Moog (MOG.A) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $10.24B
• Dividend Yield: 0.46%
• Average Volume (3M): 171.51K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 40.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.01
• Revenue Growth: 7.11%
• EPS Growth: 13.43%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,500
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 2.63
• Shares Outstanding: 28,429,115
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 246,187
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 171,511
• PEG Ratio: 1.90
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.25
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.68
• P/FCF Ratio: 50.51
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.11
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.79
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.24
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 21.39
• 1Y Price Target: $320.00
• Price Target Upside: -0.63% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 9.94
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.20B

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $342.00 ▲(6.20% Upside)

The score reflects strong earnings-call momentum and guidance (growth, backlog, raised EPS outlook) alongside a strengthening balance sheet and bullish technical trend. These positives are tempered by weak/volatile free-cash-flow conversion and a demanding valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield).

Positive Factors

Diversified revenue & recurring after‑market services

A multi-stream business model with product sales, systems integration and recurring maintenance provides durable revenue visibility. Long-term government and commercial contracts plus after-market support smooth cyclical swings, support gross margins and underpin multi‑year cash flow through service tails.

Record backlog and strong bookings

A 30% jump in 12‑month backlog and large multi‑year awards materially increase revenue visibility and support production planning. Substantial defense and commercial wins de-risk near‑term growth, enhance capacity utilization and create a multi‑quarter revenue runway that sustains top‑line momentum.

Material balance-sheet de‑risking and lower leverage

A sharp reduction in leverage and equity buildup meaningfully lower financial risk and increase flexibility to fund capacity, absorb shocks, and pursue strategic investments. Sustained low leverage improves covenant headroom, supports contract bids that require financial strength, and preserves optionality for M&A or capex.

Negative Factors

Weak and volatile free‑cash‑flow conversion

Persistently weak and inconsistent FCF conversion undermines the company's ability to self‑fund growth, return capital, and deleverage. Volatility points to working‑capital sensitivity and capex timing that can force external financing or delay strategic investments, constraining long‑term financial resilience.

Tariff exposure compresses margins

Tariffs are a structural cost pressure that can persist across quarters, eroding operating margins and reducing pricing power. Ongoing tariff-related hits force supply‑chain redesign or absorb costs, making margin targets harder to sustain and increasing execution risk for margin improvement plans.

Inventory and working‑capital strain

Elevated inventory ties up cash and raises obsolescence and margin risk, especially across complex aerospace supply chains. Until trade working‑capital initiatives fully offset this build, FCF targets and reinvestment capacity remain at risk, limiting steady funding for growth initiatives and reducing financial flexibility.

Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Controls segment offers primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircrafts; aftermarket support services; and ground-based navigation aids. Its Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for spacecrafts, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance, and other defense applications; and gun aiming, stabilization, and automatic ammunition loading for armored combat vehicles. This segment also offers controls for steering tactical and strategic missiles, and naval surface ships and submarines; and weapons stores management systems for light attack aerial reconnaissance, ground, and sea platforms. The company's Industrial Systems segment provides components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding machinery, metal forming presses, and heavy industry customers in steel and aluminum production; supplies electromechanical motion simulation bases for the flight simulation and training applications; and supplies solutions for power generation applications, as well as custom test systems and controls for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing. This segment also offers systems and components for applications in oil and gas exploration and production; components for wind turbine applications; components and systems for diagnostic imaging CT scan medical equipment, sleep apnea equipment, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition; and hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions and fiber optic rotary joints, motors, and infusion and enteral pumps. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Moog generates revenue through multiple key streams including the sale of its motion control products, systems integration services, and after-market support. The company primarily earns income from long-term contracts with government and commercial clients, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, where it provides critical components for aircraft and spacecraft. Additionally, Moog benefits from recurring revenue through maintenance and repair services for its products. Strategic partnerships with major aerospace manufacturers and defense contractors further bolster its revenue, as these collaborations often lead to significant contracts and projects that contribute to Moog’s financial growth.

Moog Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid fundamentals overall: steady revenue growth and improving profitability, with a notably stronger balance sheet (much lower debt-to-equity in TTM). The main drag is cash-flow quality, as free cash flow has been volatile and recent cash conversion versus earnings is weak.

Income Statement

Moog shows steady top-line momentum, with revenue rising from $3.04B (2022) to $3.86B (2025) and $4.06B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), while profitability has gradually improved. Net margin expanded from ~5.1% (2022) to ~6.1% (TTM), and operating profitability also strengthened, indicating good pricing/efficiency gains. The main weakness is that growth is moderate rather than high, and margins—while improving—remain mid-single-digit on the bottom line for an Aerospace & Defense supplier.

