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Woodward (WWD)
NASDAQ:WWD

Woodward (WWD) AI Stock Analysis

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WWD

Woodward

(NASDAQ:WWD)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$421.00
▲(13.43% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability, improving scale, and currently low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook after raised guidance and solid Q1 execution. Offsetting factors are a stretched valuation (high P/E, low yield) and technical overbought signals that increase near-term downside risk despite the broader uptrend.
Positive Factors
Improving profitability and margins
Woodward's sustained margin expansion and multi-year revenue growth reflect durable operating leverage across Aerospace and Industrial segments. Higher gross and net margins support enduring earnings power and reinvestment capacity, making profits less reliant on cyclical top-line swings.
Conservative balance sheet and strong cash flow
Low net leverage and multi-hundred-million dollar free cash flow provide financial flexibility for capex, M&A, and shareholder returns. A conservatively positioned balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and supports sustained capital allocation through industry cycles.
Raised guidance and pricing power
Higher guidance and materially improved price realization signal durable demand and the ability to pass cost inflation to customers. This mix of volume and pricing underpins multi-quarter earnings visibility and supports planned investments in capacity and automation.
Negative Factors
Elevated inventories and weak cash conversion
Management's deliberate inventory build to meet demand depresses near-term free cash flow and exposes cash generation to working-capital swings. A sustained OCF/net-income ratio ~0.5 implies earnings are not fully matched by operating cash, increasing liquidity and FCF risk.
Supply-chain and capacity constraints
Persistent supplier and test-stand bottlenecks restrict throughput and elongate turn times, capping near-term revenue capture despite strong order demand. These operational constraints can delay margin recovery and defer returns on capacity investments for many quarters.
China on-highway wind-down and restructuring costs
Exiting the China on-highway business sharpens strategic focus but triggers cash restructuring outflows and near-term earnings volatility. The charge and operational transition will reduce available cash for core investments during the wind-down period and may temporarily depress segment metrics.

Woodward (WWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Woodward Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWoodward, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services control solutions for the aerospace and industrial markets worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Aerospace and Industrial. The Aerospace segment provides fuel pumps, metering units, actuators, air valves, specialty valves, fuel nozzles, and thrust reverser actuation systems for turbine engines and nacelles, and flight deck controls, actuators, servocontrols, motors, and sensors for aircraft. These products are used on commercial and private aircraft and rotorcraft, as well as on military fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft, guided weapons, and other defense systems. It also provides aftermarket maintenance, repair and overhaul, and other services to commercial airlines, repair facilities, military depots, third party repair shops, and other end users. This segment sells its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), tier-one suppliers, and various contractors, as well as through aftermarket sales of components, such as provisioning spares or replacements, and spare parts. The Industrial segment offers actuators, valves, pumps, fuel injection systems, solenoids, ignition systems, speed controls, electronics and software, and sensors. These products are used on industrial gas turbines, steam turbines, compressors, and reciprocating engines. This segment sells its aftermarket products, and other related services to OEMs through an independent network of distributors, as well as directly to end users. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Fort Collins, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyWoodward generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of products and services within the aerospace and industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of control systems, components, and aftermarket services such as maintenance and repairs. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major aerospace manufacturers and operators, providing a stable income source. Additionally, Woodward's focus on innovation and development of advanced technologies, including digital solutions for energy management, positions it well in growing markets. Strategic partnerships with major players in the aerospace and energy sectors also contribute significantly to its earnings, enabling Woodward to leverage shared resources and access new customer bases.

