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Vertical Aerospace (EVTL)
NYSE:EVTL

Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) AI Stock Analysis

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EVTL

Vertical Aerospace

(NYSE:EVTL)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(12.15% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (minimal revenue, ongoing heavy losses, negative cash generation, and negative equity). Technical indicators are mixed but slightly supportive over longer moving averages, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend. Earnings-call updates show meaningful program progress, but near-term funding needs remain a key risk.
Positive Factors
Aircraft design advantage (cabin & seating)
A 70% larger cabin and scalable 4–6 seating gives Vertical structural differentiation that enhances passenger comfort and operator yield. Over the medium term this supports stronger order conversion, route economics and secondary services (premium fares, cargo), improving revenue durability once certified.
Strategic supplier partnerships
An irrevocable long-term materials supply deal with Syensqo and existing ties to Honeywell/Aciturri reduce supplier risk and support industrialisation. Reliable access to advanced composites and avionics materially lowers production uncertainty and helps meet certification and high-cycle durability needs.
Lower, contracted certification cost
A lower $700M certification target and 75% of non-recurring costs contracted reduce execution and funding risk versus peers. This improves the probability of reaching commercial entry with fewer unplanned capital draws and makes long-term planning, partner negotiations, and production ramp decisions more manageable.
Negative Factors
Zero commercial revenue and persistent losses
Years of negligible revenue and sustained, deep losses mean the business model has not yet proven commercial viability. Long-term success depends on converting pre-orders into deliveries and recurring aftermarket revenue; until then the company remains a development-stage entity with limited internal cash generation.
Near-term cash runway shortfall
Projected 12-month spending roughly double reported cash implies an acute funding gap. This structural cash shortfall forces dependence on external capital or strategic partners, raising execution risk for certification, production readiness and supplier commitments and increasing probability of dilution or program delays.
Reliance on equity issuance / potential dilution
Requesting a large authorized share increase signals near-term reliance on equity financing to fund operations and contingent obligations. Persistent issuance capacity needs indicate weakened balance-sheet resilience and a higher likelihood of shareholder dilution, which can constrain access to non-dilutive alternatives and strategic flexibility.

Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vertical Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVertical Aerospace Ltd. engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling electric aircraft. It offers VX4, an electric vertical take-off and landing vehicle. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVertical Aerospace generates revenue primarily through the sale and pre-orders of its eVTOL aircraft to commercial airlines, urban mobility operators, and other transportation entities. The company forms strategic partnerships and agreements with key industry players to secure significant pre-order commitments, which serve as a primary source of income. Additionally, Vertical Aerospace may explore secondary revenue streams such as maintenance services, flight operation support, and software solutions for fleet management, although these are not yet fully developed. The company's success is bolstered by its collaborations with technology and aerospace leaders, which enhance its capabilities and market reach.

Vertical Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Vertical Aerospace reported significant achievements in aircraft design and regulatory milestones, positioning itself ahead of most competitors. However, challenges remain in addressing the valuation gap and securing sufficient funding for future operations.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Industry-First Milestone Achieved
Vertical Aerospace completed the critical piloted transition flight, becoming the first eVTOL OEM of its size to achieve this under U.K. CAA regulatory oversight, ahead of all competitors except one.
Strong Competitive Advantage in Aircraft Design
The VX4 offers a unique competitive edge with the most spacious cabin in the industry, 70% larger passenger cabin volume compared to competitors, and the ability to scale from 4 to 6 passengers, enhancing operator profitability significantly.
Efficient Cost Structure
Vertical Aerospace's cost to certification is guided at $700 million, significantly lower than competitors, with 75% of non-recurring costs quoted or contracted.
Strategic Order Book and Partnerships
The company boasts a large, globally diversified order book and aims to secure partnerships with a global strategic player to support ramp-up from certification to commercialization.
Negative Updates
Valuation Gap
Vertical Aerospace's market cap is significantly lower than its peers, trading at 3% of company A and 6% of company B, despite achieving or exceeding key metrics.
Cash Position and Future Spending Needs
The current cash position is $117 million, with anticipated spending of $235 million over the next 12 months, requiring strategic partnerships or additional capital to meet future financial needs.
Company Guidance
During Vertical Aerospace's 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and milestones. They discussed the final phase of their five-stage flight test program, emphasizing the critical piloted transition flight, which is set to begin shortly, pending final permits from the U.K. CAA. Vertical Aerospace aims to complete certification by 2028, with a projected total cost of $1.1 billion for certification. They highlighted their aircraft's unique features, including a spacious cabin, scalable seating from four to six passengers, and significant luggage capacity. They maintained their full-year guidance of $110 million to $125 million in spending, underscoring their efficient use of capital compared to competitors. The company also announced a cash position of $117 million and anticipated spending of $235 million over the next 12 months. Looking forward, they plan to unveil their certification aircraft in December and aim to secure strategic partnerships and investment to support ramping up production capabilities globally.