Balance Sheet

Leverage and capitalization look solid overall, with equity building consistently (about $1.44B in 2022 to $2.07B in TTM), supporting a larger asset base. Returns on equity are healthy and stable (roughly ~10%–13% across periods). A key positive is the sharp improvement in leverage in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.08 versus ~0.47–0.58 in prior annual periods), suggesting materially reduced balance-sheet risk. The primary caution is that prior years carried moderate leverage, so sustaining the lower debt level will matter.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is mixed. Operating cash flow is consistently positive, but conversion to free cash flow has been volatile, including negative free cash flow in 2023 and relatively low free cash flow versus earnings in TTM (free cash flow about 14% of net income). While TTM free cash flow rebounded strongly versus the prior period (high growth off a lower base), the overall cash conversion remains the main weakness and suggests working-capital or investment demands are pressuring cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.06B	3.86B	3.61B	3.32B	3.04B	2.85B
Gross Profit	1.11B	1.06B	996.92M	810.96M	745.51M	697.39M
EBITDA	529.48M	488.45M	423.03M	369.86M	351.08M	329.32M
Net Income	258.72M	235.03M	207.22M	171.00M	155.18M	157.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.55B	4.43B	4.08B	3.81B	3.43B	3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	73.36M	62.01M	61.69M	68.96M	103.89M	99.60M
Total Debt	1.06B	945.69M	874.14M	863.09M	837.79M	903.72M
Total Liabilities	2.49B	2.43B	2.25B	2.17B	2.00B	2.03B
Stockholders Equity	2.07B	1.99B	1.83B	1.64B	1.44B	1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	108.00M	128.35M	46.33M	-37.35M	107.37M	164.49M
Operating Cash Flow	245.30M	273.09M	202.34M	135.94M	246.80M	293.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-138.19M	-175.26M	-159.62M	-163.15M	-83.32M	-191.16M
Financing Cash Flow	-118.03M	-98.29M	-48.66M	-23.02M	-134.91M	-87.00M

Moog Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 322.03
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 322.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 289.89, above the 50-day MA of 260.26, and above the 200-day MA of 208.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.62 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOG.A.

Moog Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MOG.A	74 Outperform	$10.24B	40.07	13.33%	0.46%	7.11%	13.43%
AMTM	74 Outperform	$8.88B	27.16	1.47%	―	―	―
KRMN	67 Neutral	$12.96B	1,144.16	―	―	―	―
HXL	64 Neutral	$6.57B	60.58	7.87%	0.89%	-0.37%	-34.97%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
MRCY	55 Neutral	$4.63B	-149.23	-2.08%	―	8.63%	72.72%

Moog Corporate Events

Moog Reports Record Q1 Results and Raises 2026 Outlook

On January 30, 2026, Moog’s board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share on its Class A and Class B common stock, payable on February 26, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026. Also on January 30, 2026, the company reported record fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, with net sales up 21% year-on-year to $1.1 billion and diluted earnings per share rising 38% to $2.46, as all segments posted record sales and operating margins improved despite tariff pressures. Space and Defense sales jumped 31%, commercial aircraft 23%, military aircraft 16% and industrial 14%, while bookings reached $2.3 billion and 12‑month backlog climbed 30% to a record $3.3 billion, underscoring strong demand across end markets; although free cash flow remained a use of cash due to inventory build and payment timing, management raised full-year 2026 guidance for net sales to $4.3 billion and adjusted EPS to $10.20, reinforcing Moog’s growth trajectory and signaling confidence in sustained operational momentum and future cash generation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $319.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Moog Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Record Sales

On November 21, 2025, Moog Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share for its Class A and B common stock, payable on December 17, 2025. The company reported record fourth-quarter sales for 2025, with significant growth across its Commercial Aircraft, Space and Defense, and Military Aircraft segments. This performance underscores Moog’s strategic initiatives and operational improvements, positioning the company for continued value creation and strong fiscal 2026 guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Moog Approves New Deferred Compensation Plan

On November 11, 2025, Moog Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a new Non-Qualified Deferred Compensation Plan, effective January 1, 2026. This plan is designed for select management and highly compensated employees, allowing them to defer a portion of their salary and bonuses. The plan aims to comply with Section 409A of the Internal Revenue Code and provides flexibility in distribution options, including lump-sum payments or installments upon separation, change in control, or death.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.