Woodward Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strong quarter with robust revenue, margin expansion, improved price realization, and meaningful free cash generation. Management raised full-year sales and EPS guidance and outlined targeted operational and capacity investments. Notable challenges include persistent supply-chain constraints, elevated inventories (which temper free cash flow), and the planned wind-down of the volatile China on-highway business with associated restructuring costs. Overall, the positives (material growth, margin expansion, guidance raise, and balance-sheet strength) outweigh the negatives, which are largely operational and being actively managed.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EPS Growth
Net sales of $996 million, up 29% year over year. GAAP earnings per share of $2.17 (up ~54% YoY as noted on the call). Consolidated sales growth accelerated substantially versus prior year.
Aerospace Segment Outperformance
Aerospace sales $635 million, up 29% YoY. Aerospace segment margin expanded to 23.4% from 19.2% (a 420 basis point improvement). Commercial services sales increased ~15%; commercial OEM sales up 22%; defense OEM sales up 23%. Elevated spare LRU provisioning contributed meaningfully to quarter results.
Industrial Segment Strength
Industrial sales $362 million, up 30% YoY. Core industrial sales (ex China on-highway) increased ~22%. Industrial segment margin expanded to 18.5% from 14.4% (a 410 basis point improvement); core industrial margin expanded 200 basis points to 17.3%. Strong growth across marine transportation (+38%), oil & gas (+28%), and power generation (mid-teens ex-divestiture).
Improved Price Realization
Pricing contributed meaningfully in the quarter: price at the company level was ~8% in Q1 (higher than prior 5% expectation), and management revised total-year price expectation toward ~7%.
Strong Cash Generation and Balance Sheet
Net cash provided by operating activities of $114 million vs $35 million prior-year. First-quarter free cash flow of $70 million vs $1 million prior-year. Capital expenditures were $44 million in the quarter. Debt leverage reported at ~1.2x EBITDA, supporting capital allocation flexibility.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Company raised FY26 consolidated sales growth guidance to 14–18% and EPS guidance to $8.20–$8.60. Aerospace sales growth guide 15–20% with margins 22–23%; Industrial sales growth guide 11–14% with margins 16–17%.
Operational Investments and Capacity Expansion
Planned facility and capacity investments: Prestwick (Scotland) expansion to reduce turn times, additional test stands at Rockford, Spartanburg facility build-out and automation projects. Partnership with external MROs to expand service capacity and choice for customers.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Constraints and Inventory Strategy
Management expects inventory turns will not improve materially in 2026 and will likely remain elevated into late 2026/early 2027. Company intentionally maintained higher inventory to support demand, which constrained free cash flow upside for the year.
China On-Highway Business Wind-Down
Announced decision to wind down the China on-highway product line by the end of the fiscal year due to limited order visibility and inconsistent performance. China on-highway sales were $32 million in the quarter. Expected restructuring/wind-down costs of ~$20–$25 million (primarily cash personnel costs) and quarter-to-quarter volatility from this business historically.
Free Cash Flow Guidance Held Steady
Despite strong Q1 earnings, the company did not raise full-year free cash flow guidance, citing elevated inventory levels to meet customer demand. Management prioritized working capital/inventory over near-term FCF expansion.
Nonsegment Expense Increase
Nonsegment expenses increased to $37 million in the quarter versus $22 million prior-year (adjusted 2025 nonsegment expense was $28 million), indicating higher corporate-level costs in the period.
Capacity Constraints and Turn Times Limiting Near-Term Upside
Management noted remaining supplier and test-stand constraints that limit ability to immediately convert strong demand into additional revenue; turn times and a small number of supplier parts shortages remain a risk to hitting the highest end of guidance.
Company Guidance
Management raised full-year sales and EPS guidance, now targeting consolidated sales growth of 14–18% and EPS of $8.20–$8.60. Segment guidance calls for aerospace sales growth of 15–20% with aerospace margins of 22–23%, and industrial sales growth of 11–14% with industrial margins of 16–17%; pricing was stronger in Q1 (~8%) and full‑year price realization was revised toward ~7% (vs. prior 5%). They reiterated capital priorities (returning $650–700 million to shareholders), said capital spending will meaningfully rise for the Spartanburg build and automation after Q1 capex of $44 million, expect inventory turns to lag improvements into late‑2026/early‑2027, and maintained free cash flow guidance (transcript cites “between $303 million and $150 billion,” an apparent typo). Supporting the raise, Q1 results were strong: net sales $996 million (+29% YoY), Q1 EPS $2.17, Q1 free cash flow $70 million and net debt leverage ~1.2x EBITDA.

Woodward Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and scale-up (TTM revenue ~$3.79B with ~26.8% gross margin and ~12.4% net margin) and a conservatively positioned balance sheet (low TTM debt-to-equity ~0.10, ROE ~18%). Cash generation is solid (TTM FCF ~$410M) but cash conversion is weaker than ideal (OCF to net income ~0.52) and results have shown some cyclicality/volatility.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Woodward shows a strong profitability profile and improving trajectory. Revenue has expanded meaningfully over the last several years (rising from ~$2.25B in 2021 to $3.79B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), with the latest period still posting solid growth. Margins have also improved versus earlier years, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin ~26.8% and net margin ~12.4%, supporting robust earnings power. The main watchout is that growth rates have been uneven year-to-year (including a revenue decline in 2021), suggesting some cyclicality/sensitivity in demand.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned. Leverage is low in the latest period, with debt-to-equity around 0.10 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity has grown versus prior years, supporting financial flexibility. Returns to shareholders are strong, with return on equity ~18% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). A key risk to note is that leverage has moved around historically (debt-to-equity was ~0.36–0.41 in 2022–2024), so the sustainability of today’s lighter debt load should be monitored.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow of ~$410M and strong free cash flow growth (~20%). Cash conversion is decent but not best-in-class: free cash flow is about 72% of net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating earnings are generally supported by cash. The main weakness is that operating cash flow has been relatively low versus reported earnings (operating cash flow to net income ~0.52 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), implying working-capital swings or timing effects; additionally, free cash flow growth has been volatile year-to-year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.57B3.32B2.91B2.38B2.25B
Gross Profit956.29M876.48M677.58M525.30M551.06M
EBITDA680.38M556.24M406.09M334.72M383.83M
Net Income442.11M372.97M232.37M171.70M208.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.63B4.37B4.01B3.81B4.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments327.43M282.27M137.45M107.84M448.46M
Total Debt722.40M895.14M748.67M798.86M749.62M
Total Liabilities2.06B2.19B1.94B1.91B1.88B
Stockholders Equity2.57B2.18B2.07B1.90B2.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow340.37M342.81M229.81M140.77M426.98M
Operating Cash Flow471.29M439.09M306.31M193.64M464.67M
Investing Cash Flow-119.55M-89.22M-73.55M-65.45M-35.30M
Financing Cash Flow-313.93M-218.05M-194.24M-442.38M-136.32M