Vertical Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is very weak: revenue is effectively zero (2022–2024) with persistent, substantial losses, consistently negative operating/free cash flow, and negative equity in 2023–2024. Low reported debt and a modest improvement in 2024 cash burn help, but the business remains highly dependent on external funding and has not demonstrated commercial revenue traction.
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
The income statement profile is very weak. Revenue is effectively zero in the last three annual periods (2022–2024), while losses remain substantial: EBIT is deeply negative each year and net income deteriorated sharply in 2024 (a very large loss versus 2023). Earlier years showed small revenue (2019–2021) but profitability was still heavily negative, indicating the business has not yet demonstrated a scalable commercial revenue base and remains in a high-burn development phase.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows meaningful strain driven by negative equity in 2023 and 2024, which reduces financial flexibility and increases reliance on external funding. Total debt is currently low (about $2–3M in 2023–2024), which is a positive, but the capital structure is weakened by accumulated losses (equity turning significantly negative). Total assets also declined from 2022 to 2024, suggesting balance-sheet contraction alongside continued operating losses.
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
Cash flow remains pressured with consistently negative operating cash flow and free cash flow across all years shown, consistent with a company funding ongoing development rather than generating cash from operations. There is some improvement in cash burn in 2024 versus 2023 (operating and free cash outflows narrowed), but free cash flow is still meaningfully negative. Overall, the company’s cash profile indicates ongoing dependence on financing to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.00132.00K87.00K
Gross Profit-13.29M-3.45M-3.37M-2.69M68.00K43.00K
EBITDA-3.62B-60.08M-63.53M-77.15M-243.71M-10.86M
Net Income-3.54B-781.24M-59.95M-94.38M-245.22M-12.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets118.41M47.73M84.08M151.24M233.33M8.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.48M22.56M48.68M122.81M212.66M839.00K
Total Debt189.39M2.20M2.62M233.66M114.74M7.33M
Total Liabilities210.57M547.07M133.86M143.92M171.77M9.82M
Stockholders Equity-92.00M-499.34M-49.78M7.32M61.56M-938.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.39M-46.72M-76.96M-105.72M-28.34M-12.40M
Operating Cash Flow-79.71M-46.29M-74.70M-103.71M-27.55M-12.01M
Investing Cash Flow1.02M1.73M61.38M-62.96M-3.35M-688.00K
Financing Cash Flow138.94M18.77M169.00K7.25M244.71M12.51M

Vertical Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.35
Price Trends
50DMA
5.48
Negative
100DMA
5.27
Negative
200DMA
5.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
37.67
Neutral
STOCH
7.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVTL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.89, below the 50-day MA of 5.48, and above the 200-day MA of 5.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EVTL.

Vertical Aerospace Risk Analysis

Vertical Aerospace disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vertical Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vertical Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$366.25M-134.16
55
Neutral
$1.45B-6.25-115.63%-33.69%
55
Neutral
$5.93B-6.53-59.13%11.14%
48
Neutral
$230.36M-0.41-98.87%-82.36%56.88%
45
Neutral
$527.12M-0.56
43
Neutral
$952.48M-30.54-24.59%23.58%20.74%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
5.35
0.48
9.86%
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings
3.15
-1.35
-30.00%
EH
Ehang Holdings
13.27
-3.46
-20.68%
EVEX
Eve Holding
4.17
-0.88
-17.43%
ACHR
Archer Aviation
8.09
-0.95
-10.51%
AIRO
Airo Group Holdings, Inc.
11.70
-19.30
-62.26%

