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Moog Inc (MOG.A)
NYSE:MOG.A
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Moog (MOG.A) AI Stock Analysis

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MOG.A

Moog

(NYSE:MOG.A)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$253.00
▲(7.17% Upside)
Moog's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, positioning the company well for future growth. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. These factors contribute to a balanced overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record sales growth indicates strong demand and effective market strategies, positioning Moog for continued expansion in its key sectors.
Market Position in Aerospace and Defense
Significant sales growth in Aerospace and Defense strengthens Moog's market position, enhancing its competitive edge and long-term prospects.
Operational Excellence
Recognition for operational excellence underscores Moog's commitment to quality and reliability, fostering strong industry relationships and future contracts.
Negative Factors
Tariff Impact on Margins
Tariff impacts on margins could hinder profitability in the Commercial Aircraft segment, posing a challenge to sustaining long-term financial performance.
Accounting Error Correction
The need to correct accounting errors may affect investor confidence and indicates potential weaknesses in financial oversight and reporting.
Cash Flow Conversion Challenges
Challenges in cash flow conversion can limit financial flexibility and investment capacity, affecting Moog's ability to fund growth initiatives.

Moog (MOG.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Controls segment offers primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircrafts; aftermarket support services; and ground-based navigation aids. Its Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for spacecrafts, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance, and other defense applications; and gun aiming, stabilization, and automatic ammunition loading for armored combat vehicles. This segment also offers controls for steering tactical and strategic missiles, and naval surface ships and submarines; and weapons stores management systems for light attack aerial reconnaissance, ground, and sea platforms. The company's Industrial Systems segment provides components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding machinery, metal forming presses, and heavy industry customers in steel and aluminum production; supplies electromechanical motion simulation bases for the flight simulation and training applications; and supplies solutions for power generation applications, as well as custom test systems and controls for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing. This segment also offers systems and components for applications in oil and gas exploration and production; components for wind turbine applications; components and systems for diagnostic imaging CT scan medical equipment, sleep apnea equipment, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition; and hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions and fiber optic rotary joints, motors, and infusion and enteral pumps. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoog generates revenue through multiple key streams including the sale of its motion control products, systems integration services, and after-market support. The company primarily earns income from long-term contracts with government and commercial clients, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, where it provides critical components for aircraft and spacecraft. Additionally, Moog benefits from recurring revenue through maintenance and repair services for its products. Strategic partnerships with major aerospace manufacturers and defense contractors further bolster its revenue, as these collaborations often lead to significant contracts and projects that contribute to Moog’s financial growth.

Moog Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Moog Inc. reported a strong quarter with record sales and performance, driven by growth in Aerospace and Defense. The company received significant industry recognition and has a positive outlook for FY '26. However, challenges remain with tariff impacts on Commercial Aircraft margins and ongoing efforts to improve cash flow conversion.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Moog Inc. achieved record-breaking results in Q4 2025, with sales surpassing $1 billion for the first time, and a 12-month backlog reaching $3 billion. The company also experienced the highest quarterly adjusted operating margin and EPS, with free cash flow significantly improving.
Strong Growth in Aerospace and Defense
Commercial Aircraft sales increased by 27%, and Space and Defense sales grew by 17%. Military Aircraft sales rose by 10%, driven by new production programs and pricing improvements.
Expansion in Defense Markets
Moog is experiencing strong demand in the Defense sector, with broad-based opportunities across the U.S., Europe, and Australia. The company secured several notable contracts, including a significant win in Australia's missile production.
Operational Excellence Recognized
Moog received the Crystal Excellence Award from CAE and a supplier award from Lockheed Martin for outstanding operational performance and on-time delivery.
Positive FY '26 Outlook
The company projects a 9% increase in sales to $4.2 billion, with a projected EPS increase of 15% and an adjusted operating margin increase of 40 basis points in FY '26.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact on Commercial Aircraft Margins
The Commercial Aircraft segment faced significant pressure from tariffs, resulting in a 440 basis point decrease in operating margin in Q4 2025.
Accounting Error Correction
Moog revised previously reported results due to an accounting error related to Commercial Aircraft aftermarket contracts, impacting net earnings per share in past fiscal years.
Challenges in Cash Flow Conversion
Despite improvements, free cash flow conversion remains below the target range, with a 60% projection for FY '26, impacted by working capital needs and capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During the Moog Inc. Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance for Fiscal Year 2026, predicting a 9% year-over-year increase in sales to $4.2 billion. Moog anticipates an adjusted operating margin improvement of 70 basis points, exclusive of tariffs, and a 15% rise in adjusted EPS. The company also expects free cash flow conversion to strengthen to 60%. Key growth areas include a 15% sales increase in Commercial Aircraft, driven by higher production rates and pricing initiatives, and an 11% increase in Space and Defense sales. Moog aims to manage working capital effectively and continue its focus on operational excellence to achieve these targets, despite challenges such as tariffs and complex supply chains.

