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Axon Enterprise (AXON)
NASDAQ:AXON
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Axon Enterprise (AXON) AI Stock Analysis

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AXON

Axon Enterprise

(NASDAQ:AXON)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$555.00
▲(6.32% Upside)
Axon's overall score is driven by strong earnings call results and growth potential, but is weighed down by technical analysis indicating bearish momentum and high valuation concerns. Financial performance shows growth but highlights risks in profitability and cash flow management.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Software and Services Expansion
Growth in software and services enhances recurring revenue streams, improving financial stability and customer retention.
International Market Expansion
Successful international expansion diversifies revenue sources and reduces reliance on domestic markets, enhancing growth potential.
Negative Factors
Profit Margin Pressures
Margin pressures from tariffs can affect profitability, indicating potential challenges in maintaining cost efficiency.
Federal Segment Challenges
Challenges in the federal segment may limit growth opportunities and expose the company to regulatory and budgetary risks.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow indicates potential issues in cash generation, which could impact future investments and financial flexibility.

Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axon Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) is a technology company focused on providing solutions for law enforcement and public safety agencies. Founded in 1993, the company is best known for its flagship product, the Taser electroshock weapon, and has since expanded its offerings to include body-worn cameras, digital evidence management software, and advanced data analytics tools. Axon operates primarily in the public safety sector, offering a comprehensive suite of products designed to enhance the capabilities of police departments and other first responders.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxon generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its hardware products, such as Tasers and body-worn cameras, as well as through subscription-based services for its software platforms. The company offers a cloud-based evidence management system known as Evidence.com, which allows agencies to store, manage, and share digital evidence securely. Subscription fees from this service provide a recurring revenue model. Additionally, Axon has established significant partnerships with various law enforcement agencies and government entities, enabling it to secure long-term contracts and bulk orders, further contributing to its earnings. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, ensuring it remains competitive in the evolving public safety landscape.

Axon Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable revenue generated from subscriptions or contracts, highlighting the stability and growth potential of the company's income stream.
Chart InsightsAxon's Annual Recurring Revenue has shown a robust upward trajectory, surpassing $1 billion in 2024 and continuing strong growth into 2025. The latest earnings call underscores this trend, highlighting a 33% year-over-year revenue increase and significant gains in software and services. The company's strategic focus on AI, drones, and international expansion is driving this momentum. However, potential tariff impacts and challenges in the Platform Solutions segment could pose risks to margins. Overall, Axon's commitment to innovation and strategic investments positions it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Axon Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong growth trajectory for Axon, with significant revenue increases, successful expansion in international markets, and promising new product launches. However, the impact of tariffs on margins and challenges in the federal segment are noted concerns. The company is optimistic about future growth, driven by innovative product developments and strategic acquisitions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenue of $711 million increased 31% year-over-year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of 30% or greater growth.
Software and Services Leadership
Software and services revenue increased 41% year-over-year to $305 million, with strong net revenue retention at 124%.
Expanding International Presence
International markets delivered two of the top 10 deals, including a nine-figure cloud deal in Europe, indicating strong international growth potential.
Innovative Product Launches
Introduction of new products like ABW Mini and the integration of Prepared and Carbyne into the Axon ecosystem, aiming to enhance AI-enabled communications and public safety.
Positive Bookings Momentum
Year-to-date bookings are up over 30% and accelerating from last year, with a strong pipeline for Q4.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact on Margins
Adjusted gross margin of 62.7% decreased 50 basis points year-over-year due to tariffs, impacting the Connected Devices segment.
Federal Segment Challenges
Federal contracts have not been a major contributor to growth this year, and there are uncertainties due to potential government shutdowns.
Company Guidance
During Axon's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the executive team highlighted several key metrics reflecting strong performance and future guidance. The company reported a 31% year-over-year increase in third quarter revenue, reaching $711 million, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of 30% or greater growth. Software and services revenue grew by 41% year-over-year to $305 million, while Connected Devices revenue grew by 24% to $405 million. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 62.7%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.9%. Looking ahead, Axon raised its revenue guidance for Q4 to between $750 million and $755 million, implying full-year revenue of about $2.74 billion, representing approximately 31% growth at the midpoint. The company also maintains its full-year target of a 25% adjusted EBITDA margin. Axon's strategic investments, including acquisitions of Prepared and Carbyne, are expected to advance their long-term vision and deliver significant value, particularly in the AI and voice communications sectors.

Axon Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axon Enterprise demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, reflecting effective cost management. However, profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBIT margin have shown some decline, indicating potential operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but cash flow metrics suggest challenges in cash generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Axon Enterprise shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a 7.38% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin is robust at 60.47%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 13.64% from 18.10% in the previous year, and the EBIT margin is negative, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 13.43%, though it has decreased from the previous year. The equity ratio stands at 43.96%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow has declined significantly by 51.33% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.21, indicating that cash generation is lower relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, showing some cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.56B2.08B1.56B1.19B863.38M681.00M
Gross Profit1.54B1.24B955.45M728.64M531.09M416.33M
EBITDA310.92M437.03M183.37M227.62M-117.11M6.28M
Net Income257.10M377.03M175.78M147.14M-60.02M-1.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.66B4.47B3.41B2.85B1.69B1.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.38B986.35M1.32B974.69M443.02M561.97M
Total Debt2.10B1.40B710.66M711.11M20.44M0.00
Total Liabilities3.63B2.15B1.79B1.58B640.36M404.77M
Stockholders Equity3.03B2.33B1.61B1.27B1.05B976.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow145.02M329.53M128.99M179.25M74.22M-34.39M
Operating Cash Flow244.27M408.31M189.26M235.36M124.49M38.48M
Investing Cash Flow-940.23M-490.57M12.48M-830.97M252.56M-356.53M
Financing Cash Flow1.44B-45.44M41.31M598.10M-174.18M299.26M

Axon Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price521.99
Price Trends
50DMA
681.33
Negative
100DMA
721.70
Negative
200DMA
681.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-50.44
Positive
RSI
22.32
Positive
STOCH
9.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 521.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 624.08, below the 50-day MA of 681.33, and below the 200-day MA of 681.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -50.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.32 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXON.

Axon Enterprise Risk Analysis

Axon Enterprise disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axon Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axon Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$80.64B20.2826.15%1.54%-0.14%72.35%
70
Neutral
$51.96B29.839.13%1.73%2.83%47.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$11.93B548.091.20%14.00%23.78%
58
Neutral
$41.91B164.4910.03%31.77%-15.34%
44
Neutral
$113.84M-11.12-14.61%-1.83%-642.89%
37
Underperform
$2.40M-233.66%-9.62%95.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXON
Axon Enterprise
521.99
-97.01
-15.67%
DGLY
Digital Ally
1.24
-1,682.76
-99.93%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
277.78
40.72
17.18%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
69.14
42.73
161.79%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
566.70
89.80
18.83%
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
6.16
-6.92
-52.91%

Axon Enterprise Corporate Events

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Reports Robust Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges in Latest Earnings Call

Axon Enterprise Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Axon Enterprise, Inc. is a leading public safety technology company, specializing in connected devices and software solutions for law enforcement and public safety agencies worldwide. The company is renowned for its TASER devices and comprehensive digital evidence management systems.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025