AeroVironment (AVAV)
NASDAQ:AVAV
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AeroVironment (AVAV) AI Stock Analysis

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AVAV

AeroVironment

(NASDAQ:AVAV)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$336.00
▲(19.59% Upside)
AeroVironment's strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment are overshadowed by profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh on the stock's attractiveness. The company's robust pipeline and strategic acquisitions offer potential for future growth, but current financial and technical weaknesses limit the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective execution of strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term business prospects.
Strong Backlog
A robust backlog provides revenue visibility and stability, supporting sustained growth and operational planning over the coming quarters.
Innovative Product Introductions
New product introductions in high-demand areas position the company to capture emerging market opportunities, driving future growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Decreased Gross Margins
Declining gross margins may pressure profitability, suggesting challenges in cost management and pricing strategy that could affect long-term financial health.
Net Loss Reported
The net loss highlights financial strain from acquisitions, indicating potential risks in integration and cost control that could impact future profitability.
High Operating Expenses
Elevated operating expenses from acquisitions may erode margins and cash flow, challenging the company's ability to sustain long-term profitability.

AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AeroVironment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is a leading technology company specializing in unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems, and advanced solutions for the defense and commercial sectors. With a focus on innovative drone technology, AeroVironment designs and manufactures a range of products including small and medium-sized UAVs, such as the Raven, Wasp, and Puma systems, which are utilized by military and government customers worldwide. The company also offers services related to its products, including training, support, and maintenance, contributing to its reputation as a key player in the aerospace and defense industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyAeroVironment generates revenue primarily through the sale of its unmanned aircraft systems and tactical missile systems to government and commercial customers. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes product sales, service contracts, and recurring revenue from maintenance and support services. Key revenue streams include direct sales of UAS and accessories, training services for military personnel, and long-term contracts with defense agencies. Significant partnerships, including collaborations with the U.S. Department of Defense and other international military organizations, enhance its earnings potential through sustained demand for advanced drone technology and tactical solutions.

AeroVironment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Breaks down income by different revenue streams, offering insight into the company's business model and potential areas for expansion or vulnerability.
Chart InsightsAeroVironment's product sales have surged recently, driven by new product launches and strategic acquisitions like Blue Halo, which enhance their defense technology offerings. Despite a decline in contract services revenue, the company achieved record fiscal year revenue and strong bookings, indicating robust demand for its innovative solutions. However, challenges such as reduced revenues from Ukraine and lower service margins could impact future growth. The company's optimistic guidance for 2026 reflects confidence in overcoming these hurdles and capitalizing on international market expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AeroVironment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
AeroVironment started the fiscal year with record revenue and strong bookings, driven by strategic acquisitions and innovative product introductions. Despite challenges such as decreased gross margins and a reported net loss due to acquisition-related expenses, the company maintains a positive outlook with its robust pipeline and maintained guidance. The highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating strong growth potential.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Revenue
AeroVironment achieved a record first quarter with revenue of nearly $455 million, representing a 140% increase over the prior year and an 18% increase on a pro forma basis.
Strong Bookings and Backlog
Bookings for the first quarter reached nearly $400 million, with a funded backlog of $1.1 billion and an unfunded backlog of $3.1 billion.
Innovative Product Introductions
Introduced several innovative solutions in Counter UAS, space communications, and direct energy, which align with customers' urgent priorities and represent multibillion-dollar market opportunities.
Successful Integration of Blue Halo
The acquisition of Blue Halo has created significant new growth opportunities, with integration efforts progressing ahead of plan.
Key Contract Wins
Announced a $240 million award for laser communications terminals and a $95 million contract for the Freedom Eagle One program with the US Army.
Positive Financial Guidance
Maintained fiscal year 2026 guidance with revenue between $1.9 billion and $2 billion.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margins
Consolidated GAAP gross margins decreased to 21% from 43% in the prior year due to a higher service mix and increased non-cash accounting expenses.
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $57.4 million for the first quarter, compared to net income of $21.2 million in the same period last year, primarily due to acquisition-related expenses.
High Operating Expenses
Reported GAAP SG&A for the quarter was $131.3 million, significantly higher than $33.8 million in the prior year, largely due to the Blue Halo acquisition.
Company Guidance
During AeroVironment's first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call, the company reported record revenue of nearly $455 million and bookings of almost $400 million, with a funded backlog growing to $1.1 billion and an unfunded backlog of $3.1 billion. The fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance was maintained between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. Key achievements included a $240 million contract for long-haul space laser communications terminals and a $95 million contract for the Freedom Eagle One missile program. The company also introduced the AeroVironment Halo software platform and highlighted its expanded capabilities following the Blue Halo acquisition. AeroVironment emphasized its strong positioning for growth across several multibillion-dollar market opportunities, including counter UAS, space communications, and directed energy solutions.