Moog Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moog demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability. The company's leverage management is effective, though the significant debt level poses some risk. Cash flow generation is improving, but there is room for enhancing cash efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Moog has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable 3.4% increase in the latest period. The company maintains healthy gross and net profit margins, indicating strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is strong, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the total debt level remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Moog's cash flow performance is robust, with a substantial increase in free cash flow growth, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio, while positive, suggests room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.87B3.86B3.61B3.32B3.04B
Gross Profit1.05B1.06B996.92M891.53M820.80M
EBITDA488.45M488.45M423.03M369.86M328.13M
Net Income235.03M235.03M207.22M171.00M155.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.43B4.09B4.09B3.81B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.01M61.69M61.69M68.96M103.89M
Total Debt158.78M1.04B874.14M1.01B943.73M
Total Liabilities2.43B2.23B2.23B2.17B2.00B
Stockholders Equity1.99B1.86B1.86B1.64B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.09M128.35M46.33M-37.35M107.37M
Operating Cash Flow157.79M273.09M202.34M135.94M246.80M
Investing Cash Flow-125.84M-175.26M-159.62M-163.15M-83.32M
Financing Cash Flow-42.51M-98.29M-48.66M-23.02M-134.91M

Moog Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price236.08
Price Trends
50DMA
209.21
Positive
100DMA
201.60
Positive
200DMA
188.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.74
Negative
RSI
75.23
Negative
STOCH
91.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 236.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.44, above the 50-day MA of 209.21, and above the 200-day MA of 188.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOG.A.

Moog Risk Analysis

Moog disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Moog reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Moog Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$7.00B105.151.47%
72
Outperform
$7.25B31.1912.09%0.49%7.11%13.43%
66
Neutral
$6.18B88.834.36%0.90%-0.37%-34.97%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$8.45B771.96
52
Neutral
$4.07B-2.24%8.63%72.72%
41
Neutral
$4.23B-1.63-1.31%-78.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOG.A
Moog
236.08
22.31
10.44%
HXL
Hexcel
77.60
15.75
25.46%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
71.35
33.03
86.20%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
39.41
7.20
22.35%
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
29.25
6.08
26.24%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
66.48
34.48
107.75%

Moog Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Moog Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Moog Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share for its Class A and Class B common stock, payable on August 26, 2025. The company reported record third quarter 2025 results with net sales of $971 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.37, driven by strong performance in Commercial Aircraft, Space and Defense, and Military Aircraft segments. Despite some challenges, Moog achieved a record 12-month backlog of $2.7 billion and acquired COTSWORKS to enhance its Space and Defense portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Moog Enhances Financial Structure with New Loan Agreement
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Moog Inc. entered into a Seventh Amended and Restated Loan Agreement with HSBC Bank USA and other lenders, enhancing its financial structure. This agreement introduces a new $250 million term loan facility, maturing on October 27, 2027, which aims to boost the company’s liquidity for general business purposes, while maintaining the existing revolving credit facility at $1,100 million.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025