tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)
:AVAV
Advertisement

AeroVironment (AVAV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,902 Followers

Top Page

AVAV

AeroVironment

(NASDAQ:AVAV)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$411.00
▲(8.12% Upside)
AeroVironment's strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, driving the overall score. However, profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio weigh down the valuation, while technical indicators support a bullish outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for AeroVironment's products, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Partnerships
This strategic partnership with Korean Air enhances AeroVironment's market reach and potential for sustained revenue through local production and R&D.
Innovative Product Development
Continuous innovation in product offerings positions AeroVironment to capture emerging market opportunities and maintain competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Decreased gross margins indicate cost pressures, which could impact profitability and require strategic adjustments to maintain financial performance.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flows highlight inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash, potentially limiting AeroVironment's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
High Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, largely due to acquisitions, may strain profitability unless offset by increased revenue or cost management strategies.

AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AeroVironment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments. It also designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support, as well as multiple aircraft, hand-held ground control system, and spare parts and accessories. Further, it develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAeroVironment generates revenue primarily through the sale of its unmanned aircraft systems and tactical missile systems to government and commercial customers. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes product sales, service contracts, and recurring revenue from maintenance and support services. Key revenue streams include direct sales of UAS and accessories, training services for military personnel, and long-term contracts with defense agencies. Significant partnerships, including collaborations with the U.S. Department of Defense and other international military organizations, enhance its earnings potential through sustained demand for advanced drone technology and tactical solutions.

AeroVironment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Breaks down income by different revenue streams, offering insight into the company's business model and potential areas for expansion or vulnerability.
Chart InsightsAeroVironment's product sales have surged recently, driven by new product launches and strategic acquisitions like Blue Halo, which enhance their defense technology offerings. Despite a decline in contract services revenue, the company achieved record fiscal year revenue and strong bookings, indicating robust demand for its innovative solutions. However, challenges such as reduced revenues from Ukraine and lower service margins could impact future growth. The company's optimistic guidance for 2026 reflects confidence in overcoming these hurdles and capitalizing on international market expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AeroVironment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
AeroVironment started the fiscal year with record revenue and strong bookings, driven by strategic acquisitions and innovative product introductions. Despite challenges such as decreased gross margins and a reported net loss due to acquisition-related expenses, the company maintains a positive outlook with its robust pipeline and maintained guidance. The highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating strong growth potential.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Revenue
AeroVironment achieved a record first quarter with revenue of nearly $455 million, representing a 140% increase over the prior year and an 18% increase on a pro forma basis.
Strong Bookings and Backlog
Bookings for the first quarter reached nearly $400 million, with a funded backlog of $1.1 billion and an unfunded backlog of $3.1 billion.
Innovative Product Introductions
Introduced several innovative solutions in Counter UAS, space communications, and direct energy, which align with customers' urgent priorities and represent multibillion-dollar market opportunities.
Successful Integration of Blue Halo
The acquisition of Blue Halo has created significant new growth opportunities, with integration efforts progressing ahead of plan.
Key Contract Wins
Announced a $240 million award for laser communications terminals and a $95 million contract for the Freedom Eagle One program with the US Army.
Positive Financial Guidance
Maintained fiscal year 2026 guidance with revenue between $1.9 billion and $2 billion.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margins
Consolidated GAAP gross margins decreased to 21% from 43% in the prior year due to a higher service mix and increased non-cash accounting expenses.
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $57.4 million for the first quarter, compared to net income of $21.2 million in the same period last year, primarily due to acquisition-related expenses.
High Operating Expenses
Reported GAAP SG&A for the quarter was $131.3 million, significantly higher than $33.8 million in the prior year, largely due to the Blue Halo acquisition.
Company Guidance
During AeroVironment's first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call, the company reported record revenue of nearly $455 million and bookings of almost $400 million, with a funded backlog growing to $1.1 billion and an unfunded backlog of $3.1 billion. The fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance was maintained between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. Key achievements included a $240 million contract for long-haul space laser communications terminals and a $95 million contract for the Freedom Eagle One missile program. The company also introduced the AeroVironment Halo software platform and highlighted its expanded capabilities following the Blue Halo acquisition. AeroVironment emphasized its strong positioning for growth across several multibillion-dollar market opportunities, including counter UAS, space communications, and directed energy solutions.

