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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM)
NYSE:AMTM
US Market
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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

(NYSE:AMTM)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(1.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial quality (especially strong free cash flow) and a constructive earnings-call outlook with reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and solid bookings/backlog. These positives are moderated by weak technicals (downtrend/negative momentum) and a relatively high P/E with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained +$800M TTM operating and free cash flow with near‑par conversion to net income indicates durable internal funding for operations, debt paydown and capex. Reliable FCF supports deleveraging plans and strategic investments over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Weak Revenue Growth
Reported top‑line decline undermines the sustainability of improved margins and cash flow. Without consistent revenue growth, margin gains can be cyclical or mix‑driven, constraining scalable earnings power and making recovery dependent on contract wins converting to revenue.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained +$800M TTM operating and free cash flow with near‑par conversion to net income indicates durable internal funding for operations, debt paydown and capex. Reliable FCF supports deleveraging plans and strategic investments over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Amentum Holdings, Inc. provides mission-critical, technology-driven services in government and commercial markets. It operates through two operating segments: Critical Mission Solutions and Cyber & Intelligence. The Critical Mission Solutions segm...
How the Company Makes Money
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Amentum Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong execution with multiple strategic wins, solid bookings, backlog growth and margin improvement, and management reaffirmed full-year guidance while outlining a path to reduce leverage and improve liquidity. Most downside items were timing-related (government shutdown, JV contribution timing, protests) rather than structural, and management provided specific mitigants and visibility into recoveries. Given the breadth of wins, margin expansion, improved funded backlog and the reaffirmation of guidance, the positive operational and strategic developments substantially outweigh the near-term timing and cash flow challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Underlying Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.24 billion with underlying normalized growth of approximately 3% year-over-year after adjusting for JV transitions, divestitures and government shutdown impacts.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown and Timing-Related Cash Impact
Q1 free cash flow used $142 million driven by an extra pay cycle and government holiday/processing delays tied to the longest U.S. government shutdown in history; management characterizes this as timing-related with collections rebounding in early Q2.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Underlying Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.24 billion with underlying normalized growth of approximately 3% year-over-year after adjusting for JV transitions, divestitures and government shutdown impacts.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed its November FY‑2026 guidance: revenue $13.95–$14.30B, adjusted EBITDA $1.10–$1.14B, adjusted diluted EPS $2.25–$2.45 and free cash flow $525–$575M (midpoint $550M), while targeting net leverage below 3.0x by year‑end; Q1 served as the baseline with revenue $3.24B, adjusted EBITDA $263M (8.1% margin), adjusted diluted EPS $0.54, $3.3B of net bookings, a $47B backlog (including $7B funded backlog, +23% QoQ), $23B of proposals, LTM book‑to‑bill ~1.1x (imputed 1.3x) and expectations to submit >$35B of bids this year; management expects sequential quarterly increases in revenue/EBITDA/EPS (working days: Q1 60, Q2 & Q3 63, Q4 64), roughly 25% of the remaining free cash flow in Q2, ~95% of FY revenue from existing/recompete business (5% new), and pointed to liquidity of $247M cash on hand, a fully undrawn $850M revolver and no near‑term maturities.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving, led by strong TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow (both ~+$800M) and a return to positive profitability with better TTM margins. Offsetting this, TTM revenue growth is sharply negative (as reported) and ROE remains low, which raises sustainability and earnings-power concerns.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.21B14.39B8.39B7.87B7.68B
Gross Profit1.48B1.51B798.00M782.00M771.00M
EBITDA970.00M987.00M566.00M382.00M381.00M
Net Income98.00M66.00M-82.00M-314.00M-84.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.20B11.46B11.97B6.41B4.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments247.00M437.00M452.00M305.00M207.00M
Total Debt3.94B4.17B4.94B4.33B276.18M
Total Liabilities6.54B6.84B7.42B6.00B919.00M
Stockholders Equity4.56B4.50B4.46B375.00M3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow272.00M516.00M36.00M55.00M108.00M
Operating Cash Flow297.00M543.00M47.00M67.00M126.00M
Investing Cash Flow203.00M228.00M475.00M-17.00M-1.79B
Financing Cash Flow-794.00M-790.00M-382.00M-112.00M1.72B

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.58
Price Trends
50DMA
28.96
Negative
100DMA
30.19
Negative
200DMA
27.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
50.04
Neutral
STOCH
72.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.76, below the 50-day MA of 28.96, and above the 200-day MA of 27.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMTM.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Risk Analysis

Amentum Holdings, Inc. disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amentum Holdings, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$9.72B27.9214.06%0.46%13.79%37.64%
70
Outperform
$5.20B127.216.31%23.20%213.21%
65
Neutral
$6.84B41.288.35%0.89%1.46%-0.14%
64
Neutral
$6.28B42.262.18%44.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$4.71B-73.03-2.08%6.58%67.04%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
25.76
3.93
18.00%
HXL
Hexcel
90.69
41.03
82.62%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
78.53
27.37
53.50%
MOG.A
Moog
307.00
130.42
73.86%
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
55.59
-41.20
-42.57%

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Amentum Refinances and Expands Senior Secured Credit Facilities
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
On April 24, 2026, Amentum Holdings, Inc. and key subsidiaries amended their existing credit agreement, establishing a new $1.4 billion five-year senior secured term loan A, a $1.591 billion senior secured term loan B, and a $1.0 billion five-year...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Amentum Stockholders Reaffirm Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on February 6, 2026, Amentum Holdings, Inc. stockholders elected all nominated directors to serve until the next annual meeting and until their successors are chosen. The director slate, which includes ex...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026