).
Uncertainty Around AP1000 Order Timing and Inclusion
Management continues to anticipate an AP1000 reactor coolant pump order (customer Westinghouse) but did not include any AP1000 revenue in the 2026 guidance due to timing and customer decision uncertainty.
Mix and Margin Pressure from Development Work
Some segments experienced unfavorable mix in Q4 due to higher customer-funded R&D and heavier R&D investments (notably SMR-related prototyping), which tempered profitability despite higher sales.
Elevated Capital Expenditures
CapEx nearly increased 50% in 2025 to support growth initiatives and is expected to rise more than 25% in 2026 (guidance $110M–$120M), representing a near-term cash outlay headwind even though it's investment-related.
General Industrial Market Weakness
General industrial sales were essentially flat in Q4 and management expects flat results for the general industrial market in 2026, indicating limited near-term growth in that end market.
Defense Revenue Growth Deceleration in Guidance
Although multi-year defense demand remains positive, the initial 2026 defense growth outlook is more conservative versus recent multi-year averages (management cited timing and backlog phasing as drivers).
Company Guidance
Curtiss‑Wright guided to total organic sales growth of 6%–8% in 2026 with operating income growth of 8%–11% and operating margin expanding 30–60 basis points to 18.9%–19.2%; diluted EPS is projected to rise 11%–15% to $14.70–$15.15, with first‑quarter sales up high single‑digits, Q1 operating income growing low double‑digits and Q1 EPS in the high‑teens (including a $0.10 benefit from a lower Q1 tax rate). By segment, Aerospace & Industrial sales are expected to grow 5%–7% (op income +11%–14%, margin 18.3%–18.5%), Defense Electronics sales +4%–6% (op income +4%–6%, margin 27.3%–27.5%, including $4M of incremental internal R&D), and Enablement Power sales +8%–9% (op income +10%–13%, margin +30–50 bps). Financial items include record free cash flow of $575M–$595M with ~105% FCF conversion, other income up ~$3M–$4M, a targeted tax rate of ~21.5%, $110M–$120M in capex (up >25% YoY), a $200M senior note payoff in December, and an initial $60M of planned share repurchases to start 2026; management also targets an improved working capital level of roughly 18% of sales.

Curtiss-Wright Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and meaningful margin expansion (net margin to 13.8%, operating margin to 18.2%) with rising ROE (to 19.1%) and improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to 0.52). Cash generation is solid (FCF $554M; ~86% of net income), but operating cash conversion versus revenue has shown variability, and the 2025 EBITDA/EBIT margin alignment is a reporting watch item.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Revenue has expanded steadily from $2.39B (2020) to $3.50B (2025), with growth re-accelerating in 2025 (3.6% vs ~0.1% in 2024). Profitability has strengthened meaningfully over time: net margin improved from 8.4% (2020) to 13.8% (2025), and operating margin rose from 12.5% to 18.2%, indicating solid operating leverage. A key watch item is that 2025 EBITDA margin matches EBIT margin (both 18.2%), which differs from prior years and could reflect reporting/classification effects rather than a true margin shift.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks manageable and has improved since 2022: debt-to-equity declined from 0.71 (2022) to 0.52 (2025) while equity grew to $2.53B on $5.22B of assets. Returns are strong and trending up, with return on equity rising from 11.3% (2020) to 19.1% (2025), signaling efficient capital use. The main constraint is that absolute debt remains meaningful at ~$1.31B, so continued earnings and cash flow durability matter to keep balance-sheet risk contained.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving: operating cash flow increased to $643M (2025) and free cash flow to $554M, with free cash flow growth of 7.2% in 2025 after modest growth in 2024. Free cash flow runs at a healthy share of earnings (about 86% of net income in 2025), supporting earnings quality. A weakness is that operating cash flow is a relatively low share of revenue (about 46% in 2025, down from ~56% in 2023), pointing to some working-capital or timing variability even as free cash flow remains strong.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B3.12B2.85B2.56B2.50B
Gross Profit1.30B1.15B1.07B954.61M927.80M
EBITDA638.02M674.59M630.63M548.20M503.58M
Net Income484.23M404.98M354.51M294.35M262.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.22B4.99B4.62B4.45B4.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.35M385.04M406.87M256.97M171.00M
Total Debt1.31B1.23B1.20B1.41B1.20B
Total Liabilities2.69B2.54B2.29B2.47B2.28B
Stockholders Equity2.53B2.45B2.33B1.98B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow553.71M483.30M403.42M256.56M346.56M
Operating Cash Flow643.40M544.27M448.09M294.78M387.67M
Investing Cash Flow-90.12M-283.31M-35.52M-325.87M-42.40M
Financing Cash Flow-578.30M-271.49M-273.40M129.43M-369.13M

Curtiss-Wright Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price712.45
Price Trends
50DMA
623.21
Positive
100DMA
590.69
Positive
200DMA
532.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.87
Negative
RSI
67.32
Neutral
STOCH
89.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 712.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 668.31, above the 50-day MA of 623.21, and above the 200-day MA of 532.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CW.

Curtiss-Wright Risk Analysis

Curtiss-Wright disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Curtiss-Wright reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Curtiss-Wright Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$23.53B49.4620.38%0.35%7.30%19.54%
72
Outperform
$26.27B54.3419.43%0.16%9.51%16.03%
68
Neutral
$17.46B19.6212.24%0.09%1.83%-0.73%
64
Neutral
$18.68B55.4026.69%0.56%14.01%10.92%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$13.09B-209.13-2.64%79.89%-171.81%
55
Neutral
$15.45B689.061.31%14.00%23.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CW
Curtiss-Wright
712.45
398.68
127.06%
AVAV
AeroVironment
262.25
110.56
72.89%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
90.68
65.57
261.13%
TXT
Textron
98.99
25.82
35.30%
WWD
Woodward
394.76
212.56
116.66%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
204.23
100.96
97.77%

Curtiss-Wright Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividends
Curtiss-Wright Expands Share Repurchase Authorization
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Curtiss-Wright Corporation announced an increase in its share repurchase authorization to $550 million, with an additional $416 million approved for future repurchases. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, payable on December 12, 2025. This expansion is part of Curtiss-Wright’s ‘Pivot to Growth’ strategy, reflecting the Board’s confidence in the company’s financial health and commitment to shareholder value. The company expects to achieve record share repurchases of $466 million in 2025 and plans further repurchases in 2026 to offset potential dilution from compensation plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (CW) stock is a Buy with a $645.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curtiss-Wright stock, see the CW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026