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Vertical Aerospace (EVTL)
NYSE:EVTL
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Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) AI Stock Analysis

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EVTL

Vertical Aerospace

(NYSE:EVTL)

Rating:25Underperform
Price Target:
Vertical Aerospace's stock is facing significant challenges primarily due to its poor financial performance, characterized by substantial operational losses and negative equity. The technical indicators show a bearish trend, and the valuation metrics highlight financial difficulties with a negative P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call data or corporate events further limits any positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Certification and Commercialization
The company is preparing to complete a piloted transition flight, which would be an important catalyst and significantly de-risk certification requirements leading to commercialization.
Manufacturing Readiness
A new agreement with Aciturri Aerostructures to produce the entire airframe of the VX4 is established, supporting manufacturing readiness.
Regulatory Approvals
Shorter-term catalysts like regulatory approvals and flight milestones can drive increased confidence in the longer-term opportunity.
Negative Factors
Capital Needs
Additional capital needs continue to be an overhang for the company.
Equity Offering
The price target has been reduced to $11, reflecting the dilution effect of the recent equity offering.
Valuation Discount
EVTL has underperformed year-to-date and trades at a notable valuation discount compared to industry leaders.

Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vertical Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVertical Aerospace (EVTL) is an innovative aerospace company focused on revolutionizing urban air mobility. Specializing in the design and manufacture of electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, the company aims to transform the future of urban transportation by offering zero-emissions, fast, and efficient travel solutions. Vertical Aerospace operates within the aerospace and transportation sectors, providing cutting-edge technology to address the growing demand for sustainable urban air travel.
How the Company Makes MoneyVertical Aerospace generates revenue primarily through the sale and pre-orders of its eVTOL aircraft to commercial airlines, urban mobility operators, and other transportation entities. The company forms strategic partnerships and agreements with key industry players to secure significant pre-order commitments, which serve as a primary source of income. Additionally, Vertical Aerospace may explore secondary revenue streams such as maintenance services, flight operation support, and software solutions for fleet management, although these are not yet fully developed. The company's success is bolstered by its collaborations with technology and aerospace leaders, which enhance its capabilities and market reach.

Vertical Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Vertical Aerospace has made significant progress towards their strategic objectives, with successful flight tests, strong partnerships, and advancements in battery technology. However, challenges remain in terms of regulatory certification and managing capital expenditures. The company's financial position has been strengthened through recent capital raises, and they are well-positioned to capture opportunities in the defense market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Flight Tests and Milestones
Vertical Aerospace has successfully flown full-scale piloted wing-borne flights, including the world's first eVTOL airport-to-airport flight. They are on track to achieve final flight phase, piloted transition by year-end, and to finalize the assembly of their third VX4 prototype.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
Vertical has expanded partnerships with companies like Honeywell and Aciturri Aerostructures, securing long-term agreements for aircraft components and systems. The partnership with Bristow aims to accelerate global eVTOL adoption with a ready-to-fly model.
Advancements in Battery Technology
The development of a proprietary battery is advancing, with successful testing and plans to produce a certification-ready battery. This technology is expected to contribute to a long-term, high-margin recurring revenue model.
Financial Strength and Capital Raise
Vertical Aerospace raised approximately $70 million in a recent follow-on, totaling nearly $160 million raised in 2025. This strengthens their position as a leading eVTOL OEM.
Defense Market Opportunities
Vertical is uniquely positioned to capture opportunities in the growing European defense market, with increased defense spending from NATO members.
Negative Updates
Certification and Production Challenges
The company faces significant regulatory scrutiny and must navigate complex certification processes to meet their target certification date of 2028.
Capital Expenditure and Cash Burn
There are upcoming nonrecurring engineering costs and capital expenditures required for certification and production, which will increase cash burn over the next 18 months.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 First Half Year Earnings Call, Vertical Aerospace provided extensive guidance on their progress, strategic objectives, and future plans. The company is on track to achieve key milestones, including the final flight phase, piloted transition, and the assembly of their third VX4 prototype by year-end, which will double their flight test capacity. They plan to achieve a certification-ready battery and have initiated production with key partners such as Honeywell and Aciturri Aerostructures. Vertical is also expanding partnerships, notably with Bristow, to accelerate global eVTOL adoption. Their financial guidance remains consistent, anticipating a net cash usage of $110 million to $125 million in operating activities for the year, with a cash runway extending into mid-2026. The company has raised approximately $160 million in 2025, positioning them strongly for operational agility and future developments. Vertical's long-term strategy includes leveraging their proprietary batteries, projecting a high-margin recurring revenue model, and planning for a gigafactory announcement within 12 months.

Vertical Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vertical Aerospace is facing significant financial challenges with persistent operational losses and a fragile balance sheet. While there has been some revenue growth, it is overshadowed by substantial losses and a negative equity position. The company's ability to generate cash remains weak, necessitating a focus on cost control and strategic initiatives to improve financial health.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Vertical Aerospace has shown a modest revenue increase in the TTM period, with a revenue of $11.31 million compared to zero in the previous year. However, the company continues to operate at a significant loss, highlighted by a negative net income of $781.24 million. The gross profit margin is 67.21%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and high operating costs.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals significant financial distress with a negative stockholders' equity of $499.34 million. The debt-to-equity ratio is undefined due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is also negative, signaling insolvency. Despite having a low total debt, the high level of liabilities relative to assets is concerning.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow of $44.68 million in the TTM period, though there is a slight improvement compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash outflows and further challenging financial management. The firm struggles to generate positive cash flow from its operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.31M0.000.000.00132.00K87.00K
Gross Profit-1.11M0.000.000.0068.00K43.00K
EBITDA175.33M-60.08M-101.06M-96.06M-243.71M-10.86M
Net Income-513.16M-781.24M-59.95M-76.11M-245.78M-12.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.00M47.73M84.08M151.24M233.33M8.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.98M22.56M48.68M122.81M212.66M839.00K
Total Debt241.97M2.20M2.62M3.16M1.94M7.33M
Total Liabilities263.11M547.07M133.86M143.92M171.77M9.82M
Stockholders Equity-176.10M-499.34M-49.78M7.32M61.56M-938.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-71.19M-46.72M-76.96M-105.72M-30.91M-12.40M
Operating Cash Flow-70.95M-46.29M-74.70M-103.71M-27.55M-12.01M
Investing Cash Flow1.67M1.73M61.38M-62.96M-3.35M-688.00K
Financing Cash Flow66.59M18.77M169.00K7.25M244.71M12.51M

Vertical Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.51
Price Trends
50DMA
5.71
Negative
100DMA
5.25
Negative
200DMA
5.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
36.69
Neutral
STOCH
24.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVTL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.02, below the 50-day MA of 5.71, and below the 200-day MA of 5.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EVTL.

Vertical Aerospace Risk Analysis

Vertical Aerospace disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vertical Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vertical Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.02B-22.54%9.52%24.27%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.657.61%2.01%2.80%-14.92%
55
Neutral
$20.74B-40.45%54.36%-26.35%
49
Neutral
$5.55B-60.83%-4.00%
47
Neutral
$1.16B-30.69%87.67%18.33%
43
Neutral
$1.15B-320.52%-30.78%
25
Underperform
$468.89M115.25%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
4.51
-2.64
-36.92%
EH
Ehang Holdings
16.10
4.33
36.79%
EVEX
Eve Holding
3.82
1.15
43.07%
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA
42.99
37.18
639.93%
ACHR
Archer Aviation
8.45
5.35
172.58%
PL
Planet Labs PBC
6.46
4.68
262.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025