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Textron (TXT)
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Textron (TXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TXT

Textron

(NYSE:TXT)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(11.22% Upside)
Textron's overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and positive revenue growth from the recent earnings call. However, the stock faces challenges from declining margins, limited valuation attractiveness, and mixed technical indicators.
Positive Factors
Earnings
TXT reported consolidated 2Q revenue and EPS above consensus.
Innovation and Growth
Textron Aviation is focusing on bringing new products to market, including the M2 Gen2, CJ3 Gen2, and Ascend, indicating innovation and growth potential.
Military Sales
Bell's military sales rose 30% year-over-year, led by FLRAA.
Negative Factors
Operating Cash Flow
TXT reported operating cash flow of ($124mn), below consensus of $37mn.
Program Terminations
The Army has terminated Textron's RCV and FTUAS unmanned programs, which could pose a modest challenge for the company in the future.

Textron (TXT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Textron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTextron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses. The company's Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft; and offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services, as well as sells commercial parts. Its Bell segment supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircrafts, and related spare parts and services. The company's Textron Systems segment offers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic systems and solutions, advanced marine crafts, piston aircraft engines, live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training, weapons and related components, and armored and specialty vehicles. Its Industrial segment offers blow-molded plastic fuel systems, including conventional plastic fuel tanks and pressurized fuel tanks for hybrid vehicle applications, clear-vision systems, and plastic tanks for catalytic reduction systems primarily to automobile original equipment manufacturers; and golf cars, off-road utility vehicles, recreational side-by-side and all-terrain vehicles, snowmobiles, light transportation vehicles, aviation ground support equipment, professional turf-maintenance equipment, and turf-care vehicles to golf courses and resorts, government agencies and municipalities, consumers, outdoor enthusiasts, and commercial and industrial users. The company's Finance segment provides financing services to purchase new and pre-owned aircraft and bell helicopters. It serves in the United States, Europe, Asia, Australia, and internationally. Textron Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
How the Company Makes MoneyTextron Inc. generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of aviation products, defense systems, and industrial equipment. The company's revenue streams are primarily divided into several segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Finance. Textron Aviation contributes significantly through the sale of business jets, turboprop aircraft, and aftermarket services. The Bell segment earns revenue from the sale of military and commercial helicopters. Textron Systems, which includes unmanned aircraft systems and advanced marine craft, generates income from defense contracts and other government-related business. The Industrial segment provides revenue through the sale of specialized vehicles and equipment, such as golf carts and utility vehicles. Additionally, Textron's Finance segment supports sales of Textron products through financing solutions. Strategic partnerships and contracts with government agencies and commercial entities play a crucial role in sustaining and growing Textron's revenue.

Textron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. Revenue growth and backlog in the Aviation and Bell segments, along with strategic contract wins in Systems, were notable positives. However, declines in segment profits for Aviation and Bell, as well as decreased revenues in the Industrial segment, presented challenges. The impact of the tax rate increase also posed a financial concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenues in the quarter were $3.7 billion, up 5.4% or $189 million from last year's second quarter.
Aviation Backlog and Milestones
Aviation backlog ended the quarter at $7.85 billion. The SkyCourier hit important milestones, including its first delivery in South America and first aero-medical order in Africa.
Bell Revenue Increase
Bell revenues were up $222 million or 28% compared to last year's second quarter, driven by growth in both the MV-75 program and commercial helicopter business.
Systems Segment Contract Wins
Systems received a $354 million contract modification from the U.S. Navy for Ship-to-Shore Connector craft and $300 million through the reconciliation bill.
Share Repurchases
Approximately 2.9 million shares were repurchased during the quarter, returning $214 million in cash to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Aviation Segment Profit Decline
Aviation segment profit was $180 million, down $15 million from a year ago, primarily due to the mix of aircraft sold and higher warranty costs.
Bell Segment Profit Decline
Bell segment profit of $80 million was down $2 million from last year's second quarter, primarily reflecting higher research and development costs.
Industrial Revenues Decrease
Industrial revenues were $839 million, down $75 million from last year's second quarter, largely due to the disposition of Textron Specialized Vehicles power sports business and lower volume.
Tax Rate Increase Impact
The adjusted effective tax rate for the second quarter of 2025 was 20%, with an anticipated increase in the rate due to tax legislation impacting guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Textron Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Textron reported quarterly revenues of $3.7 billion, a 5.4% increase from the previous year. Segment profit rose slightly to $346 million, while adjusted income from continuing operations reached $1.55 per share, compared to $1.54 in the previous year. Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions was $336 million, up from $320 million. Textron Aviation's segment revenues increased to $1.5 billion, with a backlog of $7.85 billion. Bell saw a 28% revenue increase to $1 billion, driven by the MV-75 program and commercial helicopter sales, with a backlog of $6.9 billion. Textron Systems' revenues were slightly down at $321 million, but segment profit rose to $40 million. Industrial revenues decreased to $839 million, yet segment profit increased to $54 million. Textron eAviation posted $8 million in revenue. The company repurchased 2.9 million shares in the quarter, returning $214 million to shareholders. Textron reiterated its full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance of $6 to $6.20 and raised its expected full-year manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions to $900 million to $1 billion. The adjusted effective tax rate is anticipated to be between 20% and 21%, incorporating recent tax legislation impacts.

