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Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)
NYSE:SPR
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Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) AI Stock Analysis

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SPR

Spirit AeroSystems

(NYSE:SPR)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▼(-2.30% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and high leverage being major concerns. However, recent corporate events and technical indicators provide some positive momentum and potential for strategic improvement.
Positive Factors
Financial Viability
Recent agreed-upon advances from Boeing and Airbus limit the 'substantial doubt' of Spirit's financial viability.
Liquidity Support
Boeing and Airbus continue to support Spirit’s liquidity and have provided an additional $457 million in advances.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Spirit exited Q3 with $4,403 million in debt but only $218 million in cash, leading to a warning of 'substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern.'
Financial Performance
Spirit Aerosystems reported Q3 adjusted EPS of -$3.03, significantly below the consensus of -$0.38.

Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Spirit AeroSystems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSpirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets commercial aerostructures worldwide. It operates through three segments: Commercial, Defense & Space, and Aftermarket. The Commercial segment offers forward, mid, and rear fuselage sections and systems, struts/pylons, nacelles, and related engine structural components; and wings and wing components, including flight control surfaces, as well as other structural parts. This segment primarily serves the aircraft original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) or engine OEMs of large commercial aircraft and/or business/regional jet programs. The Defense & Space segment provides fuselage, strut, nacelle, and wing aerostructures primarily for U.S. Government defense programs, including Boeing P-8, C40, and KC-46 Tanker. This segment also engages in the fabrication, bonding, assembly, testing, tooling, processing, engineering analysis, and training on fixed wing aircraft aerostructures, missiles, and hypersonics works, such as solid rocket motor throats, nozzles, re-entry vehicle thermal protections systems, forward cockpit and cabin, and fuselage work on rotorcraft aerostructures. The Aftermarket segment offers spare parts and MRO services, repairs for flight control surfaces and nacelles, radome repairs, rotable assets, engineering services, advanced composite repairs, and other repair and overhaul services. Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. has a strategic partnership with Sierra Space to enhance access to commercial space economy of the future. The company was formerly known as Mid-Western Aircraft Systems Holdings, Inc. Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Wichita, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneySpirit AeroSystems generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and delivery of aerostructures and related services to major aircraft manufacturers. The company's key revenue streams include contracts for the production of fuselages, wings, and other aircraft components, often secured through long-term agreements with clients such as Boeing and Airbus. Additionally, Spirit earns revenue from maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, providing ongoing support for its products throughout their lifecycle. Significant partnerships with leading aircraft manufacturers and participation in various defense contracts also contribute to its earnings. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as the overall health of the aerospace industry, production rates of commercial aircraft, and defense spending trends.

Spirit AeroSystems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: 4.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlights growth in revenue and strong performance in the Defense & Space segment. However, these positives are overshadowed by significant financial losses, production challenges with Boeing, and ongoing commercial issues with Airbus, leading to a strained cash flow and operational disruptions.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $1.7 billion, up 19% from the first quarter of 2023, attributed to higher production on Commercial programs and increased Defense & Space revenues.
Defense & Space Segment Performance
Revenue grew to $251 million due to higher activity on development and classified programs as well as the Sikorsky CH-53K and FLRAA programs. Operating margin was 13%, an increase due to higher classified program activities and strong execution.
Negative Updates
Significant Forward Losses
First quarter net forward losses were $495 million, including $281 million from A350 and $167 million from A220 programs due to inability to reach a conclusion to commercial negotiations with Airbus.
Boeing 737 Production Challenges
The implementation of Boeing's product verification process delayed delivery acceptance, led to a buildup of undelivered units, higher levels of inventory, and lower cash flow.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow usage for the quarter was $444 million compared to $69 million in the first quarter of 2023, primarily due to disruption in the 737 production and delivery process.
Airbus Commercial Negotiations
Ongoing inability to reach a pricing agreement with Airbus has resulted in significant financial strain and forward losses for the company.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, the company provided detailed guidance on several operational and financial metrics. The executives highlighted that despite the ongoing discussions with Boeing regarding a potential acquisition, Spirit remains committed to stabilizing operations and meeting customer commitments. The company reported a revenue of $1.7 billion, up 19% from the previous year, but faced a challenging quarter with an adjusted EPS of negative $3.93 and forward losses of $495 million, primarily due to unresolved pricing negotiations with Airbus on the A350 and A220 programs. The 737 program's production was slowed to 31 units per month, with Boeing advancing $425 million to Spirit to manage cash flow disruptions. Spirit's Defense & Space segment showed strong performance with a 13% operating margin, driven by increased activity on development programs. The company is focused on aligning its supply chain and workforce to support future production rate increases, while maintaining liquidity and addressing supply chain challenges related to the 787 and Airbus programs.