Vertical Aerospace Corporate Events

Vertical Aerospace Shareholders Approve Major Increase in Authorized Share Capital
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. held an Extraordinary General Meeting at which shareholders representing about 68% of the company’s voting power approved a substantial increase in the firm’s authorized share capital, from US$210,000 (200 million ordinary shares and 10 million preferred shares) to US$1,010,000 (1 billion ordinary shares and 10 million preferred shares). Investors also passed a special resolution to adopt a fifth amended and restated memorandum and articles of association to reflect the higher authorized share capital, with both measures taking effect immediately. The move significantly expands Vertical Aerospace’s capacity to issue new equity, positioning the company to tap capital markets more flexibly for future financing needs and potential strategic initiatives, which could have material implications for existing shareholders through future dilution as the new share capacity is utilized.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Reports Preliminary Year-End 2025 Cash Position
Jan 12, 2026

Vertical Aerospace Ltd., the UK-based aerospace company listed in the U.S. as a foreign private issuer, reported that as of December 31, 2025, it held approximately £69 million ($93 million) in cash and cash equivalents. The company characterized these figures as preliminary management-prepared data that remain subject to adjustment and have not been audited or reviewed by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, underscoring that no external assurance has yet been provided on the reported cash position, which may influence how investors assess its liquidity and financial runway.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Calls January 2026 EGM to Approve Major Share Capital Increase
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. called an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) of shareholders to be held on January 20, 2026 in Bristol, U.K., with a record date of December 29, 2025, to vote on significant changes to its capital structure and corporate constitution. The board is asking shareholders to approve an increase in the company’s authorized share capital from US$210,000 (200,000,000 ordinary shares plus 10,000,000 preferred shares) to US$1,010,000 (1,000,000,000 ordinary shares plus 10,000,000 preferred shares), and to adopt a new, fifth amended and restated memorandum and articles of association reflecting this higher authorization. The company says the larger share pool is needed to cover current contingent obligations to issue ordinary shares and to accommodate future equity issuance, signalling continued reliance on share-based financing and providing greater flexibility for future corporate actions, which could have material implications for existing shareholders’ dilution and for Vertical’s ability to raise capital in the competitive advanced air mobility market.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Unveils Valo eVTOL Aircraft, Marking UK’s Return to Aircraft Manufacturing
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Vertical Aerospace unveiled Valo, a zero-emission eVTOL aircraft designed to redefine urban air mobility. Valo, succeeding the VX4 prototype, features a more advanced design informed by extensive testing and customer feedback. It is engineered to meet the highest safety standards, targeting certification in 2028, and aims to enter service with airline and operator customers. The launch of Valo marks the UK’s return to aircraft manufacturing leadership and is expected to create significant economic benefits, including over 2,000 high-skilled jobs and a £3 billion annual contribution to the UK economy by 2035.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Secures Key Partnership with Syensqo for VX4 Aircraft
Dec 8, 2025

Vertical Aerospace has announced a long-term supplier partnership with Syensqo, a leader in advanced materials, to supply composite and adhesive materials for the VX4 aircraft. This partnership, which becomes irrevocable on December 26, 2025, is a significant step in Vertical’s industrialization plan, especially as the VX4 targets certification in 2028. The collaboration with Syensqo, along with existing partnerships with companies like Honeywell and Aciturri, strengthens Vertical’s position in the aerospace industry, supporting both commercial and defense applications. The integration of Syensqo’s materials will enhance the VX4’s structural efficiency and durability, crucial for its high-cycle operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Leadership Boosts Shareholdings Amid Key Milestones
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Vertical Aerospace announced that 16 members of its Board of Directors and senior leadership team increased their holdings in the company’s ordinary shares by approximately 50% through open-market purchases in November 2025. This move, along with the acquisition of an additional 350,000 shares by the majority shareholder Mudrick Capital Management, underscores the leadership’s confidence in the company’s long-term value creation. The announcement comes as Vertical Aerospace is set to complete the final stages of its transition flight test program and unveil its new full-size aircraft on December 10, 2025. The share purchases and upcoming milestones highlight the company’s strategic positioning and commitment to advancing its eVTOL technology, which could have significant implications for stakeholders and the broader aerospace industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Vertical Aerospace Advances VX4 Testing and Unveils New Aircraft Design
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Vertical Aerospace announced its third-quarter updates, highlighting significant progress in its flight testing and business strategy. The company is set to begin piloted transition flight tests for its VX4 aircraft, aiming for full transition flights by year-end. Vertical also unveiled the design of its certification aircraft cabin, emphasizing passenger comfort and flexibility. The company is on track to meet its financial guidance for 2025 and has outlined ambitious production and financial goals for 2030, including producing at least 175 aircraft annually and achieving a 20% gross margin.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVTL) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertical Aerospace stock, see the EVTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025