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Textron (TXT)
NYSE:TXT

Textron (TXT) AI Stock Analysis

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Textron

(NYSE:TXT)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$82.00
▲(2.07%Upside)
Textron's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and moderate technical indicators. While the company shows potential for growth, particularly in aviation and Bell segments, the mixed sentiments from the earnings call and modest valuation contribute to a balanced outlook. Continuous monitoring of financial leverage and segment performance will be critical.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
Textron Aviation is focusing on bringing new products to market, including the M2 Gen2, CJ3 Gen2, and Ascend, indicating innovation and growth potential.
Strategic Partnerships
Textron's partnership with NetJets for the launch of the Citation Ascend signifies strong relationships with key fleet operators and potential for high demand.
Valuation Opportunity
TXT trades at a significant discount to its peers, offering value potential for investors.
Negative Factors
Industrial Performance
The Industrial segment faces challenges with a strategic review and production pause leading to a significant drop in sales.
Investor Sentiment
Investor interest in the stock and business jets remains limited as investors point to secondary market inventories coming off lows and the potential for slowing orders.
Supply Chain Challenges
Supply chain and labor challenges constrain the potential upside for Textron.

Textron (TXT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Textron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTextron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses. The company's Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft; and offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services, as well as sells commercial parts. Its Bell segment supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircrafts, and related spare parts and services. The company's Textron Systems segment offers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic systems and solutions, advanced marine crafts, piston aircraft engines, live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training, weapons and related components, and armored and specialty vehicles. Its Industrial segment offers blow-molded plastic fuel systems, including conventional plastic fuel tanks and pressurized fuel tanks for hybrid vehicle applications, clear-vision systems, and plastic tanks for catalytic reduction systems primarily to automobile original equipment manufacturers; and golf cars, off-road utility vehicles, recreational side-by-side and all-terrain vehicles, snowmobiles, light transportation vehicles, aviation ground support equipment, professional turf-maintenance equipment, and turf-care vehicles to golf courses and resorts, government agencies and municipalities, consumers, outdoor enthusiasts, and commercial and industrial users. The company's Finance segment provides financing services to purchase new and pre-owned aircraft and bell helicopters. It serves in the United States, Europe, Asia, Australia, and internationally. Textron Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.
How the Company Makes MoneyTextron Inc. generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of aviation products, defense systems, and industrial equipment. The company's revenue streams are primarily divided into several segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Finance. Textron Aviation contributes significantly through the sale of business jets, turboprop aircraft, and aftermarket services. The Bell segment earns revenue from the sale of military and commercial helicopters. Textron Systems, which includes unmanned aircraft systems and advanced marine craft, generates income from defense contracts and other government-related business. The Industrial segment provides revenue through the sale of specialized vehicles and equipment, such as golf carts and utility vehicles. Additionally, Textron's Finance segment supports sales of Textron products through financing solutions. Strategic partnerships and contracts with government agencies and commercial entities play a crucial role in sustaining and growing Textron's revenue.

Textron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with several positive achievements, such as revenue growth and key milestones in aviation and Bell segments. However, these are tempered by declines in segment profits and increased cash flow usage, particularly in the industrial and Textron Systems segments. The overall sentiment is balanced with both significant highlights and lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenues for the quarter were $3.3 billion, up $171 million from last year's first quarter, representing a 5% increase overall.
Bell Segment Surge
Bell revenues increased by $256 million or 35% compared to last year's first quarter, driven by strong growth in both military and commercial product lines.
Aviation Operations Improvement
Aviation delivered 31 jets and 30 commercial turboprops, compared to 36 jets and 20 commercial turboprops in last year's first quarter. Aftermarket revenue grew by 6%.
Successful Strategic Review and Sale
Textron completed the strategic review and sale of the powersports business, including the Arctic Cat brand.
FAA Certification Achievement
The FAA announced certification of the GE Aerospace Catalyst turboprop engine, marking an important milestone for the Beechcraft Denali program.
New Contracts and Deliveries
Bell was awarded a contract for five additional CMV-22 aircraft and announced a purchase agreement with Air Methods for 15 IFR-configured 407 GXIs.
Unmanned Aerial Systems Advancement
Aviation completed the first hover flight of the Nuva V300, a hybrid-electric VTOL unmanned aircraft.
Negative Updates
Segment Profit Decline
Segment profit in the quarter was $280 million, down $10 million from the first quarter of 2024.
Increased Manufacturing Cash Flow Use
Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions reflected a use of $158 million compared to $81 million in last year's first quarter.
Industrial Segment Revenue Decline
Industrial revenues were $792 million, down $100 million from last year's first quarter.
Textron Systems Revenue Decrease
Revenues for Textron Systems were $290 million, down $10 million from last year's first quarter, largely due to the cancellation of the Shadow program.
Textron Aviation Profit Decrease
Profit was $127 million, down $16 million from the previous year, primarily due to the mix of aircraft sold.
Company Guidance
During the Textron Inc. Q1 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance reaffirming its full-year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $6 to $6.20. Additionally, they expect full-year manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions to be between $800 million and $900 million. The call highlighted a 5% increase in revenues to $3.3 billion, with Bell's segment leading the growth with a 35% revenue surge, driven by both military and commercial sectors. Textron Aviation's revenue increased by $24 million to $1.2 billion, despite a $16 million decrease in profit due to changes in aircraft sales mix. The backlog for Textron Aviation ended the quarter at $7.9 billion. Meanwhile, Textron Systems reported a $10 million decline in revenue, attributed to the cancellation of the Shadow program, but maintained a strong segment profit margin of 13.5%. Industrial revenues fell by $100 million, yet cost savings from restructuring offset the profit impact. The company also completed the sale of its Power Sports product line, including the Arctic Cat brand, impacting revenues and profitability for the remainder of the year.

