Moog Inc. (MOG.A)
NYSE:MOG.A
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Moog
(NYSE:MOG.A)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$447.00
▲(38.50% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (growth, stable gross margins, and deleveraging) and a strong, guidance-raising earnings call with record backlog and improving profitability. Offsetting this are stretched technical conditions (overbought RSI/Stoch) and a demanding valuation (high P/E with minimal yield).
Positive Factors
Diversified high‑precision product portfolio
Moog’s engineered motion and fluid control product set serves regulated, high‑barrier end markets (aerospace, defense, industrial). Long product qualification cycles, high switching costs and system-level integrations create durable competitive advantages and recurring OEM and aftermarket demand.
Negative Factors
Rising tariff headwinds
Persistently higher tariff costs (~110 bps) act as a structural margin headwind. Tariff unpredictability forces margin mitigation, re‑pricing, or absorbing costs in capital‑intensive OEM relationships, pressuring long‑term operating margins and complicating reliable margin forecasting.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified high‑precision product portfolio
Moog’s engineered motion and fluid control product set serves regulated, high‑barrier end markets (aerospace, defense, industrial). Long product qualification cycles, high switching costs and system-level integrations create durable competitive advantages and recurring OEM and aftermarket demand.
Read all positive factors
Moog (MOG.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$13.03B
Dividend Yield0.46%
Average Volume (3M)281.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)45.5
Beta (1Y)1.06
Revenue Growth13.79%
EPS Growth37.64%
CountryUS
Employees13,500
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)8.99
Shares Outstanding28,439,083
10 Day Avg. Volume271,967
30 Day Avg. Volume281,395
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.90
Price to Book (P/B)3.25
Price to Sales (P/S)1.68
P/FCF Ratio50.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.03
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.21
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.90
Enterprise Value/Ebitda24.34
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$450.00Price Target Upside39.43% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)10.44
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.30B
Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Moog Inc. specializes in the development, manufacture, and integration of high-precision motion and fluid control systems. The company serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users across global aerospace, defense, and industrial ma...
How the Company Makes Money
Moog makes money primarily by selling engineered motion and fluid control components and systems to OEMs, integrators, and end users, with revenue typically recognized from product shipments and contract-based system deliveries. Key revenue stream...
Moog Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong positive operational and financial picture: robust top-line growth (Q2 sales +13%), record backlog (+33% 12-month backlog), margin expansion (adjusted operating margin +90 bps) and healthy cash generation (nearly $100M FCF in Q2, leverage 1.8x). The company raised full-year sales and EPS guidance and completed favorable refinancing actions. Key risks discussed include increased tariff pressure (now ~110 bps FY impact), some timing-driven reduction in Commercial Aircraft sales guidance to manage inventory, $3M simplification charges, and supply-chain/geopolitical uncertainties. Overall, the positive growth, backlog strength, margin improvement and cash performance materially outweigh the manageable near-term headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Second quarter sales of $1.1 billion, up 13% year-over-year; noted as the company's second-highest revenue on record.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds
Tariff pressure equated to ~100 basis points in Q2; FY '26 tariff pressure now expected at ~110 basis points (an increase of ~30 bps versus prior guidance), creating margin and cost headwinds despite offsetting actions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Second quarter sales of $1.1 billion, up 13% year-over-year; noted as the company's second-highest revenue on record.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Moog raised full‑year fiscal 2026 targets: adjusted diluted EPS was increased by $0.40 to $10.60 ± $0.20 (Q3 EPS guided at $2.65 ± $0.10), while adjusted operating margin was reaffirmed at about 13.4% and free cash flow conversion remains targeted at ~60% for the year (with Q3 conversion ~100%); management now expects solid double‑digit year‑over‑year sales growth and even stronger double‑digit EPS growth, and updated segment guidance of +$35M Space & Defense, +$30M Industrial, +$25M Military Aircraft and −$20M Commercial Aircraft, all while planning for ~110 basis points of tariff pressure in FY‑26 (up 30 bps from the prior outlook).Moog Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.17B | 3.86B | 3.61B | 3.32B | 3.04B | 2.85B |
| Gross Profit | 1.12B | 1.06B | 996.92M | 810.96M | 745.51M | 697.39M |
| EBITDA | 549.54M | 488.45M | 423.03M | 369.86M | 328.13M | 327.82M |
| Net Income | 284.80M | 235.03M | 207.22M | 171.00M | 155.18M | 157.22M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.90B | 4.43B | 4.08B | 3.81B | 3.43B | 3.43B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 307.55M | 62.01M | 61.69M | 68.96M | 103.89M | 99.60M |
| Total Debt | 652.79M | 945.69M | 874.14M | 863.09M | 837.79M | 903.72M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.80B | 2.43B | 2.25B | 2.17B | 2.00B | 2.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.10B | 1.99B | 1.83B | 1.64B | 1.44B | 1.40B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 203.98M | 128.35M | 46.33M | -37.35M | 107.37M | 164.49M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 335.48M | 273.09M | 202.34M | 135.94M | 246.80M | 293.23M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -130.45M | -175.26M | -159.62M | -163.15M | -83.32M | -191.16M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 29.91M | -98.29M | -48.66M | -23.02M | -134.91M | -87.00M |
Moog Technical Analysis
Positive
322.75
Price Trends
335.09
Positive
324.79
Positive
274.38
Positive
Market Momentum
22.37
Negative
75.60
Negative
86.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 322.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 372.62, below the 50-day MA of 335.09, and above the 200-day MA of 274.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOG.A.
Moog Risk Analysis
Moog disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Moog reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Moog Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $13.03B | 45.54 | 14.06% | 0.46% | 13.79% | 37.64% | |
64 Neutral | $5.29B | 35.71 | 3.27% | ― | 26.11% | 801.19% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | $6.84B | -479.73 | -0.96% | ― | 8.95% | 78.82% | |
60 Neutral | $7.36B | 62.96 | 8.35% | 0.89% | 1.46% | -0.14% | |
56 Neutral | $6.68B | 222.82 | 7.89% | ― | 44.21% | 417.85% |
* Industrials Sector Average
MOG.A
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Moog Corporate Events
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Moog Posts Strong Q2 Results and Lifts EPS Guidance
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
On April 24, 2026, Moog reported fiscal second‑quarter 2026 results showing 13% year‑on‑year net sales growth to $1.05 billion, operating margin up 140 basis points to 13.1%, and record diluted EPS of $2.55, supported by strong d...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Moog Redeems Senior Notes and Extends Debt Maturities
Positive
Apr 3, 2026
On April 3, 2026, Moog Inc. fully redeemed all $500 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.250% Senior Notes due 2027 at par, plus accrued and unpaid interest up to but excluding the redemption date. As a result, the related indenture was sat...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Moog Refinances Debt with New Senior Notes Issuance
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 24, 2026, Moog Inc. completed the sale of $500 million in 5.500% senior notes due 2034, issued under a new indenture with Truist Bank as trustee and featuring standard restrictive covenants and change-of-control protections. The notes, wh...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.