Textron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Textron demonstrates stable growth with a TTM revenue increase of 2.63% and a net profit margin of 5.80%. The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41. However, slight declines in EBIT, EBITDA margins, and free cash flow pose concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Textron has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 2.63% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 9.91%, which is moderate, while the net profit margin is 5.80%, indicating stable profitability. However, there has been a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years, which could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, suggesting a manageable level of leverage. The equity ratio is 43.52%, indicating a solid equity base. However, the return on equity (ROE) for TTM at 10.98% is lower than the previous year's 11.43%, suggesting a slight dip in efficiency at generating returns on equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Textron's cash flow from operations is strong, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.13 for TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has decreased by 13.69% from the previous period, which could be a point of concern if this trend continues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.70B13.68B12.87B12.38B11.65B
Gross Profit2.50B2.85B2.67B2.70B1.56B
EBITDA1.42B1.56B1.51B1.39B827.00M
Net Income824.00M921.00M861.00M746.00M309.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.84B16.86B16.29B15.83B15.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.44B2.18B2.04B1.92B2.25B
Total Debt3.59B4.25B3.56B4.15B3.71B
Total Liabilities9.63B9.87B9.18B9.01B9.55B
Stockholders Equity7.20B6.99B7.11B6.82B5.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow650.00M864.00M1.14B1.22B452.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.01B1.27B1.49B1.60B769.00M
Investing Cash Flow-284.00M-317.00M-447.00M-281.00M-248.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.45B-813.00M-1.09B-1.45B360.00M

Textron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price78.22
Price Trends
50DMA
79.26
Negative
100DMA
74.94
Positive
200DMA
77.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
41.02
Neutral
STOCH
16.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 78.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.06, below the 50-day MA of 79.26, and above the 200-day MA of 77.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TXT.

Textron Risk Analysis

Textron disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Textron reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Textron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$19.28B45.5117.40%0.18%9.77%15.66%
74
Outperform
$16.63B56.7826.97%0.66%10.13%10.04%
72
Outperform
$15.18B40.0516.76%0.42%5.53%5.56%
69
Neutral
$13.94B17.7011.42%0.10%1.19%-6.77%
66
Neutral
$11.04B44.589.99%0.43%11.43%32.31%
60
Neutral
$21.45B-45.38%64.98%-10.52%
58
Neutral
HK$13.20B4.34-2.94%5.79%3.03%-49.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXT
Textron
78.22
-6.47
-7.64%
CW
Curtiss-Wright
511.64
225.66
78.91%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
41.48
14.08
51.39%
WWD
Woodward
253.14
96.45
61.55%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
182.00
85.33
88.27%
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA
44.75
39.98
838.16%

Textron Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Textron Appoints Rob Mionis to Board of Directors
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Textron Inc. announced the election of Rob Mionis to its Board of Directors, effective March 1, 2025. Mionis, who is the President and CEO of Celestica Inc., brings extensive experience in aerospace and industrial markets, having previously held leadership roles at StandardAero and Honeywell. This strategic addition to the board is expected to enhance Textron’s capabilities in these sectors. Mionis will serve on Textron’s Audit Committee and Organization and Compensation Committee, potentially influencing the company’s governance and operational strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 26, 2025