Textron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Textron exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, effective asset utilization, and stable cash flow generation. The consistent revenue growth and solid profit margins indicate a resilient core operation. However, attention to leverage and external financing activities remains important.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Textron's income statement demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in Total Revenue over the years. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are healthy, indicative of effective cost management and operational efficiency. Revenue growth, albeit moderate, reflects stability, and EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, suggesting resilient core operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong, reflecting effective utilization of equity capital to generate profits. The Equity Ratio suggests a stable asset base, although there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Textron exhibits strong cash flow generation with consistent Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow over recent periods. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is healthy, and the company effectively manages capital expenditures to sustain growth. However, fluctuations in cash flow from financing activities indicate potential volatility in external financial obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.87B13.70B13.68B12.87B12.38B11.65B
Gross Profit2.62B2.50B2.28B2.07B2.08B1.56B
EBITDA1.45B1.42B1.56B1.51B1.39B827.00M
Net Income830.00M824.00M921.00M861.00M746.00M309.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.94B16.84B16.86B16.29B15.83B15.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25B1.44B2.18B1.96B1.92B2.15B
Total Debt3.73B3.59B3.87B3.18B3.19B3.71B
Total Liabilities9.67B9.63B9.87B9.18B9.01B9.55B
Stockholders Equity7.28B7.20B6.99B7.11B6.82B5.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow545.00M650.00M864.00M1.14B1.22B452.00M
Operating Cash Flow898.00M1.01B1.27B1.49B1.60B769.00M
Investing Cash Flow-222.00M-284.00M-317.00M-447.00M-281.00M-248.00M
Financing Cash Flow-894.00M-1.45B-813.00M-1.09B-1.45B360.00M

Textron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.34
Price Trends
50DMA
73.34
Positive
100DMA
72.67
Positive
200DMA
77.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.50
Negative
RSI
71.66
Negative
STOCH
83.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.54, above the 50-day MA of 73.34, and above the 200-day MA of 77.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.66 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TXT.

Textron Risk Analysis

Textron disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Textron reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Textron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$12.87B44.7828.24%0.70%9.87%14.16%
TXTXT
74
Outperform
$14.31B17.9511.70%0.10%0.57%-5.62%
CWCW
74
Outperform
$17.96B42.3917.40%0.20%9.77%15.66%
WWWWD
72
Outperform
$14.48B39.3216.35%0.45%4.96%8.41%
DRDRS
71
Outperform
$11.57B49.869.50%0.81%13.58%25.96%
68
Neutral
£2.96B10.478.40%3.16%2.88%-10.00%
59
Neutral
$14.93B-45.38%64.98%-10.52%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXT
Textron
80.34
-5.43
-6.33%
CW
Curtiss-Wright
487.70
217.36
80.40%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
45.04
19.66
77.46%
WWD
Woodward
245.96
72.60
41.88%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
143.19
49.06
52.12%
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA
35.38
30.58
637.08%

Textron Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Textron Appoints Rob Mionis to Board of Directors
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Textron Inc. announced the election of Rob Mionis to its Board of Directors, effective March 1, 2025. Mionis, who is the President and CEO of Celestica Inc., brings extensive experience in aerospace and industrial markets, having previously held leadership roles at StandardAero and Honeywell. This strategic addition to the board is expected to enhance Textron’s capabilities in these sectors. Mionis will serve on Textron’s Audit Committee and Organization and Compensation Committee, potentially influencing the company’s governance and operational strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 04, 2025