AeroVironment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AeroVironment shows strong revenue growth but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, but negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight areas for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AeroVironment's revenue has shown strong growth, particularly with a 32.3% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, indicating challenges in cost management and operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous periods, suggesting pressure on pricing or cost increases.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
AeroVironment's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. Despite a significant increase in free cash flow growth, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B820.63M716.72M540.54M445.73M394.91M
Gross Profit336.59M322.94M283.93M173.51M141.24M164.56M
EBITDA63.11M82.85M103.20M-79.08M43.35M54.24M
Net Income-44.92M43.62M59.67M-173.71M-8.77M33.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.62B1.12B1.02B824.58M914.20M928.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments685.80M40.86M73.30M132.86M101.95M180.71M
Total Debt829.71M64.29M59.68M162.82M216.57M222.77M
Total Liabilities1.20B234.06M193.12M273.61M305.99M316.46M
Stockholders Equity4.43B886.51M822.75M550.97M607.97M612.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-183.06M-24.13M-9.19M-3.47M-31.91M75.27M
Operating Cash Flow-153.40M-1.32M15.29M11.40M-9.62M86.53M
Investing Cash Flow-898.52M-28.49M-51.71M-7.00M-52.29M-378.77M
Financing Cash Flow1.66B-2.86M-22.85M50.83M-16.61M194.16M

AeroVironment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price280.95
Price Trends
50DMA
335.57
Negative
100DMA
294.23
Negative
200DMA
226.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.14
Positive
RSI
27.45
Positive
STOCH
8.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVAV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 280.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 342.63, below the 50-day MA of 335.57, and above the 200-day MA of 226.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -16.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.45 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVAV.

AeroVironment Risk Analysis

AeroVironment disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AeroVironment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AeroVironment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$9.27B35.3410.35%1.05%12.27%33.16%
64
Neutral
$8.57B44.709.86%17.79%815.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$12.23B571.991.20%14.00%23.78%
58
Neutral
$14.54B-1.70%44.04%-129.81%
58
Neutral
$7.97B680.84
52
Neutral
$4.26B-2.24%8.63%72.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVAV
AeroVironment
280.95
86.06
44.16%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
70.36
45.31
180.88%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
67.94
28.97
74.34%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
34.00
-0.76
-2.19%
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
24.49
-3.86
-13.62%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
58.95
26.95
84.22%

AeroVironment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
AeroVironment Stockholders Approve Equity Plan Amendment
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 25, 2025, AeroVironment, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved the amendment and restatement of the company’s 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the shares reserved for issuance by 1,200,000. The plan, effective immediately upon approval, allows for up to 5,000,000 shares to be issued through incentive stock options. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of directors, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditors, and approval of executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

AeroVironment’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Sep 11, 2025

AeroVironment’s recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism and growth, despite some challenges. The company started the fiscal year with record revenue and strong bookings, driven by strategic acquisitions and innovative product introductions. While there were concerns about decreased gross margins and a reported net loss due to acquisition-related expenses, the overall sentiment remained positive. The highlights of the earnings call significantly outweighed the lowlights, indicating strong growth potential for AeroVironment.

AeroVironment Reports Record Revenue Amid BlueHalo Acquisition
Sep 10, 2025

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous systems, precision strike systems, and cyber and electronic warfare capabilities across various domains including air, land, sea, space, and cyber. The company recently reported its fiscal 2026 first-quarter results, highlighting a significant increase in revenue and backlog due to the acquisition of BlueHalo. AeroVironment achieved a record first-quarter revenue of $454.7 million, marking a 140% increase year-over-year, with BlueHalo contributing $235.2 million to this figure. Despite the revenue growth, the company reported a net loss of $67.4 million, primarily due to increased amortization and acquisition-related expenses. AeroVironment’s backlog reached a record $1.1 billion, reflecting strong demand for its innovative solutions. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by its ability to meet expedited delivery timelines and capture increasing demand in the defense sector.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AeroVironment Reports Record Revenue Amid BlueHalo Acquisition
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, AeroVironment announced its fiscal 2026 first quarter results, reporting a record revenue of $454.7 million, a 140% increase year-over-year, largely due to the acquisition of BlueHalo. Despite the revenue growth, the company faced a net loss of $67.4 million, impacted by significant intangible amortization and non-cash purchase accounting expenses. The acquisition of BlueHalo contributed significantly to both product and service revenue, and the company reported a record backlog of $1.1 billion. AeroVironment remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, citing strong demand for its innovative solutions and its ability to scale manufacturing to meet expedited delivery timelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
AeroVironment EVP Brett Hush Resigns for New Opportunities
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Brett Hush resigned as Executive Vice President and General Manager of Loitering Munition Systems at AeroVironment, effective September 5, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s policies or practices, indicating a smooth transition for AeroVironment’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025