Spirit AeroSystems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Spirit AeroSystems is facing significant financial challenges, including negative profitability, high leverage, and negative equity. These issues pose substantial risks to its financial health, despite some revenue growth.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Spirit AeroSystems has been struggling with profitability as evidenced by negative gross profit and net profit margins over the TTM period. The company shows a slight revenue growth, but the persistent negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate ongoing operational challenges. The financial performance reflects significant pressure on margins, likely due to high costs or inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates financial instability and potential solvency risks. The negative return on equity further highlights the company's inability to generate profits from its equity base, which is a critical concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating liquidity challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that despite losses, the company is generating some cash relative to its net income. The negative growth in free cash flow is a concern, reflecting potential difficulties in maintaining or improving cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.28B6.32B6.05B5.03B3.95B3.40B
Gross Profit-1.40B-1.37B206.20M48.60M-117.80M-440.70M
EBITDA-1.79B-1.48B41.00M41.80M15.00M-613.00M
Net Income-2.35B-2.14B-616.20M-544.60M-538.00M-865.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.24B6.76B6.95B6.67B7.74B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments369.60M537.00M823.50M658.60M1.48B1.87B
Total Debt5.43B5.38B4.18B3.96B3.88B3.95B
Total Liabilities10.03B9.38B7.45B6.91B7.29B7.53B
Stockholders Equity-3.80B-2.62B-499.70M-247.50M448.30M856.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-896.30M-1.27B-373.80M-516.20M-213.80M-863.80M
Operating Cash Flow-703.00M-1.12B-225.80M-394.60M-63.20M-744.90M
Investing Cash Flow-25.70M-152.40M-147.80M-155.50M-163.80M-502.00M
Financing Cash Flow907.20M994.50M531.60M-261.00M-163.50M769.50M

Spirit AeroSystems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.94
Price Trends
50DMA
39.33
Positive
100DMA
37.43
Positive
200DMA
35.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
17.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.07, above the 50-day MA of 39.33, and above the 200-day MA of 35.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPR.

Spirit AeroSystems Risk Analysis

Spirit AeroSystems disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spirit AeroSystems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Spirit AeroSystems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.14B29.2711.32%0.58%4.77%4.50%
74
Outperform
$4.97B57.965.63%1.04%1.92%-15.47%
68
Neutral
$10.81B689.590.88%7.76%40.33%
63
Neutral
$3.85B-2.57%9.19%72.88%
59
Neutral
C$7.28B-0.894.17%2.31%9.14%-34.12%
58
Neutral
-4.74%
51
Neutral
$4.67B81.63%-2.60%-94.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
40.94
5.79
16.47%
HXL
Hexcel
63.44
0.20
0.32%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
66.71
43.94
192.97%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
66.83
29.34
78.26%
MOG.A
Moog
197.56
5.02
2.61%
TGI
Triumph Group
26.01
11.77
82.65%

Spirit AeroSystems Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Spirit AeroSystems Sells Subang Facility for $95.2M
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to sell its Subang, Malaysia facility to Composites Technology Research Malaysia Sdn Bhd (CTRM) for $95.2 million. This transaction, part of Spirit’s merger agreement with Boeing, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals. The Subang facility, a significant engineering and manufacturing site, will enhance CTRM’s role as a supplier for Airbus and Boeing, impacting regional stakeholders positively. This sale marks a milestone in Boeing’s acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPR) stock is a Hold with a $37.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spirit AeroSystems stock, see the SPR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Spirit AeroSystems Secures $94 Million Support from Airbus
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 11, 2025, Spirit AeroSystems and Airbus S.A.S. entered into a third amended and restated memorandum of agreement, where Airbus agreed to extend financial assistance to Spirit AeroSystems and its subsidiaries. This agreement includes an additional $94 million support package, totaling $152 million, to be used exclusively for Airbus programs, with assets purchased under this support to be assumed by Airbus or its affiliates upon the completion of a related stock and asset purchase agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPR) stock is a Hold with a $37.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spirit AeroSystems stock, see the SPR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Spirit AeroSystems Amends Credit Agreement with Morgan Stanley
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Spirit AeroSystems amended its $350 million Delayed-Draw Bridge Credit Agreement with Morgan Stanley Senior Funding, Inc., extending the maturity date to September 30, 2025, with potential further extension contingent on merger agreement terms with Boeing. The amendment also adjusts interest payment schedules from monthly to quarterly, reflecting strategic financial management in anticipation of the merger with Boeing, which could impact Spirit’s financial operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPR) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spirit AeroSystems stock, see the SPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025