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Archer Aviation (ACHR)
NYSE:ACHR
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Archer Aviation (ACHR) AI Stock Analysis

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ACHR

Archer Aviation

(NYSE:ACHR)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
Archer Aviation's overall score reflects significant challenges in financial performance due to its developmental stage, lack of revenue, and reliance on financing. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, while valuation remains challenging with negative earnings. Positive developments in strategic partnerships and liquidity were highlighted in the earnings call, but FAA certification and high expenses pose risks.
Positive Factors
Cash Position
Archer's cash balance sits at an industry-highest $1.7B following its $850M capital raise, positioning the company well to continue its production expansion.
Partnerships
ACHR finds itself in the envious position of partnerships with leading defense tech players like Anduril, advanced VTOL architecture, strategic geopolitical relationships, and the resources to execute on a generational opportunity.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Archer reported an Adj. EBITDA loss of ($118.7M) and free cash use of ~($122M) in the quarter, reflecting a ~27% year-over-year decrease in the bottom-line.
Regulatory Challenges
The FAA has only approved ~15% of compliance verification documents for Midnight, and there is a possibility it may not finish advancing the Midnight out of policy by the expected time.

Archer Aviation (ACHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Archer Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcher Aviation Inc. (ACHR) is an aerospace company specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Founded with the vision of transforming urban mobility, Archer Aviation aims to create a sustainable and efficient transportation solution for congested cities. The company's core product is its eVTOL aircraft, designed to provide rapid, safe, and environmentally friendly air travel for short to medium distances.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcher Aviation makes money primarily through the sale and potential leasing of its eVTOL aircraft. The company is focused on developing a viable urban air mobility service, which includes generating revenue from aircraft sales to commercial operators or through direct operation of its own aerial ridesharing service. Key revenue streams also include partnerships with major companies in the aerospace and automotive sectors, such as its collaboration with United Airlines for pre-orders of its aircraft, which provides a future revenue pipeline. Additionally, Archer may explore revenue from aftermarket services, maintenance, and potentially licensing its technology in the future.

Archer Aviation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Expense Breakdown
Operating Expense Breakdown
Details core costs like R&D, marketing, and admin, offering insight into how efficiently the company runs and where it’s prioritizing investment.
Chart InsightsArcher Aviation's operating expenses have been rising, with Research and Development costs consistently increasing, reflecting their focus on innovation and product development. The General and Administrative expenses show volatility, including a notable negative value in late 2023, likely due to accounting adjustments. The earnings call highlights increased expenses due to higher headcount and material costs, aligning with their strategic initiatives like the Midnight Aircraft program. Despite financial losses, Archer's strong liquidity and strategic partnerships position them well for future growth, particularly with the upcoming UAE launch.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Archer Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Archer Aviation's earnings call highlighted significant progress in manufacturing, strategic partnerships, and government support, particularly for the 2028 Olympics. The company is expanding internationally and strengthening its defense capabilities. However, financial losses and certification challenges present notable hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Government Support and Strategic Partnerships
Archer Aviation received unprecedented support from the U.S. government, highlighted by multiple presidential executive orders and a national priority to showcase air taxis at the 2028 L.A. Olympics. Archer was selected as the official air taxi provider for the Olympics.
Manufacturing and Fleet Expansion
Archer is ramping up manufacturing with six additional Midnight aircraft in production, aiming to support certification programs and early commercial deployments. The company is on track to have a fleet of eight Midnight aircraft.
International Expansion and Revenue Generation
Archer has expanded its launch edition program internationally, with operations in the UAE, Ethiopia, and Indonesia. This includes a multiyear commercial partnership with Abu Dhabi Aviation and the Abu Dhabi Investment Office, expected to generate tens of millions of dollars for Archer.
Defense Strategic Acquisitions
Archer completed two strategic acquisitions, acquiring Overair's patent portfolio and a defense composite manufacturing facility, strengthening its defense capabilities and positioning Archer Defense as a strategic pillar of the business.
Record Liquidity and Financial Health
Archer closed Q2 2025 with $1.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of record liquidity, and completed an $850 million financing round in June.
Negative Updates
Net Loss and Cash Burn
Archer reported a net loss of $206 million for Q2 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $190 million. Cash used in operating and investing activities was $127 million for the quarter.
Certification and Policy Challenges
There are ongoing challenges with FAA certification and policy completion, which are affecting the timeline for full aircraft conformity and TIA testing.
Company Guidance
During Archer Aviation's Q2 2025 financial results conference call, a comprehensive overview of the company's strategic advancements was presented, highlighting significant metrics and progress in both commercial and defense sectors. Archer reported a net loss of $206 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $190 million, aligning with their guidance. They closed the quarter with $1.7 billion in cash, fueled by an $850 million financing round in June, maintaining a robust balance sheet. The company is on track to ramp up manufacturing, with six Midnight aircraft in production and a focus on scaling operations for the 2028 L.A. Olympics. Archer has made strides in infrastructure readiness, securing partnerships for eVTOL vertiports and advancing FAA certification, with 15% of compliance verification documents approved. Internationally, they initiated their Launch Edition program in the UAE, projecting tens of millions in revenue over the next 18-24 months. Archer also emphasized its defense sector growth, facilitated by strategic acquisitions, aiming for a significant share of future revenues. Looking ahead, Archer estimates an adjusted EBITDA loss of $110 million to $130 million for the upcoming quarter, with continued investments in manufacturing and international operations.

