Moog Inc (MOG.A)
NYSE:MOG.A
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Moog
(NYSE:MOG.A)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$382.00
▲(32.03% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score reflects strong earnings-call momentum and guidance (growth, backlog, raised EPS outlook) alongside a strengthening balance sheet and bullish technical trend. These positives are tempered by weak/volatile free-cash-flow conversion and a demanding valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Diversified, program-based revenue with aftermarket services
Moog's revenue mix—program-driven OEM sales across aerospace/defense, industrial and medical plus recurring aftermarket spares and services—creates durable revenue visibility and stickiness. Long platform lifecycles and embedded engineered content support repeat sales and smoother multi-year cash flows.
Negative Factors
Volatile free-cash-flow and weak cash conversion
While operating cash flow is generally positive, inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion—driven by inventory builds and working-capital timing—reduces cash available for buybacks, debt paydown or growth capex. Sustained weak conversion would constrain capital allocation and raise execution risk on growth initiatives.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified, program-based revenue with aftermarket services
Moog's revenue mix—program-driven OEM sales across aerospace/defense, industrial and medical plus recurring aftermarket spares and services—creates durable revenue visibility and stickiness. Long platform lifecycles and embedded engineered content support repeat sales and smoother multi-year cash flows.
Read all positive factors
Moog (MOG.A) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$9.20B
Dividend Yield0.46%
Average Volume (3M)387.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)25.1
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth7.11%
EPS Growth13.43%
CountryUS
Employees13,500
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryAerospace & Defense
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.63
Shares Outstanding28,429,115
10 Day Avg. Volume741,864
30 Day Avg. Volume387,335
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.90
Price to Book (P/B)3.25
Price to Sales (P/S)1.68
P/FCF Ratio50.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.10
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.50
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.16
Enterprise Value/Ebitda19.15
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$320.00Price Target Upside10.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)10.18
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.28B
Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Control...
How the Company Makes Money
Moog generates revenue through multiple key streams including the sale of its motion control products, systems integration services, and after-market support. The company primarily earns income from long-term contracts with government and commerci...
Moog Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a clearly positive operational and financial picture: strong, broad-based revenue growth (21% YoY), record segment sales and backlog expansion, meaningful EPS and margin improvement, and an upwardly revised full-year outlook. Management acknowledged near-term headwinds — primarily tariff-related margin pressure, working capital/inventory-driven negative free cash flow in Q1, and a small set of charges — but provided active mitigation plans (supply-chain changes, supplier agreements, tariff route optimization) and confidence in cash flow improvement and capacity planning for defense and data-center demand. On balance the favorable growth, margin progress, backlog/bookings momentum and guidance raise outweigh the short-term cash and tariff challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 sales of $1.1 billion, up 21% year-over-year; management called it a record quarter with record sales in all segments.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Margin Pressure
Tariffs materially pressured margins in Q1—Commercial Aircraft operating margin declined to 10.6% (down 120 bps YoY) with tariff impact ~300 basis points in the quarter; tariffs also reduced company-wide adjusted EPS upside.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q1 sales of $1.1 billion, up 21% year-over-year; management called it a record quarter with record sales in all segments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Moog updated fiscal 2026 guidance with double‑digit year‑over‑year sales growth, held consolidated adjusted operating margin at 13.4% (about +40 bps vs. FY‑25) and raised adjusted EPS guidance by $0.20 to $10.20 ± $0.20 (Q2 EPS $2.25 ± $0.10); management reaffirmed free cash flow conversion of ~60% (improved vs. FY‑25), noted $79M of free cash flow used in Q1 but expects to generate at least that amount in Q2, and reported a 2.0x leverage ratio (target 2–3x); segment guidance increases were +$30M for Space & Defense, +$15M for Commercial Aircraft and +$15M for Industrial, with segment operating margins adjusted to 13.9% for Space & Defense and moderated to 13.8% for Military Aircraft, while 12‑month backlog grew 30%.Moog Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.06B | 3.86B | 3.61B | 3.32B | 3.04B | 2.85B |
| Gross Profit | 1.11B | 1.06B | 996.92M | 810.96M | 745.51M | 697.39M |
| EBITDA | 529.48M | 488.45M | 423.03M | 369.86M | 351.08M | 329.32M |
| Net Income | 258.72M | 235.03M | 207.22M | 171.00M | 155.18M | 157.22M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.55B | 4.43B | 4.08B | 3.81B | 3.43B | 3.43B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 73.36M | 62.01M | 61.69M | 68.96M | 103.89M | 99.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.06B | 945.69M | 874.14M | 863.09M | 837.79M | 903.72M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.49B | 2.43B | 2.25B | 2.17B | 2.00B | 2.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.07B | 1.99B | 1.83B | 1.64B | 1.44B | 1.40B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 108.00M | 128.35M | 46.33M | -37.35M | 107.37M | 164.49M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 245.30M | 273.09M | 202.34M | 135.94M | 246.80M | 293.23M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -138.19M | -175.26M | -159.62M | -163.15M | -83.32M | -191.16M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -118.03M | -98.29M | -48.66M | -23.02M | -134.91M | -87.00M |
Moog Technical Analysis
Negative
289.33
Price Trends
313.82
Negative
272.56
Positive
233.20
Positive
Market Momentum
-5.97
Positive
35.76
Neutral
42.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 289.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 313.16, below the 50-day MA of 313.82, and above the 200-day MA of 233.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MOG.A.
Moog Risk Analysis
Moog disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Moog reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Moog Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $9.20B | 25.10 | 13.20% | 0.46% | 7.11% | 13.43% | |
67 Neutral | $6.47B | 42.26 | 2.18% | ― | ― | ― | |
67 Neutral | $11.38B | 557.53 | 4.48% | ― | ― | ― | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
58 Neutral | $6.11B | 53.70 | 7.41% | 0.89% | -0.37% | -34.97% | |
55 Neutral | $4.57B | -73.03 | -2.08% | ― | 8.63% | 72.72% |
* Industrials Sector Average
MOG.A
Moog
289.33
118.48
69.35%
HXL
Hexcel
80.54
24.83
44.58%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
76.16
33.34
77.86%
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
26.54
8.47
46.87%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
86.01
50.93
145.18%
Moog Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Moog Extends Credit Facility, Strengthening Long-Term Financing
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Moog Inc. entered into an Eighth Amended and Restated Loan Agreement with a group of lenders and HSBC Bank USA, National Association acting as administrative agent. The new agreement amends the company’s prior credit ar...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Moog Shareholders Reelect Directors and Ratify KPMG Auditor
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
At Moog’s Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on February 10, 2026, shareholders elected directors across both share classes under the company’s dual-class voting structure. Class B shareholders re-elected Donald R. Fishback and Kraig ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Moog Reports Record Q1 Results and Raises 2026 Outlook
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
On January 30, 2026, Moog’s board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share on its Class A and Class B common stock, payable on February 26, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026. Also on January 30, 2026, the company...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.