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Moog Inc. (MOG.A)
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Moog (MOG.A) AI Stock Analysis

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MOG.A

Moog

(NYSE:MOG.A)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$214.00
▲(7.71%Upside)
Moog's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive corporate events, despite a relatively high valuation and mixed technical indicators. The company's robust financial health and strategic initiatives in enhancing liquidity and growth in key segments are significant strengths. The valuation and technical analysis present areas for caution, but they are outweighed by the company's strong fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Commercial Aircraft
Moog held its Commercial Aircraft sales guide and raised its Commercial Aircraft margin guide due to a stronger aftermarket outlook.
Sales Guidance
Sales guidance was increased across all end markets, showing promising demand in various sectors.
Negative Factors
Airbus Shipments
Airbus reduced Moog's A350 shipments, which negatively impacted Moog's free cash flow guidance.
Free Cash Flow
The FCF guidance was reduced due to higher working capital draw from increased sales, marking a third consecutive cut.
Tariff Exposure
Tariffs represent a $10-20 million operational profit risk, posing a 3-6% earnings per share risk to the guidance.

Moog (MOG.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoog Inc. (MOG.A) is a global designer, manufacturer, and integrator of precision motion and fluid controls and systems. The company operates in several sectors, including aerospace, defense, industrial, and medical. Its core products and services include flight control systems, actuation systems, avionics, and control products for military and commercial aircraft, space and defense applications, industrial automation, and medical devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoog Inc. generates revenue through the sale of its high-performance motion control products and systems, which are used across various industries. The company earns money by providing products and services to both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with aerospace and defense customers, sales of industrial automation components, and servicing and support for its products. Moog also benefits from significant partnerships and collaborations with major industry players, contributing to its sustained earnings and market presence.

Moog Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moog demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cost management. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage and solid equity. However, cash flow management shows room for improvement due to decreased free cash flow. Overall, financial performance is solid, positioning Moog well within its industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Moog's income statement shows solid financial performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 27.03%, with a stable net profit margin of 5.67%. Revenue growth rate is impressive at 3.45% when comparing the latest annual report to the previous year. The EBIT margin is 10.42%, reflecting effective cost management. However, EBITDA margin has slightly decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a robust equity position with an equity ratio of 44.22%, indicating strong asset backing. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.65, suggesting a moderate level of leverage which is manageable within the industry. Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 10.89%, showcasing effective use of equity. Overall, Moog maintains a stable financial structure with balanced leverage and equity utilization.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Moog's cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow has decreased, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.18, signaling reduced liquidity from operational activities. Despite these challenges, the company’s operational cash flow remains positive, supporting ongoing investments and financing activities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.61B3.32B3.04B2.85B2.88B
Gross Profit996.92M891.53M820.80M775.72M743.70M
EBITDA423.03M402.47M349.96M329.32M179.82M
Net Income207.22M171.00M155.18M157.22M9.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.09B3.81B3.43B3.43B3.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.69M68.96M103.89M99.60M84.58M
Total Debt874.14M863.09M837.79M903.72M930.33M
Total Liabilities2.23B2.17B2.00B2.03B1.98B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.64B1.44B1.40B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.33M-37.35M107.37M164.49M190.89M
Operating Cash Flow202.34M135.94M246.80M293.23M279.18M
Investing Cash Flow-159.62M-163.15M-83.32M-191.16M-146.19M
Financing Cash Flow-48.66M-23.02M-134.91M-87.00M-142.77M

Moog Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price198.68
Price Trends
50DMA
183.81
Positive
100DMA
177.60
Positive
200DMA
187.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.94
Negative
RSI
65.16
Neutral
STOCH
83.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 198.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.21, above the 50-day MA of 183.81, and above the 200-day MA of 187.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOG.A.

Moog Risk Analysis

Moog disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Moog reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Moog Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.21B29.6911.32%0.58%4.77%4.50%
72
Outperform
$9.50B459.301.45%7.32%
69
Neutral
$4.88B56.985.63%1.05%1.92%-15.47%
68
Neutral
$2.87B175.304.83%0.28%19.84%-51.67%
65
Neutral
$11.04B15.744.60%2.11%3.27%-26.87%
60
Neutral
$4.71B81.63%-2.91%-109.95%
58
Neutral
$3.10B-4.45%5.66%52.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOG.A
Moog
198.68
10.04
5.32%
HXL
Hexcel
61.00
-2.96
-4.63%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
58.01
35.98
163.32%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
53.00
18.62
54.16%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
39.82
4.54
12.87%
VSEC
VSE
141.48
57.59
68.65%

Moog Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Moog Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Moog Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share for its Class A and Class B common stock, payable on August 26, 2025. The company reported record third quarter 2025 results with net sales of $971 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.37, driven by strong performance in Commercial Aircraft, Space and Defense, and Military Aircraft segments. Despite some challenges, Moog achieved a record 12-month backlog of $2.7 billion and acquired COTSWORKS to enhance its Space and Defense portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Moog Enhances Financial Structure with New Loan Agreement
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Moog Inc. entered into a Seventh Amended and Restated Loan Agreement with HSBC Bank USA and other lenders, enhancing its financial structure. This agreement introduces a new $250 million term loan facility, maturing on October 27, 2027, which aims to boost the company’s liquidity for general business purposes, while maintaining the existing revolving credit facility at $1,100 million.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025