Archer Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Archer Aviation is in its developmental phase with no revenue and relies heavily on financing for cash flow. While it has a solid equity base and cash reserves, the absence of operational income and negative cash flows pose a significant challenge to long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Archer Aviation has reported consecutive years of zero revenue, reflecting a pre-revenue stage typical for companies in development phases, especially in aerospace & defense. Persistent negative EBIT and EBITDA highlight operational challenges. The lack of revenue growth indicates no commercial operations yet, affecting profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base, highlighted by a favorable equity ratio and substantial cash reserves relative to debt. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting prudent financial management. However, without revenue, the long-term sustainability of asset growth through equity raises remains uncertain.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Archer Aviation's cash flow shows significant negative free cash flow, common for companies in heavy R&D phases. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating cash consumption without offsetting income. Financing activities provide substantial cash inflows, crucial for ongoing operations without revenue generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.40M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-7.50M-11.70M-5.80M-7.70M-3.03M-103.00K
EBITDA-584.60M-524.90M-451.60M-309.60M-343.77M-24.40M
Net Income-612.80M-536.80M-457.90M-317.30M-347.80M-24.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.94B1.00B554.30M573.80M768.40M41.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.72B834.50M464.60M531.20M746.90M36.60M
Total Debt81.60M79.00M23.20M22.20M23.10M3.20M
Total Liabilities257.40M248.60M187.20M80.50M69.50M5.90M
Stockholders Equity1.68B752.60M367.10M493.30M698.90M35.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-472.30M-450.60M-315.90M-207.30M-111.90M-24.70M
Operating Cash Flow-399.60M-368.60M-271.60M-200.40M-108.40M-22.80M
Investing Cash Flow-77.90M-82.00M420.70M-464.30M-3.50M-1.90M
Financing Cash Flow987.10M820.40M250.10M-9.90M822.20M51.20M

Archer Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.45
Price Trends
50DMA
10.22
Negative
100DMA
9.94
Negative
200DMA
9.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
33.39
Neutral
STOCH
8.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACHR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.41, below the 50-day MA of 10.22, and below the 200-day MA of 9.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACHR.

Archer Aviation Risk Analysis

Archer Aviation disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Archer Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Archer Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.657.61%2.01%2.80%-14.92%
49
Neutral
$5.55B-60.83%-4.00%
47
Neutral
$177.38M-91.98%-84.19%55.27%
47
Neutral
$1.16B-30.69%87.67%18.33%
44
Neutral
$15.24M688.16%-70.65%90.41%
43
Neutral
$1.15B-320.52%-30.78%
25
Underperform
$468.89M115.25%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACHR
Archer Aviation
8.45
5.35
172.58%
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings
3.08
-2.76
-47.26%
EH
Ehang Holdings
16.10
4.33
36.79%
MNTS
Momentus
1.22
-8.69
-87.69%
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
4.51
-2.64
-36.92%
EVEX
Eve Holding
3.82
1.15
43.07%

Archer Aviation Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Archer Aviation Appoints New Senior VP of Finance
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Archer Aviation Inc. announced the appointment of Harsh Rungta as its Senior Vice President, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer. Mr. Rungta brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Tesla and PricewaterhouseCoopers, and his compensation package includes a base salary, bonuses, and equity awards. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance Archer Aviation’s financial leadership and operational capabilities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Archer Aviation Secures $301.75M in Direct Offering
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Archer Aviation announced on February 11, 2025, a registered direct offering raising $301.75 million by selling 35.5 million shares of Class A common stock. The funding, involving institutional investors like BlackRock, will be used to advance hybrid aircraft development and other corporate purposes, enhancing Archer’s financial standing and positioning it strategically for defense market opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 20, 2025