AeroVironment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AeroVironment shows a strong gross profit margin and a robust balance sheet with low leverage, indicating financial stability. However, the company faces challenges with cash flow management, as evidenced by negative free cash flow, which needs improvement to sustain growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AeroVironment has shown fluctuating revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin for the latest year stands at around 46%, which is strong for the industry, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at approximately 6.3%, reflecting higher operating and financing costs. The company has struggled with consistent profitability, as seen in the past negative net incomes, but recent improvements in EBIT and EBITDA margins show a positive trend towards operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of approximately 79%, indicating a solid financial foundation with low leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at around 0.04, which suggests a conservative approach to debt financing. Return on Equity (ROE) for the latest year is approximately 4.9%, which, while positive, indicates room for improvement in generating returns from equity. The balance sheet reflects stability and a low-risk profile in terms of financial leverage.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation presents challenges, with a negative free cash flow in the latest year due to negative operating cash flow. This indicates potential issues in converting revenue into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in cash generation relative to reported profits. However, the past positive operating cash flow years show potential for recovery if operational adjustments are made.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B820.63M716.72M540.54M445.73M394.91M
Gross Profit336.59M322.94M283.93M173.51M141.24M164.56M
EBITDA63.11M82.85M102.50M-79.08M43.35M54.24M
Net Income-44.92M43.62M59.67M-173.71M-8.77M33.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.62B1.12B1.02B824.58M914.20M928.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments685.80M40.86M73.30M132.86M101.95M180.71M
Total Debt829.71M64.29M59.68M162.82M216.57M222.77M
Total Liabilities1.20B234.06M193.12M273.61M305.99M316.46M
Stockholders Equity4.43B886.51M822.75M550.97M607.97M612.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-183.06M-24.13M-9.19M-3.47M-31.91M75.27M
Operating Cash Flow-153.40M-1.32M15.29M11.40M-9.62M86.53M
Investing Cash Flow-898.52M-28.49M-51.71M-7.00M-52.29M-378.77M
Financing Cash Flow1.66B-2.86M-22.85M50.83M-16.61M194.16M

AeroVironment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price380.13
Price Trends
50DMA
304.34
Positive
100DMA
273.11
Positive
200DMA
213.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
18.32
Positive
RSI
59.67
Neutral
STOCH
44.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVAV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 380.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 376.06, above the 50-day MA of 304.34, and above the 200-day MA of 213.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVAV.

AeroVironment Risk Analysis

AeroVironment disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AeroVironment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AeroVironment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$10.78B43.549.99%0.65%11.43%32.31%
$18.90B-1.70%44.04%-129.81%
$9.68B72.687.25%16.09%
$15.39B972.960.88%7.76%40.33%
$11.13B
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$4.77B-2.57%9.19%72.88%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVAV
AeroVironment
380.13
159.28
72.12%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
90.68
66.49
274.87%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
78.55
45.05
134.48%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
41.31
13.12
46.54%
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
28.86
-0.34
-1.16%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
83.87
51.87
162.09%

AeroVironment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
AeroVironment Stockholders Approve Equity Plan Amendment
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 25, 2025, AeroVironment, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved the amendment and restatement of the company’s 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the shares reserved for issuance by 1,200,000. The plan, effective immediately upon approval, allows for up to 5,000,000 shares to be issued through incentive stock options. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of directors, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditors, and approval of executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

AeroVironment’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Sep 11, 2025

AeroVironment’s recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism and growth, despite some challenges. The company started the fiscal year with record revenue and strong bookings, driven by strategic acquisitions and innovative product introductions. While there were concerns about decreased gross margins and a reported net loss due to acquisition-related expenses, the overall sentiment remained positive. The highlights of the earnings call significantly outweighed the lowlights, indicating strong growth potential for AeroVironment.

AeroVironment Reports Record Revenue Amid BlueHalo Acquisition
Sep 10, 2025

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous systems, precision strike systems, and cyber and electronic warfare capabilities across various domains including air, land, sea, space, and cyber. The company recently reported its fiscal 2026 first-quarter results, highlighting a significant increase in revenue and backlog due to the acquisition of BlueHalo. AeroVironment achieved a record first-quarter revenue of $454.7 million, marking a 140% increase year-over-year, with BlueHalo contributing $235.2 million to this figure. Despite the revenue growth, the company reported a net loss of $67.4 million, primarily due to increased amortization and acquisition-related expenses. AeroVironment’s backlog reached a record $1.1 billion, reflecting strong demand for its innovative solutions. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by its ability to meet expedited delivery timelines and capture increasing demand in the defense sector.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
AeroVironment Reports Record Revenue Amid BlueHalo Acquisition
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, AeroVironment announced its fiscal 2026 first quarter results, reporting a record revenue of $454.7 million, a 140% increase year-over-year, largely due to the acquisition of BlueHalo. Despite the revenue growth, the company faced a net loss of $67.4 million, impacted by significant intangible amortization and non-cash purchase accounting expenses. The acquisition of BlueHalo contributed significantly to both product and service revenue, and the company reported a record backlog of $1.1 billion. AeroVironment remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, citing strong demand for its innovative solutions and its ability to scale manufacturing to meet expedited delivery timelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
AeroVironment EVP Brett Hush Resigns for New Opportunities
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Brett Hush resigned as Executive Vice President and General Manager of Loitering Munition Systems at AeroVironment, effective September 5, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s policies or practices, indicating a smooth transition for AeroVironment’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVAV) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AeroVironment stock, see the AVAV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025