Woodward Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price371.17
Price Trends
50DMA
310.33
Positive
100DMA
282.06
Positive
200DMA
256.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.14
Negative
RSI
74.65
Negative
STOCH
47.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WWD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 371.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 329.60, above the 50-day MA of 310.33, and above the 200-day MA of 256.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WWD.

Woodward Risk Analysis

Woodward disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Woodward reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Woodward Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.59B41.2220.38%0.35%7.30%19.54%
76
Outperform
$10.76B41.0310.35%1.04%12.27%33.16%
75
Outperform
$18.84B61.6226.69%0.56%14.01%10.92%
74
Outperform
$24.48B54.0918.53%0.16%9.51%16.03%
68
Neutral
$15.43B17.1412.24%0.09%1.83%-0.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$16.24B841.781.20%14.00%23.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WWD
Woodward
371.17
187.60
102.20%
CW
Curtiss-Wright
674.79
330.92
96.23%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
103.37
68.99
200.67%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
41.51
6.74
19.37%
TXT
Textron
88.63
13.32
17.68%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
210.88
100.39
90.86%

Woodward Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Woodward shareholders approve directors, compensation and governance changes
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Woodward, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, at which shareholders elected three directors—David Hess, Mary Petryszyn, and Tana Utley—to three-year terms on the company’s board. Shareholders also approved, on an advisory basis, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers, ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, and backed amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation to remove certain supermajority voting requirements and eliminate cumulative voting rights in director elections, signaling broad investor support for the board’s slate, executive pay structure, governance changes, and audit oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (WWD) stock is a Buy with a $373.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Woodward stock, see the WWD Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Woodward Board Approves 14% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Woodward’s Board of Directors approved a 14 percent increase in the company’s quarterly cash dividend, raising it from $0.28 to $0.32 per share, with the dividend payable on March 5, 2026, to stockholders of record as of February 19, 2026. The higher dividend underscores Woodward’s ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders and reflects confidence in its financial position and cash generation, which may strengthen its appeal to income-focused investors within the aerospace and industrial equipment sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (WWD) stock is a Buy with a $362.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Woodward stock, see the WWD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Woodward to Exit China Natural Gas Truck Operations
Negative
Jan 15, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Woodward approved a plan to wind down its on-highway natural gas truck manufacturing operations in China, following unsuccessful divestiture efforts and limited, inconsistent financial contribution from the business. The move, announced publicly on January 15, 2026, will involve closing a small manufacturing facility and eliminating a limited number of sales, engineering, and product support roles, and is intended to sharpen the strategic focus of the Industrial segment on core transportation, power generation, and oil and gas markets. The wind-down is expected to be substantially completed by the end of fiscal 2026 and will result in estimated cumulative pre-tax charges of $20 million to $25 million, of which $15 million to $20 million will be cash expenditures, primarily recognized and paid in the second and third quarters of fiscal 2026, reflecting a portfolio realignment rather than a retrenchment from Woodward’s broader growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (WWD) stock is a Buy with a $378.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Woodward stock, see the WWD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Woodward Announces $1.8 Billion Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Woodward, Inc. announced a new $1.8 billion, three-year share repurchase authorization, following the completion of its previous $600 million authorization. This strategic move underscores the company’s commitment to shareholder value, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth and robust cash generation. Over the past decade, Woodward has returned approximately $2.0 billion to shareholders, emphasizing its strong balance sheet and capital allocation priorities, which include reinvesting in the business, pursuing strategic mergers and acquisitions, and returning cash to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WWD) stock is a Hold with a $290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Woodward stock, see the WWD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026