Moog (MOG.A) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.09B
• Dividend Yield: 0.6%
• Average Volume (3M): 214.17K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.20
• Revenue Growth: 4.77%
• EPS Growth: 4.50%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,500
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 76
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 2.37
• Shares Outstanding: 28,423,925
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 133,888
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 214,174
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.15
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.87
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.92
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 16.00
• 1Y Price Target: $210.00
• Price Target Upside: 8.98% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $214.00 ▲(11.06% Upside)

Moog's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive corporate events, despite a relatively high valuation and mixed technical indicators. The company's robust financial health and strategic initiatives in enhancing liquidity and growth in key segments are significant strengths. The valuation and technical analysis present areas for caution, but they are outweighed by the company's strong fundamentals.

Positive Factors

Commercial Aircraft

Moog held its Commercial Aircraft sales guide and raised its Commercial Aircraft margin guide due to a stronger aftermarket outlook.

Demand Trends

FQ3 demand trends were better than expected in Industrial Automation, S&D, and Commercial A/M sectors.

Sales Guidance

Sales guidance was increased across all end markets, showing promising demand in various sectors.

Negative Factors

Airbus Shipments

Airbus reduced Moog's A350 shipments, which negatively impacted Moog's free cash flow guidance.

Free Cash Flow

The FCF guidance was reduced due to higher working capital draw from increased sales, marking a third consecutive cut.

Tariffs Impact

Tariffs represent a $10-20 million operational profit risk, posing a 3-6% earnings per share risk to the guidance.

Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moog Inc. (MOG.A) is a globally recognized engineering company that designs and manufactures advanced motion control systems and components. Operating primarily in the aerospace, defense, and industrial sectors, Moog's core products include flight control systems, actuation systems, and precision control devices. The company leverages its expertise in systems integration and engineering to provide innovative solutions that enhance the performance and reliability of various applications, ranging from commercial aircraft to military vehicles and industrial machinery.

How the Company Makes Money

Moog generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products and services in three main segments: Aircraft, Defense, and Industrial. The Aircraft segment focuses on providing flight control systems and components for commercial and military aviation, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. The Defense segment includes products for military applications, such as missile control systems and ground vehicles, benefiting from government contracts and defense budgets. The Industrial segment offers motion control solutions for various industries, including robotics and automation. In addition to product sales, Moog earns revenue from maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, as well as long-term contracts and partnerships with key aerospace and defense manufacturers, which provide steady income streams. Furthermore, the company's commitment to research and development allows it to innovate continuously, keeping its product offerings competitive and aligned with market demands.

Moog Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moog demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cost management. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage and solid equity. However, cash flow management shows room for improvement due to decreased free cash flow. Overall, financial performance is solid, positioning Moog well within its industry.

Income Statement

Moog's income statement shows solid financial performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 27.03%, with a stable net profit margin of 5.67%. Revenue growth rate is impressive at 3.45% when comparing the latest annual report to the previous year. The EBIT margin is 10.42%, reflecting effective cost management. However, EBITDA margin has slightly decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet highlights a robust equity position with an equity ratio of 44.22%, indicating strong asset backing. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.65, suggesting a moderate level of leverage which is manageable within the industry. Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 10.89%, showcasing effective use of equity. Overall, Moog maintains a stable financial structure with balanced leverage and equity utilization.

Cash Flow

Moog's cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow has decreased, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.18, signaling reduced liquidity from operational activities. Despite these challenges, the company’s operational cash flow remains positive, supporting ongoing investments and financing activities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.73B	3.61B	3.32B	3.04B	2.85B	2.88B
Gross Profit	1.01B	996.92M	891.53M	820.80M	775.72M	743.70M
EBITDA	436.70M	423.03M	369.86M	328.13M	329.32M	131.29M
Net Income	211.62M	207.22M	171.00M	155.18M	157.22M	9.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.40B	4.09B	3.81B	3.43B	3.43B	3.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	59.01M	61.69M	68.96M	103.89M	99.60M	84.58M
Total Debt	1.27B	874.14M	1.01B	943.73M	993.09M	1.02B
Total Liabilities	2.45B	2.23B	2.17B	2.00B	2.03B	1.98B
Stockholders Equity	1.94B	1.86B	1.64B	1.44B	1.40B	1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	38.81M	46.33M	-37.35M	107.37M	164.49M	190.89M
Operating Cash Flow	188.25M	202.34M	135.94M	246.80M	293.23M	279.18M
Investing Cash Flow	-137.47M	-159.62M	-163.15M	-83.32M	-191.16M	-146.19M
Financing Cash Flow	-44.39M	-48.66M	-23.02M	-134.91M	-87.00M	-142.77M

Moog Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 192.69
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 192.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 192.52, above the 50-day MA of 186.53, and above the 200-day MA of 187.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOG.A.

Moog Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MOG.A	78 Outperform	$6.09B	29.06	11.32%	0.60%	4.77%	4.50%
VSEC	77 Outperform	$3.33B	92.24	6.22%	0.25%	13.00%	120.90%
HXL	74 Outperform	$4.87B	56.80	5.63%	1.04%	1.92%	-15.47%
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥266.69B	15.10	8.31%	2.75%	6.08%	11.04%
KTOS	68 Neutral	$10.81B	689.59	0.88%	―	7.76%	40.33%
MRCY	63 Neutral	$3.85B	―	-2.57%	―	9.19%	72.88%
SPR	51 Neutral	$4.67B	―	81.63%	―	-2.60%	-94.76%

Moog Corporate Events

Moog Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results

On July 25, 2025, Moog Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share for its Class A and Class B common stock, payable on August 26, 2025. The company reported record third quarter 2025 results with net sales of $971 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.37, driven by strong performance in Commercial Aircraft, Space and Defense, and Military Aircraft segments. Despite some challenges, Moog achieved a record 12-month backlog of $2.7 billion and acquired COTSWORKS to enhance its Space and Defense portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.

Moog Enhances Financial Structure with New Loan Agreement

On May 30, 2025, Moog Inc. entered into a Seventh Amended and Restated Loan Agreement with HSBC Bank USA and other lenders, enhancing its financial structure. This agreement introduces a new $250 million term loan facility, maturing on October 27, 2027, which aims to boost the company’s liquidity for general business purposes, while maintaining the existing revolving credit facility at $1,100 million.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.