Kratos Defense (KTOS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.43B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 3.92M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 353.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.13
• Revenue Growth: 7.32%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 4,000
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 86
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 0.12
• Shares Outstanding: 166,430,360
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,979,793
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,917,339
• PEG Ratio: 18.75
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.79
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -148.98
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.87
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 22.47
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 21.19
• 1Y Price Target: $48.14
• Price Target Upside: 7.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $48.00 ▲(7.48%Upside)

Kratos Defense's overall stock score reflects robust technical momentum and strategic growth potential in hypersonics and drones, offset by high valuation concerns and challenges in cash flow management. The recent public offering supports its strategic initiatives, but market valuation remains a significant risk.

Positive Factors

Contracts and Partnerships

KTOS has been awarded a five-year contract for the Multi-Service Advanced Capability Hypersonic Test Bed valued at $1.45B, with an additional $400M expansion.

Equity Offering and Investments

KTOS announced a $500m primary equity share offering, indicating a willingness to invest in the New Defense Industry.

Government Support and Funding

The Defense Budget Reconciliation Bill details point to KTOS programs receiving $600M of incremental funding, showcasing increased government support.

Negative Factors

Equity Offering Concerns

Some investors view the equity offering as a concerning sign, seeing it as opportunistic selling.

Uncertainty and Space Business

Uncertainty remains around the space business and pace of awards at Kratos Unmanned Systems, impacting the overall outlook.

Valuation Challenges

The valuation of Kratos Unmanned Systems is challenging to justify due to the lack of a significant program of record.

Kratos Defense Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) is a mid-tier defense contractor that specializes in providing technology-driven solutions for national security, defense, and related commercial applications. The company operates primarily through two segments: Kratos Government Solutions (KGS) and Unmanned Systems (US). KGS focuses on offering services and solutions in areas such as satellite communications, cyber security, microwave electronics, missile defense, and combat systems. The US segment is dedicated to developing and producing unmanned aerial drone systems and related technologies, serving both military and civilian markets.

How the Company Makes Money

Kratos Defense makes money through a diversified revenue model centered on government contracts, product sales, and service offerings. The company earns a substantial portion of its revenue from contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies, providing them with advanced technology solutions and services. The KGS segment generates income through selling communication systems, electronic products, and cybersecurity solutions. Meanwhile, the Unmanned Systems segment contributes to revenue by designing, manufacturing, and selling unmanned aerial systems (UAS) and related technologies. Additionally, Kratos leverages strategic partnerships and collaborations with other defense contractors and technology firms to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, further driving its revenue growth.

Kratos Defense Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Kratos Defense shows positive revenue growth and improving profitability, with a strong balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high equity. However, cash flow management remains a concern due to negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

Kratos Defense demonstrates a positive revenue growth trajectory, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increasing by 2.2% compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin remains steady at approximately 24.8%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved from 1.4% to 1.7% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the company exhibits relatively low EBIT and EBITDA margins of 2.5% and 4.8%, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Kratos Defense shows strong financial stability with a solid equity position, as indicated by an equity ratio of 69.2%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at a low 0.08, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity improved to 1.4% TTM, highlighting increased shareholder value. The company's robust cash and cash equivalents position further strengthens its financial resilience.

Cash Flow

Kratos Defense faces challenges in cash flow management, with free cash flow remaining negative at TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.02, reflecting adequate cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, free cash flow to net income is negative, indicating pressure on liquidity. The focus should be on converting earnings to positive free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.16B	1.14B	1.04B	898.30M	811.50M	747.70M
Gross Profit	287.60M	287.20M	268.60M	226.00M	225.10M	203.20M
EBITDA	55.20M	96.40M	79.50M	26.50M	62.80M	64.40M
Net Income	19.50M	16.30M	-8.90M	-34.10M	500.00K	79.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.00B	1.95B	1.63B	1.55B	1.59B	1.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	263.70M	329.30M	72.80M	81.30M	349.40M	380.80M
Total Debt	111.00M	282.00M	321.40M	301.80M	339.50M	348.50M
Total Liabilities	617.30M	597.70M	634.00M	604.00M	629.20M	622.70M
Stockholders Equity	1.39B	1.35B	976.00M	936.30M	945.10M	925.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-44.40M	-8.50M	12.80M	-71.10M	-15.70M	10.70M
Operating Cash Flow	19.80M	49.70M	65.20M	-25.70M	30.80M	46.60M
Investing Cash Flow	-75.70M	-69.70M	-43.80M	-177.40M	-52.10M	-87.30M
Financing Cash Flow	-19.50M	277.60M	-30.70M	-63.30M	-9.30M	247.70M

Kratos Defense Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 44.66
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KTOS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.26, above the 50-day MA of 38.14, and above the 200-day MA of 30.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KTOS.

Kratos Defense Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AVAV	76 Outperform	$11.25B	159.54	5.10%	―	14.50%	-29.76%
KTOS	73 Outperform	$7.43B	353.60	1.45%	―	7.32%	―
MOG.A	73 Outperform	$5.84B	28.71	11.61%	0.63%	4.50%	9.90%
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥254.55B	13.00	8.49%	3.09%	6.31%	12.77%
HXL	68 Neutral	$4.61B	37.81	7.87%	1.18%	5.37%	29.15%
MRCY	58 Neutral	$3.07B	―	-4.45%	―	5.66%	52.71%
SPR	37 Underperform	$4.54B	―	81.63%	―	-2.91%	-109.95%

Kratos Defense Corporate Events

Kratos Defense Completes Public Offering of Shares

On June 25, 2025, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions announced an underwritten public offering of 12,987,013 shares of its common stock, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 1,948,052 shares, which was fully exercised. The offering, completed on June 27, 2025, was priced at $38.50 per share, and Kratos plans to use the proceeds for investments in national security priorities, acquisitions, and general corporate purposes. This move is expected to enhance Kratos’ ability to execute on large-scale national security programs and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (KTOS) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kratos Defense stock, see the KTOS Stock Forecast page.

Kratos Defense Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting

On May 14, 2025, Kratos Defense held its Annual Meeting with shareholders representing 133,981,220 shares. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors to serve until the next annual meeting, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (KTOS) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kratos Defense stock, see the KTOS Stock Forecast page.