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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM)
NYSE:AMTM
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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

(NYSE:AMTM)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(18.38% Upside)
Amentum Holdings, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, supported by a successful earnings call. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth showcases Amentum's ability to expand its market reach and maintain strong client relationships, particularly in government contracts, which are a stable revenue source.
Contract Wins
Securing major contracts enhances Amentum's market position and provides long-term revenue visibility, reinforcing its leadership in defense and nuclear sectors.
Job Creation and Industry Growth
Expansion in the UK nuclear and defense sectors indicates strategic growth and alignment with global energy trends, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues could hinder Amentum's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation, affecting its competitive edge and financial health.
High Leverage
A high leverage ratio limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially impacting Amentum's ability to finance new projects or weather economic downturns.
Contract Protest
Contract protests can delay project execution and revenue recognition, creating uncertainty in financial projections and operational planning.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) is a leading provider of engineering and technical services, specializing in supporting government and commercial clients across various sectors including defense, energy, and environmental services. The company offers a range of core products and services, including logistics support, facility management, and advanced engineering solutions that focus on enhancing operational efficiency and effectiveness for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmentum generates revenue primarily through government contracts, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company engages in long-term contracts with various federal agencies, providing services such as logistics, maintenance, and technical support. Additionally, Amentum earns revenue from commercial contracts in energy and environmental sectors. Key revenue streams include contract awards, task orders, and performance-based incentives tied to project outcomes. Partnerships with government entities and private sector firms enhance its service offerings and create opportunities for further revenue generation, particularly in addressing complex engineering challenges and compliance requirements.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 24, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Amentum's fiscal year 2025 was marked by strong revenue growth, strategic contract wins, and effective debt reduction. Despite challenges from a government shutdown and a contract protest, the company remains well-positioned for future growth in its core and accelerating markets.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Amentum achieved $14.4 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025, representing a pro forma growth of 4%. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 5% to $1.1 billion.
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
The company achieved a full year book-to-bill ratio of 1.2x and a quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.6x, with a backlog growth of 5% reaching $47 billion.
Major Contract Wins
Secured several key contracts including the U.S. Space Force Range contract ($4 billion) and the NASA Cosmos contract ($1.8 billion).
Debt Reduction
Amentum reduced its net leverage to 3.2x with $750 million in debt repayments throughout the year.
Nuclear Center of Excellence
Opened a new nuclear Center of Excellence in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, enhancing capabilities in nuclear expertise.
Negative Updates
Impact of Government Shutdown
The recent government shutdown is expected to impact fiscal year 2026 revenues by approximately 1% due to reduced spending and delays in award decisions.
Protest on NASA Cosmos Contract
The $1.8 billion NASA Cosmos contract award is being protested, which affects its inclusion in backlog and book-to-bill results.
Company Guidance
During Amentum's Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance, surpassing its guidance across key metrics. Revenues reached $14.4 billion, reflecting a pro forma growth of 4%, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 5% year-over-year to $1.1 billion. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose by 11% to $2.22, and free cash flow amounted to $516 million, contributing to a reduced net leverage of 3.2x. The company achieved a full-year book-to-bill ratio of 1.2x, with a quarterly ratio of 1.6x, and backlog grew by 5% to exceed $47 billion. For fiscal 2026, Amentum expects revenues between $13.95 billion and $14.3 billion, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $1.1 billion to $1.14 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS between $2.25 and $2.45. The company is positioning itself for sustained growth through strategic wins in key markets, including space systems, nuclear energy, and digital infrastructure, while maintaining operational excellence and leveraging its strong balance sheet to achieve future objectives.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amentum Holdings, Inc. shows strong revenue growth and impressive cash flow generation, with a significant reduction in leverage. However, profitability remains a challenge, as indicated by low net profit margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Amentum Holdings, Inc. has shown strong revenue growth with a 13.51% increase in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin improved slightly to 7.18%, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.46%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT margin of 3.25% and EBITDA margin of 6.86% indicate moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.009, showcasing a strong reduction in leverage. Return on equity is modest at 1.47%, reflecting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 39.32% indicates a stable capital structure with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Amentum Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated impressive free cash flow growth of 654.17%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.23 suggests that cash flows are well-aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.39B8.39B7.86B7.68B
Gross Profit1.03B570.00M483.35M498.55M
EBITDA987.00M566.00M381.74M380.80M
Net Income66.00M-82.00M-313.70M-84.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.46B11.97B6.41B4.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments437.00M452.00M305.00M207.00M
Total Debt42.00M4.94B4.33B276.18M
Total Liabilities6.84B7.42B6.00B919.00M
Stockholders Equity4.50B4.46B375.00M3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow543.00M36.00M55.00M108.00M
Operating Cash Flow543.00M47.00M67.39M126.02M
Investing Cash Flow228.00M475.00M-4.23M-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow-790.00M-382.00M-125.13M1.72B

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.72
Price Trends
50DMA
23.87
Positive
100DMA
24.21
Positive
200DMA
22.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Negative
RSI
66.26
Neutral
STOCH
65.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.78, above the 50-day MA of 23.87, and above the 200-day MA of 22.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMTM.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$7.00B105.741.47%
72
Outperform
$7.25B31.1912.09%0.58%7.11%13.43%
69
Neutral
$6.29B101.636.56%25.38%237.96%
66
Neutral
$6.00B88.754.36%0.90%-0.37%-34.97%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$4.07B-2.24%8.63%72.72%
41
Neutral
$4.23B-1.63-1.31%-78.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
28.56
4.65
19.45%
HXL
Hexcel
75.38
10.80
16.73%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
70.23
30.54
76.95%
MOG.A
Moog
235.00
17.22
7.91%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
39.50
6.55
19.88%
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
68.30
-23.50
-25.60%

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Amentum Holdings’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Aug 8, 2025

Amentum Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a generally positive outlook bolstered by strong revenue and EBITDA growth, strategic divestitures, and significant contract wins. Despite facing challenges such as a protest on a major contract and the impact of divestitures on revenue, the company remains optimistic about its future, supported by strong bookings, backlog, and favorable market positioning in sectors like nuclear and space.

Amentum Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a global leader in advanced engineering and innovative technology solutions, providing services in science, security, and sustainability sectors, with a strong presence across 80 countries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025