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Woodward (WWD)
NASDAQ:WWD

Woodward (WWD) AI Stock Analysis

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Woodward

(NASDAQ:WWD)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$260.00
▲(5.56%Upside)
The strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors for Woodward, supported by growth in the Aerospace segment. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. Industrial segment challenges and the China market soften the outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q1 results were ahead on lower tax and better Aero EBIT, aided by strong aero A/M & Defense OE sales.
Pricing Strategy
JDAM pricing is set to rise in Q4, and tariff headwinds are manageable.
Sales Performance
Aero incrementals were very strong and China OH sales were 2x the guide.
Negative Factors
Demand Concerns
WWD is cautious on Chinese A/M demand given recent orders.
Growth Deceleration
Aero A/M comps stiffen in Q2-Q4, which augurs a Y/Y growth deceleration in Q2-Q4.
Tariff Impact
Marine OE demand has held in, but tariff policy may dampen this and Marine A/M demand.

Woodward (WWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Woodward Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWoodward, Inc. is a leading designer, manufacturer, and service provider of control system solutions for the aerospace and industrial markets. The company specializes in energy control and optimization solutions, including fuel and combustion control systems, electrical power systems, and motion control systems. Woodward's products are utilized in a variety of applications such as aircraft engines, industrial turbines, and power generation equipment, serving a global clientele with a focus on enhancing efficiency and reducing emissions.
How the Company Makes MoneyWoodward generates revenue through the sale of its advanced control systems and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users in the aerospace and industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include product sales, aftermarket services, and long-term maintenance contracts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major aerospace and industrial firms, which contribute to a steady demand for its innovative solutions. Woodward's earnings are further supported by its focus on research and development, enabling the company to maintain a competitive edge in providing high-performance and environmentally sustainable technologies.

Woodward Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong performance overall, especially in the Aerospace segment, with significant growth in sales and earnings. However, challenges persist in the Industrial segment and the China market, with some expected moderation in future growth. The sentiment is balanced between positive growth and existing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Performance
Woodward's net sales increased by 6% year-over-year with adjusted earnings per share up by 4%. Excluding China on-highway, revenue was up 12% and operating earnings up 22%.
Aerospace Segment Growth
Aerospace segment sales increased by 13%, with defense OEM sales up 52% and commercial aftermarket sales up 23%.
Innovation in Turbine Control Systems
Woodward delivered the first production MicroNet XT Advanced Gas Turbine Control System for the US Navy DDG-51 class destroyer, with a contract covering 30 system deliveries through 2027.
Record Earnings in Aerospace
Earnings in the Aerospace segment reached the highest on record at $125 million with margins expanding 240 basis points over the previous year to 22.2% of segment sales.
Positive Price Realization
Price realization contributed significantly to revenue growth across both the Aerospace and Industrial segments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Industrial Segment Sales
Industrial segment sales decreased by 5%, with transportation down 18% due to declining China on-highway sales.
Challenges with China Market
Demand for heavy-duty trucks in China remains subdued, with a $45 million decrease in China on-highway sales from the prior year.
Lower Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was $60 million for the first half of 2025, compared to $88 million in the previous year, primarily due to an increase in working capital.
Moderation in Commercial Aftermarket Growth
Commercial aftermarket sales growth is expected to moderate in the second half of the year, with potential impacts from slower commercial services growth.
Company Guidance
During Woodward, Inc.'s second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong performance, with net sales up 6% year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share increasing by 4%. Excluding China on-highway, revenue rose 12% and operating earnings surged by 22%. The aerospace segment experienced a 13% sales increase, driven by a 52% rise in defense OEM sales, while the commercial aftermarket grew by 23%. However, industrial segment sales declined by 5%, largely due to an 18% drop in China on-highway sales. The company reaffirmed the top end of its guidance, now anticipating consolidated sales of $3.375 billion to $3.5 billion and adjusted EPS between $5.95 and $6.25. Despite potential tariff impacts and softer commercial services growth rates expected in the second half, Woodward remains optimistic about its long-term prospects and continues to prioritize investing in organic growth, returning cash to shareholders, and strategic M&A.

Woodward Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Woodward's financial performance is strong with significant revenue growth and robust profitability. The balance sheet is stable, although increasing debt requires monitoring. Cash flow generation is efficient, supporting operations and investments. Overall, the company is well-positioned in its industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Woodward has demonstrated strong revenue growth over recent periods with a significant increase in total revenue from the previous year. The company's gross profit margin is robust, indicating effective cost management, and net profit margin has also improved, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing the company's operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Woodward shows a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage levels. The company's equity ratio indicates a solid foundation of equity in its asset base. Return on equity is strong, showing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the increase in total debt warrants caution.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Woodward's cash flow statement reveals positive free cash flow growth, indicating efficient cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio supports a healthy cash conversion cycle. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures and financing activities suggest varying cash flow management strategies over time.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.36B3.32B2.91B2.38B2.25B2.50B
Gross Profit867.47M876.48M677.58M525.30M551.06M640.24M
EBITDA621.23M618.10M443.35M231.02M285.09M424.72M
Net Income381.41M372.97M232.37M171.70M208.65M240.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.49B4.37B4.01B3.81B4.09B3.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments364.14M282.27M137.45M107.84M448.46M153.27M
Total Debt932.14M895.14M742.21M777.42M734.85M838.48M
Total Liabilities2.16B2.19B1.94B1.91B1.88B1.91B
Stockholders Equity2.34B2.18B2.07B1.90B2.21B1.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow315.34M342.81M232.04M140.77M426.98M302.40M
Operating Cash Flow407.31M439.09M308.54M193.64M464.67M349.49M
Investing Cash Flow-43.71M-89.22M-73.55M-65.45M-35.30M-6.88M
Financing Cash Flow-316.24M-218.05M-196.47M-442.38M-136.32M-290.24M

Woodward Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price246.30
Price Trends
50DMA
223.15
Positive
100DMA
201.18
Positive
200DMA
187.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.91
Positive
RSI
61.12
Neutral
STOCH
60.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WWD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 246.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 243.10, above the 50-day MA of 223.15, and above the 200-day MA of 187.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WWD.

Woodward Risk Analysis

Woodward disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Woodward reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Woodward Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DRDRS
78
Outperform
$12.51B53.039.50%0.77%13.58%25.96%
TXTXT
75
Outperform
$14.89B19.3011.70%0.10%0.57%-5.62%
75
Outperform
$12.55B43.6728.24%0.73%9.87%14.16%
CWCW
74
Outperform
$18.23B42.2117.40%0.20%9.77%15.66%
WWWWD
72
Outperform
$14.87B40.3616.35%0.45%4.96%8.41%
71
Outperform
¥255.13B13.438.49%3.04%6.31%12.97%
68
Neutral
$10.18B142.67
16.92%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WWD
Woodward
246.30
70.26
39.91%
CW
Curtiss-Wright
474.49
193.39
68.80%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
46.24
19.70
74.23%
TXT
Textron
85.23
-2.90
-3.29%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
136.45
40.09
41.60%
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
30.01
-2.96
-8.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025